Stocks - r/Stocks Daily Discussion & Options Trading Thursday - Feb 11, 2021 |
- r/Stocks Daily Discussion & Options Trading Thursday - Feb 11, 2021
- How do people find stocks before they explode?
- Message to other young investors
- Here's how I pick 'em and gained over 2500%, 775%, 550% and a bunch of 100%ers.
- A tip that I heard right when I started trading that has helped keep me sane and grow as an investor
- A sum-up of all the recent news on $BB
- Weed stocks are NOT like GME.
- What is going on with $BB ?
- Stock market slump today
- Cloudflare ($NET) forth quarter result 50% yoy growth in revenue
- Never Blindly Follow All "Stock Market" YouTubers | Possible Exposed Fraud [Tom Nash] & The 5 Reasons Why I Believe Tom Nash Is Lying
- POWW Ammo Inc, announced they are buying gunbroker!!!!
- The Trap of Results-Oriented Thinking
- Answers to why did the market fall
- Bumble ($BMBL) IPO today asking $76.50. Value?
- MSOS – Regarding having a chunk of its holdings in a liquidity trust
- Advice on ARKG - ARK Genomic Revolution Multi-Sector ETF
- Automation Level 5 Outlook for Blackberry
- How long can ARK momentum continue?
- Do you guys invest in companies that dont fit your morals/believes?
- (2/11) Thursday's Pre-Market Stock Movers & News
- The Retail Trader Wave.
- Are all stock related message boards complete bs?
- Recommended plays? Trying to recoup my losses from the recent meme stock
- How do you find a company to invest in, when none of the companies you know trade publicly?
| r/Stocks Daily Discussion & Options Trading Thursday - Feb 11, 2021 Posted: 11 Feb 2021 12:00 AM PST This is the daily discussion, so anything stocks related is fine, but the theme for today is on stock options, but if options aren't your thing then just ignore the theme and/or post your arguments against options here and not in the current post. Some helpful day to day links, including news:
Required info to start understanding options:
See the following word cloud and click through for the wiki: If you have a basic question, for example "what is delta," then google "investopedia delta" and click the investopedia article on it; do this for everything until you have a more in depth question or just want to share what you learned. See our past daily discussions here. Also links for: Technicals Tuesday, Options Trading Thursday, and Fundamentals Friday. [link] [comments]  |
| How do people find stocks before they explode? Posted: 11 Feb 2021 07:39 AM PST I've seen some stocks recently that have blown up over night and I've started to wonder how people figure that out? I know it requires research and everything, but where would I begin with that? Any type of advice or direction to go would be very helpful. I've seen alot of talk about stocktwits, but I have no idea how to use the app correctly yet or who to even follow on there. [link] [comments]  |
| Message to other young investors Posted: 11 Feb 2021 11:08 AM PST For background, I'm 20. The markets have been very exciting lately. Huge gains have been made....but also huge losses. I am in the latter group. I saved money for most of my life, and started investing during 2020 after the pandemic hit. I didn't want to trade, I wanted to just get long term investments and hold them. And that did work out pretty well. I was down red at certain points, but it was never SERIOUS drops, and I was confident that my picks were good in the long run. I wouldn't go into details about the weighting, but my portfolio essentially contained AMZN, MSFT, AAPL, SQ, NKE, ARKK, PLTR, NVDA, WMT, COST, DIS, JNJ, PG, V, and a couple other small picks that were my "fun" stocks - I actually had a few dozen APHA shares at $6. I had heavy tech weighting, but I was confident in the long term prospects. By this year, just about everything was in the green, and collectively up around 15%. Then came BB. BB looked appealing so I sold most of my stocks that had been moving sideways for a while (AMZN, MSFT, NVDA) and put the money into BB when it was low teens. Within a couple days, it hit the 20s and I sold for thousands in profit. The fact that I made thousands of dollars by doing nothing was crazy to me. The rest of my portfolio was also up several thousand dollars (overall, my profit was around $7000 at this point - a combination of the realized gains from BB and the unrealized gains from everything else). Then came GME. Several months ago, I neglected GME because I did not think they were a good long term investment, and so I did not buy them when they were less than $20/share. So when I saw the stock jump to 40, and 60 in the span of hours, I thought that was crazy. So what did I do? Naturally, I got FOMO when the stock was almost $400 and bought into the hype because I actually believed in what people over at another subreddit were saying. Within a week, my portfolio dropped around 80% (roughly $20,000). I thought that would be the best learning experience for me, but I bought into the weed hype this week, and have lost another few thousand dollars. All in all, I've lost 90% of my money in the past month. I'm young so I can recover, and this wasn't money I needed urgently. But my money I worked for and saved is completely gone because of my decisions. I'm writing this mostly for myself because I needed a reality check for myself and don't have anyone to talk to. I can't sleep at nights, and can't really focus on anything else. I've lost all interest in playing video games, and my grades are starting to take a hit. This is really embarrassing for me, and nobody knows I lost my money on stocks (nor do I want them to). I don't know if anyone needs to here this, but please be careful with your money, and don't invest more than you're willing to lose. Especially for young investors, we have such a long time horizon. There's no need to try and get rich quick. Conservative investing will compound over our lives. Edit: the amount of support has really helped me get out of the dark place I've been in for the past couple weeks. I think I'll call a gambling hotline later just to talk it out with someone. Thanks guys :) [link] [comments]  |
| Here's how I pick 'em and gained over 2500%, 775%, 550% and a bunch of 100%ers. Posted: 11 Feb 2021 12:01 PM PST FIRST OF ALL I AM NOT A FINANCIAL ADVISOR AND I AM NOT AUTHORIZED TO GIVE YOU INVESTMENT ADVICE. Holdings https://i.imgur.com/ayvuyB1.jpg When it comes to stock picking I like to consume information from a variety of sources to get a better understanding of what's going on in the world of economics today, this week, this month, this year, this decade, this century. Remember that mainstream media has its own agenda and the CEO or hedge fund manager being interviewed is typically only there to benefit themselves. I start looking for sectors with potential price movement based on the direction I think the world is going and come up with trade ideas which will later be used as a starting point for due diligence.
