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    Monday, April 1, 2019

    Stocks - r/Stocks Daily Discussion Monday - Apr 01, 2019

    Stocks - r/Stocks Daily Discussion Monday - Apr 01, 2019


    r/Stocks Daily Discussion Monday - Apr 01, 2019

    Posted: 01 Apr 2019 05:10 AM PDT

    These daily discussions run from Monday to Friday.

    Some helpful links:

    If you have a basic question, for example "what is EPS," then google "investopedia EPS" and click the investopedia article on it; do this for everything until you have a more in depth question or just want to share what you learned.

    Please discuss your portfolios in the Rate My Portfolio sticky..

    See our past daily discussions here. Also links for: Technicals Tuesday, Options Trading Thursday, and Fundamentals Friday.

    submitted by /u/AutoModerator
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    No joke on this April Fools Day, global markets are rallying to open the quarter

    Posted: 01 Apr 2019 04:50 AM PDT

    US Stocks Preview Ahead of the Open

    • Stocks are cratering across the globe-APRIL FOOLS-global markets are rallying with US futures following, US stocks index futures are higher with front-month Dow Jones minis +0.73%, S&P 500 minis +0.70% and Nasdaq 100 minis +0.94%
    • The President of the Minneapolis Fed Neel Kashkari said it is not time to raise interest rates-he is know as a consistent opponent of interest rate hikes
    • The spring home-buying season is starting off in a very good spot, with falling intertest rates putting 4% mortgage rates within reach for some
    • Goldman Sachs and Morgan Stanley both lowered their 2019 expectation for US 10-year Treasury yield to 2.35% and 2.25%, respectively
    • German Manufacturing PMI for March came at 44.1, worse than the 44.7 consensus and the worst reading in 7 years
    • PMIs across Asia printed better than expected, in Japan, China and South Korea readings came better than expected, indicating generally improving economic conditions
    • Brexit discussions continue in Parliament with lawmakers trying to craft an updated proposal, trying to break the impasse
    • The VIX is moving up this morning and is currently at 16.48 after closing at 13.71 last week
    • SPDR S&P 500 ETF Trust (SPY) April 1 & May 3 OTM Puts, Financial Select Sector SPDR Fund (XLF) April 18 Calls and Coty (COTY) May 17 OTM Calls & Puts are the most actively traded options contracts in US pre-market trading this morning.
    • US 10-Year Treasury Bonds are lower with yields up 3.36 basis points to 2.4386%
    • The US Treasury 2s-10s Spread has widened 0.54 basis points to 0.15%
    • WTI Crude is currently up 1.42% to USD$60.14/bbl with the Brent-WTI spread little changed USD$68.38 to USD$8.33/bbl
    • Gold is currently little changed -0.14% to USD$1290.58/oz

