• Breaking News

    Saturday, October 5, 2019

    Stocks - NAVI - why is it so low priced? Is it student loan discussion or any reason?

    Stocks - NAVI - why is it so low priced? Is it student loan discussion or any reason?


    NAVI - why is it so low priced? Is it student loan discussion or any reason?

    Posted: 05 Oct 2019 07:38 AM PDT

    When I review $NAVI, I see one of the lowest P/E, good profit making and high dividend with low payout. When all things looks attractive, I assume market pricing is low now for some reason.

    There are some ratings changes and student loan (main source of income) discussions by politicians.

    Last two days when S&P was coming up, NAVI is going down... Any reason...Am I missing some information?

    submitted by /u/mystockoftheday
    [link] [comments]

    Does the average person invest in stocks? Or do they view it as gambling?

    Posted: 05 Oct 2019 09:44 AM PDT

    Just wondering about this.

    The few friends I have don't know much about stocks and didn't show much interest when I excitedly brought up that I had started investing in some stocks a few weeks ago.

    submitted by /u/TheIllestOne
    [link] [comments]

    Wall Street Week Ahead for the trading week beginning October 7th, 2019

    Posted: 05 Oct 2019 06:01 AM PDT

    Good Saturday morning to all of you here on r/stocks. I hope everyone on this sub made out pretty nicely in the market this past week, and is ready for the new trading week ahead.

    Here is everything you need to know to get you ready for the trading week beginning October 7th, 2019.

    Dow and S&P 500 will try to snap a 3-week slide as US-China trade talks kick off in the week ahead - (Source)


    Stocks will try to regain their mojo next week as China and the U.S. hold long-awaited trade negotiations in Washington.


    The Dow Jones Industrial Average dropped 0.9% this week while the S&P 500 slid about 0.3%. Overall, the two averages posted their first three-week losing streak since August.


    Wall Street's poor performance for the week comes after a disappointing U.S. manufacturing data report sparked fears of a recession. The report itself pointed to trade as a key source of weakness for the manufacturing sector, making next week's trade talks the key focus for traders.


    "Trade talks are crucial, not just for the U.S., but globally," said Quincy Krosby, chief market strategist at Prudential Financial. "The conclusion from central bankers, CEOs and CFOs is we're slowing down."


    "They are waiting for something constructive," said Krosby.


    The Institute for Supply Management said Tuesday that U.S. manufacturing activity contracted to its lowest level in more than 10 years. This data sparked a two-day sell-off in which the Dow dropped more than 800 points. ISM Chair Timothy Fiore said trade "remains the most significant issue."


    Trade tensions between China and the U.S. have heightened over the past year, with both countries exchanging tariffs on billions of dollars worth of their products. However, the tone around U.S.-China trade improved recently as China increased last month .


    White House economic advisor Larry Kudlow also said Friday that "positive surprises" could come out of next week's negotiations. Chinese and U.S. negotiators are expected to meet next Thursday and Friday.


    But Peter Berezin, chief global strategist at BCA Research, warned signs of progress are crucial for the market moving forward. "Markets have entered a 'show me' phase," he said in a note to clients.


    Investors will also look ahead to the Federal Reserve releasing the minutes from its September meeting on Wednesday. The Fed cut rates last month by 25 basis points for the second time this year, citing "the implications of global developments for the economic outlook" among other factors.


    "It seems to me Powell is laying the blame or the explanation for the weakness directly at the feet of the administration," said Jason Thomas, chief economist at AssetMark. "It's growth outside of the U.S. It's the parts of the U.S. economy that are exposed to trade that are being affected. Other than that, the economy is doing fine."


    Nonetheless, the probability of a third Fed rate cut increased this week amid weaker-than-forecast services and jobs-growth data. Market expectations for an October rate cut rose to around 80% from about 50% in the previous week, according to the CME Group's FedWatch tool.


    On Thursday, ISM said the U.S. services sector grew at its slowest pace since August 2016. Meanwhile, data released Friday by the Labor Department showed slower-than-expected jobs growth in the U.S.


    Counterintuitively, the stock market got a boost after both data sets were released. The major averages posted solid gains on Thursday and rallied more than 1% on Friday with the Dow jumping more than 350 points.


    "With job growth decent but slowing, a contraction in manufacturing, the ongoing trade war, and low inflation, the Federal Reserve will cut the fed funds rate" later in October, said Gus Faucher, chief economist at PNC, in a note.


    This past week saw the following moves in the S&P:

    (CLICK HERE FOR THE FULL S&P TREE MAP FOR THE PAST WEEK!)