The trick is to get really good at the skill of understanding what's going on but isn't being widely discussed yet. Do this by consuming lots of information from a variety of sources to the point where a logical conclusion or prediction can be made about what is likely to happen in the future within a specific sector and time frame. Not all the information consumed should be via media. Before covid a great technique was to simply take note of which stores are extraordinarily busy at the shopping mall and ask why is this store busy but not that one? Another great way to discover new stocks is to talk with industry experts.
After identifying a potential stock or sector that interests me, I'll start looking for top performing ETFs within the same sector. Then inside those ETFs I'll look for the top 3 names that frequently appear inside those ETFs. Sometimes the ETF itself is the best decision, sometimes it's not. For each of those top 3 I'll look at their annual reports.
Next I'll look at the chart as zoomed out as it can go. What's the trend? Up, flat, down? Then I'll zoom in the chart notch by notch looking for the trend. Annually, quarterly, monthly, weekly, daily, hourly, 30mins, 15mins, 5mins, 1min. I buy when I've identified potential price movement, the price is low, and is hovering around a level that has support. I sell when I need the cash to invest in something else or when I no longer believe in the future of the company or sector. I don't pay attention to anybody pumping a stock with emojis. Why? Because emojis are used to represent emotion and if you make an investment or trade decision based on emotion or hype you're doing it wrong and in most cases are probably too late anyways. tldr; Spend 80% of your "investing time" coming up with original trade ideas and 20% on technicals and charts when you execute the trade. If you aren't trading with your own ideas and instead choose to follow someone else's buy recommendation then I hate to break it to you, but you'll probably end up buying into someone else's exit strategy and become a bag holder for days, weeks, months or even years to come just waiting for that big turnaround day which may never come. [link] [comments]  |
| A tip that I heard right when I started trading that has helped keep me sane and grow as an investor Posted: 10 Feb 2021 08:51 PM PST I've only been trading with real money for about a month, but I read something a few months ago, while doing my research, that really stuck and I wanted to share. As investors, we often look at the moves we've made and judge ourselves on what we missed on or what we hit on. This is part of growing and learning as an investor. But the thing that many people forget is the almost trades. Those trades that we got close to pulling the trigger on, but didn't. Whatever that reason was, we all have moves that we almost made but something made us pass on it. Write them down.Record every trade that you almost made, or considered making. Record the date, the current value, and the reason you didn't make the trade. This has been very valuable to me in my first few weeks of trading. We all look through our portfolio and our trade history and think, "man - if only I held this longer" or "I really messed up buying this on the rise". But what we often forget is to give ourselves credit the the decisions we made that there isn't a history of on our chosen broker. For every single regret we have as traders, there is a dodged bullet that our gut, training, or education helped us avoid. On the flip side, there are also those securities we saw a post about, or noticed while browsing that sparked something in us but we hesitated on. Those ones that have been nothing but green since then and we are regretting. If you don't record the moves you almost made, then you're missing out on valuable person growth information that can help you become a better trader. Write down every move you almost made in a notebook and look back every once in a while. The more you write at the time the better. Hope this can help others as much as it's helped me. Good luck y'all! Edit: it seems there are a few of you that take it personally and feel the need to insult because I've only been trading with real money for a month. I've also been researching, learning, and trading with virtual accounts for years. I'm by no means a seasoned vet or an expert - and that's why I'm giving out a tip that has nothing to do with certain securities or evaluation of them. Take a breath and find a way to be happier in life folks. [link] [comments]  |
| A sum-up of all the recent news on $BB Posted: 11 Feb 2021 09:47 AM PST I think most people haven't realized how much good news $BB has announced, so I will highlight most of them now: February 23, 2021 Upcoming webinar with AWS and $BB to how the next generation of software-defined vehicles will unlock a wealth of cost-cutting and profit-making opportunities for automakers. This is what the webinar will include:
February 11, 2021 BlackBerry Bolsters Embedded Software Portfolio with Release of QNX Hypervisor 2.2:https://www.blackberry.com/us/en/company/newsroom/press-releases/2021/blackberry-bolsters-embedded-software-portfolio-with-release-of-qnx-hypervisor-2-2 This allows Android and Linux to run on top of QNX, which is huge! This could possibly mean that 100% of all cars in the future will have QNX installed. February 10, 2021 $BB is once again announced as a leader in the UEM market. February 8, 2021 $BB's QNX Black Channel Communications is going to be used in Motional's Driverless Platform. This is huge since this is the first customer to be using the new QNX Black Channel Communications. February 7, 2021 BlackBerry QNX Working With Android Open Source Project (AOSP) February 6, 2021 https://www.reddit.com/r/wallstreetbets/comments/ldrlmd/zacks_just_upgraded_bb_price_target_29/ Zacks upgraded their price target from $14 to $29 on $BB January 28, 2021 https://www.entrepreneur.com/article/364346 BB is rated "Strong Buy" due to its impressive past performance and short-term bullishness, as determined by the four components of our overall POWR Rating. January 25, 2021 BlackBerry Expands Partnership with Baidu to Power Next-Generation Autonomous Driving Technology. This will allow $BB to further expand their operations in Asia. January 15, 2021 https://techcrunch.com/2021/01/11/sony-reveals-more-details-on-its-secretive-vision-s-sedan/ Get's Sony as a customer for QNX [link] [comments]  |
