Daily General Discussion and spitballin thread - August 06, 2021 Investing |
- Daily General Discussion and spitballin thread - August 06, 2021
- Daily Advice Thread - All basic help or advice questions must be posted here. August 06, 2021
- Beyond Meat announces Q2 results; Revenue up 32%
- Goldman Becomes S&P 500’s Biggest Bull After a Target Upgrade
- What are some of your less popular stocks that you plan to hold for the long-term?
- Moderna announces Q2 results; crushes earnings
- Virgin Galactic reports loss – Q2 2021
- Mobile Apps for Stock Research
- ATHX top line data released from japan partner. Biotech ready to rip
- Trying to understand Personal Rate of Return with company retirement account.
- Question about Chinese stocks
- $MX - Buyout Offer at $29 - Trading at $21
- Question for Hotel Analysts
- Why does the same company move differently on different markets?
- What do you think about $KTRA?
- COVID delta/lambda fears vs. Gen Z demographic shift. Which macroeconomic trend makes more sense medium term?
- The ADR/VIE argument on Chinese stocks is null and void..
| Daily General Discussion and spitballin thread - August 06, 2021 Posted: 06 Aug 2021 02:01 AM PDT Have a general question? Want to offer some commentary on markets? Maybe you would just like to throw out a neat fact that doesn't warrant a self post? Feel free to post here! This thread is for:
Keep in mind that this subreddit, and this thread, is not an appropriate venue for questions that should be directed towards your broker's customer support or google. If you would like to ask a question about your personal situation or if you are asking for advice please keep these posts in the daily advice thread as that thread is more well suited for those questions. Any posts that should be comments in this thread will likely be removed. [link] [comments]  |
| Daily Advice Thread - All basic help or advice questions must be posted here. August 06, 2021 Posted: 06 Aug 2021 02:00 AM PDT If your question is "I have $10,000, what do I do?" or other "advice for my personal situation" questions, you should include relevant information, such as the following:
Please consider consulting our FAQ first - https://www.reddit.com/r/investing/wiki/faq And our side bar also has useful resources. Be aware that these answers are just opinions of Redditors and should be used as a starting point for your research. You should strongly consider seeing a registered financial rep before making any financial decisions! [link] [comments]  |
| Beyond Meat announces Q2 results; Revenue up 32% Posted: 05 Aug 2021 01:18 PM PDT Beyond Meat® announced its Q2 results ending July 3, 2021, on Thursday after the closing bell. Key Highlights:
https://risingcandle.com/marketnews/beyond-meat-announces-q2-results-revenue-up-32/ [link] [comments]  |
| Goldman Becomes S&P 500’s Biggest Bull After a Target Upgrade Posted: 05 Aug 2021 05:01 AM PDT "Goldman Sachs Group Inc. strategists lifted their outlook for the S&P 500 Index as robust earnings growth and low interest rates fuel optimism that stocks can continue rallying despite record high levels." "David J. Kostin and his colleagues raised the end-2021 target to 4,700 after the benchmark U.S. index surpassed their earlier prediction of 4,300 about a month ago, according to a note. This implies a return of about 7% from current levels for the remainder of the year and is the highest forecast in the monthly Bloomberg survey of Wall Street strategists." "The strong earnings season has been driving U.S. stocks to all-time highs, outweighing concerns about the delta variant, China's crackdown and possible scaling back of monetary stimulus. Goldman strategists today boosted their earnings-per-share estimates to $207 from $193 for this year, implying a whopping 45% annual growth." [link] [comments]  |
| What are some of your less popular stocks that you plan to hold for the long-term? Posted: 05 Aug 2021 03:39 PM PDT With all the huge selection of stocks and categories I'm wondering what some people's lesser favorite stocks are that they plan to hold for the long term? These would be stocks that you aren't over-leveraged on yet still want to hold a small position to see in the long run. I'll start with a few, these are only a few percentages/fractions of my total portfolio but I do believe in their fundamentals:
What are yours? [link] [comments]  |
| Moderna announces Q2 results; crushes earnings Posted: 05 Aug 2021 06:04 AM PDT Moderna Inc. announced its Q2 results on Thursday before the bell. Key Highlights:
https://risingcandle.com/business/moderna-announces-q2-results-crushes-earnings/ [link] [comments]  |
| Virgin Galactic reports loss – Q2 2021 Posted: 05 Aug 2021 01:46 PM PDT Virgin Galactic reported its fiscal Q2 2021 results on August 5. It announced earnings of $ -0.39 per share with revenue of $0.571 million. In July, the Company completed an "at-the-market" equity offering program (the "ATM Offering"). In connection with the ATM Offering, the Company filed a prospectus supplement with the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission to offer and sell up to $500 million of shares of the Company's common stock from time to time. The Company ultimately generated $500 million in gross proceeds through the sale of approximately 13.7 million shares of common stock. The Company intends to use the net proceeds generated from the ATM Offering for general corporate purposes, with a priority on expansion of its spaceship fleet. https://risingcandle.com/marketnews/virgin-galactic-reports-loss-q2-2021/ [link] [comments]  |
