• Breaking News

    Sunday, September 19, 2021

    Stocks - How would you manage 500k USD?

    Stocks - How would you manage 500k USD?


    How would you manage 500k USD?

    Posted: 19 Sep 2021 05:46 AM PDT

    Imagine you get 500k USD. Assume it's all your net worth and you don't have other assets like property, just a job with a monthly income of $ 3,500 after taxes. How would you use that capital with a 10-year horizon with the idea of ​​preserving and increasing it? I was thinking using the Warren buffet strategy as the market is so expensive: 40% cash and 60% stocks. I would have 200k in the bank and invest 300k in an etf like VOO or VTI. The 300k invested in a single lump sum. If there is a crash I would have money available ready to continue making DCA plus more income from work. I would continue renting since I am not interested in buying properties as prices are through the roof. What would you do differently?

    submitted by /u/No_Mushroom7353
    [link] [comments]

    Is Evergrande in the process of liquidation?

    Posted: 19 Sep 2021 07:21 AM PDT

    I read this article by Reuters (link below) and it very much sounds like Evergrande is going through a liquidation/default without having liquidation explicitly in the title?

    Can anyone explain to me the difference, if this isn't a cut and dry liquidation?

    https://www.reuters.com/world/china/evergrande-begins-repaying-investors-with-discounted-properties-bloomberg-news-2021-09-19/

    submitted by /u/SunnyGrassBeachRelax
    [link] [comments]

    Why did The Coca-Cola Company choose KO as their symbol?

    Posted: 19 Sep 2021 10:50 AM PDT

    I know that COKE is the symbol for the bottling company while KO is the symbol for the parent company. My question is why they chose KO as their symbol all those years ago? Why not CC or CCO or CO or something more similar to their company name?

    submitted by /u/afishcalledryan
    [link] [comments]

    wall street projections are mostly phony

    Posted: 19 Sep 2021 11:21 AM PDT

    Charlie Munger says if you want to get rid of a problematic stock, hire an investment banker to pump the shit out of that stock.

    Isn't that how you feel about most stock price targets?

    Analysts pull prices out of their ass, and enough traders in the world react to them.

    submitted by /u/pman6
    [link] [comments]

    Amazon is piling ads into search results and top consumer brands are paying up for prominent placement

    Posted: 19 Sep 2021 07:41 AM PDT

    https://www.cnbc.com/2021/09/19/amazon-piles-ads-into-search-results-as-big-brands-pay-for-placement.html

    Amazon is adding more sponsored product ads to the top of search results.

    Sponsored product ads accounted for roughly 73% of retailers' Amazon ad spend in the second quarter of 2021, according to digital marketing agency Merkle.

    Ad prices have surged on Amazon as competition has flourished.

    This is showing that amazon digital and search ad business is growing very fast. It is the bright spot next to the superior aws cloud business. As more and more sellers compete on amazon platform, the digital and search ad business will be grow even faster. Investors who holding on amazon stocks will be rewarded toward the year end.

    submitted by /u/coolcomfort123
    [link] [comments]

    If the market crash Michael Burry and others predict were to happen. Which jobs are at the most risk of being lost?

    Posted: 19 Sep 2021 10:59 AM PDT

    When the dot com bubble and 2008 crash happened. I remember seeing news clips of people leaving their offices with boxes of their stuff. The 2020 COVID crash had entire jobs shut down. If you worked at home you got lucky but now when I walk the streets of my city I see a lot of for rent signs of restaurants/stores that didnt make it.

    If this crash being predicted were to happen whose jobs are at risk? Or would it be possible for there to be a stock market crash with no job losses?

    submitted by /u/joethemaker22
    [link] [comments]

    Old Stock Certificate

    Posted: 19 Sep 2021 09:54 AM PDT

    Grandfather left me 6000 shares in the form of two stock certificates for a company called Tri-state Uranium Company issued in 1954. I can't seem to find anything on them. Any thoughts on where to look would be much appreciated.

    submitted by /u/drycleanman12
    [link] [comments]

    How to monitor the supply chain disruptions

    Posted: 19 Sep 2021 01:27 PM PDT

    Current situation:

    • Inflation (core PCE) has consistently been below 2.0% for over a decade.
    • Now, customers are experiencing large price increases to many goods & services due to supply chain disruptions & labor shortages.
    • Some parts of inflations may be transitory while other parts may be permanent. It will be important to the Federal Reserve to get it right because:
      • if inflation is transitory even though core PCE is above 2.0%: Fiscal policy should be accommodative (no rate hikes) and the business cycle should continue so supply can catch up with demand
      • if inflation is persistent + core PCE is above 2.0%: Probably a good idea for fiscal policy to take some rate hikes to tame inflation

    1. What respondents are saying (ISM Manufacturing Index)

    • Why: General qualitative commentary from purchasing managers at more than 300 manufacturing firms
    • What's going on: Shortages of materials, parts, and chips impacting supply chain lines, factories impacted by COVID-19 cases, port delays, fewer applicants to help
    • Where: ISM Report On Business® (ismworld.org)

    2. Supplier Deliveries (ISM Manufacturing Index)

    • Why: Anything above 50 means it's difficult for suppliers to meet customer demands.
    • What's going on: It's at 69.2 and well above 50 since the pandemic started so it's been difficult for suppliers to meet customer demands due to ongoing hiring challenges, extended lead times for for raw materials at lower tiers & higher prices, and inconsistent transportation availability
    • Where: ISM Report On Business® (ismworld.org)

    3. Customer' Inventories (ISM Manufacturing Index)

    • Why: Anything below 50 means inventories for customers are too low
    • What's going on: It's at 30.2 and well below 50 for the 13th month in a row. Less inventory may mean some of the companies you own may have less inventory to sell & hit their revenue targets
    • Where: ISM Report On Business® (ismworld.org)

    4. Backlog of Orders (ISM Manufacturing Index)

    • Why: Anything above 50 means the backlog of orders are growing.
    • What's going on: It's at 68.2 and well above 50 so a growing backlog reflects production for manufacturers not keeping up with orders from customers hence why they're in the backlog
    • Where: ISM Report On Business® (ismworld.org)

    5. # of container ships at anchor in Los Angles & Long Beach

    • Why: More ships at anchor (waiting to dock and get unloaded) means it going to be difficult for trade to flow. This is also the #1 largest sea port complex in the Western Hemisphere handling ~33% of U.S. imports
    • What's going on: All-time high with 86 vessels still on anchor as of 9/17. So many ships at anchor & unable to unload inventory.
    • Where: Daily ship report tweeted by Marine Exchange (@MXSOCAL) / Twitter

    6. Freightos Baltic Index (FBX): Global Container Freight Index

    • Why: Fewer ships available validated by # of container ships at anchor in California (mentioned above) means price of shipping of shipping is going up. Higher shipping costs makes it difficult for manufacturers to make goods and customers get the inventory they need to meet demand.
    • What's going on: The index is at $11,000 compared to only about $1,200 before COVID
    • Where: Freight Rate Index / Freightos Baltic Container Index
    submitted by /u/ricke813
    [link] [comments]

    Why do so many emerging markets ETFs still have a lot of China exposure?

    Posted: 19 Sep 2021 02:19 PM PDT

    I was looking into emerging market ETF to diversify outside the US/internationally. And noticed quite a few emerging market ETFs had Chinese stocks as their top holdings. For example EEM.

    I'm aware there are ETFs that exclude China. But why do any include China in the first place. China is #2 in GDP. Hasnt it grown out of that label and that isnt even getting into the CCP regulation risk.

    submitted by /u/WickedSensitiveCrew
    [link] [comments]

    Some alternative stocks / NOT HYPED TECH STOCKS

    Posted: 19 Sep 2021 11:48 AM PDT

    Hi guys,

    Can somebody please give some insights on some stocks with solid earnings and steady growth? A Company that is not hyped and followed by countless of Wall street Analysts?

    Some boring Products with boring name!

    Let me hear! Thx

    submitted by /u/HiImAlexXD
    [link] [comments]

    Overlooked stocks that supply growing industries

    Posted: 18 Sep 2021 07:45 PM PDT

    Reposting an updated version of this thread.