| Posted: 11 Feb 2021 12:56 PM PST Someone needed to say this. There is tons of DD on APHA and TLRY running around reddit, and I trust that you can find it yourselves. There are also ample signs from US politics regarding the upcoming and probable legalization of cannabis. In my opinion, there are some extremely smart ways to invest in the cannabis sector that is projected to grow over the next months/years. That being said, I am incredibly frustrated that these companies are now seen as pump and dump schemes. I have held positions in both APHA and TLRY for over a month, and I plan on continuing to hold them long-term because I believe in their fundamentals as a company and the expansion of marijuana legalization. PLEASE could everyone stop saying things like "weed is dead" and "I just YOLO'd on weed and sold at the top before it crashed to get my sweet gainz." For any seasoned investor, cannabis is a good long-term play right now, and all these meme stock/hypers are giving it a bad name. Leave it alone! Personally, if I were down on these stocks, I would absolutely hold onto them because they have solid potential. These are not short squeeze/hype/meme stocks. Please stop looking at them as such. [link] [comments]  |
| Posted: 11 Feb 2021 08:46 AM PST I feel there is a good sentiment towards BB but it keeps falling every day. I only hear good news and amazing DD's. Should I keep holding or sell at some point ? I really think it's a good company and undervalue but a see red every day for the last two weeks or so. What do you think about BB ? Position : 200 shares avg 15.3 [link] [comments]  |
| Posted: 11 Feb 2021 09:33 AM PST Why did the stock market just sink in the last 30 minutes? I am looking for articles or information but I can't find anything, is there a place to get information like that asap? Thanks! I'm just so curious as to what makes the market slump instantly without there being any information out immediately, like how does that happen? I really hope that this is not considered a low tier post I just want a simple answer though. Edit: Slump not collapse I meant. Edit: to clarify, I'm still up for the day, and I'm not worried, I just want to know why it suddenly slumped at almost exactly 12 and where I can get up to the minute news about the market. [link] [comments]  |
| Cloudflare ($NET) forth quarter result 50% yoy growth in revenue Posted: 11 Feb 2021 01:19 PM PST https://finance.yahoo.com/news/cloudflare-announces-fourth-quarter-fiscal-211500340.html
"We had a remarkable end to a year we'll never forget, delivering a record fourth quarter and full year 2020. Our paid customer count grew to more than 111,000, with our largest customers continuing to be our strongest growth area," said Matthew Prince, co-founder and CEO of Cloudflare. " And the share price dropping in aftermarket now :) [link] [comments]  |
| Posted: 11 Feb 2021 04:45 AM PST Hello everyone! This isn't my usual kind of post, but man, I can't stand to see how people just follow every freaking YouTuber out there blindly! In this post, we are going to talk about why I believe Tom Nash may be a fraud, so please do have some patience and read the full post, as I will go through an in-depth research of his past and his claims. ~Very Long Post~ Let's start by talking about who Tom Nash is & says he is. He is a new & trendy "finance & stock market" YouTuber which has recently passed 150K subscribers after exploding during this retail investor boom, but here is a short video from his YouTube describing himself. In the video he is claiming he is a former "senior financial analyst" which is very hard to believe in my opinion after doing a lot of research about him. So let's go through the 5 reasons I believe he is lying about his past & why you should never take anything any YouTuber out there says for granted and you should do your own research as well: 1) Let's start with the biggest one, his valuation methods are flawed Even though he has posted some videos that have panned out, it's very hard to differentiate good analysis from pure luck in this recent bull market, even monkeys could throw darts at stocks in the past 11 months and be right after the March sell-off. I was pretty curious of his valuation methods so I joined his channel membership and asked him a direct question, about his DCF valuation, to which he responded bluntly that I am doing things wrong. I also sent him a direct link to a well-known financial institute, where we can see that the most common cash flow used for financial modeling, which is the unlevered free cash flow, implies that you subtract any capital expenditures of the company, which contradicts the way he sees it and is plain wrong, it's like he uses 2nd grade math, if you subtract a negative number then your cash flow actually increases, which doesn't even make sense. How can something that costs you money be a positive on the free cash flow? I'll let you digest this as I will next show you some of his DCF valuations & how he uses absurd numbers and changes the formulas as he pleases just to reach some insane valuations for companies just to be catchy. Here are a couple of short extracts from his Salesforce