Stock Market - Bank of America says it sees seven Fed rate hikes this year

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• Bank of America says it sees seven Fed rate hikes this year
• Most Anticipated Earnings Releases for the trading week beginning January 31st, 2022
• 42% of my stocks are in companies headquartered within 10 miles of each other. Do you know where your stocks are?
• Markets don’t need to fear, I agree with Ukraine president
• Understanding Owners’ Earnings
• Here is a Market Recap for today Friday, January 28, 2022
• Calling a Super Bubble: Front Row With Jeremy Grantham
• Grow Your Money by Investing Long Term
• All 43 ARKK Holding List (2022) With Weight & Market Value
• Potential Catalyst for Ocugens Covid vax
• First time trader and this is the best trade i’ve made so far
• Insights from Banks
• Upcoming Earnings Calendar for the week starting on January 31th
• Morning Update for Friday, 1/28/22
• Google To Invest In Bharti Airtel
• Patience and being long term investor: John Templeton
• How is Apple (AAPL) valuation justified????
• Despite Amex’s incredible earnings, I have questions about how much they can grow

Bank of America says it sees seven Fed rate hikes this year Posted: 28 Jan 2022 07:36 AM PST submitted by /u/JohnnyJCurve [link] [comments]

Most Anticipated Earnings Releases for the trading week beginning January 31st, 2022 Posted: 28 Jan 2022 08:52 AM PST submitted by /u/bigbear0083 [link] [comments]

42% of my stocks are in companies headquartered within 10 miles of each other. Do you know where your stocks are? Posted: 28 Jan 2022 11:12 PM PST submitted by /u/MinnesotaPower [link] [comments]

Markets don’t need to fear, I agree with Ukraine president Posted: 28 Jan 2022 07:47 PM PST submitted by /u/pieeeeeeeeeeee [link] [comments]

Understanding Owners’ Earnings Posted: 29 Jan 2022 12:57 AM PST If you look at the original letter from Warren Buffet talking about owners' earnings you will find that he defines owners earnings as Net Income + Non cash charges - Capex of maintenance, but when you look at the "modern" formula for Owners' earning (after the cash flow statement became mandatory) you will find that the formula becomes: Net Income + Non cash charges +/- Net change in working capital - Capex of maintenance. My question is: I understand the formula for change in working capital, but I don't understand why does it count as a non cash charge. In other words, Why does the change in working capital effect owners' earnings? submitted by /u/MohammedAal-Safi [link] [comments]