    We see a lot of hype around popular industries like genomics, semiconductors, or cars, and often these hyped-up stocks end up becoming scarily overvalued.

    Another way to invest in growing and hyped-up industries is to invest into companies that produce the supplies for these industries, rather than the big-names at the face of it. Not to mention, you're more likely to win if you invest in a supplier versus one of the many small cap companies looking to get in on the next big thing. In some industries, like electric cars or semiconductors, the hype has already consumed supply stocks such as lithium battery stocks.

    This discussion is primarily inspired by /u/Thereian's comment describing these kind of stock picks:

    ENTG - Semiconduct manufacturing supplier. They supply all major players. Lots of battles going on in this industry but no matter who wins (Taiwan Semi, Intel, etc) they get paid. And all of the investment that Intel and Taiwan Semi are making to build billions of dollars worth of FABs? Yeah, Entegris will get their chunk of that money. They sell the equipment upfront and the consumables going forward. Truly a fantastic company, I've owned since 2009 and am still completely bullish.

    TMO - Similar to the above philosophy. Lots of expensive cell and gene therapy companies out there, those are high risk. But there's a low-risk high-reward play: Thermo Fisher. Just like ENTG in the example above, Thermo is a supplier to the whole industry. While those biotechs remain unprofitable, the suppliers are getting paid and Thermo is making absolute bank in a rapid growth industry and yet it trades at a PE of 20...absurd. It'll double or triple in a couple years.

    I'm an engineer focused on raw materials, so I'm a bit biased but I have seen suppliers make money hand over fist while the companies buying these things are burning cash or barely scraping by. Thats what drove me to look in to high-moat suppliers in the first place and I will continue to.

    Other tickers mentioned in the previous thread for this topic include:

    $ILMN: Provides tools for genomics work. Seems to have a high P/E and is a bit of a popular genomic play, though.

    $LEA and $ADNT: Auto parts suppliers. Pretty cyclical industry and unstable charts, however.

    URI: United Rentals, construction equipment rentals. Might benefit from infrastructure spending. Not exactly what we think of as supply but I'll leave it here.

    $SWKS: Semiconductor supply picks are popular but this one was mentioned the most as people believe it to be undervalued.

    $MTRN: Metals company involved in parts for "EV, space, and renewables."

    $CDW: Provider of IT programs for business, government, and education. Again, not exactly supply but it was mentioned and piqued my interest.

    What do you all think of this investment strategy? Are any of these stocks on your radar? What else would you add?

    submitted by /u/AristotleKarataev
    [link] [comments]

    Do earnings and fundamentals mean more to you now than before? Do you find yourself getting in with the hot trade? Be honest

    Posted: 19 Sep 2021 05:38 AM PDT

    Good morning everyone and thank you so much for reading my post.

    In the 90's retail ws about 2% of daily volume.. In 2019 the estimate was around 12%. After commission free trading, gamification retail is said to be 25-30% of daily volume. Do to this fact, there are going to be extremes in the market. Unfortunately, I believe that charts, fundamentals, earnings, do not mean the same anymore.. Ask stocks like NLS, SMED, BZH, CONN, EAF, and these are just 5…

    So I am trying to get a consensus if it actual fundamentals matter to you in a trade. 3 months ago I would have told you no, it is the same way I make a decision in a trade. However, the last 3 months has been very odd, where mega caps and blue chips are making record highs and small caps are getting whacked regardless of charts or fundamentals….

    So, for myself I am slowly adapting and letting go that a stock must have fundamentals for myself to make a trade. Any thoughts?

    submitted by /u/UltimateTraders
    [link] [comments]

    Automation ETFs?

    Posted: 19 Sep 2021 04:25 AM PDT

    This is a sector I'm looking to get deeper into and don't know much about, so I figure the shotgun approach would be best.

    For context I already have a small stake in $THNQ (not totally sure if that counts as automation or AI?) and would be investing in my IRA where it would likely sit for decades.

    submitted by /u/jmorlin
    [link] [comments]

    My Coinbase analysis

    Posted: 18 Sep 2021 06:17 PM PDT

    Should I Buy Coinbase Highlights

    Coinbase was one of the most highly anticipated IPO's on the NASDAQ in 2021. The company has over $180billion of assets on the platform and over 68 million users worldwide.