DCF calculations, Exibit A - everything seems legit until here, now he starts with the biggest mistake in this DCF Exibit B - I'll be blunt you can never, ever add the Capex number to a DCF valuation, that literally throws the hole calculations off, but let's continue… Exibit C - So, using a discount rate of 6% is also insane, even with the current low interest rates, you should at least discount the average SP500 return, or use the WACC or any other type of metric, which is much safer than picking out a single company, as the SP500 has proven over long-stretches to be a great performer. But yeah guys, this isn't the first time he has done these kind of errors, you can see he is using most of these methods in many stock picks which are then spread out to thousands of new investors, who don't really have the knowledge to test what he is saying. I'm just showing you here a couple of stocks like Dynatrace, Opendoor, Alibaba, Peloton, Salesforce as I showed in the previous video and even Apple that have been analyzed and spread to the public this way. The other big issue with his valuations is that he is using insane long-term growth rates, as he used a 5% growth rate for Peloton to reach a higher valuation, so can you imagine? If Peloton grows at a 5% rate in perpetuity it means they should more than double the inflation rate every year and is way higher than any GDP growth the US has seen since 1984. He is also implying that Peloton has no debt on it's balance sheet, which is 100% false, as you can see HERE, he used the cash, cash equivalents & marketable securities to calculate the short term assets while completely ignoring the over $700M in accounts payable no to mention the other current liabilities which would add up to almost exactly the $1.4B in assets he added to his calculations. But who knows guys? Maybe he is the real deal, as he has made some correct DCF implications for some stocks like Fortinet and FuboTV, by actually subtracting the Capex finally, though he doesn't do this in every analysis, not even in the most recent ones while also keeping that big long-term growth rate at 5%, when I myself never use a bigger one than 4%. Just for an example I took his CRM numbers and popped them up in my spreadsheets, and even given his methods I couldn't quite get to the same results without manually editing numbers, as those implications resulted in a 7% undervaluation for the stock, while only adjusting the Capex to be a negative on the cashflows and not touching anything else that might be wrong in this DCF, resulted in a 10% overvaluation for the stock. So, I think if he really was a 10+ years wall street analyst I don't think he could have made these obvious mistakes. 2) So, Is Tom Nash whom he says he is or is he lying about his past? HERE is the channel intro for his YouTube (Which I can't even see anymore, but i was lucky to download it a couple of days ago) As you Can see, I don't doubt that he actually went to Michigan or that he got and MBA, but I do doubt that all of his Successful "Senior" Financial analyst & consulting Career can be described with only a couple of weak-ass photos of him at an NBA game, or him casually at some kind of a course program as that is exactly what it looks like with the other guys in the back-left of the photo. Also, are we to believe all of this great financial career ended with him just taking out his fake plant from his office, while also smiling as he threw away at least a decent salary for a gamble on YouTube, which is very hard to do, especially when you are starting, as YouTube doesn't really help the small guys. His YouTube journey seemed to have started on the path of exposing guru's and not financial advice, as he also says in the video, so how did he turn to do financial analysis on YouTube? Seems pretty convenient that he just became an expert in stock analysis as YouTube videos on such things were booming. You can see HERE, he didn't make a single stock analysis for the most part of 2020, which seems pretty off, as now most of his videos are on stock analysis, and while his channel was created in 2017, he conveniently deleted all the previous videos, which is another weird move to do. I also went on a deep internet dive and did a lot of searching about him and I found this video podcast of him. His main intro in this podcast is that he works as a consultant indeed, from Israel, and also the consultancy job isn't for a financial company, it's rather to help people on YouTube grow, so let's look at some extracts from the video: Exibit I - We can see the main part of the talk is nothing about anything related to his financial past, let's continue Exibit II - It seems he started with a gaming channel, not even a fake guru channel, and I also found something about that FB GROUP which isn't active anymore and all of the videos he made for that have also been deleted as you can see in this post from way back in 2018 as he was teaching how to make money on YouTube well through 2019, and was even giving out free workshop experiences as he was pumping out creator content which is miles apart from financial analysis (BTW, he is using the same freaking photo in his old banner & logo as his current one, just changing the green screen background), just look at his old YouTube banner (YouTube tips & tutorials) Exibit III - Yeah, it seems he also did some video on how to promote on Reddit, and what comes next guys is literally mind blowing, how much more can this dude lie & hide? Exibit IV - Well… Nothing to hide then… He even had a Fiverr account which was called tomernash you can see clearly HERE, that is his username, and when I went out to check it out right now, he is using a fake picture & and still might live in Israel, not the US, and on top of this he might not actually even be from Russia, which he has