• Breaking News

    Saturday, February 5, 2022

    Home Unlabelled Stock Market - The situation right now

    Stock Market - The situation right now

    February 05, 2022

    Stock Market - The situation right now

    The situation right now

    Posted: 05 Feb 2022 01:17 AM PST

    sorry i mean meta

    Posted: 04 Feb 2022 03:51 AM PST

    Every FB owners right now

    Posted: 04 Feb 2022 08:24 AM PST

    Most Anticipated Earnings Releases for the week beginning February 7th, 2022 (Source: Earnings Whispers)

    Posted: 04 Feb 2022 09:02 PM PST

    Why I do not think Meta has a bright future.

    Posted: 04 Feb 2022 01:29 PM PST

    So, after the recent drop I got tempted to buy, then something really kicked in in my brain.

    1) I'm not really active on facebook since 2017. Every friend I have there I just checked and stopped to post or use it and just barely opens it.

    2) Facebook is a toxic, nasty degenerated place. Full of karens, consiparancy and idiots

    3) I advertise on 10 different platforms for my business and facebook is no doubt the absolute worst. First they basically do not have a support channel. Only a useless chat.

    Second, they 100% RANDOMLY BAN your ad account every few months, even if you are not using it or use it correctly.

    I met so many marketers and companies who were doing great on it, completely destroyed overnight cause they banned their account.

    But they do not stop there. Once you are banned, is for life. They track your ip, device, credit cards and everytime you try to open a new advertising account to start over, you just get banned instantly.

    They are so fuckin dumb and stupid about how they manage advertisers that I do not even know how to explain how they treat you and make you feel.

    3) whatsapp is not monetizable, apart that they spy your convo and vocals to advertise you better.

    4) Instagram WAS a great platform but, as facebook pages and groups, its just dying out. You organically cant grow anymore unless you are a fuckin whore with onlyfans and your naked cheeks on every picture.

    I do not know if they will pull it off with the metaverse, to me it looks a stupid idea that nobody wants and care.

    Just the fact that they choose a name thay was already used and registred shows how fuckin scumbags the C levels are

    Just my 2 cents but I wouldn't touch it honestly.

    And... last... markets and investors generally we are all fuckin idiots with no clue so I could be wrong on everything and meta could triple in a year.

    submitted by /u/emilstyle91
    [link] [comments]

    Steve Ballmer’s net worth has surpassed Mark Zuckerberg’s

    Posted: 04 Feb 2022 01:21 PM PST

    Wall Street Week Ahead for the trading week beginning February 7th, 2022

    Posted: 04 Feb 2022 09:11 PM PST

    Good Saturday morning to all of you here on r/StockMarket! I hope everyone on this sub made out pretty nicely in the market this past week, and are ready for the new trading week ahead. :)

    Here is everything you need to know to get you ready for the trading week beginning February 7th, 2022.

    Fresh inflation data could fuel further market volatility in the week ahead - (Source)

    After January's surprisingly strong jobs report, focus swings to consumer inflation in the week ahead and what it could mean for the Federal Reserve's plan to raise interest rates.

    Friday's report of 467,000 jobs added in January confounded Wall Street economists, some of whom expected a negative number due to the impact of the omicron Covid variant on the workforce. The report was also stunning in other ways. Payrolls were also revised higher by 709,000 jobs in November and December, and wages grew at a hot 5.7% year-over-year pace in January.

    "Everyone's back to playing leap frog over each other to see how hawkish they can get about what the Fed's going to do, when the Fed probably doesn't even know itself," said Art Hogan, chief market strategist at National Securities. Traders in the futures market began to price in six interest rate hikes for this year, while many economists predict four or five.

    The consumer price index is reported Thursday, and the University of Michigan's consumer sentiment survey is released Friday. There are also dozens of earnings in the week ahead, including pharmaceutical names Pfizer and Amgen. Walt Disney reports as do consumer staples like Coca-Cola, PepsiCo and Kellogg.

    "We may get some sequential improvement in inflation readings. You start looking at the CPI on a month over month basis... there may be movement in the right direction," said Hogan. He said headline inflation is expected to rise by 0.4%, down from 0.5% in December. But that would still be a hot 7.2% year-over-year reading.

    "Maybe movement in inflation in the right direction would be revelatory. I think it might take a bit out of some of the hawkish tone the street has," he said.

    Despite a sharp jump in bond yields, stocks ended Friday with gains for the week. Large swings punctuated trading in the past week, and some individual names were highly volatile. Meta Platforms fell more than 26% in one day on earnings disappointment, and PayPal also lost nearly 25% in a single session after issuing weak guidance. Amazon jumped 13.5% Friday after its earnings.

