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    Ask investing: semantic analysis of posts here Investing

    Ask investing: semantic analysis of posts here Investing


    Ask investing: semantic analysis of posts here

    Posted: 01 Sep 2018 06:54 PM PDT

    Hello r/investing

    I'm curious if anyone out there has attempted to analyze subreddit submissions and comments and correlate them with the stock market or just analyze the data out of interest.

    I've set up a simple system that pulls in all of Reddit and filters posts and comments containing stock symbols or company names. Once filtered, a simple semantic analysis algorithm is run, and these results can be aggregated in a variety of ways. For example:

    • which stocks/companies are referenced most frequently each day?
    • What is the average sentiment (feeling/opinion) for a stock over the past X amount of time.
    • is a user cross posting about a stock?
    • what is the avg sentiment for a user regarding a stock

    I have thought about other ways to further the analysis. An obvious direction is to integrate financial data (IEX has a great API for this). This would make it possible to look for a correlation between stock sentiment or mentions and price (with many caveats).

    Has anyone else played around with the API to do this sort of analysis? Have you found any interesting trends?

    submitted by /u/danielecook
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    Question about bonds and their safety

    Posted: 01 Sep 2018 06:43 AM PDT

    So i tried to do some researches but I'm still confused about bonds.

    This is what I understood:

    - bonds are promises of repaying back with interest, so i buy a bond for 1000$ with 3% interest with the duration of 1 year and I'll get 1030$ after one year.

    - bonds are safer than stocks because you can't lose money on them

    but

    - they can lose value if new bonds with higher interest are made, does this applies only to bonds etf or to actual bonds too?

    - bonds should help during crisis because they are supposed to go up in value when stocks dip, this is why it's recommended to have a % of bonds in the portfolio.

    What i don't understand is, why are most of the bonds etf i saw, barely in positive or negative? And does is it really worth sacrificing 20% of my portfolio in bonds? During bull periods being it would make the portfolio lose ~20% of the gains, does the rise of value during bear periods offsets that?

    Looking at graphs of bonds etf it looks to me that I should only use them for money that i don't want risk in stocks, but don't want to keep in the bank either, but even then, they don't look that safe, take for example ICOV, other bonds etf had periods of about 1 year in which they were negative.

    Am I missing something?

    About me:

    - 24 yo, europe

    - student but should have part-time job

    - i plan to invest most of the money i don't need in the following months but at the same time I don't want to risk them

    Let's say my original plan was to invest 200 euros a month, but i can save 500 euros a month, of course i don't want to risk all the 500 euros, would it be safe to invest 200e in stocks/etfs and put the other 300 euros in bonds?

    Is there any better plan for my money?

    Thanks, I probably don't understand something really basic about bonds so feel free to correct me

    submitted by /u/SlowButConstantly
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    Is this marijuana rally based off retail investors trying to ride the hype?

    Posted: 01 Sep 2018 07:36 AM PDT

    CGC, a major player in the marijuana industry, has a market cap of 9.2 B but only made 10m in revenues the past quarter. A lot of these companies are priced so high, yet keep getting higher. All of this legalization stuff was known for so long, wouldn't it be good time to short it? I mean really, just how big can the market get?

    submitted by /u/cpayne_10
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    ELI5 After hours trading

    Posted: 01 Sep 2018 01:31 PM PDT

    How is after hours trading different from trading during market hours? Is there any reason why the market couldn't just stay open 24/7?

    submitted by /u/exorad
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    Lending club and investing suggestions

    Posted: 01 Sep 2018 06:47 PM PDT

    Hello fellow Reddit users,

    I'm in the USA and I have ~$10,000 that id like to invest. I'm thinking this will be my future fund for whatever comes. I've heard of lending club and I think the it's idea is pretty good. But I'm expecting ~5%ish return from that. Is there anything else I should invest in instead which can/will have a better return on investment?

    submitted by /u/zuestra
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    What stocks to pick for investing in Africa and India for long-term

    Posted: 02 Sep 2018 03:13 AM PDT

    Hey guys, so I recently finished reading "Factfulness" by Hans Rosling and was thinking about how to capitalize on the big changes which await the world in the upcoming decades (according to the author, the world bank and the UN).

