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    Financial Independence Daily FI discussion thread - December 05, 2020

    Financial Independence Daily FI discussion thread - December 05, 2020


    Daily FI discussion thread - December 05, 2020

    Posted: 05 Dec 2020 12:08 AM PST

    Please use this thread to have discussions which you don't feel warrant a new post to the sub. While the Rules for posting questions on the basics of personal finance/investing topics are relaxed a little bit here, the rules against memes/spam/self-promotion/excessive rudeness/politics still apply!

    Have a look at the FAQ for this subreddit before posting to see if your question is frequently asked.

    Since this post does tend to get busy, consider sorting the comments by "new" (instead of "best" or "top") to see the newest posts.

    submitted by /u/AutoModerator
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    The 401k early withdrawal penalty is really not that bad

    Posted: 05 Dec 2020 06:39 AM PST

    I often hear of those not wanting to contribute much to their 401k due it being "locked away until 59.5." However in my view, the penalty does not make the 401k an untouchable lockbox. All it is is a fee, not some illegal or super complicated thing.

    In fact, if you were to FIRE, you could very well come out ahead by putting money into your 401k and then eating the fee vs investing in taxable brokerages. The combination of tax deferment, compounding growth, and effective tax rates could work in your favor.

    Quick and Dirty Math:

    Alice and Bob both plan to FIRE and each needs $40,000 per year to sustain their lifestyle. Alice has $25,000 gross income per year to invest and contributes it to her taxable brokerage account. Bob will take the same $25,000 gross income and invest it between his pre-tax 401k and traditional IRA. We will assume both Alice and Bob are in the 24% federal tax bracket, making about $100k/yr as single filers, and that they receive a 5% annual return.

    Using the 4% rule, Alice's FIRE target is 25x40,000 = $1,000,000. She does not meet the threshold to pay any capital gains taxes on withdrawal.

    Bob has to adjust his FIRE target since he knows he will be paying the early withdrawal penalty (10%) plus the effective tax rate on his annual withdrawals. His FIRE target is $1,225,825, based on 25x ($40,000 + 10% Penalty + Federal Effective Tax Rate of ~8.4%)

    Year Alice's Year-End Amount Bob's Year-End Amount
    1 $19,000 $25,000
    2 $38,950 $51,250
    3 $59,898 $78,812
    4 $81,892 $107,753
    5 $104,986 $138,140
    .. .. ..
    25 $906,814 $1,193,177
    26 $971,115 $1,277,836
    27 $1,038,713 $1,366,728

    Summary: Due to the upfront tax burden at a top marginal rate of 24%, Alice can only contribute $19,000 out of the $25,000 she allocates to invest per year. She reaches FIRE in the middle of Year 27.

    Bob reaches FIRE in the middle of Year 26, about a year ahead of Alice, despite having a higher target. He gets there first because:

    • He can shovel significantly more money into his investments each year
    • Compounding is working harder in his favor
    • His effective tax rate in retirement (~8.4%) is lower than the marginal tax rate (24%) he would have paid while working

    Other Thoughts:

    • If Bob had received an employer match, he would have gotten there even sooner
    • Bob isn't going to pay the penalty forever. At some point he will reach 59.5, stop paying it, and his nest egg will remain larger than Alice's.
    • Alice is going to have a tax drag during her working years due to dividend income, so realistically she'd perform worse (thanks to lurker_cx for making this point)
    • If Alice and Bob made between between $60k/yr and $80k/yr and were in the 22% tax bracket, Bob would have still gotten there sooner but by a smaller margin
    • If they were each married filing jointly, their marginal tax bracket goes down to 22% and Bob's effective tax rate in retirement falls to ~4-5%. He still gets there sooner.
    • Whether you drive the rate of return down to 0% or ratchet it up to 20%, Bob reaches his goal sooner.

    Conclusion: The early withdrawal penalty will not kill you. While this is a simplified scenario and your situation may vary, it's very possible you can eat the penalty and still come out ahead of investing outside retirement accounts. Of course there are caveats (don't eat the penalty too early) and there are better paths than doing what Bob did - diversifying your tax buckets, Roth conversion ladder, etc - but he committed what is often seen as a financial sin and still comes out just fine.

    submitted by /u/Acewox
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    Visual Results of u/melonbalon's financial independence survey!

