Stocks - r/Stocks Daily Discussion & Technicals Tuesday - Jul 27, 2021 |
- r/Stocks Daily Discussion & Technicals Tuesday - Jul 27, 2021
- CDC to reverse indoor mask policy, saying fully vaccinated people should wear them indoors in Covid hot spots
- Alibaba group Announces filling of Annual report on Form 20-F for 2021
- Apple crushes estimates as company releases Q2 earnings
- Microsoft beats earnings and revenue expectations as the company releases Q2 report
- Trying to clear some things about chinese stocks and BABA
- Google advertising revenue rises 69% from last year
- Google beats EPS, revenue estimates as the company releases Q2 earnings
- Where is the value in owning Chinese stocks?
- The Hang Seng is down 20% from its ATH, entering a bear market
- Microsoft earnings call
- What are your thoughts on TSM?
- As of today, Alibaba stock is down 20% in the past 1 month. What happened?
- What is the seriousness of the very high Buffet indicator?
- Is CLF a solid long term hold?
- Would inflation really affect the market?
- Robinhood IPO
- Opinions on UPS?
- Is there anywhere where I can see historical minute per minute options Greeks chart
- How to realize loss of bankrupt company?
- Someone help me understand the directionality of the 10-year T Bond and why year after year the yields decrease (since 1980)
- What if you bought Top 50 Highest rated stocks by Seeking Alpha on May. 27? Second update (60 days)
- $OLN ultimate value play, Covid Delta hedge and EV/Solar play all in one. 2021 expected revenue $6.38billion current market cap under $7bil
- Charts & Alerts - I get the FEELING I'm Trading Blindly?
| r/Stocks Daily Discussion & Technicals Tuesday - Jul 27, 2021 Posted: 27 Jul 2021 02:30 AM PDT This is the daily discussion, so anything stocks related is fine, but the theme for today is on technical analysis (TA), but if TA is not your thing then just ignore the theme and/or post your arguments against TA here and not in the current post. Some helpful day to day links, including news:
Technical analysis (TA) uses historical price movements, real time data, indicators based on math and/or statistics, and charts; all of which help measure the trajectory of a security. TA can also be used to interpret the actions of other market participants and predict their actions. The main benefit to TA is that everything shows up in the price (commonly known as "priced in"): All news, investor sentiment, and changes to fundamentals are reflected in a security's price. TA can be useful on any timeframe, both short and long term. Intro to technical analysis by Stockcharts chartschool and their article on candlesticks If you have questions, please see the following word cloud and click through for the wiki: See our past daily discussions here. Also links for: Technicals Tuesday, Options Trading Thursday, and Fundamentals Friday. [link] [comments]  |
| Posted: 27 Jul 2021 09:06 AM PDT Ah shit here we go again Thoughts on how this is going to affect markets? Last week the market shrugged off fears of the Delta variant [link] [comments]  |
| Alibaba group Announces filling of Annual report on Form 20-F for 2021 Posted: 27 Jul 2021 05:39 AM PDT According to business Wire, Alibaba seems to adapt with usa regulations and will be using audit tools requested by the SEC. I believe this is good news for the china stock market, might reduce some fear since Friday. What do you guys think? [link] [comments]  |
| Apple crushes estimates as company releases Q2 earnings Posted: 27 Jul 2021 01:32 PM PDT Apple reported earnings after the bell. Here are the results. EPS: $1.30 vs. $1.01 estimated Revenue: $81.4 billion vs. $73.30 billion estimated iPhone revenue: $39.57 billion vs. $34.01 billion estimated, up 49.78% year-over-year Services revenue: $17.48 billion vs. $16.33 billion estimated, up 33% year-over-year Other Products revenue: $8.76 billion vs. $7.80 billion estimated, up 40% year-over-year Mac revenue:$8.24 billion vs. $8.07 billion estimated, up 16% year-over-year iPad revenue: $7.37 billion $7.15 billion estimated, up 12% year-over-year Gross margin: 43.3% vs. 41.9% estimated Greater China sales: $14.76 billion, up 58% year-over-year Americas sales were up nearly 33% year-over-year to $39.57 billion. Apple doing Apple things. I'm so shocked how good these numbers are despite having insane expectations. Tim Cook is a very talented CEO. Everything is up very nice YoY, especially the iPhone, 50% YoY. Amazing. Just amazing. Apple earnings are out – here are the numbers https://www.cnbc.com/2021/07/27/apple-aapl-earnings-q3-2021.html?__source=iosappshare%7Ccom.apple.UIKit.activity.CopyToPasteboard [link] [comments]  |