    Julian Emanuel, senior managing director and leader of the equity, derivatives and quantitative strategy team at Evercore ISI, said that type of volatility in individual names highlights the risks for investors in the top tech growth stocks that are among the largest names in the S&P 500.

    "It's extremely difficult for investors who have only known how to make money for 15 consecutive years by owning growth stocks to change how they view the world. The volatility we've seen around earnings in some of these names is not a surprise, but it's exacerbated in an economy that is likely to grow north of 4%," he said.

    Emanuel expects cyclical and value stocks to perform better than growth names in an inflationary environment in which the central bank is raising interest rates.

    The S&P 500 rose 1.5% in the past week, closing at 4,500, a key technical threshold. The Dow was up 1%, and the Nasdaq was up 2.4% for the week. The Nasdaq is now 13% below its all-time high.

    Energy was the best sector for the week, up nearly 5%, followed by consumer discretionary stocks, up just under 4%. Financials were up 3.5%, and tech was up about 1%.

    More volatility

    Markets could remain volatile in the coming week. Yields saw a big move on hawkish comments from European and U.K. central bankers this past week. The move was extended even more, after the Friday jobs report.

    "We expect continued volatility, which as we've all seen in individual stocks in the last week, can be both to the upside and the downside, all in the run up to the momentous March 15 FOMC meeting," said Emanuel.

    The U.S. 10-year yield, which influences mortgages and other loans, jumped as high as 1.93% Friday.

    Luke Tilley, chief economist at Wilmington Trust, said he doesn't expect the Federal Reserve to be as aggressive on interest rate hikes as the markets are forecasting. He also expects inflation to peak and begin to come down.

    "As we get to March, April, May, we're going to get to the point where the base effects bring the year-over-year numbers down," he said.

    Tilley expects a first hike of a quarter point in March with three others this year.

    This past week saw the following moves in the S&P:

    (CLICK HERE FOR THE FULL S&P TREE MAP FOR THE PAST WEEK!)

    S&P Sectors for this past week:

    (CLICK HERE FOR THE S&P SECTORS FOR THE PAST WEEK!)

    Major Indices for this past week:

    (CLICK HERE FOR THE MAJOR INDICES FOR THE PAST WEEK!)

    Major Futures Markets as of Friday's close:

    (CLICK HERE FOR THE MAJOR FUTURES INDICES AS OF FRIDAY!)

    Economic Calendar for the Week Ahead:

    (CLICK HERE FOR THE FULL ECONOMIC CALENDAR FOR THE WEEK AHEAD!)

    Percentage Changes for the Major Indices, WTD, MTD, QTD, YTD as of Friday's close:

    (CLICK HERE FOR THE CHART!)

    S&P Sectors for the Past Week:

    (CLICK HERE FOR THE CHART!)

    Major Indices Pullback/Correction Levels as of Friday's close:

    (CLICK HERE FOR THE CHART!)

    Major Indices Rally Levels as of Friday's close:

    (CLICK HERE FOR THE CHART!)

    Most Anticipated Earnings Releases for this week:

    (CLICK HERE FOR THE CHART!)

    Here are the upcoming IPO's for this week:

    (CLICK HERE FOR THE CHART!)

    Friday's Stock Analyst Upgrades & Downgrades:

    (CLICK HERE FOR THE CHART LINK #1!)
    (CLICK HERE FOR THE CHART LINK #2!)
    (CLICK HERE FOR THE CHART LINK #3!)
    (CLICK HERE FOR THE CHART LINK #4!)
    (CLICK HERE FOR THE CHART LINK #5!)

    Week Before Feb OpEx Week NASDAQ Up 9 of Last 12

    Over the last 32 years the week before February's options expiration week has had its share of ups and downs. It was up 8 of 9 years across the board from 1990-1998. From 1999 to 2000 the week is littered with red numbers. But in the last 12 years the record has been improving. Leading the pack is NASDAQ with an average gain of 0.82% for the week, up 9 of the last 12. With the market rallying today, especially the tech sector, capping a winning week after finding some support last week, prospects look good for the market to continue its rally off the correction lows.

    (CLICK HERE FOR THE CHART!)

    What A Big Down Month For Stocks In January Could Mean

    Stocks made a new all-time high on the first day of trading in 2022, but it was a very rough month from there. In the end, the S&P 500 Index lost 5.3% in January, for the worst first month of the year since 2009. It could have been worse though, as a huge 4.4% rally the last two days of January checked in as the best end of month rally since November 2011.

