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    Tuesday, April 28, 2020

    Stock Market - Everything you need to know about the 2020 oil crisis (Guide)

    Stock Market - Everything you need to know about the 2020 oil crisis (Guide)


    Everything you need to know about the 2020 oil crisis (Guide)

    Posted: 28 Apr 2020 07:37 AM PDT

    Hi guys, I noticed a lot of newcomer investors are joining lately. A lot of them are not very informed, if at all. So they end up doing rash decisions based on media headlines and random suggestions.

    That's why I spent some time creating this guide that can help everyone make a bit more informed decisions, at least in regards to the oil markets. Let me know if you find it valuable, I might try and do other similar guides in the future.

    As for the guide - Here It Is

    submitted by /u/geo0rgi
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    Why do journalists say that a company “missed” the analyst consensus?

    Posted: 28 Apr 2020 01:34 PM PDT

    Obviously the analysts' prediction missed the company's earnings. The company didn't miss the prediction. Analysts are paid to predict earnings accurately, but companies have no obligation to meet outside predictions.

    This would be like the weather man blaming the weather for not abiding by his prediction when obviously he's just bad at his job.

    submitted by /u/jckonln
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    COVID-19 Impact on Stocks

    Posted: 28 Apr 2020 01:45 PM PDT

    Losers:

    Airlines, Cruises: These stocks are the biggest losers of the pandemic, with no signs of recovery yet. These capital intensive, heavy debt companies have their revenues directly impacted by social distancing and travel restrictions.

    Late Risers:

    Restaurants: When social distancing measures were put in place, restaurants saw their share prices fall by 50%. However, they are not capital intensive and have found alternate revenue sources in food delivery and takeout. For instance, Chipotle drove more investments into its app, provided free delivery, and saw their digital sales grow by 103% in March.

    Winners:

    Streaming services: These companies are direct beneficiaries of the lockdown. Netflix tops the list with nearly 16 million new subscribers this quarter and a 20% increase in share price.

    Retailers: Customers visit Costco, Walmart to stock up on supplies or order groceries online. Amazon and Walmart have hired thousands of workers to handle the surge in demand and their share prices increased by 23% and 10% respectively.

    Biotech stocks: These stocks have risen over 100% since the lockdown in Wuhan. While everyone is hopeful that Gilead's Remdesivir will work as a treatment for coronavirus, vaccine developers such as Moderna, Inovio, iBio have also begun clinical trials of their vaccine candidates.

    Work-from-home services: Social distancing has boosted video conferencing stocks like Zoom, which has jumped 110%, and other work from home productivity stocks like Slack, Citrix Systems.

    https://grufity.com/dashboards/CORONA-INDEX-STOCKS/Impact-of-Coronavirus-on-Stocks

    submitted by /u/stockwatcher11
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    Global car sales are expected to decline by 22% in 2020 due to Covid-19

    Posted: 27 Apr 2020 09:17 PM PDT

    Leading by the US, global car sales are expected to decline by 22% as factories close and consumers are quarantined at home.

    IHS Markit has lowered its forecast for global car sales to fall 22% in 2020 to 70.3 million vehicles. Leading by the US with a decrease of 26.6% to 12.5 million vehicles compared to last year.
    Domestic sales will be the lowest since 11.6 million cars and trucks were sold in 2010. That's when the auto industry emerged from the Great Recession. This is also a reduction compared to the forecast of IHS Markit in March 2020 of 12%.

    Read more

    submitted by /u/mrnerdcute
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    DAL and CCL up 10% Today???

    Posted: 28 Apr 2020 11:32 AM PDT

    Hey guys! Got a quick question. Why is the cruise and airline industry up so much today? I looked through most news headlines but couldnt find anything? LUV is the only airline of the big 4 with a small gain of 2% (other airlines are also up 10%).

    submitted by /u/JKaiChen
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    AMD earnings hit the target, but trimmed annual forecast sends stock down

    Posted: 28 Apr 2020 03:28 PM PDT

    https://www.marketwatch.com/story/amd-earnings-hit-the-target-but-trimmed-annual-forecast-sends-stock-down-2020-04-28

    AMD (AMD) reported first-quarter net income of $162 million, or 14 cents a share, compared with $16 million, or a penny a share, in the year-ago period. After adjusting for stock compensation and other factors, AMD reported earnings of 18 cents a share, compared with 6 cents a share in the year-ago period. Revenue rose to $1.79 billion from $1.27 billion in the year-ago quarter.

