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    Wednesday, November 17, 2021

    Stock Market - I’ve analyzed the insider activity of all US public companies over the past month, and here are the companies whose employees are most actively buying new shares

    Stock Market - I’ve analyzed the insider activity of all US public companies over the past month, and here are the companies whose employees are most actively buying new shares


    I’ve analyzed the insider activity of all US public companies over the past month, and here are the companies whose employees are most actively buying new shares

    Posted: 17 Nov 2021 12:46 PM PST

    I've analyzed the insider activity of all US public companies over the past month, and here are the companies whose employees are most actively buying new shares

    Today's research will be based on insider buying activity. I've been collecting the financial data from sources like Nasdaq for the last 1-2 months, and then aggregated it for all public US companies. As a result, we found the top 5 tickers where the insiders have been trading the most actively.

    I published a similar post about half a year ago, and since then all the shares of the mentioned companies have significantly grown. This may act as a basis for serious consideration of this metric for the investment process!

    Let's think about it from the logical perspective - the people inside the company know far more than any analysts, any kind of trader, and any investor, because they're right at the coalface on what's going on - they can see what there will be in the future, if their pipeline is full of work, if the new contracts are about to be signed, etc. They don't always get it right, of course, but you can easily use this data metric in conjunction with your investment strategy - you can get an extra weight to the trade if the insiders are actively buying before you bought. I think that the more deals you see from the group of insiders - the stronger the signal.

    Below you can find the top 5 companies:

    1. Liberty Media Corporation ($LSXMA) - the company is engaged in providing a subscription-based satellite radio service. It transmits music, sports, entertainment, comedy, talk, news, traffic and weather channels, as well as infotainment services.

    https://preview.redd.it/coso48f0u7081.png?width=1189&format=png&auto=webp&s=ed846ba4f8a48372602f7989bb89ad1b2e52e9e3

    2. Agile Therapeutics ($AGRX) - is a women's healthcare company to fulfill the unmet health needs of women. Its product candidates are designed to provide women with contraceptive options.

    https://preview.redd.it/5bwswch3u7081.png?width=1193&format=png&auto=webp&s=466117157ab0045a3e70d4b8d4294b7a50b7d95e

    3. Sirius XM ($SIRI) - the holding is now composed of two businesses: SiriusXM and Pandora. SiriusXM transmits music, talk shows, sports, and news via its two satellite radio networks, primarily to consumers in vehicles who pay a subscription fee. Pandora is a streaming music platform that offers an ad-supported radio option and a paid on-demand service.

    https://preview.redd.it/kwwo5bg6u7081.png?width=1208&format=png&auto=webp&s=9257e826e6ab6c5a30718efbea10c974b143f6f6

    4. Augmedics Inc. ($AUGX) - the company provides remote medical documentation solutions and live clinical support services in the United States.

    https://preview.redd.it/uz15dwl8u7081.png?width=1188&format=png&auto=webp&s=bfa46659d719dea6b0d91456a7d69b44724db1b2

    5. Loandepot Inc. ($LDI) - the Company provides nonbank consumer lending solutions for individuals in the United States.

    https://preview.redd.it/9rlpb4mau7081.png?width=1190&format=png&auto=webp&s=6e5a430903fbbfd56ed43dec95496d2be799ad8b

    As you can see from this top, there are companies of different sizes and in different segments, both giants and smaller ones. In my opinion, it is more useful to take into account such metric as insider buying activity when you consider investing in some small tickers. If the senior employees in small companies buy most of their stock - it's an important market indicator.

    Proof of Concept:

    Just take a look at $AGRX - the insiders are abruptly buying with a market cap of only $0.1B. The price of their shares has been decreasing over the past year, however, we can see the peak of insider buying activity in 2019:

    https://preview.redd.it/i4zoffrhu7081.png?width=1307&format=png&auto=webp&s=099d49351cebf3091b77b684d9288af460010793

    And after that, their shares have been growing in price for several months:

    https://preview.redd.it/u2eo4r8ju7081.png?width=776&format=png&auto=webp&s=6ac5ecafed816b432cbf8a938f38b5babb169d9e

    Let's keep an eye on it, perhaps we'll have a similar situation with a current peak!

    What are your thoughts about it?

