• Breaking News

    Monday, March 8, 2021

    Stocks - r/Stocks Daily Thread on Meme Stocks Monday - Mar 08, 2021

    Stocks - r/Stocks Daily Thread on Meme Stocks Monday - Mar 08, 2021


    r/Stocks Daily Thread on Meme Stocks Monday - Mar 08, 2021

    Posted: 08 Mar 2021 02:20 AM PST

    The familiar "Rate My Portfolio" sticky can be found here.


    Welcome traders who just can't help them selves discuss the same exact stock that's been discussed 100s of times a day. I get it, you want to talk about what's popular, what's hot, and that 1.. single.. stock you like.. well here you go! Some helpful links just for you:

    An important message from our mod u/TCGYT regarding meme stocks.

    Lastly if you need professional help:
    * Problem Gambling: Call/Text: 1-800-522-4700 or chat online now.
    * Crisis Hotline (24/7): 1-800-273-TALK (8255) (Veterans, press 1) or Text "HOME" to 741-741

    submitted by /u/AutoModerator
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    r/Stocks Daily Discussion Monday - Mar 08, 2021

    Posted: 08 Mar 2021 02:30 AM PST

    These daily discussions run from Monday to Friday including during our themed posts.

    Some helpful links:

    If you have a basic question, for example "what is EPS," then google "investopedia EPS" and click the investopedia article on it; do this for everything until you have a more in depth question or just want to share what you learned.

    Please discuss your portfolios in the Rate My Portfolio sticky..

    See our past daily discussions here. Also links for: Technicals Tuesday, Options Trading Thursday, and Fundamentals Friday.

    submitted by /u/AutoModerator
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    Survey shows young people are going to spend around half of the stimulus check on stocks

    Posted: 08 Mar 2021 06:20 AM PST

    https://www.cnbc.com/2021/03/08/how-the-young-plan-to-spend-stimulus-checks-deutsche-bank.html

    So what do you think the retail investors will be buying this time?

    Tesla and other meme stocks?

    Or they have noticed that there is a possible rotation in value stocks and will put it there?

    Or will they think, put it on FANG and other high flying tech/renewable energy stocks that have dipped quite a lot the last two weeks?

    If it was up to me I will tell them to buy ICLN/IQQH, TDOC, CRSR, NET, and CSIQ because I have been really hurt by these during the past few weeks and need some support! :-). If only I can hack Musk's twitter account for one day and tweet just these tickers....

    submitted by /u/futureIsYes
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    Advice: Literally the only times I have made large strides in my wealth are during a dip/crash/recession. I can't be the only one excited.

    Posted: 07 Mar 2021 04:58 PM PST

    A lot of people (including my parents and me) suffered after 2008. We often hear ppl losing everything and getting set far back in lives. What we DON'T often hear, are people who loaded up in 2008. Regular average people. Those with small savings. Be it stocks or the housing market (which experienced a trailing small crash 2 years after). Those folks got literally everything on a massive discount.

    Think about it from that angle. If I have SOME money saved up now and it were 2008 again, I would be fkin ecstatic. Because after 4-5 years I would gain 1000% easily. And that's not even going into real estate.

    Also, recent example of last March will confirm my point. I made huge gains from it. I only bought Costco, Etsy and HomeDepot. No technical analysis. No charts. No graphs. Nothing. They were on sale and I assume people will be using them during the pandemic. Average intelligent move. There was no depth to it.

    And even if you don't maximize your portfolio, literally buying any stocks on the dip will make you money in the long run. You can be dense and still make money.

    So chill tf out. The dip IS AN OPPORTUNITY. It's a fking GIFT.

    We're all familiar with "buy the dip". Well, here's the same principles with a minor tweak "buy the (big) dip".

    There are 3 things for certain: death, tax and the stock market going up in the long run

    EDIT: Based on some of the replies I have to clarify. I am by no mean saying "THIS IS THE CRASH!" or "DON'T INVEST. ONLY DO SO WHEN THERE'S A CRASH!". I'm merely saying how you should REACT TO/FEEL ABOUT these events. View them as opportunities rather than disasters.

    submitted by /u/chicu111
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    I analyze mentions and sentiment of stocks across social media to find rising stocks! This week's top growing stock and its DD: $UWMC

    Posted: 08 Mar 2021 04:46 AM PST

    I had posted the previous picks from my program and my analysis here and the response I received was amazing. I have been working on improving the program and have made the program public. If you have seen the previous posts, please feel free to skip to the DD.

    How does it work: The program is built using Python and uses both Twitter and Reddit API to stream comments and tweets and spot tickers that are exhibiting accelerated growth.

    Here is the stock picked by the program and my DD

    Stock: UWM Holdings ($UWMC)

    Week on Week increase in mentions: +1286.9%

    Month on Month increase in mentions: +2762%

    Average sentiment across mentions: +21.83%

    Core Product

    United Wholesale Mortgage (UWM) underwrites loans for mortgage brokers, banks and credit unions. It doesn't lend directly to borrowers. Instead, they are simply the facilitator and underwriter. What they mainly provide is consumers, lenders and institutions a simple process by which they can apply, compare and complete a mortgage application. They currently have one of the fastest and most effective consumer to lender processes due to their heavy investments into IT infrastructure (UWMC's mortgage process takes an average of 17 days from start to finish when compared to the industry average of 47 days)

    Financials

    UWM had a stellar year in 2020 and it reflects in its financials.

    UWM reported 4Q20 net income of $1.37 billion and FY20 net income of $3.38 billion, an 821% and 715% increase over 4Q19 and FY19 respectively. Their total loan volume amount for 2020 was $182.5B which was 69% higher than 2019.

    Cash in hand also rose from 133M in 4Q-19 to 1.22B in 4Q-20. Credit quality of the loans improved with the weighted average FICO of 757 for the full year of 2020. This brought down the 60+ delinquency rates well below the industry average. UWMC also just declared its first regular quarterly dividend of $0.10 per share on the outstanding shares of Class A Common Stock. The dividend is payable on April 6, 2021 to stockholders of record at the close of business on March 10, 2021.