    Major Indices for this past week:

    (CLICK HERE FOR THE MAJOR INDICES FOR THE PAST WEEK!)

    Major Futures Markets as of Friday's close:

    (CLICK HERE FOR THE MAJOR FUTURES INDICES AS OF FRIDAY!)

    Economic Calendar for the Week Ahead:

    (CLICK HERE FOR THE FULL ECONOMIC CALENDAR FOR THE WEEK AHEAD!)

    Sector Performance WTD, MTD, YTD:

    (CLICK HERE FOR FRIDAY'S PERFORMANCE!)
    (CLICK HERE FOR THE WEEK-TO-DATE PERFORMANCE!)
    (CLICK HERE FOR THE MONTH-TO-DATE PERFORMANCE!)
    (CLICK HERE FOR THE 3-MONTH PERFORMANCE!)
    (CLICK HERE FOR THE YEAR-TO-DATE PERFORMANCE!)
    (CLICK HERE FOR THE 52-WEEK PERFORMANCE!)

    Percentage Changes for the Major Indices, WTD, MTD, QTD, YTD as of Friday's close:

    (CLICK HERE FOR THE CHART!)

    S&P Sectors for the Past Week:

    (CLICK HERE FOR THE CHART!)

    Major Indices Pullback/Correction Levels as of Friday's close:

    (CLICK HERE FOR THE CHART!

    Major Indices Rally Levels as of Friday's close:

    (CLICK HERE FOR THE CHART!)

    Most Anticipated Earnings Releases for this week:

    (CLICK HERE FOR THE CHART!)

    Here are the upcoming IPO's for this week:

    (CLICK HERE FOR THE CHART!)

    Friday's Stock Analyst Upgrades & Downgrades:

    (CLICK HERE FOR THE CHART LINK #1!)
    (CLICK HERE FOR THE CHART LINK #2!)

    Next Week's Economic Indicators - 10/4/19

    All-in-all, it was a pretty mixed week for economic data, specifically manufacturing and labor data. While Markit's gauge on manufacturing was slightly stronger than both expectations and the August print, ISM's version disappointed with little in the way of bright spots among its components. Hard data, on the other hand, is showing a bit of a different picture as Durable Goods appear healthy with the fastest 3m/3m growth rate since last November as we discussed in Thursday's Closer. The Markit Services PMI and ISM's Non-Manufacturing Index were also split with Markit's reading holding steady as ISM disappointed once again. Employment data was the other major focus of the week with similar disappointments, but some silver linings. Ahead of Friday's Nonfarm Payrolls Report, ISM's Employment components for both the Manufacturing and Services sectors further weakened in September while this week's initial jobless claims rose slightly more than expected (although continuing claims fell again). ADP's reading on employment also fell more than expected. The NFP report followed suit showing fewer jobs added in September, but new lows in the unemployment rate and underemployment rate added to the case of continued labor market strength.

    (CLICK HERE FOR THE CHART!)

    Economic data takes a bit of a breather next week with only two-thirds as many releases this week. Consumer credit is first up on the docket and is expected to moderate to $15 billion after a very strong print last time around. On Tuesday, we will get confidence numbers out of the small business world. NFIB's Small Business Optimism is forecasted to fall to 102.5 from 103.1 in August. PPI is also out that morning, although no change is expected for both the headline and core numbers. CPI data is due to be released later in the week on Thursday and likewise, no change is expected. Further in inflation data, on Friday, import and export price indices are also scheduled to be released. In labor data, the Job Openings and Labor Turnover Survey (JOLTS) will come out on Wednesday followed by weekly claims numbers the following day. After rising to 219K this week, claims are expected to improve to 217K. Finally, Friday's preliminary University of Michigan Sentiment for October will round out the week. It is expected to fall to 92.0 after last month's rebound up to 93.2.

    (CLICK HERE FOR THE CHART!)

    Labor Market Chugs Along

    The U.S. labor market keeps chugging along, despite signs of weakness in other pockets of the U.S. economy.

    Nonfarm payrolls rose 136,000 in September, and July and August payrolls growth were revised up by 45,000. The 12-month average payrolls change climbed to 179,000 including Friday's data, still slightly higher than the expansion average.

    Overall, the September jobs report showed hiring has been steady, defying recent worries of economic weakness after surprisingly weak manufacturing and services surveys were released earlier this week. Other labor-market measures also look healthy. The unemployment rate fell to 3.5% in September, a new cycle low, and initial jobless claims are still subdued.

    Wage growth slowed notably last month, though, hinting that inflationary pressures could be moderating. As shown in the LPL Chart of the Day, average hourly earnings growth fell to 2.9% year over year, the slowest pace since July 2018.