    Posted: 05 Dec 2020 09:49 AM PST

    4 years ago u/melonbalon posted fantastic survey data from nearly 1,400 redditors capturing anonymous information about who they are and where they live, their finances, their FI/RE progress, and so much more. I've compiled some of the results into a visual with the hope of providing more insight into what traits tend to be shared amongst both those groups in pursuit of FI/RE as well as those who have achieved it.

    A few highlights:

    1. Commute times are super low. Nearly 70% of respondents had a commute of less than 30 minutes.
    2. Of those who have FI/REd nearly 85% of respondents have a college degree, but perhaps more interestingly an additional 7% had multiple graduate degrees. 15% had no degree.
    3. There was an even split amongst urban and suburban living environments (~47% each, remaining 6% rural). This held true independently in both the group pursuing FI/RE as well as those who have FI/REd.

    If new survey data were to be made available I would love to create a more updated version of this as I'm sure this last year in particular has altered financial behavior in a number of ways.

    Note: While this visual also sits on my website (which I won't be linking out of fear of ban), I will never require a subscription or a paywall to access it given that it wouldn't have been possible without community involvement. Nor will I for any visualizations of future survey results.

    submitted by /u/DistrictWharf
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    Who is literally saving receipts for 30+ years for HSA use in the future?

    Posted: 04 Dec 2020 05:24 PM PST

    The HSA can be triple tax advantaged if you use the funds eventually for medical expenses. Pre-tax contribution, tax-free growth, tax-free medical expenses.

    If after 65, you can use HSA for non-medical expenses, but will be taxed. So 1 out of 3 of the tax advantages is gone.

    I've seen common thinking to just let HSA grow with it's tax advantages, pay for medical expenses out of pocket now, but save those receipts for later. So you can get more out of the tax free growth.

    This seems bonkers to me. Who is saving and keeping track of medical receipts for 30+ years?

    submitted by /u/deltabengali
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    Does a back door Roth conversion always make sense?

    Posted: 05 Dec 2020 09:31 AM PST

    I am trying to better understand the back door Roth conversion and when it makes sense. I am 32. My income is about 200k and my wife's is about 160k. She will stop working mid next year to look after our kids. We are above the limit for pre tax IRA contributions. My wife and I have both contributed after tax to Traditional IRAs last year. I would like to start backdooring money into my Roth My question is if it makes sense to do it and when. I would like my money to growth tax free in a Roth for the next 20 years. However, wouldn't I be paying higher taxes on a conversion today, then when I retire? My current employer does not offer a 401k. My expected income at retirement is ~60k. I have listed me investments below. So should I convert is all at once or little by little? I am thinking of doing it once my wife stops working and our income goes down as a result.

    Me Rollover IRA- 126k (before tax) Traditional IRA- 6.5k (after tax) Roth IRA- 3.5k Limited partnership- 51k Brokerage- 8k Joint Brokerage-20.5k

    Wife 401k- 233k Traditional IRA- 8k (after tax)

    submitted by /u/4eyezzz
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    Pension fund- the big motivation

    Posted: 05 Dec 2020 11:41 AM PST

    Healthcare workers( especially who work in areas, departments relate to COVID) are exhausted. Longer shifts, short staff, higher volume of work and job hazard are pretty draining. My coworkers are hard working and amazing people, but I just found out many of them don't know that our company offers pension. Conversation with a younger coworker yesterday: Me: "Do you know you can run an estimate report for your pension online?" CW:"what pension? You meant 401k where they( the employers )contribute x% a month? Me:"No, pension pension... not 401k. Let me show you..." And I showed him... after looking at the estimation report, he had a huge smile on his face. That made me happy... hahah don't know why...soon enough, he showed few other people, and their smiles are pretty big too. The rest of the shift went a little faster.

    By the way, how do you include your pension in your FIRE calculation? I tried to search for the answers, but no luck. Have a good weekend!

    submitted by /u/planandsave
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    [Milestone] 31M hit $1,000,000 this morning!

    Posted: 04 Dec 2020 08:38 AM PST

    Longtime lurker here and hit a pretty major milestone this morning that I wanted to share with at least someone. In exchange for some self-validation, I'm also going to provide as much info on my journey thus far as I can. I do things a bit differently than the mainstream consensus here, so hopefully I can spark some interesting discussion.

