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    Sunday, September 12, 2021

    Stocks - Why is every other post here hinting at some huge market crash?

    Stocks - Why is every other post here hinting at some huge market crash?


    Why is every other post here hinting at some huge market crash?

    Posted: 12 Sep 2021 03:29 AM PDT

    Is there something someone knows that I don't. every other post on here hinting at some impending crash and it's all doom and gloom. There's no crash unless another 2008 like crash or 9/11 or something worse than COVID happens you guys need to relax seriously. You guys see a small dip and start to panic . It's you guys on panic mode that could stir a negative reaction.

    submitted by /u/cyberarc83
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    My parents just inquired about trading in the equities market. TRADING, NOT INVESTING!

    Posted: 12 Sep 2021 09:27 AM PDT

    Today my mother, who doesn't even clearly understand mutual funds asked me how to trade in the equities market. Apparently some relative is doing it and making a living of it for a year or so and now my dad thinks this is a good idea.

    Now I am not much of a bear but this has all my alarm bells ringing. This gives me a feeling that a pretty deep correction is coming soon. Anyone else share similar sentiments?

    Edit: I never said anything about a crash. A correction is usually 10 % or thereabout.

    submitted by /u/bs_is_everywhere
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    Before you buy any stock, consider how much you're willing to lose, be willing to cut bait, unless you're perfectly fine with Bag Holding

    Posted: 11 Sep 2021 02:39 PM PDT

    [Not for long-term holders]

    Number 1 thing I ask myself before every trade. Am I willing to baghold this? If not, then I must think of my stop loss BEFORE I ever even buy any shares to begin with. Make peace with a potential loss before the trade even begins. If you can't make peace with the potential loss, then it's not a good risk/reward ratio. Wait for the right play to come along. No forced errors.

    If I know that I'm unwilling to baghold this stock for at least 2 full years, then I must have an exit strategy, and I must abide by that exit strategy. I've been burned too many times trying to straddle No Man's Land.

    You know what I'm talking about. When you buy a stock, with no stop loss in mind, no acceptance of a potential loss, and you tell yourself that you'll just wing it. You'll sell if you feel like you really have to sell. But the thing is, if you really asked yourself... "am I ready to potentially commit to a long-term bagholding session with this company?.... You might think twice about a "winging it" strategy.

    You could potentially have that dead money locked up for two years (or more) while you wait for it's value to bounce back (assuming it even does!)

    If you're not comfortable with that, then you better decide what loss is acceptable and you have to stick with it. You have to set your stop and you have to live with your decisions.

    Your No.1 responsibility is to have a better than average winning percentage

    submitted by /u/Anth916
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    "Banks and institutions know how retail traders think." Are they any better at trading though?

    Posted: 12 Sep 2021 10:52 AM PDT

    Smart money. is what they call banks and tutes.

    but have you seen the traders they hire? Are they any better than most traders?

    or is it because they have a shitload of money to swing a stock up/down whenever they feel like it, and don't necessarily have to have amazing trading skills? With enough capital, they can create false breakout traps, or they can short the shit out of a stock and stop people out.

    I once heard bank/tute traders are rewarded if they can buy a stock below VWAP. That's a pretty low bar.

    submitted by /u/pman6
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    NASDAQ 100 vs S&P 500 (QQQ vs VOO)

    Posted: 12 Sep 2021 12:25 PM PDT

    Who do you think would be better for long-term?

    The thing is NASDAQ 100 (year 1985) Index is relatively new compared to S&P 500 (year 1957) or even Dow Jones (1896).

    S&P 500 outperforms Dow Jones with the data we are given today during 60+ years, but does NASDAQ 100 beat S&P 500? As far as I see it beats it.

    submitted by /u/NoahGun
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    Why is Alibaba so much more popular than Tencent or Baidu?

    Posted: 12 Sep 2021 01:51 AM PDT

    The 'Superinvestors' love Baba but not much more love for Tencent or Baidu.

    What gives?

    submitted by /u/WallabyUpstairs1496
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    Which semiconductors company has best long term growth potential?

