• Breaking News

    Tuesday, September 7, 2021

    Stocks - r/Stocks Daily Discussion & Technicals Tuesday - Sep 07, 2021

    Stocks - r/Stocks Daily Discussion & Technicals Tuesday - Sep 07, 2021


    r/Stocks Daily Discussion & Technicals Tuesday - Sep 07, 2021

    Posted: 07 Sep 2021 02:30 AM PDT

    This is the daily discussion, so anything stocks related is fine, but the theme for today is on technical analysis (TA), but if TA is not your thing then just ignore the theme and/or post your arguments against TA here and not in the current post.

    Some helpful day to day links, including news:


    Technical analysis (TA) uses historical price movements, real time data, indicators based on math and/or statistics, and charts; all of which help measure the trajectory of a security. TA can also be used to interpret the actions of other market participants and predict their actions.

    The main benefit to TA is that everything shows up in the price (commonly known as "priced in"): All news, investor sentiment, and changes to fundamentals are reflected in a security's price.

    TA can be useful on any timeframe, both short and long term.

    Intro to technical analysis by Stockcharts chartschool and their article on candlesticks

    If you have questions, please see the following word cloud and click through for the wiki:

    Indicator - Trade Signals - Lagging Indicator - Leading Indicator - Oversold - Overbought - Divergence - Whipsaw - Resistance - Support - Breakout/Breakdown - Alerts - Trend line - Market Participants - Moving average - RSI - VWAP - MACD - ATR - Bollinger Bands - Ichimoku clouds - Methods - Trend Following - Fading - Channels - Patterns - Pivots

    See our past daily discussions here. Also links for: Technicals Tuesday, Options Trading Thursday, and Fundamentals Friday.

    submitted by /u/AutoModerator
    [link] [comments]

    Elon Musk says Tesla (TSLA) is worth $3,000 a share ‘if they execute really well’

    Posted: 07 Sep 2021 06:50 AM PDT

    Elon Musk told employees that he agrees with Ark Invest that Tesla (TSLA) is worth $3,000 a share "if they execute really well." The CEO has often commented on Tesla's stock price, but surprisingly, it was often to say that the price was too high.

    In 2020, when Tesla's stock was reaching new high, Musk told his millions of followers on Twitters that he believed the stock was "too high". It sent Tesla's stock crashing, but now it is even higher than when Musk made the comment.

    Tesla is currently trading at $733 a share and the automaker is the most valuable automotive company in the world at over $730 billion.

    Wall Street firms are divided on whether or not the company is overvalued, but a few of them believe that Tesla could be worth a lot more. Ark Invest is one of them. Though to be fair, the company is also a large Tesla shareholders through its investment funds.

    This week, they released a new note claiming a $3,000 base stock price target by 2025 for Tesla. Cathie Wood said about the price target during an interview with Yahoo Finance: "Our estimate for Tesla's success has gone up. The main reason for that is their market share. Instead of going down from year-end 2017 to today, it has actually gone up fairly dramatically," In its valuation models, Ark Invest believes that Tesla is going to deliver between 5 and 10 million vehicles as soon as 2025. That's a significant ramp considering Tesla likely will deliver less than 1 million vehicles this year. The firm is also betting on Tesla delivering a completely autonomous ride-hailing network, known as Tesla Network, that is going to bring in a lot of money with high margin.

    In an email to Tesla employee obtained by Electrek, Elon Musk shared with employees Ark's new $3,000 price target and that he agrees with Ark: "If we execute really well, I agree with Ark Invest." A $3,000 share price would put Tesla's valuation at $3 trillion and make it the most valuable company in the world.

    Electrek's Take

    Since Ark's new note was an update on their valuation model and price target, it is fair to say that Musk's email is basically a direct comment on Tesla's stock price. He believes that "if executed really well", Tesla should be worth $3 trillion within the next 4 years.

    https://electrek.co/2021/09/04/elon-musk-tesla-tsla-worth-3000-share/

    submitted by /u/rugerapatt
    [link] [comments]

    Disney is to Netflix as X is to Tesla?

    Posted: 07 Sep 2021 04:34 AM PDT

    Netflix enjoyed first mover advantage in the streaming wars. But here comes Disney with its century-long catalog of content competing with Netflix.

    Tesla is the first mover in electric cars. Which car company is the Disney to Netflix? Probably a company that has a really good brand, history of execution, and large manufacturing capabilities?

