Stock Market - I can hold all the bags |
- I can hold all the bags
- Happy 13-year anniversary to the GFC bear market bottom today
- Can Wall Street limit the losses coming from the conflict in Ukraine?
- India's foreign exchange - $ 1.425 billion to $ 631.527 billion , February 25, 2022, due to the fall in foreign currency assets.
- When Should You Sell a Losing Stock?
- In 2022, when they ask: ¿So how are your investments going? 🤣
- Time stamp 30 year Treasury bond interest rate
- Morning Update for Monday, 3/7/22
- Here's Your Daily Market Brief For March 7th
- ⛳️Trade Like a Lion Hunts⛳️
- Overvalued stock market
- Is it hard for new exchanges to find people to market make for them?
- Boosh Plant-Based Brands Inc. (OTC:VGGIF) - Fundamental Analysis
- Could use some advice for switching mutual funds.
- Bonds are undervalued
- Wish turnaround strategy and Earnings. Would love to hear some feedback.
- Anti Tax Death Metal Song + Lyrics
- What metrics do you use to rebalance portfolio?
- Problem is Wall Street....and maybe you too.
| Posted: 07 Mar 2022 05:29 AM PST
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| Happy 13-year anniversary to the GFC bear market bottom today Posted: 06 Mar 2022 11:23 AM PST
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| Can Wall Street limit the losses coming from the conflict in Ukraine? Posted: 06 Mar 2022 11:33 PM PST Risk-off trading looks like it'll continue to weigh on global equity markets as the war in Ukraine intensifies. Yet, despite the S&P500 falling 0.8% last week, the overall US market significantly outperformed the major European indices, with the DAX, CAC, and STOXX50 all shedding over 10%. This is to be expected given the geographical proximity of these markets to the conflict, as the EU is likely to bear the immediate brunt of any spillovers. However, a quick look at the DAX shows that the this isn't just traders closing out long positions and taking profits. The fall in prices has occurred with volume rising to its highest since the March 2020 crash, indicating that bears are in full control. On the other hand, $SPX managed to avoid a weekly close below 4300, maintaining the key support level coming from the latter half of 2021, signaling strong demand and investors potentially looking to add to their positions around the current levels. S&P500 futures currently point to a lower open today, and the index is likely to continue testing this support over the week. However, if geopolitical developments within the coming days show an increased likelihood of the conflict being contained to the region, it could really accelerate the US market's outperformance against its European counterpart. Of course, all trading carries risk, but it should be interesting to see how this plays out through the week. [link] [comments] | ||
| Posted: 07 Mar 2022 02:33 AM PST
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| When Should You Sell a Losing Stock? Posted: 07 Mar 2022 02:28 AM PST
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| In 2022, when they ask: ¿So how are your investments going? 🤣 Posted: 06 Mar 2022 07:26 AM PST
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| Time stamp 30 year Treasury bond interest rate Posted: 07 Mar 2022 04:46 AM PST
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| Morning Update for Monday, 3/7/22 Posted: 07 Mar 2022 06:15 AM PST Good morning everyone, hope you had a nice weekend. These posts are for informational purposes only. I am not a financial advisor. Main Watchlist: Gapping UP:
Gapping DOWN:
Momentum Watchlist:
Market Outlook: Stocks are looking to open a bit lower this morning, but we've recovered off premarket lows. At the time of writing, S&P Futures are down ~40 basis points, Dow Futures are down ~45 basis points, and Nasdaq Futures are down ~40 basis points. I'll be watching SPY support/resistance level at 430 this morning, will wait for things to settle a bit after open. I've been bullish on gold and crude oil the past few weeks and they have seen a considerable run up in that time. Still bullish on gold, gonna hit that 2,000 level soon. Crude oil is up but has come down off the highs from Sunday evening; likely to stay volatile today and throughout the rest of the week. Worth continuing to monitor the Russia-Ukraine situation, Putin can go suck a fat one. Energy stocks are up in premarket but it's worth noting they've come down from premarket highs. Definitely worth watching closely today and throughout the rest of the week. Banks are seeing weakness and are looking bearish in the short-term as well. We could see a bounce here, but most have broken down below support levels. Could be a bad sign for the overall market if banks see continued weakness. Remember to use proper risk management; size appropriately for your account and have a plan for every trade you enter. Happy trading everyone :) [link] [comments] | ||