| Mobile Apps for Stock Research Posted: 06 Aug 2021 02:54 AM PDT Is there a Mobile App that has Stock research tools? Stuff like - Macrotrends Charts - Historical values - Financial Information spanning multiple years - Analyst Estimates - Earnings Calenders - Something like Finviz - Ratios - 10-K's - 10-Q's - Institutional Ownership - Insider selling/buying - etc. And a bunch of other information. The websites I usually use on PC aren't mobile compatible or leave out information on mobile. [link] [comments]  |
| ATHX top line data released from japan partner. Biotech ready to rip Posted: 05 Aug 2021 08:37 PM PDT https://ssl4.eir-parts.net/doc/4593/tdnet/2010473/00.pdf top line data released from partner tonight, partnership agreement updated, approval from japan imminent I just forgot to get a ban from here for small market cap posting. 15,105 long 1.73 DCA Terrible management, but all things considered I still hold. [link] [comments]  |
| Trying to understand Personal Rate of Return with company retirement account. Posted: 05 Aug 2021 01:42 PM PDT I have a retirement account with TIAA and I can't tell if they calculate my contributes into the rate of return. If they do, then I feel the rate is being illustrated as higher than it actually is. This is their language on how they calculate the return rate: Your personal rate of return is the amount gained or lost divided by cash flow, which includes your contributions or withdrawals. The contributions or withdrawals are aggregated each month and then time-weighted to the 15th of the month. This estimates the changes in your balance compared to market movement. Here's an example with a contribution: Beginning balance (January 1st): $100,000.00 Contribution in March: +$15,000.00 Weighted contribution $11,958.90 Market gain +$20,000.00 Ending balance (December 31st): $135,000.00 Personal annualized rate of return: 17.9% In this example, there is a $15,000 contribution made in March, and calculated as of the 15th of March, which creates an annual weighting multiple of .7973. This represents the net market movement divided by the amount of the balance affected by the market movement. Here's the formula of the actual calculation: PRR = (Ending balance - beginning balance - total cash flow) I understand you have to add the amount of the contributions to the base for the return, but I think they are saying my contributions are counted as returns, which doesn't make sense to me. Can anyone clarify this for me? [link] [comments]  |
| Posted: 06 Aug 2021 04:33 AM PDT So my portfolio has about 1/5 china stocks in terms of value. Specifically they are XPEV and NIO. I'm heavy on ev anyway as tesla is my biggest holding, but I was holding these two basically as a hedge against china's dominance. And also thought China will probably cease teslas business in the country to promote their Nio patriotism I'm up a few percent on both but am considering selling these and buying some other companies I hold but am down on. Is anyone else pondering the China scenario and wondering whether to get out now? Cayman Islands bullshit, CCP bullshit. I know ev wouldn't have the same reasons as education to mess around just looking for some guidance or opinions. [link] [comments]  |
| $MX - Buyout Offer at $29 - Trading at $21 Posted: 05 Aug 2021 07:19 AM PDT Figured I'd post this here too just to get some of the more rationale investor's thoughts. In a nutshell, $MX is a stock with a current outstanding buyout offer at $29. It is trading at $21 because the government is looking into it. You are betting on the merger going through. If it passes the gov's scrutiny, I see us popping to at least $26, maybe up to $29. Let me know if you see a downside I'm not seeing. Company OverviewSo what is Magnachip. Magnachip, $MX, is a semi-conductor company based in South Korea that produces OLED display drivers as well as power management integrated circuits. Their OLED tech goes into smartphones, TVs, as well as automobiles. Their power integrated circuits are used in automotive, 5g, and the energy industry. The company pulled in about 500M in revenue last year and has been around for 15 years and owns a portfolio of approximately 1,200 registered patents and pending applications. So it's not a non-sense vapor-ware company. https://investors.magnachip.com/node/12216/html Why MagnachipMagnachip is supposedly such a good investment that two firms have offered to buyout Magnachip one at $29 and one at $35.
Note that Magnachip is trading at $21 right now. 😮😮😮😮😮😮😮 The reason why $MX is trading at $21 right now as opposed to $29 is because the US government (as well as South Korean government) has stepped in to 'review' this buyout. They don't want to lose another semiconductor company to China. Wiseroad Capital is a Chinese private equity firm. And China = Very Bad. So buying $MX means you take on the risk that the deal falls through cuz US gov thinks China = Bad. With that said, even with that risk, IMO, it makes sense to buy $MX 🚀🚀. Here are a few reasons.
