• Breaking News

    Wednesday, December 30, 2020

    Stocks - r/Stocks hits 1M subscribers!!!

    Stocks - r/Stocks hits 1M subscribers!!!


    r/Stocks hits 1M subscribers!!!

    Posted: 30 Dec 2020 02:27 PM PST

    Hey investors and traders, this community just reached 1M subscribers!!! This sub literally doubled in size since the beginning of the year, very much like a stock in an ARK fund.

    Thanks to everyone that was supportive with getting rid of penny stock discussions earlier this year, and big shoutout to the mods of r/pennystocks with handling the influx of penny stock traders, your sub is honestly the best place for that (I mean it's in the name right).

    I want to thank the mods of r/stocks: I know we're volunteers and we do this because stocks are our hobby, but you've done a ton of work making this sub an enjoyable & smart place to discuss stocks. Thank you!

    So I know a ton of subscribers are new to stocks and if so please read this wiki to get started with stocks. We also added advanced topics to the wiki. But if you just want to get into passive stock investing, please read this wiki.

    Please continue using the voting & reporting system on Reddit. If you have any feedback for r/stocks, feel free to post it here or even send us a modmail in the future with suggestions/feedback.

    submitted by /u/provoko
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    Tesla Will Hit 500,000 Deliveries for 2020, Analysts Predict

    Posted: 30 Dec 2020 07:29 AM PST

    https://www.thestreet.com/investing/tesla-tsla-deliveries-2020-analysts-wall-street

    "With 180k for 4Q the line in the sand, we believe given the underlying strength we are picking up in China as well as a late push in Europe and the U.S., that 190k-200k is well within reach," Wedbush analyst Daniel Ives wrote in a commentary.

    He added that "while there are some logistics speed bumps throughout Europe that could derail a number of deliveries in the next few days, the theme of the Tesla story and overall global EV demand continues to be around white hot demand coming out of China."

    Credit Suisse analyst Dan Levy also has a neutral rating on Tesla, with a $400 price target. He forecasts 183,000 deliveries this quarter, above what he sees as the sell-side consensus for 163,000 and the likely buy-side consensus for 175,000 to 180,000 deliveries. That would take Tesla to 502,000 deliveries for 2020 as a whole.

    Thanks for the awards.

    submitted by /u/coolcomfort123
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    Stock Market News for Today | INTC, PTON, AAPL, HD, LULU, AMC & other stock market updates [12-30]

    Posted: 30 Dec 2020 05:39 AM PST

    Should you get into stocks that benefit from the booming housing market? Is the workout at home trade done? Intel stops the bleeding while Apple loses lawsuit. Let's talk about this and other stock market news

    Hello everyone and Good Morning! So, let's start with the recap of yesterday, as we saw all 3 big indexes closing the day in the red despite hitting intraday records, with the NASDAQ COMPOSITE losing .38%, while both the broad market SP500 and the DOW JONES Industrial finished the day down just over .2% as we also saw the VIX rising by more than 4% yesterday as the $2000 stimulus was BLOCKED in the Senate by McConnell and the Georgia Senate runoff election is just a week away.

    Almost 70% of the COMPANIES were declining yesterday on below average volume as the number of companies that were trading above the 50-day moving average fell under 70% for the first time in quite a while.

    We saw 9 of the 11 SECTORS closing in the red yesterday, with only the Health Care and Consumer Discretionary sectors having small gains as almost all the types of companies were losing ground YESTERDAY, especially the small-caps with the small-cap growth group losing more than 2%.

    Here is the HEAT MAP from yesterday, it's mostly red, with only a couple of companies that were gaining big like the Chinese companies alongside Amazon and Intel.HEAT

    We also got some economic data yesterday, as a review of the 2020 aviation and air travel ESTIMATED that traffic will be down 67% since last year, dropping to levels not seen since 1999, as air travel is still struggling to come back after the march bottoms. This has affected most of the COMPANIES worldwide but it seems that China airlines is doing somewhat better with the biggest percentage of the total number of flights completed compared to last year.

    The SP Home price INDICES also came in better than expected with the National Index increasing by 1.4% M/M, as this is a leading measure of real estate prices, gaining 8.4% nationwide over year ago.

    These moves can also be seen in the latest Redfin report, as home sales PRICES are up 14% year/year to over $320K with a great increase in pending SALES which are also up more than 34% since last year, as the number of active LISTINGS of home sales is down more than 30%, as buyers can't snatch them up quick enough with such low YIELDS, as this has led for the AVERAGE sale price to list value to rise to 99.4% which Is up 1.5% since 2019. This should be good news for companies like Toll Brothers, Lennar, HD and LOW.

    This was also accompanied by the great numbers in the us chain store sales NUMBERS, which rose by almost 9% y/y with December sales expected to rise almost 5% since last year and a .2% increase since last month.

    While TODAY we start the day with MBA Mortgage applications, home sales and the Chicago PMI alongside advance reads on many other data points.

    In some other stock market NEWS, we saw Apple cool of a little yesterday, losing more than 1% for the day while they also lost a lawsuit aimed of stopping Corellium using virtual iPhone for security researching in the operating system, while INTEL finally got a breather and recovered some of the recent loses, after an activist hedge fund manager pushed for strategic changes in the company as Intel is losing market share and top designers, with the company also ISSUING a statement that lifted spirits around the stock.