| Microsoft beats earnings and revenue expectations as the company releases Q2 report Posted: 27 Jul 2021 01:08 PM PDT Microsoft released its fiscal fourth-quarter results on Tuesday. Here's how the tech giant fared in the quarter relative to what analysts polled by Refinitiv expected: Earnings: $2.17 per share vs adjusted $1.92 per share expected Revenue: $46.15 billion vs. $44.24 billion forecast Here's some more info from Microsoft's own report: Revenue was $46.2 billion and increased 21% · Operating income was $19.1 billion and increased 42% · Net income was $16.5 billion and increased 47% · Diluted earnings per share was $2.17 and increased 49% "We are innovating across the technology stack to help organizations drive new levels of tech intensity across their business," said Satya Nadella, chairman and chief executive officer of Microsoft. "Our results show that when we execute well and meet customers' needs in differentiated ways in large and growing markets, we generate growth, as we've seen in our commercial cloud – and in new franchises we've built, including gaming, security, and LinkedIn, all of which surpassed $10 billion in annual revenue over the past three years." Business Highlights Revenue in Productivity and Business Processes was $14.7 billion and increased 25% (up 21% in constant currency), with the following business highlights: · Office Commercial products and cloud services revenue increased 20% (up 15% in constant currency) driven by Office 365 Commercial revenue growth of 25% (up 20% in constant currency) · Office Consumer products and cloud services revenue increased 18% (up 15% in constant currency) and Microsoft 365 Consumer subscribers increased to 51.9 million · LinkedIn revenue increased 46% (up 42% in constant currency) driven by Marketing Solutions growth of 97% (up 91% in constant currency) · Dynamics products and cloud services revenue increased 33% (up 26% in constant currency) driven by Dynamics 365 revenue growth of 49% (up 42% in constant currency) Revenue in Intelligent Cloud was $17.4 billion and increased 30% (up 26% in constant currency), with the following business highlights: · Server products and cloud services revenue increased 34% (up 29% in constant currency) driven by Azure revenue growth of 51% (up 45% in constant currency) Revenue in More Personal Computing was $14.1 billion and increased 9% (up 6% in constant currency), with the following business highlights: · Windows OEM revenue decreased 3% · Windows Commercial products and cloud services revenue increased 20% (up 14% in constant currency) · Xbox content and services revenue decreased 4% (down 7% in constant currency) · Search advertising revenue excluding traffic acquisition costs increased 53% (up 49% in constant currency) · Surface revenue decreased 20% (down 23% in constant currency) Microsoft returned $10.4 billion to shareholders in the form of share repurchases and dividends in the fourth quarter of fiscal year 2021, an increase of 16% compared to the fourth quarter of fiscal year 2020. Shares are down about 2% after hours So good beat by Microsoft. Nice to see the high growing areas line LinkedIn, Azure do well. Was surprised to see Xbox revenue decrease, but maybe we'll hear more about that on the call. Microsoft earnings are out – here are the numbers https://www.cnbc.com/2021/07/27/microsoft-msft-earnings-q4-2021.html?__source=iosappshare%7Ccom.apple.UIKit.activity.CopyToPasteboard [link] [comments]  |
| Trying to clear some things about chinese stocks and BABA Posted: 27 Jul 2021 05:56 AM PDT During the recent days, actually like every single day for the last two months there has been at least three posts about BABA stock and the rest of the chinese companies. I also feel that there's plenty of people who are maybe uncertain about a specific thing surrounding this topic, so I've decided to give it a shot and clear a few things about the drama around Alibaba and the other chinese stocks. So this year as many of you know, the chinese stocks have taken a serious beating this year: BABA - Down 40% from ATHs Tencent - Down 40% from ATHs JD - Down 39% from ATHs BIDU - Down 50% from ATHs NIO - Down 30% from ATHs DIDI - Down 51% from ATHs And the list goes on. Chinese stocks have fallen for numerous reasons. There's regulatory challenges and political risks resulting to fears of delisting. I'll go through these a little more, and then tell some