• Breaking News

    Sunday, April 5, 2020

    Stocks - r/Stocks - calling all volunteers to be mods

    Stocks - r/Stocks - calling all volunteers to be mods


    r/Stocks - calling all volunteers to be mods

    Posted: 05 Apr 2020 07:00 AM PDT

    Link to the quarterly portfolio sticky here.

    I'm looking to double the amount of mods here, so at least 6 mods (maybe 7), so don't hesitate to apply, however the requirements will disqualify most users:

    • No trolls
    • No spammers which includes bloggers, youtubers; people with political agendas, etc
    • Min 1000 karma post/comment combined from non meme subs
    • History of giving helpful advice
    • Active investor or trader
    • Willingness to go through posts, comments, mod log, and reports queue to approve or remove posts & comments on a daily basis (min a few times a week)

    Bonus but not required:

    • previous mod experience
    • regex

    How to apply: Send me a DM with an explanation on why you would be a good mod. That's it! Thanks!

    submitted by /u/provoko
    [link] [comments]

    Warren Buffett is MORE LIKELY to purchase an individual airline than sell all his airline positions.

    Posted: 05 Apr 2020 09:49 AM PDT

    Here's some insight into Warren Buffett's selloff of Delta Airlines (DAL) and Southwest Airlines (LUV). The backing away from airline stocks marks something of a reversal for Warren Buffett. The investor bought more Delta stock several weeks ago. Buffett told Yahoo Finance less than a month ago that "I won't be selling airline stocks." Why did Buffett sell so many shares of DAL and LUV yesterday? Thoughts below:

    1. Warren Buffett reduced his ownership of DAL and LUV to under 10%, so he does not need to report every trade he makes. Prior to this sale, Buffett owned over 10% of DAL and LUV. Because of his significant ownership in the companies, he needs to report every move he makes to the SEC. With his ownership reduced to <10%, Buffett can buy and sell DAL and LUV without needing to report it until the end of the quarter. Now his airline stakes are all <10%.

    2. Buffett is NOT selling DAL for cash to invest elsewhere. Berkshire Hathaway is currently sitting on $128B in cash. Buffett has plenty of ammunition to buy any stock he likes. Therefore, his move to sell DAL and LUV is NOT to free up money to purchase other stocks.

    3. Buffett may be about to make a dramatic move as airlines have ~3 months without government aid until it runs out of cash. We will use DAL as a representation of the airline industry. Accounting for cash and cash equivalents and credit withdrawal only, DAL only has 3 months of cash left given its CEO reported the company is burning through $60M per day. Of course, this is not accounting for government support, other current assets, and cost cutting (e.g., furloughing employees). With these measures, DAL may have a few months above water. Given the situation that DAL is in, Buffett is likely about to make a dramatic move - either sell off his remaining airline positions or purchase 100% shares of an airline company.

    Here are three things Buffett may be doing in order of likelihood:

    1. High Likelihood: Buffett is simply trimming his positions so they are under 10% stake. Buffett has mentioned several times that he likes to own less than 10% stake for reporting reasons, specifically in regards to airline stocks. He may have just trimmed his stake to <10% and plan on holding there.

    2. Moderate Likelihood: Buffett is reducing stakes in DAL and LUV as it plans to acquire and competitor airline. Prior to Buffett's acquisition of Burlington Northern Santa Fe (BNSF) railway, he scaled down his position in Union Pacific (UNP) and Norfolk Southern (NSC) railways about a year before his purchase of BNSF. If Buffett is thinking about purchasing an airline, which he has contemplated in the past, he may be targeting American Airlines, which he currently owns the largest stake in (10%). Keep in mind that before he extended a tender offer to BNSF, he owned 17% of the company. Finally, Buffett already owns NetJets, the world's largest private jet company.

    3. Low Likelihood: Buffett reduced his shares to <10% so he does not need to report his complete exit from airlines. There is speculation that Buffett is reducing his stake to under 10% so he can exit airlines completely without needing to report his trades. We believe this is unlikely because Buffett's mantra is "be greedy when others are fearful". Airlines are not going anywhere as the U.S. is one of the most globalized nations. The only reason why Buffett may be selling is if he fears the government stake in airlines will be at a significantly reduced price. With this said, he may as well just buy the airline at that point to not sell at a complete loss.

    submitted by /u/boccherini-trader
    [link] [comments]

    Index or pick a handful of great companies?