    We also saw the FAA introduce new rules for drones, this may have a big impact on companies like UPS, Walmart and Amazon, as all of them have started trials for drone-delivery, as this could lead to better margins for the companies.

    The Fed also EXTENDED the main street lending programs until Jan. 8 with the approval of Mnuchin as they try to process a bunch of applications this month, this means we can get even more money put into the economy and eventually the stock markets which is good news.

    And meanwhile, AstraZeneca's vaccine was APPROVED for emergency use in the UK, this is another weapon to find this freaking illness, while JNJ will give us some results in early 2021 and Novavax just started their trial in the US.

    Also, one last piece of data that I found recently shows that there was indeed a huge spike this YEAR in the move to live streaming video and pre-recorded videos this year, as this has boosted companies like Peloton, Lululemon and others.

    But this trend is seen slowing down in the next years with just a 4% CAGR in the equipment market, but that the exercise apps will see a big GROWTH in the next years, so there are 2 different POV. I wouldn't stay invested in companies like PTON right now, I'd rather take profits and move to other areas in the stock market. But don't rush into companies like AMC which have diluted their stock a lot or have lots of debt… this will not recover so fast, with AMC filling to share up to 50M shares.

    Let's hope for a good day in the market as US FUTURES seem to be pointing at a good open, with all 3 big indexes in the green as the Nasdaq is leading the way.

    Thank you everyone for reading! Hope you enjoyed the content! Be sure to leave a comment down below with your opinion on the stock market!

    Have a great day and see you next time!

    submitted by /u/0toHeroInvesting
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    Are people massively under expecting legacy energy stocks in their ability to become renewables?

    Posted: 30 Dec 2020 04:44 AM PST

    First of all 70% of my portfolio is in INRG - which is the UK equivalent of ICLN (exact same holdings and all).

    From what I gather most of ICLN's holdings are smaller companies EXPECTED to grow due to their head starts in renewables for example Plug Power, which is one of the largest holdings in ICLN at 5%.

    I for one have this vision that all these legacy energy stocks like BP, Shell, Exxon will for some reason neglect to transition to renewable sources of energy and fade into obscurity.

    Obviously, this surely cannot happen, the writing has been on the wall for the end of fossil fuel sources and these companies have already invested massively and plan to invest more in renewable development/research - Shell plans to spend $2bn to $3bn through its "new energies division" every year between 2021 to 2025.

    So is the future of renewable energy more likely to see these companies absorbing the other smaller 'new' renewable companies?

    What do you guys think about the future of these legacy stocks?

    submitted by /u/RLBreakout
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    PLTR lockout period and share dilution

    Posted: 30 Dec 2020 08:33 AM PST

    PLTR is currently valued at 14.5B. According to Finviz they have 1.65B shares outstanding with a 1.00B float.

    https://finviz.com/quote.ashx?t=PLTR

    On March 29, MarketBeat has PLTR listed to end its lockout period and expects to see 250M more (about 25% of current float) be released into public with a strike price of $7.

    https://www.marketbeat.com/ipos/lockup-expirations/

    No one has a crystal ball, but what do people think that this kind of "dilution" (I'm using the word loosely...) could have on the share price? PLTR has a record run, rallying almost 300% from its post-IPO consolidation.

    How are people who are buying into PLTR right now rationalizing this looming specter of "dilution" while remaining optimistic about PLTR's revenue plans?

    submitted by /u/radarbot
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    Apple [AAPL] Stock Price Predictions | Buy or Sell AAPL? Apple [AAPL] Stock Price Target & Analysis

    Posted: 29 Dec 2020 03:03 PM PST

    Should you buy Apple stock or has the company run out of growth opportunities? What is my price prediction for Apple in the next years? Read until the end as I reveal my price target for Apple and also what I think will happen in the next couple of days, weeks & months!

    ~ Warning! Very Very Long Post~

    Hello everyone! So, let's go over some of the latest news on Apple before moving on to some fundamental and technical analysis, predictions and my price target for the stock in the next years.

    So, let's start with the news that Apple will cut the App Store commission in half for small app developers starting in the next days, this will affect developers who earn less than $1M annually from the App Store Sales. This is likely to lead to a small decline in commission revenues for Apple as around 98% of the app developers will qualify for this tax reduction from 30% to 15%, but all these small developers only contribute to about 5% of the estimated $50B in annual revenues from the App Store, so that would be only a $1.25B loss for the company, that is less than half a % of the company's total net sales in the last fiscal year.

    Also, these changes may lead to a potential long-term revenue boost, as it is likely this will lead to an increasing creation of apps which will generate more commissions in return.

    Alongside this we also saw the company releasing the new MacBook's with their first in-house chip, which promises faster video and imaging processing times, with both CPU and GPU performance up to 2 times faster than the latest PC laptop chip using just a fraction of the power consumption, with both of the macbooks promising big improvements in battery life. Apple is also expected to roll out even more in-house chips in future products, as they have started the 2-year breakup with Intel chips.