    Potential and Hype Factors

    Russell index addition: UWMC is expected to be added into Russell 1000 and Russell 3000 index by end of March. This will force all the funds tracking these indices to add UWMC to their portfolio possibly driving the stock price higher.

    Technology moat: UWMC invests heavily in IT infrastructure and technology. They develop all their technology with in-house developers. They have developed tools such as Blink+, UWM InTouch, and Brand 360 which enables them to have an industry-leading close time (almost twice as fast as Rocket and 3x as fast as the industry average)

    Short interest: While the company is in no way similar to the GME case in short interest (140% which was a very rare event), it still is at 31% which is significantly higher than average. (source: fintel.io)

    NPS score: They currently have the happiest customers among their competition with an NPS score 16% higher than that of Rocket (which is at 2nd place).

    Risk and Competition

    75% of the mortgage volume was based on refinancing ($42.9B new mortgages, $139.3B refinancing). This is predominantly driven by declining mortgage rates. If the mortgage rates increase, then UWMC's refinancing volume will take a significant hit bringing down their revenues.

    There is a lot of discussion around this being one of the reasons UWMC went public so as to capitalize on the refinance boom. I don't completely buy this argument as company executives themselves are solidifying their position (Director of $UWMC just reported his SEC form 4, showing he more than doubled his own position on March 1st, from 50k to 110k shares).

    The full impact of UWMC's CEO's surprise announcement that they wouldn't work with mortgage brokers that work with Rocket or Fairway Independent Mortgage is still not clear. UWMC has said that the split will take effect from March 15th.

    Conclusion

    This is the first time in my experience that a trending stock that has solid fundamentals is generating revenue, is profitable, and has no debt. Although there are some risks in terms of mortgage rates and the surprise announcement, I think the current market conditions put UWMC in a very strong position as a long-term play.

    Disclaimer: I am not a financial advisor. I currently do not own any stock of UWMC. Please do your own extensive research before investing in any stock.

    submitted by /u/nobjos
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    Apple Will Lead in AR, Analyst Says. Watch for Its Helmet, Glasses, and Contact Lenses. $AAPL

    Posted: 08 Mar 2021 11:14 AM PST

    Eric J. Savitz•ðŸ“·Last Updated March 8, 2021, 11:06 AM

    Over time, Apple has been a pioneer in the way humans work with computers. Although it isn't always at the head of the innovation curve, no company has had a more dramatic impact on the way humans and machines interact.

    As TFI Asset Management analyst Ming-Chi Kuo pointed out in a research note released over the weekend, Apple popularized the mouse and graphical user interface for computers, the iPod click wheel, and multi-touch functionality for the iPhone and iPad. And he says Apple can lead the way in the next leap in computing interfaces: mixed and augmented reality.

    "We believe that MR/AR will be the next critical technology to define the innovative human-machine interface for electronic products," Kuo wrote in the note. "We believe that MR/AR will provide innovative visual experiences and redefine human behavior in creating, processing, and receiving information, which is why Apple is highly committed to MR/AR. One of Apple's advantages is defining the innovative human-machine interface, so we are taking a positive view of Apple's future in MR/AR."

    Kuo argued that in the long run, MR/AR interfaces will replace all display-equipped electronic products. Apple's strategy will unfold in three stages, he predicted.

    He expects Apple to launch a helmet for virtual and augmented reality experiences by mid-2022. Kuo says the helmet will be equipped with Sony-built Micro-OLED displays and various optical modules to provide a "video see-through AR experience," but with the ability to offer virtual-reality experiences as well.

    He thinks the price tag of the helmet will be similar to that of high-end iPhones, at about $1,000. Kuo expects the contract manufacturer Pegatron to produce the helmets.

    "Although Apple has been focusing on AR, we think the hardware specifications of this product can provide an immersive experience that is significantly better than existing VR products," he wrote. "We believe that Apple may highly integrate this helmet with video-related applications (like Apple TV+, Apple Arcade, etc.) as one of the key selling points."

    Kuo said Apple's second product in this category will be MR/AR glasses. He doesn't think Apple has an existing prototype, and wrote that the glasses won't reach the market before 2025, at the earliest. Kuo thinks the glasses will be more specifically intended for augmented reality applications. "We are looking forward to seeing the integration of glasses and Apple Car to provide an innovative user experience," he said.

    Even farther out, in 2030 or later, he expects Apple to offer a contact-lens product with MR/AR capabilities. "This product will bring electronics from the era of "visible computing" to "invisible computing, " he said.

    Apple as a matter of policy doesn't discuss unannounced products, and hasn't addressed any of these potential devices. The stock was down 1.9%, to $119.18 on Monday morning.

    Write to Eric J. Savitz at eric.savitz@barrons.com

    © 2021 Dow Jones & Company, Inc.

    submitted by /u/folkwoodswest
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    Long DD on NIO and why the dip has made it undervalued

    Posted: 08 Mar 2021 06:46 AM PST

    - Original post by u/JustOnTheHorizon_ on r/DueDiligenceArchive. Obligatory none of this is financial advice. Keep in mind that pieces of info/data may have changed with time. Date of original post Mar. 7 2021. -

    Nio is the undervalued EV play to consider in this dip.

    Introduction

    Let's get started. If this looks too long for you, please know that half of it is literally pictures. Just gonna say right here that I'm not going to be detailing this down to the point of analyzing every car model the company sells, even though it's probably important. Mainly because I'm lazy and don't want to write that much, but I am for sure no expert in cars at all and I don't have the qualifications to lecture you on car models. Maybe some car genius in the comments will. Also, I'm not gonna be discussing sector rotation or whatever. Figure out how to play it if based on your market thesis. Alright enough chit chat let's get to business.