    submitted by /u/coolcomfort123
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    NNT does not consider Covid-19 a Black Swan event

    Posted: 28 Apr 2020 05:01 AM PDT

    Link: https://www.newyorker.com/news/daily-comment/the-pandemic-isnt-a-black-swan-but-a-portent-of-a-more-fragile-global-system

    Besides, the pandemic was wholly predictable—he, like Bill Gates, Laurie Garrett, and others, had predicted it—a white swan if ever there was one. "We issued our warning that, effectively, you should kill it in the egg," Taleb told Bloomberg. Governments "did not want to spend pennies in January; now they are going to spend trillions."

    This is well worth a read and a discussion.

    submitted by /u/DongusMcLongus
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    Is GOOGL a buy post earnings?

    Posted: 28 Apr 2020 02:52 PM PDT

    I nibbled today before earnings at around 1,234, not knowing what earnings would bring. As of now after hours it's up to 1,330. What are your opinions on buying some more tomorrow? It would still be down around 12% from the 52 week high, assuming it ends up opening around that 1,330 mark.

    submitted by /u/CarelessRelation6
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    Completely new to the stock market, looking for easy suggestions.

    Posted: 28 Apr 2020 08:02 PM PDT

    The current crash in the market has left me curious about buying stock. I'm one of the lucky few that still have a job and a steady income, I have $10k in my savings $4k or more in my checking, no major bills or expenses and I was wondering a couple things...

    How much of my money should I actually invest and over what course of time...

    And what are some recommendations to invest in to and how to divvy up the money I allotted to the market...

    I feel like I already missed the boat from socks crashing 3 weeks ago and raising about 20-30% already, but sooner seems better than later.

    Any and all help is much appreciated, but please keep it simple.

    submitted by /u/jrj9001
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    Population ratios effects on the stock market

    Posted: 28 Apr 2020 08:16 AM PDT

    So i was reading this thought it was interesting. They take they comapre younger working adults to middle age (age 40-65) working adults to try to predict the stock market. The basic theory is that younger adults(age 20-39) are likely to take out debt and be broke from having kids vs middle age whom would be investing and building their retirement.

    Now, i was interested in a different ratio: the retired population vs the working population, defined as:

    -working population age 19-64

    -retired popuation 65+

    My general thesis is that the working population serves as buyers into the stock market and the retired population serves as eventually sellers in the stock market. And yes, im aware many retiress stay invested, but they stop adding to their accounts and begin to make withdrawals overall. I'll post the data in the comment section to make this post easier to read.

    In 1950 the ratio is about 10x, meaning there are 10 working class buying stocks for every 1 retiree withdrawaling from stocks. Today that ratio has steadily decreased and to about 6x and will be 3.5x by the time many of you retire.

    Food for thought: how many new buyers does it take to replace one seller? Adjusted for inflation, the dow jones has made 1,000% gains since the 1950s, so does it take 10x new buyers to displace a seller with 1,000% return? luckily they are not cashing out 100% and only take out what they need to spend each month. So we stay afloat with only 6x new buyers for every 1 retired seller.

    submitted by /u/stonksmarket
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    Forex membership?

    Posted: 28 Apr 2020 06:37 PM PDT

    My friend had joined Forex and pays a monthly membership fee for access to advice from others. Has anyone else checked this out? I have some money to invest but may just go have a meeting with a financial Guy at TD. GUSH and Exxon mobile look like good long term investments.

    submitted by /u/DevilishTendancies
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    (TSX:FOOD or OTC:GDDFF) DD PACKAGE

    Posted: 28 Apr 2020 06:28 PM PDT

    (TSX:FOOD) DD PACKAGE

    General Information:

    Company: Goodfood Market Corp

    Ticker: FOOD (TSX) or GDDFF (OTCMKTS)

    Goodfood is a dinner subscription service delivering fresh ingredients based in Canada. They offer a variety of dishes on their website and deliver to the subscriber's doorsteps.

    Their objective is to take away the hassle out of cooking.

    Company Founded in 2014.

    Company listed on TSX in 2017.

