Stocks - Anyone else think the dip on semiconductors will be a once in a decade opportunity to build wealth?

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• Anyone else think the dip on semiconductors will be a once in a decade opportunity to build wealth?
• 5 Stocks To Hold For Life
• Intel launches blockchain chip to tap crypto boom
• Long time investors with still more time on your side, what’s your current strategy in this market?
• Fed emergency meeting this Monday.
• Going to allocate large percentage of Roth IRA to TQQQ.
• The 6 month return on the indexes have been flat.
• What high-growth, high-multiple tech stocks are you interested in?
• Wall Street Week Ahead for the trading week beginning February 14th, 2022
• The opening of tomorrow and Russia’s invasion plan.
• New Tax Rules & Negative Impact on Resell Companies - Ebay, etc.
• using leveraged oil/gas ETFs like NRGU
• When To Take Profit In O&G Producers, Again?
• Should I sell all my first-year RSUs in one transaction?
• Does neon supply really have any impact on the semiconductor business?
• A look on the bright side
• Norwegian Air Shuttle Analysis
• Re-Opening After COVID: An Overlooked Perspective on Small Businesses
• What to think of insiders selling?
• ELI5: How do ETFS collect their fees?
• Why is HelloFresh’s trade volume so low?

Anyone else think the dip on semiconductors will be a once in a decade opportunity to build wealth? Posted: 12 Feb 2022 08:45 AM PST Two major catalysts playing out for semis right now: Fed raising rates. Russia sanctions and possible invasion cutting off key semiconductor materials. In the next few months, these will play out and really pummel the semi stocks. But the good news is these are temporary events. After 1-2 years, we'll find a way around Russian chokehold on these key materials, and inflation will probably be slowed. While that's happening, covid is still subsiding and innovation continue it's relentless march of driving productivity forward. To be clear, I'm not saying to buy the dip right now. But I'm tempted to start a "eat ramen", "get a third job", "cancel Netflix" regime for myself to start preparing as much as possible to start buying mid or later this year. These semi stocks are becoming the new FANGS, and this upcoming dip this year might be the best chance to buy them before they rocket into FANG status. OK here's the cons in my theory: China could still be a ticking time bomb. Most experts say their lockdown strategy is not viable for Omicron. Could be their supply chain is a lot more broken than we realize. Plus that real estate problem is still ongoing and their president is kinda insane. The Fed could freak out and raise rates too quickly, putting us into a recession. Some industry reports say oversupply of semiconductors could happen as early as 2023. (Disclosure not investment advice and I'm long on NVDA AMD QCOMM MRVL TSM and maybe Int) submitted by /u/r2002 [link] [comments]

5 Stocks To Hold For Life Posted: 12 Feb 2022 06:28 PM PST As the titles reads, I want to have a discussion on the 5 stocks or so to hold for life. If you have less than 5 I want to hear them and if you have more than 5 I would like to hear that too. I understand everyone has their usual Apple, Microsoft, and Google stocks they plan to hold onto for the rest of their life and I understand that. While I want to hear those picks, I am interested in some not so usual ones too. Stocks outside of the consensus picks. Thank you in advance! submitted by /u/jtrichjr [link] [comments]

Intel launches blockchain chip to tap crypto boom Posted: 12 Feb 2022 06:19 PM PST INTC launches new ASIC mining chips that will add billions in revenue over many years. https://finance.yahoo.com/news/intel-launches-blockchain-chip-tap-181406115.html Intel Corp on Friday launched a new chip for blockchain applications such as Bitcoin mining and minting NFTs to cash in on the rising usage of cryptocurrencies. The chip will ship later this year and the first customers include Block Inc, the Jack Dorsey-led firm that recently changed its name from Square Inc to highlight its growing focus on the blockchain. Blockchains serve as public ledgers that keep records of transactions on a network of computers and have grown in prominence in recent years. Their rise has also triggered a buzz around words like "Web.3" and "NFTs" that tout the decentralization of technologies. Intel said its chip is an energy-efficient "accelerator" designed to speed up blockchain tasks that require huge amounts of computing power and thereby consume a lot of energy. submitted by /u/Oscuridad_mi_amigo [link] [comments]

Long time investors with still more time on your side, what’s your current strategy in this market? Posted: 12 Feb 2022 05:02 PM PST I've been investing for a while and always curious what others are thinking in times like these. I started right before the 99/2000 dot.com bust and been through the fall of '08. Those were crazy moments investment wise, but I stuck with it. Before the last election, when no one knew what was going to happen, more than a few friends were deciding to liquidate some or a majority of their portfolio because no one was sure how the market was going to react. I decided not to liquidate, although I dialed down new investments and just saved more cash a bit. Now, with where we are today, I'm hearing the same noise - people talking about liquidating their portfolio to cash. I'm still minimum 10 years, most likely a lot longer (hopefully) from needing to touch my investments so I'm inclined to stay put. I actually have been on a modest buying spree the last two months and those stocks are down, which, when I look at the portfolio, doesn't feel good had I just left it in cash, but I remind myself it's all long term investment. But I'm curious as to what other people who've been investing for a while, and still have time on their side, are thinking. I guess if I was 2-5 years away from retiring and knew I needed those assets, I may have a different reaction. submitted by /u/CSq2 [link] [comments]

Fed emergency meeting this Monday. Posted: 12 Feb 2022 06:26 AM PST Not sure how this seems to be completely overlooked going into the weekend. Emergency meeting Valentine's Day to discuss rates. https://www.federalreserve.gov/aboutthefed/boardmeetings/20220214closed.htm Given the current sentiment that the Fed is way behind the curve on inflation, I see a possibility of a surprise hike. Markets do to looking at CME futures. Combine this with possible Russian action we are in for a bumpy ride. submitted by /u/rygo796 [link] [comments]