    About

    Coinbase is one of the go-to platforms for people wanting to invest in crypto the easy way. Coinbase was one of the first platforms to make cryptocurrencies easy for people to buy and sell.

    The previous method prior to Coinbase involved terminal commands and remembering lengthy codes. A slide from one of the companies pitch decks illustrates this perfectly.

    Coinbase Stock Price

    Coinbase is listed on the NASDAQ under the ticker symbol COIN (COIN:NASDAQ) and currently trades on a market capitalisation of US$51.26 billion with a stock price of $243.

    Coinbase IPO Price

    • What was the Coinbase IPO Price? Coinbase completed its direct listing on the NASDAQ with a reference price of $250 when it IPO'd back in April 2021.
    • What date did coinbase IPO? Coinbase IPO'd on April 14 opening at $381 before briefly topping $400.

    Coinbase Latest Financial Report

    The group in the quarter generated over $2.0 billion in net revenue, including $1.9 billion in transaction revenue and over $100million in subscription and services-based revenue. Net income for the quarter was $1.6 billion and Adjusted EBITDA was $1.1 billion.

    As volatility and crypto asset prices are highly correlated with trading
    revenue, the crypto market environment heavily influenced our Q2 financial results.
    Coinbase Q2 FY21 Report

    The above quote from the group seems to indicate that a period of volatility also means that trading volumes will be higher, it is assumed that the group means both highs and lows in the underlying crypto's encourage users to trade more often.

    In the groups, 2Q21 report to the market Coinbase points out that As of March 31, 2021, Assets on Platform totalled $223 billion, representing 11.3% of the total market capitalization of crypto assets.

    As the industry develops over time, we expect this to increase as Institutional companies will start committing more of their funds into crypto. We are only really at the tip of the iceberg when it comes to institutional participation in crypto.

    Coinbase Income Statement 2Q21

    Coinbase has increased its key metrics from revenue, gross profit and net income across the board since releasing its first set of quarterly results in June 2020.

    The AGR on Coinbase Income is over 4000% since their first set of quarterlies, whilst we can't see this continuing we see no reason why income cannot grow at large double-digit multiples until at least 2023.

    Is Coinbase Reliant on Bitcoin?

    In group financial reports the dependence on trading volume in relation to Bitcoin has decreased over time with trading volume in other crypto-assets now higher than Bitcoin. Interestingly Ethereum Trading volumes as of 2Q21 have now also outstripped BTC, this is potentially due to the higher volatility of the crypto.

    Coinbase Fundamentals

    • PE ratio (TTM): 17.91
    • Price to Book (PB): 13.80
    • Price to Sales: 10.4x
    • PEG Ratio: 0.99x
    • EPS (TTM): 13.58

    The company has a PE ratio of 17.91x and a price to sales ratio of 10.4x. The PE ratio of 17.91 sits below the average NASDAQ PE Ratio which is currently around 28x, the group P/S ratio, however, sits above the NASDAQ Average of ~5x

    Peer Comparison

    Square and PayPal currently trade on P/E ratio's of 249x and 67x respectively. COIN stock for comparison is trading on a P/E of 17.91x. Coinbase Stock is also trading at a similar P/S ratio, however, generating significantly more EPS than SQ or PYPL.

    Coinbase Stock Competitors

    Coinbase has a number of competitors internationally:

    • Binance
    • Robinhood
    • Blockchain
    • Bitrex
    • Bitfinex

    Coinbase has no publicly listed competitors in which to compare their valuations other than Robinhood (however these companies are also generating revenues in significantly different ways).

    Interestingly enough, although Binance is not a publically listed company we can obtain data through the companies 'burning' of their BNB token.

    Outlined in the original Binance Coin whitepaper, the company pledged to burn BNB tokens equal to 20% of its quarterly profits. With BNB tokens valued at $390 million burned this quarter, Binance should have made close to $2 billion in profit since April.

    We see an advantage in COIN Stock being the only publicly listed company on the list with a focus directly on crypto. Our reasoning for this is around institutional and high net wealth individuals and the perception of trust in the company.