    (CLICK HERE FOR THE CHART!)

    Slowing average hourly earnings growth could point to a cooling job market. However, average hourly earnings growth for production and nonsupervisory workers increased 3.5% year over year, indicating there could be temporary influences weighing down the overall wage measure. At any rate, 2.9% wage growth is still enough to buoy personal incomes and consumer spending while keeping interest rates at bay.

    "Even though hiring has slowed slightly this year, it still looks healthy for the 10th year of this economic expansion," said LPL Financial Chief Investment Strategist John Lynch. "Wages are growing near a 3% clip, and we still see evidence that domestic inflation is subdued enough to support an accommodative Federal Reserve."


    October Most Volatile Month of the Year

    Historically speaking, the CBOE Volatility Index (VIX) tends to reach its seasonal high in the month of October. This may be due to the fact that the two worst performing months of the year, August and September (by average performance) precede it. October also has the honor of slaying twelve, post-WWII bear markets. A bear market's low is frequently accompanied by high levels of fear and market volatility. VIX's seasonal pattern can be seen in the following chart. October's peak and July's low are indicated by blue arrows.

    (CLICK HERE FOR THE CHART!)

    October's volatility peak is also visible when actual daily percent changes are analyzed. October has hosted the most daily moves in excess of 1%, 2%, 3%, 5%, 7% and even 10% since 1930. Do not fret over the nine times S&P 500 has moved more than 10% in a single day. Six of the nine occurrences were way back in the 1930's. Only three have occurred more recently and out of those, two were actually positive days (10/13/2008 +11.58% and 10/28/2008 +10.79%). Actually only two of the nine days with moves in excess of 10% were negative days: 3/18/1935 –10.06% and 10/19/1987 –20.47%.

    (CLICK HERE FOR THE CHART!)

    Putting the table data into a bar chart adds a quick confirmation of October's heightened volatility versus all other months.

    (CLICK HERE FOR THE CHART!)

    Some October Weakness Common in Pre-Election Years

    It certainly did not take long for the market to trigger Octoberphobia this year. Tuesday's soft manufacturing report was at least part of the trigger. DJIA, S&P 500 and NASDAQ have already declined over 2.6% and its just the second trading day of the month. Tomorrow's Non-Manufacturing ISM report and Friday's jobs report could sooth some of the current recession fears and warrant close attention. However, market weakness in October, even in pre-election years is common. Our recent post showed October ranking second worst of all month in pre-election years.

    October's tepid history in pre-election years can also be seen in the following seasonal pattern charts. The only real notably difference between this year and past pre-election years is weakness has arrived earlier. Looking at the black line in each chart, the average pre-election year October pullback has been around 3% for DJIA, S&P 500 and NASDAQ. A larger pullback this year would not be out of the question considering trade, growth and political uncertainty. If economic data proves resilient, then the usual end of year rally enjoyed in past pre-election years will likely materialize.

    (CLICK HERE FOR THE CHART!)
    (CLICK HERE FOR THE CHART!)
    (CLICK HERE FOR THE CHART!)

    STOCK MARKET VIDEO: Stock Market Analysis Video for Week Ending October 4th, 2019

    ([CLICK HERE FOR THE YOUTUBE VIDEO!]())

    (VIDEO NOT YET POSTED!)

    STOCK MARKET VIDEO: ShadowTrader Video Weekly 10.6.19

    ([CLICK HERE FOR THE YOUTUBE VIDEO!]())

    (VIDEO NOT YET POSTED!)


    Here are the most notable companies (tickers) reporting earnings in this upcoming trading week ahead-


    • $DPZ
    • $DAL
    • $AZZ
    • $LEVI
    • $HELE
    • $FAST
    • $INFY
    • $SAR
    • $EXFO

    (CLICK HERE FOR NEXT WEEK'S MOST NOTABLE EARNINGS RELEASES!)
    (CLICK HERE FOR NEXT WEEK'S HIGHEST VOLATILITY EARNINGS RELEASES!)
    (CLICK HERE FOR MOST ANTICIPATED EARNINGS RELEASES FOR THE NEXT 5 WEEKS!)

    Below are some of the notable companies coming out with earnings releases this upcoming trading week ahead which includes the date/time of release & consensus estimates courtesy of Earnings Whispers:


    Monday 10.7.19 Before Market Open:

    ([CLICK HERE FOR MONDAY'S PRE-MARKET EARNINGS TIME & ESTIMATES!]())

    NONE.

    Monday 10.7.19 After Market Close:

    ([CLICK HERE FOR MONDAY'S AFTER-MARKET EARNINGS TIME & ESTIMATES LINK!]())

    NONE.