Going to allocate large percentage of Roth IRA to TQQQ. Posted: 12 Feb 2022 09:34 PM PST For right now, I'm waiting for a true correction in the upwards direction before entry, it's kinda uncertain right now IMO. As for actual allocation, probably at least half of Roth IRA portfolio. TQQQ is diversified, top 100 NASDAQ listings. Its leveraged, 3x the legendary QQQ. It's up 13,000% in 12 years including this dip. And even before this massive bull run it was up 3500% in nine years (~2019) which is still insane. I can handle the waves, if anything I'll just average down anytime I see red. Make my contributions on nice dips. Maybe I'll take profit after nice bullruns, but either way just gotta not sell emotionally. As long as the NASDAQ continues to grow over decades, TQQQ should continue to outperform almost everything. I think it's very unlikely that in 30-40 years when I'm thinking about retirement that the NASDAQ will not have grown significantly from now. So when I start to approach the years before retirement, I'll just wait for an upwards movement from the Nasdaq and transfer over to bonds or whatever, get the risk out of there and retire. Am I missing something that will bite me in the ass? Edit: Just to clarify, I didn't mean NOW, I'm gonna wait and see what happens for a little while cause we're all pretty unsure of what's going on in the next year or two, so like, my first entry point will probably be within the next year, or if it continues to slide down dot-com style then in two or three years :P I'm just gonna wait for a confident, long-term, bullish movement and make my first entry. submitted by /u/GABE_EDD [link] [comments]

The 6 month return on the indexes have been flat. Posted: 12 Feb 2022 09:26 AM PST I had been looking at the 1 year and 5 year chart on SPY/VOO indexes. I today just decided to see 6 months and saw they are actually in the red/flat since August 12th. I didnt even notice we were in a sideways market for index fund investing if you bought and hold since August 2021. submitted by /u/joethemaker22 [link] [comments]

What high-growth, high-multiple tech stocks are you interested in? Posted: 12 Feb 2022 12:54 PM PST I know these companies are unattractive for a lot of people given higher interest rates, high valuations, et al and if they don't fit your investment criteria today that's fine. Instead this post are for those who are interested in these kinds of companies. If you're interested, what are you looking at? Me, I'm personally looking at: ​ Roku: Trading at 5.7x based on my '22 revenue forecast ($3,660m or 31% y/y growth). Applying a 9.4x EV/S multiple from other high-growth tech comps would yield a $262 price target (60% upside). ​ Twilio: They power the behind-the-scenes infrastructure for businesses to communicate with customers digitally. I don't see this business going away & just exponentially increasing. ​ Zoom: Another mission-critical stock for businesses & employees to communicate with each other as work moves to hybrid & remote arrangements. A lot of competition, but I haven't seen a better tool in terms of UI, UX, and they will be the top player in video chat for the foreseeable future Disclosure: I own ROKU and do have intentions to buy more submitted by /u/ricke813 [link] [comments]

