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    Thursday, November 25, 2021

    Stocks - r/Stocks Daily Discussion & Options Trading Thursday - Nov 25, 2021

    Stocks - r/Stocks Daily Discussion & Options Trading Thursday - Nov 25, 2021


    r/Stocks Daily Discussion & Options Trading Thursday - Nov 25, 2021

    Posted: 25 Nov 2021 02:30 AM PST

    This is the daily discussion, so anything stocks related is fine, but the theme for today is on stock options, but if options aren't your thing then just ignore the theme and/or post your arguments against options here and not in the current post.

    Some helpful day to day links, including news:


    Required info to start understanding options:

    • Call option Investopedia video basically a call option allows you to buy 100 shares of a stock at a certain price (strike price), but without the obligation to buy
    • Put option Investopedia video a put option allows you to sell 100 shares of a stock at a certain price (strike price), but without the obligation to sell

    See the following word cloud and click through for the wiki:

    Call option - Put option - Exercising an option - Strike price - ITM - OTM - ATM - Long options - Short options - Combo - Debit - Credit or Premium - Covered call - Naked - Debit call spread - Credit call spread - Strangle - Iron condor - Vertical debit spreads - Iron Fly

    If you have a basic question, for example "what is delta," then google "investopedia delta" and click the investopedia article on it; do this for everything until you have a more in depth question or just want to share what you learned.

    See our past daily discussions here. Also links for: Technicals Tuesday, Options Trading Thursday, and Fundamentals Friday.

    submitted by /u/AutoModerator
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    Price targets are bullshit. like $ETSY.

    Posted: 25 Nov 2021 12:15 PM PST

    Check out this bullshit.

    On November 4, Needham adjusted price target on etsy to $265 from $250, keeps buy rating.

    On November 22, Needham raises price target on etsy to $325 from $265, keeps buy rating.

    what the fuck has fundamentally changed in 18 days???

    keep your original price target, and stick to it. Stop raising the damn price target just because the stock price is being pumped up.

    This is like a gamma squeeze. assholes are just pumping stocks for no reason, and people are gonna get burned when the whales pull the rug.

    Billionaires are cashing out at these all time highs.

    I have no positions in etsy

    submitted by /u/pman6
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    Anti ARK ETF about to explode?

    Posted: 25 Nov 2021 04:30 AM PST

    What is Anti ARK ETF? Ticker: $SARK

    The fund is an actively managed exchange traded fund that attempts to achieve the inverse (-1x) of the return of the ETF for a single day, not for any other period, by entering into a swap agreement on the ETF. The ARK Innovation ETF is an actively managed ETF that seeks long-term growth of capital by investing primarily in domestic and foreign equity securities of companies that are relevant to the fund's investment theme of disruptive innovation. It is non-diversified.

    It's been a tough year to be a Cathie Wood ARKK investor. It has been slowly but steadily losing ground throughout much of 2021, with ARK Innovation falling about 15% year to date.

    Recently Cathie Wood says her firm is testing a more aggressive strategy that would be 'ARK on steroids'.

    Would you see this this as an opportunity for Anti ARK?

    submitted by /u/Delicious_Reporter21
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    Next promising tech stock?!

    Posted: 25 Nov 2021 09:34 AM PST

    Hey guys,

    unfortunately I missed the promising tech stocks like $net $ttd $okta $crwd in their early days and now the valuations seem a bit high for me regarding the risk/return profile.

    So I would like to ask if you are watching any promising tech stock right now? Maybe one that is still a bit under the radar like the ones I mentioned where few years ago?

    What tech/IT related sources you use to get information about these kind of stocks first?

    Thank you in advance.

    submitted by /u/CarterFour
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    What is your most speculative stock?

    Posted: 25 Nov 2021 12:44 PM PST

    Give me them pre-revenue SPACs, the unprofitable pennies, and the sleeping giants at their 52 week lows. I'm looking for those 100x opportunities with the 0x possibility. Shill me your heaviest bag that you are still adding too and believe in. Make me feel fomo for not investing in your moonshot tech stock. I'll go first.