been saying over & over again on his channel. You can SEE he reiterates he is a certified YouTube consultant with no mention of his financial skills or certifications. And even more, you see what picture he uses as a logo yeah? Well, I did a reverse google search and found the other guy also has a YouTube channel about kinetic cycling. Maybe he was one of his clients that he reached a deal to use his picture, wtf, the more I dig in the more I am amazed of the lengths this man has gone to reach fame on YouTube. Exibit V - So… A financial analyst with no sheets, no paper, no nothing, great stuff for a senior financial analyst, I literally can't take more of this so let's move to the next reasons 3) Getting in front of the lie? I believe that's what he was trying to do to, by making a VIDEO on this very subject in mid-2020 and popping up higher in the search rankings before his channel boomed. In the video he clarifies that Tom Nash isn't his real name, but he also restated that he was working for a big consultancy firm as recent as this summer, and that he does shit tons of stuff which is very hard to believe, as usually this big consultancy firms have different departments for different things that he mentioned in the video. You can still find that video on his channel if you are interested But, by the way, how was he working on that job while also doing hundreds of Fiverr jobs as a YouTube consultant? He also claims to not offering any courses, e-books or other stuff like this, which is false as i showed in the previous reasons with his past YouTube courses & other stuff, and as you will see in the next reasons, something smells really bad out here. 4) Claims about his past I also took a deeper dive into more of his past, as you can see in his previous channel cover and info, he had only about 4K subscribers as he was doing guru video reviews on YouTube, but all of a sudden, he became a senior financial analyst from wall street that was living in Israel & doing Fiverr gigs, I don't know what to say but it seems pretty fishy to me. I also checked his LinkedIn page, and all of his skills & endorsements seem to be related to his YouTube skills and nothing about finance or the stock market. But I also found his profile on Quora, where he wasn't that active but still, well back in 2017 he was posting things about gaming & YouTube while supposedly still working on Wall Street as a financial analyst, and it's interesting that there is no mention of him following anything related to stocks, finance, economy, accounting, statistics or anything other related to the stock market. So yeah guys, I guess when you make a new type of video and it boosts your channel from just 10K subscribers all the way up to 150K subscribers, you are willing to push the limits and lie about your past just to keep everything going, as YouTube is a really good way to make money right now. 5) The Transformation He has had even more channels in the past not only this one, which he has transformed overnight from a YouTube Channel Reviewer to a Guru Reviewer and finally to a financial analyst , as He created a second & third YouTube account called GearlyReviews where he reviews electronics and EuroBall where he only posted 2 videos. I also searched him through his Reddit posts and only could find things related to marketing & social media, nothing about finance yet again. So, my personal opinion which I doubt to be wrong guys, if there is a case of a dubious & fishy person out there, he is one of them.I believe that he has never worked as a senior financial analyst and especially not a stock market, asset or any other type of equity analyst. Most of his stock picks are small-caps that are highly volatile or a couple of recent high flyers which are very catchy to any YouTube audience. There are many things wrong about the picture he has painted about himself even though he has gone through a lot to try and erase his past. The fact that there are no mentions of things from the wall street or consulting firm, bad stock analysis and methods, fishy and dubious moves of his YouTube channels and especially fishy things about him being a consultant & analyst in early 2020 while he was already doing YouTube and other stuff back in 2017-2018 really makes me not want to buy his story. Folks, be careful out there, you can find a lot of YouTubers out there who make more money from their advice giving on YouTube, Patreon or other kind of subscriptions and courses, compared to the actual money they are making or have ever made in the stock market. So yeah guys, I don't want to make a final judgment on this guy, but you should consider everything I have showed about him and all the problems with his past & his financial methods & just remember as always in a bull market everyone is an expert & genius, while in a bear market you can't find any of these people as they all flee. Later edit: He has currently disabled his Fiverr gigs, learned Russian and deleted the profile image LOL Thank you everyone for reading🙏 Hope you enjoyed the content! Be sure to leave a comment down below with your opinion! Have a great day and see you next time❗ [link] [comments]  |
| POWW Ammo Inc, announced they are buying gunbroker!!!! Posted: 11 Feb 2021 10:55 AM PST Is anybody watching this, and where would you expect it to go? They had record earnings last quarter. They are releasing earnings on the 16th. And they just announced they are buying gunbroker ( the eBay of the gun industry)This could be HUGE!!! [link] [comments]  |