    Stocks Trending in the News

    • Apple (AAPL) announced the cancellation of its AirPower wireless charging mat, in a rare move for the tech giant. Apple announced the AirPower in late 2017 with its iPhone X, with it set to go no sale in 2018. Apple has almost never simply cancelled a product it already announced. Apple is rated "Neutral" in our US Large-Cap Global Top Stock Ideas and "Neutral" in our US Information Technology Global Top Stock Ideas.
    • Celgene (CELG) was downgraded at Atlantic Equities to neutral from buy. Celgene's price target was lowered to $101 from $103. In the market the average price target of Celgene is $99.50. The downgrade is based on valuation with the recent rise in the stock price. Celgene is rated "Top Buy" in our US Large-Cap Global Top Stock Ideas.
    • Walt Disney (DIS) has a disappointing weekend with its debut of the live-action version of Dumbo. Disney's Dumbo earned just $45 million in ticket sales over the weekend, a weak opening for the film. Dumbo cost $170 million to produce and this is Disney's first flop of the year. Disney is rated "Neutral" in our US Large-Cap Global Top Stock Ideas and "Top Buy" in our US Consumer Discretionary Global Top Stock Ideas.
    • Lyft (LYFT) saw the debut of its shares open 21% higher than the pricing today. Lyft saw very strong demand for its shares in the offering and closed 12% higher than pricing on its first full day of trading. Lift raised $2.34 billion in the IPO. The company closes the first day of a public company with a market valuation of over $25 billion. Lyft is not yet rated in our Global Top Stock Ideas.
    • Novartis (SWX:NOVN) will acquire the outstanding shares of IFM Tre, a unit of IFM Therapeutics. Novartis will pay $310 million up front and eligible for up to $1.265 billion in additional milestone payments. IFM Tre drug are able to fine tune a person's immune system and Novartis in keen to acquire its drug pipeline. Novartis is rated "Top Buy" in our European Large-Cap Global Top Stock Ideas.
    • Softbank (TSE: 9984) announced the largest local bond sale ever in Japan. Softbank will offer 500 million yen in bonds targeting individual investors. The bonds are expected to be priced on April 12. Softbank controls the $100 billion Vision Fund. Softbank is rated "Neutral" in our Japan Large-Cap Global Top Stock Ideas.
    • Versum Materials (VSM) has opened the possibility for a deal with Merck KGaA (DB:MRK) of Germany after initially rejecting its $5.9 billion bid. Members of both companies met this week to discuss a potential deal. Merck's initial offer was for $48 per share. In this meeting the CEO of Merck indicated there is room to increase its offer. Versum Materials is rated "Neutral" in our US Large-Cap Global Top Stock Ideas and "Neutral" in our US Information Technology Global Top Stock Ideas. Merck KGaA is rated "Neutral" in our European Large-Cap Global Top Stock Ideas.

    International Stock Markets Recap

    • The Euro Stoxx 600 is currently up +0.75%, the FTSE 100 is higher by +0.62%, the DAX has risen +1.04%, and the CAC 40 is up +0.54%
    • Basic Resources (+3.2%), Technology (+0.96%), and Retail (+0.27%) stocks are the top performers in the Euro Stoxx 600 today
    • Telecommunications (+0.14%), Utilities (-0.52%), and Real Estate (+0.15%) stocks are the worst performers in the Euro Stoxx 600 today
    • Investor sentiment for European stocks is positive with the advance/decline ratio for the Euro Stoxx 600 currently at 2.85x
    • 83 stocks in the Euro Stoxx 600 are at 4-week highs while 48 stocks are at 4-week lows
    • 46 stocks in the Euro Stoxx 600 are overbought while 10 stocks are oversold according to the 16-day RSI Measure
    • The Nikkei 225 finished up +1.43%, the Hang Seng ended up +1.76%, the Hang Seng China Enterprise up +1.56%, and the CSI 300 was +2.62%
    • Investor sentiment for Japanese stocks finished positive with the advance/decline ratio for the Nikkei 225 closing at 10.84x
    • 15 stocks in the Nikkei 225 hit 4-week highs while 27 stocks reached 4-week lows
    • 7 stocks in the Nikkei 225 closed overbought while 4 stocks closed oversold according to the 16-day RSI Measure
    • Investor sentiment for Hong Kong stocks finished positive with the advance/decline ratio for the Hang Seng closing at 49x
    • 12 stocks in the Hang Seng hit 4-week highs while 7 stocks reached 4-week lows
    • 6 stocks in the Hang Seng closed overbought while 0 stocks closed oversold according to the 16-day RSI Measure
    submitted by /u/QuantalyticsResearch
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    Fundamental's source

    Posted: 01 Apr 2019 01:48 PM PDT

    I'm looking for a source (app,website,etc) that gathers all the fundamental's of a stock (publicly traded company) like its reports, date of release of future reports, expected value of future reports, related breaking news etc. in forex there's the economic calendar. There has to be something similar in stocks ........Do you know any ?

    submitted by /u/the_originalist
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    Apple slashes iPhone prices in China

    Posted: 01 Apr 2019 07:19 AM PDT

    https://www.cnbc.com/2019/04/01/apple-slashes-iphone-prices-in-china-by-as-much-as-5percent.html

    Apple has cut prices on products in China by nearly 6 percent.

    The price cuts come as Apple has seen sales drop in China, leading to lower-than-expected revenue in the fourth quarter of 2018.