     

    When I logged into my Personal Capital account this morning, I was greeted by a second comma in my NW number for the first time! Breakdown is as follows:

    • Checking: $9,700 (cash)
    • Self Escrow: $8,200 ($750/mo into SNSXX)
    • Emergency Fund "Cash": $8,700 (SNSXX)
    • Brokerage: $54,200 (70% Total US / 30% Total Ex-US)
    • Holding (Brokerage): $375,200 (70% Total US / 30% Total Ex-US)
    • Actively Managed: $96,700 (West End Advisors; Global Equity)
    • MLI's: $67,300
    • Roth IRA: $85,100
    • 401k: $296,300
      Total: $1,001,400

    I know a lot of that doesn't look like the standard FIRE playbook, so I'll provide some additional backstory.

     

    Student Loans
    My parents paid my tuition for my first 2 years and I took out loans for room, board, and general living expenses. After my sophomore year, I landed a fairly lucrative internship (that I returned to after junior year as well) and paid my own way out of pocket for the final 2 years. I graduated with a Petroleum Engineering degree in May 2012 with $32k of student loans.

     

    Early Career
    I landed a job with one of the supermajors and was offered both a "normal" engineer-in-training position and a less desirable "field focused" position. I opted for the latter because it was a 14/14 rotation schedule (2 weeks on the rig, then 2 weeks vacation), which gave me more flexibility in my living situation and also paid slightly more once travel benefits and per diem stipends were taken into account. Starting pay was $98k/yr with a $10k signing bonus. Since I spent half of the year living on the rig and most of my off-time traveling, I only ended up leasing a storage room to keep all of my shit in. By the end of 2012, I had paid off my student loans on a gross income of ~$60k over those first 7 months following graduation.

    After finishing my first 6 months of training, I got a pay bump to $120k and grossed around $135k in my first full calendar year (2013). Since I wasn't sending all of my money each month towards student loans any more, I opened a Vanguard account after finding this sub (lurked with no account for a long time) and starting depositing all of my leftover cash each month into VTSAX. After a year in the field (so halfway through 2013), I was pulled in for a short-term project that was office-based in another state. Since this was only supposed to be a 6-month "temporary relocation", I was provided a furnished corporate apartment and daily food stipend. That 6-month assignment turned into a 1yr assignment and then a month later that same boss found another 1yr project he wanted me for, so I ended up living rent-free in that corporate apartment for 2 years and continued shoveling all of my extra cash each month into my Vanguard account. There was also another pay bump when I started the second assignment and, including imputed income from the apartment, I grossed $186k in the second full calendar year.

    The end of that second assignment happened to coincide with my completion of the training program and I was missing my old rotation schedule, so I accepted a job as an ops supervisor in our deepwater fleet and went back to the 14/14 life. I "returned" to Houston to avoid state income taxes while working offshore ("merchant mariner" since I only worked in federal waters) and upgraded my storage room to a utilities-included garage apartment I found for $500/month. This new job was also a promotion, so my gross pay for calendar year #3 ended up being $205k.

    That brings us to the end of 2015. At that point, I had worked 3.5 years, had made it past the $200k comp mark, had only paid rent for 6 months ($3k total lol), and had ~$300k saved between my Vanguard account, 401k, and Roth.

     

    Buying a House (Wtf is that "Holding" account???)
    Fast forward a couple of years and I was getting burned out doing the offshore gig. All of my best friends were getting engaged, buying houses, having kids, moving into managerial positions etc. while I spent half of my year on a floating tin can and the other half either sleeping in hostels around the world or bringing Tinder girls back to the sketchy garage I "lived" in. I didn't feel like I had a purpose in life even though I was "living the dream" and making $200-225k each year. I decided it was time to put my technical education to use and transition to a more traditional office-based job. When I told management that I wanted to make a switch, I got offered a deepwater drilling engineer position that came with a relocation package and decided I would buy a house in the new city.

    I had also hired a financial advisor in early 2017 when I hit the $500k NW mark and later that year was when I started house shopping. I know financial advisors get a lot of hate here, but I've been pretty happy with mine. He was a guy that had been working as an assistant for my parents' FA that I had talked to a couple of times already. He's only ~8 years older than me and was always the guy that came up with creative ways to boost wealth generation. He had decided to leave the firm that my parents were using to start his own team and was taking on new clients, so I jumped on board.