Wall Street Week Ahead for the trading week beginning February 14th, 2022 Posted: 12 Feb 2022 08:05 AM PST Good Saturday morning to all of you here on r/stocks! I hope everyone on this sub made out pretty nicely in the market this past week, and are ready for the new trading week ahead. :) Here is everything you need to know to get you ready for the trading week beginning February 14th, 2022. The Federal Reserve's rate debate and Ukraine tensions could jolt markets in the week ahead - (Source) Stocks are likely to be volatile in the week ahead as investors watch tensions between Russia and Ukraine and debate how quickly the Federal Reserve can raise interest rates. Markets were roiled in the past week and bond yields spiked after a hot inflation reading Thursday upended many Wall Street forecasts for interest rate hikes. Investors were dealt another blow Friday after the White House warned that Russia could invade Ukraine during the Olympics. Both the U.S. and U.K. have called for their citizens to leave Ukraine as soon as possible. "I think the Fed is keeping everyone on edge, and this is going to add to that edginess," said Peter Boockvar, chief investment officer at Bleakley Advisory Group. "So we had a three-week earnings respite from the macro. We turned micro, and this week we were reminded earnings season is pretty much over and all macro issues matter again." The major averages slid sharply on Friday afternoon, and Treasury yields came off the highs they set after Thursday's report that January's consumer price index jumped by 7.5%, a 40-year high. The S&P 500 lost 1.8% for the week, falling to 4,418. With about two hours left to Friday trading, U.S. National Security Advisor Jake Sullivan told a White House briefing that there were signs of Russian escalation at the Ukraine border. Sullivan said it was possible an invasion could occur during the Olympics, despite speculation to the contrary. "Up until now, I'd say it was all about monetary policy. This throws an extra unknown into the works," said Marc Chandler, chief market strategist at Bannockburn Global Forex. "The dollar is rallying, oil prices have rallied and stocks are selling off... Even if nothing happens this weekend, people will be nervous about it in the next week." Boockvar said the Russian tensions complicate the central bank's outlook, and an invasion would add to already hot global inflation. "It's causing problems for the Fed because this basically would inflate oil prices, food prices, wheat, fertilizers and everything else and just make the Fed's inflation fighting capability that much more difficult to maneuver," he said. "The Fed can't back off. You can't blame geopolitics as a reason not to hike rates." He said if the central bank were concerned about an economic impact, it could slow hikes. Fed's inflation fight By Friday morning, some economists had ratcheted up expectations for the Fed to hike interest rates by a half point in March, following the January inflation report. Others, like economists at Goldman Sachs, have raised their views to a faster pace, with as many as seven quarter-point hikes for this year. Fed speakers will be a highlight in the week ahead, particularly St. Louis Fed President James Bullard who appears on CNBC's "Squawk Box" Monday at 8:30 a.m. Bullard added to market turbulence and the sharp jump in bond yields Thursday when he said that he would like to see rates rise by 100 basis points (or 1 percentage point) by July. "I think volatility remains elevated as we transition from essentially this more dovish Fed to this more hawkish Fed policy which we're experiencing," said Patrick Palfrey, senior equity strategist at Credit Suisse. "We haven't yet settled on how hawkish we are going to be and until we can chart a new path for interest rates hikes with some consistency, I think volatility is going to remain elevated, and that's going to be more true for high valuation companies." What to watch The Federal Reserve releases minutes from its last meeting on Wednesday. Investors will watch it carefully for any new insights on its plans for rate hikes, the inflation outlook or comments on its balance sheet. There will also be more important inflation data, when the producer price index is reported Tuesday. That report is also expected to be very hot, after January's CPI. Surging inflation has caused consumer sentiment to slump, and now economists are watching consumer spending closely. That means January's retail sales will also be important when it is reported Wednesday. There is also a final rush of big earnings reports, with Cisco, Nvidia and AIG Wednesday. Walmart reports Thursday, and Deere reports Friday. "We're starting to transition beyond earnings, I think investors took a fair amount of comfort that profit margins stayed as high as they did," said Palfrey. "I think the question is as we look out at the next couple of quarters, are we able to pass through prices at the same rate?" Fed debate Palfrey said investors are looking for more clear communications from the central bank. Bullard is the only Fed official who endorsed a 50-basis-point hike, while others, like Cleveland Fed President Loretta Mester said she does not expect to raise the fed funds target rate by more than a quarter point. Fed Chairman Jerome Powell has left the door open to a half point hike but did not say he favored it. Fed Governor Lael Brainard speaks Friday, as does Fed Governor Christopher Waller. Mester speaks Thursday. Other Fed officials have pushed back on Bullard's comments. But still, there is a high level of uncertainty in the market, and bond pros are wondering if the St. Louis Fed chief will walk back his comments Monday morning. Liz Ann Sonders, chief investment strategist at Charles Schwab, said some investors wonder if market volatility could slow the central bank's tightening path. "The Fed is full steam ahead. They have to be... They're still adding to the balance sheet. We're still at zero on rates," she said. "There's nothing in my mind, unless an asteroid lands on earth and blows us all to smithereens, that makes the Fed say we're fine, we're going to stay at zero." "They're admitting themselves they're behind the curve. They let the inflation cat out of the bag. I don't think they thought it would have the traction it has had," she said. Rate rally and reverse When bonds sell off, yields go higher and they jumped this past week. The 10-year yield was as high as 2.06% Friday. After the Ukraine news, the 10-year yield was back down to about 1.93%. The 2-year yield was at a high of 1.63% Friday, up from 1.32% the week earlier. The biggest moves were Thursday, and the yield on the 2-year note moved more than 20 basis points Thursday. But by Friday afternoon, it had fallen back to 1.51%. This past week saw the following moves in the S&P: (CLICK HERE FOR THE FULL S&P TREE MAP FOR THE PAST WEEK!) S&P Sectors for this past week: (CLICK HERE FOR THE S&P SECTORS FOR THE PAST WEEK!) Major Indices for this past week: (CLICK HERE FOR THE MAJOR INDICES FOR THE PAST WEEK!) Major Futures Markets as of Friday's close: (CLICK HERE FOR THE MAJOR FUTURES INDICES AS OF FRIDAY!) Economic Calendar for the Week Ahead: (CLICK HERE FOR THE FULL ECONOMIC CALENDAR FOR THE WEEK AHEAD!) Percentage Changes for the Major Indices, WTD, MTD, QTD, YTD as of Friday's close: (CLICK HERE FOR THE CHART!) S&P Sectors for the Past Week: (CLICK HERE FOR THE CHART!) Major Indices Pullback/Correction Levels as of Friday's close: (CLICK HERE FOR THE CHART!) Major Indices Rally Levels as of Friday's close: (CLICK HERE FOR THE CHART!) Most Anticipated Earnings Releases for this week: (CLICK HERE FOR THE CHART!) Here are the upcoming IPO's for this week: (CLICK HERE FOR THE CHART!) Friday's Stock Analyst Upgrades & Downgrades: (CLICK HERE FOR THE CHART LINK #1!) (CLICK HERE FOR THE CHART LINK #2!) (CLICK HERE FOR THE CHART LINK #3!) (CLICK HERE FOR THE CHART LINK #4!) (CLICK HERE FOR THE CHART LINK #5!) First Trading Day of February Monthly Options Expiration Week DJIA Down 9 of Last 17 In addition to being Valentine's Day, next Monday is also the first trading day of February's monthly option expiration week. Traders looking to roll or exit positions may begin first thing next week. Since 1990, Monday or the first trading day of the week has a bullish record. S&P 500 has enjoyed the greatest frequency of gains, up 23 times in 32 years with an average gain of 0.26% on Monday. Russell 2000 is second best since 1990 with 21 gains. However, since 2005 the day has seen less bullishness with DJIA down 9 of the last 17 and its average performance slipping to just 0.09%. S&P 500, NASDAQ and Russell 2000 have held up better over the last 17 years when compared to DJIA. (CLICK HERE FOR THE CHART!) Super Bowl Indicator Americans across the country are gearing up for Super Bowl LVI this Sunday. The Rams are currently a four-point favorite, and the Bengals could struggle to contain the league's best defensive line. Both teams come into this game with their respective offenses on fire, and the last few weeks of the playoffs have resulted in nail-biting finishes. One outlandish market theory suggests that when the NFC wins the Super Bowl the market will perform better than average. Conversely, when the AFC wins, the market underperforms. Although there is no basis of truth to justify these claims, the conclusion has historically been accurate. As you can see from the table below, the S&P 500 averages a gain of 10.3% from the Super Bowl through year-end when the NFC takes home the Lombardi trophy. On the other hand, when the AFC wins the Super Bowl, the S&P 500 averages a gain of 6.2%, which is 4.1 percentage points lower. The positivity rates have slightly favored an NFC victory as well (78.6% vs 70.4%). (CLICK HERE FOR THE CHART!) Neither the Rams nor the Bengals have won multiple Super Bowls. The Rams have won just once (in 2000), and this is the Bengals third time competing in the Super Bowl. Of the teams that have won multiple Super Bowls, the S&P 500 has performed best through year-end when the Steelers, 49ers, Broncos, or Bucs take home the trophy. After the Dolphins, Raiders, and Giants won Super Bowls, forward returns were negative on an average basis. Given that the one Super Bowl the Rams won was in 2000, you would think that the last thing a bull would want to see on Sunday is a win by Matt Stafford and crew. On the other hand, in the two prior Super Bowls that the Bengals played in and lost, the S&P 500 was up over 20% for the remainder of the year both times, so it's a bit of a push. Within the Bespoke crew, the Bengals are a near but not unanimous pick, Who has heads on the coin toss? (CLICK HERE FOR THE CHART!) Do Stocks Want The Bengals or Rams to Win? The Super Bowl Indicator suggests stocks rise for the full year when the Super Bowl winner has come from the original National Football League (now the NFC), but when an original American Football League (now the AFC) team has won, stocks fall. We would be the first to admit that this indicator has no connection to the stock market, but "data don't lie": The S&P 500 Index has performed better, and posted positive gains with greater frequency, over the past 55 Super Bowl games when NFC teams have won. It was originally discovered in 1978 by Leonard Kopett, a sportswriter for the New York Times. Up until that point, the indicator had never been wrong. A simpler way to look at the Super Bowl Indicator is to look at the average gain for the S&P 500 when the NFC has won versus the AFC—and ignore the history of the franchises. As shown in the LPL Chart of the Day, this similar set of criteria has produced an average price return of 10.8% when an NFC team has won, compared with a return of 7.1% with an AFC winner. An NFC winner has produced a positive year 79% of the time, while the S&P 500 has been up only 65% of the time when the winner came from the AFC. (CLICK HERE FOR THE CHART!) So should the bulls be rooting for the Rams? Maybe not. Stocks have actually done just fine lately when the AFC has won. In fact, the S&P 500 Index gained 10 of the past 11 years after an AFC Super Bowl champ. "Interestingly, there have been 55 Super Bowl winners, yet only 20 teams account for those wins," said LPL Financial Chief Market Strategist Ryan Detrick. "Of course, we'd never suggest investing based on this, but history would say that lately AFC teams have been quite good for stocks, but I'm also a Bengals fan, so I'm clearly biased." (CLICK HERE FOR THE CHART!) Here's a breakdown of the 20 Super Bowl winners and how the S&P 500 has done following their victories. The author's favorite team, The Cincinnati Bengals, isn't on this list just yet. Hopefully that changes this time next week. (CLICK HERE FOR THE CHART!) Lastly, Tom Brady won't be in this Super Bowl and won't be in any more now that he has retired. He played in a record 10 Super Bowls and won a record 7 of them. Maybe something he should be known for is the Brady Indicator, as when he won the big game stocks did well and when he lost, they didn't. (CLICK HERE FOR THE CHART!) Here are the most notable companies reporting earnings in this upcoming trading week ahead- (CLICK HERE FOR NEXT WEEK'S MOST NOTABLE EARNINGS RELEASES!) (CLICK HERE FOR NEXT WEEK'S HIGHEST VOLATILITY EARNINGS RELEASES!) (CLICK HERE FOR THE MOST NOTABLE EARNINGS RELEASES FOR FEBRUARY 2022!) (CLICK HERE FOR THE NOTABLE EARNINGS BEFORE THE OPEN ON MONDAY!) Below are some of the notable companies coming out with earnings releases this upcoming trading week ahead which includes the date/time of release & consensus estimates courtesy of Earnings Whispers: Monday 2.14.22 Before Market Open: (CLICK HERE FOR MONDAY'S PRE-MARKET EARNINGS TIME & ESTIMATES!) Monday 2.14.22 After Market Close: (CLICK HERE FOR MONDAY'S AFTER-MARKET EARNINGS TIME & ESTIMATES!) Tuesday 2.15.22 Before Market Open: (CLICK HERE FOR TUESDAY'S PRE-MARKET EARNINGS TIME & ESTIMATES!) Tuesday 2.15.22 After Market Close: (CLICK HERE FOR TUESDAY'S AFTER-MARKET EARNINGS TIME & ESTIMATES!) Wednesday 2.16.22 Before Market Open: (CLICK HERE FOR WEDNESDAY'S PRE-MARKET EARNINGS TIME & ESTIMATES!) Wednesday 2.16.22 After Market Close: (CLICK HERE FOR WEDNESDAY'S AFTER-MARKET EARNINGS TIME & ESTIMATES LINK #1!) (CLICK HERE FOR WEDNESDAY'S AFTER-MARKET EARNINGS TIME & ESTIMATES LINK #2!) Thursday 2.17.22 Before Market Open: (CLICK HERE FOR THURSDAY'S PRE-MARKET EARNINGS TIME & ESTIMATES LINK #1!) (CLICK HERE FOR THURSDAY'S PRE-MARKET EARNINGS TIME & ESTIMATES LINK #2!) Thursday 2.17.22 After Market Close: (CLICK HERE FOR THURSDAY'S AFTER-MARKET EARNINGS TIME & ESTIMATES LINK #1!) (CLICK HERE FOR THURSDAY'S AFTER-MARKET EARNINGS TIME & ESTIMATES LINK #2!) Friday 2.18.22 Before Market Open: (CLICK HERE FOR FRIDAY'S PRE-MARKET EARNINGS TIME & ESTIMATES LINK!) Friday 2.18.22 After Market Close: ([CLICK HERE FOR FRIDAY'S AFTER-MARKET EARNINGS TIME & ESTIMATES!]