Stocks - r/Stocks Daily Discussion & Fundamentals Friday Nov 19, 2021 |
- r/Stocks Daily Discussion & Fundamentals Friday Nov 19, 2021
- There's an extremely blatant astroturfing effort to promote mining-related stocks on this and other investment subreddits
- Rivian drops Ford Partnership
- Ford drops plan for Rivian-powered EV.
- Move out or live at home and invest?
- Beyond gaming - Nvidia's Omniverse makes BMW's plants 30% more efficient
- Theoretically, Could I buy out a company’s entire free float?
- Why is Paypal keep trading lower everyday
- What is the next great tech stock?
- Are we heading towards a bubble especially the EV bubble? What is your opinion ?
- Bloomberg: U.S. Supply-Chain Crisis Is Already Easing
- Price action of Verizon ($VZ)
- Here is a Market Recap for today Friday, Nov 19, 2021. Please enjoy!
- You do not understand your stocks and you do not know the value of them.
- Ford plans to increase EV production to 600,000 vehicles by 2023. What would be your position with this stock tommrow based on this news
- S&P500 vs Individual Stocks
- Best boring under the radar stocks to get that will be steady and not volatile?
- First stock ever
- MTTR. Am I the only one seeing the potential here?
- Best app for trading options in the American market as a Canadian?
- Thoughts on $COIN? Bargain deal or overpriced??
- Evergrande to be removed from Hang Seng China Enterprises Index
- Why is no one talking about Enphase Energy $ENPH??
- What percentage of your account would you recommend be in cash?
- How to read options?
- Anyone like me invest in stocks with not much research?
| r/Stocks Daily Discussion & Fundamentals Friday Nov 19, 2021 Posted: 19 Nov 2021 02:30 AM PST This is the daily discussion, so anything stocks related is fine, but the theme for today is on fundamentals, but if fundamentals aren't your thing then just ignore the theme and/or post your arguments against fundamentals here and not in the current post. Some helpful day to day links, including news:
Most fundamentals are updated every 3 months due to the fact that corporations release earnings reports every quarter, so traders are always speculating at what those earnings will say, and investors may change the size of their holdings based on those reports. Expect a lot of volatility around earnings, but it usually doesn't matter if you're holding long term, but keep in mind the importance of earnings reports because a trend of declining earnings or a decline in some other fundamental will drive the stock down over the long term as well. See the following word cloud and click through for the wiki: If you have a basic question, for example "what is EBITDA," then google "investopedia EBITDA" and click the Investopedia article on it; do this for everything until you have a more in depth question or just want to share what you learned. Useful links:
See our past daily discussions here. Also links for: Technicals Tuesday, Options Trading Thursday, and Fundamentals Friday. [link] [comments] |
| Posted: 19 Nov 2021 09:08 AM PST (I'm copying this post from my post on /r/investing here since it seems like I can't cross-post. I want to raise awareness because this subreddit is a target.) This post about copper miners just hit the top of /r/investing, and it's a good example of the obvious astroturfing effort that's going on. Take a look at this account's post history and you'll see a common pattern: a few karma-farming posts from a couple of months ago that invariably come in subreddits like /r/aww, /r/nextfuckinglevel, /r/MadeMeSmile, /r/funny, etc. Then nothing, then a submission to a stock subreddit. Anybody with experience moderating subreddits can pick this out as a bought account immediately. This is an extremely common pattern where people build up some easy karma on a clean account and then sell it for use in various promotional campaigns. Take a look at the post content and you'll see a pattern that will repeat: one or two paragraphs of content-free 'analysis' about events in whatever mining sector, then a series of 'pitch' paragraphs where they link to a random junior miner and include the ticker. Presumably this is an attempt to pump/draw attention to these stocks. I've been noticing this happening in /r/investing and /r/stocks over the past few months, here are a few examples that I picked up in just 15 minutes by searching for recent posts about 'mining', 'copper', 'gold', and other such keywords. On each of these posts note the exact same post framework and then click on the username -> 'posted' tab to see the exact same type of post history.