| The Trap of Results-Oriented Thinking Posted: 10 Feb 2021 07:26 PM PST Imagine you are faced with two buttons that you can press, and you can only press one: Button A: You have a 50% chance to win $10,000 Button B: You have a .00000001% Chance to win $10,000,000 What is the better option? Well probably Button A, but let's turn to basic probability theory to be precise. Treating it as an expected value problem, we find: Button A: $10,000 * .5 = $5,000 Button B: $10,000,000 * .00000001% = $.001 Button A is the better choice 100% of the time. If you were given the option, you'd probably press button A. However, imagine a world where you, making the right choice, chose button A and lost the 50/50 chance and didn't even win the $10,000. Then, someone steps up right after you, and after thinking for a bit, presses button B thinking it's the better choice. He wins. Confetti flies everywhere, his family is around to congratulate him and tell him how awesome he is. Everyone thinks he's a genius because hey, he has $10 Million and you have none. Then there's you, you went home with nothing. You're a button A presser and you suck. Well I'm here to tell you that as a fellow button A presser, you don't suck, and I'm proud of you. New investors - you are constantly being tempted to buy into this results oriented-thinking. The thinking that because the result was good you made the right decision. There's a reason portfolio managers can be sued for making their clients tons of money, and there's also a reason professional poker players don't beat themselves up after a lost hand that was played with Game-Theory Optimal. However, when it comes to the stock market, it's almost impossible to know what was the right decision, whether we make or lose money. The only reliable yardstick we have is our long run average, which is where we learn who's been swimming naked and who's Charlie Munger and Warren Buffet. There has obviously been a large influx of new investors flooding to reddit and heading straight to the markets themselves. Some of you are high off your recent gains and are looking for more, others are feeling discouraged after a streak of bad losses. I don't know what to say to winning and losing other than to treat those imposters the same, and we all can learn from each other that do the research, do the math, and proudly press button A and have our head high even when we lose sometimes making the right decision. [link] [comments]  |
| Answers to why did the market fall Posted: 11 Feb 2021 10:23 AM PST I've been seeing alot of post saying why did this happen at 10:30 or why did the market suddenly fall, to anyone new this is a completely normal occurrence, market fluctuations happen all the time. There are many reasons as to why this happens across the board, it could by high frequency trading, it could be big players taking profits it could algos, it could be many things, no one really knows, just don't panic and don't worry again this is completely normal. [link] [comments]  |
| Bumble ($BMBL) IPO today asking $76.50. Value? Posted: 11 Feb 2021 09:00 AM PST The rumors around the Bumble IPO price have been highly speculative. While $20-30/share was bounced around, $43 was the IPO premarket. It's now being offered publically at $76.50 asking per my trading platform. That's roughly half the ask of much more established conglomerate brand Match ($MTCH). Would you consider this overpriced? Thoughts? [link] [comments]  |
| MSOS – Regarding having a chunk of its holdings in a liquidity trust Posted: 11 Feb 2021 05:06 AM PST I've seen a lot of people post about being wary of MSOS and YOLO because a certain percentage of their holdings are in a liquidity trust. This is confusing and I wanted to set the record straight on why this is. A little background for those who are unfamiliar, MSOS is the only actively managed cannabis fund with only US exposure. YOLO is essentially the same but includes Canadian exposure and a bit of UK. Dan Ahrens, manager of both of these funds, was a guest on "The Cannabis Investing Podcast" and spoke to this holding. I typed out what he said below. Keep in mind this was recorded in August 2019 so some of the details with companies may be a little dated, but the main concept and investment strategy is still 100% relevant. There is a TL;DR below if you'd prefer. "Our fund, YOLO, is really the only fund out there so far that is getting exposure to some of these MSOs (multi-state operators). A great example is Curaleaf with the acquisition that was just announced is going to be the largest cannabis company in the world by sales. We have companies operating in the US but they're listed on the Canadian stock exchange and can't get listed on the Toronto yet or NASDAQ or NYSE because of these very complicated murkey federal laws. In our fund, you know it's very prominent in our principle investment strategies that we aren't only going to invest directly in stocks that are listed as federally legal and listed on certain exchanges. We're also going to use derivatives, futures, options, swaps, to gain exposure to stocks with similar characteristics. So we have a third party that buys the stocks, gives us back the return of those in a total return swap. Because it's very important that we have exposure to companies like Curaleaf, and Harvest Health, and Green Thumb Industries. Very sizeable companies operating in the US, because the US market, as you said, it's not just bigger than Canada. It's many, many, many times bigger than Canada. Everyone got excited about Canada because that's where the public stocks that we could invest are, and they passed recreational use, but we have to remember it's a tiny market compared to the United States and the worldwide market." When asked about these swaps appearing as trusts and funds in the holdings: "that's the amount of cash to cover the swap. So we are getting into the weeds here a little bit, but I want to point out that what we're doing is virtually the same as if you owned the stock. We aren't going to lever it up or have leverage. That's the amount of cash that's being held and is always going to