    $BLGO

    BioLargo OTC $.20

    These guys are basically pre-revenue, but they have spent the last few years making a water filtration system for PFAS's. If the stars align just right with the EPA declaring PFAS a hazardous material and their tech works as advertised they are looking to lead a $180B industry. They also have a consumer product releasing soon called Pooph. It's an anti smell cleaning product which could bring in a good amount of steady revenue in 2022. Management seems to have their head on straight and be focused on the right things. All in all definitely worth the ~2% of my portfolio.

    submitted by /u/TrainquilOasis1423
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    Looking back at R/Stock users predictions

    Posted: 25 Nov 2021 09:06 AM PST

    Last year I made a post telling Reddit/stock users to predict the best performing stock of 2021, and the answers were very interesting to say the least. There was a lot of Tesla, Alibaba, Palantir, Cloudflare, Sea Limited, etc.

    It's always interesting to look back and see how hard it is to predict things in the stock market. Alot of mentioned stocks are still down for the year. Oh and btw the reward will be given out early next year.

    Predict the best performing stock of 2021 and receive a reward. : stocks (reddit.com)

    submitted by /u/gorays21
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    Difference between DCA and “catching a falling knife?”

    Posted: 25 Nov 2021 04:37 AM PST

    Curious to get everyone's take on this as it popped into my mind last night and I realized I'm not totally sure of the distinction between the two.

    It's common advice or strategy to DCA a stock you believe in when its value drops.

    It's also common advice to not try to catch a falling knife by buying into a stock on the way down.

    What's the distinction between the two or how do you differentiate?

    ETA: thanks for all of the interesting responses and discussion. Seems like a lot of people on two or three sides of this "issue."

    submitted by /u/NorthEastNobility
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    Research report on DraftKings ($DKNG)

    Posted: 25 Nov 2021 02:43 PM PST

    Hey all, I'd appreciate it if someone could take a look at my equity research report and provide some feedback or discussion. Thanks! -a college freshman interested in Equity research

    https://www.theancienteconomist.com/post/draftkings-dkng-equity-research-report

    DraftKings is regarded as one of the current leaders of the sports gambling indus- try. The company, since its founding in 2012, has obtained lucrative partnering agree- ments with the biggest players in sports and entertainment, establishing contracts with MLB, NFL, NASCAR, UFC, ESPN, 21st Century Fox Sports, and Bleacher Report. DraftK- ings offers live daily fantasy contests for over 13 sports. The online sports gambling in- dustry has huge growth potential, which has yielded a large number of competitors to spring up, such as Penn National Gaming (NASDAQ: $PENN), fuboTV (NYSE: $FUBO), and Flutter Entertainment (OTCMKTS: $PDYPY). Despite the lure of the sports gambling industry, the bearish case for DraftKings lies in waiting for a further correction before in- vesting due to competitive pressure, limited growth, and their profitability track record. The quality of services is critical in determining the long-term growth and customer retainment for a firm, especially within the gaming sector. DraftKings' narrow yet compact focus on live online sports betting limits their presence in the overall gam- bling industry, as opposed to other firms such as Penn National Gaming, which employs a generalist approach to available services. Penn, in addition to sports and casino style bet- ting, is a large operator of casino and resort locations. This versatility in gambling ser- vices could provide greater growth in a post-COVID world less reliant on virtual gaming, which DraftKings does not offer.

    submitted by /u/AdministrativeEnd959
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    What is your view on UIPath right now?

    Posted: 25 Nov 2021 12:23 PM PST

    The stock has dropped 34% since it IPO'd this year and the market cap has dropped $10 billion. I have been considering picking up some shares recently and after seeing their recent earnings I understand that they are not profitable because they have been dramatically increasing their R&D plus Marketing Spend even though Revenues are increasing a good amount.

    submitted by /u/alonabc
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    Should I continue averaging down Alibaba (Ticker: BABA) if it's already a substantial holding and my largest position?

    Posted: 25 Nov 2021 01:13 AM PST

    I'm still bullish on Alibaba long term relative to it's current valuation inspite of the challenges it currently faces.

    Unfortunately I didn't DCA and instead did a big lump sum investment at $230~ (statistically lump sum is better, except for when I invest xD). I manage to average down to $200 but it's still far away from the current price of $136~, I want to continue to average down since I think it's still very attractive valuation for the risk vs reward but it's already my biggest holding and makes up 21-24% of my portfolio alone, adding in JD, my China risk is already at 30-33% of my entire portfolio.

    On one hand I want to continue to average down because I think it's a bargain and it's a big difference from my cost basis but on the other hand, it's already a very substantial position in my portfolio.

    What do you guys reckon I do?

    submitted by /u/DatFkIsthatlogic
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    Which of the following shows how much income in interest a company is receiving?