This is just quickly scanning over posts in these two subreddits over the past month - it's been going on longer than that and I'm guessing is probably in other investing-related subreddits as well that I just don't see. Anyway, I don't have any personal opinion on the stocks or sectors in question, but I do feel it's good to point this out and to remind everybody that when you're reading stuff on Reddit you are not necessarily reading agenda-free or good faith discussions, you are being marketed to. So be suspicious about this stuff. Not sure how much the moderators can realistically do but maybe good for them to be aware of this as well (/u/Fauster, /u/CriticDanger, /u/ScottyStellar) [link] [comments] |
| Posted: 19 Nov 2021 03:42 PM PST Based on this latest news, Couple of points which came to my mind 1 ) Was this intentionally done by Ford, They invested $500M in Rivian, then Rivian IPOed, Stock p[rice was pumped up and now Ford exits out, Did they they make billions by investing $500M in Rivian ? 2) Ford also is now openly entering as official competitor for Rivian. They have already released their F150 Lightning and for sure looks good (at least to me) What's gonna happen on Monday ! Edit : Ford drops Rivian Partnership [link] [comments] |
| Ford drops plan for Rivian-powered EV. Posted: 19 Nov 2021 01:27 PM PST https://www.theverge.com/2021/11/19/22791984/ford-rivian-ev-canceled-investment-ipo-jim-farley Anyone holding this stock is holding onto a ticking time bomb. Ford's lockup ends in 6 months and they aren't a hedgefund. They aren't going to baghold a direct competitor. [link] [comments] |
| Move out or live at home and invest? Posted: 19 Nov 2021 06:30 PM PST I'm 26, Me and my gf dating for almost a year now and have lived rent free with my parents for a months now (in a garage that's been made into a very cramped studio apartment) it's very small and we've thought of moving to a bigger studio apartment, however I'm on disability and work a part time gig and make roughly 1,300 a month, and she's a hairstylist, my part of the rent would be 322 a month, with my bills I'll be paying a total of 939, leaving me with little money to invest. Right now I'm investing 300 a month but that would be cut to around 50-100 a month if we moved out. We would be moving out in February 2022. I'm wondering if I should just keep investing and save as much as I can until I can or just get the apartment, live by ourselves and be free, but have no money to invest for the future. [link] [comments] |
| Beyond gaming - Nvidia's Omniverse makes BMW's plants 30% more efficient Posted: 19 Nov 2021 04:37 PM PST There's a lot of hype around Nvidia's role in gaming, crypto, and self driving. But often overlooked is how their Omniverse and AI can help companies build virtual factories and identify optimal paths to production. This is a great video showcasing what they've done to help BMW's factories become 30% more efficient.
I think this explains why Nvidia's valuation is skyrocketing. This line of business is not reliant on securing chips. This is a subscription based software model -- and right now no one else is close to doing anything like this except for Nvidia. Their combination of Omniverse + AI seems like an unassailable moat. [link] [comments] |
| Theoretically, Could I buy out a company’s entire free float? Posted: 19 Nov 2021 11:19 AM PST This is probably a stupid question. I don't know if this is possible but I just want to know what would happen. Let's take a company with a very small market cap. $WORX has a market cap of 16M at the moment. Could a retail trader buy out half or even an entire float on a broker like robinhood? I know putting a huge buy order would inflate the price dramatically but let's say it stays around this range for the next 30 days. To keep the price action stable, I buy 10K-50K shares per order. I do this every few hours. I have about $10M of fake money in my account. I do this in stealth mode for the next 30 days till I own more than 70% of the float. Current free float is over 8M. 1) Would this cause it to skyrocket way before the 30 day mark? 2) Is this illegal? 3) Would I have to file 13D or would my broker automatically file it for me and put it under the company's newsfeed? 4) Would management find out immediately and can they just dilute me even though I'm technically a majority shareholder? [link] [comments] |
| Why is Paypal keep trading lower everyday Posted: 19 Nov 2021 08:10 AM PST My Paypal cost basis is around $235, paypal and venmo are very widely used by many people. But the stock just keep trading lower everyday and now it is hitting 52 week low from November 2020. Does anyone know is this a macro-trend issue or reasons from paypal itself. [link] [comments] |