    Posted: 12 Sep 2021 03:38 AM PDT

    I looking to put some money into SemiC sector, but I am having trouble deciding which companies I should go for. I did some analysis for long term investments, and from what I see NVDA, AMD, ASML and AMAT is the way to go. The only thing I am having trouble understanding if high P/E is indicating that stocks are overvalued or that is just very high from recent growth. If i took into account high P/E, that would indicate that AMD and AMAT is the best potential for long growth, while NVDA and ASML should slow down quite a lot.

    Also I heard about NVDA ARM deal, which if it should go down soon, that would bone AMD quite bad, and AMD is merging XLNX which should impact AMD quite well by the end of the year.

    Im leveraging myself towards AMD, but maybe I misunderstand what I see. Any thoughts?

    Company Market cap Sales past 5Y P/E PEG EPS this Y EPS nxt 5Y ROI SMA200
    NVDA 543.58 27.20% 79.23 2.43 52.50% 44.90% 18.7% 39.5%
    AMD 127.91 19.60% 37.88 1.17 604.70% 32.44% 40.90% 19.36%
    ASML 351.45 17.30% 62.57 2.10 37.90% 29.80% 18.90% 36.50%
    TSM 562.03 11.1% 31.77 1.97 50.00% 11.1% 22.50% 4.62%
    AMAT 120.66 12.2% 23.46 1.15 38.20% 20.42% 23.80% 12.20%
    submitted by /u/Neuronas
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    What is going on with Roku?

    Posted: 12 Sep 2021 01:57 PM PDT

    Just made a relatively small investment into Roku recently and notice the stock is down significantly from the $415 price tag I paid for the first little batch of shares I picked up. I am not stressing it. I am more interested in whether or not this would be a good time to buy more. I am doing some dd on the company now and will upload all of my notes to the comments within a day or two. I am hoping to hear from the community and anyone educated on this company. Any thoughts are welcome!

    submitted by /u/mrfilthynasty4141
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    Low P/E ratio tech stocks but still not worth investing. thoughts?

    Posted: 11 Sep 2021 08:53 PM PDT

    1. INTC - slept while NVDA and AMD were busy creating the next biggest thing.
    2. DELL - has no competitive advantage, mediocre product offerings - just a historic brand name.
    3. CHKP - once the king of network security, FTNT and PANW are crushing this company down
    4. BABA - The fate of this company relies solely on the Chinese Government
    submitted by /u/trickintown
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    small cap growth stocks...any suggestions please?

    Posted: 12 Sep 2021 10:00 AM PDT

    I dont have much to do today and started screening/searching for some small cap growth stocks. Ideally a company or product that is something that a layperson can understand. Also, bio/pharma is a little too much of a crapshoot for my liking these days.....

    Any suggestions that I should do DD into?

    thanks all

    submitted by /u/ArnoldisKing
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    Is there one mistake you made this year, that you may have learned something and can share with the community so they can avoid?

    Posted: 11 Sep 2021 07:22 PM PDT

    Good evening everyone and thank you so much for reading my post. Last week I touched on a topic that was very helpful to everyone and gained much traction. This week I want to discuss just 1 major huge blunder.. No matter how great we are we all have made at least 1 mistake this past year.

    So please share with us 1 or more mistakes you have made so that others do not, or hopefully not make the same mistake. As a start I will tell you all my main mistake, how I fell into that mistake/why and where I should and will likely cut my losses in the future.

    I actually have 2 major mistakes this past year but they are in the same field. The mortgage sector. I was actually trading 5 names, but got stock in 2. I was trading LDI, HMPT, RKT, UWMC and COOP. The reason being that the mortgage sector was hugely profitable. They make cash hands over fists. They can do buybacks, special dividends and they do!

    So what happened? The 4th quarter of 2020 was absolutely smashing for the whole sector. All 5 at that time were making new highs. RKT and UWMC got the Reddit retail status. RKT, UWMC were actually doing buybacks and special dividends. LDI, which I am down a lot on actually smashed earnings badly, announced a special dividend first, a regular dividend….so how would you know not to buy? HMPT reported, the report was amazing. This was actually 10.50 after hours…. Then RKT reported [The market leader] the entire sector was a sinking ship. LDI and HMPT never recovered UWMC and RKT with their social media fame did for some time, but those 2 were stuck.

