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    Daily General Discussion and spitballin thread - October 03, 2021 Investing

    Daily General Discussion and spitballin thread - October 03, 2021 Investing


    Daily General Discussion and spitballin thread - October 03, 2021

    Posted: 03 Oct 2021 02:02 AM PDT

    Have a general question? Want to offer some commentary on markets? Maybe you would just like to throw out a neat fact that doesn't warrant a self post? Feel free to post here!

    This thread is for:

    • General questions
    • Your personal commentary on markets
    • Opinion gathering on a given stock
    • Non advice beginner questions

    Keep in mind that this subreddit, and this thread, is not an appropriate venue for questions that should be directed towards your broker's customer support or google.

    If you would like to ask a question about your personal situation or if you are asking for advice please keep these posts in the daily advice thread as that thread is more well suited for those questions.

    Any posts that should be comments in this thread will likely be removed.

    submitted by /u/AutoModerator
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    Daily Advice Thread - All basic help or advice questions must be posted here. October 03, 2021

    Posted: 03 Oct 2021 02:01 AM PDT

    If your question is "I have $10,000, what do I do?" or other "advice for my personal situation" questions, you should include relevant information, such as the following:

    • How old are you? What country do you live in?
    • Are you employed/making income? How much?
    • What are your objectives with this money? (Buy a house? Retirement savings?)
    • What is your time horizon? Do you need this money next month? Next 20yrs?
    • What is your risk tolerance? (Do you mind risking it at blackjack or do you need to know its 100% safe?)
    • What are you current holdings? (Do you already have exposure to specific funds and sectors? Any other assets?)
    • Any big debts (include interest rate) or expenses?
    • And any other relevant financial information will be useful to give you a proper answer.

    Please consider consulting our FAQ first - https://www.reddit.com/r/investing/wiki/faq And our side bar also has useful resources.

    Be aware that these answers are just opinions of Redditors and should be used as a starting point for your research. You should strongly consider seeing a registered financial rep before making any financial decisions!

    submitted by /u/AutoModerator
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    Why does it seem like individuals can’t give out loans?

    Posted: 02 Oct 2021 11:17 AM PDT

    I'm looking into p2p lending in the United States, and every service I look into is only offering investment services to institutional investors. For example, prosper, lending club, and peerform don't allow individual lenders. I understand the risk involved and would still like to lend. It seems like a great way to diversify and help those in need at the same time. Does anyone know why this is or if there are any services that allow individual lenders?

    submitted by /u/Puzzlehead_NoCap
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    How to Globally Diversify

    Posted: 02 Oct 2021 11:52 PM PDT

    If one invests in foreign ETFs listed on the NYSE, or really any foreign company traded on US markets, does one actually hold foreign investment, or will it simply swing with US sentiment/money?

    Is there an advantage, other than perhaps currency insulation, of buying foreign companies through foreign exchanges in their native currency...is it necessary to be truly globally diversified?

    I currently do both. I like the convenience of say, just holding money in a Denmark ETF traded on the NYSE; but am I actually fixed to that foreign market or is it secondary or derivative and more tied to US markets?

    There's a company based in France I'm opening a long position on Monday and am split between going through Paris or just OTC-US.

    Any advice or insight is appreciated. Thanks!

    submitted by /u/DesertAlpine
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    66% higher Gas Prices for the new quarter to come out (Q3 vs Q2) for Cub Energy Inc. De-risking from East Ukraine with Sales Agreement (not yet final), stock will then trade below Cash Level, RK field is now producing but not in the books due to impairments in the past when it was still Gas

    Posted: 02 Oct 2021 09:44 AM PDT

    Maybe a good play with rising Ukraine Gas prices:

    KUB (CAD) / TPNEF (USD) looks even better with Ukraine Gas prices rising to 18,000 MCM (valuta is UAH). 18,000 MCM in September (Cubic Meters, Before VAT/Taxes) according to the table on the website and last quarter was an average of $6.50 MCF (Cubic Feet, After VAT/Taxes) in the MD&A Q2. This was with an average 9,400 MCM (April - June) on the website. Meaning Gas prices will be up with 66% in Q3 (upcoming numbers) compared to Q2. KUB uses no hedges.

    In Q2 2021 KUB made 500K USD profit. RK field with electricity was only online for half the quarter, 100K profit, but using the numbers it can be 200K USD so 250K CAD in profit. This means that the Gas business was 500K CAD profit with all 'fixed costs' included and September is more than double the Gas prices (after VAT/Taxes).