    P.S btw, you can always check the actual top here by this and other metrics (only from desktop).

    submitted by /u/vilnitskiy
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    Financial sector taking a hit today as TSLA continues to go up

    Posted: 17 Nov 2021 01:33 PM PST

    Market open - Wednesday, November 17th, 2021

    Posted: 17 Nov 2021 06:36 AM PST

    Common Mistakes people make in the stock market by Peter Lynch

    Posted: 17 Nov 2021 06:56 PM PST

    Here is a Market Recap for today Wed, November 17, 2021. Please enjoy!

    Posted: 17 Nov 2021 01:57 PM PST

    PsychoMarket Recap - Wednesday, November 17, 2021

    Stocks mostly drifted lower to hover below record levels, as market participants further digested yesterday's US retail sales report and new corporate earning results from major retailers, which provide further data into consumer spending patterns amid supply-chain disruptions.

    Here are some key numbers for today

    • S&P 500 (SPY): -0.25%
    • Nasdaq (QQQ): +0.05%
    • Dow Jones (DIA): -0.58%
    • Russell 2000 (IWM): -1.27%
    • Apple (AAPL): +1.75%
    • Target (TGT): -4.73%

    The Department of Commerce released their monthly Retail Sales Report, which showed better than expected consumer spending trends as the holiday season, by far the busiest in the year, continues to play out. Here are the numbers

    • Retail Sales: 1.7% increase vs 1.4% expected
    • Core Retail Sales: +1.6%
    • Manufacturing Production: +1.2%

    The solid report suggests that high inflation is not dampening consumer spending. Rising household wealth, thanks to a strong stock market, house prices, and rising wages appear to be cushioning consumers against the highest annual pace of inflation in roughly thirty years.

    Steven Wieting, Citigroup's Global Wealth Chief Investment Strategist said, "The markets generally are looking at it [the pace of inflation], benignly - they are not discounting some longer-term inflation of more than 2.5%. You can see this in the pricing out on the yield curve of Treasuries. You can see this in the composition of the market with growth stocks not really being beaten down by any concerns about some lurch higher, tightening of monetary policy. We think that story is largely correct – it's benign for markets. It doesn't mean we get to repeat the returns from the past year, however."

    Today, Target (TGT) and Lowe's (LOW), two major retailers in the US, both reported better than expected earnings. This comes on the heels of both Walmart (WMT) and Home Depot (HD) both reporting strong earnings results earlier in the week. Here are the numbers (second number were analyst expectation):

    Target (TGT): "With a strong inventory position heading into the peak of the holiday season, our team and our business are ready to serve our guests and poised to deliver continued, strong growth, through the holiday season and beyond," said Target Chairman and CEO Brian Cornell in a statement.

    • Revenue: $25.7 billion vs. $24.20 billion
    • Comparable Store Sales: +12.7% vs. +8.3%
    • Gross Margin: 28% vs. 29.80%
    • Operating Margin: 7.8% vs. 7.68%
    • Diluted EPS: $3.03 vs. $2.84

    Lowe's (LOW): "Our momentum continued this quarter, with U.S. sales comps up nearly 34% on a two-year basis, as our Total Home strategy is resonating with the Pro and DIY customer alike. In the quarter, we drove over 16% growth in Pro and 25% on Lowes.com. We also delivered operating margin expansion by driving productivity through disciplined operational execution and cost management", said Lowe Chairman, President, and CEO Marvin Ellisoln.

    • Revenue: $22.92 billion vs. $22.06 billion
    • Earnings per share: $2.73 vs. $2.36
    • $1.90 billion in profits vs $692 million Q3 2020
    • Same Store Sales: +2.2% vs -1.5%