    The author mentiones 2 big trends which I think should be worth to invest in: - A huge wealth gain in India. So there will be 1 Billion consumers in the next 2 decades which will have 10 dollars a day or more in their pockets. Probably will be the Chinese rise all over again, probably even top that. - And a huge rise in population(3 Billion people over the next 80 years will be added) on the African continent where most people are still poor (in our measures) but slowly gaining wealth.

    The Africa-trend is for sure the really long game. The India-trend you can already see and will just get stronger. Still long term but not nearly as long-term as the Africa-trend.

    Which companies (or if too specific which sectors) do you think will greatly profit from these developments?

    submitted by /u/Naithen92
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    Has anyone read any works by Richard Duncan?

    Posted: 01 Sep 2018 06:32 PM PDT

    Seems like a macro guy who sounds confident about what he's talking about. Do any of y'all have a sense of if he's full of shit or has a legitimate grasp on macroeconomics?

    submitted by /u/WilliamNyeTho
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    Trying to find a way to contribute to IRA

    Posted: 02 Sep 2018 01:28 AM PDT

    Hello, I'm a 31yo unmarried US citizen currently working and living outside the US with a non US company. I would like to find a way to create and contribute to an IRA but I'm not sure I'm eligible. I currently receive income from VA disability (nontaxed), salary for above mentioned overseas job, and dividends from another private foreign company in which I am a co-owner. If it matters, I contributed 45% of the startup capital to this company from my previous US earned income. The total amounts for these two foreign income streams is less than $100k, so it is not taxed because I utilize the IRS Foreign Earned Income Exclusion.

    I will be moving back to the US in the next 4 years, but I'd really like to get my retirement fund started now because I can no longer contribute to the TSP Roth since separating from the military.

    If it turns out that I'm ineligible for an IRA, I would really appreciate any insight and suggestions for alternative retirement options. I was considering opening a standard M1 investment portfolio with their 2050 expert pie. Thanks so much for your help.

    submitted by /u/tayezz
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    Cannabis market to be worth 40 billion?

    Posted: 02 Sep 2018 01:03 AM PDT

    I don't have any experience with cannabis, so I am looking at this as an outsider.

    I am hearing a lot about the future cannabis market. I just read an article that it will be worth 90 billion dollars. I read more conservative estimates that it will be worth 40 billion. This seems too high since alcohol sales account for 25 billion per year.

    Getting drunk (at least $20) is more costly than getting high ($5). Therefore, the cannabis market will probably never reach 25 billion.

    Your thoughts?

    submitted by /u/Lumo5
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    Should I invest in an emerging/foreign market ETF that includes various countries?

    Posted: 01 Sep 2018 07:08 AM PDT

    I'm trying to build my Schwab portfolio and this question has been nagging me. Why invest in the US as an individual market but throw everything else into two baskets? As an example, should I be separating by investments in China, India, and Mexico or Japan & the EU rather than holding them all in two funds (SCHE/SCHF)?

    submitted by /u/armorkingII
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    Will HMMJ go up after October 18?

    Posted: 02 Sep 2018 12:30 AM PDT

    • Do you think this etf is currently over priced or under priced? Why?

    • With new industries, do they typically have a dip after they become established (after the hype has died down)?

    • Do you have any predictions about the price of this etf in 10 years? Why?

    submitted by /u/Lumo5
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    If you had $10k to invest on VR & AR / CRISPR & Gene editing / weed industry and plan to leave it for 10+ years. How would you split it and why?

    Posted: 01 Sep 2018 12:52 PM PDT

    Should I buy SPY Puts with a far off expiry date to hedge my portfolio against bad months in the market?

    Posted: 02 Sep 2018 12:02 AM PDT

    Or should I just buy stocks and options I'm bullish on?

    Right now my only options positions are some LEAPs on XLK.

    submitted by /u/throthrowth
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    What are the best non-US stocks that aren’t well known by the average US retail investor?

    Posted: 01 Sep 2018 07:50 PM PDT

    Not TCEHY, BABA. Hit me with something that aint a meme stock

    submitted by /u/FashionistaGuru
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    What are some bonds and ETFs that include consumer debt?

