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    Stocks - r/Stocks Daily Discussion & Fundamentals Friday Apr 30, 2021

    Stocks - r/Stocks Daily Discussion & Fundamentals Friday Apr 30, 2021


    r/Stocks Daily Discussion & Fundamentals Friday Apr 30, 2021

    Posted: 30 Apr 2021 02:30 AM PDT

    This is the daily discussion, so anything stocks related is fine, but the theme for today is on fundamentals, but if fundamentals aren't your thing then just ignore the theme and/or post your arguments against fundamentals here and not in the current post.

    Some helpful day to day links, including news:


    Most fundamentals are updated every 3 months due to the fact that corporations release earnings reports every quarter, so traders are always speculating at what those earnings will say, and investors may change the size of their holdings based on those reports. Expect a lot of volatility around earnings, but it usually doesn't matter if you're holding long term, but keep in mind the importance of earnings reports because a trend of declining earnings or a decline in some other fundamental will drive the stock down over the long term as well.

    See the following word cloud and click through for the wiki:

    Market Cap - Shares Outstanding - Volume - Dividend - EPS - P/E Ratio - EPS Q/Q - PEG - Sales Q/Q - Return on Assets (ROA) - Return on Equity (ROE) - BETA - SMA - quarterly earnings

    If you have a basic question, for example "what is EBITDA," then google "investopedia EBITDA" and click the Investopedia article on it; do this for everything until you have a more in depth question or just want to share what you learned.

    Useful links:

    See our past daily discussions here. Also links for: Technicals Tuesday, Options Trading Thursday, and Fundamentals Friday.

    submitted by /u/AutoModerator
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    Is have a $2 million portfolio better than owning a business?

    Posted: 30 Apr 2021 12:31 AM PDT

    I ask this because if your $2 million portfolio were to make an average ish 10% return, that means you made $200K plus whatever you make for your job, which is awesome. Would this be like owning a business in a way except that it is completely passive in comparison to managing a business such as a owning a restaurant?

    Any restaurant owners here? How much are you taking home a year? I don't care about revenue, I wanna know how much free cash flow and money in your pockets.

    submitted by /u/joeroganthumbhead
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    Reminder to think about taking SOME profits.

    Posted: 30 Apr 2021 09:33 AM PDT

    If you are holding your shares for the next 12+ months then disregard this post.

    This is less about micro caps (speculative plays) and more about the large cap companies. I realize how beat up EV, weed and micro caps are (though they did bounce this week). We are at the quarter end. The big earnings week is coming to a close. Earnings were "as expected" even though the spin is "exceeded expectations." The expectation of investors was that these companies would exceed expectations which is why the beginning of the month had so many buyers.

    There is going to be selling pressure over the next few days (maybe weeks). Lots of people sell after earnings simply because they don't want to hold for another three months and there are no positive catalysts in the near term to move the stock. This doesn't mean the company did anything wrong but the share price does come down. If there are enough buyers on the sidelines the prices won't move much but there will definitely be an increase of sellers out of some positions.

    Moving on to next quarter. There are a lot of supply issues and increased costs that many companies noted in their earning calls. We all know about the semi-conductor issue. Raw material costs are approaching all time highs in many sectors. Companies are raising their sale prices. The full impact of these issues won't be fully realized until the next earnings call but in preparation for that people are moving out of some of those stocks that they feel are most vulnerable.

    Also of note, as many in this forum have noted, the investments made over the "Covid crash" are now at their "long term" status and profit taking due to this will occur (is occurring) as well. "Sell in May and go away" is a load of crap but many people know the saying and CNBC (among others) will be using it liberally.

    These are just facts I am pointing out that are working against the market in the near term. It is your decision whether it matters or not to you. Among this will also be the "jobs, inflation, rate hike, covid, stimulus, etc" drama over the next few weeks (as is the usual). That can go either way and nobody knows anything for sure. There will definitely be a lot of reporting about summer travel after Covid! This will boost the re-opening plays from time to time. Also the infrastructure package will be a talking point to look forward to.

    TL;DR There will be selling pressure over the next couple of weeks which could escalate if there are not enough buyers rushing in quick enough. These buyers would hold off if "bad news" comes out during that time which would push share prices lower. There is definitely quite a bit of cash waiting for a buying opportunity but that usually takes an 8-10% correction to move in. It will recover over time (as always) but if you were looking to sell in the next few months there is nothing wrong with taking SOME profit at this level. If you are in it for over a year disregard this post.