    I'm thinking Toyota, Honda, or Audi here. Thoughts?

    submitted by /u/senttoschool
    [link] [comments]

    The new mining policy in Ecuador and how will it affect companies

    Posted: 07 Sep 2021 07:33 AM PDT

    Just last month, Guillermo Lasso, the president of Ecuador, issued Decree 151 which focuses on a new mining policy, strengthening the government's support towards mining as a key driver of the economy.

    According to this article, "The decree lays out a clear action plan and timeframe that has a primary objective of developing an efficient, environmentally and socially responsible mining industry in Ecuador, to promote national and foreign investment and to implement the best practices for the exploitation of these resources."

    To be honest, I am not surprised by this knowing how supportive the president is when it comes to bringing in more investors to the country. He has his background since he was a former banker and knows how important it is to bring in investors to improve the economy.

    Because of this new decree, the activities of mining companies will improve even more. Just recently, Solaris Resources' (SLSSF) Warintza project produced some results, with the initial hole at East was drilled to a total depth of 1,213m with assays reported for the first 320m of core returning 0.46% of CuEq from the surface, including 54 meters of 0.70% CuEq. This is only the beginning though since the company plans to focus on resource expansion. Their stocks have been performing really well lately, despite that recent dip a few weeks back.

    SolGold (SOLG.L), another mining company whose mines are located in Ecuador, also released its regional exploration update. Their Hole 1 at Varela is testing underneath outcropping porphyry-style vein stockworks which returned encouraging surface rock-saw channel sample results of 99m @ 0.34% CuEq including 25.1m @ 0.58% CuEq.

    But along with the decree is the promise of responsible mining and the inclusivity of the local community. Hopefully, these mining companies will stay true to their own projects of involving the local communities in these mines and making sure that there will be no over-exploitation of mineral resources. After all, the mining industry will definitely affect Ecuador's economy in a positive way, the same way it helped its neighboring countries in South America.

    submitted by /u/Cool-Statement-6959
    [link] [comments]

    Why doesnt the media ever bring attention to Micheal Burry's call options or bullish views? His puts are the headlines for articles.

    Posted: 07 Sep 2021 10:15 AM PDT

    https://whalewisdom.com/filer/scion-asset-management-llc#tabholdings_tab_link

    I finally looked at his portfolio and noticed FB, GOOG, WMT, KHC, and MCK call options as well as shares of CVS among other stocks.

    Why was the headlines news just his puts on Cathie Wood ETF and Tesla? And he became like the voice of a market wide crash for the media when he is bullish on several stocks.

    submitted by /u/joethemaker22
    [link] [comments]

    "Taper your pessimism- Fed's actions won't derail U.S. stocks, Barclays strategist says"

    Posted: 07 Sep 2021 05:47 AM PDT

    Anyone have any thoughts on this? Obviously the go-to to refer to is Jim Cramer's statement in 2008 that Bear Sterns "was great, and you'd be silly to pull your money out."

    We've all discussed the possibility of a massive crash in global or just U.S. markets for almost a year now. What are your plans to hedge against an event such as that?

    submitted by /u/bvttfvcker
    [link] [comments]

    Is Rocket Lab (RKLB) still a good buy?

    Posted: 07 Sep 2021 02:41 AM PDT

    Rocket Lab has risen steeply in price lately, and although it's a fantastic company, with great potential, is it still a value play at the current price ($13.50)?

    It's risen over 30% in just 5 days!

    Is it likely to come back down to a more modest price, it would be great to buy more at $10 which seemed a much more reasonable valuation for this company... or is there just too much attention on it now, especially with 'WallStreetBets' now pumping it?

    submitted by /u/BlueHorizon87
    [link] [comments]

    Walmart Inc: A Michael Burry Investment (And the Ultimate Inflation Hedge)

    Posted: 07 Sep 2021 12:37 PM PDT

    Walmart (WMT), also known as the biggest retailer in the United States and the biggest company by revenue. Walmart has rural grocery and retail by the *explicative* and has begun to expand into online delivery using its 5500 stores in the United States and another 6100 stores abroad as leverage. Walmart's pickup is already a huge part of its ecommerce business, and it will only keep exploding with delivery as it introduces its Walmart+ subscription service which includes "free" delivery.

    In the past year alone, Walmart has proven that it has much more power to deliver groceries to consumers than even amazon does (especially in rural parts of the country). Online Sales have skyrocketed almost 100% over the past year (97%) and has crushed records in revenue in the process. They are back to repurchasing shares at close to 5 year highs as revenue has increased. CEO McMillon has even said they have gained more market share in their groceries segment.