    Keep in mind the recent price range: $38-31

    Company Biography:

    NIO Limited designs, manufactures, and sells electric vehicles in the People's Republic of China, Hong Kong, the United States, the United Kingdom, and Germany. The company offers five, six, and seven-seater electric SUVs. It is also involved in the provision of energy and service packages to its users; marketing, design, and technology development activities; manufacture of e-powertrains, battery packs, and components; and sales and after sales management activities. In addition, the company offers charging solutions, including Power Home, a home charging solution; Power Swap, a battery swapping service; Power Mobile, a mobile charging service through charging trucks; Public Charger, a public fast charging solution; and Power Express, a 24-hour on-demand pick-up and drop-off charging service. Further, it provides value-added services, such as statutory and third-party liability insurance, and vehicle damage insurance through third-party insurers; repair and routine maintenance services; courtesy car services during lengthy repairs and maintenance; and roadside assistance, as well as data packages. NIO Limited has a strategic collaboration with Mobileye N.V. for the development of automated and autonomous vehicles; and collaboration agreements with various manufacturers for the manufacture of ES8, a six or seven-seater high-performance electric SUV.

    So to summarize:

    - Sells and Manufactures a variety of luxury cars

    - Offers a multitude of charging solutions

    - Offers BaaS (Battery as a subscription service, meaning NIO owners subscribe and essentially rent out the battery for the car but we'll get to that later)

    - Provides vehicle damage insurance, statutory and third-party liability insurance (Statutory meaning its required by law to own)

    - Offers repair and routine maintenance services and roadside assistance, and data packages

    Now that's a handful and we don't have all day, so we'll primarily be focusing on the main event which is their car line and BaaS. This does not mean you should disregard the other packages when viewing it as an investment, it just means I'm too lazy to do research on the other things.

    Market and Competition

    Market

    Honestly pretty much everyone knows where the EV market is heading and how it's the future, but it's worth mentioning regardless.

    The EV market is expected to grow at a CAGR of 21%, and hit 30 Million Cars worldwide by 2030. By 2026, worldwide EV revenue is expected hit roughly half a trillion USD, or $500 Billion. (Also, for those who aren't sure what a CAGR is, it means that the market on average is expected to grow by 21%. Not overall, but 21% year by year; take a second to appreciate the compound growth effect that will occur.) What's more, is that the Asia Pacific market (Where NIO primarily is) is reported to have the fastest growth. Here's a graph that represents these projections.

    If we take a more specific look to NIO's market, analysts have recently upgraded previous forecasts, now claiming that 20% of the vehicle fleet will be EV by 2025. Beyond that, the forecasts for 2035 and 2050 are 53% and 80% penetration, respectively.

    Strategy

    The Chinese EV market has quite a few players on the board, so strategy is pretty important to differentiate and forge a unique business model. Nio's strategic goal is to have a consistent, stable order flow, rather than a fluctuating order backlog similar to Tesla. (Courtesy of J.P Morgan) By keeping pricing steady, Nio's focus lies on services and customer experience driving a positive reputation in the community and keeping engagement high; it also allows gross and vehicle margin to find stable ground as volumes rise.

    We could also discuss their consumer relationship, and how their dealerships double as community grounds for owners to hang out. Apparently Nio has even more of a cult then Tesla, but I don't have the experience to confirm that. Regardless, between their own app for owners, special owner events, and communal spaces, it is clear that Nio strives to form a strong and loyal customer base.

    BaaS. Battery as a Service. Or rather, a subscription. Nio has chosen to distribute batteries in a non-traditional manner, electing to not include it with the sale of their vehicles and instead letting consumers chose and rent batteries depending on their personal needs. This shaves off roughly $10,000 off the price of their vehicles, which in turn boosts Nio's price competitiveness and demand. Also, BaaS acts as an additional revenue source for Nio that will continue to generate cash by nature even if sales take a hit. Nio has hit roughly 1 Million battery swaps thus far, and these swapping stations even support the EV's of other automakers. This flexibility of compatibility with other EV's makes Nio-power (The battery swapping stations) much easier to scale. You may be thinking, does this benefit the consumer in anyway? Sure it does. The custom battery solutions offer a chance for consumers to cater to their own needs. Some people aren't able to have their own home charging stations; many don't even have a consistent parking spot they can rely on daily. Also, consumers can customize depending on their own driving habits; if you can't afford to bleed money on certain battery solution, downgrade. Going on a large roadtrip? No problem, just rent a larger battery size. However, the most appealing benefit to consumers is the protection from battery degradation. Instead of being stuck with a dated or low-end battery, all Nio vehicles use the same size of battery. What does this mean? Well, basically you don't need to worry about the value of your battery depreciating as new advancements make it absolute. Consumers can upgrade to the latest and most powerful battery pack, and one size fits all. This improves resale value, and provides a future proof battery system. Overall the BaaS may attract a decent amount of controversy (it does have some drawbacks that I touch on later), but I'm personally a fan because it's very pro-consumer, improves brand visibility (There's hundreds of these things and other EV's can use them attracting more traffic), and offers Nio Inc. another revenue stream. To recap: Extra revenue stream, easy to scale, brand visibility, and very pro-consumer.

    Another thing that's worth mentioning is that the Chinese government favors BaaS companies when it comes to benefits, so there's that too.

    Catalysts

    I don't actually have a lot of research in this area, so if anyone in the comments recalls a catalyst or two share it and I'll add it in.

    - European Market Expansion

    - Rapid Clean Tech Movement

    - New Manufacturing Base run by JAC Motors

    - NIO partnership with Chinese industrial park at Hefei, which will reportedly produce 300,000 clean energy vehicles a year

    - Speculation: Potential expansion to the American Market down the road. This is pure speculation, but here's an article written by Barron's claiming that Nio Inc. has been attempting to formulate an action plan to enter the U.S. Market.

    Local environment

    Let's take a quick peek at Nio's infrastructure. As previously mentioned, they've chosen to offer battery as a subscription service, or BaaS for short. Now, we've already talked about the strategy and benefits behind this choice, but how well are they executing? As of right now, NIO currently has roughly 143 battery changing stations in China, and they plan to almost double that number by adding 100 more. Additionally, they've partnered with the Chinese state's grid to help establish these new battery swapping stations.