be equal to the amount that we own in a stock swap." TL;DR: the trust privately invests in certain companies that cannot legally be listed on an exchange yet, and YOLO and MSOS hold the trust. It all balances out in the end. Side note, at the time of this recording MSOS wasn't in existence yet, so you can now get purely US exposure with that one. I've held these two for some time now, and I was admittedly getting a bit of FOMO when they underperformed some of the other weed ETFs this week, but I still think these have more upside potential as they are investing in US companies that are currently difficult to invest in. Once they get the greenlight to be on a common exchange, I think we will see a similar surge with YOLO and MSOS that we saw this week with the global weed ETFs. In fact, some of the companies mentioned above ARE listed now, and they've been soaring with the rest of them. [link] [comments]  |
| Advice on ARKG - ARK Genomic Revolution Multi-Sector ETF Posted: 11 Feb 2021 07:05 AM PST Hi all. I'm a genomics researcher working in the field of molecular diagnostics. I'm not a financial advisor and I have limited stock experience. One thing I know for sure through my line of work and expertise, is that genomics and biotech are a field that have the potential to absolutely revolutionise medicine, agriculture and the environmental sectors. I've recently invested in a multi sector ETF called "ARKG - ARK Genomic Revolution Multi-Sector ETF", but I have no idea when it comes to stocks. This seems like a no brainer investment due to the fact that the sector is destined to boom in the future. I'm just wondering what everyone thinks about this ETF and whether investing in particular company stocks would be more beneficial. I'm looking at a long term investment strategy. Any advice would be appreciated. TIA! [link] [comments]  |
| Automation Level 5 Outlook for Blackberry Posted: 11 Feb 2021 11:39 AM PST "I don't think I'm going to buy a Level 5 car for at least 10 years," Chen said. But Chen said that while fully autonomous passenger vehicles are at least 10 to 15 years out, he expects to see autonomous commercial vehicles and taxis soon." - Chen 2020 Blackberry partnered with Baidu who just launched yesterday a level 5 automation taxi program for the holidays Any competitors going for level 5 AV in passenger vehicles are very far off from getting there. BB on the other hand knows that, their partnership with Aptiv launching taxis in LA is another sign of it. "Level 3 will be mainstream for a long time," Chen said, speaking about the levels of autonomy. "The design wins in Level 4 and Level 5, but the revenue is still in Level 3." https://canada.autonews.com/technology/blackberry-ceo-talks-competitors-autonomy-ces Chen is telling us exactly what the outlook is. The bear argument will always be earnings, which is fair, but level 5 AV isn't going to be as profitable for any automaker just yet until a few years down the road, but like Chen said design will pave the way for that market. [link] [comments]  |
| How long can ARK momentum continue? Posted: 11 Feb 2021 02:10 PM PST I understand it's an actively managed fund but these gains are unheard of. Realistically, an ETF should have continued growth over years - mabye 5-10% a year? I've been invested in some of the ARK ETFS for 2 months and seen 20% gains already. Is this an effect of this bull market or is Cathie Woods really that great? How light do you guys think this can continue? I'm reluctant to putting a large amount of money into ARK because in 10-20 years time I'm not so sure ARK will be the mammoth it is today - although I'm sure it will still be gaining. Are these ARK ETFs here to stay long term or do you think they will reach the end of their life within 10 years? [link] [comments]  |
| Do you guys invest in companies that dont fit your morals/believes? Posted: 11 Feb 2021 12:36 PM PST Im having a hard time to hold some stocks i bought a few month ago because i came to the conclusion that they are evil (even more than i thought when i bought). Those companies tend to be the most profitable (apple :-) and im kinda in a moral dilemma. As a investor im supporting those companies and i feel like a part of the problem. I know morals dont belong in the stock market but whats your view on this? [link] [comments]  |
| (2/11) Thursday's Pre-Market Stock Movers & News Posted: 11 Feb 2021 05:37 AM PST Good morning traders and investors of the r/stocks sub! Welcome to Thursday! Here are your pre-market stock movers & news on this Thursday morning-5 things to know before the stock market opens Thursday
STOCK FUTURES CURRENTLY:(CLICK HERE FOR STOCK FUTURES CHARTS!)YESTERDAY'S MARKET MAP:(CLICK HERE FOR YESTERDAY'S MARKET MAP!)TODAY'S MARKET MAP:(CLICK HERE FOR TODAY'S MARKET MAP!)YESTERDAY'S S&P SECTORS:(CLICK HERE FOR YESTERDAY'S S&P SECTORS CHART!)TODAY'S S&P SECTORS:(CLICK HERE FOR TODAY'S S&P SECTORS CHART!)TODAY'S ECONOMIC CALENDAR:(CLICK HERE FOR TODAY'S ECONOMIC CALENDAR!)THIS WEEK'S ECONOMIC CALENDAR:(CLICK HERE FOR THIS WEEK'S ECONOMIC CALENDAR!)THIS WEEK'S UPCOMING IPO'S:(CLICK HERE FOR THIS WEEK'S UPCOMING IPO'S!)THIS WEEK'S EARNINGS CALENDAR:(CLICK HERE FOR THIS WEEK'S EARNINGS CALENDAR!)THIS MORNING'S PRE-MARKET EARNINGS CALENDAR:(CLICK HERE FOR THIS MORNING'S EARNINGS CALENDAR!)EARNINGS RELEASES BEFORE THE OPEN TODAY:(CLICK HERE FOR THIS MORNING'S EARNINGS RELEASES LINK #1!)(CLICK HERE FOR THIS MORNING'S EARNINGS RELEASES LINK #2!)EARNINGS RELEASES AFTER THE CLOSE TODAY:(CLICK HERE FOR THIS AFTERNOON'S EARNINGS RELEASES LINK #1!)(CLICK HERE FOR THIS AFTERNOON'S EARNINGS RELEASES LINK #2!)YESTERDAY'S ANALYST UPGRADES/DOWNGRADES:(CLICK HERE FOR YESTERDAY'S ANALYST UPGRADES/DOWNGRADES LINK #1!)(CLICK HERE FOR YESTERDAY'S ANALYST UPGRADES/DOWNGRADES LINK #2!)(CLICK HERE FOR YESTERDAY'S ANALYST UPGRADES/DOWNGRADES LINK #3!)YESTERDAY'S INSIDER TRADING FILINGS:(CLICK HERE FOR YESTERDAY'S INSIDER TRADING FILINGS!)TODAY'S DIVIDEND CALENDAR:(CLICK HERE FOR TODAY'S DIVIDEND CALENDAR LINK #1!)(CLICK HERE FOR TODAY'S DIVIDEND CALENDAR LINK #2!)(CLICK HERE FOR TODAY'S DIVIDEND CALENDAR LINK #3!)(CLICK HERE FOR TODAY'S DIVIDEND CALENDAR LINK #4!)(CLICK HERE FOR TODAY'S DIVIDEND CALENDAR LINK #5!)(CLICK HERE FOR TODAY'S DIVIDEND CALENDAR LINK #6!)(CLICK HERE FOR TODAY'S DIVIDEND CALENDAR LINK #7!)THIS MORNING'S STOCK NEWS MOVERS:(source: cnbc.com)