    We also saw Morgan Stanley upgrading their base case to $191 at the end of November, as they have cited record lead times, supply chain forecasts and carriers demand as they expect that the company will sell around 270M iPhone in fiscal year 2021, that's 50M more than the consensus and almost 30M more than the previous estimate of Morgan Stanley, with an average selling price of 842$, 9% more than the base case, as people tend to chose the more expensive and high tech versions of the lineup in this new 5G cycle.

    The 5G super-cycle, which I believe is on the way, and will continue in the next years, as 5G become more available worldwide, could still be the biggest thing coming right away for the company with 5G smartphones expected to surpass 4G sales by 2024, with the average sale price of the 5G phones also coming down, helping them become more popular. This will also be helped by the recent entry to the Indian market, as India will probably become the world biggest country in the next decade, this could be a huge opportunity for Apple to start and take away market-share from their competitors like Samsung and Xiaomi which have the biggest market shares right now.

    They also released an update iPad Pro and an all-new iPad Air in September which will also boost sales in this work-from-home environment that will keep the demand very high for this kind of products, just like the Macs. Alongside the increasing demand from the Wearables, Home & Accessories that include Air Pods, Apple TV, Apple Watch, and many more products.

    But the biggest reasons I believe Apple is poised for continued growth, is primarily due to its services business, as they start to offer more and more services like the Apple ONE BUNDLE, which include up to 6 services from (Apple Music, Apple TV+, Apple Arcade, Apple News+, the new Apple Fitness+ and the iCloud service) for a pretty reasonable price in my opinion starting from 15$ up to 30$/month, this could be a great option for families and even individuals who use their services a lot.

    The latest services, Fitness+ just launched in the past days, and is a direct competitor to the likes of Peloton, as the service is available on the iPhone, iPad or even Apple TV. This also makes consumers buy the Apple Watch which syncs to the other devices to show you different information. The Fitness+ app just on its own is 8$/month or 80$/year which is less expensive than Peloton subscription which charges 13$ or even traditional gyms like Planet Fitness at 10$/month.

    I think this will be the fastest growing sector for the company, as this aligns with the new macro trends, as the world is moving more and more to a digital approach to almost everything as consumer preferences, with more & more younger people reaching the point in life when they use these services start to align to this increasing digital approach.

    We also shouldn't forget the Apple Card & Apple Pay service among many others which also seem to gain from the move to digital & contactless payments, as this has been accelerated due to the current situation in the past year.

    And one last piece of news, and the most recent one, is that Apple may have fast-tracked the Titan project. The Titan project is targeting a 2024 or 2025 push to develop an electric vehicle with advanced battery technologies, that will deliver significant increases in range at much lower costs than the current technologies while also offering self-driving capabilities.

    It's reported they will not use the same technology as Tesla Full-Self-Driving feature, but will use LIDAR sensors, similar to those that we can find in the latest iPhone 12 PRO.

    I think Apple can go 2 ways with this project, they can either use the huge amount of cash the company has to buy another car-maker like Ford, GM or any other car manufacturer expect Tesla and Toyota which do have a big market cap, so that they can fast-track the potential manufacturing of cars, or they can enter into a partnership with big companies like Tesla, Volkswagen or any other car marker to either produce cars or license their technology to this other car-makers which would ultimately and probably have higher margin-returns than the effective manufacturing of cars. Apple's current overall gross margins stand at 38% vs the 15% average of the world top 10 automakers by market cap, which is significantly lower.

    But this Apple Car thing is so far out, and there are so many unknowns, I will not try to predict anything related to this until there is more clarity on the subject.

    And last, before moving on to some predictions, here are some of the highlights that we heard from the latest investors conference meeting, as the CEO, Tim Cook expressed optimism ahead with the launch of many new products and services, especially the Home Pod Mini and the new 5G iPhones, as these new iPhones include new LIDAR scanners that greatly improve the camera capabilities, as the iPhone as seen very positive reviews. We also saw the Senior VP and CFO, Luca Maestri give us great outlook for the company as they expect the installed devices base to continue to growth despite already being at an all-time high as they have over 585M paid subscriptions on their platforms and expect this to surpass 600M by the end of 2020.

    I also researched and found what products we can see in the near future, with the first half of 2021 bringing new iMacs, the AirPods3 and the iPad Pro, while in the FALL event we will probably get the new iPhone 13 alongside the iPhone SE PLUS and the Watch Series 7 with more products coming later in 2021 or that don't have an estimated release date like the Air Pods Pro, the Air Tags and the iPad Mini 6.

    So, before even starting, you should know that I am bull on Apple but I am willing to hear other opinions so don't be afraid to leave a comment down below.

    I have made some predictions based on the growth rate of the company, the latest plans announced by them and used some estimates. So, keep in mind this are only projections and are calculated by myself, this is not an investment advice and you should do your own research.

    This are my 2025 projections for Apple, let's take a closer look at them, each on their own.