    This all sounds great, right? We've discussed the benefits of a BaaS system and looked over the infrastructure they've established. There is of course, a predictable drawback that I should mention. Because NIO has decided to manufacture and run their company this way, other markets that lack China's battery swapping infrastructure will be harder to crack into, because they will require heavy investment and development to create a Nio-power network that allows for battery swapping. Just something to keep in mind when considering European and North American markets, because there has been some buzz about NIO entering those areas. Anyway, let's move on.

    Now as you probably know, NIO is a China based EV company. Why is that a good thing exactly? Well, here's why. The Chinese are said to be posturing to win EV over by setting a 2025 goal to make 20 percent of its auto sales plug-in hybrids or battery-powered electric vehicles (EVs). China has around 240 million passenger vehicles today meaning that 48 million of them would be EV by 2025. On top of that, China is the largest Wind and Solar energy producer in the world, and even further, they're the largest investor in renewable energies. OK, IDGAF where's the relation to cars? It's not super concrete, but there is one; these pieces of evidence prove China's firm and absolute take on clean tech and energy. They've been busting their butts and paying and arm and a leg in the cause of clean energy, so you know they'll do everything they can to implement it as much as possible. Also it should make you feel more confident in their goals, and how large the Chinese EV market is/How fast the Chinese EV market will grow. Actually, let's take a closer look at the Chinese environment with some numbers and facts.

    - China is the largest EV market in the world, representing roughly 50% of worldwide sales.

    - From 2019 to 2020, Chinese EV sales increased 550%, from 200,00 units to 1,300,000 units.

    - China expects sales to grow nearly 40% this year despite the pandemic, growing from 1,300,000 units to over 1,800,000 units.

    Between these statistics and China's firm stance on clean tech and the EV market, we can conclude that NIO's local environment is well suited for growth and stability.

    Financials and Numbers

    Not gonna do much talking here, just sharing some numbers and you make with it what you will.

    Q4 Positive Highlights and Outlook

    • Q4 Revenues grew 46.7% Quarter over Quarter, reaching $1.02 Billion, while many expected $1.04 Billion.
    • Deliveries reached 17,000 Units for Q4. For reference they sold 40,000 units in 2020.
    • NIO projects 20,000+ Units for Q1 of 2021, which is 15% quarter over quarter. Again, for reference they sold 40,000 units for 2020. What's more is that in Q1 2020, they only sold 4k cars but in Q1 2021 they're projected to do 400% that number a year later. This type of growth is probably the most appealing aspect to potential investors the way I see it.
    • Gross and Vehicle Margin grew to 17.2%
    • NIO generated positive cash-flow
    • Despite the tech restraints from battery/chip shortages, management says production levels will be able to remain 'normal'
    • Even with the production constraints through Q2, NIO's outright delivery and revenue growth are visible - the company is on track to deliver nearly the same amount of cars in Q1/Q2 as it had in 2020.
    • NIO trades at about 13.1x projected FY21 revenues

    Q4 Negative Highlights

    • Due to the Semiconductor/Chip Shortage, NIO is expecting a bit of a bump in the road in terms of deliveries in the early half of the year
    • With the combination of chip and battery constraints, NIO expects monthly production through Q2 to cap around ~7,500 units, a 25% decrease from Q1 projections.
    • Net Loss for Q4 clocked in at $1.3 Billion USD
    • Operating Losses weren't reduced a whole lot
    • Missed EPS estimates
    • No dividend

    Investment Outlook

    Analyst Consensus

    Need a third opinion? This is one of the biggest green flags IMO. These ratings really show how undervalued NIO truly is. Here's a compilation of some price targets from some of the biggest and most influential banks. Please keep in mind NIO's recent price activity: 31-38 (As of Mar. 5)

    Price targets:

    - HSBC: $49

    - Morgan Stanley: $80

    - J.P. Morgan: $75

    - Deutsche: $70

    - Bank of America: $70

    - Goldman Sachs: $64

    - Daiwa: $100

    Conclusion

    Obviously the EV market and the growth opportunity it presents is fantastic, especially the Asia Pacific market, but I'm also a big fan of their strategic approach. Feel free to debate me on that. I've also heard a lot of praise regarding their management, seen a lot of fans of William Li, calling him a genius and the 'Elon Musk of China'. There's a couple things I've missed in this DD; I probably should've touched on the competition, their other services/packages, and done a thorough breakdown on their vehicles, but I'm really no expert in those fields so I'll leave that to others.

    For this thesis, I think it's important to keep in mind how much the price has dipped recently. I mean within the past month it's been as high as 61, and as low as 31. EV's have taken a beating in these red days, and may even continue to decrease. I personally find any prices under 35 extremely appealing, but that general sub 40 area is pretty solid IMO. Hell, it almost went sub 30 on the 5th. I primarily like the growth opportunity Nio presents, especially when considering the discount its been at. It's also important to recognize that these dips may continue with tech/growth/EV stocks, so probably factor that into your opinion and remember to also consider the long term prospect.

    This took hours, hope you enjoyed.

    My positions: None, I'm absolutely broke, I just like to write analyses and research.

    TL;DR

    - Good growth opportunity

    - Good market (Local environment too)

    - Good strategic approach

    - The bigwig banks have price targets way higher above where it currently sits

    - Huge dip (50% at one point)

    submitted by /u/JustOnTheHorizon_
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    This is why you don't try to time the market

    Posted: 08 Mar 2021 09:11 AM PST

    There have been lots of posts lately from people asking whether they should sell to prevent further losses, and experienced investors have consistently reminded them to stay invested. But here is the main reason why: https://www.thesimpledollar.com/investing/stocks/tempted-to-sell-missing-just-a-handful-of-the-best-stock-market-days-can-tank-your-returns/#:~:text=Investing%20101&text=Missing%20the%20five%20best%20days,halve%20your%20long%2Dterm%20returns.