    Sales skyrocketed during the pandemic as Walmart quickly switched to a more touch free environment while reducing capital expenditures. Return on Assets and Return on Investment have stayed relatively steady at roughly 6% and Free Cash Flow rapidly increasing since 2018 while carrying around roughly 10 billion more cash (36 billion total) than last year and roughly 50 billion in long term debt which is only about 2-5 billion in annual payments over the next 5 years (extremely easy to maintain).

    In the last couple of quarters Walmart has actually gone down in Free Cash Flow. This is why the stock seems to have hit a brick wall when it comes to its movement up and has yet to hit the highs it hit in 2020 while everything else in the market has seemed to move up. The reason for this you ask? Walmart has started increasing inventories (hence reducing its free cash flow) since January or February of this year.

    Now why would Walmart seem to be doing this? Not only is Walmart a consumer staple but Walmart is basically saying it is capitalizing on yesterday's prices to increase tomorrows profit. Or Walmart is basically betting on inflation (and they would know as the number one retailer in the United States). Also as supply constraints increase (as so many companies are beginning to face their own denial as to how much shortages are affecting their business) Walmart is actually taking strides to increase profits as prices rise. It is trying to avoid the shortages that it faced in 2020 by learning from 2020 and prepping for the 2nd half of 2021. This makes Walmart one of the ultimate hedges against inflation.

    Well, we don't want to pay too much for an inflation hedge do we? Well, we are in luck, Walmart seems to have an intrinsic value of about $175/share. If Walmart is able to use its inventories and leverage its prices lower than competitors it might have one of the strongest economic moats going into the 2nd half of this year. With the large liquidity in Walmart, call options probably wouldn't be the worst idea as well. It also seems like it might be building enough momentum to break that $151 resistance. I'm excited for Wal-Marts future. Let me know your thoughts?

    Side Comment: I believe Burry is up on this investment.

    submitted by /u/captnamurica2
    [link] [comments]

    (Reuters) China to push on with opening capital markets to foreign investors

    Posted: 07 Sep 2021 05:59 AM PDT

    This might be good news after the rout in China tech since Feb 2021. There was a lot of uncertainty whether China is shutting itself off from foreign capital and how it could lead to delisting of ADRs like BABA, BIDU, JD, PDD, NIO, etc. But I guess they won't be turning their heads away from foreign investors anytime soon.

    BEIJING, Sept 6 (Reuters) - China will further open its capital markets to foreign investors, the country's top securities regulator said on Monday, adding that it will pursue pragmatic cross-border cooperation to regulate overseas-listed Chinese companies.

    Global investors have been spooked in recent months by a flurry of Chinese regulations targeting sectors ranging from technology to private tutoring. U.S. plans to kick non-compliant Chinese firms off American exchanges has fuelled concern.

    "Opening-up and cooperation is the inevitable trend in the integrated development of global capital markets," China Securities Regulatory Commission (CSRC) Chairman Yi Huiman told a conference organised by the World Federation of Exchanges.

    China is studying further measures, including expanding the scope of the stock connect scheme linking China and Hong Kong and improving the Shanghai-London Stock Connect program, Yi said in a speech posted on CSRC's website.

    Meanwhile, CSRC will conduct "pragmatic" cooperation in areas such as supervision of overseas-listed Chinese companies, cross-border auditing and law enforcement, he added.

    Yi said that given interwoven global markets, governments should abandon the mentality of a "zero-sum game", as companies and investors share both the boom and the doom.

    Global financial centres should facilitate cross-border financing, "rather than become the platforms and tools governments use to sanction other countries", Yi said, without mentioning the United States.

    Yi's speech came a day after CSRC vice chairman Fang Xinghai made similar pledges to further deregulate China's markets.

    China will expand the channels for foreign capital to invest in Chinese securities and futures markets, and will further facilitate the issuance of yuan-denominated "Panda bonds" by foreign institutions, Fang told a separate conference on Sunday.

    China will also improve domestic listing rules for overseas entities, as well as regulations on overseas listings of Chinese companies, Fang said in a speech also posted on CSRC's website.

    Fang also vowed to safeguard Hong Kong's status as a global financial centre, saying that Beijing supports domestic companies listing in Hong Kong.

    https://www.reuters.com/world/china/china-will-improve-opening-up-capital-market-securities-regulator-2021-09-06/

    submitted by /u/WFCtothemoon
    [link] [comments]

    Netflix talk

    Posted: 07 Sep 2021 01:48 PM PDT

    Ok, so Netflix (NFLX) is now up 20% since August.