    Apple cut the prices on several products in China, including the iPhone, iPad and AirPods.

    submitted by /u/coolcomfort123
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    Today's Pre-Market News [Monday, April 1st, 2019]

    Posted: 01 Apr 2019 05:45 AM PDT

    Good morning traders and investors of the r/stocks sub! Welcome to a new trading week, month and quarter! Here are your pre-market news this AM-


    Today's Top Headlines for Monday, April 1st, 2019

    • U.S. stock futures were higher this morning after a Friday surge that ended a profitable first quarter for Wall Street's bulls. The S&P 500 concluded its best first quarter since 1998 and its largest overall quarterly gain since the third quarter of 2009. (CNBC)
    • Turkey's lira slides as Erdogan's party suffers pivotal losses (CNBC)
    • The biggest question for the market entering the second quarter: Recession or just a soft patch? (CNBC) Kellogg (K) is near a deal to sell its Keebler and Famous Amos brandsto Italy-based Ferrero for up to $1.5 billion, according to sources who spoke to CNBC. Ferrero is the company that owns the Nutella brand and bought Nestle's US candy business last year.
    • The government issues February retail sales at 8:30 a.m. ET. The Institute For Supply Management issues its March manufacturing index at 10 a.m. ET. At the same time, the government issues February construction spending and February business inventories. (CNBC)
    • On the earnings front today, egg producer Cal-Maine Foods (CALM) is out with quarterly earnings this morning, while no companies of note are scheduled to release numbers after today's closing bell. (CNBC)
    • The Wall Street Journal reported that tension is simmering between U.S. and Ethiopian officials as investigators prepare to release in the coming days an interim report about the Boeing (BA) 737 MAX jetliner that went down in March.
    • News that special counsel Robert Mueller ended his investigation without recommending criminal charges against President Donald Trump has had little effect on public opinion, a new NBC News/Wall Street Journal poll shows.
    • Attorney General Barr expects redacted Mueller report released by mid-April (CNBC) Trump supporting a lawsuit saying Obamacare is unconstitutional could prove difficult for the president to come up with a replacement plan, especially after voters gave poor marks to GOP health-care proposals in 2017. (CNBC)
    • More than half of adults are either somewhat more confident or much more confident about their ability to save for retirement than they were three years ago, according to the CNBC and Acorns Invest In You Savings Survey.
    • Turkey's Tayyip Erdogan suffered stunning setbacks in local elections as his ruling AK Party lost control of the capital Ankara for the first time since the party's founding in 2001. (Reuters)
    • Saudi Arabia accessed Jeff Bezos' phone and obtained private databelonging to the Amazon (AMZN) CEO, security specialist Gavin de Becker said in an article posted on The Daily Beast, laying out the findings of his investigation.
    • Facebook (FB) CEO Mark Zuckerberg over the weekend called for governments to play a greater role in regulating the Internet, citing four areas where he believes better rules are needed. (CNBC)
    • Apple (AAPL) has hired Tesla's (TSLA) head of electric powertrains, according to industry publication Electrek, sparking talk that Apple intends to produce an electric vehicle rather than merely a self-driving system.
    • Walgreens Boots Alliance (WBA) has been testing tobacco-free stores in the U.S., but its CEO Stefano Pessina tells the Wall Street Journal that the drugstore chain has no plans to completely abandon cigarette sales.

    STOCK FUTURES CURRENTLY:

    (CLICK HERE FOR STOCK FUTURES CHARTS!)

    LAST WEEK'S MARKET MAP:

    (CLICK HERE FOR LAST WEEK'S MARKET MAP!)

    TODAY'S MARKET MAP:

    (CLICK HERE FOR TODAY'S MARKET MAP!)

    LAST WEEK'S S&P SECTORS:

    (CLICK HERE FOR LAST WEEK'S S&P SECTORS CHART!)

    TODAY'S S&P SECTORS:

    (CLICK HERE FOR TODAY'S S&P SECTORS CHART!)

    TODAY'S ECONOMIC CALENDAR:

    (CLICK HERE FOR TODAY'S ECONOMIC CALENDAR!)

