Stocks - r/Stocks Daily Discussion & Fundamentals Friday Feb 25, 2022 |
- r/Stocks Daily Discussion & Fundamentals Friday Feb 25, 2022
- Great news!!! SEC proposes new rule requiring short-sellers to disclose their positions monthly
- Here's why I'm not buying anything today
- Forget US markets bouncing back, why did Russian markets bounce back?
- Sold all stocks today
- Can someone explain why the market is actually doing well?
- How long does a crash really last?
- Is it worth to buy extra PYPL
- You can only own four stocks in your retirement account. What are they?
- Why does Nvidia pay a dividend?
- What actually determines the price of a stock? (in realtime, other than supply and demand)
- For someone interested in buying into Target (TGT), what may be some bear cases to consider and if the price still has room to come down?
- Foot Locker (FL) sinks on earnings report.
- Industries likely to be effected from current Russia - Ukraine war.
- What restaurant paid their dividends in free meal coupons??
- MCD is a buy and here is why
- When do I sell RCL?
- Effect of Stocks on Real estate
- I believe stocks will rally because sanctions were shit
- Wow what a massive swing today!
- Why is XOM so much more popular here than other oil/gas stocks?
- Best countries and international markets to invest in to geographically diversify my portfolio?
- Block (Square) Stock Jumps +18% AH After Earnings Top Estimates Amid Afterpay Acquisition
- What do you predict would happen on the market if Russia gets banned from SWIFT?
- Fed’s Waller wants to leave door open for possible half-point rate hike on March 16
- What happens to my stocks when an online banking app goes bankrupt?
| r/Stocks Daily Discussion & Fundamentals Friday Feb 25, 2022 Posted: 25 Feb 2022 02:30 AM PST This is the daily discussion, so anything stocks related is fine, but the theme for today is on fundamentals, but if fundamentals aren't your thing then just ignore the theme and/or post your arguments against fundamentals here and not in the current post. Some helpful day to day links, including news:
Most fundamentals are updated every 3 months due to the fact that corporations release earnings reports every quarter, so traders are always speculating at what those earnings will say, and investors may change the size of their holdings based on those reports. Expect a lot of volatility around earnings, but it usually doesn't matter if you're holding long term, but keep in mind the importance of earnings reports because a trend of declining earnings or a decline in some other fundamental will drive the stock down over the long term as well. See the following word cloud and click through for the wiki: If you have a basic question, for example "what is EBITDA," then google "investopedia EBITDA" and click the Investopedia article on it; do this for everything until you have a more in depth question or just want to share what you learned. Useful links:
See our past daily discussions here. Also links for: Technicals Tuesday, Options Trading Thursday, and Fundamentals Friday. [link] [comments] |
| Great news!!! SEC proposes new rule requiring short-sellers to disclose their positions monthly Posted: 25 Feb 2022 11:33 AM PST Gary Gensler has been circling short-sellers for months, and now the Securities and Exchange Commission chief is looking to make a big move. Under a new rule proposed by the SEC Friday morning, some investors would be required to report their short sale-related activity to the SEC on a monthly basis, allowing the commission to make detailed short-selling data available to the public for the first time. "Today, the Commission unanimously voted to propose rules and amendments to broaden the scope of short sale-related data available to the investing public and to regulators," Gensler said in a statement. "If adopted, it would strengthen transparency of an important area of our markets that would benefit from greater visibility and oversight." Since taking the reins at SEC, Gensler has made market transparency a key goal, and short-selling has been a major area of discussion, including after the wild short squeeze that took hold in January 2021 on meme stocks like GameStop GME, -5.80% and AMC Entertainment AMC, -3.90%. The fallout from the short squeeze resulted in a Congressional hearing and an SEC investigation. While the probe did not find any actual malfeasance, Gensler has been hinting that he still was monitoring short-sellers. In February, Bloomberg News reported on a sweeping Department of Justice probe of at least 30 short-selling firms and allies. Retail investors have complained that more shares are being shorted than are available to trade, while keeping alive online discussions claiming market manipulation, potential fraud by short-sellers and the lack of data publicly available around short-seller trading activity. Under current