    Tuesday 10.8.19 Before Market Open:

    (CLICK HERE FOR TUESDAY'S PRE-MARKET EARNINGS TIME & ESTIMATES LINK!)

    Tuesday 10.8.19 After Market Close:

    (CLICK HERE FOR TUESDAY'S AFTER-MARKET EARNINGS TIME & ESTIMATES LINK!)

    Wednesday 10.9.19 Before Market Open:

    ([CLICK HERE FOR WEDNESDAY'S PRE-MARKET EARNINGS TIME & ESTIMATES LINK!]())

    NONE.

    Wednesday 10.9.19 After Market Close:

    (CLICK HERE FOR WEDNESDAY'S AFTER-MARKET EARNINGS TIME & ESTIMATES LINK!)

    Thursday 10.10.19 Before Market Open:

    (CLICK HERE FOR THURSDAY'S PRE-MARKET EARNINGS TIME & ESTIMATES LINK!)

    Thursday 10.10.19 After Market Close:

    ([CLICK HERE FOR THURSDAY'S AFTER-MARKET EARNINGS TIME & ESTIMATES LINK!]())

    NONE.


    Friday 10.11.19 Before Market Open:

    (CLICK HERE FOR FRIDAY'S PRE-MARKET EARNINGS TIME & ESTIMATES!)

    Friday 10.11.19 After Market Close:

    ([CLICK HERE FOR FRIDAY'S AFTER-MARKET EARNINGS TIME & ESTIMATES!]())

    NONE.


    Domino's Pizza, Inc. $242.13

    Domino's Pizza, Inc. (DPZ) is confirmed to report earnings at approximately 7:30 AM ET on Tuesday, October 8, 2019. The consensus earnings estimate is $2.05 per share on revenue of $819.40 million and the Earnings Whisper ® number is $2.12 per share. Investor sentiment going into the company's earnings release has 63% expecting an earnings beat. Consensus estimates are for year-over-year earnings growth of 5.13% with revenue increasing by 4.25%. Short interest has increased by 63.4% since the company's last earnings release while the stock has drifted lower by 4.8% from its open following the earnings release to be 6.2% below its 200 day moving average of $258.01. Overall earnings estimates have been revised lower since the company's last earnings release. On Tuesday, October 1, 2019 there was some notable buying of 1,598 contracts of the $240.00 put expiring on Friday, October 18, 2019. Option traders are pricing in a 7.5% move on earnings and the stock has averaged a 6.2% move in recent quarters.

    (CLICK HERE FOR THE CHART!)


    Delta Air Lines, Inc. $53.81

    Delta Air Lines, Inc. (DAL) is confirmed to report earnings at approximately 7:00 AM ET on Thursday, October 10, 2019. The consensus earnings estimate is $2.27 per share on revenue of $12.59 billion and the Earnings Whisper ® number is $2.30 per share. Investor sentiment going into the company's earnings release has 75% expecting an earnings beat The company's guidance was for earnings of $2.10 to $2.40 per share. Consensus estimates are for year-over-year earnings growth of 26.11% with revenue increasing by 5.33%. Short interest has increased by 63.6% since the company's last earnings release while the stock has drifted lower by 10.7% from its open following the earnings release to be 1.4% below its 200 day moving average of $54.59. Overall earnings estimates have been revised higher since the company's last earnings release. On Wednesday, September 25, 2019 there was some notable buying of 5,260 contracts of the $67.50 call expiring on Friday, January 17, 2020. Option traders are pricing in a 4.3% move on earnings and the stock has averaged a 1.9% move in recent quarters.

    (CLICK HERE FOR THE CHART!)


    AZZ Inc. $42.80

    AZZ Inc. (AZZ) is confirmed to report earnings at approximately 6:30 AM ET on Tuesday, October 8, 2019. The consensus earnings estimate is $0.53 per share on revenue of $233.50 million. Investor sentiment going into the company's earnings release has 56% expecting an earnings beat. Consensus estimates are for year-over-year earnings growth of 23.26% with revenue increasing by 4.81%. Short interest has decreased by 9.3% since the company's last earnings release while the stock has drifted lower by 11.9% from its open following the earnings release to be 2.6% below its 200 day moving average of $43.96. Overall earnings estimates have been revised higher since the company's last earnings release. Option traders are pricing in a 9.6% move on earnings and the stock has averaged a 7.2% move in recent quarters.

    (CLICK HERE FOR THE CHART!)