()) (NONE.) NVIDIA Corp. $239.49 NVIDIA Corp. (NVDA) is confirmed to report earnings at approximately 4:20 PM ET on Wednesday, February 16, 2022. The consensus earnings estimate is $1.22 per share on revenue of $7.41 billion and the Earnings Whisper ® number is $1.26 per share. Investor sentiment going into the company's earnings release has 85% expecting an earnings beat The company's guidance was for earnings of $1.16 to $1.28 per share. Consensus estimates are for year-over-year earnings growth of 53.46% with revenue increasing by 48.11%. Short interest has decreased by 4.6% since the company's last earnings release while the stock has drifted lower by 26.0% from its open following the earnings release to be 6.0% above its 200 day moving average of $225.84. Overall earnings estimates have been revised higher since the company's last earnings release. On Tuesday, January 25, 2022 there was some notable buying of 10,010 contracts of the $235.00 put expiring on Friday, February 18, 2022. Option traders are pricing in a 10.9% move on earnings and the stock has averaged a 3.7% move in recent quarters. (CLICK HERE FOR THE CHART!) Palantir Technologies Inc. $13.13 Palantir Technologies Inc. (PLTR) is confirmed to report earnings at approximately 7:00 AM ET on Thursday, February 17, 2022. The consensus earnings estimate is $0.04 per share on revenue of $413.99 million and the Earnings Whisper ® number is $0.05 per share. Investor sentiment going into the company's earnings release has 65% expecting an earnings beat The company's guidance was for revenue of approximately $418.00 million. Consensus estimates are for earnings to decline year-over-year by 42.86% with revenue increasing by 28.53%. Short interest has increased by 42.3% since the company's last earnings release while the stock has drifted lower by 49.3% from its open following the earnings release to be 40.2% below its 200 day moving average of $21.95. Overall earnings estimates have been revised higher since the company's last earnings release. On Wednesday, January 26, 2022 there was some notable buying of 29,706 contracts of the $15.00 call and 29,190 contracts of the $15.00 put expiring on Friday, February 18, 2022. Option traders are pricing in a 13.6% move on earnings and the stock has averaged a 10.3% move in recent quarters. (CLICK HERE FOR THE CHART!) Shopify Inc. $854.00 Shopify Inc. (SHOP) is confirmed to report earnings at approximately 7:00 AM ET on Wednesday, February 16, 2022. The consensus earnings estimate is $1.46 per share on revenue of $1.70 billion and the Earnings Whisper ® number is $1.67 per share. Investor sentiment going into the company's earnings release has 62% expecting an earnings beat. Consensus estimates are for earnings to decline year-over-year by 21.93% with revenue increasing by 73.87%. Short interest has increased by 27.1% since the company's last earnings release while the stock has drifted lower by 36.7% from its open following the earnings release to be 37.0% below its 200 day moving average of $1,356.01. Overall earnings estimates have been revised higher since the company's last earnings release. On Thursday, January 6, 2022 there was some notable buying of 1,524 contracts of the $1,180.00 put and 1,507 contracts of the $1,180.00 call expiring on Friday, February 18, 2022. Option traders are pricing in a 12.9% move on earnings and the stock has averaged a 5.8% move in recent quarters. (CLICK HERE FOR THE CHART!) Roblox Corporation $66.81 Roblox Corporation (RBLX) is confirmed to report earnings at approximately 4:05 PM ET on Tuesday, February 15, 2022. The consensus estimate is for a loss of $0.13 per share on revenue of $777.39 million and the Earnings Whisper ® number is ($0.11) per share. Investor sentiment going into the company's earnings release has 63% expecting an earnings beat. Short interest has decreased by 17.6% since the company's last earnings release while the stock has drifted lower by 32.9% from its open following the earnings release to be 22.4% below its 200 day moving average of $86.07. Overall earnings estimates have been revised higher since the company's last earnings release. On Thursday, February 3, 2022 there was some notable buying of 4,602 contracts of the $70.00 call expiring on Friday, February 18, 2022. Option traders are pricing in a 18.4% move on earnings and the stock has averaged a 21.6% move in recent quarters. (CLICK HERE FOR THE CHART!) Upstart Holdings, Inc. $100.02 Upstart Holdings, Inc. (UPST) is confirmed to report earnings at approximately 4:05 PM ET on Tuesday, February 15, 2022. The consensus earnings estimate is $0.52 per share on revenue of $262.84 million and the Earnings Whisper ® number is $0.58 per share. Investor sentiment going into the company's earnings release has 73% expecting an earnings beat The company's guidance was for earnings of $0.50 to $0.52 per share on revenue of $255.00 million to $265.00 million. Consensus estiamtes are for year-over-year revenue growth of 203.13%. Short interest has increased by 150.3% since the company's last earnings release while the stock has drifted lower by 58.8% from its open following the earnings release to be 46.3% below its 200 day moving average of $186.12. Overall earnings estimates have been revised lower since the company's last earnings release. On Tuesday, February 8, 2022 there was some notable buying of 1,273 contracts of the $430.00 call expiring on Friday, January 20, 2023. Option traders are pricing in a 25.4% move on earnings and the stock has averaged a 34.1% move in recent quarters. (CLICK HERE FOR THE CHART!) Roku Inc $163.94 Roku Inc (ROKU) is confirmed to report earnings at approximately 4:05 PM ET on Thursday, February 17, 2022. The consensus earnings estimate is $0.07 per share on revenue of $897.12 million and the Earnings Whisper ® number is $0.25 per share. Investor sentiment going into the company's earnings release has 69% expecting an earnings beat The company's guidance was for revenue of $885.00 million to $900.00 million. Consensus estimates are for earnings to decline year-over-year by 85.71% with revenue increasing by 38.04%. Short interest has increased by 36.5% since the company's last earnings release while the stock has drifted lower by 43.4% from its open following the earnings release to be 46.5% below its 200 day moving average of $306.64. Overall earnings estimates have been revised lower since the company's last earnings release. On Thursday, January 27, 2022 there was some notable buying of 2,283 contracts of the $100.00 put and 1,542 contracts of the $210.00 call expiring on Friday, February 18, 2022. Option traders are pricing in a 15.8% move on earnings and the stock has averaged a 7.7% move in recent quarters. (CLICK HERE FOR THE CHART!) Trade Desk, Inc. $76.30 Trade Desk, Inc. (TTD) is confirmed to report earnings at approximately 7:30 AM ET on Wednesday, February 16, 2022. The consensus earnings estimate is $0.26 per share on revenue of $389.20 million and the Earnings Whisper ® number is $0.30 per share. Investor sentiment going into the company's earnings release has 77% expecting an earnings beat The company's guidance was for revenue of at least $388.00 million. Consensus estimates are for earnings to decline year-over-year by 24.20% with revenue increasing by 21.66%. Short interest has decreased by 19.5% since the company's last earnings release while the stock has drifted lower by 9.5% from its open following the earnings release to be 0.3% above its 200 day moving average of $76.09. Overall earnings estimates have been revised lower since the company's last earnings release. On Friday, February 11, 2022 there was some notable buying of 929 contracts of the $72.00 put expiring on Friday, February 18, 2022. Option traders are pricing in a 17.8% move on earnings and the stock has averaged a 15.8% move in recent quarters. (CLICK HERE FOR THE CHART!) DraftKings Inc. $23.33 DraftKings Inc. (DKNG) is confirmed to report earnings at approximately 7:00 AM ET on Friday, February 18, 2022. The consensus estimate is for a loss of $0.82 per share on revenue of $442.45 million and the Earnings Whisper ® number is ($0.94) per share. Investor sentiment going into the company's earnings release has 62% expecting an earnings beat. Consensus estimates are for earnings to decline year-over-year by 18.84% with revenue increasing by 37.31%. Short interest has increased by 34.7% since the company's last earnings release while the stock has drifted lower by 44.9% from its open following the earnings release to be 46.2% below its 200 day moving average of $43.39. Overall earnings estimates have been revised lower since the company's last earnings release. On Wednesday, February 2, 2022 there was some notable buying of 17,241 contracts of the $19.00 put expiring on Friday, February 18, 2022. Option traders are pricing in a 14.8% move on earnings and the stock has averaged a 4.6% move in recent quarters. (CLICK HERE FOR THE CHART!) Walmart Inc. $135.33 Walmart Inc. (WMT) is confirmed to report earnings at approximately 7:00 AM ET on Thursday, February 17, 2022. The consensus earnings estimate is $1.49 per share on revenue of $151.74 billion and the Earnings Whisper ® number is $1.60 per share. Investor sentiment going into the company's earnings release has 59% expecting an earnings beat. Consensus estimates are for year-over-year earnings growth of 7.19% with revenue decreasing by 0.22%. Short interest has decreased by 8.5% since the company's last earnings release while the stock has drifted lower by 6.7% from its open following the earnings release to be 5.0% below its 200 day moving average of $142.44. Overall earnings estimates have been unchanged since the company's last earnings release. On Wednesday, February 9, 2022 there was some notable buying of 12,003 contracts of the $150.00 put expiring on Friday, March 18, 2022. Option traders are pricing in a 4.6% move on earnings and the stock has averaged a 2.2% move in recent quarters. (CLICK HERE FOR THE CHART!) Airbnb, Inc. $166.53 Airbnb, Inc. (ABNB) is confirmed to report earnings at approximately 4:05 PM ET on Tuesday, February 15, 2022. The consensus earnings estimate is $0.05 per share on revenue of $1.46 billion and the Earnings Whisper ® number is $0.08 per share. Investor sentiment going into the company's earnings release has 55% expecting an earnings beat. Consensus estimates are for year-over-year earnings growth of 100.46% with revenue increasing by 69.91%. Short interest has decreased by 3.4% since the company's last earnings release while the stock has drifted lower by 10.5% from its open following the earnings release to be 4.7% above its 200 day moving average of $159.07. Overall earnings estimates have been revised higher since the company's last earnings release. On Friday, February 11, 2022 there was some notable buying of 4,465 contracts of the $205.00 call expiring on Friday, February 18, 2022. Option traders are pricing in a 10.3% move on earnings and the stock has averaged a 7.9% move in recent quarters. (CLICK HERE FOR THE CHART!) DISCUSS! What are you all watching for in this upcoming trading week? I hope you all have a wonderful weekend and a great trading week ahead r/stocks. :) submitted by /u/bigbear0083 [link] [comments]