rules, firms are required to report short interest data to the Financial Industry Regulatory Authority twice a month. Critics have said the quality and frequency of that data isn't highly useful. The SEC's proposed new rule will look to bridge that gap. While the changes to previously proposed SEC rules have been common, as written Rule 13f-2, would only apply to institutional investment managers that hold "a short position of at least $10 million or the equivalent of 2.5 percent or more of the total shares outstanding" in an individual security, meaning that the SEC would be able to see and share the biggest short sales of individual stocks and aggregate them, providing investors with granular data on those shorts. Firms also would have two weeks into every month to disclose, giving essentially a detailed 6-week lookback at big short moves and give a much clearer, if month-old, picture of short interest on stocks. The rule, as designed, would increase disclosure of what is known as "buy-to-cover," essentially when a trader initiates a buy trade to close their short position on borrowed shares, something that short-selling critics likely will welcome as it would aim to further curb so-called "naked shorting," a practice the SEC mostly outlawed in the wake of the 2008 global financial crisis for traders using non-existent shares to short stock of public companies. Overall, the new transparency rule is yet another push by Gensler to bring more market data out of the dark corners and into the light. As he told MarketWatch in an exclusive interview last week, "Finance is ultimately about trust, and the official sector has a role to help instill that trust through a set of rules on disclosure, anti-fraud and anti-manipulation." [link] [comments] |
| Here's why I'm not buying anything today Posted: 25 Feb 2022 08:23 AM PST I seriously considered buying today, especially now that the markets are going up. I feel like I am going to miss the dip and was ready to go on a small shopping spree-- just a few ETFs and blue chips I have been eying. Then I realized Putin is likely to make additional inroads into Ukraine this weekend. There is almost universal sentiment that the current sanctions are not enough. World leaders will be discussing a new round of sanctions very shortly. My guess is that many people who bought today or didn't sell will be wetting their pants over the weekend when they hear about the prospect of new sanctions. I wouldn't be surprised to see stocks dip again on Monday and Tuesday. Thoughts? [link] [comments] |
| Forget US markets bouncing back, why did Russian markets bounce back? Posted: 25 Feb 2022 12:30 PM PST You can make plenty of arguments why US markets have bounced back yesterday and today. Why the hell did Russian markets bounce back? Does everyone think once Russia has taken over Ukraine all the sanctions will just be lifted? If that happens, what does that say about the viability of any nation's sovereignty that doesn't have nukes? This whole situation sounds like a lose lose to me, but the markets seem to be eating it up. [link] [comments] |
| Posted: 24 Feb 2022 08:18 PM PST I booked 20% loss YTD and just moved on. 2020, 2021 and 2022 combined, I am barely above break even (bought a couple of laptops and Dolce & Gabbana handbag with profits). Was hoping to buy a Tesla but did not want to sell my Sedan before I go broke. ROFL. My lessons:
Thanks for reading my rant. [link] [comments] |
| Can someone explain why the market is actually doing well? Posted: 24 Feb 2022 01:14 PM PST With the invasion of Ukraine, I thought it would scare a lot of investors. The sanctions on Russia affecting many European countries hasn't effected how well the S&P 500 is doing as well as DOW and NASDAQ. Also the energy sector was the only thing in the green at yesterdays close, someone explain that as well. PS: also theres a lot of comments so if you comment can you not say the same thing someone else said bc im trying to read everything yall say. Thx:) [link] [comments] |
| How long does a crash really last? Posted: 25 Feb 2022 09:01 AM PST Read an article which said the S&P 500 has never had a negative return in a 5 year period. Another said a 10 year period. A quick look at a Google chart however shows a 50% dip from March 2000 to March 2009. Or if you bought in June 2000, you'd have to wait until January 2013 before your money got "stable" and in the green. I'm probably missing something obvious. What's the truth, ma? [link] [comments] |
| Posted: 25 Feb 2022 02:44 PM PST I bought PayPal during the downfall, and today I have lost 50% of my investment, however seeing how rapidly PYPL is growing back I think an additional investment of 10k$ may be worth it, what do you think? [link] [comments] |
| You can only own four stocks in your retirement account. What are they? Posted: 25 Feb 2022 03:23 PM PST You can only hold four stocks in your tax-sheltered retirement account. The only rules are:
For me, it's BABA, BRK, VALE, SU [link] [comments] |
| Why does Nvidia pay a dividend? Posted: 25 Feb 2022 03:28 PM PST The yield is so insanely low, what's even the point? 7 basis points, I think it's like 4 cents a share. I understand they probably announced a dividend years ago and it was like 50-100 basis points but why not just cancel it? Is anyone gonna stop investing in Nvidia because their 7 basis points yield went away? Just think it's silly, use that money on buybacks or R&D [link] [comments] |
| What actually determines the price of a stock? (in realtime, other than supply and demand) Posted: 25 Feb 2022 11:37 PM PST I'm looking for the practical answer that goes beyond 'supply and demand' When you think of a stereotypical 90s movie about stock brokers, it is always portrayed as a hectic large office with people all tuning in to this magical big screen that tells them the stock prices, which are fluctuating every split second. But what actually determines those prices? Who or what decides that company x will now be priced 0.0001 cent higher than a second ago. Those numbers don't magically appear, there has to be either a person or an algorithm deciding what those numbers will say. I'm assuming nowadays it will be an algorithm, one that factors in supply and demand. But who makes the algorithm? And how does it account for the various streams of information? What factors are part of the equation? Thank you [link] [comments] |
| Posted: 25 Feb 2022 08:45 AM PST I am a big fan of Target, and I feel very comfortable opening up a large position. I felt like I missed my shot this time last year when the stock eventually reached the upper $200's. Now that has come down below $200, it's definitely back on my watchlist. When I look at the chart, I see a death cross coming and what could be a continuing downward trend, possibly into the $160 range and hitting a new 52 week low. Meanwhile, I only see good news, at least news that I think is good and that makes me want to invest. What are some of the bear, and for the sake of argument, bull cases for Target? [link] [comments] |
| Foot Locker (FL) sinks on earnings report. Posted: 25 Feb 2022 09:12 AM PST Despite beating sales numbers, FL has completely tanked. At the time of this post, FL is down almost 35% on news that sales would decline. Well, here's one stock I regret buying at 49. That ridiculously low P/E along with their outstanding financial numbers lured me in, and I banked on them making the right moves in case they lose Nike. At least for now, it's not one of my better investments. Thankfully, I'm in with small size (10 shares only). [link] [comments] |
| Industries likely to be effected from current Russia - Ukraine war. Posted: 25 Feb 2022 10:52 AM PST The obvious one would be the energy sector as Russia is a large oil and natural gas producing country and if the current sanctions were to take effect it would hit directly at its Oil & Natural gas export . Russia and Ukraine are critical sources of neon gas and palladium that are used to produce semiconductor chips so the current situation may further exascribate supplies of semiconductor chips amid a shortage that has already caused global production disruptions for tech companies and automakers for more than a year. [link] [comments] |
| What restaurant paid their dividends in free meal coupons?? Posted: 25 Feb 2022 10:11 AM PST Im doing my SIE training and learning about dividends and how they can be paid. The video gave an example of a restaurant that was low on cash gave out free meal coupons instead of cash/stock dividend payments. First of all LMFAO id be so mad. Second of all, does anyone know what restaurant this was. Google is not doing any good in helping me find out [link] [comments] |
| Posted: 25 Feb 2022 08:55 PM PST McDonald's is getting expensive. Gone are the days of great deals. Profit margins are up. Revenue is up. And best of all, groceries are up so much that more people will turn to fast food. If inflation continues, McDonald's has such a firm grasp on their supply chain they can likely expand profits further with more price increases. And the real estate McDonald's owns will benefit from inflation as well. Be greedy when others are fearful! [link] [comments] |
| Posted: 25 Feb 2022 06:53 PM PST First and foremost I am Not a stock person. I had some extra money in spring of 2020 and bought two stocks - Royal Caribbean and Delta. RCL has done really well. But I have no idea when I should sell it! Any thoughts? Please be kind. [link] [comments] |