    So, in term of revenues, Apple has 5 big sources of income, which saw an overall increase of 6% despite lagging sales in the iPhone. The biggest revenue is by far the iPhone right now with over $137B in revenue in the fiscal year ending in September. I expect to see the iPhone sales increasing in the next years, especially in 2021, with the new 5G iPhone creating a super-cycle for the company, as most iPhone users, including myself here, as I will upgrade from my iPhone X, will switch to this new product. The iPhone sales have decreased in the last couple of years by 14% and 3% as a result of the product not having big improvements, as well as iPhone usually starting to last longer than previous models, so I expect to see a 12% increase in sales next year and a gradual decrease in the growth of sales as more people upgrade, ending with just a 5% growth in iPhone sales in 2025.

    The next revenues stream is from the Mac, which has seen an increase in the past 2years, with revenues topping $28B this year after the huge demand from the work from home consumers. I expect this trend to continue as they plan to continue to launch better products and I can see the company having a similar growth next year before starting to decline slightly until 2025, also ending with a 5% growth.

    The iPad is currently the smallest revenue stream for Apple but has also seen an increase in demand in the past 2 years with a 13% average increase in revenues. I also expect the iPad to continue to grow in the next couple of years, especially with the learn-from-home environment for kids, and even after this period ends, the transformation for learning will implicate more digital usage. I expect the iPad to see some similar growth to the Macs, especially with the latest generation also bringing a new iPad air to the market.

    The 4th revenue stream and the fastest growing in the past 2 years, with an average growth of 33% are the wearables, home & accessories revenues. This have topped $30B this year, as Apple has also just launched the Apple Watch series 6 and also feature other great products like Apple TV, the Air Pods the Home Pod and the Home Pod mini alongside other third-party accessories.

    I gave this revenue stream a growth of 20% starting next year with a gradual decrease to around 8% by 2025, as I believe this will become more & more popular as they start to offer more vertical integration.

    And last, but by no means least, the revenue stream that I expect to grow the most and the fastest is the revenue from the services that Apple offers. This includes revenues from Apple Care, Advertising, Cloud Services, Payment Services like Apple Card & Apple Pay and of course the digital content which includes fees from the App Store alongside subscription-based income including the new Apple One Bundle and Apple Fitness+ alongside the already know Apple Arcade, Apple Music, Apple News+, Apple TV+ and hopefully I don't forget any others.

    So, I expect this to become the clear 2nd biggest revenue stream for Apple by 2025, as I expect this to grow more than 20% next year, mainly due to the Apple One Bundle and Apple Fitness+ followed up by a slightly decreasing growth, ending with a 10% increase in revenues in 2025.

    I think this are fairly conservative base case scenarios for the revenues, as I expect them to continue to increase the other revenue streams and not have such a large percentage of the revenues coming from the iPhone sales as you can see in this chart.

    In terms of expenses, I pretty much kept the same margins as in previous years, with a 68% expense ratio on product sales [ iPhone / iPad / Mac / WHA ] and 35% expense ratio on SERVICES, as this are way more lucrative.

    In the past 3 years, the products gross margin was 32.7%, so I actually imply bigger expenses for the manufacturing and sales of products, as this is mostly impacted by the company's supplier's ability to make up for and demand, while for the services revenue, the gross margins for the last 3 years has been 63.5% on average, but I expect this to be more in-line with the 66% margin in this past year. So, if services manage to grow to about half the revenues from the iPhone, this will effectively double the gross revenues, as every buck gained in the service revenues account for 2$ in the product sales.

    So, I expect the total revenues for Apple to increase from $274B in 2020 to over $440B by 2025, increasing by approximately 10%/year, while I will keep the expense ratio pretty much in-line and have them increasing by 11%/year, this would bring the total gross income for Apple to $177B, increasing mainly due to the services revenues as I said earlier. This growth is just above the 4year average, and below the 2018 levels, which we might see again with this 5G super-cycle and explosive growth in the services revenue.

    I also think the company will continue to invest in both Capital Expenditure and Operating expenses.

    I think the operating expenses will remain pretty much in line with the previous years, as this number has increased by 1% annually both in R&D and SG&A. So, I will keep the exact percentages from previous years, as I expect the revenue to increase, thus I don't see a big increase percentage wise. This would account for over $60B in operating expenses by 2025 and over $11B in Capital Expenditures by 2025, as I expect this to increase, mainly due to the possible EV developments or investments in self-driving capabilities alongside other manufacturing capabilities. You can see that the Capex spending has been decreasing in the past years with just over $8.8B in payments for business acquisitions and the other traditional Capex spending. Some people may use the cash generated by investing activities as Capex, but that is more unreliable. I also can see the Capex going back up, so I wanted to be safe and implied a 10% growth.

    This money would account for over $73B in expenses and would bring the profit for the company to almost $104B before interest and taxes.

    Moving on, let's see what interest income and expenses the company has had in the past few years. We can see a decrease in interest expense in the past few years as the company has been paying off debt, but they have also been generating less money in this department, with an overall decrease in this department of more than 50% in the past year, way less than the amount from 2018. So, for safety reasons, I used a 10% decline in both income and expenses related to interest, while increasing the other losses by 10%/year.

    This would bring the company pre-tax income to just over $104B in 2025.

    Let's move on to taxes. I know the Federal income tax rate is 21% for the company, but the actual effective tax rate for the company was lower than 15% in the past year, mainly due to lower tax-rates on foreign earnings alongside tax-benefits and tax-settlements. The average effective tax rate has been just over 16% in the past 3 years, but with more and more of the revenues coming from outside the US, I think it's safe to say that the company will have around a 15% effective tax rate by 2025, this obviously if nothing major changes in tax policy around the world.