    We see as more and more institutions look to invest in the crypto-economy they will seek stability and trust in whom they are conducting business with, as COIN Stock is publicly listed we believe this creates a higher perception of trust.

    Should I Buy Coin Stock – Key Business Risks

    1. Coinbase may not be able to trade every asset on our centralized exchange for regulatory reasons
    2. Erosion of the companies transaction revenue due to increased competition
    3. Declining interest in crypto-economy, however the reverse is also COIN Stocks key upsides.
    4. Hacking of the system

    Key Upside Opportunities

    • Increased growth of the crypto-economy as a whole (think of Google in the 2000's, as the internet grew, so did google)
    • Subscription based revenues to continue growing at large rates
    • Release of NFT platform on Coinbase (Potentially buying OpenSea)
    • International Expansion into Japan and Germany (Flagged in Q2FY21)
    • Increased traction of Coinbase USDC (StableCoin)

    Ownership Structure

    Coinbase stock is owned predominantly by the General public at 40.9% with individual insiders and institutions taking up the next largest slices of the structure at 23.6% and 22.5% respectively.

    CEO of Coinbase Brian Armstrong is the largest individual holder in COIN stock with 17.12% of the float. Co-Founder Fredrick Ehrsam also continues to hold large portions of Stock. Other notable holders include ARK Invest and the VC firm Andreessen Horowitz.

    Summary

    The only real negative we hear around the investment community is the risk of new participants into the space, however, we believe Coinbase is potentially 5-years ahead of any competition based on the below:

    1. Coinbase Cloud, allowing devs and users to intergrate and develop platform ontop of COIN's ecosystem and hooking directly into the platforms API's
    2. The trust of Institutions in Coinbase, as more and more institutions seek exposure to crypto assets, they will typically rely on the most trusted solution.
    3. As the only publicaly listed crypto company of this nature we believe institutions will be attracted to the perceived 'security' of COIN Stock over other competitors

    Coinbase Stock has continued to generate significant growth in revenues and earnings over the past 8 quarters, with a significant turning point in the last year. We believe Coinbase Stock will continue to surprise the upside and see the potential for significant growth from institutional demand in the crypto-economy in the near term.

    COIN Stock has spent over 7 years developing systems and overcoming challenges that the company now plans to commercialize through the use of the Coinbase Cloud Platform. We see this move as the Amazon of the crypto world and will provide the tools required for other companies to build products on top of.

    Let me know your thoughts and if ive missed soemthing

    submitted by /u/ProphetInvest
    [link] [comments]

    Xos Inc (XOS) EV Manufacturer - Heavy Increases in Volume and +22% in 2 trading days

    Posted: 19 Sep 2021 10:03 AM PDT

    XOS: Summary

    Xos is an electric truck maker, specializing in all-electric medium- and heavy-duty trucks optimized for 'last-mile' commercial operations. This is a niche particularly well suited to EVs, especially larger, heavier models with charge ranges between 100 and 200 miles. That is sufficient for daily operations in urban areas, making final deliveries in the 'last mile' of a supply chain operation.

    Xos Inc is focused on decarbonizing transportation with reliable electric trucks, and powertrains. They produces Class 5-8 last-mile electric delivery vehicles that are. They're inexpensive to maintain and upkeep, and they're making a difference for the planet.

    XOS Analysis

    Only one Wall Street analyst is currently offering 12 month price targets for XOS in the past couple months. Michael Shlisky initiated coverage with a BUY rating on XOS with a price target of $19. Other analysts have chimed in as well from other financial anal-loving analysts on Yahoo Finance and the average price among them is just north of $17.00.

    The word on The Street in general, suggests a Strong Buy analyst consensus rating for Xos with a $20.00 average price target.

    XOS Insider Activity

    George N Mattson, Director at XOS made a large insider buy on September 15, 2021. This is according to an SEC filing.

    A Form 4 filing Wednesday showed that Mattson purchased 27,870 shares of Xos at a price of $6.15 per share. The total transaction amounted to $171,400.

    Following the transaction, Mattson now owns 9,402,870 shares of the company, worth $59,050,023.