    I mentioned this in another thread but thought it warranted its own topic.

    submitted by /u/SirGasleak
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    Happy 204th Birthday NYSE!!

    Posted: 08 Mar 2021 07:23 AM PST

    On March 8th, 1817, the New York Stock Exchange was established. It turns 204 years old today! If that's not motivation during crashes and corrections, I don't know what is. If it's sustained itself and continued upward for over 200 years, it's not going anywhere anytime soon. Happy trading everyone!

    submitted by /u/MTGKozan
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    What’s the reason that Tech is just taking a massive dump the last couple of weeks?

    Posted: 08 Mar 2021 11:58 AM PST

    I've been seeing tech taking a massive dump the last couple of weeks, and as it's been dumping I've been spending about 1k in there every time it hit a new low, but I'm not exactly sure why it's happening.

    I can perfectly afford to keep buying the dip since I was holding a bit of cash in reserve, but what exactly is happening that tech is slipping while other industry seem to be pretty ok if not doing well the last 2 weeks.

    And yes I perfectly understand I'm asking for short term information. I'm jus trying to learn, I'm in it for the long haul always and forever.

    Thanks!

    submitted by /u/ModJon
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    Schwab is a *dangerous* company and may be insolvent. Here's a big list of serious red flags. All of them have references.

    Posted: 08 Mar 2021 01:19 PM PST

    I will vouch for any claims I personally made (and can provide proof to mods if they need it).

    Take this all with a grain of salt, and use your own judgment regarding the veracity of these claims.

    Schwab, after acquiring TD Ameritrade, has over $7 trillion in assets under management, and about $50B in equity.

    It only takes an error of 0.7% of their assets to cause them to go insolvent.

    DISCLOSURE: I have about $50k worth of puts on $SCHW, which I purchased after having discovered enough of this. To be clear, though, I bought the puts as a result of this information. Not the other way around.

    This is not financial advice. But I do not think you should trust this company.

    Also, side note: Schwab owns TD Ameritrade. They acquired them last year.

    submitted by /u/Fragsworth
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    I managed to avoid the Tesla crash just in time

    Posted: 08 Mar 2021 11:41 AM PST

    https://old.reddit.com/r/stocks/comments/lghc97/is_tesla_still_a_good_investment/

    Followup from this post. I was invested since 2019 but this time I just couldn't shake the feeling of it going down fast. Ever since the China fiasco and the way Elon purchased bitcoin just came across as such a desperate publicity stunt. All this started to make me feel really uneasy. From there I sold just in time and managed to avoid the 32% loss from that month. That being said, I know the market altogether dropped and open to the possibility that I may have just gotten lucky. However, I think there has to be something I can learn from this besides "I trusted my gut". I'm wondering if those things I classified as red flags may be able to help other investors on this sub in the future. Did anyone else see what I saw? What are your thoughts?

    submitted by /u/H20man1
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    Opinions on the upcoming ARKX?

    Posted: 08 Mar 2021 06:58 AM PST

    I've been reading about this fund and there seems to be some excitement about it. Hopefully it will perform close to the other ARK funds even though this one seems more speculative. I was considering putting in 3 or 4 k in when it launches and prepared to leave it in *at least* 5 years.

    I'm torn as to invest in ARKX or one of the other ARK funds. Though the possibility of getting in ARKX at the beginning is appealing. Anyone else planning to invest in this fund later this month?

    submitted by /u/linkedit
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    When will this downtrend end

    Posted: 08 Mar 2021 11:55 AM PST

    This sell off has been going on for a few weeks now were every single time theres a small glimmer of hope we're met with relentless downward movement in tech. I'm trying not to care about it but I have to, I'm losing a lot of money in my position of ETSY, AMD, and APPL and I have no cash no I don't know what to do. Any recommendations because I just feel tired and lost right now.

    submitted by /u/Miladyboi
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    Next step for Apple ��

    Posted: 08 Mar 2021 10:24 AM PST

    Interesting dichotomy looking at APPLE in regards to the overall market. Last week they re-opened all their stores. So you have to wonder what market forces or restraining apple share prices. The one unknown is warren Buffett. Is he still bullish on Apple or did he decide to take his chips and move on. He has a tendency to do it and of course none of us would know until the next quarter when financial disclosures are released.

    submitted by /u/KCGuy59
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    Tesla: where has the dog and pony show gone?

    Posted: 08 Mar 2021 08:11 AM PST

    I remember for the past year playing the Tesla game of trying to buy in after the split. Every time it would slightly move downward Elon Musk would tweet something or Tesla would be in the news about something and instantly it would go up even higher.

    I know it is over valued but for a long time Musk was in competition for being the richest person. Now it's just crickets. Has he given up or taken I'll?

    What is going on and why is there no usual dog and pony show?

    submitted by /u/angel_of_death007
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    David Tepper is getting bullish on stocks, believes rising rates are set to stabilize

    Posted: 08 Mar 2021 05:41 AM PST

    https://www.cnbc.com/2021/03/08/david-tepper-is-getting-bullish-on-stocks-believes-rising-rates-are-set-to-stabilize.html

    Another bullish catalyst for stocks in the near term is the fiscal stimulus package that was just approved by the Senate, Tepper said.

    The hedge fund manager also said "bellwether" stocks like Amazon are starting to look attractive after the pullback. Shares of the ecommerce giant has fallen 9.7% over the past month, while Apple has dropped more than 11% during the same period.

    It is time to buying all big tech stocks.Apple, msft, amzn, tsm, these stocks are all trading at attractive levels due to the recent pullback. Amazon under $3k is really a gift, investors should buy these stocks for a good long term hold opportunity.

    submitted by /u/coolcomfort123
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    Pfizer - PFE laggard or just dead money

    Posted: 08 Mar 2021 10:15 AM PST

    You would think with the cost plus contracts Pfizer has with the US government and the opportunity to sell their Covid vaccine to the rest of the world that Pfizer would be selling around $45 or $50 per share. Instead it's fallen in the last six months Is this stock a laggard or just dead money

    submitted by /u/KCGuy59
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    Looking to buy a semi-conductor stock while they're out of favour. What to pick!?

