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    Monday, July 8, 2019

    Daily Advice Thread - All basic help or advice questions must be posted here. Investing

    Daily Advice Thread - All basic help or advice questions must be posted here. Investing


    Daily Advice Thread - All basic help or advice questions must be posted here.

    Posted: 07 Jul 2019 05:14 AM PDT

    If your question is "I have $10,000, what do I do?" or other "advice for my personal situation" questions. If you are going to ask how to invest you should include relevant information, such as the following:

    • How old are you?
    • Are you employed/making income? How much?
    • What are your objectives with this money? (buy a house? Retirement savings?)
    • What is your risk tolerance? (Do you mind risking it at blackjack or do you need to know its 100% safe?)
    • What are you current holdings? (Do you already have exposure to specific funds and sectors?)
    • Any other assets? House paid off? Cars? Expensive significant other?
    • What is your time horizon? Do you need this money next month? Next 20yrs?
    • Any big debts?
    • Any other relevant financial information will be useful to give you a proper answer.

    Please consider consulting our FAQ first - https://www.reddit.com/r/investing/wiki/faq

    Be aware that these answers are just opinions of Redditors and should be used as a starting point for your research. You should strongly consider seeing a registered financial rep before making any financial decisions!

    submitted by /u/AutoModerator
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    Deutsche Bank's $8 Billion Overhaul Includes Exit From Global Equities

    Posted: 07 Jul 2019 08:15 AM PDT

    Looking for the best trading platforms that I can use living outside the US

    Posted: 07 Jul 2019 11:04 PM PDT

    I live in New Zealand and would like an easy to use trading platform that I can use daily for buying options and stocks.

    submitted by /u/bigoldick12
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    Small cap mutual funds

    Posted: 07 Jul 2019 09:53 PM PDT

    So I'm looking to invest in a small cap mutual fund but do they really produce higher returns than say an S&P 500 index fund. Any suggestions on what funds?

    submitted by /u/big_ole_johnson
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    Real Estate ETFs

    Posted: 08 Jul 2019 02:34 AM PDT

    What do you think about Real Estate ETFs? I heard the real estate is somehow even stable during crisis. I am thinking about buying the Think Global Real Estate ETF.

    submitted by /u/Gulmericin
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    High Yield REIT - Starwood Property Trust

    Posted: 07 Jul 2019 11:20 AM PDT

    This mortgage reit run by Barry Sternlicht has a 8% yield. They seem conservatively financed and their credit trades for a comparatively low yield... seems debt market likes the company but not the equity market. To me it seems like a well diversified business operating across real estate both res and commercial and infrastructure financing as well as direct real estate holdings.

    Am i missing something here?

    submitted by /u/leonardojohn147
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    Silver Investing

    Posted: 07 Jul 2019 09:29 PM PDT

    Thoughts on silver investment? Thinking of getting into it as my baby steps into the investment world, I am extremely new at this any info/advice would be greatly appreciated

    submitted by /u/Football5076
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    FXAIX vs VFIAX

    Posted: 07 Jul 2019 09:52 PM PDT

    I'm relatively new to investing and I recently opened a Roth IRA with Vanguard and purchased the VFIAX mutual fund. I later found Fidelity's FXAIX. It seems like the same thing, but with lower fees. Is there any reason to go with the Vanguard account over Fidelity?

    submitted by /u/kkesaber
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    Thoughts on YC demo day?

    Posted: 08 Jul 2019 01:26 AM PDT

    has anyone invested through the Angel List funds that invest in the Y Combinator demo day?

    submitted by /u/aelaos1
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    trying to understand taxes for a stock trader

    Posted: 08 Jul 2019 01:01 AM PDT

    To explain what I am asking I will propose a hypothetical scenario.

    Let's say a guy named Bob decides he is going to try his hand at trading in the stock market, so he saves up $5,000 and opens a brokerage account as a US resident. He hears people talking about some random penny stock and he naively decides to invest the entire $5,000 into it and then goes about his business. The very next day he logs onto his account and discovers that by nothing short of a miracle, the stock has skyrocketed and his $5,000 investment is now worth a million dollars. Then let's say Bob continues buying and selling over the course of the same year taking wild risks, and by the end of the year he loses everything and is left angry and bitter, wondering what happened.

    In this hypothetical scenario, does Bob now have to become a fugitive on the run for owing the IRS taxes he never paid on the near million dollar gain? or does he not owe? let's also assume he does not qualify as a trader in the eyes of the IRS.

    I'm looking forward to hearing everyone's opinion on this matter. Please let me know if you need any clarifications.

    submitted by /u/aflockofdoves1
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    Gray Television Network ($GTN): My numbers and roughshod calculations of their past six years.

    Posted: 07 Jul 2019 03:06 PM PDT

    I will tell you right now that I got the idea to look at this company from a Barron's article. And my vindication for this being okay is twofold:

    I. Charlie Munger read Barron's for fifty years, invested in one company that was recommended by a writer there, and made $80 million off of it. I can provide the Youtube link with him saying this himself. So if he can make money from Barron's then why can't I?

    II. If "do your own research" is the bromide for a subreddit dedicated for this investing then I'm here for it. And that's what I did.

    I want simplicity with trying to look at a company so I stick with Greenblatt's "magic formula" if you will. For the uninitiated, that is looking at ROIC (I have three different calculations for this on all of my spreadsheets because there's no formally accepted/GAAP official way to calculate ROIC so I cover my bases as much as I can), earnings yield (calculated as EBIT/EV), and FCF yield (calculated on a firm basis and an equity basis, not hard to do).