    Levi Strauss & Co. $19.29

    Levi Strauss & Co. (LEVI) is confirmed to report earnings at approximately 4:05 PM ET on Tuesday, October 8, 2019. The consensus earnings estimate is $0.27 per share on revenue of $1.43 billion and the Earnings Whisper ® number is $0.29 per share. Investor sentiment going into the company's earnings release has 56% expecting an earnings beat. Short interest has increased by 53.0% since the company's last earnings release while the stock has drifted lower by 11.4% from its open following the earnings release. Overall earnings estimates have been revised lower since the company's last earnings release. The stock has averaged a 8.0% move on earnings in recent quarters.

    (CLICK HERE FOR THE CHART!)


    Helen of Troy Ltd. $160.00

    Helen of Troy Ltd. (HELE) is confirmed to report earnings at approximately 4:05 PM ET on Tuesday, October 8, 2019. The consensus earnings estimate is $1.76 per share on revenue of $383.90 million. Investor sentiment going into the company's earnings release has 48% expecting an earnings beat. Consensus estimates are for earnings to decline year-over-year by 3.30% with revenue decreasing by 2.45%. Short interest has decreased by 6.1% since the company's last earnings release while the stock has drifted higher by 10.4% from its open following the earnings release to be 21.1% above its 200 day moving average of $132.11. Overall earnings estimates have been revised higher since the company's last earnings release. Option traders are pricing in a 7.4% move on earnings and the stock has averaged a 10.5% move in recent quarters.

    (CLICK HERE FOR THE CHART!)


    Fastenal Co. $31.78

    Fastenal Co. (FAST) is confirmed to report earnings at approximately 6:50 AM ET on Friday, October 11, 2019. The consensus earnings estimate is $0.36 per share on revenue of $1.37 billion and the Earnings Whisper ® number is $0.35 per share. Investor sentiment going into the company's earnings release has 63% expecting an earnings beat. Consensus estimates are for earnings to decline year-over-year by 47.83% with revenue increasing by 7.05%. Short interest has decreased by 8.6% since the company's last earnings release while the stock has drifted higher by 6.4% from its open following the earnings release to be 1.4% above its 200 day moving average of $31.34. Overall earnings estimates have been revised lower since the company's last earnings release. On Wednesday, September 18, 2019 there was some notable buying of 2,599 contracts of the $31.20 call expiring on Friday, November 15, 2019. Option traders are pricing in a 6.6% move on earnings and the stock has averaged a 6.2% move in recent quarters.

    (CLICK HERE FOR THE CHART!)


    Infosys Technologies Ltd. $11.22

    Infosys Technologies Ltd. (INFY) is confirmed to report earnings at approximately 8:30 AM ET on Friday, October 11, 2019. The consensus earnings estimate is $0.14 per share on revenue of $3.20 billion and the Earnings Whisper ® number is $0.15 per share. Investor sentiment going into the company's earnings release has 73% expecting an earnings beat. Consensus estimates are for year-over-year earnings growth of 7.69% with revenue increasing by 9.55%. Short interest has decreased by 12.5% since the company's last earnings release while the stock has drifted lower by 1.1% from its open following the earnings release to be 2.0% above its 200 day moving average of $11.00. Overall earnings estimates have been unchanged since the company's last earnings release. Option traders are pricing in a 7.1% move on earnings and the stock has averaged a 4.9% move in recent quarters.

    (CLICK HERE FOR THE CHART!)


    Saratoga Investment Corp $24.11

    Saratoga Investment Corp (SAR) is confirmed to report earnings at approximately 4:25 PM ET on Wednesday, October 9, 2019. The consensus earnings estimate is $0.60 per share on revenue of $12.38 million and the Earnings Whisper ® number is $0.62 per share. Investor sentiment going into the company's earnings release has 88% expecting an earnings beat. Consensus estimates are for earnings to decline year-over-year by 13.04% with revenue increasing by 8.57%. Short interest has increased by 109.6% since the company's last earnings release while the stock has drifted higher by 0.8% from its open following the earnings release. Overall earnings estimates have been revised higher since the company's last earnings release.

    (CLICK HERE FOR THE CHART!)


    EXFO Inc. $3.70

    EXFO Inc. (EXFO) is confirmed to report earnings at approximately 4:00 PM ET on Wednesday, October 9, 2019. The consensus earnings estimate is $0.05 per share on revenue of $69.05 million. Investor sentiment going into the company's earnings release has 83% expecting an earnings beat The company's guidance was for earnings of $0.02 to $0.06 per share on revenue of $66.00 million to $71.00 million. Consensus estimates are for earnings to decline year-over-year by 0.00% with revenue decreasing by 0.24%. Short interest has decreased by 41.5% since the company's last earnings release while the stock has drifted higher by 3.0% from its open following the earnings release. Overall earnings estimates have been revised lower since the company's last earnings release.