Here is a Market Recap for today Friday, January 28, 2022 Posted: 28 Jan 2022 03:28 PM PST PscyhoMarket Recap - Friday, January 28, 2022 After an extremely volatile week, the stock market surged on the back of Apple's (AAPL) monster earnings report, with market participants hoping positive earnings in the largest companies in the market will bring some relief from recent volatility. Moreover, new economic data showed the US economy continues to progress despite rising prices and surging Omicron infections. Markets Today S&P 500 (SPY): +2.48% Nasdaq (QQQ): +3.14% Dow Jones (DIA): +1.63% Russell 2000 (IWM): +1.95% Volatility Index (VIX): -9.28% 10-year Treasury Yield: 1.778% Apple (AAPL): +6.98% Amazon (AMZN): +3.11% Alphabet (GOOG): +3.23% Shopify (SHOP): 6.92% Affirm (AFRM): +17.06% Yoshitsu (TKLF): +33.33% Robinhood (HOOD): from -14.04% to +9.65% Considering ongoing disruptions in the global supply chain and the persistent semiconductor shortage that has deeply affected all electronic manufacturers, Apple (AAPL) posted one of the most impressive quarters ever considering the circumstances, buoying the entire market during a period of exceptional volatility. Here are the numbers: EPS: $2.10 vs. $1.89 estimated, up 25% year-over-year Revenue: $123.9 billion vs. $118.66 billion estimated, up 11% year-over-year Quarterly Profit: $34.6 billion iPhone revenue: $71.63 billion vs. $68.34 billion estimated, up 9% year-over-year Services revenue: $19.52 billion vs. $18.61 billion estimated, up 24% year-over-year Other Products revenue: $14.70 billion vs. $14.59 billion estimated, up 13% year-over-year Mac revenue: $10.85 billion vs. $9.52 billion estimated, up 25% year-over-year iPad revenue: $7.25 billion vs. $8.18 billion estimated, down 14% year-over-year Gross margin: 43.8% vs. 41.7% estimated During a call with investors, CEO Tim Cook said the company, "experienced supply constraints that were higher than the September quarter", but he declined to give a specific number. For context, in Q3, Apple said supply-chain constraint cost the company more than $6 billion in revenue. Cook continues, "We pride ourselves in getting products to customers who really want them, and we try to do that on a fast basis, and so it's frustrating that we can't always do that at the speed we would like. However, March is better than December, and so there are some encouraging signs there. I think our supply chain actually does very good considering the shortages because it's a fast-moving supply chain." This morning, the Fed's preferred gauge for inflation rose 4.9% compared from a year ago, the largest YoY rise since September 1983. The Department of Commerce released personal consumption expenditures (PCE), which tracks the value of goods and services purchased in the US, rose 5.8%. Core PCE, which excludes volatile food and energy prices and serves as the Fed's preferred measure of inflation, rose 4.9% year-over-year. https://www.bea.gov/news/2022/personal-income-and-outlays-december-2021 Despite elevated inflation, The Bureau of Economic Analysis (BEA) released its first estimate of fourth-quarter GDP on Thursday. For the full-year 2021, GDP grew at a 5.7% rate, marking the fastest since 1984. And this marked a sharp reversal from the contraction seen in the economy in 2020 when GDP shrank by 3.4%. Here were the main metrics from the print, compared to consensus estimates compiled by Bloomberg: GDP quarter-over-quarter, annualized: 6.9% vs. 5.5% expected, 2.3% in Q3 Personal consumption: 3.3% vs. 3.4% expected, 2.0% in Q3 Core personal consumption expenditures, quarter-over-quarter: 4.9% vs. 4.9% expected, 4.6% in Q3 https://www.bea.gov/data/gdp/gross-domestic-product On Wednesday, the Fed released their monthly monetary policy decision and Chair Jerome Powell gave his press conference, which contributed to the volatility we are experiencing. The Fed held rates at near-zero and reaffirmed plans to finish tapering by March, at which point we will likely see the first interest rate hike of the year. Higher rates could address inflation by raising borrowing costs and dampening demand — particularly for goods. In its statement, the Fed said, "With inflation well above 2% and a strong labor market, the Committee expects it will soon be appropriate to raise the target range for the federal funds rate. The Committee decided to continue to reduce the monthly pace of its net asset purchases, bringing them to an end in early March". It is likely the first interest hike will come either in March or April, after the Fed completes tapering. Here is the entire statement: https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/files/monetary20220126a1.pdf In his press conference following the meeting, Chair Jerome Powell said, "I would say that the committee is of a mind to raise the federal funds rate at the March meeting, assuming conditions are appropriate for doing so." But the policy-setting Federal Open Market Committee unanimously agreed that "it will soon be appropriate to raise the target range for the federal funds rate," and Powell's commentary suggests the first increase will happen on March 16. Kathy Entwistle, Managing Director at Morgan Stanley, said "Everything the Fed is doing at this point we think has just been priced in over the last few weeks. And that's where a lot of the slide in the market has come from. And the big question is, will we slide a little bit more? What's happening? We're looking at companies and their earnings ... to determine whether or not we're going to have a little bit more of a pullback in the market or not. And that's based on what they can do going forward, where their opportunities are. And we've been hearing a lot about inflation. If you think about a 7% inflation rate, that's quite significant." Highlights Robinhood (HOOD) stock was extremely volatile today, dropping more than -14% in the morning after a disappointing earnings result before surging and closing the day almost +10% higher. Similar story happened with Affirm (AFRM). In a new note, Bank of America economists said that they are expecting the Fed to raise interest rates by 25 basis points seven times this year, representing one of the most hawkish predictions so far for the path forward for the central bank. The University of Michigan's final January consumer sentiment index fell to 67.2, dipping from the preliminary estimate of 68.8 earlier in the month. This represented the lowest reading since November 2011. Subindices tracking both consumers' expectations for future conditions and assessments of present economic conditions each deteriorated during the month. Personal income rose at a 0.3% month-on-month rate in December, the Bureau of Economic Analysis said Friday, missing estimates for a 0.5% rise, according to Bloomberg consensus data. Income had risen 0.5% in November. Personal spending fell 0.6% during the month Earlier in the week, Bill Ackman announced his hedge fund, Pershing Square Capital Management, now owns more than 3.1 million shares of Netflix (NFLX), worth roughly $1 billion. In the letter to investors Ackman praised the company's "best-in-class management team" and on Twitter the manager said he has long admired Netflix CEO Reed Hastings and the "remarkable company he and his team have built." Apple (AAPL) will reportedly allow iPhones to accept contactless payments, a moved that pressured stock in Block (SQ). Oracle (ORCL) director Charles Moorman picked up $1.3 million worth of ORCL shares at an average price of $83.76. Next week, Congress will hold a hearing to discuss self-driving vehicles. The House Transportation and Infrastructure Committee will hold a hearing on Feb. 2 titled "The Road Ahead for Autonomous Vehicles". "Life is 10% what happens to me and 90% of how I react to it." -Charles Swindoll submitted by /u/psychotrader00 [link] [comments]