    I am not telling you what to do. I am reminding you to think about what to do. You are responsible for your own decisions. Good luck out there!

    submitted by /u/GMEgotmehere
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    Cleveland Cliffs (CLF) rating upgraded by B. Riley to $33 ! post Biden Infra plan

    Posted: 30 Apr 2021 06:53 AM PDT

    B. Riley Raises Cleveland-Cliffs' PT to $33 from $24 After Updating Long-term Price Assumptions on Commodities, Keeps Buy Rating

    04/30/2021 (MT Newswires) -- (MT Newswires covers equity, commodity and economic research from major banks and research firms in North America, Asia and Europe. Research providers may contact us here: https://www.mtnewswires.com/contact-us)

    Price: 17.09, Change: -0.30, Percent Change: -1.73

    submitted by /u/Pietro405
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    NIO is ramping up for big things

    Posted: 29 Apr 2021 04:03 PM PDT

    NIO Inc. (NIO) is announcing the beginning of construction of NeoPark, a smart electric vehicle industry park it is co-developing with the Hefei government, ahead of the Chinese automaker's quarterly earnings release after the close Thursday.

    What Happened: Work on NeoPark has kicked off, Nio said in a Thursday press release. The opening ceremony was attended by several officials from Anhui province, where Hefei is located, as well as William Li, Nio's founder, chairman and CEO.

    Nio's China headquarters are situated in Hefei. The collaboration agreement with the Hefei municipal government for NeoPark was signed in early February.

    NeoPark is conceived as a smart EV industry cluster, encompassing R&D of vehicles, core parts and components and autonomous driving. It was envisioned to evolve as a pioneering innovation chain with global competitiveness and a hub for hundreds of key supporting industries and a highly clustered, full-fledged industry chain, the company said.

    The 16,950-acre park features three main function areas — smart manufacturing, R&D and living space, and Eco park. NeoPark will likely contribute to peaking carbon emissions and achieving carbon neutrality, according to the company. The park, according to company, will accommodate over 10,000 R&D personnel and 40,000 technical workers. It's expected to have an annual production capacity of 1 million vehicles and 100 GWh. The annual gross output from the park is expected to reach 500 billion yuan ($77.3 billion). Why It's Important: Nio has embarked on a broad push to drive volumes as it comes up against fierce competition in a crowded EV market. The company has announced innovation in battery technology, charging infrastructure and services, while also announcing new models.

    The company confirmed Wednesday that it is setting up operations in Norway, terming it as the first leg of its international expansion. The investment in Neo Park is also seen as a payback from Nio to the Hefei city, which bailed it out with financial assistance when the company was running out of cash in 2019.

    submitted by /u/someoneUnreadable
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    PsychoMarket Recap - Friday, April 30, 2021

    Posted: 30 Apr 2021 01:01 PM PDT

    PsychoMarket Recap - Friday, April 30, 2021

    The market fell on Friday after a record-setting session, with the S&P 500 (SPY) pulling back after recording fresh intraday highs. Market participants continue to assess the slew of corporate earnings reports and recent, encouraging economic data.

    Last night, President Biden addressed a joint session of Congress, during which he said "America was back on the move again" following the coronavirus pandemic that devastated the economy. In his address, President Biden touted his $2 trillion infrastructure plan and unveiled a new $1.8 trillion proposal aimed at supporting children, students, and families. This proposal, called the American Families Plan, would be funded in part with the newly proposed tax increases on the wealthy. Read the details of the proposal here.

    Shares of Amazon (AMZN) outperformed the market, jumping to a new record high after reporting blowout Q1 earnings fueled by sustained demand, showing great strength even as the economy in the US begins to reopen. Shares of Twitter, on the other hand, sunk after the company fell short of estimates, disappointing investors who hoped the company would show a strong pick-up in ad sales like peers Snap (SNAP) and Facebook (FB).