    (CLICK HERE FOR THE CHART!)


    DISCUSS!

    What are you all watching for in this upcoming trading week?


    I hope you all have a wonderful weekend and a great trading week ahead r/stocks.

    submitted by /u/bigbear0083
    [link] [comments]

    Some interesting stories in the stock market this week

    Posted: 05 Oct 2019 11:54 AM PDT

    Value Stocks

    The Stars Group (TSG) is up 33% this week after announcing a planned combination with Flutter Entertainment PLC, the owner of Paddy Power in the UK and Ireland. Flutter is getting a good deal, evidenced by a 6.6% jump in its own stock price, it is buying flutter for about 7x adjusted EBITDA before synergies.

    But TSG share holders also look set to benefit from this deal as;

    • TSG's stock price has languished since it over paid for Sky Betting and took on too much debt. Flutter has much more reasonable debt levels and will be able to share the burden.
    • TSG's shareholders will benefit (along with Flutter stock holders) from a rise in Flutter since they are to receive 0.2253 shares in this all stock deal.
    • Both entities will benefit from cost savings and the potential opportunity to dominate online betting in both Europe and the US.

    That market in the US alone has been estimated at between $7 billion to $9 billion. Competition will be fierce but the opportunity should allow strong double digit growth for years to come and make the current valuation (even after this weeks rise) of just 9.2x current year estimates look far too cheap.

    Insider Buying

    On Monday, Barron's reported that four directors (later joined by a fifth) purchased stock in GameStop Corp in the first open-market purchases by insiders since September of 2016.

    The purchases were mostly above $5.00 and, even though the stock has since risen to $5.55, investors may still be interested as the stock has fallen around 66% this year. The company has been hit by an unrelenting slump in sales as customers switch to buying games online. However the outlook has some rays of light as the company should receive a boost by the launch of new consoles planned for next year.

    Acquisition

    Cedar Fair fell on Friday after the theme park operator turned down a $4 billion offer from Six Flags Entertainment, claiming it was inadequate. The stock closed on Friday with a market cap of $3.23 billion and there was no indication of a raised offer being forthcoming. However with synergies driving the deal, and with SG&A expenses of around 15% revenues (and 120% net income), a compromise might yet be reached.

    Large Caps

    HP Inc dropped almost 10% on Friday (to $16.64) after the company announced a bold new strategy to reduce its workforce by 16% as part of a broad restructuring meant to cut costs and boost sales growth. HP announced that it expects profit, excluding restructuring costs and other items, to be $2.22 to $2.32 a share in fiscal 2020 (slightly above consensus $2.24). HP's board also boosted the company's share repurchasing plan by $5 billion on top of the $1.7 billion remaining on its existing plan. That looks significant compared to its current market cap of just under $25 billion.

    The market was not impressed by the announcement but, if management are successful, the stock looks cheap at less than 7.5x forward earnings. Incoming CEO Enrique Lores (who is a long standing company man with about 30 years at the firm) said "We are really confident about the future of the company."

    Speculative Opportunity

    Meet Group stock price jumped almost 25% on Thursday after the company raised Q3 guidance with CEO of Meet Group, Geoff Cook saying that "New features including streamer levels, VIP badges, first time buyer bonuses and one-on-one video chat are contributing to meaningful business results. Further, we believe that the moderation-related headwinds related to our recent safety enhancements are largely behind us."

    Putting the moderation-related headwinds behind them is key as the stock price dropped a few months ago due to concerns that its app was too racy for Apple and Google and might even be banned. The firm has taken steps to address those concerns and now has industry-leading safety practices including a prominent alert button for abuse reporting which sends a screenshot to Meet's 200 moderation employees for immediate review.

    While Q2 results were reasonable, the updated Q3 guidance reassures investors that management's eye is back on the ball trying to grow profits. Especially since Mr Cook also said he expected a strong Q4 "Given the ongoing stabilization in our advertising business, we anticipate a seasonally strong fourth quarter in advertising,"

    Growth Stocks/High risk and speculative

    On Wednesday Zynex Inc, the non-invasive medical device company for pain management, announced 95% year over year order growth for the third quarter. CEO Thomas Sandgaard attributed the rise to the company's expansion of its sales force which has doubled over the past couple of years.

    That's key because the company has reported its goal to grow to 400 sales employees over the next few years and expects each to generate $1 million of sales. Margins in this business are healthy and should improve as the business grows. Gross margins were 80% at the last quarter and net margins 28%. Hitting the $400 million revenue target should generate net income well in excess of $100 million. In comparison, the stocks valuation at Friday's close was just 3.65x that figure at $365 million.