Calling a Super Bubble: Front Row With Jeremy Grantham Posted: 29 Jan 2022 12:22 AM PST submitted by /u/alexc2020 [link] [comments]

Grow Your Money by Investing Long Term Posted: 28 Jan 2022 01:06 PM PST There's no doubt the Federal Reserve has a playbook for how it plans to tackle inflation and keep the economy rolling, however as any sports fan knows, the best coaches always adapt to what's happening in the game. If necessary the strategy has to change. Undeniably stocks could still move higher even if the Fed is aggressive with raising rates, as long as companies continue to post solid sales and profits. The market appears to finally be accepting of the new reality of higher rates - stocks improved within the last day since the US government reporting on robust economic growth in the fourth quarter. The Fed is still data dependent, just as it always has been and will be. Whatever happens this year, here's what you need to know: Don't Sell. Again just so it registers - DO. NOT. SELL. Understood? Good. Stop reading. If you are a day trader, stop reading - this post doesn't apply to you. The rest of this piece is for people who are inquisitive or not convinced. A few weeks of RED isn't a sign we are headed for a long bear market, and remember economists are notoriously terrible at predicting markets. What we do know is that market crashes happen, however you define them. Since 1950, the S&P 500 has had one-day declines of 3% or more nearly 100 times. It's had two dozen days where it fell by 5% or more. Slow motion crashes where big declines are spread out over several trading days are even more common, but every one of those declines has been followed by a rebound! Sometimes right away, sometimes takes weeks or months, but when it comes it comes quickly. If you wait until the rebound is clearly visible, you've already missed the biggest gains. Phenomenon in the below chart ​ https://preview.redd.it/73c8i2cwpie81.jpg?width=1200&format=pjpg&auto=webp&s=cc589d8652d6f9c733616d9081c3ab6400726d97 Ok now for the bad news - Expect a major market sell off in the first half of this year Followed by good news - A Fed reversal will give way to a massive rally after the sell off, says Zulauf. "That will then trigger another wave up to new highs in 2023 and 2024." This dance has played out over and over since day one of the stock market. The problem is our predictable nature, in that it didn't take long for Wall Street and Hedge Funds to figure out that unsophisticated retail investors (everyday people) are easily manipulated, and they soon found out ways to exploit them. They'd find ways of getting access to news stories before they go public, or worse, completely fabricate stories and leak them to the press, then get into positions that make them money as the retail investors flood in, and use options or short selling to make money as the stock plummets when everyone discovers the stories were exaggerated or fake. They rig the market by manufacturing volatility, then profiting off that volatility. What's the moral of the story? "Big money" sells at the top (latest example Nov/Dec 2021) so if you sell during this market downturn (Jan 2022) you are allowing big money to buy back your stocks at bargain prices! You lose, they win. Hence.....Don't Sell Avoid speculating and do your own DD. Over the long term, the stock market has historically returned an average of about 10% before taxes, which is more than any other asset class. Stay calm and take advantage of opportunities - I wanted to come here and remind everyone (in particular the new investors) of this before all the doom and gloom posts take over. The market pulling back is NORMAL. There are only 3 good reasons to sell: You need money for an emergency You made a bad investment that's consistently under-performing You achieved a specific goal Just remember when a billionaire, senator, insider, hedge fund or TV personality buys heavy and enthusiastically endorses the product/asset bought, it's usually based on legitimate knowledge of future opportunities (from positive and negative situations) or supply shortages within bought space - at anyone's expense (oh yes even food and housing shortages.) Ultra wealthy trying to swing opinions for personal gain? Errr never! People who make money are those who are willing to stay in the market during the various dramatic cycles, and they never risk investing any money necessary for living their daily life. Disclaimer I do not provide personal investment advice and I am not a qualified licensed investment advisor. This information does not constitute any form of advice or recommendation and investors should get professional advice before making any investment. Such information is provided without obligation and on the understanding that any person who acts upon it or changes their investment position in reliance on it does so entirely at their own risk. submitted by /u/Oak_Guardian [link] [comments]