    There's an old adage on Wall Street that suggests, "As goes January, so goes the year." This is widely known as the January Barometer and was first discussed in 1972 by Yale Hirsh of the Stock Trader's Almanac, and it has an impressive track record. Simply put, when the first month of the year was green, it bodes well for the rest of the year (and vice versa). Given stocks closed red in January, how worried should investors be?

    As shown below in the LPL Chart of the Day, the numbers confirm that when the S&P 500 has been green in January, the index has been up 11.9% on average over the rest of the year (final 11 months) and higher 86% of the time. However, when that first month was red, stocks rose only 2.7% on average over the final 11 months and were higher 62% of the time.

    (CLICK HERE FOR THE CHART!)

    It isn't all bad news though, as lately the January Barometer hasn't been working. "Yes, a lower January is a potential worry for the bulls," explained LPL Financial Chief Market Strategist Ryan Detrick. "But it is worth noting that the January Barometer has been broken lately. In fact, 9 of the past 10 times stocks were lower in January, the final 11 months were higher, with some huge gains in there."

    (CLICK HERE FOR THE CHART!)

    What about if you have a very poor January like we just did? This shows that some continued weakness in February could be in the cards. Here we show that after 5% or greater drops in January, February has been lower 6 of the past 7 times. Longer-term, performance over the final 11 months has been quite muted as well.

    (CLICK HERE FOR THE CHART!)

    Lastly, since 1950, February is one of the worst months of the year, with only September worse.

    (CLICK HERE FOR THE CHART!)

    We are encouraged by the big reversal in stocks last week and we think stocks are in the process of forming a meaningful bottom. But the truth is this year is going to be much more volatile than last year and investors had better buckle up their seat belts if the first month is any indication.

    February Almanac: Better in Midterm Years

    Even though February is right in the middle of the Best Six Months, its long-term track record, since 1950, is rather tepid. February ranks no better than sixth and has posted meager average gains except for the Russell 2000. Small cap stocks, benefiting from "January Effect" carry over; historically tend to outpace large cap stocks in February. The Russell 2000 index of small cap stocks turns in an average gain of 1.1% in February since 1979—just the sixth best month for that benchmark. With Russell 2000 lagging this January, prospects for February outperformance appear slim.

    (CLICK HERE FOR THE CHART!)

    In midterm years, February's performance generally improves with average returns all increasing. Here again it is the Russell 2000 small-cap index that shines brightest gaining 1.4% on average since 1982. Russell 1000 is second best, averaging gains of 0.8% since 1982. DJIA and NASDAQ average gains of 0.7% (since 1950 & 1974) while S&P 500 lags with average advance of 0.5% (since 1974).

    What Would 5 Rate Hikes Mean for Stocks?

    The Federal Reserve (Fed) has made a decidedly hawkish pivot, with fed funds futures now expecting five rate hikes in 2022. For our full breakdown of the latest Fed meeting, please read our January 27 blog, Federal Reserve Meeting Recap: March is Officially Live. However, today we want to take a look at other years that had a lot of rate hikes.

    "Five rates hikes in 2022 sounds pretty scary to a lot of investors who haven't lived through a period of hiking," explained LPL Financial Chief Market Strategist Ryan Detrick. "But we've seen many years with this many (or more) hikes and bad news isn't certain. In fact, stocks can do just fine with multiple rate hikes if the economy is strong and earnings are healthy."

    As we share in the LPL Chart of the Day, this has happened before, as most recently we saw 5 hikes in 2004 and 2005 (which had 8).

    (CLICK HERE FOR THE CHART!)

    Taking things a step further, here are the years with at least four hikes in a calendar year and how stocks did. Yes, overall the full-year returns are more muted, but that doesn't mean a bear market is imminent. In fact, in recent history we saw a total of 17 hikes in 2004, 2005, and 2006, yet the S&P 500 was green all of those years.

    (CLICK HERE FOR THE CHART!)

    Lastly, we've shared this chart before, but a year after the first hike in a new economic cycle saw the S&P 500 Index up a year later the past 8 times, up an impressive 10.8% on average.

    (CLICK HERE FOR THE CHART!)

    Job Rebound Likely Keeps Fed on Track

    The U.S. economy added 467,000 jobs in January, well ahead of the consensus estimate of 125,000, and December's disappointment was wiped off the books after being revised upward from 199,000 to 510,000. Seasonal adjustments in January are often challenging and today's upside surprise should probably be greeted with some skepticism. Nevertheless, a strong print in the month when the economic damage from Omicron likely peaked certainly tilts positive for the economic outlook. While good news for the economy, S&P 500 futures dipped modestly following the release on concerns over a potentially aggressive Federal Reserve (Fed).

