Stocks - r/Stocks Daily Discussion Monday - Mar 07, 2022 |
- r/Stocks Daily Discussion Monday - Mar 07, 2022
- How Red are your portfolios right now?
- Reuters 2021: “Foreign funds now own 81% of all shares listed on Moscow Exchange”
- Oil surges above $130 Sunday evening (+$15/bbl vs Friday); Stocks Face Oil Risks Amid Talk of Russia Embargo
- Stock futures sink as U.S. and its allies consider ban on Russian oil imports
- Oil companies to short soon?
- Buy oil and gas stocks now?
- Here we go again: Dow futures lost 550 points. What were the diesel and petrol increases in your country and government responses btw?
- Cathie Woods says her fund will see spectacular returns in five years
- The single biggest mistake that underwater bagholders make
- European stock indexes have reached bear market territory
- International crude oil soared by $123 in WTI, how much can oil stocks rise, and how much can oil stocks such as XOM, CVX, and COP rise?
- Europe: Stagflation incoming?
- Retirement Question
- In the 11 years since it went public, Tsla has grown 49 times. How much do you think Tsla can grow in the next 10 years?
- Why were investors so excited about Ebay & Paypal, a 25 year old company ?
- What is your favorite investing book and why?
- Learn from the growth sell off last year
- Where can i read up on Oil?
- How’s my long term strategy?
- $2000 Gold...Gold always follows Crude Oil ..Commodity bull market?
- Is it time to buy $RTX Raytheon technologies closed $99.56 on Friday.
- Oil above $130 briefly. What does this mean for disposable income?
- $F stock prediction?
| r/Stocks Daily Discussion Monday - Mar 07, 2022 Posted: 07 Mar 2022 02:30 AM PST These daily discussions run from Monday to Friday including during our themed posts. Some helpful links:
If you have a basic question, for example "what is EPS," then google "investopedia EPS" and click the investopedia article on it; do this for everything until you have a more in depth question or just want to share what you learned. Please discuss your portfolios in the Rate My Portfolio sticky.. See our past daily discussions here. Also links for: Technicals Tuesday, Options Trading Thursday, and Fundamentals Friday. [link] [comments] |
| How Red are your portfolios right now? Posted: 07 Mar 2022 12:48 AM PST I am a relatively new investor - got nervous in January sold everything and realized around -0.5% losses. I invested immediately afterwards, because I understood that I need to plan long-term, with a new strategy (ETFs World, an Europe ETF and Deutsche Bank). Right now I am at - 8% and tbh it does not bother me that much and I believe in all the holdings I have (Deutsche makes it a bit hard right now but yeah). I am just wondering how bad/good I am going through this downturn compared to others. Would be great to get some answers/insights/feedback. [link] [comments] |
| Reuters 2021: “Foreign funds now own 81% of all shares listed on Moscow Exchange” Posted: 06 Mar 2022 07:25 AM PST https://www.reuters.com/article/us-russia-moex-idUSKBN2EZ1XU I seriously think we're undermining the repercussions of $MOEX and the heavy sanctions imposed on the market. When Russia's stock market reopens I fear there will be a lot of liquidity and margin issues. "Foreign funds held 80.7% of shares freely floated on the stock market as of July 1, the Moscow Exchange's head of primary markets, Natalia Loginova, told media during a webinar. That was up from 65.6% in 2020, but slightly below 83.3% in 2019. Loginova said investors from the United States and Canada accounted for 54% of the total, with 22% from the United Kingdom and 21% from the rest of Europe." All the countries sanctioning Russia are major stakeholders in Russia's market. What is the likely outcome of Russia's soon to be market sell-off? [link] [comments] |
| Posted: 06 Mar 2022 03:06 PM PST (Bloomberg) -- Stocks face a challenging open Monday after the U.S. raised the prospect of working with allies to ban imports of Russian oil, a step that could stoke the rally in crude and intensify inflationary pressures. Secretary of State Antony Blinken said Sunday the U.S. and its allies are looking at a coordinated embargo following Russia's invasion of Ukraine, while ensuring appropriate global supply. Equity futures earlier were already pointing to declines in Japan and Hong Kong and a muted start in Australia. The dollar was mixed against key peers in early trading. Demand for havens has taken a greenback gauge to the highest since 2020 and spurred a rally in sovereign bonds. Yields retreated in Australia and New Zealand. The Swiss franc, another bolthole in times of stress, slipped after a governing board member of the Swiss National Bank said it's ready to intervene to tackle rapid strengthening. Oil has topped $115 a barrel, climbing along with grains and metals on concerns of supply disruptions due to Russia's military action, ensuing sanctions and a reluctance to trade with a resource-rich nation that's becoming a global pariah. Traders are also assessing a drop in Libyan output. An index of