    So, Apple would have $88.6B in income after tax by 2025 and with the current outstanding shares standing at just under 17B, so I don't even account for the company probably continuing to do share buybacks, this would mean a $5.22 future earnings/share. And with today's price for Apple just around 136$, that would mean to company is trading at just over 26 times forward price to earnings.

    I don't think Apple will ever trade at a discount again, with the current PE standing at over 40, I believe this will eventually go down, probably to around 35, despite the increase in services revenue, which is highly valued by investors. I think we can see Apple trade somewhere near 35 times P/E in 2025, especially if something big happens with the EV project, this could be even higher, just look at Tesla which trades at insane P/E. Of course, we also have to take into consideration the dividends that will be received from owning the stock, as Apple has started to pay dividends almost a decade ago and has 9 years of dividend growth, with a 10% annual rate of growth in the past 5 years. Here is the dividend growth history for the company, as I also went conservative on this estimate and implied a 7% growth for the next 2 years, 6% for 2023 and 2024 and just 5% in 2025.

    So here are my 3 price targets for the company, including dividends but not reinvested. My bear case scenario is that Apple will trade at almost 165$ which implies a return of over 21% by 2025, while my base case scenario would see Apple trading at 195$ with a return of capital of 43%. I will also make the bull case for Apple trading at 225$ by 2025 with dividends included, which would imply just over 65% in gains by then.

    I think this is possible as Apple has also continued to buy back shares of the company on a constant basis, as they continue to an impressive campaign with over $72B worth of common stock repurchased in 2020. They continue to buy back shares at a very fast pace, having repurchased over 1.3B shares in 2019 and 2018, while also issuing less stock every year.

    So here is the full spreadsheet that I have projected for Apple by 2025 and the breakdown of everything i estimated [ 1 / 2 ] , if you do have another opinion or a suggestion please leave a comment down below, I think I have been conservative in most of my projections, but feel free to give your opinion.

    Keep in mind, these targets might sound ridiculous, but just look at the growth Apple has had in the last 5years. The company has increased in value by more 400% in just the past 5years and is over 100.000% up since it started trading. So yes, the valuation is mad right now for the company. So, are you willing to bet against Apple?

    The company also has pristine financials, with more than $65B in total assets compared to total liabilities, and more than $38B in cash and cash equivalents.

    So, what do I expect in the next couple of days, weeks and months for Apple?

    Let's look at this CHART, so starting with the stock split, Apple saw a correction within the September stock market pullback, in a buy the news & sell the event, after a huge runup post-announcement of the stock split. The stock entered a consolidation period, and didn't have any big catalysts, especially with new iPhone lineup not being included in the Q4 results due to the late launch. The stock found some levels of resistance near the $120 levels that it struggled to get past but acted also as support after breaking them just before the recent news of the possible EV developments or self-driving-features to be licensed to other car manufacturers. After that news the stock spiked and has now reached the previous highs made before the stock split and is facing some resistance, if the stock pushes over $140 I think we can officially say that it broke the resistance at those levels and is not just a fake-out. But I think it's likely that the stock will consolidate between 122 and 135$ in the next weeks until the next iPhone sales and quarterly results are released, as the stock has entered overbought territory again with an RSI over 70, the first time since the stock split.

    So, what would I do? Well, I own Apple stock, and I really believe this company will remain the biggest or one of the biggest in the future, so I would really add on any weakness that the stock shows before the next quarter earnings are released, as typically Q1 earnings are the best for the company due to increased holiday sales combined with the launch of new products. I think any entry below 130$ would be really nice to start and build a position or increase it if you already own the stock. As I believe Apple is one of the most stable stocks out there with large institutional holders like Vanguard, BlackRock and Berkshire owning over 900M shares each.

    Thank you everyone for reading! Hope you enjoyed the content! Be sure to leave a comment down below with your opinion on the stock market!

    Have a great day and see you next time!

    submitted by /u/0toHeroInvesting
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    Buybacks are the dividends of the 21st century (incredible op-ed piece in the news)

    Posted: 30 Dec 2020 08:19 AM PST

    This is the first time I see this take on corporate payouts in the media, although I've heard prominent people murmuring about it here and there: https://www.forbes.com/sites/danrunkevicius/2021/12/30/the-fed-unleashed-a-mega-bullish-force-for-these-stocks/?sh=2ece25d125dc

    Very eye-opening.

    submitted by /u/SevereCat
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    Need some volatile stocks

    Posted: 30 Dec 2020 11:59 AM PST

    I've been throwing around 10k+ in tesla and making some damn good gains on swing trades. But as the price goes up, it's getting more and more expensive to profit off of dips relative to where I'm dumping at highs.

    Anyone know of any other volatile but profitable stocks I can dip my hands in to keep adding to that cheddar?

    submitted by /u/LokiiVegas
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    Got into stocks last year. I feel like I've been given an unrealistic hand and can't be sure that any of this performance makes actual sense

    Posted: 30 Dec 2020 12:33 PM PST

    See title.

    Here is a screenshot of my current portfolio's total percent change.