| Here's Your Daily Market Brief For March 7th Posted: 07 Mar 2022 05:26 AM PST 📰 Top News US stock futures headed for a lower open in Monday morning trading as oil prices jumped to their highest level since 2008 amid the ongoing war between Russia and Ukraine. Hot oil! - Oil prices spiked to a 13-year high after the US and its allies held talks to consider banning Russian oil and gas imports. Note: 60% of Russian oil is struggling to find buyers according to an analysis from JP Morgan. UK dock workers take action- Dockworkers in the UK are taking a stand against Russia's invasion of Ukraine by refusing to unload Russian oil and gas. Note: Sanctions from the British government mean that Russian ships are not allowed to dock at UK ports. UAE placed on "gray list" - An intergovernmental organization dedicated to combating money laundering and illicit cash flows placed the United Arab Emirates on its "gray list" over concerns the country isn't stemming illegal financial activity. Note: The Financial Action Task Force said the UAE was being monitored due to "strategic deficiencies" in countering money laundering. 📷🎯 Price Target Updates Morgan Stanley upgrades Palantir. PLTR upgraded to EQUAL WEIGHT from UNDERWEIGHT - PT $16 (from $24) Morgan Stanley upgrades US Steel Corporation. X upgraded to EQUAL WEIGHT from UNDERWEIGHT - PT $31 (from $21) JP Morgan downgrades Phillip Morris International. PM downgraded to NEUTRAL from OVERWEIGHT - PT $110 (from $130) 📻 In Other News Mastercard, Visa pull the plug on the Russian market - Mastercard and Visa announced they were suspending their operations in Russia in the latest blow to the country's economy after its invasion of Ukraine. Note: Since the invasion of Ukraine, Russian currency, the ruble has plunged by more than a third to a record low. No more "Netflix & Chill" in Russia - Streaming giant Netflix confirmed that it is pulling its service in Russia following the country's invasion of Ukraine. Note: The Russian market makes up a small percentage of the company's overall subscriber base with Netflix recently crossing 1 million subscribers in Russia. Dark Knight lights up silver screen - DC's "The Batman" swooped into theaters over the weekend tallying the second-highest domestic opening of the pandemic era. Note: The film generated $128.5 million over the weekend, exceeding the studio's expectations of $110 million. 📅 This Week's Key Economic Calendar Monday: Consumer Credit (Jan) Tuesday: Trade Balance Wednesday: No Major Economic Events Thursday: CPI YoY (Feb), Initial Jobless Claims (wk end 5-Mar) Friday: U. of Mich Sentiment (Mar P), U. of Mich 5-10 Yr Inflation (Mar P) 📔 Snippet of the Day Quote of the day: "You need short term paranoia to keep you alive long enough to exploit long-term optimism" - Morgan Housel. [link] [comments] | ||
| Posted: 06 Mar 2022 11:11 PM PST
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| Posted: 06 Mar 2022 05:55 PM PST Recently got into stock investing and would like to clarify some points. Is it true that the stock market is very overvalued right now? I was reading a book that discussed price-earnings multiple. So I went to search up some of the top companies in QQQ/S&P500 and realised that many stocks are priced more than 20x its actual EPS. For example mcdonald's has a stock price of $235 but EPS of only $10+. Is this (based on historical trends or rationality) considered overvalued in the stock market? What do yall think about this and would there be a chance that the overall stock market falls to a more "rational" price in the near future? thanks!! [link] [comments] | ||
| Is it hard for new exchanges to find people to market make for them? Posted: 06 Mar 2022 09:45 PM PST For example, there are exchanges where people can trade based on sporting events. These exchanges are looking for people to market make. I am thinking that the reason they don't do it themselves is that they are scared that they will get dominated by institutions and other sharp groups. So in that case, what benefit would a smaller firm have in regards to providing liquidity and market making? Financially it seems like something really hard to make money on, and instead these smaller firms will probably just be thrown out to the wolves. On the flip side if the smaller market making firms can manage risk, they can maybe raise money (bc they are now regulated mm's), offer to market make for other exchanges, and grow, etc. [link] [comments] | ||