DISCUSS!What's on everyone's radar for today's trading day ahead here at r/stocks? I hope you all have an excellent trading day ahead today on this Thursday, February 11th, 2021! :)[link] [comments]  |
| Posted: 11 Feb 2021 11:42 AM PST These last few weeks have been bizarre in terms of the stock market and it has left me at a complete loss as to what "up & coming" companies to put my money on at the moment. I am feeling that I would like to outline my running thesis as to what has been going on. The GME gamma squeeze has changed a whole lot. Probably this is just a short term distrubance, though it could be a continual change, I really don't know. So what has happened? Part 1 - Gamestop Gamestop and its prophesied gamma squeeze awoke the hoard. Tens, if not hundreds of thousands of newby traders exploded out onto the freshly burgeoning retail trading platforms to take advantage of the promise of riches beyond belief. You see a rumour began to spread that the ruling financial elites had gotten greedy, they had over extended, and trapped themselves in an unwinnable situation. How lucky we all now were. We simply needed to buy up these shares and we would soar to the moon carried by a rocket, powered by the elites lost money. It was irresistible. It was a promise not only of immense wealth, but also of destroying those that had destroyed others so many times. This, of course, didn't end as most people expected. The elites escaped their fate. The early traders made millions, most won minor amounts and some lost more then they could. Part 2 - The Fallout So, suddenly the market had become open to a hoard of fresh traders that had gotten a taste, a teaser of what they could make from a hobby in stock trading. They had only two questions on their mind "What stocks are the next GME?" & "Which of these winning stocks can I afford and win the most?". These two questions inevitably led them to one place... THE PENNY STOCKS! (also stocks under about $30) Though, most of them couldn't access all penny stocks, just those penny stocks that are avaliable on most standard trading platforms. Part 3 - Thesis I am doing away with the story like tone of this now, though I hope you enjoyed that. Essentially, A ton middle class people that don't have ridiclous amounts of money surged into the market and have all been trying to guess the next GME/Big thing and many have just been following trends on mass. The issue with this is there is currently "seemingly" high quality DD posts being made of virtually every widely avaliable stock under $10, and of many stocks that are a bit higher than $10. I imagine, because of this, many people might be experiencing the same problems as me now.
I am curious what the take of other traders on here are about handling this situation? Personally these are the steps I have taken. I have benefited with a small amount of winnings both from GME & from weed stocks as well as some of the other penny stock gains. I have taken all of my money out of these sort of plays temporarily and moved most of it into safer long term investments. Most into a few different ETF's, some into SQ, Microsoft, Apple. Though I have kept a small amount ( an amount I have no problem loosing) and I chucked it into TRX, "why", you may ask, "have you moved stocks into a strange unimpressive canadian gold mining?" simply because it was one of the last widely accesbile(that is to say avaliable on most amatuer trading platforms) penny stocks under $1, I suspect it may move up simply because of how cheap it is. Stocks under $1 seem, at least temporarily, to be soaring for the simple fact of being under $1. [link] [comments]  |
| Are all stock related message boards complete bs? Posted: 11 Feb 2021 03:23 AM PST Webull, yahoo finance, sub reddits...all these messages boards copy and paste the same exact info whether it's "to the moon" or "dd" or even wild claims expecting the stock go hit crazy high numbers. Should I stop looking at these? They really seem manipulaive and fake. I tend to look at them to get perspective on the stocks public sentiment but I'm more and more convinced it's probably bots spewing the same pumping bs. Is there a community that's not all about get rich quick bullshit? [link] [comments]  |
| Recommended plays? Trying to recoup my losses from the recent meme stock Posted: 11 Feb 2021 10:34 AM PST My $4k investment into meme stock is clearly dead. If I cut my losses right now, out of that 4k, I'll have about $750. I'm in no rush to cover that loss, what are some relatively safe plays for the next few weeks or months. [link] [comments]  |
| How do you find a company to invest in, when none of the companies you know trade publicly? Posted: 11 Feb 2021 12:23 PM PST I've been doing some daytrading and I came to the conclusion it's not worth it. Too much effort, too much risk and even if you manage to reduce it doesn't pay off for all the time you invest on it. I decided to change my investing philosophy and do value investing. The only problem is that I don't know, or have an "edge", on any of the companies that trade in the public market. All the companies that I know are small or startups privately funded. How can I discover new companies? [link] [comments]  |
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