    Market participants also digested recent commentary from members of the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC), which included no major changes to policy but did highlight recent improvements in the US economy. FOMC members said the effective distribution of the vaccine in the US has improved economic conditions but reiterated interest rates will remain near-zero and the current pace of the asset purchasing program in place. The Fed said, "Amid progress and strong policy support, indicators of economic activity and employment have risen." The committee remains optimistic about the rebound in economic activity, describing the most affected sectors as "having shown improvement", but shows no signs of slowing quantitative easing or raising interest rates. With more than 8 million people still out of jobs compared to pre-pandemic levels, FOMC reiterated its commitment to supporting the economy.

    Highlights

    • The Labor Department released its Weekly Unemployment Report, which shows fresh pandemic-era lows as the economy gradually reopens.
      • Initial jobless claims, week ended April 24: 553,000 vs. 540,000 expected and an upwardly revised 566,000 during the prior week
      • Continuing claims, week ended April 17: 3.660 million vs. 3.590 million expected and a downwardly revised 3.651 million during the prior week
    • Shares of Uber, Lyft and Doordash (DASH) fell sharply after Reuters reported that Labor Secretary Marty Walsh supported reclassifying gig workers as employees. This change would give workers additional benefits at a large cost to companies. Recall the battle last year over Proposition 22 in California, which eventually passed in favor of companies in the gig-economy.
    • US gross domestic product (GDP) increased at a 6.4% quarter-over-quarter, seasonally adjusted annualized rate in the first three months of 2021, the Bureau of Economic Analysis said Thursday in its first estimate on GDP. This marked an acceleration from the 4.3% annualized growth rate from the fourth quarter of 2020
    • New York City Mayor Bill de Blasio said that NYC would open with full capacity beginning July 1. "Our plan is to fully reopen on July 1. We are ready for stores to open, for businesses to open, offices, theaters, full strength," de Blasio said.
    • Personal income jumped 21.1% in March over February, the Bureau of Economic Analysis said Friday. This came in better than the 20.3% rise expected, according to Bloomberg consensus data.
    • Shares of Nio outperformed the broader market, trading roughly 2% higher after the company reported better-than-expected earnings.
    • **Please note that current stock price was written premarket and does not reflect intraday changes*\*
    • Agios Pharma (AGIO) target raised by Barclays from $65 to $70. Stock currently around $56
    • Amedisys (AMED) target raised by Royal Bank of Canada from $335 to $350 at Outperform. Stock currently around $286
    • Amazon (AMZN) with a host of target raises following a blowout earnings report. Consensus price target $4200 at Buy. Stock currently around $3471
    • Brunswick (BC) with four target raises. Stock currently around $106
      • KeyCorp from $99 to $115
      • Raymond James from $109 to $122
      • Royal Bank of Canada from $99 to $116
      • Robert W Baird from $100 to $115 at Outperform
    • Burlington Stores (BURL) target raised by Morgan Stanley from $317 to $385 at Overweight. Stock currently around $321
    • Comcast (CMCSA) with two target raises. Stock currently around $56
      • Goldman Sachs (GS) from $62 to $64 at Buy
      • Raymond James from $61 to $63
    • Domino's Pizza (DPZ) with three target raises. Stock currently around $416
      • Oppenheimer from $405 to $450
      • Webdush from $475 to $480
      • Royal Bank of Canada from $446 to $466
    • Floor & Decor (FND) target raised by Wedbush from $110 to $130 at Outperform. Stock currently around $114
    • IMAX target raised by Macquarie from $25 to $30 at Outperform. Stock currently around $21
    • Mastercard (MA) with three target raises. Stock currently around $389
      • Mizuho from $430 to $435 at Buy
      • Macquarie from $385 to $425 at Outperform
      • Jefferies from $440 to $450 at Buy
    • McDonald's (MCD) with two target raises. Stock currently around $235
      • KeyCorp from $235 to $265
      • Wedbush from $255 to $260
    • OneWater Marine (ONEW) target raised by Robert W Baird from $40 to $60 at Outperform. Stock currently around $49
    • OSI Systems (OSIS) target raised by Roth Capital from $108 to $122 at Buy. Stock currently around $97
    • Silicom (SILC) target raised by Needham & Co. from $55 to $57 at Buy. Stock currently around $45
    • Atlassian (TEAM) with four target raises after reporting blowout earnings. Stock currently around $228
      • Morgan Stanley from $275 to $292
      • Canaccord Genuity from $260 to $275
      • Mizuho from $270 to $285
      • Macquarie from $263 to $270
    • Texas Roadhouse (TXRH) target raised by Wedbush from $110 to $122 at Outperform. Stock currently around $103
    • Western Digital (WDC) with three target raises. Stock currently around $71
      • Mizuho from $80 to $88 at Buy
      • Citigroup from $80 to $90 at Buy
      • Loop Capital from $65 to $90 at Buy
    • JP Morgan (JPM) target raised by Wells Fargo (WFC) from $190 to $195 at Overweight. Stock currently around $155
    • Following a disappointing earnings report, Twitter (TWTR) price target was lowered by a host of analysts. Stock currently around $65
      • Morgan Stanley from $68 to $62
      • Oppenheimer from $80 to $70
      • Rosenblatt Securities $65 to $60
      • Barclays from $52 to $48