    XOS Technical

    RSI (14) - 48.76: Neutral

    Average Directional Index (14) - 37.73: Buy

    Momentum (10) - 0.52: Buy

    MACD Level (12, 26) -0.50: Buy

    Stochastic RSI Fast (3, 3, 14, 14) - 68.50: Neutral

    Williams Percent Range (14) - 48.81: Neutral

    EMA(10)7.07: Buy

    SMA(10) - 7.27: Buy

    EMA (20) - 7.40: Buy

    SMA(20) - 7.04: Buy

    Volume Weighted Moving Average (20) - 7.05: Buy

    submitted by /u/SavienKennedy
    [link] [comments]

    QQQM up 2.33% after hours???

    Posted: 19 Sep 2021 05:37 AM PDT

    Can anyone help me understand this? I know after hours trading can be a bit volatile, but what would explain this jump in QQQM? It's not matched by QQQ and nothing in the after hours trading among the top 10 Nasdaq 100 stocks justifies this. I expect the next few pre-market trades will likely be significantly lower before the market opens tmrw, right?

    https://imgur.com/a/6uSSQ6Y

    submitted by /u/Beautiful-Finance-32
    [link] [comments]

    What is a good short percentage?

    Posted: 19 Sep 2021 01:04 PM PDT

    More and more people speculate about the upcoming correction that is supposed to be the mother of all corrections.

    I personally think that timing the market is a waste of time and that people tried it over and over again and failed at it. Still there are some things that do concern me (the super fast recovery, inflation, upcoming interest hikes and so on, the fact that the market grew so crazy fast in past years, etc etc) which might move the market into a serious correction.

    I'm currently about 1,5% short in the market via a 2x inverse ETF on the S&P500.

    What do you think is a good hedge percentage? Is there anything that we know how much hedgefunds take as an insurance?

    submitted by /u/owenbo
    [link] [comments]

    What mid cap-small cap stocks would you recommend to a 16 yr old who is doing fidelities new under 18 program?

    Posted: 19 Sep 2021 08:38 AM PDT

    Since my time horizon is at minimum 3-5 years, I am looking more into the future, what companies would you recommend?

    I'm thinking to start off some AMD would be good, and also maybe NET since cyber security is going to be huge in the next decade, and also potentially Microsoft and apple. Also going to buy some general market ETF's for the long long term.

    What are some more small-mid cap stocks would you recommend to invest in that are in growing industries?

    submitted by /u/Thefishman1
    [link] [comments]

    I don't quite understand PIP and Bps.

    Posted: 19 Sep 2021 01:52 AM PDT

    I have 2 questions and I was wondering if someone can clear something up for me.

    1. looking at investopedia's definition of PIP, (or even Bps), its clear that 1Bps is = to 0.01% so 100Bps = 1%

    it uses an example stating

    For example, the smallest move the USD/CAD currency pair can make is $0.0001 or one basis point.

    yet, if it goes from $0.0001 to $0.0002 thats a 100% change, or a 100Bps change. i am not seeing how thats a 1 basis point change.

    1. my second question is just on the definition of PIP. it states it generally uses 4 decimal points because thats usually the defined rate for USA forex. but on some like the USA/YEN, it goes to 2 decimal points. does that mean in this case, 1 PIP change is only up to 0.01? (i.e. PIP definition is defined relative to the smallest possible quoted change? and not necessary locked to a defined term of $0.0001?)
    submitted by /u/LearningKR
    [link] [comments]

    Any disadvantages investing in USD stocks on the NYSE with EUR and GBP?

    Posted: 19 Sep 2021 12:00 AM PDT

    I get paid in USD through a US employer, while living in Asia. I now have some investments with SaxoBank in a dollar account.

    I also have an account with Trading 212, but they created my account in EUR and I cannot have a 2nd account in USD. Not a big problem, since I also have euros to invest.

    Are there any downsides to investing €5k in BRK.B:NYSE as this one is nominated in USD.

    Screenshot: https://i.imgur.com/jRCRXWtl.png

    Will the exchange rate difference just automatically be applied and no extra costs are charged? Or should I also be careful with currency conversion costs between EUR and USD?

    submitted by /u/ujjain
    [link] [comments]

    No comments:

    Post a Comment