    "For markets, the jobs report is all about the Fed, and today's upside surprises in both job creation and wage growth likely keep the Fed on track to begin raising rates in March and potentially hike four or more times this year," said LPL Financial Asset Allocation Strategist Barry Gilbert.

    Wage pressures continued to make themselves felt. Average hourly earnings rose to 5.7% year over year versus expectations of 5.2%. The unemployment rate ticked up from 3.9% to 4.0% but for the right reason as more workers joined the labor force. The labor force participation rate climbed a solid 0.3% to 62.2%, the best number since the recession but still well below the pre-pandemic peak.

    As shown in the LPL Chart of the Day, job gains, after updated seasonal revisions, have been holding steady near 500,000 per month. However, gains are expected to slow over the course of 2022, likely averaging somewhat in excess of 300,000 per month over the year, which would still likely be enough to support solid above-trend economic growth.

    (CLICK HERE FOR THE CHART!

    The Fed is likely to discount the report somewhat and we don't think it will materially change the path of rate hikes, but it did certainly support the Fed's current emphasis on trying to get inflation back under control. Market participants will be keeping a close eye on next week's January Consumer Price Index (CPI) report, with current consensus that year-over-year headline inflation will rise from 7.0% to 7.3% amid increasing signs that the yearly data may be near its peak.

    February Seasonal Pattern: Sluggish Start, Mid-Month Strength & Weakness into End

    February has historically been a rather bland month. Since 1950, S&P 500 has averaged a measly 0.001% gain. Over the more recent 21-year period S&P 500 average performance has declined to a loss of 0.4% in February. February's first trading day has historically been good, and it was earlier this week, while trading days four, six, nine, ten and eleven have been consistently bullish over the last 21 years with each advancing at least thirteen times. Outside of these six days, the balance of February has been somewhat disappointing for bulls. Weakness after mid-month is most notable with every index giving back all of their respective gains by month's end.

    (CLICK HERE FOR THE CHART!

    The Fed is likely to discount the report somewhat and we don't think it will materially change the path of rate hikes, but it did certainly support the Fed's current emphasis on trying to get inflation back under control. Market participants will be keeping a close eye on next week's January Consumer Price Index (CPI) report, with current consensus that year-over-year headline inflation will rise from 7.0% to 7.3% amid increasing signs that the yearly data may be near its peak.

    Who Let The Bears Out? Most Pessimistic Investor Sentiment Since 2013

    The latest weekly data from the American Association of Individual Investors (AAII) showed a sharp increase in the percentage of individual investors who are bearish (52.9%) about short-term market expectations, the second most bears of the past 10 years and the highest level since early April 2013. Even though the proportion of investors who are bullish was up slightly from a week ago (21% to 23.1%), the spread between the bulls and the bears fell sharply reaching -29.8%, a rapid decline from the turn of the year when bulls had outnumbered bears.

    "As investors reacted to the worst ever start to the year for the S&P 500 the sentiment data is now at bearish levels not seen for the best part of a decade," explained LPL Financial Quantitative Strategist George Smith. "However when we look at historic data extremes in investor pessimism, such a high number of bears could be a contrarian indicator that's actually bullish for stocks, at least in the short term"

    Contributors to the wall of worry that has turned investors more cautious include the first stock market correction since the 2020 COVID-19 related bear market, the markets adjusting to the prospects of Federal Reserve (Fed) rate hikes and quantitative tightening (QT), heightened inflation expectations, the potential for further global supply chain issues, and increasing geopolitical tension over Russia/Ukraine.

    As shown in the LPL Chart of the Day, investor sentiment, as measured by the spread between bulls and bears in the AAII data, has plummeted since the turn of the year. The spread between bulls and bears is also at its lowest level since April 2013 and last week dipped more than two standard deviations below the 10-year rolling average for the first time since the first half of 2020.

    (CLICK HERE FOR THE CHART!

    However, extremes in negative sentiment tend, on average, to be bullish for future returns in the near term (just as extreme optimism tends to be bearish for stocks). When the AAII Bull-Bear is more than two standard deviations below its long-term average, as it has been for the past two weeks, the average return one year out has been +11%. Caution is still required in interpreting this data as even at very bearish sentiment levels the annual average hides a wide range of returns; -47% to +57% (with these extremes occurring during the great financial crisis downturn and at the 2009 bear market bottom respectively). Since that 2009 bear market bottom when sentiment has become very bearish, as it is now, the average short term returns have been well above the average for the same period (with 3-, 6-, and 12-month returns of 10%, 17% and 32%, respectively compared to averages of 4%, 7% and 14% respectively)

    (CLICK HERE FOR THE CHART!