    Back when AMD's last generation of Ryzen chips were announced I saw them about to really make some ground so I jumped onto their stock with some of the cash I had sitting around.

    Couple of weeks later I decided to spend the few dollars I had left in my stock account (buying AMD didn't come out clean so my transfer had leftovers) on some cheap stocks.

    Found PLUG and WKHS which both seemed to be neat and cheap.

    Plug being involved with electric vehicles and things I immediately imagined those little electric scooters I've seen all around downtowns of the couple cities I've visited. Then they got the whole USPS electric fleet contract thing which is super cool and a nice coincidence.

    Then in March when everything dropped I figured it was a good time to buy some more stuff. Logitech seemed like a good idea as they've been producing more popular products every year and are the brand of choice for most gamers. Little did I know that everyone was going to be working from home and suddenly office peripherals were going to be in crazy demand.

    Microsoft is also killing it, slowly. Unlike Google they can actually stick with a project and their Surface products are pretty well liked. The stigma around Windows 10's tracking, forced upgrades, and broken updates is fading away as only enthusiasts/niche communities care enough about those things to not forget about them. The general public doesn't care so Win10's approval rating isn't really a stain on Msft's reputation anymore. Their advancements in the cloud space is what made me buy though.

    But looking at my total return percentages just makes me think my experience is nothing but completely absurd. I'm only 27 but have always heard that the stock market is great for slow and steady growth. These percentages are not slow and steady. I'm afraid I'm actually developing totally unrealistic expectations because of the absurdity of the past year. Is a part of it that I just lucky?

    Also, while I have you all here, I hear things like "if you're really up, take your earnings and reinvest them." This makes no sense to me. So sell off shares and then, what, buy something else? Why? Why not just keep the stocks that have been treating you well and then put more money into something else?

    submitted by /u/UnfetteredThoughts
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    Tax-Advantaged S&P500 or other Broad Index

    Posted: 30 Dec 2020 12:16 PM PST

    My investment strategy is really just pure indexing. I've recently become aware of some investment managers who are re-creating an index strategy that mirrors something like the S&P500, but adds to that a strategy for tax-lot harvesting. This tacks on another 1.7-2.2% annually to something like the S&P500.

    I'm looking to see if there is a mutual fund or ETF out there that accomplishes this that I can get into for less than the $1MM minimum a lot of these investment managers are charging.

    An example of this is here (these guys were just acquired by Blackrock):
    https://www.aperiogroup.com/solutions-and-insights/active-tax-management

    Description:

    Aperio constructs portfolios in separately managed accounts composed of individual stocks that track a target benchmark. Taking advantage of the natural price movements in stocks, we continuously monitor and rebalance portfolios to recognize tax losses from securities that have declined. Realized tax losses can then offset taxable capital gains generated by other assets.

    submitted by /u/JeremySTL
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    I’m about to buy 500 shares of AMC

    Posted: 30 Dec 2020 07:40 AM PST

    It is reaching an all time low, and due for a little rebound. I plan to sell it this week if there is even a 15% uptick. Every time this year that it has tanked, it has gone back up a 100% swing, followed by another drop. This looks to have happened every 5-ish weeks. It has been almost 4 weeks, so I think it's over due for a brief up swing.

    Am I insane?

    submitted by /u/Deep_six_6
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    AT&T Growth & Dividend

    Posted: 30 Dec 2020 11:53 AM PST

    Hey all

    I was going to invest in AT&T earlier on but I was hesitant because I heard management had a lot of problems. I know that a lot of people in the US use AT&T and it has potential in the future for growth. I think the dividend yield is really high though and I'm not sure if it's sustainable. With their dividend date coming soon, what are your thoughts on T, both from a growth perspective and a dividend perspective?

    submitted by /u/FBTerror
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    Airline Stocks in 2021 bullish or bearish?

    Posted: 30 Dec 2020 03:30 AM PST

    I am thinking about betting majority of my portfolio going long on few big name airline companies. Take American Airlines, WestJet, Delta Airlines. Just buy and open at the end of the year kind of thing.

    With vaccine news flowing all around, coronavirus getting under-controlled slowly and totally eliminated in few countries, I personally think airlines gonna get pumped after first or second quarter.

    Looking for a genuine discussion on this sector. Throw your few cents.

    submitted by /u/digitalbiz
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    Thoughts on Square buying Tidal?

    Posted: 30 Dec 2020 03:29 AM PST

    I bought SQ at 162 per share and don't plan on selling anytime soon but this recent news about buying Tidal (music streaming company) had me curious about where the company is headed to.

    Do you guys think this expansion into the music streaming branch is bullish? I read Dorsey wants to rename it Square Music but I don't quite understand how that would be beneficial for a company like SQ.

    submitted by /u/bioRegiN
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    Congratulations on 1 MILLION subscribers, r/stocks!

    Posted: 30 Dec 2020 02:21 PM PST

    HEY VEGETA, IT'S OVER ONE MILLION!

    Happy one million subscribers, r/stocks Reddit community! Yes, today this Reddit community has officially crossed that unthinkable subscriber count. Oh my!

    OK OK, first things first -- I need to give some cred where credit is most certainly overdue here.