| Effect of Stocks on Real estate Posted: 25 Feb 2022 01:00 PM PST Just wondering if you guys think if there is a correlation? Had a few clients from last year who moved their profits from stocks to Real estate. Few friends as well used stock sales to fund a down payment for a house. Just wondering since it seems like we are entering a flat period if it will have an effect on Real estate prices. Or just the general psychology if equities are slowing down, real estate will follow. Client from Bank of Montreal told me same thing as well. I appreciate this sub but just wondering what you guys think? :) [link] [comments] |
| I believe stocks will rally because sanctions were shit Posted: 24 Feb 2022 03:28 PM PST After many months of waiting, I believe markets finally heard what they were looking for from the President today. Biden's speech made it very clear that the West will not impose sanctions that will hurt their own economy. So no ban on gas imports. No banning Russia from SWIFT. That's it! That's all markets cared! For all we know Russia may level the whole country and it wouldn't have an effect on the markets anymore. Also on the contrary, the situation pushed the Biden administration to use more oil reserves to balance the price. USOIL price saw a sharp decline after the news. So the industrials will not face the extra costs feared, and inflation may see a slower increase since oil prices will be under control. Also as a bonus, FED might even risk more inflation because of the situation and rate increases might come at a slower pace. [link] [comments] |
| Wow what a massive swing today! Posted: 24 Feb 2022 12:49 PM PST I never saw this coming. Oil is down 7% last I looked and the geopolitical friction is heating up. Is this a good place to jump in or just short covering. I could see the big moves in either direction. [link] [comments] |
| Why is XOM so much more popular here than other oil/gas stocks? Posted: 25 Feb 2022 12:50 AM PST There's also BP, Chevron, Shell, Arco, Valero, Phillips 66 why XOM ? [link] [comments] |
| Best countries and international markets to invest in to geographically diversify my portfolio? Posted: 25 Feb 2022 09:25 AM PST Anyone here have ETFs that focus on specific countries or regions outside of the Unites States? I already have some broad ETFs that focus on the entire world outside of the Unites States and developing markets, but are there some specific countries or regions that look more promising in the years to come. I am not exactly saying that international markets will outperform the United States, and most of my money is still in US stocks and ETFs, but this is more to just lower my risk than to outperform. [link] [comments] |
| Block (Square) Stock Jumps +18% AH After Earnings Top Estimates Amid Afterpay Acquisition Posted: 24 Feb 2022 04:51 PM PST Square-parent Block (SQ) reported December-quarter earnings, net revenue and gross payment volume that topped analyst estimates, despite growth slowing for consumer Cash App services. SQ stock jumped in extended trading amid updated guidance amid the acquisition of Afterpay. San Francisco-based Block reported fourth-quarter earnings late Thursday. SQ stock initially fell on the earnings release. But after the earnings call with Wall Street analysts, Square stock jumped 21% to near 155 in extended trading on the stock market today. Square earnings came in at 27 cents per adjusted share, down 15% from 32 cents in the year-earlier period. Analysts had projected earnings of 23 cents a share. Gross profit increased 47% to $1.18 billion vs. estimates of $1.16 billion, the company said. Square said net revenue jumped 62% to $4.42 billion, boosted by Cash App transactions for digital cryptocurrency Bitcoin. Analysts had predicted revenue of $4.04 billion. Gross payment volume from merchant customers rose 92% to $46.3 billion, in line with estimates. But gross payment volume growth is expected to slow in the March quarter. Square said earnings before interest, taxes, depreciation and amortization, known as EBITDA, came in at $184 million vs. estimates of $143 million. Square on Jan. 31 closed the acquisition of Australia-based consumer lending startup Afterpay. Announced on Aug. 1, the deal was originally valued at $29 billion. With the big drop in Block stock, the deal was valued at less than $15 billion at closing. Afterpay competes in the emerging "buy now, pay later" market that encroaches on credit card networks. https://www.investors.com/news/technology/sq-stock-square-earnings-news/ [link] [comments] |
| What do you predict would happen on the market if Russia gets banned from SWIFT? Posted: 25 Feb 2022 06:48 PM PST I think if this happens (and the odds are ever increasing), there would be significant economic turmoil. I think a crash would be inevitable, but what sectors would crash hardest? How long would it take to recover? What do you think? [link] [comments] |