positives and opportunities about this situation. Regulatory challenges All of the chinese companies are under heavy preassure from the CCP. There's been anti-monopoly regulators fining Alibaba with a fine of $2.8B and fining Tencent also for acquiring companies that would increase its market power. DiDi has seen Chinese regulator interest over how they collect user data. The government is already preparing a fine for the company. Among these cases, there will probably be many future fines to be handed which leaves all the companies under jeopardy. Tensions between the US and the Chinese government and the possibility of delisting The US passed the legislation late last year requiring foreign companies that went public in the US to allow audit inspections in the next three years. The Chinese government on the other hand, wants that Chinese companies would trade at their own exchanges and probably won't give permission to inspect the companies. This could lead to the delisting of some stocks, and everyone who put money in the companies would be left out with nothing. The opportunity Ok, now we've gone through the main problems with Chinese stocks. There are some that I didn't go through, but I think these would be the ones that are the most serious. With everything this going on, this creates an opportunity to snatch these companies on heavy discounts, if you're willing to take the gamble. But maybe if you'd give it a little bit of time and see how this pans out and maybe some of the worst risks would go out like the delisting risk, you could take a conservative position. This isn't financial advice, I don't hold any Chinese stocks at the moment. I only explained an opportunity. China is showing huge growth with the emerging middle class who are ready to spend. This is big for companies like BABA who are trading at 16x earnings and under book value. This was just a post to try to clear all the surrounding uncertainty. I gathered everything I have learned from this topic, but please fill some spots I missed. Hopefully I managed to help someone who didn't know as much as before. [link] [comments]  |
| Google advertising revenue rises 69% from last year Posted: 27 Jul 2021 01:23 PM PDT Earnings per share (EPS): $27.26 vs $19.34 per share, according to Refinitiv estimates. Revenue: $61.88 billion vs $56.16 billion, according to Refinitiv estimates. YouTube advertising revenue: $7.00 billion vs $6.37 billion expected, according to StreetAccount estimates. Google Cloud revenue: $4.63 billion vs $4.40 billion expected, according to StreetAccount estimates. Traffic acquisition costs (TAC): $10.93 billion vs $9.74 billion expected, according to StreetAccount estimates. Google is up 3% after a blow out quarter beats. It broke the ath again. With the economy reopening and the demand for digital ads increasing, google will be the beneficiary and the advertising revenue will keep increasing. This is the best reopening play among faamg and google will be outperforming for the 2nd half of the year. [link] [comments]  |
| Google beats EPS, revenue estimates as the company releases Q2 earnings Posted: 27 Jul 2021 01:18 PM PDT Alphabet, the holding company whose main business is Google, reported Q2 2021 earnings after the bell Tuesday Earnings per share (EPS): $27.26 vs. $19.34 per share, according to Refinitiv estimates. Revenue: 61.88 billion vs. $56.16 billion, according to Refinitiv estimates. YouTube advertising revenue: $7.00 billion vs. $6.37 billion, according to StreetAccount estimates. Google Cloud revenue: $4.63 billion vs. 4.40 billion, according to StreetAccount estimates. Traffic acquisition costs (TAC): $10.93 billion vs. $9.74 billion, according to StreetAccount estimates. Shares are up 2% after hours Incredible from Alphabet. Everything going up really nice whether it's YouTube or cloud revenue. Apple to go… Alphabet earnings are out – here are the numbers https://www.cnbc.com/2021/07/27/alphabet-googl-earnings-q2-2021.html?__source=iosappshare%7Ccom.apple.UIKit.activity.CopyToPasteboard [link] [comments]  |