    Please feel free to "FOLLOW" me if you would like to see my regular updates during the week.

    This is not a recommendation to buy or sell. Stocks are not suitable for everybody. Please do your own research.

    submitted by /u/InterestingNews1
    [link] [comments]

    How much importance do you give to INTRINSIC VALUE?

    Posted: 05 Oct 2019 10:28 AM PDT

    When you decide to buy a stock, how much importance do you give to Intrinsic Value?
    I used to not give too much importance to it, but recently I've studied old financials of some quotes (from 2013 to 2018), and by doing some calculation it turned out that the intrinsic value would have predicted the price of that quote today.

    If you are not familiar with Intrinsic Value, this article will make everything clear:

    https://medium.com/popularengineering/how-to-calculate-the-intrinsic-value-of-stocks-like-warren-buffett-f9b97e3738ba

    submitted by /u/Biferex
    [link] [comments]

    Man starts hedge fund, can't find anything to hedge

    Posted: 05 Oct 2019 10:08 AM PDT

    When to cut your speculative position

    Posted: 05 Oct 2019 11:31 AM PDT

    My portfolio has about 15% speculative positions. For those of you who invest in speculative companies, at which point do you cut them loose?

    submitted by /u/mtlFP
    [link] [comments]

    Stocks with the prettiest long term (10 yr +) charts

    Posted: 05 Oct 2019 10:38 AM PDT

    Examples similar to the 10 yr charts of V/MA, MSFT, WM would be appreciated.

    submitted by /u/pnwstockinvestor
    [link] [comments]

    S&P500 Topping Patterns Warning of Risk Off Markets Ahead

    Posted: 05 Oct 2019 08:55 AM PDT

    The indices are now screaming they are setting up corrections. I posted in the last weeks saying we should look for indices falling, and us being able position for this.

    The topping pattern on these has further developed. It is important to understand that the topping patterns we have now are not "Boy who cried wolf" patterns. These are different from these previous ones people have thought they've seen. More advanced, and self confirming in each step. Something really seems to be happening here, it would be folly to not pay due attention to it.

    We have the classic slanting head and shoulders. Strong neckline established. If the market breaks this neckline in a straight fall in the coming two weeks, sellers will have firm control of this market.

    https://imgur.com/nYd9w69

    The Butterfly Top (Complete with bluffs).

    https://imgur.com/nYd9w69

    People have been getting this wrong over the last years, but they have been taking the bluff trades. Although this is not a "textbook" butterfly, those who trades these day to day know it's more practical to look for these bluffs before engaging the butterfly pattern.

    The Elliot cycles switching to bearish around the 1.61 butterfly competition.

    https://imgur.com/3GEBsJD

    My intended trades for the week ahead to position for this.

    https://imgur.com/1khNjLl

    Additional notes on my entry plans.

    submitted by /u/whatthefx
    [link] [comments]

    I’ve got $250 what stock should I buy?

    Posted: 05 Oct 2019 07:36 AM PDT

    I already have shares in AES, PLUG and CSCO. I am looking for a 4th stock. What do you guys recommend?

    submitted by /u/Enes_24
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    Free Commisions...

    Posted: 05 Oct 2019 09:16 AM PDT

    With Charles Schwab and TDameritrade announcing $0.00 commissions, surely there's got to be a catch. Im expecting that additional fees will become standard, among leading brokers. Im curious if anyone has heard or read about what is expected to come. TD's website doesn't have any additional information?

    submitted by /u/michaelhope4
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    BIIB, buying opportunity?

    Posted: 04 Oct 2019 07:56 PM PDT

    Hello,

    i am an investor only interested in capital gains instead of dividend growth. I want to talk you guys about a stock i've been following recently to see what's your thoughts on that.
    The stock I am taking about is the multinational biotechnology Biogen (NASDAQ:BIIB) and it's current traded at 224$.

    This stock have seen in March a 20% down in price due to an halt of Alzheimer's research disease, which created a buying opportunity.
    The company was founded in 1978 and for the last 10years have been rock solid in their earnings growing from 3.35$ to 21.58$, from 2009 to 2018. The company is almost debt free and have a shareholders equity return of 30.74% and a return of total capital of 23.29%. The profit margin is at 32.93%. Over the last 10years the company have been repurchase his shares which is always a good sign and the current P/E just hit the lowest P/E of the last 10 years, 8.19.
    The price to book ratio is at 3.15 and its in line with the rest of the industry.
    This stock have a potential of CAGR in stock price of 20.99% according to past EPS and should be traded around 1574.22$ 10 years from now.
    For me, this company is undervalued and have a lot of room to grow in the next 10 years.
    What do you guys think?

    submitted by /u/fabiobranquinho
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    In the modern period is there any value to "simple" strategies?