The opening of tomorrow and Russia’s invasion plan. Posted: 13 Feb 2022 12:17 AM PST Hi everyone, I have decent experience in trading crypto, mostly made my money with it last year, and want to switch to stocks and commodities since that whole boom is behind us. I keep myself busy with macro economics and the state of the economy for fun. This is what led me to invest in crypto early, seeing the rise of inflation and run up of the conjuncture cycle. Last year we have seen the absolute peak of a high conjuncture that was fueled by central banks calling the current inflation transitory. But with the start of this year (and a bit earlier) we have seen the reversal of the conjuncture. This means more dissatisfaction and less jobs, riots and more expensive products. The latter being an indicator of reaching a peak in the conjuncture cycle. With the invasion plans being scheduled on coming Wednesday, I expect tomorrow to become a bloody red day. I had my hopes of avoiding the conflict because of the riot's in russia's border country Kazakstan. But i'm pretty sure that the pride of Vladimir is so big that he won't back down of Ukraine. This is the reason I am going to hedge my crypto with some investments in oil and gas this afternoon, as I see a rise in oil prices being more likely than tech and crypto doing good. With this I am also considering option trading with a small amount of money which I can afford to lose. How are you guys going to handle upcoming weeks? And since I am not super experienced like most of the people on this sub, I am open for your opinions and advice. :) submitted by /u/Dutchsteam [link] [comments]