| Where is the value in owning Chinese stocks? Posted: 27 Jul 2021 01:48 AM PDT There's lots of FUD going on right now in regards to Chinese companies, but I've been wondering this for a while. For most companies, when you buy stock you get a piece of that company and it's future profits. This gives the stock value. The share price goes up or down when the company's assets, liabilities and future profits are reevaluated, and that can drive growth because those assets and profits belong to you as a shareholder. With Chinese companies, you don't own a piece of the company. I dont see a dividend payout on the biggest Chinese stocks either. It doesnt matter if a company is trading at a 7 P/E if you dont actually have any tangible claim to those earnings. It seems to me like anyone buying a Chinese stock is doing so only hoping that someone will pay more for it in the future. Is there more too it that I'm not seeing? As a side note, I'm not saying that I think Chinese stocks are a bad investment, they could skyrocket for all I know. I'm just wondering what drives the value of something that doesnt seem to have any inherent value to a shareholder. [link] [comments]  |
| The Hang Seng is down 20% from its ATH, entering a bear market Posted: 27 Jul 2021 10:46 AM PDT I think it's important to know what's going on in markets around the world, but recent events have forced the Hang Seng index down almost 10% in the last 2 days, and 20% from its ATH, which categorises it as having entered a bear market. This might lead to buying opportunities, if you're willing to take the risk. I would keep an eye out to see how it performs tonight. It showed no sign of stopping its fall, and this may continue into tonight. [link] [comments]  |
| Posted: 27 Jul 2021 01:12 PM PDT Microsoft earnings call summary: Revenue: $46.15 billion versus $44.25 billion expected Earnings per share: $2.17 versus $1.92 expected Productivity and Business Processes: $14.69 billion versus $13.9 billion expected Intelligent Cloud: $17.38 billion versus $16.4 billion expected More Personal Computing: $14.09 billion versus $13.8 billion expected [link] [comments]  |
| What are your thoughts on TSM? Posted: 27 Jul 2021 09:19 AM PDT Its my biggest position and its dropped quite a bit and currently dropping more. I cant seem to find any reason why. What are ur thoughts? Their most recent earnings wasn't insane, but it was good. Their forecast and guidance is great as they forsee more business and expansion. The current tension with Chinese company's shouldn't matters to tsm as its not a Chinese company . Yet it has droppes to below 112.50 at time of this writing. What news am i missing here? [link] [comments]  |
| As of today, Alibaba stock is down 20% in the past 1 month. What happened? Posted: 27 Jul 2021 01:51 AM PDT I wouldn't have guessed a mega cap stock would take such a hit. As we all knew about alibaba, and about China, the government is always regulating technological companies. But why did the market only react now? Thats the part that I do not understand... On the other hand, I am happy to buy at the current price lol. Would average down if the price drops even lower. [link] [comments]  |
| What is the seriousness of the very high Buffet indicator? Posted: 27 Jul 2021 07:33 AM PDT I am a newbie, but I recently saw a post that showed an 89% surge in buffet indicator and did some research. How certain is a crash or correction in prices and how hard is it going to be and when could be a potential break? Is it something I should be worried about if I have invested huge sums of money for the short term(maybe the next 6 months )? a detailed article on buffet indicator thank you. [link] [comments]  |
| Is CLF a solid long term hold? Posted: 27 Jul 2021 09:50 AM PDT I've had some shares of them for a month now and it doesn't seem to move a whole lot, would this be more of a grower in the future? Like next 5 years ish? Especially with the infrastructure bill I figure it should be [link] [comments]  |
| Would inflation really affect the market? Posted: 27 Jul 2021 08:05 AM PDT Initially I think we will definitely experience a pullback with people scared about money so they pull it out… but if 40% of all US dollars were printed in this last year and the market is roughly 40% above where we were last year in February… doesn't this check out? The market might seem over inflated because of the dollar amount, but if we've been printing money left and right wouldn't it make sense to have an inflated market? I'm no finance expert and this is why I'm asking Reddit. But I have been watching stocks long enough to know that pretty much everything is priced in, so wouldn't we have already experienced a major crash if inflation is truly going to affect the market? Im pretty new to investing so I'm sure I'm wrong, someone tell me how my logic is flawed please [link] [comments]  |
