Stocks - Buffet's stock market indicator is signalling an imminent crash |
- Buffet's stock market indicator is signalling an imminent crash
- Warren Buffett says the economy will overcome coronavirus: 'Nothing can basically stop America'
- You've heard of April fools, and you know what they say about May.
- Why Warren Buffet's cash holding aren't what they appear
- Warren Buffet's Cash Pile Surges to Record $137 Billion
- Thoughts on $AMZN this week and beyond?
- Can we really depend on these stock market indicators that’s “indicating” an incoming crash since this economy is due to artificial suppression by governments?
- Warren Buffett built up cash and bought only small amounts of stock during the market rout
- Thoughts on Eldorado Rosorts (ERI)?
- Most Anticipated Earnings Releases for the trading week beginning May 4th, 2020
- Is anyone worried about holding TSLA stock?
- Warren Buffett's Berkshire Hathaway sold more than $6 billion in stock in April, its first-quarter earnings show
- What people opinion on hertz(Htz) ? Is it going to zero? Or have a good chance going back to $15-$20
- Stocks to Watch - Get ready for next week
- I want to buy a Nasdaq 100 etf but I'm not sure which one to pick
- 20k RTX investment.
- $0.013 stock price... Why do people trade it?
- APVO
- Wall Street Week Ahead for the trading week beginning May 4th, 2020
- What are you top 10 favorite stocks for the long term?
- CVS or RTX
- CPE
- Multiple Stock Symbols for 1 Organization
| Buffet's stock market indicator is signalling an imminent crash Posted: 02 May 2020 05:04 AM PDT Hello everyone, it is my first post here so please go easy on me. Came across an article today on Business Insider Singapore that the Buffet Indicator divides the total value of publicly trading stocks by quarterly GDP. At this point in time, it has climbed to a record high and it is used to gauge whether the stock market is overvalued or undervalued. Examples, it surged to 118% before the dot-com bubble burst in 2000 a, and topped 100% before the 2008 financial crisis. It now sits at 179%, question is, can we rely on this measure? Looking forward to hearing from the community. [link] [comments]  |
| Warren Buffett says the economy will overcome coronavirus: 'Nothing can basically stop America' Posted: 02 May 2020 02:11 PM PDT |
| You've heard of April fools, and you know what they say about May. Posted: 02 May 2020 12:22 PM PDT Hasn't the bull trap been fascinating to watch? What an incredible pendulum swing from the peak of pessimism in March to the wild splendour of predictions of the 'V' shaped recovery. Bull charge headfirst into red flags, and bear hibernate. Here we are in the weekend of the first week of May, people's businesses are folding, renters demanding rent breaks, landlords sweating over insolvency and heart attacks just lost top spot in killer diseases to the most contagious virus any of us have ever seen in our lives; but none of this matter. Fed make market big big! Big big forever! The bull died on the 28th of March. The market did break. Just because people jumped in to short too early and have been getting roughed up 'Fighting the Fed' it does not change anything. This spectacular 'Unprecedented' rally has not went up any more than historic bull traps. The spiral of reduced wages > reduced spending > reduced business profits > reduced wages (Loop) is still spinning. 'BRR BRR big big' is not improving real GDP. People think the market is not making sense, or not doing what it'd do if it was going to crash. This is not true. It's only not doing what you think it should do based upon what the news is telling you. Once we'd seen the drop of March what was to be expected was a bounce from the low and a strong rally up to about 25,000 on the Dow peppered with positive news events. All of us who know how to trade have been waiting for that. The market crash is going to be brutal. The second leg of the move will be bigger than the first one. The low of the next drop can be under 50% from the high, and all the reasons people say that can't happen they said for the 2019 low breaking in January, 2020. A time when a 0.5% drop was considered buying the dip. What has taken weeks to go up will take hours to come down. A headline will come from no-where and everything you think you know one day means nothing tomorrow. I've done a lot of work on this trade. How a trend fails and reverses is something I know a lot about. Whatever you do as an occupation and hobby - I know as much about this as you do about that. This is both my job and passion. I'm betting a lot of money on it, and I got my money by being really good at betting money in markets. I think the market is setting up to wipe people out. Your warning sign of this is going to be the arrival of bad news in the coming week and a fall down to break the low of March. Around this time the news may seem to get better - but this will be your final chance to get out at a cheap loss (and yes, I consider a March low exit cheap relative to what June can bring). I'm not saying my forecasts are perfect. They are not, but they really have been good enough to do sensationally well during 2020. I've been short from feb. Long during early April and built up a short in the 24,000 - 25,000 Dow range. I'll paste below a walk through of analysis and trades to this point. If you care to, you can check the accuracy of it and decide how useful my perspective is. --- Find a three year forecast of the Dow Jones bear market of the 2020's here. --- ----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- The US indices have been forming a bubble over the last 50 years. In 2000 and 2008 we seen the early 'Bear trap' sections of the bubble and then in the following decade we seen enthusiasm become greed and greed become delusion. The 30% gain in the S&P500 through the year 2019 