    I look forward to next Quarter (Q3) with the average at 15,600 MCM (July - September) compared to 9,400 in Q2. A 66% increase.

    Please use the link for Ukraine Gas prices: https://www.ueex.com.ua/eng/exchange-quotations/

    October prices (Q4) are booming!

    Furthermore, they just had an update to sell their 35% interest in KUBGAS (East Ukraine). So they will be focused on clean books, RK field with electricity they want to expand, gas assets in the West, while having de-risked from the East of Ukraine.

    https://finance.yahoo.com/news/cub-energy-announces-letter-agreement-132300219.html

    So this should be strong earnings in Q3 and then clean books when this sales deal closes, de-risking from Eastern Ukraine. Trading below Cash and Equity (not taking into account the RK field in the books) after this deal. I believe the cash will mostly be used to further develop the RK field.

    Looks to me to be trading below the cash level after this deal is finalized. RK field is not in the books.

    Good article on rising gas and electricity prices in Europe. Winter still has to come. Looking good for KUB. https://oilprice.com/Energy/Natural-Gas/Europes-Energy-Crisis-Is-Driving-Up-Natural-Gas-Prices-Worldwide.html

    submitted by /u/Dragoon1311
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    Institutional Ownership of Weedstocks

    Posted: 02 Oct 2021 02:39 PM PDT

    Company Price (USD) Marketcap (M) Float (M) Inst Holdings (% float) Buys Holds Sells Price Target (USD) % Upside
    MSOS
    CRLBF 8.95 3269 119.3 9.19 16 1 0 17.82 99.11
    AYRWF 26.08 1350.3 47.5 9.13 8 1 0 54.35 108.40
    GTBIF 27.57 6292.4 173.7 8.59 18 0 0 47.92 73.81
    TCNNF 27.73 3569.3 65.2 7.1 18 0 0 70.06 152.65
    CURLF 12.01 8450.4 515.2 0.72 16 0 0 22.16 84.51
    VRNOF 10.85 3326.7 120.4 0.43 7 0 0 33.72 210.78
    LPS
    VFF 8.35 714.6 74.2 33.33 7 1 0 18.03 115.93
    CRON 5.64 2105.3 203.5 30.25 2 8 3 7.1 25.89
    CGC 13.41 5274.8 248 27.1 3 12 3 20.73 54.59
    OGI 2.27 680.6 232.8 24.62 3 11 0 3.07 35.24
    ACB 7.08 1402.7 195.9 19.48 0 10 7 6.42 -9.32
    TLRY 11.15 5133.8 441.2 14.15 5 14 2 16.17 45.02
    HEXO 1.82 518 270.2 10.79 3 5 3 3.82 109.89
    SNDL 0.67 1350.3 2002.1 8.26 0 4 1 0.7 4.48
    submitted by /u/mfairview
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    Is it wise to cycle an ESPP?

    Posted: 02 Oct 2021 05:31 AM PDT

    My company offers an employee stock purchase plan which includes a discount on each purchase. You determine how much you want for the year, the company pulls some money from each paycheck, and then purchases the stock quarterly. So our plan has been to put a good amount in to the program, sell throughout the year whenever the price is high (only lots we have held for 12+ months), then put the cash back in the program to buy more. The logic is that we get the discount over and over, while also minimizing our concentration in this one stock.

    I THINK this makes sense, but wanted to see if this is a wise strategy. I feel like most other people just hang on to the stock till they retire, so maybe I'm missing something?

    submitted by /u/MrNoodleIncident
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    Are there some software tools for managing of long term investment data out there?

    Posted: 02 Oct 2021 01:23 PM PDT

    The issues I have, I don't like Excel and neither Google sheets. The data I collect is somewhat unstructured. I like to store the source as well as an estimate about the quality of the information. I want to collect information systematically but not necessary in an automated fashion. It needs reminder for events, lookup etc. Some investments have a seasonal character and the reminder is an important tool.

    Since the data is at least partially unstructured the software is a sort of personal big data tool, with not so much big data, but the capability to process unstructured data to get an idea of a possible sentiment. The capability to get a sentiment from news in the case of extraordinary events would be great too. For example the drought in the US caused some lesser harvests.

    I don't care whether it's a subscription service or a open source tool. What I don't need is accounting and trading software. This is about processing of information.

    submitted by /u/This_Is_The_End
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