    Other sentiment indicators that we monitor, such as expectations for market volatility and the average put/call ratio have also recently been flashing potential contrarian signals. The VIX futures curve has inverted, a sign that near term volatility is not expected to persist, and the put/call option ratio recently reached the highest ratio of puts since March 2020.

    While we were certainly expecting, and have already seen, more volatility in 2022 than the "Goldilocks" year we had in 2021 we believe the current extreme levels of investor pessimism may be not warranted. We see a low probability of this correction being the start of cyclical bear market as the economic environment is still strong and, while not zero, the odds of a policy mistake from the Fed appear low. New Omicron cases in the U.S appear to be falling fast (down 20% from the peak) giving us hope that the related hit to supply chains and workforce participation may be approaching its peak. This would be good news for domestic price and wage inflation pressures leading us to believe that inflation could be nearing its peak by the middle of the year, especially as the base effect for year-on-year CPI numbers become more favorable as we move further into 2022.

    Risks do remain, like the potential for supply chain issues stemming from Chinese lockdowns to lead to elevated inflation lasting longer than expected, geopolitical risk in relation to Russia/Ukraine escalations, potential for earnings or economic data misses, new COVID-19 variants, and while not our base case, a Fed policy mistake. Mid-term years have also tended to be more volatile than the first year of a presidential term. Given the start to the year we have seen we have no reason to believe 2022 will be any different, but we still believe the economic environment for stocks still looks favorable compared to bonds and cash.

    STOCK MARKET VIDEO: Stock Market Analysis Video for Week Ending February 4th, 2022

    (CLICK HERE FOR THE YOUTUBE VIDEO!)

    STOCK MARKET VIDEO: ShadowTrader Video Weekly 2.6.22

    (CLICK HERE FOR THE YOUTUBE VIDEO!)

    Here are the most notable companies (tickers) reporting earnings in this upcoming trading week ahead-

    • ($TTWO $SPG $PFE $BP $PTON $APPS $CRSR $CMG $LYFT $TRVG $PAYC $SAVE $CVS $CGC $DIS $UBER $SONO $TWLO $ZNGA $PEP $KO $PM $DDOG $AFRM $TWTR $ZG $NET $ACB $UPWK $ELY $UAA $CHGG)
    (CLICK HERE FOR NEXT WEEK'S MOST NOTABLE EARNINGS RELEASES!)
    (CLICK HERE FOR NEXT WEEK'S HIGHEST VOLATILITY EARNINGS RELEASES!)
    (CLICK HERE FOR THE MOST NOTABLE EARNINGS RELEASES FOR FEBRUARY 2022!)
    (CLICK HERE FOR THE NOTABLE EARNINGS BEFORE THE OPEN ON MONDAY!)

    Below are some of the notable companies coming out with earnings releases this upcoming trading week ahead which includes the date/time of release & consensus estimates courtesy of Earnings Whispers:

    Monday 2.7.22 Before Market Open:

    (CLICK HERE FOR MONDAY'S PRE-MARKET EARNINGS TIME & ESTIMATES!)

    Monday 2.7.22 After Market Close:

    (CLICK HERE FOR MONDAY'S AFTER-MARKET EARNINGS TIME & ESTIMATES!)

    Tuesday 2.8.22 Before Market Open:

    (CLICK HERE FOR TUESDAY'S PRE-MARKET EARNINGS TIME & ESTIMATES!)

    Tuesday 2.8.22 After Market Close:

    (CLICK HERE FOR TUESDAY'S AFTER-MARKET EARNINGS TIME & ESTIMATES LINK #1!)
    (CLICK HERE FOR TUESDAY'S AFTER-MARKET EARNINGS TIME & ESTIMATES LINK #2!)

    Wednesday 2.9.22 Before Market Open:

    (CLICK HERE FOR WEDNESDAY'S PRE-MARKET EARNINGS TIME & ESTIMATES!)

    Wednesday 2.9.22 After Market Close:

    (CLICK HERE FOR WEDNESDAY'S AFTER-MARKET EARNINGS TIME & ESTIMATES LINK #1!)
    (CLICK HERE FOR WEDNESDAY'S AFTER-MARKET EARNINGS TIME & ESTIMATES LINK #2!)

    Thursday 2.10.22 Before Market Open:

    (CLICK HERE FOR THURSDAY'S PRE-MARKET EARNINGS TIME & ESTIMATES LINK #1!)
    (CLICK HERE FOR THURSDAY'S PRE-MARKET EARNINGS TIME & ESTIMATES LINK #2!)