was the final stages of this bubble. Here is a post describing us being in the 'Delusion' stage of the bubble in January of 2020. The pop of this bubble and the following bear market will not be a nice fast one like the crashes of 2000 and 2008, it will be a more drawn out affair where prices drop far lower. The crash of the 2020's will be more like the crash of the 1930's depression. See the analysis leading to this conclusion here. In the months of January and February major US indices traded into the zone where a bubble template would be looking for the top to be made. Read about how this method has worked in previous crashes here. First forecasts in late January were mostly stopped out. There were losing signals on the Dow around 29,300 and some in February at 28,900. Individual stocks shorts done poorly, One exception was the Vanguard dividends index VYM. This did make it's high on the exact price first posted. Individual stocks picks done particularly poorly in January. TSLA almost doubled from the first shorting price of 510. Some did a bit better. Like shorting T at 39. Later in February more sell signals were generated as price traded briefly over important resistance levels. If price broke back under these it would suggest market weakness. These were 170 on VTI and 29,000 on the Dow. Once these levels were broken the bear market began. In the following days a signal for a 30% drop on the Dow Jones came (and was successful). Individual stock picks did much better in February. High prices were signalled in MSFT, BRK, SPCE, GOOG. A high on AMZN was called, but price later traded higher. The best signal generated was a buy on the TVIX from 34 to 800. In the month of March , 2020, the bubble popped. Most risk based assets and indices crashed over 30%. First analysis post said to wait for a bounce to sell into, but this was updated before the market opened to say prices could fall 8% and then 30% in March. At this point the TradingView account was suspended. Only one account is allowed, and this was set up specifically for a 2020's bear market. So no further posts or updates were made there. On the 3rd of March came the first signal to look for the down move entering somewhere in the 16,000 - 18,000 area on the Dow Jones. Followed by a post on the 16th of March saying we're entering into the bull trap. The low on the Dow would be made around 18,250 on the 23rd of March. From here a rally began which has made a current high of 24,500. April of 2020 has been the bull trap month. Some losing signals have been generated in the later couple weeks of April. A few calls on the top of the bull trap have been made. Prices have not went substantially higher, they've just not dropped. A forecast on the 17th of April marks the current high, but it looks like price can trade a bit higher. A post on the 19th of April calls for a crash in the S&P500 to 1,600 within the next 5 - 10 weeks. Today is the 25th of April. Over the last two weeks forecasts of a big drop starting have been inaccurate. I very strongly suspect this is akin to the sell signals generated in late January and early February. It's the right idea, but it's just the wrong time. A top in the Dow Jones somewhere in the 24,000 - 25,000 [link] [comments]  |
| Why Warren Buffet's cash holding aren't what they appear Posted: 02 May 2020 01:28 PM PDT This seems to be trending lately, we've all seen it, "Warren Buffett is holding $100+ billion waiting to time the market". While from a simplistic sense this is true, it's much more than that. Warren Buffett has long preached that the retail investor, you and I, should invest in an index fund and watch our returns slowly climb. In other words, practice the belief that time in the market beats timing the market. While he's been preaching for us to buy index funds he continues to buy bonds and hold large cash reserves, so why the discrepancy? It's important to understand Warren Buffett is not like the rest of us. Unlike the heard of believers out there that think they can time the market and subsequently have far higher returns, Warren Buffett can make this a reality with next to no risk. Warren Buffett doesn't time the market like everyone else, he creates immense value with his cash holdings. He has used his large cash holding to bail out companies during financial downturns leveraging significant future discounts and profits for his company. Take Goldman Sachs for example. Warren Buffett famously bailed them out in 2008 with a "small" investment of $5 billion. Sure, the rest of us could have bought $GS stock when it was low as well, but what happens when the bailout doesn't happen and the stock continues to plummet? Warren Buffett didn't simply buy $5 billion worth of stock, he leverage preferred shares and warrants with his cash infusion. Remember, preferred shareholders are the first to get any return on their investment when a company declares bankruptcy. They're similar to bonds in that sense, so Warren Buffett was protecting his investment to a degree in a doomsday scenario. He also carries significant value by having his name associated with a company. His cash infusion helped Goldman Sachs secure more funding. So while it's true Warren Buffett "timed the market" with Goldman Sachs, he did so with terms no retail investor could ever dreamed of. The retail investor can attempt to time the market, and at times do so very successfully. However, when Warren Buffett times the market he more or less guarantees himself success, success you and I can not guarantee. TLDR; Warren Buffett can just buy an entire company, you and I can't! [link] [comments]  |
| Warren Buffet's Cash Pile Surges to Record $137 Billion Posted: 02 May 2020 05:43 AM PDT Warren Buffett's Berkshire Hathaway Inc. spent the first quarter building up cash as the coronavirus slowdown started to grip the U.S.