    THIS WEEK'S ECONOMIC CALENDAR:

    (CLICK HERE FOR THIS WEEK'S ECONOMIC CALENDAR!)

    THIS WEEK'S UPCOMING IPO'S:

    (CLICK HERE FOR THIS WEEK'S UPCOMING IPO'S!)

    THIS WEEK'S EARNINGS CALENDAR:

    ($WBA $NVGS $FUV $STZ $GME $PLAY $TTNP $SIG $LW $ALT $SGLB $ANGO $EFOI $AYI $SMPL $RPM $SORL $DLTH $SECO $IPWR $OCX$SCHN $EXFO $ISCA $MTNB $CTRA $PAVM $BURG $RECN $EDAP $GRWG $ASND $NG $GBX $FSI $CYTX $LNDC $FC $VISL $GNUS $NTIC)

    (CLICK HERE FOR THIS WEEK'S EARNINGS CALENDAR!)

    THIS MORNING'S PRE-MARKET EARNINGS CALENDAR:

    ($NVGS $FUV $SGLB $EFOI $DGLY $SORL $CTRA)

    (CLICK HERE FOR THIS MORNING'S EARNINGS CALENDAR!)

    THIS AFTERNOON'S POST-MARKET EARNINGS CALENDAR:

    ()

    ([CLICK HERE FOR THIS AFTERNOON'S EARNINGS CALENDAR!]())

    T.B.A.


    EARNINGS RELEASES BEFORE THE OPEN TODAY:

    (CLICK HERE FOR THIS MORNING'S EARNINGS RELEASES!)

    EARNINGS RELEASES AFTER THE CLOSE TODAY:

    (CLICK HERE FOR THIS AFTERNOON'S EARNINGS RELEASES!)

    FRIDAY'S ANALYST UPGRADES/DOWNGRADES:

    (CLICK HERE FOR FRIDAY'S UPGRADES/DOWNGRADES LINK #1!)
    (CLICK HERE FOR FRIDAY'S UPGRADES/DOWNGRADES LINK #2!)

    FRIDAY'S INSIDER TRADING FILINGS:

    (CLICK HERE FOR FRIDAY'S INSIDER TRADING FILINGS!)

    TODAY'S DIVIDEND CALENDAR:

    (CLICK HERE FOR TODAY'S DIVIDEND CALENDAR LINK #1!)
    (CLICK HERE FOR TODAY'S DIVIDEND CALENDAR LINK #2!)

    THIS MORNING'S MOST ACTIVE TRENDING TICKERS:

    • VFF 7.42%
    • ADXS 43.28%
    • LYFT 3.60%
    • SPX 0.67%
    • CALM 4.53%
    • MTSC 0.00%
    • ELGX 5.90%
    • VSM 0.00%
    • AMED 0.00%

    THIS MORNING'S STOCK NEWS MOVERS:

    (source: cnbc.com)

    Cal-Maine Foods — The egg producer reported quarterly profit of 82 cents per share, well above the consensus estimate of 43 cents a share. Revenue also topped Wall Street forecasts. Cal-Maine points to favorable demand trends and a strong performance by its specialty egg business.

    STOCK SYMBOL: CALM

    (CLICK HERE FOR LIVE STOCK QUOTE!)

    Kellogg — Kellogg is near a deal to sell its Keebler and Famous Amos brands to Italy-based Ferrero for up to $1.5 billion, according to sources who spoke to CNBC. Ferrero is the company that owns the Nutella brand and bought Nestle's US candy business last year.

    STOCK SYMBOL: K

    (CLICK HERE FOR LIVE STOCK QUOTE!)

    Activision Blizzard — Wedbush added the video-game maker's stock to its "Best Ideas" list, saying it's positioned to deliver significant outperformance over the next two years.

    STOCK SYMBOL: ATVI

    (CLICK HERE FOR LIVE STOCK QUOTE!)

    Johnson & Johnson — J&J's baby shampoo samples were rejected by regulators in India, who said they failed quality tests. The tests indicated that the samples contained formaldehyde, but J&J said the company does not accept the results and that the products are safe.

    STOCK SYMBOL: JNJ

    (CLICK HERE FOR LIVE STOCK QUOTE!)