    What should I have done? Next time a market leader misses a report, and warns of margins I will sell at least half my position..if not more. It is usually the case that if the market leader shows weakness it may spread…what happened on the 2nd quarter report ending 6/30… HMPT and LDI laid eggs, which were foreshadowed in RKT's report.

    What was I waiting for? COOP reported earnings first before the whole sector… COOP beat by 3 dollars…. COOP is not the industry leader. I had it in my head to take the loss on LDI at 12, HMPT at 6….. I did not pull the trigger, after they released reports it went straight down……

    So what I learned is sell at least half!! Unless you do not mind waiting. They will be fine and are not going anywhere but I would rather not wait 3-6-9 months.

    Please share blunders so we can all try and get some ideas of what to do if we are in a similar situation. Thank you and have a great night/weekend.

    submitted by /u/UltimateTraders
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    Wash sale question - sources not clear on this one

    Posted: 12 Sep 2021 09:47 AM PDT

    Here's the situation. I bought 100 shares on Feb 6th 2021. I want to purchase another 100 shares tomorrow, Sep 13th 2021, then sell the 100 shares on Sep 14th 2021. From my understanding, this is not a wash sale, since the repurchase occurred more than 30 days after the initial purchase. Now I thought I was confident in this until someone showed me some sources that could contradict this, but they are not clear enough to this situation. Does this situation result in a wash sale? An experienced answer is appreciated.

    submitted by /u/musicmaker9
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    Dividing large sum to meet safety net?

    Posted: 12 Sep 2021 11:58 AM PDT

    I'm not really sure how to word this question but,

    If SIPC insures only around $500,000 in brokerage accounts, how do you safely invest large sums of money?

    Is this 250-500k for each account meaning you create a bunch of accounts and spread the total sum?

    Or do you just keep the 500k+ sum in one account and hope your brokerage is big enough to not go tits up?

    submitted by /u/MuzGotTheBooze
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    I created a generator for stooq charts with the possibility to draw on them (link in desc).

    Posted: 12 Sep 2021 09:19 AM PDT

    My variant of the watcher can be found here: https://dominikduda.github.io/You can draw on the chart, the drawings will disappear after scrolling.

    With very basic knowledge of programming and ruby installed you can generate such watcher for yourself with any amount of symbols from stooq and any amount of timeframes per symbol. The watcher is just a single "index.html" file.

    Here is the source code and instructions: https://github.com/dominikduda/dominikduda.github.io#readme

    submitted by /u/yazoodd
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    TINA is a reason to avoid equities not to dog pile into them.

    Posted: 12 Sep 2021 02:07 PM PDT

    IF there really is no alternative then people would be buying bonds and holding cash and eating the loss through inflation. That is the alternative.

    But that yield is too low so the rational thing is to pump equities which banks on a continuous inflow of money regardless of actual earnings/dividends?

    That's absurd.

    submitted by /u/Fitzroy86
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    Best option for charts

    Posted: 12 Sep 2021 01:54 PM PDT

    I've been investing for a while but the last two yrs have really gotten me to the point where I want more control and learn as much as I can about TA what chart systems does everyone use thanks and have a great day wish I found Reddit yrs ago

    submitted by /u/Top_Service_6152
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    We have to thank 2008 for all the wealth in equities

    Posted: 12 Sep 2021 09:26 AM PDT

    In 2001 Japan used something called quantitative easing. A bunch of slimy dudes in Florida and other states starting giving out ninja loans and the economy started to collapse due to all the shitty debt. But the US tried something for the first time, something Japan had tried - USA quantitative easing Through the 2008 recession and covid 19, we have seen the biggest equity growth in history. You could certainly say covid 19 was responsible, but the true hero is the sub prime mortgage crisis. If we hadn't gone into a sub prime mortgage crisis, the dow and s and p 500 would be half of what they are today ? Interesting to think about.[

    submitted by /u/noaskiecards
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    Let's Discuss: Uber Technologies.

    Posted: 12 Sep 2021 12:58 PM PDT

    Let's research a company together

    I've been watching Uber's business for quite a long time, since before their IPO. Here we've got this technology company that has designed a "product" that could ostensibly become ingrained into our everyday lives. I put product in quotes, because all they really did was copy the taxi industry and upload it to a google maps. But that doesn't in itself make it a bad idea, or, more importantly, a bad business, and they could come to own personal transportation in the future. They are making progress into the food delivery and freight businesses. Most people have used an Uber before, or at the very least know someone who has. Possibly some of you are Uber drivers right now.