    CEO: Jonathan Ferrari

    Active Subscribers: 246 000

    Current Employees Count: 1000

    Stock Information:

    (As of 04/28/2020)

    Stock price: 4.03$

    52 Week Range: 1.50$ - 4.65$

    Market Cap: 234M

    Annual Revenue (2019): 140M

    Average Volume (3 Months): 50k

    Average Volume (1 Month): 250k

    Analyst rating:

    2 Strong buy

    4 Buy

    COVID-19 Section:

    Goodfood Market is considered an essential service, operations are maintained during the COVID-19 situation. 500 employees have been hired and trained in the past few weeks to keep up with the demand due to Covid-19 isolation.

    Q2 Earnings 2020:

    08/04/2020

    55% increase in Subscribers YoY

    61% increase in Revenue YoY

    48% increase in Gross merchandise sales YoY

    133% increase in Gross profit YoY

    59% Adjusted Gross profit YoY

    Gross Margin (%) increase +9.4pp YoY

    Adjusted Gross Margin (%) increase +2.8pp YoY

    Adjusted EBITDA Margin (%) increase +10pp YoY

    EPS:

    EPS Estimates: -0.12

    EPS Actual : -0.06

    Popular Concensus:

    Goodfood has 29,000 reviews on trustpilot.com with an average of 4.4 / 5. Here are the most common "+" and "-".

    (92% of reviews)

    Fresh quality ingredients.

    Delicious and tasty recipes.

    Easy and clear instructions.

    Make cooking hassle free and enjoyable.

    Time Saver.

    (8% of reviews)

    Late deliveries.

    Missing item or different item in deliveries.

    Have to email to cancel subscription.

    Takes a long time to reach customer service

    Personal Concensus:

    Company is in Growth mode, we should expect a sustainable increase in Subscribers and Revenue over the coming years.

    +

    CEO Jonathan Ferrari

    Increase in Subscribers

    Increase in Revenue

    Increase in Workforce

    Current Situation will push for expansion

    WAITR & APRN have similar services and investors seem to value this new business model. These two have performed extremely well lately due to the COVID-19 situation.

    Disclaimer:

    This is my first DD Package, in no way i consider this a financial advice and will not be blamed for any loss.

    For future DD, let me know if i missed anything.

    submitted by /u/MrWallStreetAHole
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    Cash To Trade: Order Rejected

    Posted: 28 Apr 2020 05:51 PM PDT

    Hello,

    Quick question: I have a standard brokerage account, so obviously I don't daytrade/swingtrade or utilize options trading. I buy to sell short or long. At any rate, I sold a stock two days ago and the money went to my "cash to trade". Yesterday around 8:30p, I bought shares of another stock. I woke up the next morning to see it was "rejected". How could it be rejected when the stocks I bought were within the cash to trade range?? Is there a 2-day waiting period to use cash to trade funds? If this is the case, why would my brokerage firm allow me to see that the cash to trade funds are actually available to use? This is frustrating as I was screwed on gains of this particular stock. Thanks for any assistance.

    submitted by /u/jschreiber77
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    DIV HELP

    Posted: 28 Apr 2020 12:56 PM PDT

    Canceling order for stock when market is closed

    Posted: 28 Apr 2020 04:04 PM PDT

    Hi, I went and placed an order for a few shares in stock when the market was closed. I than realized I would rather buy it when the market reopens tommorow. I cancelled it in my queued. My question basically is, I won't be affected and my money will not be taken out of my account if I cancelled a queued stock when the market is closed right?

    submitted by /u/groundnpound_xcv
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    Is there a system that draws all of the important stock metrics onto one spreadsheet?

    Posted: 28 Apr 2020 12:10 PM PDT

    Hello everyone

    Newbie here. I've been learning a lot about value investing and it seems that the most important part of it is to do your homework on a company/stock and buy the ones that are undervalued. After doing some practice runs calculating P/E ratio, P/B ratio, D/E ratio, and PEG ratio I had a bit of a "this takes a while has anyone automated it yet?" moment. So my question is simple. Does anyone know of any reliable online sources that draw the data from company filings at the SEC and calculate all of the ratios needed to value a stock? If this exists, I feel like value investing would be too easy because in theory you would just look up all of the companies that have favorable ratios in their industries and invest in those. Or am I totally wrong? Guide me o wise ones.

    submitted by /u/EclecticAntelope
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    Stock Watch List April 28, 2020

    Posted: 28 Apr 2020 05:45 AM PDT

    Good morning, here's my watch list

    Gap Ups: BWEN, C, CAKE, CAR, DCPH, DGX, ERI, FFIV, HOG, LH, MRNA, NXPI, QTNT, RCL, SIX, TAL, WYNN, YNDX

    Gap Downs: BPMC, UPS

    SPY gapping up again after clearing the 50 day moving average. Next resistance around 300 at the 200 daily moving average. I have over 40 stocks on my main gap watch list today, I picked the ones I liked the best for this post but there should be plenty of opportunities today. During earnings season, I tend to not pay as much attention to what the market is doing intraday and mainly focus on trading price action of earnings stocks as these are likely to be the best movers. If you are struggling with your trading or have any questions, shoot me a message. Good luck trading!