    Posted: 08 Mar 2021 11:52 AM PST

    So I've been looking at the semi's for a while now, and I feel this pullback is a great opportunity to pick some stuff up on discount. The problem is limited cash so I have to pick just 1.

    I'm debating between AMD, NVDA, ASML, and TSM. I suppose I could also just pick the semi conductor ETF, but that's not nearly as fun.

    Any thoughts on what seems to have the most attractive risk/reward at current valuations?

    submitted by /u/LuxGang
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    (3/8) Monday's Pre-Market Stock Movers & News

    Posted: 08 Mar 2021 05:47 AM PST

    Good Monday morning traders and investors of the r/stocks sub! Welcome to the new trading week! Here are your pre-market stock movers & news on this Monday, March 8th, 2021-


    5 things to know before the stock market opens Monday


    1. Nasdaq set for sharp drop after Friday's comeback

    • U.S. stock futures were mostly lower Monday, with a sharp drop in the Nasdaq and tech names indicated to start the new week after Friday's big turnaround. Tesla shed another 2% in the premarket after closing Friday below $600 per share for the first time since early December. The stock has lost a third of its value since its all-time intraday high in late January.

    • The Dow Jones Industrial Average, S&P 500 and Nasdaq on Friday all broke three-session losing streaks, with strong advances. For the week, the Dow and S&P 500 gained 1.8% and 0.8%, respectively. However, the Nasdaq dropped 2% last week. The Dow and S&P 500 were up nearly 3% and 2.3%, respectively, since the beginning of the year. The Nasdaq was just above breakeven ahead of Monday's open.


    2. Treasury yields rise after Senate Covid relief bill passage

    • Senate passage of the $1.9 trillion Covid relief bill Saturday wasn't enough to put stocks in the green Monday as more economic stimulus on top of an already recovering economy continued to stoke inflation concerns. That's pushing bond yields higher Monday, with the 10-year Treasury yield trading around 1.6%, shy of Friday's one-year high. The 10-year yield has risen rapidly since the end of January, adding more than 0.5% in a little over a month.

    3. Biden says direct payments of up to $1,400 going out soon

    • The Democratic-held House aims to pass the Senate-approved Covid stimulus package on Tuesday and then send it President Joe Biden for his signature. The bill approved in the Senate on Saturday comes with a smaller, compromise federal unemployment benefits boost and without a federal minimum wage increase. The legislation includes direct payments of up to $1,400 to most Americans, which Biden said Saturday could start going out within two weeks.

    4. Stocks to watch: Disney, Comcast, GameStop, GE

    • Shares of Disney rose more than 1% in Monday's premarket trading after California officials on Friday cleared theme parks to open at reduced capacity on April 1. They closed nearly a year ago due to the pandemic. The order includes Disneyland in the southern part of the state, Comcast's Universal Studios Hollywood and others. Disney World in Florida and Universal Studios Orlando opened with capacity limits over the summer. Shares of Comcast, parent company of NBCUniversal and CNBC, fell in the premarket.

    • Shares of GameStop surged about 12% in Monday's premarket after Bloomberg reported that the company tapped board member Ryan Cohen to guide the video game retailer's transition to an e-commerce business. Cohen, a major GameStop investor and founder of online pet retailer Chewy, will lead a board task force on digital changes.

    • General Electric is nearing a $30 billion-plus deal to combine its aircraft leasing business with Ireland's AerCap Holdings, according to The Wall Street Journal. GE Capital Aviation Services is one of the world's biggest jet leasing companies and leases passenger aircraft made by companies including Boeing and Airbus. Shares of GE rose about 2.5% in Monday's premarket.


    5. Oil prices rise after Saudi Arabia facilities attacked

    • Brent crude, the international oil benchmark, rose above $70 per barrel Monday for the first time in more than a year. The surge came after Saudi Arabia said Sunday that its Saudi Aramco facilities were targeted by missiles and drones. Yemen's Iran-aligned Houthi movement claimed responsibility for the attack. West Texas Intermediate crude, the U.S. benchmark, also moved higher, trading above $66 at nearly a two-year high.

    STOCK FUTURES CURRENTLY:

    (CLICK HERE FOR STOCK FUTURES CHARTS!)

    LAST WEEK'S MARKET MAP:

    (CLICK HERE FOR LAST WEEK'S MARKET MAP!)

    TODAY'S MARKET MAP:

    (CLICK HERE FOR TODAY'S MARKET MAP!)

    LAST WEEK'S S&P SECTORS:

    (CLICK HERE FOR LAST WEEK'S S&P SECTORS CHART!)

    TODAY'S S&P SECTORS:

    (CLICK HERE FOR TODAY'S S&P SECTORS CHART!)

    TODAY'S ECONOMIC CALENDAR:

    (CLICK HERE FOR TODAY'S ECONOMIC CALENDAR!)

    THIS WEEK'S ECONOMIC CALENDAR:

    (CLICK HERE FOR THIS WEEK'S ECONOMIC CALENDAR!)

    THIS WEEK'S UPCOMING IPO'S:

    (CLICK HERE FOR THIS WEEK'S UPCOMING IPO'S!)

    THIS WEEK'S EARNINGS CALENDAR:

    (CLICK HERE FOR THIS WEEK'S EARNINGS CALENDAR!)

    THIS MORNING'S PRE-MARKET EARNINGS CALENDAR:

    (CLICK HERE FOR THIS MORNING'S EARNINGS CALENDAR!)

    EARNINGS RELEASES BEFORE THE OPEN TODAY:

    (CLICK HERE FOR THIS MORNING'S EARNINGS RELEASES!)