All 43 ARKK Holding List (2022) With Weight & Market Value Posted: 28 Jan 2022 09:56 PM PST submitted by /u/Finasko_Com [link] [comments]

Potential Catalyst for Ocugens Covid vax Posted: 28 Jan 2022 07:09 PM PST submitted by /u/TheFuturePrepared [link] [comments]

First time trader and this is the best trade i’ve made so far Posted: 28 Jan 2022 04:53 PM PST submitted by /u/Officialpwesser [link] [comments]

Insights from Banks Posted: 28 Jan 2022 10:04 AM PST submitted by /u/08u3a1o [link] [comments]

Upcoming Earnings Calendar for the week starting on January 31th Posted: 28 Jan 2022 10:01 AM PST Hey, guys! Here I am posting the earnings calendar for next week: $OTIS $AKTS $LHX $FFWM $TT $FSBC $NXPI $DLHC $AGNC $CRUS $PCH $JJSF $AXTA $CBT $CSWC $FN $WWWD $UPS $XOM $LII $MAN $PHM $EPD $CTLT $SIRI $ARCB $SXC $LDI $PYPL $AMD $GOOGL $GM $SBUX $GOOG $GILD $EA $MSTR $MTCH $ATEN $ABBV $DHI $WM $RACE $MPC $TMO $SR $NVS $BSX $CPRI $HUM $FB $QCOM $SPOT $KLIC $TMUS $ALGN $LSPD $SU $QRVO $ARWR $OMF $CCS $PENN $NOK $MRK $LLY $BIIB $COP $HON $EL $MCFT $ALCO $RL $VSTO $AMZN $SNAP $PINS $F $ATVI $U $SWKS $SKX $FTNT $CLX $DECK $BMY $REGN $TWST $ROAD $SPB $AON $ADP $VIVO $SNY $ETN $CBOE MON Before MO: $OTIS $AKTS $LHX $FFWM $TT $FSBC After MC: $NXPI $DLHC $AGNC $CRUS $PCH $JJSF $AXTA $CBT $CSWC $FN $WWWD TUE Before MO: $UPS $XOM $LII $MAN $PHM $EPD $CTLT $SIRI $ARCB $SXC $LDI After MC: $PYPL $AMD $GOOGL $GM $SBUX $GOOG $GILD $EA $MSTR $MTCH $ATEN WED Before MO: $ABBV $DHI $WM $RACE $MPC $TMO $SR $NVS $BSX $CPRI $HUM After MC: $FB $QCOM $SPOT $KLIC $TMUS $ALGN $LSPD $SU $QRVO $ARWR $OMF $CCS THU Before MO: $PENN $NOK $MRK $LLY $BIIB $COP $HON $EL $MCFT $ALCO $RL $VSTO After MC: $AMZN $SNAP $PINS $F $ATVI $U $SWKS $SKX $FTNT $CLX $DECK FRI Before MO: $BMY $REGN $TWST $ROAD $SPB $AON $ADP $VIVO $SNY $ETN $CBOE https://app.fincredible.ai/sync-calendar?utm_source=twitter.com&utm_medium=referral&utm_campaign=AI Which earnings are y'all waiting for the most? submitted by /u/08u3a1o [link] [comments]