New Tax Rules & Negative Impact on Resell Companies - Ebay, etc. Posted: 12 Feb 2022 02:51 PM PST I live in one of the states that changed '21 tax laws to require companies like Ebay to submit 1099Ks to the IRS once a threshold is met. Mine is Missouri and the limit was changed to $1200. I was completely caught off guard by this when I received one a couple weeks ago for the '21 tax year. I barely passed the limit - but everything I sold was my personal stuff. Which I sold for less than I paid for it. Luckily I was able to find receipts for most of it and will only be on the hook for a fraction of it. Starting in '22 federal tax law will require anyone that hits $600 be given a 1099k. This is going to be an absolute nightmare for the bulk of sellers that use sites like Ebay as a kind of electronic garage sale for their old stuff. Didn't keep the receipt for that Macbook you bought 4 years ago? - You'll pay tax on 100% of it (minus shipping, etc.). This is going to turn off so many sellers that simply don't want to deal with the tax implications/headaches. The silver lining... maybe this will cut down on the ridiculous amount of 'scalpers' keeping stuff like PS5s from ever hitting store shelves. *I'm not a tax advisor, so do your own research/confirmation on tax laws - And I have no stock in Ebay or any other resell site. submitted by /u/RockChalkWalk [link] [comments]

using leveraged oil/gas ETFs like NRGU Posted: 12 Feb 2022 04:38 PM PST NRGU....I know they're risky and many traders use them on a short term basis....but with oil gas stock prices rising (and might go higher due if Russia invades Ukraine) how long should the normal retail investor (moi) invest in them, to just hopefully get that 3x boost without staying too long and instead the opposite: a 3x hit? If I invested the amount would only be $1-5k Thanks! submitted by /u/chopstix62 [link] [comments]