    Posted: 05 Apr 2020 08:53 AM PDT

    I have always been an indexer—my 401k and Roth IRA are made up of low-fee index funds, and I am mostly invested in the S&P 500 (with some small cap, some mid cap, international and very little bond).

    But lately I've been wondering: why should I not start investing in just a *handful* of great companies that have *way* outperformed index funds over the past 20 years and have consistently returned value to shareholders over the long-term? Surely these companies will continue to outperform the market, right?

    Yes, I know past performance does not equal future returns. But if I am investing for the long-term (20+ years), and plan to dollar cost average biweekly into these companies, why wouldn't I do so instead of DCAing into VTI or VOO?

    These are the 10 companies I am considering: Microsoft, Disney, Google, Amazon, Apple, Visa, J&J, Coca-Cola, Costco, NVIDIA

    Tell me why I am wrong and should stick to SPY, or tell me why I am right and should go for it.

    Oh, and for what it's worth, I think I would still keep my 401k/IRAs invested in indexes—this would just be for my taxable brokerage account.

    Thanks all!

    submitted by /u/BillNye69
    [link] [comments]

    So say we flatten the curve and things greatly improve by end of month. Then what?

    Posted: 05 Apr 2020 10:16 AM PDT

    So say by April 30th, the curve has been flattened, things have been stabilized. What is the actual next step? Does the Government flip on a light switch and reopen the country, business as usual? Or do we stay shut down until a vaccine hits next year?

    I hear all this talk about flattening the curve, but not much talk of what comes next? Is this a situation of a dog that finally catches the car he has been chasing and has no idea what to do with it once he catches it?

    submitted by /u/VRgamer84
    [link] [comments]

    Disney an early streaming winner as Americans are stuck indoors amid coronavirus pandemic

    Posted: 04 Apr 2020 06:04 PM PDT

    https://finance.yahoo.com/news/coronavirus-streaming-disney-144545521.html

    At-home entertainment is seeing a dramatic surge amid the coronavirus pandemic, with streaming platforms like Disney+ (DIS) and Netflix (NFLX) benefitting.

    Analytics platform EDO, Inc. surveyed 6,800 Americans from March 24 to March 28, finding that approximately 85% of respondents said their at-home television and movie consumption has increased since the coronavirus outbreak began. A fifth of surveyors added that they purchased a new streaming app as a result of the quarantine.

    submitted by /u/coolcomfort123
    [link] [comments]

    Buying puts on ZM

    Posted: 05 Apr 2020 04:05 AM PDT

    What do you guys think? Zoom is riding this rona wave but is clearly pretty sketchy in regards to data leaks to China (which they claim is an "accident")

    I think this could easily fall to 60-75 by summer

    submitted by /u/RafaelLeo123
    [link] [comments]

    Recap of Last Week's Insider Purchasing Activity

    Posted: 05 Apr 2020 10:50 AM PDT

    Hey all.

    We look at all of the Form 4s filed anytime an executive buys, sells, or is granted stock, to see if we can find any unusual insider compensation activity (i.e. activity that isn't part of any prearranged plans like repurchase programs, 10b5-1 plans, incentive programs, performance bonuses, yearly bonuses, etc).

    Last week we found W.P. Carey, Solar Capital, and Westlake Chemical Partners.

    1) W. P. Carey Inc. ($WPC) - Insider Purchases

    *Unfortunately, we were a little slow in getting our analysis on W.P. Carey out (we found them on March 20th) as we were busy filtering through all the Executive Compensation activity, so the stock has rebounded 18% since we found them. However, they are still a prime candidate to keep an eye on as they are down significantly over the last month.*

    From Yahoo Finance:

    W. P. Carey ranks among the largest net lease REITs with an enterprise value of approximately $21 billion and a diversified portfolio of operationally-critical commercial real estate that includes 1,204 net lease properties covering approximately 138 million square feet.

    W. P. Carey was having a good start to the year, reaching a peak stock price of $88.27 before crashing 44% over the last month to a closing price of $49.36 on March 20th (their closing price on March 27th was $60.34).