    Thursday 2.10.22 After Market Close:

    (CLICK HERE FOR THURSDAY'S AFTER-MARKET EARNINGS TIME & ESTIMATES LINK #1!)
    (CLICK HERE FOR THURSDAY'S AFTER-MARKET EARNINGS TIME & ESTIMATES LINK #2!)

    Friday 2.11.22 Before Market Open:

    (CLICK HERE FOR FRIDAY'S PRE-MARKET EARNINGS TIME & ESTIMATES LINK!)

    Friday 2.11.22 After Market Close:

    ([CLICK HERE FOR FRIDAY'S AFTER-MARKET EARNINGS TIME & ESTIMATES!]())

    (NONE.)

    (T.B.A. THIS WEEKEND.)

    (T.B.A. THIS WEEKEND.) (T.B.A. THIS WEEKEND.).

    (CLICK HERE FOR THE CHART!)

    DISCUSS!

    What are you all watching for in this upcoming trading week?

    I hope you all have a wonderful weekend and a great trading week ahead r/StockMarket. :)

    submitted by /u/bigbear0083
    [link] [comments]

    Most Anticipated Earnings Releases for the week beginning February 7th, 2022

    Posted: 04 Feb 2022 09:58 AM PST

    Amazon Prime's price increase will result in an increase of ~$4B in annual revenue for Amazon

    Posted: 04 Feb 2022 04:05 PM PST

    Amazon Prime rates are going up for US Customers on Feb 18th. What that means for Amazon's revenue generated from Prime memberships?

    Amazon had ~151.9M US Customers in 2021. And its projected to have ~157.4M by end of 2022. The annual price increase: $119 > $139, will generate an additional $3.8B in revenue

    (151.9M @ $119 = $18.07B | 157.4M @ $139 = $21.87B)

    But, only half (48%) of subscribers pay annually. 52% of Prime Subscribers in US who pay monthly (with relatively high loyalty - 97%), their rates are increasing from $12.99 to $14.99, resulting in the following numbers:

    (78.98M @ $12.99 = $12.31B | 81.85M @ $14.99 = $14.72B)

    An increase of $2.41B in revenue from monthly members.

    Adjusting the annual numbers a bit. For the annual subscribers (48% of total US customer), the updated numbers look like this:

    (72.91M @ $119 = $8.67B | 75.55M @ $139 = $10.50B)

    Which would result in an adjusted increase of $1.825B from annual subscribers.

    Thus, Amazon will generate an additional $4.235B ($2.41B+$1.825B) in revenue as a result of this price increase.

    The higher rates for monthly members, an increase of $24 per year, versus an increase $20 for annual members could see a migration of some monthly members to annual membership.

    And, maybe that is what Amazon is trying to accomplish here. Remains to be seen if higher monthly costs will cause monthly subscribers to churn or convert to annual subscribers

    TLDR: Same as title, the increase in Amazon Prime prices will result in an increase of ~$4.235B in annual revenue for Amazon from Prime memberships.

    Sources:https://finance.yahoo.com/news/amazon-prime-fee-rise-180-175155725.htmlhttps://backlinko.com/amazon-prime-usershttps://reuters.com/business/media-telecom/amazon-hikes-prime-membership-fees-us-2022-02-03/

    Edit: formatting

    submitted by /u/TerminalSnoozer
    [link] [comments]

    Managed to search up a stock relating to strip clubs right as the price hit 69...Nice.

    Posted: 04 Feb 2022 04:44 AM PST

    Pre-market and after-hours tradings are unfair

    Posted: 04 Feb 2022 06:49 AM PST

    Forgive my ignorance but I am still learning about stock markets. Pre-market and after-hours tradings seem unfair to me. Huge price actions happen during those sessions, usually based on small volume. It feels like a small elite group, that trades during those sessions, has the power to screw everyone else. The worst part is most brokers don't execute stop loss orders during those sessions for lack of liquidity or whatever reason. It is puzzling how someone can plan a strategy if price actions during those sessions could simply screw everything up. Anyone has experience handling situations like that?

    submitted by /u/ph-phun
    [link] [comments]

    Market open - Friday, February 4th, 2022

    Posted: 04 Feb 2022 06:32 AM PST

    Peloton stock surges on report Amazon is among potential buyers

    Posted: 04 Feb 2022 05:03 PM PST

    Snapchat makes money for the First time

    Posted: 04 Feb 2022 06:19 AM PST

    $SNAP is still up 40% in pre-market trading after reporting earnings yesterday. The jump looks more dramatic after Facebook dragged it down 24% on Thursday. Still has a ways to go to regain it's 52-week high of $83.34.