    I am not holding any positions in any of the stocks listed. these are here to watch for opportunities during the trading session.

    submitted by /u/Kant_sleep13
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    Max out 2020 IRA contriburion now or wait

    Posted: 28 Apr 2020 11:35 AM PDT

    I invested into my personal TD Ameritrade account right before the market tanked. I now wondering if I should max out my 2020 IRA contribution now, or wait because the market is very volitile. I dont know if it is beneficial to get the IRA money in right away because it will be there for a long time or DCA in over the next year. PLease let me know what you think. I am 25 years old, thanks.

    submitted by /u/Youngbusinessman94
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    Russel 2k no brainer short entry

    Posted: 28 Apr 2020 01:49 PM PDT

    This is a textbook setup going by the weekly chart. Those lows set in 2018, which was a strong support level that got demolished on this past wave down, should be pretty strong resistance.

    submitted by /u/feelinggoodabouthood
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    Current TD & Robinhood user - anything better for traders?

    Posted: 28 Apr 2020 01:44 PM PDT

    Currently have TD and Robinhood (for options only). Honestly I have no complaints with the combo, just wondering if there's something better/nice to try?

    My requirements are must be free (who isn't these days), must have full premarket & afterhours trading (4am EST start - 8pm EST) and a good mobile app.

    submitted by /u/deejayv2
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    TRADING TIP: Watch Out For The Second Wave

    Posted: 28 Apr 2020 03:49 AM PDT

    Countries and States that are re-opening their economies do not seem to realise that bulldozing your way into economic recovery whether be it via monetary policy or reopening commerce without proper measures set in place may be a fool's errand in the long run. Singapore and many other established governments are good reference cases for how things can go awry in a short span of time if they rest on their laurels. The city-state was the poster boy for the containment of Covid-19 earlier on in the pandemic, but that proved to be an illusion. Mistaking a victory in an early battle means that the war is won, imported cases started to infect the community and with uncurtailed community spread, it quickly became one of the countries with the highest % rate of infections (adjusted for population size) and eventually had to implement draconian social distancing measures.

    Watch out for the increase in rate of infections for the re-opened countries and states and that will be a good barometer for how much more protracted this crisis will be. The next 3-4 weeks will be a crucial period.

    submitted by /u/trackrecordasia
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    $WDRP Big bottom play now set. Canceled 54M shares and confirms they going current.

    Posted: 28 Apr 2020 11:49 AM PDT

    Have a look at the chart. Just checked filings, there is no Convertible debt and no dilution. Low volume fade over last 2 months. 52 week low bottom play. KEEP WATCH ;)

    https://stockcharts.com/c-sc/sc?s=WDRP&p=D&yr=2&mn=0&dy=0&i=t9729345831c&r=1588099668858

    EDIT: Just found out WDRP Owns 25M shares of SIPC - This will run hard.

    submitted by /u/virus_stocks100
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    We are living through a period of radical uncertainty and disillusionment with institutions and markets that we haven’t seen for a hundred years. Here's a discussion with Eric Peters about investing in a volatile world where four decades of assumptions about markets, politics, policy no longer hold.

    Posted: 28 Apr 2020 10:57 AM PDT

    Listen to the full episode

    Demetri Kofinas speaks with Eric Peters, CIO of One River Asset Management and author of Weekend Notes about investing in a volatile world where four decades of assumptions about markets, politics, and policy no longer hold.

    We are living through a period of radical uncertainty and disillusionment with institutions and markets that we haven't seen for a hundred years. International alliances are shifting. National priorities are changing. The role of government in society is growing. The stakes for portfolio managers, politicians, and individuals have never been higher.

    Learning how to navigate the volatility and radical uncertainty of the present moment is the seminal challenge that we face. How we manage that uncertainty in the years to come presents not only a financial challenge but an emotional one as well. It will define a generation and shape the fortunes of more to come.

    submitted by /u/cpclos
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