commodities jumped the most last week on record, raising the specter of escalating price pressures. The global economy was already struggling with high inflation due to pandemic-era snarls. The Federal Reserve and other key central banks face the tricky task of tightening monetary policy to contain the cost of living without upending economic expansion or roiling risky assets. "For the U.S. economy, we now see stagflation, with persistently higher inflation and less economic growth than expected before the war," Ed Yardeni, president of Yardeni Research, wrote in a note. "For stock investors, we think 2022 will continue to be one of this bull market's toughest years." Fed Bank of Chicago President Charles Evans said Friday the central bank should increase interest rates to close to its "neutral" setting this year, implying as many as seven quarter-point hikes. "Central banks are facing an exogenous stagflationary shock they cannot do much about," Silvia Dall'Angelo, senior economist at Federated Hermes, wrote in a note. In Russia, President Vladimir Putin signed a decree allowing the government and companies to pay foreign creditors in rubles, seeking to stave off defaults while capital controls remain in place. Sanctions will determine if international investors are able to collect payments, the Finance Ministry said. China signaled more stimulus is on the cards by setting an economic growth target above forecasts. Premier Li Keqiang vowed at the opening of the National People's Congress, the Communist Party-controlled parliament, to take bold steps to protect the economy as risks mount. https://www.bnnbloomberg.ca/stocks-face-oil-risks-amid-talk-of-russia-embargo-markets-wrap-1.1733378 Live oil quote: https://www.investing.com/commodities/crude-oil [link] [comments] |
| Stock futures sink as U.S. and its allies consider ban on Russian oil imports Posted: 07 Mar 2022 12:52 AM PST U.S. stock-index futures fell sharply after trading began late Sunday, as investors remain rattled by the ongoing war in Ukraine. Dow Jones Industrial Average futures YM00, -1.70% tumbled more than 400 points, while S&P 500 futures ES00, -1.77% and Nasdaq-100 futures NQ00, -1.75% each fell more than 1.5% early Monday. Last week, all three major indexes booked losses, with the Dow falling for a fourth straight week. Dow DJIA, -0.53% dropped 179.86 points, or 0.5%, to close at 33,614.80, while the S&P 500 index SPX, -0.79% fell 34.62 points, or 0.8%, to finish at 4,328.87, and the Nasdaq Composite Index COMP, -1.66% shed 224.5 points, or 1.7%, to end at 13,313.44. For the week, the Dow and S&P 500 each fell 1.3% while the Nasdaq dropped 2.8%. Crude prices continued to surge Sunday CLJ22, 7.34% BRNK22, 7.96%, topping $125 a barrel, as Secretary of State Anthony Blinken said the U.S. and its European allies are considering a ban on Russian oil imports in response to Russia's invasion of Ukraine. Gold prices also touched $2,000 an ounce as investors sought safety. Gold GC00, 1.88% surged 4.2% last week, its largest weekly gain since July 2020, according to Dow Jones Market Date. Fighting in Ukraine continued unabated over the weekend, with humanitarian corridors intended to evacuate civilians from cities closed after coming under fire from Russian troops. The U.N. said Sunday that 1.5 million Ukrainians have fled the country in the past 11 days, creating the fastest-growing refugee crisis in Europe since World War II. [link] [comments] |
| Posted: 06 Mar 2022 07:49 PM PST I see a lot of people on this sub having some Fomo of missing out on high oil prices. I honestly think it's going to come crashing because I don't believe above $150 is sustainable. So that brings me to my question.. What are some good companies I can buy puts on to take advantage of everyone's fomo? Or, why shouldn't I do this? [link] [comments] |
| Posted: 06 Mar 2022 09:41 AM PST Is it a good idea to buy energy stocks? I have been hearing two opposing opinions on this. 1. Buy now because of the oil price is going up. 2. Take profits or short them because the energy stocks are at ATH. What's your thoughts on this? Learnings from the comment section:
Thank you much for those who replied! [link] [comments] |
| Posted: 07 Mar 2022 03:35 AM PST "Dow futures lost 549 points, or 1.63%, while S&P 500 futures and Nasdaq 100 futures slid 1.46% and 1.55%, respectively." The international benchmark, Brent crude has increased 6,24% and spiked to 139,13$ it's highest since 2008. U.S. oil benchmark, West Texas Intermediate crude futures increased 6,3% hitting 130$ max already. What are your diesel and petrol increases and is your government creating any policies to avoid a huge increase and instability? [link] [comments] |
| Cathie Woods says her fund will see spectacular returns in five years Posted: 07 Mar 2022 05:28 AM PST spectacular [ spek-tak-yuh-ler ] adjective- of or like a spectacle; marked by or given to an impressive, large-scale display.dramatically daring or thrilling:a spectacular dive from a cliff. The last part got me. lol. Anyone nibbling, or yoloing for that matter, any of the truly battered names in her fund? If so, what stock(s), and why? edit: 2X it's on CNBC [link] [comments] |