| Boosh Plant-Based Brands Inc. (OTC:VGGIF) - Fundamental Analysis Posted: 06 Mar 2022 06:33 PM PST Boosh Plant-Based Brands Inc. (OTC:VGGIF CSE: VEGI) operates as a plant-based ready-to-eat food company. It distributes, and sells plant based frozen meals to grocery outlets and independent grocery stores throughout Canada. 7 Reasons to Consider Boosh Plant-Based Brands Inc. It's a ground floor opportunity: the plant-based food industry is projected to grow into a $10.7 billion market in the United States alone over the next five years. It now has the potential to cash in on the explosive market growth for 100% plant based, non-GMO, gluten free frozen, and refrigerated comfort meals. Its revenues could potentially surge by a whopping 4,500%. It has established a food distribution agreement with United Natural Foods, Inc. (NYSE-UNFI), one of the largest natural food distributors in North America. It has an award-winning proprietary recipe food product line. It has a competitive edge in the plant based frozen and refrigerated food market checking all the boxes for its target audience. Its meals are 100% Vegan, 100% Gluten Free, Non-GMO, Family Size and Competitively Priced. Its insiders hold 41.97% of the company, so they're 100% invested in the company's success. Analysts Project the Plant-Based Food Industry to GROW into a $10.7 BILLION MARKET in the United States Alone Over the Next Five Years. This is the perfect add to watch-list stock and do your due diligence. This business has huge potential, so check out this article for a further analysis on the company. ... Disclaimer: "This User has been paid $200USD by a third party to provide coverage on 03/07-11/2022 for Boosh Plant-Based Brands Inc. (VGGIF)." [link] [comments] | ||
| Could use some advice for switching mutual funds. Posted: 06 Mar 2022 12:53 PM PST My brokerage [CIBC Investors Edge] in Canada has informed me that "there will be a planned transition of mutual fund units to fund classes or series where no trailing commission ("zero trailer funds") is paid by the fund manager to CIBC Investor's Edge" - because of regulatory changes. My current fund is a monthly income fund but i need to switch to something that has higher growth potential, and i'm willing to manage some higher risk. It will be for the longer term; about 5-10 years, and i'm not looking to manage it. I'm looking at a few index funds that track either the Nasdaq 100 or the S&P 500. Not really sure where to go with it as i play the market a little and the fund is just for year over year accumulation. I was given a list by the brokerage and was looking at: CIBC NASDAQ 100 INDEX FUND F TD NASDAQ INDEX FUND E INVESCO NASDAQ 100 INDEX ETF [QQC/F:CN] FIDELITY HIGH QUALITY INDEX ETF FUND SERIES F There's also some S&P 500 index funds and a thousand other miscellaneous - i would appreciate any ideas - and of course i will research and make a decision myself. I'm an old rock musician with no pension so i need to try to grow my little nest egg as much as possible over the next 10 years. Thanks Here's a link to the list LIST OF FUNDS [link] [comments] | ||
| Posted: 06 Mar 2022 08:15 AM PST DisclaimerThis is a speculative trading theory. I am looking for feedback in my reasoning. I am not encouraging anyone to follow me into this trade. BackgroundThe Federal Reserve announced that they will begin to raise interest rates in March of 2022. This is outlined here in their December report. The main item to pay attention to is table one on page two. Note the FFR median value for 2022 of 0.9% The bottom row shows expectations for the Federal Funds Rate (FFR) from 2021 through 2024 and beyond. The FFR is the rate that is classically being talked about when the topic is around the Fed raising or lowering interest rates. The FFR is currently sitting at 0.1% which is historically incredibly low. The last sequence of interest rate increases happened between late 2015 and the start of 2019 where it went from a familiar 0.1% up to approximately 2.4% at its peak. Look at table one again, you can see that the median long run FFR is 2.5% which mirrors the last sequence. The previous rate hiking season from 2015 to 2019 Current SituationThe Fed's plan for 2022 paves the way for at least three interest rate hikes of 25 basis points each, with a potential fourth if the outlook worsens. This would leave the FFR somewhere between 0.85% and 1.1% with the median expected value being 0.9%. Futures can be used to gauge what the market thinks is going to happen in terms of expected bond prices. Here is an overview of what futures are expecting. You might notice that the futures market is expecting rates to be around 1.3% in one years' time, and 1.8% in two years' time. I took these expectation graphs and added lines that show where the Fed claims the value should end up. That chart is better at illustrating the point but is behind on futures expectations. Here is a page that shows the expectations of futures and updates live. This page is