    The company reported an average of 319 million daily active users for the fourth quarter of 2021, a gain of 13 million.

    Revenue for the quarter increased 42% to $1.30 billion, and it was Snap's first quarter of positive net income as a public company — reporting $22.6 million on the bottom line. Adjusted earnings improved 97% to $327 million in Q4 2021

    Snapchat is adjusting to Apple's iOS privacy changes better than Facebook, not to mention they're much better at capturing Gen Z.

    Link to Variety article for people who want more than the cliffs notes version

    submitted by /u/OliveInvestor
    [link] [comments]

    Here's Your Daily Market Brief For February 4th

    Posted: 04 Feb 2022 05:04 AM PST

    📰 Top News

    US stock futures were mixed in Friday morning trading as investors digested a slew of corporate earnings reports and as the market awaited an important snapshot of the jobs picture.

    Global growth slowing until 2023 - A report from the World Bank says that global growth is expected to decelerate markedly from 5.5% in 2021 to 3.2% in 2023, as pent-up demand dissipated and as fiscal and monetary support unwinds across the globe. Note: The Bank said it expects widening divergence in growth rates of advanced economies versus developing economies.

    Oil prices surge - Oil prices crossed $90 per barrel for the first time since 2014 as demand for petroleum products surged while supply remained constrained. Note: At a recently concluded meeting OPEC decided to stick to a previously announced schedule and increase March production by 400,000 barrels per day.

    European Central Bank holds on rate increase- The European Central Bank has kept key interest rates unchanged despite record rises in European inflation. Note: While the bank says that higher inflation will fade throughout the year, many economists are wondering whether consumer prices will remain high for much longer.

    🎯 Price Target Updates

    Atlantic Equities downgrades The Clorox Company. CLX downgraded to UNDERWEIGHT from NEUTRAL - PT $118 (from $155)

    RBC Capital downgrades SNAP. SNAP downgraded to SECTOR PERFORM from OUTPERFORM - PT $40 (from $70)

    Citigroup upgrades The Estee Lauder Company. EL upgraded to BUY from NEUTRAL - PT $374 (from $355)

    📻 In Other News

    Record wipeout - Facebook parent Meta lost more than $237 billion in market value, the largest one-day drop in US stock market history, after the company reported earnings than disappointed Wall Street. Note: Meta's plunge topped the prior record set by Apple when it lost $182 billion in market value in September 2020.

    Another Tesla recall - Tesla is recalling more than 817,000 vehicles in the US over issues with the seat belt reminder that may not chime when the vehicle has started and the driver has not buckled up. Note: Federal motor vehicle safety laws require the chimes to sound when vehicles are started and the sound stops when front belts are buckled.

    NFT's: the next money laundering haven? - Non-fungible tokens have seen a significant rise in manipulative practices that exaggerate prices, liquidity and launder money according to a report from research firm Chainalysis. Note: The report comes as OpenSea, the largest marketplace for buying and selling NFT's, had its best month yet in January, with $4.9 billion in transaction volume.

    📅 This Week's Key Economic Calendar

    Friday: Unemployment Rate (Jan F)

    📔 Snippet of the Day

    Quote of the day: "The person who starts simply with the idea of getting rich won't succeed. You must have a larger ambition" - John D. Rockefeller

    submitted by /u/hivincentc
    [link] [comments]

    Morning Update for Friday, 2/4/22

    Posted: 04 Feb 2022 06:13 AM PST

    Good morning everyone, happy Friday! Enjoy the weekend :)

    These posts are for informational purposes only. I am not a financial advisor.

    Main Watchlist:

    Gapping UP:

    • SNAP: Potential support/resistance level at 35. Other relevant support levels at 33 and 32. Relevant resistance at 36.
    • BILL: Potential support level at ~205. Other relevant support levels at 200 and 195 if it breaks down.
    • U: Relevant resistance levels at 106, 108, and 110. Could provide shorting opportunities if it breaks down below 102.
    • DASH: Will be watching 96 as a potential support level. Potential shorting opportunities on a breakdown, room for upside if it can hold up.
    • PINS: Support/resistance level at ~27. Other relevant support levels at 26 and 25.

    Gapping DOWN:

    • CLX: Will watch for shorting opportunities on a breakdown below 142.65. Will watch for upside if it can get over the 146 level.
    • TMUS: Will watch for potential shorting opportunities if it breaks down below 118 support. Room for upside if it can get back above 120 resistance.
    • CI: Will watch for a retrace towards 210 support.
    • GM: Potential resistance levels at 52.50 and 53.
    • F: Potential resistance level at 19, will watch for shorting opportunities if it fails over resistance.
    • VNDA: Appears to have found premarket support at 10.