    I am looking for what Greenblatt suggests to look for in his book The Little Book that Still Beats the Market: I want a 6% earnings yield and 7-9% FCF yield, and as high as 50% ROIC (but honestly I wouldn't complain if I got at least 30% ROIC). I admit here that I calculate ROTCE (which I have a hunch is the way that Greenblatt calculates ROIC) based off of how Yefei Lu calculates it in his book The Investments of Warren Buffett, which is the following: PPE+Inventories+Accounts receivables-Accounts payable. I calculated net tangible equity in the following manner also: Book value (shareholder's equity)-Goodwill-Intangible assets (you can subtract preferred equity also but I don't get that nitpicky and also a lot of companies I've found haven't issued it, but you may encounter otherwise).

    A few things I see here: A television company that has increased ROIC, ROTCE, and BVPS for the years 2013-2018 in the wake of streaming services becoming the main way people consume their media and news has done amazingly well. This is no small feat and speaks highly of their management team. Two of the companies largest shareholders are the CEO and Lead Independent Director. If there's something that I want to see in a company's management is their being ball and chained to the company's success, and from the proxy statement the CEO's family are also shareholders as well (apparently the shares are in trusts for the family also, but the family is ball and chained too and so I like the incentive given for the management team to not royally fuck up). The company's operating profit has grown 35.90% in an era where streaming services have stolen market share. And with 2020's presidential elections commanding attention from more viewers, it's shaping up to be a year or two where Gray Television may see increased revenue. They are sitting on a lot of debt after completing their merger with Raycom Media, but I do not doubt the management team's ability to see the company through deleveraging the balance sheet and really squeezing the towel dry (so to speak) with getting value out of that acquisition. For my quantitative metrics needing to be met, the company meets these significantly and are highlighted in the spreadsheet.

    https://docs.google.com/spreadsheets/d/186Ttpf8Xo_7D1xtjB217fGaxwW1WI_yPJXrgYN0qgYU/edit?usp=sharing

    submitted by /u/howtoreadspaghetti
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    Is there any way to screen stocks based off performance in a certain time period?

    Posted: 07 Jul 2019 08:44 PM PDT

    I know historic performance can mean nothing when looking to the future, but I'm building a defensive section in my portfolio and I want to filter on stocks that fell no more than x% in the great recession as a starting point for further analysis. As of now it's been me going one-by-one through tickers known to be defensive and checking their performance myself, but it would be great if I could just use a tool and get an entire list back.

    Any help would be appreciated, thanks!

    submitted by /u/PuppyPriest
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    People write off longing leveraged ETFs without doing the math.

    Posted: 07 Jul 2019 04:56 AM PDT

    http://www.ddnum.com/articles/leveragedETFs.php

    TLDR: 2x-3x leveraged ETFs are viable long term options and the real limiter is fees not volatility drag. You can double sp500 annual returns after fees with the correct leverage even assuming relatively bad entry/exit points (in this case 1950 right before stagflation and 2009 right after the recession).

    submitted by /u/_-_--0--_-_
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    Is there a website that will list the top financial newsletters for various industries?

    Posted: 07 Jul 2019 01:14 PM PDT

    Visa or master

    Posted: 07 Jul 2019 04:23 AM PDT

    Which is a better buy for longterm, is the momentum still going to go up, is it to late??

    submitted by /u/greatoh22
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    India Globalization Capital - IGC - Weed Stock What do you guys think?

    Posted: 07 Jul 2019 10:10 AM PDT

    Been noticing some hype on this stock. Curious to absorb some redditors opinions.

    submitted by /u/Jedi_Sprout
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    Scorpio Bulkers is due to report earnings in the week commencing July 22nd and investors should expect a profit of $57 million (up from $800k last year and a loss last quarter) from this microcap valued at just $405 million. The company President bought $570k of stock last Tuesday.

    Posted: 07 Jul 2019 09:47 AM PDT

    It's a big profit for a microcap, driven by its 10% holding in Scorpio Tankers that has increased by 55% over the past three months to $167 million. The investment is valued at fair value meaning the increase will feed into the Q2 earnings due in a couple of weeks. Scorpio's main business, dry bulk shipping, is breaking even at the moment but a $57 million profit is not to be sniffed at and should get recognition by the market. The stock is already cheap and trading at a big discount to book value.

    This is not a recommendation to buy or sell. Stocks are not suitable for everybody. Scorpio Bulkers is a risky microcap. Please do your own research.

    submitted by /u/InterestingNews1
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    Your thoughts on AMD for tomorrow morning?

    Posted: 07 Jul 2019 05:09 PM PDT

    So what do you guys think will happen to AMD tomorrow morning?

    submitted by /u/bydule
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    Any of y’all??

    Posted: 07 Jul 2019 06:38 PM PDT

    Any of y'all do IPO investing and real estate investing?

    Website likes - seed invest - fundrise - wefunder - startengine - nextseed - rich uncles

    submitted by /u/ThatChapter
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    Why (and exactly how much) Your Leveraged ETF Will Underperform

    Posted: 07 Jul 2019 03:57 PM PDT

    See the math that shows how 3x leveraged ETPs underperform. (Summary from disclosures outlined in the ETP prospectus.) http://www.tradingvolatility.net/2015/03/why-and-exactly-how-much-your-leveraged.html

    submitted by /u/vol_trader
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    im currently in these mutual funds at charles schwab are they worth the long run?

    Posted: 07 Jul 2019 10:36 AM PDT

    sblyx: clearbridge large

    imidx: congress mid cap gr

    dhltx: diamond hills all cap

    submitted by /u/SpliTTMark
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