    T-Mobile US — The mobile carrier detailed a departure plan for Chief Financial Officer Braxton Carter in a Securities and Exchange Commission filing. He would depart on one of three dates, whichever arrives first: the end of 2019, 20 days after the first quarterly filing of a merged T-Mobile and Sprint, or 20 days after an announcement that the proposed deal is off.

    STOCK SYMBOL: TMUS

    (CLICK HERE FOR LIVE STOCK QUOTE!)

    Walgreens Boots Alliance — Walgreens has been testing tobacco-free stores in the U.S., but its CEO Stefano Pessina tells The Wall Street Journal that the drugstore chain has no plans to completely abandon cigarette sales.

    STOCK SYMBOL: WBA

    (CLICK HERE FOR LIVE STOCK QUOTE!)

    PG&E — A judge may keep California utility PG&E from resuming dividend payments until it meets goals to trim trees near its power lines and reduces its role in causing California wildfires.

    STOCK SYMBOL: PCG

    (CLICK HERE FOR LIVE STOCK QUOTE!)

    Walt Disney — Disney's live remake of its animated classic "Dumbo" did top the weekend box office with ticket sales of $45 million, but the opening was considered weak by industry analysts. The film had a budget of $170 million.

    STOCK SYMBOL: DIS

    (CLICK HERE FOR LIVE STOCK QUOTE!)

    Willis Towers Watson — The consulting firm will buy TRANZACT for $1.2 billion from private-equity firm Clayton Dubilier & Rice. TRANZACT is a direct-to-consumer health care company that links consumers to health insurers.

    STOCK SYMBOL: WLTW

    (CLICK HERE FOR LIVE STOCK QUOTE!)

    Apple — Apple has hired Tesla's head of electric powertrains, according to industry publication Electrek, sparking talk that Apple intends to produce an electric vehicle rather than merely a self-driving system.

    STOCK SYMBOL: AAPL

    (CLICK HERE FOR LIVE STOCK QUOTE!)

    Wells Fargo — Wells Fargo was downgraded to "market perform" from "outperform" at Keefe Bruyette & Woods, which said it does not believe the bank will save as much in expenses as previously thought.

    STOCK SYMBOL: WFC

    (CLICK HERE FOR LIVE STOCK QUOTE!)

    Intel — The chipmaker has laid off a "substantial" number of IT workers numbering in the "hundreds," according to the Oregonian newspaper.

    STOCK SYMBOL: INTC

    (CLICK HERE FOR LIVE STOCK QUOTE!)

    DISCUSS!

    What is on everyone's radar for today's trading day ahead here at r/stocks?


    I hope you all have an excellent trading day ahead today on this Monday, April 1st, 2019! :)

    submitted by /u/bigbear0083
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    Thoughts on Turtle Beach, HEAR

    Posted: 01 Apr 2019 10:45 AM PDT

    They just went through a nasty drop, might be time to load up. Their Q4 earnings were seen by many as far too conservative and are still held as a strong buy with 100%+ growth from here by many analysts. This is far outside my realm of stocks I typically look at.

    submitted by /u/crheming
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    What are the best public avocado companies?

    Posted: 01 Apr 2019 12:32 PM PDT

    If President Trump closes the Southern border of the US avocado stock are most likely going to go down a lot along with limes. So what are the best stock options for limes and avocados?

    submitted by /u/stricken357
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    ATVI

    Posted: 01 Apr 2019 01:08 PM PDT

    Hey I'm new to investing but I saw ATVI and it seems like it's on sale. I was wondering if anyone had some thoughts about it?

    submitted by /u/nickguisti
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    I wanna know how you started and where you are now

    Posted: 01 Apr 2019 09:26 AM PDT

    The title explains it for the most part. I'm very very curious to hear about how you guys/gals/other started and where your journey has taken you thus far. How much detail you include is completely up to your own discretion. I'll start.