Key Insights
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| Thoughts on $AMZN this week and beyond? Posted: 02 May 2020 10:20 AM PDT I'm curious to know what people's thoughts about Amazon are this week and for the future. I was actually bullish after the earnings report on Thursday. I knew Friday would be bad but then more bad news came out. The request for Bezos to testify is concerning. It is amazing that a company could have this level of bad news twice in 24 hours. Are you all buying/selling or neither? Transparency: I own shares at $2400 and bought more yesterday at $2280. I'm a long term investor, not week or day trader, but am losing my confidence. [link] [comments]  |
| Posted: 02 May 2020 09:01 AM PDT I've been seeing a lot of people posting about buffet's and Cramer's indicators are saying an incoming crash is coming. But can we really rely on those? Normally, these crashes are due to natural business cycles. But nothing like this has ever happened in stock market history where governments systemically shut down the world economy. This is an artificial shut down and suppression of the economy rather than natural market or "invisible hand" at work. This isn't even something that buffet has seen. I feel like their indicators aren't reliable. Thoughts? [link] [comments]  |
| Warren Buffett built up cash and bought only small amounts of stock during the market rout Posted: 02 May 2020 11:27 AM PDT Berkshire had a record $137 billion in cash and equivalent instruments on its balance sheet at the end of the first quarter, up from about $127 billion at the end of the year, a 10-Q filing showed. The company spent just $1.8 billion buying stocks and just $1.7 billion repurchasing Berkshire Hathaway shares. [link] [comments]  |
| Thoughts on Eldorado Rosorts (ERI)? Posted: 02 May 2020 09:23 AM PDT Looks like them buying Caesars might go through soon. I know Casinos are still closed and it might take a while for everything to go back to normal, but ERI should eventually go back up to around 40-50 I would think? What is everyone's thoughts? [link] [comments]  |
| Most Anticipated Earnings Releases for the trading week beginning May 4th, 2020 Posted: 02 May 2020 03:38 AM PDT Here are the most notable earnings releases for the trading week beginning April 27th, 2020.