Morning Update for Friday, 1/28/22 Posted: 28 Jan 2022 06:24 AM PST Good morning everyone! Have a nice Friday, and take it easy this weekend. Take some time away from the screens, and spend time with loved ones. These posts are for informational purposes only. I am not a financial advisor. Main Watchlist: Gapping UP: V: Will look for more upside if it can hold over the 213 level after market open. Could provide shorting opportunities if it breaks down. AAPL: Potential premarket support at ~ 163. Will look for shorting opportunities if it breaks down. Room for upside if we see strength, but we'll see how the market looks closer to open. TEAM: Potential support level at ~310, could provide shorting opportunities if it breaks down. CLFD: Potential support level around ~53. Will watch for more upside if it holds up, could get choppy if it breaks down. UVXY: Will look to trade this if the overall weakness continues. SPY in particular. Gapping DOWN: CVX: Potential premarket support at ~129.50. Other relevant support levels at 128 and 124. Will look for shorting opportunities. TSLA: Potential premarket support at 815, will look to short on the breakdown. Room for upside if it can hold up over support. Resistance levels at 830 and 840. XPEV: Will be looking for a retrace to support just under 30. Could see a bounce after reaching a premarket low of 30.60 though. COIN: Potential premarket support just above 165. Will watch for further crypto weakness, could provide shorting opportunities on a breakdown. AMD: Potential support level at 100. Will look for shorting opportunities if it breaks down. Other relevant support levels at 95 and 90. SQ: Potential support level around 102, could provide shorting opportunities on a breakdown. Room for movement to the upside if it can hold over support. WDC: Will look for possible ORB setup to upside, but we'll see what things look like closer to open. Premarket low of 47.40, could provide shorting opportunities towards 45.50 level from yesterday after hours if it breaks down. KR: Potential resistance level at 44, will look for shorting opportunities if it fails to break over resistance. HOOD: Yikes. Momentum Watchlist: PRVB: Potential premarket support at 3.80, with resistance at 4. Won't be too interested in trading if it breaks down below support and cannot recover. Not much looking great for the momentum list at the moment, could be worth running the scanner a few times leading up to market open. Market Outlook: Stocks are looking to open lower this morning to conclude a volatile week. The more recent hawkish narrative from the Fed continues to weigh on the market, and lofty valuations are continuing to come down. While we know the Fed is looking at a possible first rate increase in March, there is still uncertainty regarding how quickly the Fed will raise interest rates. This lack of clarity seems to be spooking some investors. AAPL and V are each seeing strength after reporting strong earnings, it will be interesting to see if that strength continues or fades this morning. If AAPL turns over, it could drag the rest of the market even further. I'm expecting more weakness today, we'll see how things look closer to market open. S&P Futures are down ~80 basis points, Dow Futures are down ~80 basis points, and Nasdaq Futures are down ~60 basis points. Gold and silver are trading slightly lower, continuing the slide from Wednesday and Thursday. Crude oil is seeing continued strength, and will likely approach the $90 level in the near future. Energy stocks are looking to continue their recent strength. Tech stocks are mixed after the recent weakness. With QQQ hovering around a key support level, things could get choppy if we see more weakness today. Chinese stocks are mixed in premarket trading. EV makers are seeing considerable weakness, notably XPEV and NIO. Airlines and cruise stocks are down in premarket trading, although they have come off their premarket lows. If we don't see a strong bounce off support levels sometime in the next few days, they could be in for more weakness. The crypto market is trading relatively flat this morning, attempting to find support at these lower levels. We could be in for more choppiness, especially if the overall market continues to show weakness and people continue to dump their "speculative" assets. Bitcoin is currently trading around 36,900. I'll be watching the ~37,560 level as potential resistance, with potential support at ~35,500. Ethereum is trading a bit over 2,400. Crypto-related stocks are up a bit in premarket trading, albeit somewhat mixed. Remember to use proper risk management; size appropriately for your account and have a plan for every trade you enter. Happy trading everyone :) submitted by /u/vanturetrading [link] [comments]

Google To Invest In Bharti Airtel Posted: 28 Jan 2022 07:42 AM PST submitted by /u/Omsc196003250013R [link] [comments]

Patience and being long term investor: John Templeton Posted: 28 Jan 2022 08:15 AM PST submitted by /u/Confident_Western [link] [comments]

How is Apple (AAPL) valuation justified???? Posted: 28 Jan 2022 01:55 PM PST TLDR: I calculated Apple (AAPL) fair value, updating my inputs with the latest earnings and found a fair value for the stock of 78$ per share. Apple stock is more than 50% overvalued at the moment. Full analysis: https://youtu.be/ZJzdRS9nZ6M ​ Assumptions: FCF margins to expand to 30% throughout the next 10 years 6.3% CAGR in FCF for the next 10 years P/FCF multiple of 14.6 in 2031 WACC: 11.8% Apple is a stable slow growing company that will deliver consistent mid-to-high single digit growth in free cash flow in the years to come. In spite of this, it is trading at sky-high free cash flow multiples close to 30. I do not undertand how these valuations are justified, given that the present value of its future free cash flow does not exceed the 78$ per share. I would like to hear your input on whether you belive that it can trade at the such high multiples in the years to come, or whether you think that it will far exceed analysts' growth expectations? Or is it simply overvalued? I just cannot make sense of the numbers I see. submitted by /u/Modern_Investing [link] [comments]

Despite Amex’s incredible earnings, I have questions about how much they can grow Posted: 28 Jan 2022 08:13 AM PST submitted by /u/Stock_Whisperer06 [link] [comments]

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