    Posted: 25 Nov 2021 01:34 PM PST

    So here is a screen shot of quarterly income statement

    https://i.imgur.com/ejHZs3w.png

    Which of the above fields shows how much interest the company made? Like how much profit from interest the company made?

    There's minority interest, earning before interest, and interest expense, I googled them but I aint sure.

    submitted by /u/mateyman
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    Investing vs Trading: What is the easiest way to build wealth?

    Posted: 25 Nov 2021 11:27 AM PST

    I've been investing since February of this year with $26,000 deposited in the stock market and I'm currently up to $33,014 so I made a 25% profit so far. My portfolio currently consists of nine stocks. I've been looking into options trading recently which involves high risk but can give high returns if I know what I'm doing. However, investing in established companies is obviously safer but takes longer to build wealth unless I have at least $200,000 in the market, and I can't afford to deposit anywhere near that amount right now. Between investing in a diverse set of stocks, investing in two or three startup company stocks that may blow up one day, or doing options trading, which of these strategies do you think would be the easiest for building significant wealth within ten years?

    submitted by /u/jermonreddit
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    International stock ETFs on days that market is closed

    Posted: 25 Nov 2021 08:47 AM PST

    I'm having a hard time finding the right answer on Google, so hoping someone can enlighten me.

    For international ETFs like VXUS, which hold international stocks, what happens when the stock market is closed for US holidays like today, Thanksgiving?

    For example, I see news that European stocks are edging up today despite inflation, but VXUS is closed (traded on NASDAQ exchange). Will gains or losses on international ETFs be applied the next trading day when NASDAQ is open for trading, or...?

    submitted by /u/BillNye69
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    How to figure out the reason for such high expenses in a company?

    Posted: 25 Nov 2021 05:05 PM PST

    Hi All,

    Been gelling with some of the sections on "simplywallstreet" and have run into this pattern where a company makes gross profit but then has such high expenses that they are not profitable. What is an effective method to figure out what they are spending their money on? A cybersecurity company like SentinelOne seems like it could be promising but then i see how much money they spend on "expenses" and I want to figure out if what they are spending their money on is worth it from my point of view. Only idea I've had is to email investor relations but I figure their must be an easier method that I can add to my process so it's more of a flow when studying. I've looked through official earnings reports and can never seem to find anything other than "operating expenses". The numbers often don't add up to what I find on simplywallstreet so I assume there is more info that their website is factoring in. I linked an image for an example of what I am referring to. Any help is greatly appreciated. Thank you!

    link to image: https://ibb.co/PCyKvQc

    submitted by /u/insten43
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    Santa Rally stocks suggestion

    Posted: 25 Nov 2021 08:20 AM PST

    What are your top picks assuming there will be a rally going in to end of year. I believe stocks that have momentum will continue to go higher next couple months like NVDA MU AMD & Some EV Companies. We can also see crypto mining companies do well. What will be your pick?

    submitted by /u/Dull-Climate-9638
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    Why is there a discrepancy in market cap numbers and P/E ratios for stocks across different sites?

    Posted: 25 Nov 2021 07:06 AM PST

    Some say LULU market cap is 59B others say it is 61B. Some are off by 5-10%. To give one of the bigger differences. It is probably DKNG. It market cap on some sources is 14B. On others such as google finance they have them at 28B. That is twice as much. That has led to some bear cases based off the higher number market cap but that is another story.

    Why is there a difference in the numbers? I could give some leeway for stuff like LULU but wtf companies like DKNG where some sources keep reporting a market cap that is twice as much as it actually is.

    submitted by /u/WickedSensitiveCrew
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    Investing for parents

    Posted: 25 Nov 2021 04:16 AM PST

    Hi Guys,

    Over the last few years I've been investing relatively successfully and getting some good returns.

    During the same time period my dad has inherited some money and has not done a lot with it. He's maxed out his premium bonds (we're UK based) and the rest of the money is in various bank accounts but it's not returning anything due to low interest rates etc. I've mentioned to him on several occasions that he needs to speak to a FA but he's been resistant. Mainly because he's quite risk adverse and doesn't trust people he doesn't know with his money.

    My wife mentioned to him the other day that some of my recent investments have done quite well. When he found out he got quite excited at the idea of investing some money with me telling him what to invest in. I guess he trusts me more than an external financial advisor.

    My investment style is very much buy in to things I'm confident about and don't check the value very often. The reason being that if it's gone down I'll worry and be tempted to sell and if it's gone up then I'll also be tempted to sell. This works pretty well for me and ultimately if I lose money, it's my money. I never take money from anything that could affect anything shared between my wife and I.