| Posted: 27 Jul 2021 11:50 AM PDT I've been living in a bit of an echo chamber these last 7 months regarding a certain stock with multiple subreddits deditcated to it. On said subreddits there's a lot of poo poo being thrown at the Robinhood IPO this week. I wanted to poke my head outside of my echo chamber and see what some of you guys think about this listing. Thoughts? [link] [comments]  |
| Posted: 27 Jul 2021 07:09 AM PDT UPS stock has declined quite a lot today. Been on the watchlist for some time. Dividend is quite nice, about 2%. My only slight concern is the debt to assets ratio, which is currently at ~98.95%. Any opinions on the company and it's stock? [link] [comments]  |
| Is there anywhere where I can see historical minute per minute options Greeks chart Posted: 27 Jul 2021 01:00 PM PDT Is there anywhere where I can see historical minute per minute options Greeks chart I looked everywhere I could not find anything on google, I'm studying options price volatility and I need precise Greeks data, please let's me know if you know a database, even if it's paid it's fine, [link] [comments]  |
| How to realize loss of bankrupt company? Posted: 27 Jul 2021 07:20 AM PDT I had bought MadCatz (MCZAF) a long time ago. Company went bankrupt. For the longest time, my 600 shares had a small bit of value but now they're truly at zero and i want it out of my portfolio and to realize my loss to offset some of my gains this year. I'm on Ally and i cannot figure out how to get them off my book. Any help is much appreciated. [link] [comments]  |
| Posted: 27 Jul 2021 05:27 AM PDT Looking at a chart of the 10-year treasury bond yields, I can't help but notice that the yields have steadily declined since at least 1980, the furthest back I can pull up a chart for. In 1980 the yields were around 15% and it has slowly declined to where we are now (~1.2%). There has never really been a "growth" in the yields, just a steady slow decline. If the 10 year bond is used as a proxy for mortgage rates and also to gauge sentiment for the overall economy, wouldn't the decline over the past 40 years be a troubling sign? If the trend continues, what happens when the yields reach 0 or negative returns? It seems inevitable when looking at the charts that this is going to happen some day. What would cause the yields to actually start increasing again and reverse trend over the long term (say next 40 years it rises back to 15%)? It seems like we're at a tipping point considering it really can't go much lower than it is without turning negative. I'm not even sure what that would mean other than nobody is going to want to buy the 10 year T bond if the investment has no return but actually costs to own. I mean hell, as of now the 10 year bond return can't even beat inflation. But the alternative would be to turn around and start increasing for the next let's say 40 years. That's completely opposite of what it has done throughout it's history so how would that affect the markets and the economy if it did that? I guess, what is the future of the 10 year bond if yields go to 0 or negative. [link] [comments]  |
| What if you bought Top 50 Highest rated stocks by Seeking Alpha on May. 27? Second update (60 days) Posted: 27 Jul 2021 12:23 PM PDT https://docs.google.com/spreadsheets/d/14hyGy734pxznA--wL7hHqbOn8Sa6xjq8fNHtL_3XZ4o/edit?usp=sharing As I said, the List will not be updated every month, the idea was to see how those stocks perform over 3-12 months, if someone decided to buy all top 50 at a certain time, in this case May 27. Aside from top 50 highest rated, there are also other top 50 categories like "Top 50 Value", "Top 50 Growth" etc, for comparison. [link] [comments]  |
| Posted: 27 Jul 2021 08:05 AM PDT Current stock price of $44.22 with price targets in past 90 days ranging from $58-$69. Worth noting is the $69 price target came from Wells Fargo last month. Once Q2 earnings are released Wednesday the price targets will go up significantly as investors start to realize how lucrative being the worlds largest chlorine supplier has been in a renewable energy focused post COVID world as not only is chlorine used most in hospitals and homes for sanitation and related medical products, all EVs and solar related products require chlor alkali based products. All explained in detail below. Equities analysts expect that Olin Co. (NYSE:OLN) will post $2.1 billion in revenue for the current quarter. Olin reported sales of $1.24 billion during the same quarter last year, which indicates a positive year-over-year growth rate for the quarter of 69%. Expected quarterly earnings are expected to be a year over year increase of 330%" The company