| The single biggest mistake that underwater bagholders make Posted: 06 Mar 2022 08:28 AM PST Thinking their entry price matters means anything. This it is not an easy thing to explain. It borders on philosophy, but I will do my best to explain my opinion. If you disagree, that is ok, but I hope to generate a useful discussion from this, since this situation applies to many people today. I am interested to hear what others think. Please do not downvote just because you are upset at holding a losing stock. I read threads saying "Hey I have 1000 share of XYZ at $150." (Reading between the lines, "Will it get back to $150?") The single biggest mistake that underwater bagholders make is to anchor on that entry price. Trying to break even. Bill buys XYZ at $150, and it drops to $100. Now, if Tom buys at $100, would Tom ever say, "I will only sell at $150 because that's where Bill breaks even"? No, because Bill's entry price has nothing to do with Tom or the stock. Tom does not even know about Bill. Likewise, your own past entry price has nothing to do with the stock's current or future performance. You are Bill, and the rest of the world is Tom. Let's now say you never bought at $150, and you first discover the stock at $100, would you come fresh and buy today and say, "I will sell at $150". No, you are not even aware that it traded at $150, and that is now a totally random number from thin air, and has nothing to do with the stock trading at $100 today. You are Tom. In both cases, you are buying at $100, but with totally different targets, one because of a random personal action in the past, that is totally disconnected from the actual stock prospects today. Refusing to take a loss? ("Only a paper loss")? To be clear, I am not saying you must sell, but understand the money is already gone. Your brokerage statement says your account balance using today's price, not your entry price. Ignoring tax implications, you are effectively buying back the stock at today's price. Every day. Hold if you're still bullish, or maybe DCA more if you're really bullish. As they say, if you liked it at $150, then you really like it at $100. But, if you do not like it anymore, you still still "buying" it at $100, simply by still holding it. Every day. Also, what if the stock goes to $125? Do you sell now? Or is the $150 past affecting your decision making? What if you never bought it at $150? Now $100 to $125 is treated differently than $150 to $100 to $125. Yet, it's the same move from $100 to $125. You also miss out on other opportunities while waiting to hit a totally arbitrary personal target that only matters to your brain only. Be clear on this, the market and your account does not care about your entry price. It is meaningless to what the stock is going to do. You are both Bill and Tom. [link] [comments] |
| European stock indexes have reached bear market territory Posted: 07 Mar 2022 05:14 AM PST For example Germany: Today also marked the beginning of a new era on the German stock market. As of today, the DAX is officially in a bear market, meaning that the price losses since its record high of 16,290 points in January amount to more than 20 percent. 92% of all German stocks in the major indices (DAX, MDAX, SDAX) are below their 200-day SMA line. --- The war in Ukraine causes a dramatic collapse in the economic confidence of stock market participants. Investors see future gloomily - Ukraine shock causes Sentix barometer to slump This shows the barometer published by the investment consulting firm Sentix on Monday. Accordingly, the overall index to the euro zone falls from 16.6 points in February to minus 7.0 points in March and thus the lowest value since November 2020. Expectations suffered particularly badly: The sub-index rushed by 34.75 points in the basement. According to Sentix, there has never been such a slump in the barometer's roughly 20-year history. "Even the Corona pandemic or the banking crisis had not led to such a sharp drop in future prospects," explained Sentix Managing Director Patrick Hussy. According to the survey, the 1216 investors polled from March 3 to 5 see a far greater negative impact on the euro area economy than was generally expected so far. The slump is far more dynamic than the roughly two percent annual sales achieved by European companies in Russia would suggest. [link] [comments] |
| Posted: 07 Mar 2022 12:08 AM PST International crude oil soared by $123 in WTI, how much can oil stocks rise, and how much can oil stocks such as XOM, CVX, and COP rise? Since 2022, XOM is up 40%, CVX is up 37%, and COP is up 40%. Do you think oil prices will rise this time? Or which oil stocks are you bullish on? [link] [comments] |