    This after the following headlines on /r/Stocks, to pick from many:

    I'm always reading posts about why Netflix will fail. I want to read posts on those who think Netflix, the best stock to own over the last decade, might not only succeed, but flourish. Also would love to read why it's been up so much as of recent.

    submitted by /u/onemanstrong
    [link] [comments]

    Why CFOs selling shares left and right?

    Posted: 07 Sep 2021 10:23 AM PDT

    Discrepancies between trading view and yahoo finance

    Posted: 07 Sep 2021 02:35 AM PDT

    So yahoo finance right now is saying that SPY fell 0.05% premarket, but trading view is saying that it's up 0.03% premarket. What might be causing this?. (I refreshed both of them 5 times).

    Is anybody experiencing this or has noted this before? Will the difference ever be significant?. Thanks!.

    submitted by /u/sheraawwrr
    [link] [comments]

    $NVDA - what happens when mining slows?

    Posted: 06 Sep 2021 09:05 PM PDT

    Have been doing some research regarding $NVDA. Came across a stat that said about 1/2 of their revenue comes from GPU sales. Does anyone have any thoughts / concerns in this regard that Etherium is moving away from proof of work to proof of stake? Wondering if this shift in Eth would have a material impact on nvidias sales? Miners would buy multiple GPU's for mining purposes, whereas a gamer needs only one. Those are just my thoughts.

    submitted by /u/Investingwifey
    [link] [comments]

    Dot-com Bubble

    Posted: 06 Sep 2021 08:56 PM PDT

    https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Dot-com_bubble

    As a result of these factors, many investors were eager to invest, at any valuation, in any dot-com company, especially if it had one of the Internet-related prefixes or a ".com" suffix in its name. Venture capital was easy to raise. Investment banks, which profited significantly from initial public offerings (IPO), fueled speculation and encouraged investment in technology.[12] A combination of rapidly increasing stock prices in the quaternary sector of the economy and confidence that the companies would turn future profits created an environment in which many investors were willing to overlook traditional metrics, such as the price–earnings ratio, and base confidence on technological advancements, leading to a stock market bubble.[10]

    https://techcrunch.com/2021/07/09/startups-have-never-had-it-so-good/

    The second quarter of 2021 was the biggest quarter for venture capital activity ever, measured by dollars invested. The wave of funding led to a quarterly record of new unicorns — startups that reach the $1 billion valuation threshold — born in the United States, Asia, Europe and Canada, according to CB Insights data reviewed by The Exchange.

    Obviously "this time it's different" but how different is it..?

    submitted by /u/GennaroIsGod
    [link] [comments]

    Outperformers in a correction

    Posted: 07 Sep 2021 02:24 AM PDT

    I've been trying for a while to find some information on this, but I couldn't find a proper statistic. Had a look at some individual stocks, but the results are mixed so I can't draw a final conclusion.

    The question is - an outperformer (market is at +5%, stock is at +10/15/25%) going to drop harder than the market or not? Let's assume the stock is at +25% compared to SPY in the last year. If big boss Powell decides tomorrow that he wants to stop the printing money machine and the market drops, which scenario is most plausible?

    Scenario A - market drops 10% in the next 3 months, stocks goes from +25% to -25%, so it has a bigger drop than the market. The logic behind this scenario is the fact that the stock behind so far ahead of the market, it might be overextended/overpriced more than the rest.

    Scenario B - market drops 10%, stock goes from +25% to -10%, so it reaches the same level as the market. Smaller drop than Scenario A, pretty much the same logic, just that is more of a correction and a mean reversion.

    Scenario C - market drops 10%, stocks goes from +25% to +10%, so it remains an outperformer. Logic in this is that the stock reached +25% because it's an extremely good company and it has a fair evaluation (so it was undervalued before this run) so even if the market drops, it will remain above the market level.

    Feel free to add more scenarios if you have a different opinion, this was my thought process so far. Should be an interesting discussion from now on based on different POVs :)

    submitted by /u/baloleanuandrei
    [link] [comments]

    Data source for Stock Price - other than 'Investing'

    Posted: 07 Sep 2021 06:46 AM PDT

    I'm looking for alternatives (other than Investing, which I hear can be unreliable or inaccurate) - I also am hearing Yahoo Finance not to be the best for getting accurate stock data.

    I did scout around - Bloomberg seems to be a bit pricy though. I haven't gotten lucky so far ...

    I'm planning to do some large scale analysis and worried that if I chose the wrong server, I have to do them all over again ...