| What is the next great tech stock? Posted: 19 Nov 2021 09:18 PM PST Wanted to open a forum on rising tech stocks we should know about. Not looking for startups but rather companies starting to find real success with relatively smaller market caps with serious growth potential. The (name awesome tech stock) of 5-10 years ago. [link] [comments] |
| Are we heading towards a bubble especially the EV bubble? What is your opinion ? Posted: 19 Nov 2021 04:33 PM PST Do you see any similarity between today and 2001 dotcom bubble ? Do you see the EV bubble comming ? While Elon/Tesla has defied all the odds and Tesla is now the Trillion dollar company, but other EV companies stock has skyroketted to skyhigh valuation in last one year without any or much deliveries like FORD (up 117% ), Rivian up 60% last week with no delivery or may be few to their employees Do you see above as equivalent of DOTCOM bubble? Do you blame 1.2 T$ infra package for this ? Does headlines like below worry you? -- Investor Ackman says U.S. facing 'classic bubble' fueled by Fed's easy money policy https://sg.news.yahoo.com/investor-ackman-says-u-facing-173150771.html [link] [comments] |
| Bloomberg: U.S. Supply-Chain Crisis Is Already Easing Posted: 20 Nov 2021 02:46 AM PST Some good news from Bloomberg (archive)
Bloomberg concludes that not everything is back to normal as many problems persists. But at least things are not getting worse and are improving. Does this affect any of your investing strategy? What stocks will improve or go down based on this easing trend? Will J Powell's job depend on this trend continuing? [link] [comments] |
| Posted: 19 Nov 2021 08:52 PM PST So, I understand that many will hop in and immediately proclaim to just buy an index fund, and yes I understand the upside is generally better, but I personally chose to open a sizable position in VZ after reviewing their financials, debt, and PE up against industry peers. I'm curious though of what your opinion is if any of why we've seen such a severe sell off after an improved earnings guidance, and inflation that overall should reduce the pain of any debt. As of currently the dividend covers 46% of profit and they earn 15-20b a year. They have around 160-180b in debt, and 83% of this is fixed rate debt. The interest payments total around 226m and even if rates increase you'd see just a small move up in interest payment costs. The 5G debacle with the FCC is a total joke. I'm a network engineer IRL who specializes in wireless. After reading the order and details I don't see this lasting long. With earnings improving it shows there is still growth here. It's competitor T has a much more severe debt situation. TMUS has no dividend, and is priced much higher PE wise. So I'm not understanding any sort of value trap argument here, but I'm also having a difficult time grasping investor sentiment and why the algo moves are to sell off. It seems to potentially just be a sector based sell off. We are seeing this in financial services right now too. I'm wondering if anyone has any other thoughts? I do not subscribe to the theory that some satellite company is going to eliminate the need for cellular infrastructure and steal customers in large numbers just simply based on. The technical limitations and cost. [link] [comments] |
| Here is a Market Recap for today Friday, Nov 19, 2021. Please enjoy! Posted: 19 Nov 2021 02:17 PM PST PsychoMarket Recap - Friday, November 19, 2021 The stock market traded mixed today, with the both the S&P 500 (SPY) and Dow Jones (DIA) slipping whiled the tech-heavy Nasdaq (QQQ) outperformed on the day, driven higher by a strong performance in mega-caps like Apple (AAPL), Microsoft (MSFT), and NVIDIA (NVDA). Market participants continue to digest mixed economic data, with retail sales surprising to the upside despite the fastest pace of inflation in roughly 30 years. Moreover, market participants are growing increasingly concerned about a wave of new COVID with new restrictions announced in Europe and cases in the US ticking back higher after two consecutive months of declines. Notable Numbers Today
Markets were unsettled after a slew of European countries announced new COVID-related restrictions as the winter holidays begin. The Austrian government announced a full lockdown starting Monday in response to surging COVID cases. The lockdown will include both those vaccinated and unvaccinated, it will last for 10 days minimum, but could be extended for 10 days further. Jim Reid, Chief Economist at Deutsche Bank, said "although all the headlines are in Europe at the moment, will the U.S. be more vulnerable than many European countries over the course of the full winter? Recent history suggests the U.S. has a higher bar for economic restrictions related to covid but it also has a lower vaccination rate than their European peers." In particular, the price of oil sank by over 3%, reflecting jitters that lockdowns will curb energy demand. However, Goldman Sachs said "Just like with headlines on Wednesday, we estimate this move lower has far overshot the actual fundamental risk due to low trading volumes. Adding another wrench in the plans, President Biden is expected to announce his nominee to be the Chair of the Fed. So far, the two main candidates are incumbent Jerome Powell and current Fed Governor Lael Brainard. Yesterday, the Labor Department's Weekly Unemployment Report came in slightly higher than expected but still eked out a new pandemic-era low. Here are the numbers:
Highlights
"It does not matter how slowly you go as long as you do not stop." -Confucius [link] [comments] |
| You do not understand your stocks and you do not know the value of them. Posted: 19 Nov 2021 05:30 AM PST The most popular phrase to see reading posts in this sub is the investing for the long term. Literally every shared portfolio, due diligence and stock opinion is finshed with the I invest for the long term, so I do not really care about the price fluctuations. Yet the sheer panic and mood changes on stocks are made after every small dip, missed earnings or change in analyst estimates. The thing is, that the value of company and mass concensus here is not made by anything, but simple price change. The company's stock rose singnificantly in the last year? It is a complete beast and literally everyone needs it in their portfolio! They missed earnings by 50 basis points, there is small change in the estimates for next year and the stock had not changed in a 6 months? Immediately sell the company, because you are lacking after the last year biggest homeruns! The reason why this thing is happening is, because most people do not know or have the slightest idea about how much they value their business! If you would have a strong opinion on how much you value your business, you want sell it after you believed that you have paid 50 cents on a dollar for it. Most of you are valueing business on the market price that is quoted last second. The other thing is that you do not understand the businesses you own! No, saying Iunderstand Coca-Cola because i know it sells Coke is not understanding business. How many of you know the balance sheet of KO, how many of you read the 10Q and 10K, do you know that KO's payout ratio of their dividends is above 80% and often was 100% plus? Do you know the management? Can you give a pricetag on these cash flows, that KO will make? And this is talking about KO, which is relatively easy to understand company, that nearly everyone has some experience with. I really do not believe that even 0,1% of people who read palantirs reports, looked at its valuation, and most importantly understand the business of the company. Answer honestly to yourself. Do you really know the business you own? Lastly i would want to say a story about mass opinions on companies. Microsoft and Apple were for many years considered mature companies with limited growth. Apple was even considered with negative growth rate. After last three years rally in their prices, the opinion on them changed so much that literally everyone believes that they must have them in their portfolio. Would you also consider this if the price of the stock did not change? [link] [comments] |
| Posted: 18 Nov 2021 06:22 PM PST KEY POINTS
https://www.cnbc.com/2021/11/18/ford-plans-to-increase-ev-production-to-600000-vehicles-in-2023.html [link] [comments] |
| Posted: 19 Nov 2021 05:53 PM PST Many say that S&P500 can't be beaten in the long run but I'm seeing stocks like Google, Apple, Microsoft that is beating the S&P500 in the long run. Why didn't the hedge fund manager just invested all the funds into those stocks above when he challenged Warren Buffet? [link] [comments] |
| Best boring under the radar stocks to get that will be steady and not volatile? Posted: 20 Nov 2021 01:46 AM PST Not talking about big mega cap stocks necessarily, nor ones that pay dividends. Looking at stocks like garbage stocks (Republic Services I like a lot), or funeral stocks (Carriage Services), or even Jail stocks (CXW Core Civic). Things that no matter what the circumstances, continue to be affected in the world by. These stocks continue to go underreported, but leave investors happy with steady growth over months and months. What else are they that I'm missing? [link] [comments] |
| Posted: 20 Nov 2021 12:56 AM PST Okay should I throw $1k into Amazon and let it stay there for a couple of years? Or is that dumb ??? I just want to see what happens and after military I'll hopefully buy my first home in 2026 so some extra money would be cool [link] [comments] |
| MTTR. Am I the only one seeing the potential here? Posted: 19 Nov 2021 10:19 PM PST What are you thoughts? Lets start a discussion. Overvalued at current prices? Undervalued considering future growth potential? Disclosure: 1000 shares at 14.14 cost average, bought when it was GHVI as soon as I heard of the DA with Matterport. I find that Gores usually comes through with top tier targets. Any other stock I would trim my position and lock in profits but not with this one. Current price 28.12 Market cap 6.76b [link] [comments] |