showing that somewhere around 1.6% interest rates are expected by the end of December of 2022 while the Fed maintains a 0.9% goal. This is slightly outdated but visually shows a great point People are often scared of going against the market. How can all of that money managed by people with nearly unlimited resources be so wrong? There are a variety of reasons, but I'm not sure they even matter. The point is that they are very often wrong. The market almost always over or under reacts compared to the Fed's official policy. In this case there is an overreaction to the amount that interest rates will need to be raised. I think most of this is driven by misinformed ideas on inflation. This is also outdated but also visually shows a great point I think the single most likely outcome of this is that the Fed sticks to its plan. There's a significant number of people who think inflation is a massive problem and that the only way to deal with it is to crank up interest rates severely. Thankfully the Fed is run by people smarter than that. They are going to try to walk the line of increasing rates while keeping the economy from having a recession or the market from having a severe crash. Everything in this strategy outline requires that you believe: · The most likely outcome is that the Fed sticks with their interest rate hiking plan · Inflation is not going to cause surprise additional hikes beyond 4 for 2022 · The market is often wrong when it comes to determining rate changes · The market is factoring in too many rate hikes now ConclusionI'm not here to convince you to believe these things. These are the things I believe, and I am confident I can defend my beliefs, but that's not the point. The point is that if all of these are true, bonds are severely undervalued. Bond prices go up when interest rates go down, and so when interest rates are expected to be high bond prices are expected to be low. However, if interest rates end up being lower than expected then it follows that bond prices will end up being higher than expected. This will require them to increase in price until the new expectations are met. I am not an expert in bond math and if anyone out there is, I would love your help in putting a number to this theory. How much could you expect a bond index like TLT to increase if there end up being 3 hikes instead of the expected 6? PositionI will be buying OTM TLT call debit spreads for the foreseeable future. My main portfolio is described here. [link] [comments] | ||
| Wish turnaround strategy and Earnings. Would love to hear some feedback. Posted: 06 Mar 2022 07:49 PM PST
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| Anti Tax Death Metal Song + Lyrics Posted: 06 Mar 2022 06:42 AM PST
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| What metrics do you use to rebalance portfolio? Posted: 06 Mar 2022 08:54 AM PST I have been comparing stocks performance to understand if I must rebalance or not a portfolio. For each company, I decided then to have a look at EBITDA margin %, EPS growth rate % CAGR 3-years, return on capital invested %, and compare these values with market players in same sector, just to figure if the stock has been profitable. When comparing Nomad Foods, it seems the company has failed with EPS growth, ROIC and EBITDA margin when compared to other companies. I checked the buy/sell signal, and how come could tradingview statistics (1 month) tell us to sell and other sites (yahoo finance, msn money, etc) tell us to buy? I also have been checking intrinsic value, Fair value 10-year DCF Gordon growth exit. And the Nomad stock priced USD 22 has a fair value of USD 17. Should we use a DCF growth exit metric to decide selling a stock when its current price gets greater than fair value? And you, what metrics do you use to rebalance your stock portfolio, mainly to know when to sell a stock? [link] [comments] | ||
| Problem is Wall Street....and maybe you too. Posted: 06 Mar 2022 09:12 AM PST Corporate America and Wall Street (i.e., Goldman Sachs, etc.) are trying to profit from war. Buying debt, they are giving a lifeline to Putin. I know many of you here are invested in the markets, options, currencies, whatever. Maybe it's opportunism...maybe it's trading addictions...I don't know. But unless you come together as one people and boycott the one thing that feeds the "corporate-complex" machine, understand that you too are helping Putin. I'd like to see a safe and promising future, but I think we all need to do the brave thing and not be so ambitious about making money in the markets. I'm worried that our greed is working against us here, and this war Russia is waging lives on because we help Wall Street make money off our dumb bets. [link] [comments] |
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