    Most notably to, /u/provoko and to /u/GoldenChrysus for running this amazingly awesome stock community! And to the rest of the staff team here as well of course! :)

    It has been a pretty interesting past couple of years, especially this year. :P

    Well, I won't make this too lengthy of a congrats post like I do at some other subreddit communities, but I really just did want to extend a humongous THANK YOU to the entire r/stocks community here. I have been a regularly on here (mostly nowadays just posting up those weekend market week ahead threads) and I can tell y'all's this is one helluva stock Reddit community IMHO.

    The members here are incredibly welcoming, and knowledgeable. And best of all, extremely helping to all the new arrivals!

    Truth be told here, but outside of my own subreddit community, this is indeed my most favorite of all on Reddit!

    It's just a real chill place to hang out, chatting with members who enjoy similar interests, like trading and investing. :)

    I'm personally really thankful for this community honestly, cannot stress that enough.

    It's also pretty cool that this milestone is happening so close to the New Year!

    Anyway, keep up the great work around here r/stocks community, and the entire staff team here.

    You guys are a bunch of cool chaps here. ;)

    Thanks for having me too, have really enjoyed my years here!

    Catch y'all's in the new year!

    Happy 1 million subscribers r/stocks!!

    submitted by /u/bigbear0083
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    From 0 to $10k (What I learned)

    Posted: 30 Dec 2020 02:11 AM PST

    Reason for doing this: This will be sorta keeping tabs on my milestones (which I setup arbitrarily) and maybe inspire someone out there who started from 0, that there is hope of one day making it big.

    I'm not going to go into too much detail about my personal life (don't want to stalker). But, just so you have some general idea about me: Male, in my late 20s, student with a part-time job, no debt, no other asset (I will be updating this as well in my concurrent posts down the line).

    Current "short-term" end goal: $100k CDN Long-term goal: Based on my own perspective, to have enough money to not have to worry about money while living a comfortable lifestyle. To me, this means traveling comfortably (business class flights), helping out close-family and friends, specially my parents (I want them to have the best life), and the general (buy a nice house, 1/2 rental units, maybe even start a business, yada yada (the opportunities are endless)...you get the idea.

    So, I've reached my first milestone (10k CDN, didn't put in the title cause that looks very not-dramatic lol), YAY!! It took sometime, but I'm here. When I first started, it felt like it would happen much later. But weirdly, once I started saving and investing, I found all these avenues I could save money in and put it in the market. So, I did that.

    Things I learned along the way:

    1. Fuck everyone else! Seriously tho, I see so many people buying shit they don't need and asking me to go on shopping trips with them on boxing day/black friday. I'm like, no! And they buy all the nice shit, and are quick to jump on sales and "saving so much money" on the apple ipad, airpods, jackets, and shoes they don't need. Also, this branches into other big ticket items. I wish I could tell so many people, "no, you don't need that $1000 phone. Doesn't matter if it's $700 now. That's not saving money, you're losing $700."

    2. This is more related to investing. I lost a lot of money, the last time I got into investing (or I should say currency trading/swing trading). I lost a lot of money because I was trying to time the market, and I got emotional and sabotaged myself. This time, I'm in for the long haul. See ya in 30 years, lol!

    3. Treat yourself along the way. I realized I love to cook, or have dinners with friends/family. So, that's what I spend my money on. Once a month or once every two months, I try to arrange a dinner with my loved ones, and have fun! So, I generally let myself spend money in this avenue as I'm pretty strict on other stuff.

    4. Two bank accounts. One I use regularly, the other just for saving. I've noticed, if I see money sitting in my checking account (on the one I use for everything), I feel okay spending money on stuff I wouldn't buy otherwise (like going to McD, cause I have money). However, when I usually keep like 5/10 bucks in the checking account, I tend to keep away from spending money on unnecessary shit.

    5. This sorta relates to no 4. When I receive some extra money (whether through holiday bonus or something similar), I deposit it into my TFSA. I might just keep it as cash for a while (until it snowballs into a big amount to buy into an equity). Just doing this has kept me from not spending that bonus amount. Putting something in a TFSA makes me think that it's untouchable. I know I'm not gonna take anything out until I've got an emergency.

    6. Slow and steady. Even if you have only $50 to put away, don't think that's a small amount (cause it's not). 10 of those, and you have $500. Even though it might feel like you're not getting ahead, I promise you will start seeing the numbers go into 4 digits soon. And don't compare yourself to others. If you see someone celebrating their 1 million/10 millions milestone, remember that they also started from where you have. Or maybe their parents did, then hope that one day you can pass 1 million or more to your child (so that they can be in a similar position).

    That's pretty much all I have for now. Also, don't take my advice completely, use your own judgement and utilize it in your own situation. We all have different lives and maybe you know something I don't. In which case, feel free to leave your note in the comments, so that I can learn from you.

    My portfolio: 1. AQB (5.91%) 2. INTC (82.64%) 3. JYNT (2.29%) 4. NHC (4.23%) 5. VMD (4.90%)

    Thank you for reading this far down! Cheers! and happy almost new year :)

    Please let me post this here. r/fatfire deleted it :/

    submitted by /u/mediocre_guidance1
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    Next big play? What are u puttin your money on?