    EARNINGS RELEASES AFTER THE CLOSE TODAY:

    (CLICK HERE FOR THIS AFTERNOON'S EARNINGS RELEASES!)

    FRIDAY'S ANALYST UPGRADES/DOWNGRADES:

    (CLICK HERE FOR FRIDAY'S ANALYST UPGRADES/DOWNGRADES LINK #1!)
    (CLICK HERE FOR FRIDAY'S ANALYST UPGRADES/DOWNGRADES LINK #2!)

    FRIDAY'S INSIDER TRADING FILINGS:

    (CLICK HERE FOR FRIDAY'S INSIDER TRADING FILINGS LINK #1!)
    (CLICK HERE FOR FRIDAY'S INSIDER TRADING FILINGS LINK #2!)

    TODAY'S DIVIDEND CALENDAR:

    (CLICK HERE FOR TODAY'S DIVIDEND CALENDAR!)

    THIS MORNING'S STOCK NEWS MOVERS:

    (source: cnbc.com)

    Apollo Global (APO), Athene (ATH) – The private-equity firm's shares gained 8% in premarket trading following news that it will merge with retirement services company Athene in an all-stock transaction that values Athene at about $11 billion. Athene shares surged 19.6%.

    STOCK SYMBOL: APO

    (CLICK HERE FOR LIVE STOCK QUOTE!)

    McAfee (MCFE) – The cybersecurity company's shares jumped 10.9% in premarket trading, following news that it sold its enterprise business to privately held Symphony Technology Group for $4 billion in cash.

    STOCK SYMBOL: MCFE

    (CLICK HERE FOR LIVE STOCK QUOTE!)

    Walt Disney (DIS) – Disney will be able to reopen Disneyland after more than a year. California officials cleared theme parks and stadiums to open at reduced capacity on April 1. Separately, Disney's "Raya and the Last Dragon" topped the weekend box office with $8.6 million in ticket sales, though that opening was muted after movie theater chain Cinemark (CNK) declined to show the film. Disney rose 1.5% premarket.

    STOCK SYMBOL: DIS

    (CLICK HERE FOR LIVE STOCK QUOTE!)

    General Electric (GE) – GE is near a $30 billion deal to merge its aircraft leasing business with Ireland's AerCap (AER), according to people familiar with the matter who spoke to The Wall Street Journal. An announcement is expected as soon as today, in what would be the latest restructuring move by GE. Its stock jumped 2.3% in the premarket, while AerCap shares surged 12.3%.

    STOCK SYMBOL: GE

    (CLICK HERE FOR LIVE STOCK QUOTE!)

    Adaptive Biotechnologies (ADPT) – Adaptive Biotechnologies received emergency use authorization from the Food and Drug Administration for its "T-Detect" test which confirms a recent or prior Covid-19 infection in patients. Its shares soared 11.3% in premarket action.

    STOCK SYMBOL: ADPT

    (CLICK HERE FOR LIVE STOCK QUOTE!)

    AT&T (T) – AT&T said Securities and Exchange Commission accusations against three employees are meritless and vowed to challenge them. The SEC alleges that the employees selectively shared information about smartphone sales in 2016, which prompted those analysts to lower their revenue forecasts.

    STOCK SYMBOL: T

    (CLICK HERE FOR LIVE STOCK QUOTE!)

    Bumble (BMBL) – The dating service operator received a number of positive analyst recommendations, with Cowen rating the stock "outperform" in new coverage and Stifel and Citi initiating coverage with a "buy" rating, and Bumble shares rose 3.4% Friday. Analysts feel that Bumble is poised for a post-pandemic jump in usage. Despite the positive recommendations, the stock fell 2.8% in premarket trading.

    STOCK SYMBOL: BMBL

    (CLICK HERE FOR LIVE STOCK QUOTE!)

    GameStop (GME) – The video game retailer's stock continues its volatile trading amid more Reddit-related momentum, up 11.4% in the premarket after rising for three straight sessions at the end of last week.

    STOCK SYMBOL: GME

    (CLICK HERE FOR LIVE STOCK QUOTE!)

    Xpeng (XPEV) – The China-based electric vehicle maker's shares gained 2.2% in premarket trading after it reported a loss of $120.7 million for its latest quarter, 42% smaller than it had been in the year-ago quarter. Xpeng competitor Nio (NIO) fell 3.1% in premarket action after Jeffries cut its price target on the stock to $38.80 from $60.

    STOCK SYMBOL: XPEV

    (CLICK HERE FOR LIVE STOCK QUOTE!)

    Facebook (FB) – A racial bias investigation of Facebook by the Equal Employment Opportunity Commission has been designated as "systemic," according to attorneys for four plaintiffs who spoke to Reuters. The plaintiffs are accusing Facebook of bias in hiring and promotions, although the EEOC has not brought any allegations against the social media giant and the investigation may not result in any findings of wrongdoing. Facebook lost 1% in premarket trading.

    STOCK SYMBOL: FB

    (CLICK HERE FOR LIVE STOCK QUOTE!)

    Coherent (COHR) – Coherent said a revised takeover proposal from optical electronics maker II-VI (IIVI) is superior to its pending merger agreement with Lumentum (LITE). Coherent – a developer of laser-based technology – gave Lumentum until 11:59 p.m. PT on March 11 to submit a revised proposal, or it intends to accept II-VI's proposal of $170 per share in cash and 1.0981 shares of II-VI common stock for each Coherent share. II-VI stock fell 2.2% in the premarket.

    STOCK SYMBOL: COHR

    (CLICK HERE FOR LIVE STOCK QUOTE!)

    VF Corp (VFC) – VF was upgraded to "buy" from "hold" at Pivotal Research, which cited a variety of factors including relatively easy comparable sales comparisons for Vans and a positive outlook for North Face and Timberland.

    STOCK SYMBOL: VFC

    (CLICK HERE FOR LIVE STOCK QUOTE!)

    Pearson (PSON) – Pearson shares jumped 5.9% in premarket action after the educational publishing company announced a strategy update that more directly targets consumers.