    Yet the company has never printed a profit - in fact, they have spent (lost) cash at an astounding rate. (note: Uber's income showing in 2Q21 was mainly due to a paper-gain in their investment of DIDI, which went public earlier this year and which Uber owns a 12% early entry stake.Uber's Financials (trailng 12 months)

    Now, obviously this is no need to throw the stock out, as many of today's largest companies had similar beginnings. Growth companies invest in the future just like we do with our stocks. But the question must be asked: Does Uber have a reasonable path to sustainable profit?

    I think it's possible. Uber is investing heavily in research, marketing, and driver acquisition and retention. They could simply spend less, and they'd likely be able to provide positive cash flow immediately. But I don't think this is Uber's vision. Uber likely needs to become one of the main modes of transportation for a lot of people. Not just taking an Uber to the bar or to the airport. People need to see "Ubering" as one of their main transportation options. "Should we take the subway? I'll call a cab? No let's just get an Uber." This conversation needs to become the norm. So they are currently between a rock and a hard place, investing back their revenue to make Uber rides cheaper and more convenient to squeeze out their competition in the minds of their riders. The subway. The cab. The bus. Walking.

    What are main the things holding this company back? Aside from their research and development and marketing expenditures, which I see as mostly necessary, the foremost problem i see is definitely the DRIVER. Uber has to pay drivers. They have to background check them. They have to deal with accidents. They have to refund you if your Eats driver eats your double cheeseburger. They have to deal with the ramifications a global pandemic, preventing people from wanting to get in a vehicle with another person.

    Uber at one point was doing research into self-driving cars. They've since sold off that part of their business. What do we think about this decision?

    Is Uber just early? It's certainly possible that Uber will be remembered as one of the "too early" tech companies. Companies that had the right idea, but not the societal infrastructure around it to succeed. Companies destined to be replaced by a slew of more evolved, more efficient offspring. Picture with me a future: Densely-packed urban areas. 50, 60, 100 million people (look at China, not too far away). No personal vehicles allowed throughout most of the city, and certainly no combustion engines. The standard mode of transportation are personal single or double occupancy "pods" that you call from your mobile device. How about something like this, from the video game Detroit Become Human. Picks you up, drops you off. No driver, no hassle (no sexual assault lawsuits either). It works because the whole city's network facilitates it. In this vision, I see Uber (and similar companies) being one of the most important companies in the entire world. But again, maybe they're too early.

    What are your thoughts? Are you already an investor? Or maybe a seller? Or possibly just a lurker like me.

    submitted by /u/brandnewredditacct
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    Trying to not make the same mistake twice…

    Posted: 12 Sep 2021 10:45 AM PDT

    Year-End 2020, I only had 2 long term holds which where TSLA and AAPL and I got away with swing trading other stocks for 1-2 month intervals as they always somehow ended up green. It was late Jan / early Feb 2021 and my account was 80% cash because I decided to stop gambling and wanted to only hold long term positions. I made the mistake of using half the cash to buy most of the ARK etfs and used the other half to average down around -10-15% and never expected them to reach -35-40%. In June I was able to exit at break even to -10% losses. Now again I'm in the same position of being like 85-90% cash for the past few months but this time I've decided to hold mainly large cap tech and only have 5-10% in speculative stocks. I've only started a small position in AMZN after the earnings drop. I want to jump in but this is reminding me of February of this year, and I not trying to be stressed out for months all over again. Should I just DCA, wait for the "highly anticipated correction" and buy at my desired prices or should I just start positions in stocks like V , TSM etc who have barely moved YTD and probably are less prone to dropping as much during a correction.

    submitted by /u/ghost3five-
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    Is UWMC worth building?

    Posted: 12 Sep 2021 01:07 AM PDT

    Hi all, I have a sizable position in UWMC because of its dividend payout and monthly covered call income. I keep seeing people saying it's undervalued and would be better in the future, but I'm not so sure given their recent earnings. Does anyone here believe UWMC is worth holding long term? Or should I just dump it?

    submitted by /u/regretnothingTTB
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