    The recent Form 4 activity shows that none of the executives' purchases were particularly large from a percentage of their total holdings standpoint, but that is because all of the executives (except for the Chief Accounting Officer) already own over $20M in stock. All of the executives except for the Chief Accounting Officer spent over $400,000 repurchasing stock while the 3 directors increased their holdings by 37%, 20%, and 11%.

    The only executive that did not purchase any stock is their CFO.

    Date Executive Name Title Type Stock Type Avg Price Total Purchased # of Shares Total Shares Share Increase
    2020-03-19 John Park President P-Purchase Common $43.56 $435.6K 10.0K 511.8K 2%
    2020-03-19 Gino Sabatini Managing Director P-Purchase Common $42.18 $421.8K 10.0K 669.6K 2%
    2020-03-19 Jason Fox CEO P-Purchase Common $46.00 $460.0K 10.0K 541.8K 2%
    2020-03-18 Arjun Mahalingam Chief Accounting P-Purchase Common $53.50 $15.2K 0.3K 6.6K 4%
    2020-03-17 Mark Alexander Director P-Purchase Common $61.58 $246.3K 4.0K 14.9K 37%
    2020-03-16 Peter Farrell Director P-Purchase Common $64.50 $98.4K 1.5K 9.3K 20%
    2020-03-16 Christopher Niehaus Director P-Purchase Common $64.68 $97.0K 1.5K 14.7K 11%

    The individual Form 4 forms show give no explanation for the purchases, so we can assume that it isn't part of any sort of pre-arranged plan.

    The Proxy Statement verifies that W. P. Carey does have ownership guidelines stating that the CEO must hold 6x their annual salary in the stock, the other named executives must hold 3x their annual salary, and the Directors must hold 5x their cash retainers.

    Everyone except for one of the Directors holds a substantial amount more stock than they are required even after taking a 44% haircut on the stock price over the last month.

    \ The Chief Accounting Officers salary was not present in the most recent Proxy Statement **

    Date Executive Name Title $ Amt Owned $ Amt Required Delta
    2020-03-19 John Park President $25.3M $1.6M $23.7M
    2020-03-19 Gino Sabatini Managing Director $33.1M $1.5M $31.6M
    2020-03-19 Jason Fox CEO $26.7M $4.2M $22.5M
    2020-03-18 Arjun Mahalingam Chief Accounting $327.4K N/A N/A
    2020-03-17 Mark Alexander Director $734.4K $500.0K $234.4K
    2020-03-16 Peter Farrell Director $458.7K $500.0K -$41.3K
    2020-03-16 Christopher Niehaus Director $723.2K $500.0K $223.2K

    W. P. Carey shows some intriguing insider purchasing activity and the substantial amount of money their top executives have invested in the company shows that they have a lot of skin in the game and are heavily incentivized to get that stock price back up to where it was before the crash.

    2) Solar Capital Ltd ($SLRC) - Purchasing Activity

    From Yahoo Finance:

    Solar Capital Ltd. is a business development company specializing in secured debt (first lien unitranche and second lien), subordinated (unsecured) debt, minority equity, and strategic income-oriented control equity investments in leveraged middle market companies.

    Like most companies in the Asset Management industry, Solar Capital got crushed by this market downturn falling from their recent high of $21.12 down to their close of $10.62 on March 25th (a 49% decline).

    The recent Form 4 activity shows quite a bit of purchasing activity by the executives since the beginning of March (especially by the co-CEO, Michael Gross).

    The table below shows that all of the executives (and one director) made sizable 6-figure (and one 7-figure) purchases (except for the Chief Compliance Officer) and all made very sizable percentage increases to their holdings.

    Date Executive Name Title Type Stock Type Avg Price Total Purchased # of Shares Total Shares Share Increase
    2020-03-23 Michael Gross Co-CEO P-Purchase Common $9.49 $794.3K 83.7K 249.6K 50%
    2020-03-23 Michael Gross Co-CEO P-Purchase Common - Indirect $12.00 $1.1M 92.5K 2.4M 4%
    2020-03-23 Richard Peteka CFO P-Purchase Common $8.99 $116.9K 13.0K 24.0K 118%
    2020-03-23 Bruce Spohler Co-CEO P-Purchase Common $9.32 $498.9K 53.5K 67.5K 382%
    2020-03-20 Guy Talarico Chief Compliance P-Purchase Common $10.35 $33.1K 3.2K 10.4K 45%
    2020-03-20 David Wachter Director P-Purchase Common $10.59 $211.8K 20.0K 46.4K 76%

    You will notice above that Mr. Gross made a 7-figure "indirect" purchase on top of his almost $800,000 direct purchase. Looking into his Form 4 shows us that most of that indirect ownership is through the Employee Stock Plan, Solar Capital Investors, and Solar Capital Investors 2, which both him and the other co-CEO, Bruce Spohler, have an ownership stake in.