    I'm 20 years old and I've been trading stocks since the drop of last October. Started with 1500 (very very small amount) and since I've made roughly 3-4% return. Not a day trader. I'm not new to trading as I've been trading forex for 2 and a half years now. I wanna hear about you!

    submitted by /u/tacotalkspodcast
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    Is it time to invest in Boeing? ($BA)

    Posted: 01 Apr 2019 03:01 PM PDT

    Boeing stock seems to have come out of its slump following the 737 MAX 8 shutdown. They recently reported a software fix for the issue, so is it time to invest?

    submitted by /u/netflixnagger
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    Whole Foods will slash prices on hundreds of items starting Wednesday

    Posted: 01 Apr 2019 02:54 PM PDT

    https://www.cnbc.com/2019/04/01/whole-foods-will-slash-prices-on-hundreds-of-items-starting-wednesday.html

    Whole Foods will slash prices on hundreds of items starting Wednesday.

    Customers will save an average of 20 percent on the new reduced price items.

    It expects to focus its discounts on produce, like greens, tomatoes and tropical fruits.

    submitted by /u/coolcomfort123
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    What would you rather have?

    Posted: 01 Apr 2019 02:51 PM PDT

    When looking for a stock do you want high volume low float or low volume high float?

    submitted by /u/UselessTeammates
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    Facebook (FB) earnings 4/25 guesstimate thread

    Posted: 01 Apr 2019 01:50 PM PDT

    What do we think will happen?

    Disclosure: I hold & am currently long on FB (at least through the end of summer).

    I think EPS is probably going to beat by a handy margin. Current estimates are for about $1.65. I think we do $1.80-$1.90.

    I think other numbers are mostly stable and the impressive EPS beat will break the low $170s, where the stock has been stuck since the last earnings report. I think this also opens the path forward to $200+ by the next earnings report at the end of July.

    submitted by /u/developmentfiend
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    When will VISA stop??

    Posted: 01 Apr 2019 01:43 PM PDT

    I'm up 20% on my V investment, is this thing ever going to stop? I'm considering getting out but it just keeps rising!!

    submitted by /u/ryanm1992
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    PLAY

    Posted: 01 Apr 2019 01:18 PM PDT

    But report coming out tomorrow what do y'all think?

    submitted by /u/Mhobbers
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    Is there an app or website that will give me an average of dividend payout compared to my total investments of my portfolio

    Posted: 01 Apr 2019 12:45 PM PDT

    Im mostly investing in stocks that pay a dividend, mostly between 3-6% payout. Ive got about 20 i am invested in, all with different amounts of money, some have 15% of my portfolio and others have 3%. What im wondering is if theres a place i can plug in my numbers for which stock i own and see my portfolios average dividend payout compared to my investments. I want to make sure my dividend return is higher then if i were just to invest in a high dividend yield etf.

    submitted by /u/MournValas
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    WILC has a current ratio of 18?

    Posted: 01 Apr 2019 10:38 AM PDT

    What is going on here? Has anyone ever seen numbers this high? If so why ? Thank you .

    submitted by /u/xckoolaidman11cx
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    Any suggestions for any index funds VTIAX or VTI that have low expense ratio and do not give any dividends.

    Posted: 01 Apr 2019 10:31 AM PDT

    I might move out of the US and I think taxes are way higher that the usual tax on dividends. I am trying to own index funds but do not want anything to do with dividends(since capital gains are not taxed outside US).

    So any one know any such index funds/etfs maybe from schwab or vanguard itself that do not give out dividends?

    submitted by /u/mickeyj26
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    Understanding Margin Guidance

    Posted: 01 Apr 2019 09:44 AM PDT

    So, a company provides its quarterly conference call. Revenue is up, company is growing, balance sheet looks rosy, but the stock takes a hit because margin guidance follows below expectations.

    I confess, I don't know what margin guidance deals with exactly and why it would change a holder into a seller. Can anyone explain?

    submitted by /u/steveg700
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    What stocks should i aim for if I plan to gain short term?

    Posted: 01 Apr 2019 09:22 AM PDT

    I'm completely new to this and I wanted to know what stocks are good for small returns like 5-10 dollars. Please disregard this post if it makes no sense I don't really know what I'm talking about lol

    submitted by /u/WolfisaGod
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    Ladybaybee recommended picks for 2019-04-01

    Posted: 01 Apr 2019 08:56 AM PDT

    Link to imgur showing picks, details of picks and current state of my active investments 7 images

    HOW I USE THIS:

    1) All the stocks identified in the table are qualified as "BUY" opportunities.