    Posted: 30 Dec 2020 10:45 AM PST

    Soo i'm big in PLTR. Bought RYCEY,Nel asa and i own Tesla. I have about 20k to play with rn. Any stock inspirations? (Can be short plays or medium length) Pls let me know what good stock,sectors or whatever i could look into. Thanks for your help/inspiration.

    submitted by /u/dv_oc871
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    XL Fleet makes sales and you should know that

    Posted: 30 Dec 2020 09:47 AM PST

    Good afternoon folks, I have been a member of r/wallstreetbets and find it difficult to drum up some good discussion so I figured I'd post over here where something constructive may take place. I find that the extremely short-sighted mindset of members on r/wallstreetbets is mind numbing and toxic.

    Anyways, XL Fleet went public a handful of days ago and I have staked a position of 500 shares and 5 contracts 15 Jan '21 25 C.

    People on r/wallstreetbets have been saying, in regards to XL Fleet, that 'the hype is dried up' or whatever lightweight, deflective comment they come up with.

    I'm here to say that XL Fleet is one of the few EV companies that is not a hollow shell of a company and is not forecasting production and sales beginning in 2024 (ahem, QuantumScape).

    Let's talk about how XL Fleet currently makes sales.

    Let's talk about how XL Fleet has had a figure of consistently increasing sales over a period of time.

    Let's not talk about the 'hype'

    This is the stock market, money talks and money goes where money goes

    submitted by /u/NarrowTangerine5575
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    Where do I need to look to see when SaaS companies go public?

    Posted: 30 Dec 2020 02:21 PM PST

    Hi guys,

    I'm pretty new to investing. I was wondering where I need to look to see when SaaS companies go public? I would like to be able to buy shares as soon as possible?

    Any help would b great Thank you!

    submitted by /u/Blumenkind87
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    What’s going on with Amazon?

    Posted: 30 Dec 2020 11:59 AM PST

    AMZN hasn't gone up much in the past 6 months despite amazing sales and growth. AWS has shown growth. Obviously +75% YTD is absolutely insane, but recently AMZN has been pretty average. Will they have another great Q1 in 2021? What's going on?

    submitted by /u/anonymousbasket2
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    ARKG vs individual stocks (crispr, Intellia)

    Posted: 29 Dec 2020 07:18 PM PST

    While I know some of the pros and cons of ETFs vs Stocks I'm curious to what y'all think about this. I've had some education in the bio realm and have read up on crispr since years ago so this is exciting stuff. I definitely want to invest and am now just trying to choose which route I want to choose. Usually I am opposed to ETFs and would rather just go with individual stocks as I don't worry too much about the risk. However the ARKG etf does have a very attractive array of genomics/biotech companies. On the other hand I do feel good on hopping on Intellia or Crispr and riding out the next couple years as well. (Don't got enough funds right now to invest in the etf and individual stocks)

    submitted by /u/Rumblingmeat9
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    Pity Party: How I’m Down in a Bull Market - Share stories please

    Posted: 30 Dec 2020 08:15 AM PST

    Hello folks. Oops, I did it again ... panic sold $PLTR for a $2.5K loss yesterday and now just canNOT believe how dumb I was. This is easily my third if not fourth time panic selling. I am just looking for others foolish mistakes and what they learned from them. What I learned is I am not good at trading and from now on I will only go low and slow ... I've learned this lesson about four times now so I need it to stick.

    I am also hoping this post maybe helps someone else from making my same mistake. The old cliches are true ... you gotta just ride these waves and stick to your plan. My impulse plays never go well ... even if some of them do, one of them is all it takes to wipe out those sweet gains.

    Anyone care to join my pity party and share their experiences (I just want them to feel better about my stupidity!)

    submitted by /u/folkwoodswest
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    Call expirations

    Posted: 30 Dec 2020 01:11 PM PST

    Hello - fairly new to options and exercising calls. Is there any upside to truly holding the contract until expiration date? For example an option expiring 1/15 is up 38%. Why wouldn't I just take the profit and move on?

    Thanks in advance for some advice on this!

    submitted by /u/J0299
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    r/Stocks Daily Discussion Wednesday - Dec 30, 2020

    Posted: 30 Dec 2020 12:06 AM PST

    These daily discussions run from Monday to Friday including during our themed posts.

    Some helpful links:

    If you have a basic question, for example "what is EPS," then google "investopedia EPS" and click the investopedia article on it; do this for everything until you have a more in depth question or just want to share what you learned.

    Please discuss your portfolios in the Rate My Portfolio sticky..

    See our past daily discussions here. Also links for: Technicals Tuesday, Options Trading Thursday, and Fundamentals Friday.

    submitted by /u/AutoModerator
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    Opinion on Hexagon Purus Holding AS (HPUR.OL)

    Posted: 30 Dec 2020 07:40 AM PST

    Seeing how well all the Hydrogen stocks did 2019 (NEL.OL, PLUG), how well do you guys believe Hexagon Purus will perform? Seems kinda crazy that all IPOs these days get market up 100% after the initial offering and still manage to increase a bunch after the already significant markup. The company is developing extremely relevant technology for the future (Battery and Hydrogen tech).

    submitted by /u/Denkendorf
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