    Highlights

    • The party seems over… after a blockbuster IPO, shares of EV startup Rivian (RIVN), which had a market cap of $150 billion on essentially 0 revenue, fell 15% today. In my humble opinion, I'd get out if I had profits (not playing this at all). Shares of Lucid Motors (LCID) were also down roughly 5% in sympathy
    • CME Group (CME) the world's largest financial derivatives exchange in the world, trading everything from agricultural products, currencies, energy, interest rates, metals, stock indexes to digital currency futures, announced it was planning to move core trading systems Google Clouds, a massive move in financial markets. Until very recently, it was assumed that cloud computing was ill suited for high frequency trading, forcing these companies to build and develop complicated systems geared for time sensitive markets. If this works, it could reduce the cost of operations by a lot.
    • Fisker (FSR), another EV startup in the market, announced an electric SUV with higher driving range than Tesla's (TSLA) Model Y. Fisker announced the OCean Ultra SUV, which is planned to begin production next November, has a range of 340 miles and costs $50,000 compared to 300 miles and a cost of $60,000 with the Model Y
    • Apple said Wednesday that it has created a self-service repair program that would allow customers to repair their own devices using genuine Apple parts and tools. The iPhone and Mac maker said Self Service Repair would begin in early 2022 with a focus on the most common serviced modules, including phone display, battery and camera, with additional repair options to be added later in the year. The right to repair has been a big controversy surrounding technology sold by companies.
    • According to recent filings, Elon Musk is roughly halfway done with his pledge to sell 10% of his stake in Tesla (TSLA). You can see it here https://www.nasdaq.com/market-activity/stocks/tsla/insider-activity
    • Waymo, which is a subsidiary of Google's parent company Alphabet, said on Wednesday it is expanding its partnership with United Parcel Service (UPS) to move freight using autonomous trucks between two of the parcel delivery company's Texas facilities during the holiday season. This comes amid a shortage of delivery drivers in the US.
    • **Please note that current price target are written during the session and may not reflect closing prices*\*
    • Advance Auto Parts (AAP) with two target raises. Stock currently around $232
      • Raymond James from $265 to $275 at Strong-Buy
      • Jefferies Financial from $240 to $268 at Buy
    • AutoDesk (ADSK) with two target raise. Stock currently around $330
      • Stifel Nicolaus from $340 to $365 at Buy
      • Robert W Baird from $370 to $380 at Outperform
    • DR Horton (DHI) target raised by Raymond James from $110 to $120 at Strong-Buy. Stock currently around $101
    • Enphase Energy (ENPH) with a host of target raises. Average price target $290 at Buy. Stock currently around $255
    • Home Depot (HD) with a host of target raises after beating earnings. Average price target $440 at Buy. Stock currently around $394
    • Intuit (INTU) target raised by Wells Fargo from $625 to $710 at Overweight. Stock currently around $635
    • IQVIA (IQV) with four price target raises. Stock currently around $265
      • Citigroup from $300 to $320 at Buy
      • KeyCorp from }$270 to $290 at Overweight
      • UBS Group from $298 to $310 at Buy
      • Jefferies Financial from $300 to $309 at Buy
    • Lululemon (LULU) target raised by B. Riley from $466 to $548 at Buy. Stock currently around $465
    • NetEase (NTES) target raised by Bank of America from $128 to $145 at Buy. Stock currently around $112
    • Palo Alto Networks (PANW) target raised by Jefferies Financial from $550 to $615 at Buy. Stock currently around $514
    • Plug Power (PLUG) target raised by Citigroup from $35 to $56 at Buy. Stock currently around $42
    • Ferrari (RACE) target raised by Morgan Stanley from $265 to $350 at Overweight. Stock currently around $266
    • Sea Limited (SE) target raised by UBS Group from $350 to $380 at Buy. Stock currently around $315
    • Square (SQ) target raised by Tigress Financial from $295 to $310 at Buy. Stock currently around $231

    "Live as if you were to die tomorrow. Learn as if you were to live forever." - Mahatma Gandhi

    submitted by /u/psychotrader00
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    Qualcomm CEO: It's our moment to be 'recognized'

    Posted: 17 Nov 2021 10:46 AM PST

    Paramount+ Reaches New Heights With Best Week Ever

    Posted: 17 Nov 2021 02:03 PM PST

    Trading a 3x leveraged instrument vs trading with 3x leverage

    Posted: 17 Nov 2021 07:39 PM PST

    Might be a little confusing question, but I need some help here.

    In a leveraged instrument such as the TQQQ ETF, (which is a 3x leveraged instrument following the Nasdaq-100), there is obviously leverage decay, but also greater compounding from what I understand.

    My question is if it makes a difference if I instead of trading the 3x leveraged instrument I trade a non leveraged instrument with 3:1 leverage?

    In other words I trade a CFD where I am able to borrow money to expose myself 3x, (putting up only 30% of the total position size, borrowing the remaining). My losses and gains will still be 3x however will I still have leverage decay this way? And will it effect compounding differently? Will there still be "rebalancing"

    Hope I worded this correctly any help would be much appreciated.

    submitted by /u/WillingnessOk6741
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    Is Lucid the next Tesla?

    Posted: 17 Nov 2021 02:12 PM PST

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