    According to their Proxy Statement, it does not appear that Solar Capital has any ownership guidelines. This leads us to believe that these executive purchases could have been made because the executives believe the stock is at a great buying price.

    3) Westlake Chemical Partners ($WLKP) - Purchasing Activity

    From Yahoo Finance:

    Westlake Chemical Partners LP acquires, develops, and operates ethylene production facilities and related assets in the United States. The company's ethylene production facilities primarily convert ethane into ethylene. It also sells ethylene co-products, including propylene, crude butadiene, pyrolysis gasoline, and hydrogen directly to third parties on a spot or contract basis.

    Westlake has had a rough start to the year. They have fallen from a stock price of $22.81 at the start of the year down to a low of $10.31 before making their way back up to a closing price of $16.08 at the close of the market on March 25th.

    Over the last two weeks, there has been a substantial amount of executive purchasing activity at $WLKP (Form 4 activity here).

    The purchasing was led by the CEO who bought up nearly $1,000,000 worth of shares between March 10th and March 24th as the stock continued its decline. None of the other purchases were particularly large from a dollar value perspective, but they all notably increased their amount of shares owned from a percentage perspective. We also find that Randy Woelfel, the sole director that made purchases, bought stock in the company for the first time (at a very good price too).

    Date Executive Name Title Type Stock Type Avg Price Total Purchased # of Shares Total Shares Share Increase
    2020-03-24 Albert Chao CEO P-Purchase Common $13.75 $962.5K 70.0K 166.4K 73%
    2020-03-23 Randy Woelfel Director P-Purchase Common $12.90 $129.0K 10.0K 10.0K 100%
    2020-03-23 Benjamin Ederington General Counsel P-Purchase Common $14.75 $29.5K 2.0K 12.0K 20%
    2020-03-12 Mark Bender CFO P-Purchase Common $15.00 $30.0K 2.0K 14.0K 17%
    2020-03-10 Lawrence Teel "SVP Olefins" P-Purchase Common $17.40 $87.0K 5.0K 12.8K

    Taking a look at the CEO's Form 4, we first can verify that these purchases were not part of any pre-arranged plans. We also notice that Mr. Chao and his family own a significant number of shares through other entities and trusts.

    We couldn't find any proxy statements for Westlake, but their 10-K does not mention any ownership guidelines that require executives and directors to own a certain amount of stock. It appears that these executives may just believe the stock is at a very good price point and are buying it up.

    submitted by /u/Connorvo
    [link] [comments]

    Markets are forward looking , but also have amnesia

    Posted: 05 Apr 2020 08:20 AM PDT

    Recession/depression within months . Stocks sell off 30% . 1 month later it goes back up before the recession even hits.

    If the markets went down because people think companies will fail over the next year , why buy back into them before that happens .

    It's like hearing there will be a hurricane in 3 weeks. Everyone boards up their widows. 2 weeks later they remove the boards.

    I understand markets are forward looking , but they forget what they saw a moment after they saw it

    submitted by /u/treborly
    [link] [comments]

    Podcasts on investing

    Posted: 05 Apr 2020 11:13 AM PDT

    Are there any good (active) podcasts that talk stocks? If so, give me your recommendations. I'm new into investing and I was hoping I could come across a podcast or two to help learn stuff and keep up with what's going on now.

    submitted by /u/RealBraXy
    [link] [comments]

    Boeing

    Posted: 05 Apr 2020 08:24 AM PDT

    Seems like one of the best value picks right now. Down over 200 per share even from this year and it has contracts with the government. Who else likes it? Really considering dumping a decent amount into it. I just feel like it's one of those companies that won't die.

    submitted by /u/NAD92
    [link] [comments]

    Bough 150 Carnaval Cruise (CCL) at $16 and now down ~45%, what should I do to minimize my losses? Buy a Put? If so, what strike price and expiration date?