Do I think the deal will go through? Honestly, I'm just an ape so no idea. But note that most of Magnachip's sales are to Samsung as well as to companies in China. https://investors.magnachip.com/node/12216/html Meaning, it rarely sells to companies in the US. In other words, from a trade and technological standpoint, the US doesn't stand to lose much if China does end up owning the company. South Korea, could stand to lose out. But Wiseroad was willing to give up 84M if South Korea does not approve the deal. So when is the deal expected to go through? Some say by the end of this year. But recently, the US announced that it plans to be done with it's part of the review by 9/13. https://investors.magnachip.com/node/12486/html As for when South Korea will be done? Who knows. I'd imagine it would be shortly after . OR, South Korea may have even been ok with it in the first place, and are just waiting for the US. Who knows. But the deadline to keep in mind is 9/13, and obviously it could be A LOT SOONER. Personally, I'm thinking, if the buyout gets OKed, $MX goes to $26 after confirmation and then goes to $29 eventually. But, if it falls through, it may eventually be bought out for even more! Someone was willing to pay $35 at one point. ---------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Disclosure: I am long $MX. Fellow Redditors should carefully consider their investment objectives and risks before yoloing into $MX. Opinions and statements regarding the financial markets are based on current market conditions and constitute my judgment. They are subject to change without notice. My bullish sentiment is my opinion and was reached after doing intensive due diligence on the industry and company. [link] [comments]  |
| Posted: 05 Aug 2021 09:24 AM PDT Hey guys. I'm doing a practice model. I'm thinking how I should model the revenue. The company reports ADR, Occupancy Rate, RevPAR for maybe 40% of their brands, they've gone with an "asset-light" growth plan. They're selling their owned properties and doing management/franchise agreements instead. They get % of revenue from management/franchised hotels, and some incentive fees. I'm wondering whether I should attempt to take the ADR information for brands, number of rooms, and build revenue generated by the brands, then apply the % of revenue for management/franchise (the third party who actually owns the hotel gets majority of the revenue). I'm wondering what the professional's models look like. Do they just do previous year with a growth rate, or do they go brand level? Brand level would allow for seeing which brands in a segment may outperform competitors? [link] [comments]  |
| Why does the same company move differently on different markets? Posted: 05 Aug 2021 07:30 AM PDT I found a company that is listed both on the NYSE and TSX. The stock moves roughly the same on both but will sometimes follow a more extreme version of the pattern on the NYSE. For example NYSE:MFC is up 1.9% right now but TSX:MFC is up only 1.3%. What could cause this? Is it due to the currency exchange rate? [link] [comments]  |
| What do you think about $KTRA? Posted: 05 Aug 2021 09:10 AM PDT I truly believe based of of positive data that $KTRA is going to be a good investment. I bought in at 1.72, averaged down to 1.69, sold at 2.40 and now I'm back in at 1.51 Currently holding 25,000 shares @1.51 I believe there is going to be positive data and send this to at least 2.50 - 3.00 What do you think about $KTRA? [link] [comments]  |
| Posted: 05 Aug 2021 04:43 PM PDT On one hand, it appears that the equities markets will just keep posting new ATH's what with all this free money. In a way, QE at this rate , tapering or no tapering, looks like it pretty much guarantees a 10%+ YoY rise every quarter. Add to that the gen Z entering workforce, generating income, making things, etc... sounds like a Bullish context to me. On the other hand: what about all this fallout from the C19 crisis? Crazy inflation at the supply chain-level as well, forcing companies to reduce output, then all the latent issues on the Main Street economy, store closures abound. Is this fall going to be the quarter where QE isn't going to work anymore? Finally, latest data suggesting that there is a decent spike in various areas. Example: California is probably issuing limits again due to drastic increases in hospitalizations from delta. And what if lambda goes viral (har har)? That would obviously cause a complete fallout. I'm having a hard time deciphering the mixed signals. Curious what others think. [link] [comments]  |
| The ADR/VIE argument on Chinese stocks is null and void.. Posted: 05 Aug 2021 06:27 PM PDT I've noticed a lot of people on here recently that don't seem to understand there's more than one way to buy Chinese stocks, like Alibaba or Tencent. People have been saying the ADR/VIE structure is dangerous because technically you own a shell company in the Cayman Islands and not the actual company and there's no protection for you as an investor.. which I admit is fair and true. But people on here for whatever reason don't realize both of these companies trade in Hong Kong, on the Hong Kong Exchange (H-Shares) Tickers: HK0700 and HK9988.. Owning the H-Shares is actually owning a piece of the company and you are taking a piece of risk off the table. If the US ever decided to delist, they'd be delisting the ADR's, they have no jurisdiction over the H-Shares. If China ever decided to pull the companies out of US Markets, again, that only affects the ADR's and not the H-Shares.. Point being, not investing in these two companies for that reason alone is not a good reason. You don't like China? Don't like Chinese stocks for various other reasons? Fine.. but there are other safer ways to buy shares of the companies.. If you don't have a broker that offers H-Shares? Find a new broker. [link] [comments]  |
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