    Momentum Watchlist:

    • ACIU: Will be watching for more upside if it can hold up over the 4.90 level after market open.
    • ANY: Potential premarket support at 2.60, won't be interested in trading if it breaks down. Resistance at 2.80.
    • SLI: Resistance/support level at 6. Will watch for upside if it can hold over that level, won't be interested in trading if it breaks down.

    Market Outlook:

    Stocks are looking at a mixed open to conclude a choppy week of trading. AMZN reported strong earnings and was up nearly 20% in after-hours trading yesterday. It's cooled down a bit, currently up around 11% in premarket. I think things would be looking a lot more red if AMZN was down or even trading flat. Average hourly earnings are up 5.7% year-over-year, which is below the CPI (7%+). I see this as a bearish sign for the economy, and the Fed will be forced to act soon. I'm expecting more volatility to end the week, we could see more selling off if SPY breaks down below the 440 level. If we end this week with red, SPY's weekly chart is looking bearish for the immediate future.

    S&P Futures are down ~40 basis points, Dow Futures are down ~60 basis points, and Nasdaq Futures are up ~5 basis points. Gold and silver are down a bit, seeing some selling pressure this morning. Crude oil is continuing its strength after breaking through the $90 level in yesterday's trading. Energy stocks are seeing strength as a result. Tech stocks are mixed, somewhat propped up by AMZN at the moment. Chinese stocks are mixed as well, with the Chinese EV stocks seeing some revival. Worth keeping an eye on XPEV, NIO, and LI. Airlines and cruise stocks are trading slightly lower in premarket after a choppy session yesterday. Could be in for more red over the next few days.

    The crypto market was seeing signs of life last night, but seems to be retracing back towards support levels. Bitcoin is currently trading around 37,500. Daily chart looks to be setting up in a bear flag, we could see more weakness in crypto. Ethereum is trading a bit under 2,800. Crypto-related stocks are trading slightly higher, but have come down off their premarket highs.

    Remember to use proper risk management; size appropriately for your account and have a plan for every trade you enter. Happy trading everyone :)

    submitted by /u/vanturetrading
    [link] [comments]

    Sharing for your Review: Are Major Listed Stocks Also Running Into Share Supply Chain Issues? Specifically, we're concerned with NTRB, BB, and GME.

    Posted: 04 Feb 2022 06:39 AM PST

    A quick review of the SEC's most recent Fails to Deliver report, more specifically at Nasdaq-listed Nutriband Inc. NTRB, which stood out at 798,988 shares failing to be delivered in the first two weeks of 2022.

    This may not seem like a groundbreaking number but considering the DTC (Depository Trust Corporation) share count is approximately 2.2 million shares for Nutriband and an officially registered short position of 208,158 shares, it is quickly approaching almost 50% of the DTC available shares — either short or naked short with the fails to deliver dominating. If Amazon.com Inc. Prime had such a delivery record, they might have never made it beyond the pink sheets!

    Fails to Deliver, short selling, and naked short selling have had their heyday in the past year. Last January stock market history was made as Gamestop Corporation and Blackberry Limited surged on historic volume, as traders believed the shorts were pigging out. They were right and shorts became vulnerable to a squeeze.

    Read more - https://www.benzinga.com/markets/penny-stocks/22/02/25409063/are-major-listed-stocks-also-running-into-share-supply-chain-issues

    submitted by /u/RedChipCompanies
    [link] [comments]

    Preferred Share Arbitrage

    Posted: 04 Feb 2022 10:01 AM PST

    I already posted this in r/algotrading but I wanted more perspectives on this strategy So I have been spending the past few months studying up on arbitrage strategies and while most simply have too many moving parts or need an significant amount of money to implement I came across preferred shares and created a makeshift strategy loosely based on the famous convertible bond arbitrage. For those of you who don't know what Preferred shares are Preferred shares are shares of a company that act as both a stock and a bond essentially they identically follow a stock price but pay a significantly higher dividend. It occurred to me why not long the preferred shares of a company and short the identical common stock of the company to theoretically make your position delta neutral whole still collecting the dividends. Now the downside is that you will have to calculate ratio of common stock to preferred to indeed make the position delta neutral since most common shares trade at a different price but if you did calculate that you could leverage up and collect the dividends from the preferred shares while adjusting your portfolio as you go. Is this a possibility and is their anything I'm missing? Any suggestions comments or any thing else would be most appreciated.

    submitted by /u/Environmental-Swim11
    [link] [comments]
    Read more
    at

    No comments:

    Post a Comment