    "The two most powerful warriors are patience and time." - Leo Tolstoy

    submitted by /u/psychotrader00
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    NIO has mixed Earnings

    Posted: 30 Apr 2021 07:11 AM PDT

    Because of chip shortages, Nio has mixed earnings for Q1 2021.

    submitted by /u/gorays21
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    Could Biden's cap gains tax be beneficial for retail investors over larger HF's and Investment banks?

    Posted: 30 Apr 2021 02:20 PM PDT

    The proposed rate increase:

    "Biden's proposal would reverse that—raising the top rate on capital gains up to 43.4 percent when including the 3.8 percent Net Investment Income Tax (NIIT)."

    https://taxfoundation.org/biden-capital-gains-tax-rate-historical/

    "President Biden intends to raise capital gains taxes for those earning more than $1 million a year his top economic adviser confirmed Monday"

    www.bostonglobe.com/2021/04/26/business/biden-set-1-million-threshold-capital-gains-tax-hike/%3foutputType=amp

    If retail investors are not in the stock market if or when these tax rate increases occur, is it -possible- this could be good for more small, retail-level, I'm-Living-With-My-Parents-Just-Trying-To-Make-Some-Money-To-Move-Out-Or-Start-My-Own-Business, "investors"?

    If the threshold of earners over >$1M is increased significantly (essentially doubled) could this be good for RI's who are with company's like RH/Schwab/other firms that allow accounts to be open that have/earn less than a million a year?

    submitted by /u/8Inches_0Personality
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    US Steel (X)

    Posted: 30 Apr 2021 06:47 AM PDT

    This is personal opinion and is no way investing advice, but steel prices are at all time highs, and demand is through the roof, take a look at an all time chart for X and look at the stock price last time steel prices were this high. Do what you want with this information!

    submitted by /u/Johnnyinvests
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    NXPI, Time to Buy?

    Posted: 30 Apr 2021 10:13 AM PDT

    As it falls towards 190/share is this a good one to get in on? Chip shortage yes but I assume in time that ends and they rise again. I have enough to buy five shares, would they be worth a long term hold? Just recently took some gains so looking to reinvest.

    submitted by /u/LuigiC173
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    Green investing

    Posted: 30 Apr 2021 12:41 PM PDT

    Hey everyone! I have been looking into investing in the green/carbon neutral industry and i have actually struggled to find some proper stocks or ETFs that are actually sustainable. The stocks that I did stumble on are nano stocks such as DGB Group NV (ticker:DGB), in which I have actually done a bit of research, it was more interesting than I expected, might post more about it later on :) But, more generally I was wondering if anybody share this experience of struggling to find actual sustainable stocks or ETFs?

    submitted by /u/IustinianusMO
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    Exxon Beats EPS; Beats Revenue Driven by Higher Crude Prices and Carbon Capture

    Posted: 30 Apr 2021 05:24 AM PDT

    https://www.thestreet.com/investing/exxon-mobil-tops-earnings-forecast-amid-activist-investor-pressure

    Full Disclosure:

    I am long on Exxon as my posts in this subreddit as well as other investing subs would demonstrate. These are my positions as of this morning:

    https://imgur.com/a/Xg1BF6X

    Why do I Keep Doubling Down:

    1: I think there's a strong chance of their share price hitting $100 within a year.

    2: I think their dividend yield is high enough and their dividend payment protected enough that I can afford to wait around in case point 1 does not occur. Today's earnings, so far, confirm that.