    STOCK SYMBOL: PSON

    (CLICK HERE FOR LIVE STOCK QUOTE!)

    DISCUSS!

    What's on everyone's radar for today's trading day ahead here at r/stocks?


    I hope you all have an excellent trading day ahead today on this Monday, March 8th, 2021! :)

    submitted by /u/bigbear0083
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    Top stocks in discussion in r/stocks subreddit in last 24 hrs.

    Posted: 08 Mar 2021 08:51 AM PST

    Hi traders and investors,

    I guess I'm gone start with disclosure, I hold NIO, TSLA, sold CRSR, AAPL, API, MSFT; majority in NIO and TSLA, holding >12400 stocks of NIO, having majority bought in the range of 10-20$/share.

    I got here since I was super close to monitoring what people say on social media about stocks, next to adding my own DD on it.

    Myself and u/Superman701 have build this app which allows us all to spot hype in discussed stocks. Here you go. These are top 15 stocks being discussed on r/stocks in last 24 hours.

    I am now even more encouraged to see NIO rising back to 66.99! Haha

    Rank Market Ticker Change Total Posts Upvotes Comments Hype Hype 1 NASDAQ TSLA 38% 1018 2 450 110 2 NYSE NIO 66% 915 4 209 481 3 NASDAQ CRSR 65% 850 2 196 450 4 NASDAQ CRWD 64% 819 1 188 439 4 NYSE PINS 64% 819 1 188 439 4 NYSE LMND 64% 819 1 188 439 7 NYSE GME 87% 497 8 138 189 8 NASDAQ AAPL 69% 200 3 32 124 9 NASDAQ API 90% 178 2 74 22 10 NYSE FICO 100% 161 1 72 13 11 NASDAQ MSFT 69% 158 2 27 96 12 NASDAQ TTD 100% 155 1 61 29 13 NYSE AMC 51% 124 2 32 52 14 NASDAQ ENPH 54% 118 1 43 28 15 NYSE HOME 100% 109 1 14 77 
    submitted by /u/donluc007
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    Are ETFs the best way to invest in commodities?

    Posted: 08 Mar 2021 07:01 AM PST

    My portfolio is just too tech heavy (which I've learned in a painful way this past month) so I've recently begun to try to diversify a little better than I have been. Whats the best ways to buy commodities?

    I'm currently still using RH because I am transitioning to a new job and haven't had time to learn something new and switch over. I'm not sure if that limits what I can buy and invest in so I wanted to specifically mention it.

    submitted by /u/PartypantsPete
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    How to deal with losses?

    Posted: 08 Mar 2021 01:29 PM PST

    Currently holding SENS and SQ. I'm down significantly on both trades, but didn't sell for a minor loss, because I was expecting a quicker recovery. Clearly that didn't happen, so should I sell for the major loss or hold out until break even or profit? In general, what's your walk away for swing and longterm trades?

    submitted by /u/CMShortboy
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    Is it because of an increase in bond yields, a shift into smallcap/retail or something else?

    Posted: 08 Mar 2021 01:47 PM PST

    I started investing around late December. I looked at the holdings in QCLN and bought a few of my favorites in that list... tech stocks... APPL, ROKU, etc. The list of stocks is very long... but renewables, EV, and tech are pretty much what I invested in.

    This dip recently has made me suffer... I went from being up 40% to in the red overall.

    SO... is the bond yield news and the shift to small cap and retail the only reason this is happening? My plan is to just buy the dip in what in already invested in and let the dip run its course and wait long term to see my gains... do you all agree with this?

    submitted by /u/explosiv109
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    What is people's confidence level in AMZN right now?

    Posted: 08 Mar 2021 12:13 PM PST

    Its the first time the stock has been below $3k/share in several months. I have 3 shares with a basis of $3,050. I'm comfortable with that but I'm considering getting 1 more share while it's under 3k to lower the basis a bit more. However, if I do so I'll only have about $1.5k left of DCA cash on hand. $1.5k is just under 3% of my total money in my brokerage account. Any thoughts?

    Could it spike back to $3300 quickly or might it be a slow trek back to $3300 if it ever gets back?

    submitted by /u/Findest
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    ARKK continue to hold or sell immediately

    Posted: 08 Mar 2021 01:24 PM PST

    I manage four portfolio's for my wife and I.... Different objectives, different makeups with the securities and allocation. But they all have ARKK either at 10% or 20% or somewhere in between. I bought at $130-$140. And ARKK (and ARKG) have plummeted over the last few days and weeks... All indicators suggest to sell but I'm willing to hold given the track record. Big players are continuing to sell off ARK funds..

    submitted by /u/raviman8
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    Back test results: 5 minute ORB strategy - Order placed on every five minute candle for the first hour of the trading day

    Posted: 08 Mar 2021 01:22 PM PST

    I tried to crosspost this from r/Daytrading, but it wouldn't work. Regardless, I hope my findings are useful to you!

    For over six months I have woken up every trading day and created a watchlist of morning gappers. Throughout the course of the trading day, I've seen many setups that I've read about but didn't trade. I've also seen the behavior of these stocks and noticed a pattern over time. I wanted to know what would happen if I'd placed an order for the high of the first 5 minute candle on the three highest volume stocks from my watchlist without thinking about fundamental or technical analysis at all. I wrote a script that tested theoretical order entry for the first five minute high at each five minute interval after the close of the first five minute candle. Clear as mud? The results were pretty awesome. I wrote a post with charts detailing the results. There are many ways to look at the data, but I broke it up into three tests and the P/L that would have resulted from submitting the order at each time. The P/L results assume using a 30k margin account, 1% risk per trade, 2R all or nothing targets, and using the low of the last five minute candle to exit trades that ended up range bound. I hope you found this a fascinating as I did. Don't go blowing up your account without thinking this through all the way. I'm personally planning on automating the entire process using $10 risk per trade for the next six months. I'll let you know how it goes!!!

    submitted by /u/wskyneatplease
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