    2) I focus in the column "Success Rate(3m)" which shows the precision of the agents in the last 3 calendar months. I personally feel most comfortable with Rates 0.8 or higher.

    3) Then, I see the number in "Tx(3m)" which represents the number of transactions that the agents predicted for this stock in the last 3 months. I prefer stocks that have had at least two transactions during this period.

    4) Finally, I look at Growth(3m), if the agents have had a considerable growth (>5% in 3 months) then I follow that trade.

    5) If a row in the table is colored green then it means that stock has been on the rise today so I purchase it immediately in order to ride the wave up. On the other hand, if the row is colored red, then I wait out until very close to market close to purchase the stock and let the price bottom out before climbing up again tomorrow.

    6) After I purchase the stocks, I ALWAYS set a stop loss order at -2.5% from my buying price valid for the day. I think this is good hygiene, no matter how confident I am of my system, I still want to make sure that my losses are capped. I update this stop loss order every day.

    BACKGROUND

    I am not a financier or economist. I am electrical engineer with equal passion in artificial intelligence and financial markets. For the past 2 years I have been working on a system that would make short term predictions of stocks. The system is rather complex, I use multiple layers which include: Convolutional Neural Networks, LSTMs and Genetic Algorithms. All bulked together produce an output like in this image. The way to interpret the image is a follows: Symbol and Date columns are self explanatory, Quorum refers to autonomous agents that decide whether to BUY/NOT BUY or SELL/HOLD a stock. Each symbol has 9 agents, and the Quorum column, counts the number of agents that recommend Buy, Selling or Holding the stock. The "Not Owned" column means: if you don't own this stock then you should … The "Owned" column means: if you own this stock you should HOLD or SELL. The column "Growth(1 Year)" refers to what what has been the growth of this system of Agents in the past calendar year. The column "Tx(1Yr)" shows the number of full transactions that these agents recommended in the last calendar year. "Factor" is just the division of Growth divided by Transactions to get the average growth per transaction. Finally "Success Rate" shows how successful these agents have been in their recommendations in the past calendar year, success 1 means 100% successful, 0.5 means 50% successful, and so on.

    Many people have been curious about the actual process that the system follows, so here it is: for every symbol (600 stocks are analyzed daily), we get the full stock data (open,close,high,low,volume) for the past 4 months. Each stock is associated with another set of "lookalike" stocks as well as major ETF's. This initial dataset is run through a convolutional layer that extracts an undisclosed number of features. These features are then passed onto a recurrent neural network (LSTM) where sequences and patterns are extracted. The LSTM then spits out probabilities for the likelihood that this stock will have a positive, negative and neutral tendency in the next N days. These probabilities are then fed to a genetic evolution system (GES). This system essentially checks the predictions for the past N days and compares them with reality, following that the systems knows which predictions are performing the best. Once the system knows which stocks are being simulated the best, then the system automatically finds which of these best performing stocks have the biggest potential for the next few days. The system does not output explanations, unfortunately us humans are not capable of understanding (or visualizing) a problem of this dimensionality, for example the LSTM part alone works with over 10 million dimensions, not features but dimensions.

    You can follow my picks on twitter @ladybaybee1

    submitted by /u/ladybaybee
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    Opiate epidemic stocks—any good buy opportunities? ALKS TTNP?

    Posted: 31 Mar 2019 11:36 PM PDT

    I want to invest in companies trying to combat the opiate crisis. I own Alkermes and Titan Pharmaceuticals, I think they're both working on Vivitrol type implants that block opiate receptors (or something??). Any other ideas?

    submitted by /u/Kramilton
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    Stock scanning

    Posted: 31 Mar 2019 05:06 PM PDT

    Hello everyone I'm new to stocks. So stock scanning is searching for stocks with filters that you apply. Am I correct ? And if I'm correct can those filters can be technical indicators like volatility indicators and so on ?

    submitted by /u/the_originalist
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