    Wish me luck.

    submitted by /u/Astralahara
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    How come this is this legal?? Palantir CEO Saw Compensation Rise Nearly 9,000% In 2020

    Posted: 30 Apr 2021 02:32 PM PDT

    

    Palantir CEO Saw Compensation Rise Nearly 9,000% In 2020

    by Shivdeep Dhaliwal1 min read

    16 hours ago

    $PLTR

    Palantir Technologies Inc (NASDAQ: PLTR) CEO Alexander Karp was paid $1.10 billion last year for his service to the data analytics company. What Happened: The compensation included $797.9 million in stock options and $296.4 million in stock awards — a hike of 8,990.9%. In 2019, Karp was paid $12.1 million.

    Karp's annual salary for the fiscal year ended Dec. 31, 2020, was $1.1 million and included $177,273 paid in bi-monthly installments and $124,364 paid in quarterly installments as an annual stipend. $800,00 was paid in quarterly installments as a "travel stipend," according to a filing made with the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission The company's co-founder Steven Cohen received $192 million in 2020 and was paid $16.1 million in 2019.

    IF YOU'RE INTERESTED IN THE WHOLE ARTICLE, HERE'S THE SOURCE: https://m.benzinga.com/article/20881752

    submitted by /u/Mooney-Aviator
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    Mandela Effect? I have a screenshot of NSPR being at 0.90 on 2/26/21 but went on RH and it says it was $13 at the time?

    Posted: 30 Apr 2021 04:56 AM PDT

    Said screenshot. https://imgur.com/a/qmcXlqX

    Always wanted to invest in this company and it was always around $1 for me. Went back to check it out and it's sitting at not only $6, but actually DROPPED since February where it was in the teens. I'm about to lose it unless someone can explain this to me.

    submitted by /u/TMoney127
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    Fund for child to leave and let grow

    Posted: 30 Apr 2021 12:44 PM PDT

    I have a 1 year old and we have created a UMTF for her. Right now all the cash gifts that she gets go into this account and I have it investing in QQQ. Given that its going to sit for 17 years is there a better fund that I should be investing in? A while back I saw something about a fund that is QQQ but also does some margin play that increases risk but also would increase any gains (Assuming over 17 years it goes up). Does anyone have any recommendations or know what fund I am talking about and why it might or might not be a good idea to put the money in there?

    submitted by /u/deverox
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    Disposable income as a result of the pandemic

    Posted: 30 Apr 2021 04:11 AM PDT

    No knock on those who lost their job during the pandemic (I truly empathize), but those that were able to work probably were able to save more than normal due to the abilty to curtail the entertainment tax. With things looking to open by summer, there should be a healthy flow of capital into this lagging sector. Added on top, biden wanting to spend on infra sounds like there should be a large injection of spending definitely this year and bleeding into the next which should equate to a robust economy.

    Any counter views to consider to this macro view?

    submitted by /u/mfairview
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    I have 3.5k and I don’t know what to do.

    Posted: 30 Apr 2021 02:39 PM PDT

    I know that the amount is insignificant. But I'm trying to find a good investment strategy and currently this is all I cam start with.

    I have already opened an account on IBKR but I'm not sure how to tackle my situation. Should I buy a maximum of three or four stocks? Because diversification isn't going to do much to me.

    Should I invest in something and sell it to increase the capital? Should I invest and leave it and add more to it every chance I get?

    How should I approach this? PS. As a muslim I can't buy shares on leverage and I also can't buy stocks that are harmful to humans such as cigarettes companies, gambling stocks, weaponry and such stocks.

    submitted by /u/Tomtanks88
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    Transfer stocks to different person

    Posted: 30 Apr 2021 10:28 AM PDT

    Hi. We purchased few stocks in my wifes name through Robinhood, which we want to transfer in my name. Robinhood does not have an option to change the stockholders name or transfer stocks. What would be the best way for the stocks to show under my name? Which broker would you recommend transferring the stocks?

    Just to add, it is for loan purposes.

    submitted by /u/magnumpl
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    When (or IF) EDR tradable on DeGiro or eToro?

    Posted: 30 Apr 2021 04:48 AM PDT

    Avid MMA practitioner here, looking forward to EDR going public, im just wondering if theres a place/website to see when these types of stocks will become tradable.

    So far I keep seeing people saying '' I own a part of X or Y now!', this makes me think I'm doing something wrong or maybe I'm looking in the wrong places.