has expected earnings growth rate of 538% for the current year. Yearly EPS Forecast https://www.nasdaq.com/market-activity/stocks/oln/earnings TipRanks Strong Buy Recommendation with 33%+ upside Demand for chlorine and chlor alkali based raw materials will continue as the demand for chlor alkali based products used in hospitals, clorox and other sanitation related products, computer chips, and plastics has been sky high and shows zero sign of letting up. " From the computers used in admissions to the sutures used in surgeries, chlorine is a vital part of hospital operations and patient treatments. In fact, probably no other institution relies as much on chlorine as hospitals." " Hospital pharmacies are full of medications that rely on chlorine chemistry. Today, about 85 percent of all pharmaceuticals contain or are made using chlorine, including medications that treat heart disease, hypertension, cancer, AIDS, arthritis, pneumonia, depression, diabetes, allergies, meningitis, glaucoma, osteoporosis and ulcers. Acetaminophen, the most widely used pain reliever in hospitals, is made with chlorine." "Chlorine is essential to a wide variety of hospital equipment. An estimated 25 percent of all medical devices in hospitals are made using chlorine" " Chlorine compounds are used widely to maintain hospital cleanliness and prevent thousands of life-threatening infections" " Providing patients with safe water and nourishing food is essential to speedy recoveries. Once again, chlorine plays a vital role by ensuring that hospitals have safe water for drinking, bathing and other patient needs. Hospital kitchens and cafeterias rely on chlorine's disinfectant powers to kill dangerous food-borne bacteria such as Salmonella, E. coli and Campylobacter on food preparation surfaces." Chlorine. From medicines to blood bags, X-ray films to surgical sutures, disinfectants to drinking water, no other element plays so many roles helping hospitals provide patients with the critical care that saves lives. https://chlorine.americanchemistry.com/Chlorine/Front-Line/ "Chlorine chemistry plays an important role in harnessing solar energy—purifying the silicon found in grains of sand and helping transform them into solar panel chips. Wind turbine blades of chlorine-based epoxy resins help convert wind power into electricity for a clean, renewable, greenhouse gas-free energy source. Clean, energy-efficient hybrid vehicles contain electric motors powered by nickel metal hydride battery packs. These batteries, which last longer than the most advanced lead-acid battery, use potassium hydroxide—a co-product of chlor-alkali production—as an electrolyte." https://chlorine.americanchemistry.com/Chlorine/Chlorine-Benefits/Energy-and-Environment/ "Currently, more than 95 percent of all solar cells are produced from the chemical element silicon. Chlorine chemistry is essential to purifying silicon used to make both solar cells and integrated circuits, the foundation of modern electronics. According to a 2006 study, using chlorine chemistry to produce high purity silicon for integrated circuits and solar cells saves U.S. and Canadian consumers about $15.5 billion each year." https://chlorine.americanchemistry.com/SolarCells/ "First applied to medical applications during WWII, PVC ( polyvinyl chloride) is the most widely used plastic in healthcare, accounting for approximately 25% of all medical-plastic compounds." TL; DR In summary we need chlorine and chlorine based products now more than ever and will continue to have increased demand for them over time as technology based products all require computer chips made from silicone a chlor alkali and hospitals continue to need more chlor alkali based products through medical equipment, sanitation products, medications etc due to COVID 19 and the Delta variant. OLN is poised to capitalize on this market better than any company listed on the stock exchange being that it is the worlds #1 chlor alkali manufacturer. [link] [comments]  |
| Charts & Alerts - I get the FEELING I'm Trading Blindly? Posted: 27 Jul 2021 12:27 PM PDT So I've been trading for a while now and so far it's been going ok I do my research, follow the market (Mainly green energy,) hold my nerve and try to get in on the dips. I've never used a chart like the one posted below. https://imgur.com/a/zBH1b6Q I day trade by watching the pattern but I keep seeing such charts and I'm wondering if I should be using them too. Please advise [link] [comments]  |
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