    Posted: 04 Oct 2019 04:18 PM PDT

    I am interested in the technical aspect of this and not here to learn about responsibility.

    Context/justification if you care: I have just started my career and begun to accumulate excess savings which I want to invest. I'm 27 years old. Over the course of the next few years my savings accumulation will greatly outstrip the growth of my current portfolio. As a result I am seeking only to maximize expected value and I have no interest in minimizing risk. I have larger separate pot of savings in case of any personal crisis.

    I don't know enough to options trade and I don't have time to carefully pick stocks. With this small initial pot of money I would like to maximize volatility and expected value. I am limited by knowledge constraints to picking a simple set of rules. I understand that I won't beat the high frequency traders and sharks, but I have made some observations:

    1. In most historical periods you make more than you lose on average if you buy a single stock at random and hold it for one year.

    2. Past and future performance are obviously correlated but the relationship is essentially infinitely complex.

    3. The markets have many intelligent actors as well as many actors who are either irrational or slow to act due to institutional restrictions. (obviously including me)

    What I am wondering is: is it completely stupid to pursue simple strategies such as:

    • Pick a stock that has grown steadily in the past year and hold it for six months
      • Basically a first order approximation
      • Averaged over modern history, will an average stock chosen by this method win out over a basket of stocks selected by total market cap (i.e. the S&P 500), albeit with much higher volatility?

    Or reactive strategies:

    • Buy quickly after a sudden price drop such as one caused by a recession

    • Sell quickly after a large price jump which limited analysis indicates may be due to a bubble

    What I am getting at is, to what extent is it a complete fallacy to attempt to throw simple rules at the stock market? Are markets today so efficient that all such information is already included in prices? Or is it the case that using such simple strategies is better than using no strategy at all (i.e. does a simple strategy win or lose compared to a completely random strategy or buying the S&P 500).

    //Thanks for reading

    submitted by /u/TheSkyPirate
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    What's the riskiest thing you can do which has positive expected value?

    Posted: 04 Oct 2019 04:31 PM PDT

    Like, say you have no technical knowledge and you're about to go bankrupt or you owe money to the mafia or something. So you don't care about risk at all. You just want a positive expected value version of betting all your money on black at a roulettes table. I believe options trading will have a negative expected value because the prices are pre-set by the house. Holding a very small number of stocks seems like one option, possibly investing with some type of leverage.

    Thoughts? What is the roulette table.

    submitted by /u/TheSkyPirate
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    The best way to avoid recession?

    Posted: 05 Oct 2019 04:06 AM PDT

    Is for all of us to work harder so we can earn more and increase our spending?

    submitted by /u/beer118
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    Sell Overstock at a loss?

    Posted: 05 Oct 2019 02:51 AM PDT

    Hello. I am a newbie investor and would really appreciate some advice. I bought 20 shares of Overstock for around $18 each, but recent events are concerning and it last closed at $10.22. There also seem to be some class action suits that I maybe be able to join in (not sure if it is worth it since I only have a few stocks compared to other investors). Is anyone facing a similar dilemma or have any specific approach to this? Thank you.

    submitted by /u/maoandgao
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    Acquiring S before TMUS merge

    Posted: 04 Oct 2019 04:00 PM PDT

    What would happen to my shares if I purchase them now and later on they merge with T-Mobile?

    submitted by /u/sokolpl
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    Option value changes after hours?

    Posted: 04 Oct 2019 02:33 PM PDT

    I've just learned how to sell credit spreads so today I've just sold my first contracts which are Microsoft call credit spreads. They closed the day with the value of $37 and stayed flat after close. Then at 5:25 they decayed to be around $31 in value. I've only bought options prior to this and I've never seen them change value AH. Is this theta decay? Or something else that I'm missing?

    submitted by /u/lost_packet_
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    Do I sell bad stock? (NIO)

    Posted: 04 Oct 2019 03:37 PM PDT

    So I put $200 into a young stock (NIO) that I wasn't really paying attention too just to see if it would take off. I'm down $142 now, so my portfolio value for this stock now is only $60. Is it even worth selling at this point? Or should I just grab what I can? I'm 19 and most of my portfolio is in the more conservative stuff like Starbucks and Microsoft, I just thought I'd try a risky stock for the hell of it. Any help helps, and if I should just cash out does anyone have a recommendation for another high risk low cost type? Thanks (:

    submitted by /u/keep_em_in_front
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