    Posted: 05 Apr 2020 08:50 AM PDT

    Just trying to minimize my losses been trading stocks for awhile but relatively new to options. Any advice would be appreciated!

    submitted by /u/imse82
    [link] [comments]

    Airbus

    Posted: 05 Apr 2020 07:17 AM PDT

    Is airbus a long term buy at 13? This company has already been deemed as too big to fail similar to Boeing. Or are we safer investing in JETS ETF?

    submitted by /u/Strange_Step
    [link] [comments]

    Oil Stocks will tank Tomorrow! Buying Puts?

    Posted: 05 Apr 2020 01:22 PM PDT

    Tensions between Russia and Saudia Arabia have increased once again and the scheduled OPEC meeting has been moved to maybe Thursday. Anyone considering buying puts on XOM or others?

    submitted by /u/HarborlightsNJ
    [link] [comments]

    Dual listed companies

    Posted: 05 Apr 2020 11:45 AM PDT

    As a canadian I was wondering if it's better to buy a or nyse ticker if a company has both.

    I know about Norbert gambit to get currency exchange for cheaper than institutions rate will give you.

    What I'm wondering is are the two tickers mirror images or are they independent but coincidentally mirroring because they are the same company across both tickers?

    submitted by /u/snasna102
    [link] [comments]

    Selling stocks during a crisis

    Posted: 05 Apr 2020 10:51 AM PDT

    Hi guys, I'm in my late 20s and still a novice in trading stocks so please bare with me. I have a question in regard to buying/selling stocks when the economy isnt doing well. Since most stocks bounce back up later on, why do a couple of sites (i.e. https://www.investors.com/how-to-invest/investors-corner/still-the-no-1-rule-for-stock-investors-always-cut-your-losses-short/) insist on selling your stocks now to 'cut your losses'? These articles are directed to the general population than a specific group so I'm a bit confused by the advice.

    For example, I bought Disney stocks when prices dropped by $40/stock. Little did I know that it would continue to drop due to the crisis. But wouldn't it still be better if I just waited it out? If it were a smaller company I'd understand the reasoning behind it..

    Edit: added a word

    submitted by /u/Ativan2
    [link] [comments]

    5 Stocks Worth Watching Monday

    Posted: 05 Apr 2020 09:33 AM PDT

    TSLA- Thursday night was unlike anything I'd seen after hours. Friday brought us back to reality. What does Monday bring- another surge to $500+, or more of a sell off from Friday? Lots of people (myself included) "waiting" to buy in once it gets to $400. One of the most turbulent stocks out there, and Musk is supremely confident in the brands ability in Q2 and beyond.

    FANG- everyone is supremely bullish on them, and I feel like I've waited too long, but they're still well below their 52 week high. I don't know much about fracking, other than that it's extremely controversial. Floating around $32 right now, is that a good buy in point?

    DAL- Buffet's sell off sent a lot of people into a tizzy, but based on what I'm seeing, the amount he sold was a strategic number to avoid "insider trading rules" of some sort. They still seem to be a much safer bet than AAL or UA, and they've dipped below $20/share. Is Monday a good time to strike and hold on for the long haul?

    DEAC- The parent company of FanDuel has been a big talking point in these forums. With MGM and ElDorado looking like a marriage about to happen, no one knows which of the two stocks will be more valuable. PENN is everyone's favorite courtesy of Dave Portnoy and his corny ass "DaVeY DaY TrAdEr" schtick, but it's supremely volatile, and I just wait for it to fall under $10 and sell it off later (done that a couple times). 52 week high of $19.20 for DEAC, but it is relatively knee and I only put it on here because of all the discussions I've seen around it.

    CCL- the cheapest of the big 3 in the cruise industry, they're down a mind boggling 83% the last three months. No bailout money, but they're not alone. They seem to be the biggest of the 3 despite their low stock price, and cruises are already filling up reservations for 2021. Tie that in with the low price of oil right now (Sidebar- I'm in on XOM because oil just can't stay this low forever) and they may be a steal under $10. It'll be a long row, but even making up 1/2 their losses would be a huge win for investors.

    Would love to hear some thoughts from you all.