When To Take Profit In O&G Producers, Again? Posted: 12 Feb 2022 01:25 PM PST Hi all, As usual, I am writing this to (a) bounce around ideas and (b) have something written down to check my own self-selective biases and to evaluate my track record as an investor EOY. I was long in O&G for 2020 (bought XOM at around $32*), rode the Delta Wave in 2021, saw a possibility of making a few extra percentages during Omicron. So I exited O&G, shorted them, exited the shorts and then re-entered on the long side. As oil equities have risen around 10-30% YTD, I am again faced with the question: "what now?" *As WTI rose, the risk curve of investing in oil equities shift leftward. To maintain my risk appetite and return, I started transitioning to more levered bets on oil (so XOM to OXY, PDS, OVV). The downside of this is that these names are more sensitive to WTI movement both ups and downs, within a range. Valuation-wise, O&G equities are still quite attractive compared to where WTI is. Depending on the stickers and where WTI will be in the next 6 months (as long as it stays btw $65-75/bbl), I think o&g equities have another 10-50% run from here. If bad comes to worse, it's still likely that o&g will yield between 10-30% FCF for 2022, absent a recession. WTI price-wise, $90/bbl WTI, if adjusted for inflation, is actually only equal to about $72 in 2010. Expenses associated with energy consumption as a percentage of GDP per capita (60k today vs. 48k in 2010) are also not outrageous. Unlike most of the oil bulls, I expect the break-even price will rise with inflation as costs of labor and new equipment rise, at least in the short term. If break-even rises to $65/bbl, that $90 WTI doesn't seem so outrageous anymore. Supply-demand imbalance, there is a considerable consensus among heads of commodity traders of the big banks (with a vocal minority of opposing views) that we're still in the early innings of an energy supercycle. Also, the IEA recently published their report pushing back their previous timeline of when supply will outstrip demand. FWIW, their views are the market's views. I continue to have a middle-of-the-road view btw the two extremes presented by the mega bulls and bears of oil. Conservatively, I think it's safe to say that WTI will continue to stay rangebound btw $65-75/bbl for 2022. However, I expect US shales will become a significant player again and supply will start outstripping demand in 2H2022. As such, I have and continue to position my portfolio toward O&G servicers and equipment. Historically, the servicers' profitability lagged the producers by about 18 months. At this point, I am fairly confident that this pattern will repeat this time, absent a recession. Mass-psychology wise, I continue to think we're in the very early innings of mass euphoria in O&G. There is little to no pumping of O&G in r/wallstreetbets or r/stocks. When there is mentioning, it's usually household names like XOM or CVX. I joke that I will know that we reach peak euphoria when retail starts peddling pre-revenue O&G names. I don't invest based on the assumption that others will become irrational, but it informs my decision of when to take profit. In conclusion, depending on what happens between now and EOY, I plan to take profit in the O&G producers sometime in 2H2022. O&G moves fast and things can change in the blink of an eye. As usual, I reserve the option to change my thesis as events unfold (will update if I do). I receive a lot of counterarguments/pushbacks for my shorts during the Omicron Wave. But I think that made me a better investor. So, call me out. submitted by /u/pml1990 [link] [comments]

Should I sell all my first-year RSUs in one transaction? Posted: 13 Feb 2022 12:29 AM PST My first-year RSUs will be vesting sometime next week, but due to recent market drop and terrible earnings, the RSUs have lost a lot of values in last 2 weeks. With the super-high inflation and possibility of Putin attacking Ukraine soon, I feel that the real market crash (the like of -80% drop) has a non-zero chance to start this week. This leads to the idea to sell all my RSUs in one transaction, wait for 3 - 5 days for it to settle, and buy in SPY / VOO. However, as the market is unpredictable, it is possible that I may sell at a low price and have to buy in SPY / VOO higher later. Should I sell all my RSUs in one transaction, or should I consider multi-day / multi-month sales? submitted by /u/Odd-Block-2998 [link] [comments]

Does neon supply really have any impact on the semiconductor business? Posted: 12 Feb 2022 03:21 PM PST Semiconductors dropped on aggregate about 5% on Friday on warnings that neon production, which is heavily concentrated in Ukraine, might be disrupted by a Russian invasion. I've read a bunch of articles on this warning and they all reference the seeming importance of neon to semiconductor lasers. Can anyone with intimate knowledge of the semiconductor manufacturing process explain where neon is used and how important it is to the process? Does the potential supply disruption justify the 5% drop across the industry? Or is it an overreaction and potential buying opportunity? I did my own research on the relevance of neon in silicon manufacturing and I can't justify the claims. As far as I can tell, most silicon manufacturing today is either DUV or EUV lithography. The former uses argon/krypton-fluoride lasers, while the latter uses tin plasma. I can't find a reference to neon anywhere. submitted by /u/quetric [link] [comments]

A look on the bright side Posted: 12 Feb 2022 04:19 AM PST Between inflation concerns, rate increases and Russia/Ukraine there is plenty of catalysts to be cautious of for the market. But there's always two sides so I wanted to take a look at some of the positives we have seen in the market recently: While some companies have been hit by earnings overall many have posted solid growth numbers, particularly for revenue. Supply chain concerns weighing down earnings are not likely to be long term drags. There is still clear buying pressure and outside of certain key names most dips are being bought and the floor is not falling out. While rising costs of good is clearly a concern, there has been real wage movement as we see workers gaining leverage as demand for them rises. After mid terms we might actually get meaningful legislation passed which could boost the economy or at least provide more clarity on the political picture for the next 2 years. These are some of the positive trends I see that can impact the market. I think the market has been taking earnings much more seriously but for those posting strong earnings I see real upward potential especially for second half of the year submitted by /u/Didntlikedefaultname [link] [comments]