| Fed’s Waller wants to leave door open for possible half-point rate hike on March 16 Posted: 24 Feb 2022 11:29 PM PST The Federal Reserve should not rule out raising its policy interest rate by half of one percentage point on March 16, especially if incoming inflation and jobs data released before then show the economy is running "exceedingly hot," said Fed Gov. Christopher Waller on Thursday. The government will release two key inflation reports and a jobs report prior to the Fed meeting. The first of these key reports, the January reading of the Fed's favorite inflation gauge — the personal consumption expenditure price index — will come early Friday morning. "If…tomorrow's PCE inflation report for January and jobs and CPI reports for February indicate that the economy is still running exceedingly hot, a strong case can be made for a 50-basis-point hike in March," Waller said, in remarks to a conference on economic forecasting sponsored by the University of California, Santa Barbara. "With the economy at full employment and inflation far above target, we should signal we are moving back to neutral at a fast pace, based on the performance of the economy, and a 50-basis-point hike would help do that," he said. Inflation outlookWaller said that all Americans "should be alarmed" by the latest consumer price inflation data, which showed inflation running at a 7.5% annual rate in January, a 40-year high. The Fed governor said he was "alarmed about the level of inflation and a bit uncertain about how the near-term may play out," but hopeful that supply-chain bottlenecks and shortages will begin to ease after June, and that inflation — with some help from the Fed — will come down significantly by year's end. Given this outlook, Waller said he now supports increasing the Fed's policy interest rate by 100 basis points by the middle of the year, up to a target range of 1% to 1.25%. This could be accomplished with four quarter-point hikes at each of the Fed's next four meetings, he said. But "front-loading" a 50-basis-point hike may be useful to convey the Fed's determination to address high inflation, he said. Ukraine invasion's effect on rate hikesOn Wednesday, traders lowered their expectations of a half-point hike on March 16, in the wake of Russia's invasion of Ukraine. Some other Fed officials expressed more caution about such a large initial hike. Waller said it is possible that the state of the world will be different in the wake of the Ukraine attack and "that may mean that a more modest tightening is appropriate." "But that remains to be seen," and the uncertainty may last beyond the March 16 meeting, he added. Waller said that the Ukraine situation did not obviate the need to raise rates next month. "We need to take the first step in March," he said, adding that the geopolitical situation would be a factor in the pace of further rate hikes. Trimming the balance sheetWaller also said he wanted the Fed to start to shrink its $9 trillion balance sheet no later than its July meeting. Other Fed officials have not been as specific about the timing. The Fed allows its balance sheet to shrink by letting maturing securities run off. During the last cycle, the Fed set monthly caps on the runoff that started small and then grew over time. Waller said the caps can be larger in this cycle. At some point, the Fed will need to consider selling some of its mortgage-backed securities, but that is a decision for "down the road." For now, Waller said only that the Fed shouldn't cap the runoff of maturing MBS. Powell testimony"These actions will get us into the second half of the year, when we will have six months of inflation data, and we can assess what the appropriate path will be for the rest of 2022," Waller said. If high inflation persists, Waller said he would mostly likely support continued hikes — and potentially at a faster pace. Until recently, Waller was seen by Fed watchers as at the hawkish end of the spectrum of Fed officials. But the doves on the Fed have shifted in his direction. Economists will be listening closely next Wednesday and Thursday when Fed Chairman Jerome Powell testifies to lawmakers to see where the center of the committee stands on interest-rate policy. [link] [comments] |
| What happens to my stocks when an online banking app goes bankrupt? Posted: 25 Feb 2022 05:14 AM PST Hello. My girlfriend that is interested in stocks made the following question What happens to my stocks if Revolut goes bankrupt? Revolut (maybe others like Nubank/N26 as well) gives you the power to buy stocks directly in your iOS/Android app. I have a limited knowledge on how everything happens under the scene and would like to be able to answer this question. I understand that they use a broker (info here https://www.revolut.com/en-HR/help/wealth/stocks/introduction-to-stock-trading/what-is-a-stock-broker) to be able to sell and buy orders to it's clients. So, in summary: what happens to your stock when any online banking goes bankrupt? [link] [comments] |
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