    After talking with him extensively about it, I decided to go the route of a Securities Backed Mortgage (SBM) when buying my house. This is why there is a separate "Holding" account listed above. I knew this wasn't going to be my Forever Home, so I also combined the SBM with a 10yr I/O ARM. What all of this means is that I was able to buy a $495k house with a 0% down payment, no PMI, and I have only made interest payments during my 3 years of ownership. When I bought in Jan 2018, I had ~$285k in my Vanguard account and had ~$40k cash from the relocation package that I planned to use for the down payment. Instead of selling shares to come up with a traditional down payment and then locking up a bunch of capital in home equity, I used the SBM to get credit for a "20% down payment" by giving them a lien on enough shares to be a 30% down payment (~$150k). I still have direction over that account (with a few reasonable rules), but it is tied to the house until I have 20% equity (or sell it). That $150k is the maintenance number that I have to stay above, so I moved the full $285k from Vanguard into that holding account to provide enough buffer to weather a ~50% market downturn before getting hit with a call for peace of mind. The $40k cash is what I used to open the actively managed account as a trial and set up a recurring $1k/month that is essentially what would have been going to mortgage principal with a traditional note.

    So instead of a $99k down payment and a $2,400/month note ($1600 interest / $800 principal), I kept that $99k invested in index funds and pay $1,500/month in interest while voluntarily making a $1,000/month "house payment" to myself. Without getting too deep in the weeds on the numbers, all of this has netted me an extra ~$45k gain over the last 3 years.

     

    MLI's
    This is the other thing that probably looks out of place and is where I've been putting the extra monthly cash that used to get blindly shoveled into Vanguard. The offerings change month to month, but most of these are tied to either DJIA, S&P500, or European Large Cap indexes with leverage amounts in the 120-180% range with the downside being less liquidity due to 3-5yr maturities. If I have $5k that I know I won't touch for 5yrs, why buy S&P500 ETF's when I can buy a 5yr note from Barclays for S&P500 shares with 150% upside leverage? It's a small portion of my total portfolio, but it's a way to squeeze out a little bit more market performance when you know liquidity isn't an issue. My FA sends me the list of these every month and I just tell him what I want, so I'm not sure if this is something available to normal retail accounts or not.

     

    FIRE Numbers
    I've always carried $10k/month as my FIRE target even though it's probably a bit more than I really need (current monthly spend is only ~$6500) because I would need to be on the "fat" side of FIRE to justify leaving my career. Also want to have enough of a buffer that deciding to have a family down the road doesn't completely torpedo my plans. That monthly spend target translates to a NW target of $3,000,000, so I'm nowhere close to my full FIRE mark yet. But getting my second comma definitely makes it feel like I'm at least on track and being close to double my CoastFI number ($550k) could be considered the "FI" part of FIRE. I could realistically see myself in position to comfortably FIRE around 40-45, depending on how the whole family thing turns out.

    submitted by /u/OverlandZR2
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    How do balance money for the future and enjoying life in the moment?

    Posted: 04 Dec 2020 06:07 PM PST

    We work and make money to have things in our life. You can't take it to the grave and with the right decisions you can still leave some for your loved ones when you die. But how do you determine whats worth spending on now and enjoying your "better years" vs saving it all up for early retirement and cushion.

    I'm young and want to enjoy my money in the present. For example if I decide I want to buy a new sports car that cost 70k many would take umbrage with this decision. Especially with spending a large amount of money on a depreciable asset. But whats the point of investing if I can't enjoy the money I earn in things that bring me joy or want. I'm just making money to reinvest it for more money that I never "use". Its nice to see balances go up but you make it to spend it. I'm currently trying to establish a fine balance. I recently bought a $1300 designer coat which is admittedly pricey but I liked it and wanted it. I felt a little guilty about the purchase (cause its not my normal price range) but I told myself I'm ahead of my financial goals for my age. Student loans are paid for, I can retire by 60 even if I only contribute $200 a month to my 401k, no debt, I have 6 months rainy day savings, etc.

    I know I'm fortunate to be in this position and not everyone can relate. I'm still inherently reticent of spending despite having room to go wild. How do you find that balance? Is there a guideline or principle you adhere to? I want to responsibly live more in the moment cause tomorrow isn't promised

    Edit: People are really focusing on the sports car price tag but im just using thag as an example of something one may decide to do despite the general opinion against it.

    submitted by /u/Shurlz
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