Norwegian Air Shuttle Analysis Posted: 12 Feb 2022 06:52 PM PST Disclaimer: So, i am trying to learn and get better. I am doing some analysis with my friends and we present it to each others to do some practice and i though i could share it here and have some opinions or help to get better, some advice or something. More experienced people or specialists here that want to leave some critique on my "aNaLySiS" on Norwegian Air Shuttle?? COMPANY PROFILE Norwegian Air Shuttle ASA, known also as Norwegian, it is a Norwegian low cost air travel company that operates nationally and internationally with its headquarters in Oslo-Gardermoen. Founded in 22nd January 1993, Oslo It is the fourth low-cost company after Wizz Air, EasyJet e Ryanair, and the second largest in Scandinavia. It is the ninth in Europe for passenger volume. The company has a certified 4-Star Low-Cost Airline for their quality of its airports, onboard product and staff service (both on board and ground staff). The rating include also seats, amenities, food and beverage, cleanliness. The company operates mainly in Northern Europe Sector's Risks The current COVID-19 Pandemic is struggling Airlines Companies by lowering their income volume and of passengers volume. During 2019 and 2020, passenger volume decrease by 73%, with the lift of some COVID restrictions and the circulation of the vaccine, we shall an increase of passengers volume, still way low from pre Pandemic levels. PASSENGER STATISTICS October 2021 to January 2022 Time Observed Year Year before October 2021 1,203,205 319,477 November 2021 1 005 380 124,481 December 2021 931,917 129,664 January 2022 637,376 74,224 We can clearly see an increase of passengers traffic from the last year and the last period, due to the release of covid restrictions, there are more national and international travels. We shall expect an increased revenue in comparison to the last commercial cycle. FINANCE Main Key Points of the last crisis management during COVID-19 Successful conversion of debts into equity 0.5 Billion NOK loss from operations 3 Billion NOK loan guarantee aid from Norwegian State 330 million from associated private banks In million of NOK Q3 2021 Q3 2020 OPERATING REVENUE 1,927 1,288 EBITDA 21 -1,263 EBIT -295 -2,813 NET 169 -980 A clear signal of recover from the 2020 pandemic is reflected on the financial statement of the company, with an increasing influx of earnings and progressively positive financials. BALANCE SHEET In million of NOK 30 SEP 2021 30 SEP 2020 Total non-current assets 7,973 68,291 Total current assets 10,648 9,660 ASSETS 18,621 77,951 EQUITY 2,526 11,110 LIABILITIES 16,095 66,841 EQUITY & LIABILITIES 18,621 77,951 A clear point of its positive balances is due to the restructuring of its finance structures and debts by selling assets and equities. We can see a reduced financial debt too, a positive point for the company and free cash for disposal. The liquidation of inventory helped to stabilize the company finance. The company had to reduce its size and possessions to become financially stable in the long run. 2022 PROSPECTIVE Signed LOI* for lease of up to 13 Boeing 737-800 NG aircraft at favorable terms with PBH for the winter seasons 2021/22 and 2022/23 Currently, 51 aircraft in operation with PBH through winter 2021 above a minimum operation equivalent to 10 aircraft In negotiations for additional aircraft to be added to the fleet by summer 2022 subject to favorable terms \ subject to approvals and documentation. Norwegian has the right, under some of the leases, to substitute the subject 737-800 NG aircraft for new technology narrow-body aircraft from either Boeing or Airbus* [Would like to add some technicals too but i can't upload imagines here.] The company has room to grow, but yet it is still unprofitable in the short-mid term, I expect a modest bull trend to 14-16 per share at EOY, due to the reopening from lockdown. The increase in travel demand shall increase revenues of Norwegian, but there are a lot of road to cover and many inefficiencies to fix. Modest Buy, Long Hold. ​ Let me know what do you think please c: submitted by /u/YungChaky [link] [comments]

Re-Opening After COVID: An Overlooked Perspective on Small Businesses Posted: 12 Feb 2022 03:17 PM PST It's ironic that a leading narrative during the COVID-19 pandemic has been the struggle of small business, yet one that is completely overlooked when it comes to stocks. Small businesses have been struggling to survive or outright shutting down during the pandemic. Let's assess this with a bit of logic. If small businesses are shutting down, where is all that money going? It's going to large businesses like Amazon, Costco, Walmart, Apple, Microsoft, Home Depot, etc. all of which saw substantial growth during the pandemic. What happens when restrictions subside and life returns to normal? People go to restaurants, bars, tours, ski hills, road trips, souvenir shops, and spend money in foreign countries when they travel. These businesses often don't have tickers, and therefore money spent does not contribute to the growth of public companies. Absurdly high PE ratios of said companies means the market expects this insane growth over the last few years to continue and that's just not realistic even in a pandemic setting as it becomes more difficult to outpace their lofty benchmarks. This reallocation of spending is something that's not being addressed. Sure, small business might not make a full comeback, but in order for these large companies to grow into their valuations they can't have anything get in the way of their momentum, there is no room for error. For these reasons I counterintuitively consider the re-opening of the economy bearish. Recent Positions: from 100% stocks to 90% cash since December 31, 2021 the rest: Short-dated puts: RIVN, LCID, EA (after ATVI hype), SPY, ZS - sold most of these already Long-dated puts: AAPL, COST, SPY Short gambling calls/swing plays mostly for earnings: INTC, AMD, SNAP (after FB fear), NVDA, FB (OUCH!) submitted by /u/AlligatorHalfMan123 [link] [comments]

What to think of insiders selling? Posted: 12 Feb 2022 05:19 PM PST I've been looking into INMD for a while and have started to build a position over the last 2 weeks. Their earnings report came out 2 days ago and their insider selling across the board was brutal. Insiders stake has been reduced from 25% - 7% over the year. Obviously no one likes seeing this but I'll try to share some thinking on why this is potentially not being enough of a problem to cause me to sell. I read "One up on Wall Street" and Peter Lynch talks about how insider buying is always good but insider selling can mean many different things. The stock did run 300% to January-October so it was smart to take gains throughout the year. The stock has fallen 55% from its all time high so they could potentially buy back shares they sold last year. They also guided conservatively leading me to believe that they wanted the stock lower, potentially to re-buy shares. Let me know if you think I'm grasping at air here or if you believe there's so validity to my points. submitted by /u/NikTebow [link] [comments]

ELI5: How do ETFS collect their fees? Posted: 12 Feb 2022 01:17 PM PST Hello, I am new to stocks. After reading a lot of the advice on this reddit, I decided to invest into ETFs. I understand the concept of expense ratios but one thing that has confused me, is how are the fees by ETFs actually collected? I have read a lot of articles on this but it just doesn't make sense :( I sold a small portion of my ETFs last week and didn't see anything in my brokerage account that indicates the fees were taken out. I thought maybe the fees were being collected by reducing my shares but I noticed that didn't change either. In very basic terms, where would I notice the ETF fees? Thanks in advance! submitted by /u/HonorableMrCurious [link] [comments]

Why is HelloFresh’s trade volume so low? Posted: 12 Feb 2022 08:06 PM PST On Friday HelloFresh's trade volume was 202 shares, but it has a market cap of 10 billion. I think because of this the bid ask spread is much larger than normal. I'm interested in investing but this is making me hesitant. Is it just because they are German? Anyone know? submitted by /u/AndrewPennyBags [link] [comments]

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