    Posted: 01 Sep 2018 01:27 PM PDT

    I'm doing research on Student Loan Asset Backed Securities. The defaults on these are rising but because most are government insured and there isn't a tangible asset to seize, they're still relatively stable and risk less. However, this isn't the case with consumer debt. I'm looking for bonds and ETFs that package consumer debt on cars, houses, credit cards, healthcare, etc.

    submitted by /u/Comrade_Soomie
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    Weed ETF or Individual Companies

    Posted: 01 Sep 2018 12:25 PM PDT

    Should I look into purchasing a marijuana ETF ( like MJ or SEED.T )

    Or an undervalued stock like ACB.T ?

    WEED.T (CGC) looks way over extended right now! But impressive returns!

    In the long term, is no question, but looking to maximize short term return before legalization kicks in.

    submitted by /u/becuziwasinverted
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    what would happen to Amazon's stock if the gov split it up?

    Posted: 01 Sep 2018 06:47 PM PDT

    Trading on weekends

    Posted: 02 Sep 2018 01:20 AM PDT

    Im learning the stock thing, and i just learned that you can not trade stocks on the weekends, is this true?

    Why do prices ceep changing during weekends tho, ?

    submitted by /u/kirri008
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    My broker TD waterhouse is not offering an IPO I am interested. What options do I have?

    Posted: 01 Sep 2018 05:20 PM PDT

    So canopy rivers is IPO-ing soon and would like to try and get in on the offering. I broker with TD and RBC.

    Does anyone have experience with offerings not offered by their broker? I heard you can request it...not to sure...

    Edit: Found Information on the TD website.

    Q: Can TD Direct Investing help me obtain a new issue it doesn't offer?

    A: TD Direct Investing often has access to new issues that may be available at the other major brokerages. In many cases, we are able to accommodate FIRM 'Expressions of Interest' on issues that we aren't actively selling. Please contact TD Direct Investing with the details, including the issue name, the lead underwriter, the issue price per share, the number of shares you are committed to buying, and your account information, and we will attempt to fill your 'Expression of Interest

    submitted by /u/EmuHobbyist
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    What are your strategies for when a recession hits?

    Posted: 01 Sep 2018 08:44 PM PDT

    I'm curious how everyone is going to manage his money or where is everyone going to invest for when NBER officially declares that there's a recession (hypothetically within the next 3 years) ?

    I'm personally thinking of putting a lot of capital into Gold/Silver ETFs or Mining companies' stocks. They managed to make it during the last recession to actually double and even triple their values within a couple of years (2009 - 2011). And then unloading the profits on the already wrecked stock market and get stocks of good companies for cheap.

    Is it a good idea to do so or am I missing something? (I am aware that this is a very uneducated question and it ignores a lot of variables and details, but I just want to keep it simple)

    submitted by /u/TUNISIANP
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    Investing on an online retail store..

    Posted: 01 Sep 2018 08:43 PM PDT

    What are some things I need to invest in growing an online retail store. I'm a entrepreneur looking to find resources to keep me away from the streets. I have a family and they depend on me. I'd respect good response and good vibes.

    submitted by /u/Attireappeal
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    where is the secondary market where people sell peer to peer loans at a discount?

    Posted: 01 Sep 2018 11:30 AM PDT

    how do I find these loans for investing

    submitted by /u/queertreks
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    What do you think about the future of the semiconductor industry?

    Posted: 01 Sep 2018 07:48 PM PDT

    I know it is a very generalized question. But, to be more specific, would you invest in this industry in the current market conditions? Why/why not? What do you think the outlook of key players in this industry are? Where do you think the industry is in the current cycle? How do you think economic events could affect this industry? New players that could potentially disrupt the trends?

    Let me know what you think. Very interested to hear opinions from the people on this subreddit.

    submitted by /u/californiasummerwave
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    How to track live Dividends and stock prices in Excel

    Posted: 01 Sep 2018 08:50 AM PDT

    I am trying to figure out a way to import live data from online to track my dividend $, stock price, and dividend yield. I have watched many videos but they seem outdated as the formulas seem not to work. Does anyone know a way of importing live stock data such as price and dividends to excel? As well as future dividends and or growth rate.

    submitted by /u/Kapodaca403
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