    Any other web sources do you guys refer to? What other pros/ cons have you heard about these financial sites so far? I'm planning to experiment on other financial servers.

    submitted by /u/runnersgo
    [link] [comments]

    r/Stocks Daily Thread on Meme Stocks Tuesday - Sep 07, 2021

    Posted: 07 Sep 2021 04:00 AM PDT

    The meme stock scheduled posts will run Mon to Fri and won't be a sticky; you're probably seeing this because automod sent you here or you woke up early Wall St time; good morning!


    Welcome traders who just can't help them selves discuss the same exact stock that's been discussed 100s of times a day. I get it, you want to talk about what's popular, what's hot, and that 1.. single.. stock you like.. well here you go! Some helpful links just for you:

    An important message from our mod u/TCGYT regarding meme stocks.

    Lastly if you need professional help:

    • Problem Gambling: Call/Text: 1-800-522-4700 or chat online now.
    • Crisis Hotline (24/7): 1-800-273-TALK (8255) (Veterans, press 1) or Text "HOME" to 741-741
    submitted by /u/AutoModerator
    [link] [comments]

    Question on selling options on Schwab

    Posted: 07 Sep 2021 12:44 PM PDT

    This morning i bought a call option for CLOV (buy to open) exp 9/10/31 with a strike price of $9. By afternoon time it was moving upwards and I was in the money. I put the contract in a (sell to close) with a limit at $10.50.

    It never went through. I watched as it kept climbing but the sell never went through. I cancelled it and changed it to market price and it immediately went through when it was at $11.

    I'm no whiz at options but did I do something wrong here, that the contract wasn't sold when it hit $10.50? I feel like I missed something.

    Thanks in advance

    submitted by /u/karl773
    [link] [comments]

    Best interface for trading options for novice options traders?

    Posted: 07 Sep 2021 12:29 PM PDT

    I'm a novice trader looking to execute some pretty basic strategies like call spreads for an earning plays. Can you please share your experience of interface for trading options for novice options traders?

    What are the three most important features I should look for in a trading interface?

    What are the features that might be considered overkill?

    submitted by /u/ApolloniusVR-II
    [link] [comments]

    Why not hold $SPXL long term -vs- $SPY shares -vs- $SPY LEAPS? What am I missing?

    Posted: 07 Sep 2021 12:24 PM PDT

    I am curious as to why holding SPXL for more than a few days is supposedly "bad" when it seems like a dip would probably effect 1-2 year long LEAPS even more. SPXL is up over 550% since March 2020. Can someone tell me what I'm missing in regards to SPXL?

    submitted by /u/frogger1988
    [link] [comments]

    What trading platform is best for first time traders

    Posted: 07 Sep 2021 11:58 AM PDT

    Never invested before. Gonna invest in VOO and I want to know what platform is easy to use for a beginner. I've been told to stay away from Robinhood. thanks in advance, I am excited to learn how the market works

    submitted by /u/OldGregRL
    [link] [comments]

    Stock pick for Wednesday, September 8, 2021 to outperform S&P500: $EW

    Posted: 07 Sep 2021 10:49 AM PDT

    Edwards Lifesciences Corp, ticker symbol $EW, has been outpacing S&P for several years now.

    For the past 6 months, EW has outperformed SPY 39.7% of trading days. However, in the last 6 months, when EW outperforms SPY for a 5 day period (70 times this has happened), it outperforms SPY the following trading day 80.0% of the time. In the last 5 days, as of 13:44pm EST today, EW is up 2.97% and SPY is up 0.051%.

    submitted by /u/pebd94
    [link] [comments]

    Companies that have continuously grown both revenue and earnings each of the last 10 years?

    Posted: 06 Sep 2021 07:06 PM PDT

    Home Depot (HD) has grown their revenue and net income each year since at least 2011. The few others I found are in related sectors: FND, IBP and LGIH.

    A couple others I found that also meet that criteria are Dollar General (DG) and Domino's (DPZ), though both are currently trailing calendar 2020 on a TTM basis, so that streak is in jeopardy.

    My list is nowhere near exhaustive so I'd be interested if anyone knows of any others.

    submitted by /u/msnf
    [link] [comments]

    Nvda entry - position size

    Posted: 06 Sep 2021 07:03 PM PDT

    G'day all,

    Just reaching out for tips when to enter a position in nvidia as I have been watching closely since the last earnings…

    Shall I enter soon with a small position of $2k and then repurchase a bigger parcel the next drop in price OR Continue waiting it out for the next dip and buy about $5k worth?

    submitted by /u/Bigdogzgottaeat
    [link] [comments]

    No comments:

    Post a Comment