| Posted: 07 Mar 2022 02:46 AM PST Well, the FTSE and DAX are dropping again today. Why? Well, we've got talks of banning Russian oil imports, possibly Russian gas imports, too. Guess who Europe is depending on for a big part of its oil and gas supply? "Russia is the origin of 26% of the EU's oil imports and 40% of the EU's gas imports." (https://ec.europa.eu/trade/policy/countries-and-regions/countries/russia/index_en.htm). Plus, Russia and Ukraine make up a big part of the world's supply of wheat (check the price action there, too, looks like freaking WHEAT futures have been outperforming the SPX and NDX for the last year even before the war spike). Long story short, hang on for dear life, fellow Europeans, we are very likely headed for a stagflation situation (economic stagnation coupled with high inflation). Gold and silver may actually perform well in 2022 with all this happening, but obviously oil was the big winning bet if you bought it at any time between the last 6 months and last week. I don't know what's the outlook for stocks. I think that the FTSE and all other European indices are pretty undervalued so I don't see them dropping as much as US stocks, but at the same time Europe will be much, much more affected by the war in Ukraine than the US. It does feel like this is a good time to stock up on... stocks. I'm personally playing it safe and going for broad indexes because I think a lot of struggling companies may go bankrupt from the inflation and interest power combo. There are a LOT of zombie companies in the UK and US (https://www.investopedia.com/terms/z/zombies.asp). In the UK, we've already started seeing energy companies go belly up over the last couple of months because of gas prices although interestingly enough, the number of company liquidations in England and Wales haven't gone up that much (https://www.statista.com/statistics/310406/uk-insolvencies-total-number-of-company-liquidations/) nor have they gone up in the US (https://tradingeconomics.com/united-states/bankruptcies). Still, I think that the rate hike in 10 days time will: 1) shake the markets; 2) make a lot of businesses think twice about how they'll be able to keep going on in their business. If we see rates going up to 1.5% over the next 12-24 months AND we keep seeing high inflation, a lot of companies will go bye-bye. In terms of specific companies / industries to pick, I am currently going for:
Otherwise, I am continuing to buy my global stock market indexes and global tech indexes along with FTSE indexes, the iShares Europe fund and, obviously, gold. How are you positioning for the markets? Are you taking profits and keeping cash or are you doubling down on your stock bets? [link] [comments] |
| Posted: 07 Mar 2022 04:24 AM PST I'm 24 and have been contributing to my 401k for 2 years. Ideally, I'd like to retire by 60 if that is in the cards. I have a target retirement fund being allocated like 98% of my 401k contributions. Is that a fine plan? AND is having my target date being when I'm 58 a bad idea? [link] [comments] |
| Posted: 06 Mar 2022 02:29 PM PST In the 11 years since it went public, Tsla has grown 49 times. How much do you think Tsla can grow in the next 10 years? Since going public in June 2010, Tsla has grown 49 times. The current share price is $839, and the price-earnings ratio is 151 times, which is an ultra-high price-earnings ratio. How much do you think Tsla can grow in the next 10 years? What price is more suitable to buy? [link] [comments] |
| Why were investors so excited about Ebay & Paypal, a 25 year old company ? Posted: 06 Mar 2022 07:22 AM PST Please help me to what do I not understand? I've been using Ebay for 24 years now. Amazon and Etsy grew for the last 10 years. Last 5 years, FB Marketplace had to eat into the action, also. I believe Alibaba also become more popular for certain goods. Also, many boutique sites for certain products like Swappa. Partly, what allowed this other growth was Ebay was never branded as cool. Ebay had a marketing problem right from 1998, which was perception of only weird or used goods. I still use Ebay, but less than in the past. Is Ebay growing much anymore? For 16 years, from 2004 to 2020, Ebay price was almost flat. $25 to $30 in 16 years. I never used Paypal outside of Ebay. I've been using Paypal for 20 years. Is not Paypal is basically Ebay payments, and EBay is old school. When Ebay spun it back off in 2015. who was excited about this old technology? Paypal is now almost 25 years old. Venmo has grown for p2p payments, but is an unprofitable arm of Paypal. Is the growth of Venno the entire bull case for Paypal? Both seem a mature company with saturated markets. Should Ebay and Paypal trade at growth PE? Or like a utility or bank? Yet, Paypal was a 10-bagger going from $30 to $300, and now back to $100. Is Ebay & Paypal still growing? What is the growth case? What was the bull case for Paypal since 2015? [link] [comments] |
| What is your favorite investing book and why? Posted: 07 Mar 2022 02:02 AM PST Who all has a favorite investing book that changed the way they look at things or helped you take things to the next level? Just finished principles by Ray Dalio In the past I've read Money: master the game by tony robins Rich dad poor dad (like everyone else has) Never split the difference (negotiating book) And a bunch of real estate investing books I won't list in this sub [link] [comments] |