Below are some of the notable companies coming out with earnings releases this upcoming trading week ahead which includes the date/time of release & consensus estimates courtesy of Earnings Whispers:
Have a great weekend ahead r/stocks. [link] [comments]  |
| Is anyone worried about holding TSLA stock? Posted: 02 May 2020 10:26 AM PDT Thanks to Elon Musk's eccentric tweets the stock price has pretty much reached my buy target. My family owns a Tesla and I find their cars to be pretty good, but I'm uncertain about whether Musk's actions will bring a lot more harm in the future. Or, would it be a good idea to short TSLA? [link] [comments]  |
| Posted: 02 May 2020 02:33 PM PDT
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| What people opinion on hertz(Htz) ? Is it going to zero? Or have a good chance going back to $15-$20 Posted: 02 May 2020 02:24 PM PDT Pick up 400 share at $4 , is already down 10% , is it worth riding out for price to go back to normal. Even if it take 2+3 year or is it not worth it and most likely going to zero? [link] [comments]  |
| Stocks to Watch - Get ready for next week Posted: 02 May 2020 12:16 PM PDT Hi All. The week ahead will see another steady stream of earnings reports before the April employment report blazes in from the Labor Department on May 8. Get some insight and brace yourself: https://alphascala.com/latest-news/top-news/stocks-to-watch-jobs-report-virtual-conferences-and-blue-chips-on-tap/ If you're lazy reading, you can select text and click play:) (only on Desktop currently) Earnings spotlight: Tyson Foods (NYSE:TSN), Shake Shack (NYSE:SHAK), Skyworks Solutions (NASDAQ:SWKS), Freshpet (NASDAQ:FRPT) and Chegg (NYSE:CHGG) on May 4; Marathon Petroleum (NYSE:MPC), Fiat Chrysler Automobiles (NYSE:FCAU), Sysco (NYSE:SYY), Beyond Meat (NASDAQ:BYND), US Foods (NYSE:USFD), DuPont (NYSE:DD), Activision Blizzard (NASDAQ:ATVI), Disney (NYSE:DIS), Prudential (NYSE:PRU), Allstate (NYSE:ALL) and Dominion Energy (NYSE:D) on May 5; CVS Health (NYSE:CVS), General Motors (NYSE:GM), Bunge (NYSE:BG), Barrick (NYSE:GOLD), MetLife (NYSE:MET), T-Mobile US (NASDAQ:TMUS), Etsy (NASDAQ:ETSY), Shopify (NYSE:SHOP), Peloton Interactive (NASDAQ:PTON) and PayPal (NASDAQ:PYPL) on May 6; AmerisourceBergen (NYSE:ABC), JetBlue (NASDAQ:JBLU), Booking Holdings (NASDAQ:BKNG), Raytheon Technologies (NYSE:RTX), Anheuser-Busch InBev (NYSE:BUD), Bristol-Myers Squibb (NYSE:BMY), ViacomCBS (NASDAQ:VIAC), Baidu (NASDAQ:BIDU), Uber (NYSE:UBER), News Corp (NASDAQ:NWSA) and Post Holdings (NYSE:POST) on May 7; and SeaWorld Entertainment (NYSE:SEAS), Cronos (NASDAQ:CRON) and PBF Energy (NYSE:PBF) on May 8. M&A tidbits: The Stars Group (NASDAQ:TSG)-Flutter Entertainment (OTC:PDYPF) merger is expected to close on May 5. Also within the casino/gaming sector, keep an eye on Caesars Entertainment (NASDAQ:CZR) and Eldorado Resorts (NASDAQ:ERI) with the New Jersey Control Commission due to meet to discuss the combination of the two casino operators. Shareholder votes are upcoming on the Macquarie takeover of Cincinnati Bell (NYSE:CBB) and the Opus Bank (NASDAQ:OPB)-Pacific Premier Bancorp (NASDAQ:PPBI) merger. What is your view? Do we continue to go up in general or are we just before a big drop? SPX500 tested major Fibonacci level but wasn't strong enough: https://alphascala.com/wp-content/uploads/2020/05/Screenshot-2020-05-02-at-21.12.56.png [link] [comments]  |
| I want to buy a Nasdaq 100 etf but I'm not sure which one to pick Posted: 02 May 2020 01:36 PM PDT Hi, I'm European citizen so I want to pick a Nasdaq etf in Euro. Plan is to buy every month for 100 € and to stick with that over the next years. On "just etfs" I found some different etfs. I wonders why are only so few Nasdaq etfs there. Anyway, I never read about a Nasdaq etf on reddit, most people stick with the sp500. Is there a reason I didn't get? For the etf I picked this one [AIS-AM.MSCI NDQ100 EOC] but before starting the plan I wanted to hear some opinions from people who have more experience. Thank you very much I appreciate it :) [link] [comments]  |