    My portfolio: BA AAPL XOM DIS MSFT CPE

    1/15/21 $7.50 call on BLMN @ $2.15

    submitted by /u/Johnk812
    [link] [comments]

    Nervous about dumping money into the stock market?

    Posted: 05 Apr 2020 08:11 AM PDT

    I have been swing trading for a few years now, nothing major. At most 10 shares at a time.

    Looking at the numbers, now is the time to invest in almost every business...but mainly airlines.

    I have invested $2,000 so far and plan on investing all of trumps $1,200 check. On paper, i will make a lot of money when the markets return. But I am nervous about putting more money in, due to the increasing chance of the businesses failing.

    How are you guys reacting to the markets now? Are you going all in or being more reserved?

    submitted by /u/nastyn8rr
    [link] [comments]

    Question about good websites for projections and analysis

    Posted: 05 Apr 2020 11:58 AM PDT

    New to trading. There are too many websites to keep track of for learning about what the analysts are saying, whether a stock is a strong sell or buy, stock forecasts, etc. What are the best sites for getting quick updates on all that?

    submitted by /u/BakokoKinga
    [link] [comments]

    Picks For The LongHaul? What are yours?

    Posted: 05 Apr 2020 07:50 AM PDT

    FYI: I'm relatively new to stocks but I wanted to build a strong portfolio. I was going to go with 3 Bluechip stocks, 1-2 Dividend stocks and then use the rest of my money to invest in a couple small businesses that have a strong future during and after this pandemic.

    Bluechips: AAPL,MSFT,SHOP or GOOG ETF:SPHD or PCEF Others: DENN,ENPH,LULU,SYY

    I just wanted some opinions on what you think of these, I would love to share my reasoning/ hear your reasoning on why or why not to buy.

    submitted by /u/KNINV44
    [link] [comments]

    130k in airline and BA stocks; should I sell long calls and buy FD puts to hedge?

    Posted: 04 Apr 2020 04:01 PM PDT

    Like the title says; I have 130k in AA, UAL , Delta and BA stocks; should I sell long calls and buy FD puts to hedge? Or should I cut my loses and run. I am down 20% at this time and this is my all portfolio.

    I was thinking of selling by weekly 10% OTM calls and buying weekly in the money puts to hedge.

    Or is this bad, and should I sell it all at this point and go cash?

    Thoughts? . Here are positions

    https://imgur.com/a/9bMj7aV

    submitted by /u/Screw7788
    [link] [comments]

    Stock split?

    Posted: 05 Apr 2020 10:41 AM PDT

    Hi all Hope you are all doing well.

    I have a question regarding stock splits

    If the company decides to do so When does it hapen. after the dividend payment..before...random time? Is it announced that it will hapen? Are there companies you think it could happen this year?

    Thanks

    submitted by /u/Dassomi
    [link] [comments]

    What are your defensive stock choices?

    Posted: 05 Apr 2020 02:06 PM PDT

    What stocks do you see standing the test of time?

    submitted by /u/iamslightlyinsecure
    [link] [comments]

    The market is still unraveling and there are still good opportunities for a short while we wait for the bottom. I included my thoughts in this post. What do you think is the best short to make right now?

    Posted: 05 Apr 2020 06:34 AM PDT

    My thoughts are that DAL and LUV might still be a good short. If Buffet is bailing, then he doesn't think that we've reached bottom yet...but there are probably safer and better opportunities out there, as we must be close.

    I was considering shorting some oil ETN's and leveraged ETFs. They seem to have mostly already tanked by the time I found them.

    Visa might be a good short. Car lenders is also interesting. I'm starting to look into mREITs and nonprime lenders.

    What's do you think best short out there right now?

    submitted by /u/DJ_560
    [link] [comments]

    Invest into Real Estate companies? Wait? Or neither?

    Posted: 05 Apr 2020 01:44 PM PDT

    Obviously with unemployment skyrocketing because the Coronavirus sweeping through the country, there's a money shortage and no one is buying houses, apartments, etc. Would it be wise to follow these real estate finance companies and buy their stock when its low in expectation that it'll jump up with enough time? (long run most likely) Or just avoid it altogether because some might go bankrupt.

    submitted by /u/ayesupp
    [link] [comments]

    No comments:

    Post a Comment