| Learn from the growth sell off last year Posted: 07 Mar 2022 05:25 AM PST Last year we saw lots of people pile into popular growth stocks while they were very high. There was inevitably a big sell off and now it's a common refrain how much money people have lost or negative positions they were holding on stock darlings from early 2021. Be careful everyone because the recent interest in oil looks like it might have similar results. So many people are suddenly asking about oil and looking to start positions while it is very high. Remember that this is a volatile space and timing will be crucial. As more and more people pile in seeing quick opportunity, the risk of holding becomes greater and everyone should have their exit strategies ready [link] [comments] |
| Posted: 07 Mar 2022 01:16 AM PST Due to the current geopolitical issues, Oil is in the news alot lately. But oil has always been a confusing topic to me. I dont understand its economical correlation. as well as its financial correlation. in addition, theres alot of companies that are under the tag "oil" but they are all different. i was wondering where can i go to get a better understanding of all this? for example
etc etc. in addition, theres so many acronyms [link] [comments] |
| Posted: 06 Mar 2022 06:15 PM PST Hello everyone, I am a 23 year old who graduated from Uni last year and working full time now. I have put together a higher risk portfolio I'd like to hear thoughts on. I've been maxxing out my Roth for 2021 and 2022 and contributing a match at my job for my 401k which goes completely into S&P funds. Doing the math that will be atleast 50% of my investment portfolio as I DCA into both my Roth and 401k by EOY 2022. Over time i will contribute a lot more to my 401k so I figured my 401k should always be bigger than my spec portfolio otherwise I did something really right. Now for my Roth I hold high risk growth stocks in different sectors that I have conviction in from highest to smallest position size: 1) AMD/NVDA (Only Position I haven't DCA'ed yet; debating which one to go with as AMD fundamentals make it a better buy imo but NVDA has the better product) 2) SQ 3) COIN 4) SE 5) CRSP 6) GE 7) SNOW 8) AI 9) LCID 10) QS 11) FUBO 12) SBET 13) SPCE First 6 will make up about 70-75% of my spec portfolio with 3-5%ish positions on the rest. I just dropped a 33% lump sum of my 12k and plan to DCA throughout 2022 with remaining contributions. [link] [comments] |
| $2000 Gold...Gold always follows Crude Oil ..Commodity bull market? Posted: 07 Mar 2022 02:29 AM PST This is per the futures at 5am CST...I have always been a gold fan but not a gold bull. I have always thought of Gold as insurance. And 10% max should be invested in Gold. Unfortunately a lot of the stocks I own are down and somehow Barrick $GOLD has became my largest holding by current dollar amount. I think the 2020-21 tech market could easily been seen as dot com 2.0 by anyone over 40....But does that mean we are going thru a commodities pump & dump now? Like 2006-08? Thoughts? [link] [comments] |
| Is it time to buy $RTX Raytheon technologies closed $99.56 on Friday. Posted: 06 Mar 2022 05:09 PM PST Just curious if you think it's time to buy some shares in Raytheon technologies. $99 probably seems like a good buy when you consider they have to replenish all these missiles. NATO countries will to have to purchase a whole bunch of them to replace the ones being sent to Ukraine. What other stocks should we be buying because of this unfortunate situation in Ukraine [link] [comments] |
| Oil above $130 briefly. What does this mean for disposable income? Posted: 07 Mar 2022 04:44 AM PST As we have seen in the news the recent sanctions and possibly new sanctions are driving oil high, causing tightening in supply chains, and increasing inflation. Recent reports have shown that the American consumer has continued to finance their life through credit cards that show accelerating debt loads. As the consumer debt increases, oil/gas explode higher, and inflation matched up ward what does this mean for consumer disposable income. As disposable income Changes will this affect companies bottom lines? Will this move the market down? . [link] [comments] |
| Posted: 07 Mar 2022 03:52 AM PST I'm a relatively new investor and this year I bought a few shares of Ford because the market looked promising after a few quarters. My shares were doing amazing from the end of December to the beginning of January but then prices dropped like $10 during that time. I thought Biden's SoU address would rev up the market a little bit after he promised increased chip production and the release of 60M barrels of oil but that seemingly lasted a day. The current gas supply shock has obviously waived the little hope I had left in my portfolio but when do you think auto shares/specifically, Ford, will head up in the market? [link] [comments] |
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