| Posted: 02 May 2020 01:23 PM PDT Thinking about pumping 20k into RTX, i already own 26 shares. Everyday I read more and more positive things about them. Don't think I've seen a negative news on them. Good call? [link] [comments]  |
| $0.013 stock price... Why do people trade it? Posted: 02 May 2020 05:41 AM PDT So I watch NVTRQ and it's currently at $0.013 per share. It has an average volume of 56.8k per day. Why would anyone trade a stock this far down the tubes? Are people actually making money on the $.002 change per in a day? What am I missing? [link] [comments]  |
| Posted: 02 May 2020 09:17 AM PDT Check out APVO .. swing till next week friday!! Second opinions? [link] [comments]  |
| Wall Street Week Ahead for the trading week beginning May 4th, 2020 Posted: 02 May 2020 06:38 AM PDT Good Saturday morning to all of you here on r/stocks. I hope everyone on this sub made out pretty nicely in the market this past week, and is ready for the new trading week ahead. Here is everything you need to know to get you ready for the trading week beginning May 4th, 2020. April's jobs report showing millions out of work looms large in the week ahead - (Source)
This past week saw the following moves in the S&P:(CLICK HERE FOR THE FULL S&P TREE MAP FOR THE PAST WEEK!)Major Indices for this past week:(CLICK HERE FOR THE MAJOR INDICES FOR THE PAST WEEK!)Major Futures Markets as of Friday's close:(CLICK HERE FOR THE MAJOR FUTURES INDICES AS OF FRIDAY!)Economic Calendar for the Week Ahead:(CLICK HERE FOR THE FULL ECONOMIC CALENDAR FOR THE WEEK AHEAD!)Sector Performance WTD, MTD, YTD:(CLICK HERE FOR FRIDAY'S PERFORMANCE!)(CLICK HERE FOR THE WEEK-TO-DATE PERFORMANCE!)(CLICK HERE FOR THE MONTH-TO-DATE PERFORMANCE!)(CLICK HERE FOR THE 3-MONTH PERFORMANCE!)(CLICK HERE FOR THE YEAR-TO-DATE PERFORMANCE!)(CLICK HERE FOR THE 52-WEEK PERFORMANCE!)Percentage Changes for the Major Indices, WTD, MTD, QTD, YTD as of Friday's close:(CLICK HERE FOR THE CHART!)S&P Sectors for the Past Week:(CLICK HERE FOR THE CHART!)Major Indices Pullback/Correction Levels as of Friday's close:(CLICK HERE FOR THE CHART!Major Indices Rally Levels as of Friday's close:(CLICK HERE FOR THE CHART!)Most Anticipated Earnings Releases for this week:(CLICK HERE FOR THE CHART!)Here are the upcoming IPO's for this week:(CLICK HERE FOR THE CHART!)Friday's Stock Analyst Upgrades & Downgrades:(CLICK HERE FOR THE CHART LINK #1!)(CLICK HERE FOR THE CHART LINK #2!)(CLICK HERE FOR THE CHART LINK #3!)US Manufacturing Sector Has Entered a Deep Recession
Global Central Banks All In
Typical May Trading: A Month of Transition with Negative Predisposition
This is Still an Election Year
10-Day Advance/Decline Lines Running Hot
Here are the most notable companies (tickers) reporting earnings in this upcoming trading week ahead-
(CLICK HERE FOR NEXT WEEK'S MOST NOTABLE EARNINGS RELEASES!)(CLICK HERE FOR NEXT WEEK'S HIGHEST VOLATILITY EARNINGS RELEASES!)(CLICK HERE FOR THE MOST NOTABLE EARNINGS RELEASES BEFORE MONDAY'S OPEN!)
Shopify Inc. $613.64
Roku Inc $114.02
Walt Disney Co $105.50
Tyson Foods Inc. $60.01
CVS Health $59.70
Beyond Meat, Inc. $91.53
PayPal $120.61
Square, Inc. $63.00
Activision Blizzard, Inc. $64.72
Uber Technologies, Inc. $28.39
DISCUSS!What are you all watching for in this upcoming trading week? I hope you all have a wonderful weekend and a great trading week ahead r/stocks. [link] [comments]  |
| What are you top 10 favorite stocks for the long term? Posted: 02 May 2020 10:13 AM PDT Curious to hear everyone's top 10 list for set and forget strategies [link] [comments]  |
| Posted: 02 May 2020 11:26 AM PDT What would be projected the quickest to double investment? [link] [comments]  |
| Posted: 02 May 2020 01:35 PM PDT Showing momentum, earnings coming. With oil prices low could this be risky? Or how high could this go? [link] [comments]  |
| Multiple Stock Symbols for 1 Organization Posted: 02 May 2020 09:44 AM PDT Why is it that some organizations have multiple stock symbols with different values? A quick search suggests it's for different markets and whatnot. Specifically I'm curious about Aston Martin - ARGGY vs. AMGDF vs. AML. Thanks in advance! [link] [comments]  |
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