    The problem now is that I feel really pressured by investing someone else's money. It's something I never wanted to do.

    Has anyone else done something like this? How do you deal with it?

    My strategy is going to be to invest in "safer" investments. Things like V, MSFT, SPY, QQQ. Any suggestions for me to investigate and potentially invest in are always welcome as well.

    submitted by /u/robstrosity
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    Top plays for the next 10 years

    Posted: 24 Nov 2021 04:52 PM PST

    So I asked this question a few months ago and I got some very interesting responses, a lot of AMD, Cloudfare, and things of that nature. All in all people's picks performed very well much to my surprise and I would like to see what everyone likes for the next 10 years, particularly, stocks that have the most upside potential due to an industry being revolutionized or a company you believe is severely undervalued.

    submitted by /u/Miladyboi
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    Brookfield group: which stock do you prefer?

    Posted: 25 Nov 2021 06:50 AM PST

    Hi Gang...so far i have Bam...but there is growing interest in the newly formed (if i'm right) Brookfield business partners (bbu)...then there is bip/infrastructure and bep (environmental) ...but it seems some (or all?) of the the infrastructure assets falls under bam anyway... so for me it gets a bit confusing with the Brookfield group.

    ...so of the Brookfield group which do you invest in and why?

    from the Globe and Mail in today's '' Thursday's analyst upgrades and downgrades."

    https://www.theglobeandmail.com/investing/markets/inside-the-market/article-thursdays-analyst-upgrades-and-downgrades-189/

    " After recent price depreciation, iA Capital Markets analyst Matthew Weekes sees upside in Brookfield Business Partners L.P.

    BBU-UN-T +2.04%increase, BBU-N), calling it "a public way to own a private equity strategy."

    "We believe that BBU is positioned to deliver robust NAV [net asset value] growth as it seeks to monetize assets that are at or near maturity, continues to enhance EBITDA in existing operations, and redeploys capital to further expand and diversify its operations and provide new growth platforms," he said upon assuming coverage in a research note released Thursday. "Given BBU's proven track record of realizing strong capital appreciation on investments, we believe that targets set out by the Partnership to continue growing NAV at a 15-per-cent CAGR [compound annual growth rate] over the next five years are highly achievable."

    Mr. Weekes expects "robust" growth to continue, seeing Brookfield possessing a "competitive advantage in sourcing and executing attractive deals through its partnership with Brookfield Asset Management Inc."

    "In addition to corporate liquidity for bridging future transactions, BBU's existing portfolio companies generate strong distributable cash flow, and BBU has also noted potential up-financing opportunities," he said. "While we expect BBU to continue to exercise patience, several of its businesses are likely at or near maturity, and with the series of acquisitions announced year-to-date, BBU appears to have reached a turnover point for its portfolio, which would indicate that a ramp up in monetizations is likely on the horizon."

    "BBU is targeting a per unit value of $110 in five years, which equates to a CAGR of 15 per cent. Given BBU's track record of delivering average IRRs of 30 per cent on monetizations, we believe this is highly achievable."

    He set a target of US$57, up US$1 from the firm's previous target. The average is US$53.50.

    "BBU estimated its NAV at $54-58 per unit at its most recent Investor Day in September, with potential embedded value of $75+ per unit," said Mr. Weekes. "This implies a current discount of 15 per cent for BBU's units. We believe that the units tend to trade at a discount to BBU's NAV estimate in part because BBU does not include corporate costs and management/performance fees in its NAV. However, we continue to see upside in the units based both on valuation upside for certain key assets and continued growth through the execution of the Partnership's strategy."

    submitted by /u/chopstix62
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    Any suggestions for solid DD sources?

    Posted: 25 Nov 2021 05:09 PM PST

    Are there any reliable, and current, resources for tracking insider trading, financials, balance sheets, etc? Most I've seen are pay to play. Not opposed to paying, just want to get a solid go to. Thanks in advance.

    submitted by /u/N_o_B_o
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    Why can't I buy "Bant" on Merrill Edge or webull?

    Posted: 25 Nov 2021 04:25 PM PST

    I have been wanting to buy alot of bant for some time and I can't purchase ANY mount on either Merill or Webull. why? support was useless. has Anyone run into this issue? I would like to get it in asap. I'm not sure where to go. and info or recommendations are so very appreciated. thank you ahead of time.

    submitted by /u/HumansAreVariables
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