| Best app for trading options in the American market as a Canadian? Posted: 20 Nov 2021 12:49 AM PST As the title says, i am looking to invest in the American market though i am currently living in canada. Would be preferred if the app allows normal investing but also has option trading available with little to no commission fees. Any feedback would be greatly Appreciated. Cheers [link] [comments] |
| Thoughts on $COIN? Bargain deal or overpriced?? Posted: 19 Nov 2021 11:15 PM PST I noticed most investors are torn over COIN, split down the middle, some bullish thinking that their upside is far too good to pass up, whilst others more bearish thinking it's quite overvalued. I've been looking at them for a couple months now and it seems to be a solid stock (I personally don't use the platform for my Crypto management, as fee's are a bit much), but it does seem to be the main choice in NA where the government is still figuring out where they stand on the crypto issue as a whole. Is this stock a good move to buy a couple shares of, or is it smarter to wait for this one to go down? The upside is very much apparent as a growth stock, but what could the potential downside look like? [link] [comments] |
| Evergrande to be removed from Hang Seng China Enterprises Index Posted: 19 Nov 2021 11:10 AM PST "HONG KONG, Nov 19 (Reuters) - Embattled developer China Evergrande Group (3333.HK) will be removed from Hong Kong's Hang Seng China Enterprises Index (.HSCE), the benchmark provider said on Friday following its regular quarterly review. The Hang Seng Indexes Company does not typically give reasons for changes to its indexes, and did not in Friday's statement. The Hang Seng China Enterprises Index is designed to reflect the performance of mainland Chinese companies listed in Hong Kong, and includes the top 50 eligible stocks by a measure of their market value. Evergrande's shares have fallen over 80% year to date. Separately, Hang Seng Indexes said they had added technology firms JD.com (9618.HK) and Netease (9999.HK) to the benchmark Hang Seng Index (.HSI). Hang Seng Indexes is trying to include more securities in the benchmark to make it more reflective of the companies listed in Hong Kong." ($1 = 7.7917 Hong Kong dollars) [link] [comments] |
| Why is no one talking about Enphase Energy $ENPH?? Posted: 19 Nov 2021 10:25 AM PST This company seems to be doing everything right! Rapid growth and navigating down turns to come soaring back from $178 to almost $270 as I write this. My 100 shares are up 50% since the end of June and all the big names are racing to raise the target price points. Their technology is well founded and unique. Clearly I'm not good at posting, but I'm in the gains column. (Doh) - Thought I could share a pic of my Schwab account. [link] [comments] |
| What percentage of your account would you recommend be in cash? Posted: 19 Nov 2021 07:22 PM PST I'm just wondering if there is a good percentage of your account(s) that should be kept in cash. Obviously market declines are the best time to buy and actual investments are worse to liquidate during those periods, so if you do keep cash on hand for these declines what percentage of your portfolio does that cash constitute? [link] [comments] |
| Posted: 19 Nov 2021 07:24 PM PST Hello I have been learning options for the past two days, and I have a question on how exactly to read the labels. For example, an AAPL contract has these details on it: Last Trade Date - 2021-11-10 3:49PM EST Strike - 75.00 Last Price - 73.10 Bid - 84.80 Ask- 86.45 Change - 0.0 % Change - none Volume - none Open Interest - 30 Implied Volatility - 128.52% Overlooking the expiration, I want to know how to read this label. For example, what is the premium on this stock? AAPL closed on 160.55. If I bought this contract and sold it, how much money would I make? I would love an explanation on each label. [link] [comments] |
| Anyone like me invest in stocks with not much research? Posted: 18 Nov 2021 08:53 PM PST I have more than 100k in stocks and about 25k+ up. I don't do any deep research on the company invest. This is what I do to invest. - I rely mostly on YouTube stock recommendation channels I regularly follow. - Then I read about their product for about a few minutes (max an hour or two) and see whether I like their product. - Make sure that company have no much debts. - See whether they grew 100+% in last 10 years. - Continue to do DCA whenever their a dip in the stocks I hold. If above are met then I'll just invest. That's it. Have been doing this for last 2 years. I feel like I do very little personal research and taking a big risk Are there people who invest like me. [link] [comments] |
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