    So does anyone know when it will become findable on DeGiro/eToro?

    Sources: https://www.fastcompany.com/90631111/endeavor-ipo-ufc-and-william-morris-talent-agency-owner-goes-public-today-on-nyse

    https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/EDR?p=EDR&.tsrc=fin-srch

    submitted by /u/lunaticz0r
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    Wash Sale Explanation Needed

    Posted: 30 Apr 2021 09:04 AM PDT

    I'm newer to stock trading outside my 401k/IRA accounts which are all 100% in S&P tracking funds.

    In my taxable account I have 1 particular stock I have bought and sold a number of times over the last month. As I have been getting more comfortable I have been increasing the number of shares I have executed with. My initial purchase was at 180 and sold for 180.30, I then had a number of purchases where I averaged down but then still sold for a loss (newbie panic sell), another couple buy/sells where I made a couple dollars per share after that. I now have purchased the stock again at 176.70 but my cost basis reflects the 180.30. The initial 180.30 was only on 10 shares, the newest purchase is on 100 shares.

    When I ultimately sell will my taxable cost base be 10@180.30 and 90@176.70 or do all 100 shares get calculated at the higher amount? It's messing me up because right now it looks like a huge unrealized loss on my account, but the actual price of the stock is higher than what I just bought it for (though lower than the very first purchase).

    submitted by /u/Underfunded
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    Bausch Health Companies(BHC)

    Posted: 30 Apr 2021 07:27 AM PDT

    Hi everyone, I have around 650 BHC stocks and I wanted to ask if it is worth it to hold the stock as the price is around $30? Is the company doing good and will it ever reach the price it had in 2015 ($250) or at least $100-150?

    submitted by /u/Knubster88
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    “Stock market returns are anything but average”

    Posted: 30 Apr 2021 06:31 AM PDT

    https://awealthofcommonsense.com/2021/04/stock-market-returns-are-anything-but-average/

    " 70 out of 95 years saw positive returns (74% of the time)

    25 out of 95 years saw negative returns (26% of the time)

    68 out of 95 years were double-digit gains or losses (72% of the time)

    56 out of 95 years were double-digit gains (59% of the time)

    12 out of 95 years were double-digit losses (13% of the time)

    40 out of 95 years were gains or losses of 20% or more (42% of the time)

    34 out of 95 years were gains of 20% or more (36% of the time)

    6 out of 95 years were losses of 20% or worse (6% of the time) "

    submitted by /u/batido6
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    What the heck is Compass Pathways (CMPS) planning?

    Posted: 30 Apr 2021 01:15 PM PDT

    CMPS is a billion dollar pharma company with one drug: COMP360, a synthetic psycilobin compound they hope to use to treat a variety of mental health (and maybe physical?) conditions. They are backed by Peter Thiel (7.5% stake) and their drug has been given breakthrough therapy designation by the FDA. They are expecting Phase 2b results later this year.

    According to their investor presentation they had 190 million in cash and cash equivalents at the end of 2020. I found a couple (1, another article I can't link to) articles that expected they had enough funding through 2023 (to fund for trials, expand testing sites,etc.). However, they are having an offering raising another 144 million dollars!

    Do you think they rose it so they'd have enough money to last them through 2024, or do you think they have other plans (perhaps an acquisition)?

    With the recent jump in shroom stocks I guess they saw it as an opportunity to raise more money. You'd think with 334 million they'd have enough not to dilute shareholders further for a while, but the same was said when they 190 million too.

    submitted by /u/squiglesthesquirrel
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    My friend wants to buy dividend stocks, then sell covered call options on them. Is this a good idea?

    Posted: 29 Apr 2021 06:01 PM PDT

    For example he is looking at buying Telus shares. He wants to load up at least 100 of them before the record date in order to collect dividends. He then plans on writing a covered call on his 100 shares in hopes to get some boosted gains. If his strike price is perfectly set, and people buy his option but then expires worthless, he makes gains on the share price going up, as well as dividend payments AND the premium of the call option. Seems juicy!

    My counter argument is that it limits his upside, and also potentially covers some losses if he sells the option and the stock drops. But besides those two factors, wouldn't it just be better to buy and hold the same stock? That way you at least have the option to hold your shares or sell them.

    submitted by /u/Magners17
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