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    Tuesday, August 3, 2021

    Stocks - r/Stocks Daily Discussion & Technicals Tuesday - Aug 03, 2021

    Stocks - r/Stocks Daily Discussion & Technicals Tuesday - Aug 03, 2021


    r/Stocks Daily Discussion & Technicals Tuesday - Aug 03, 2021

    Posted: 03 Aug 2021 02:30 AM PDT

    This is the daily discussion, so anything stocks related is fine, but the theme for today is on technical analysis (TA), but if TA is not your thing then just ignore the theme and/or post your arguments against TA here and not in the current post.

    Some helpful day to day links, including news:


    Technical analysis (TA) uses historical price movements, real time data, indicators based on math and/or statistics, and charts; all of which help measure the trajectory of a security. TA can also be used to interpret the actions of other market participants and predict their actions.

    The main benefit to TA is that everything shows up in the price (commonly known as "priced in"): All news, investor sentiment, and changes to fundamentals are reflected in a security's price.

    TA can be useful on any timeframe, both short and long term.

    Intro to technical analysis by Stockcharts chartschool and their article on candlesticks

    If you have questions, please see the following word cloud and click through for the wiki:

    Indicator - Trade Signals - Lagging Indicator - Leading Indicator - Oversold - Overbought - Divergence - Whipsaw - Resistance - Support - Breakout/Breakdown - Alerts - Trend line - Market Participants - Moving average - RSI - VWAP - MACD - ATR - Bollinger Bands - Ichimoku clouds - Methods - Trend Following - Fading - Channels - Patterns - Pivots

    See our past daily discussions here. Also links for: Technicals Tuesday, Options Trading Thursday, and Fundamentals Friday.

    submitted by /u/AutoModerator
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    GE made me shit myself

    Posted: 03 Aug 2021 05:45 AM PDT

    I woke up and turned on CNBC and saw the crawler indicate GE at $100/share. As a former bag holder who got out at a decent loss I messed my night time knickers thinking what tf why didn't I just hold!?! Turns out there was a 8-1 reverse stock split and nothing has changed with that terrible company. Read more here: https://www.investopedia.com/terms/r/reversesplit.asp

    submitted by /u/Bubba_Leon
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    Where would you put 10k today?

    Posted: 03 Aug 2021 08:03 AM PDT

    Hi all, new the sub and have been enjoying reading everybody's perspectives.

    I have 10k to invest today. My portfolio is currently very heavy on AAPL, which I've held for 10 years and have no intention of selling anytime soon.

    I'm mostly interested in longer term investments - looking at the next 5-10 years at least.

    What would you personally buy into today? So curious to see responses.

    Edit: wow I was not anticipating so much response. Thanks everyone for your thoughts except those of you who said snarky things 🙂 I love hearing your thoughts and thinking on them myself.

    submitted by /u/grizzbly
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    Corsair Q2: EPS: $0.36 v $0.43 Revenue: $472.9M v $466M

    Posted: 03 Aug 2021 04:13 AM PDT

    Net revenue was $472.9 million, an increase of 24.3% year-over-year. Gamer and creator peripherals segment net revenue was $155.2 million, an increase of 40.9% year-over-year. Gaming components and systems segment net revenue was $317.7 million, an increase of 17.6% year-over-year.

    Gross profit was $130.4 million, an increase of 24.1% year-over-year, with gross margin of 27.6%, flat year-over-year. Gamer and creator peripherals segment gross profit was $54.6 million, an increase of 41.0% year-over-year. Gaming components and systems segment gross profit was $75.7 million, an increase of 14.2% year-over-year.

    Net income was $27.7 million, or $0.28 per diluted share, compared to net income of $22.6 million in the same period last year, or $0.26 per diluted share.

    https://ir.corsair.com/news-releases/news-release-details/corsair-gaming-reports-second-quarter-2021-financial-results

    submitted by /u/i_like_dolphins_
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    Alibaba Group Announces June Quarter 2021 Results

    Posted: 03 Aug 2021 04:20 AM PDT

    BUSINESS HIGHLIGHTS

    In the quarter ended June 30, 2021:

    • Revenue was RMB205,740 million (US$31,865 million), an increase of 34% year-over-year. Excluding the consolidation of Sun Art, our revenue would have grown 22% year-over-year to RMB187,306 million (US$29,010 million).
    • Annual active consumers of the Alibaba Ecosystem across the world reached approximately 1.18 billion for the twelve months ended June 30, 2021, an increase of 45 million from the twelve months ended March 31, 2021. This includes 912 million consumers in China1 and 265 million consumers overseas served by Lazada, AliExpress, Trendyol and Daraz.
    • Income from operations was RMB30,847 million (US$4,778 million), a decrease of 11% year-over-year. Adjusted EBITDA, a non-GAAP measurement, decreased 5% year-over-year to RMB48,628 million (US$7,532 million). Adjusted EBITA, a non-GAAP measurement, decreased 8% year-over-year to RMB41,731 million (US$6,463 million). The year-over-year decreases were primarily due to our investments in strategic areas to capture incremental opportunities, such as Community Marketplaces, Taobao Deals, Local Consumer Services and Lazada, as well as our increased spending on growth initiatives within China retail marketplaces, such as Idle Fish and Taobao Live, and our support to merchants.
    • Net income attributable to ordinary shareholders was RMB45,141 million (US$6,991 million), and net income was RMB42,835 million (US$6,634 million). Non-GAAP net income was RMB43,441 million (US$6,728 million), an increase of 10% year-over-year, mainly due to an increase in share of profit of equity method investees.
    • Diluted earnings per ADS was RMB16.38 (US$2.54) and diluted earnings per share was RMB2.05 (US$0.32 or HK$2.46). Non-GAAP diluted earnings per ADS was RMB16.60 (US$2.57), an increase of 12% year-over-year and non-GAAP diluted earnings per share was RMB2.08 (US$0.32 or HK$2.50), an increase of 12% year-over-year.
    • Net cash provided by operating activities was RMB33,603 million (US$5,204 million). Non-GAAP free cash flow was RMB20,683 million (US$3,203 million), a decrease compared to RMB36,570 million in the same quarter of 2020, mainly due to the partial settlement in the amount of RMB9,114 million (US$1,412 million) of the RMB18,228 million fine levied earlier this year by China's State Administration for Market Regulation pursuant to China's Anti-monopoly Law (the "Anti-monopoly Fine") and a decrease in profit as a result of our investments in key strategic areas.

    Link: https://finance.yahoo.com/news/alibaba-group-announces-june-quarter-105400522.html

    submitted by /u/dhpw2
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    SQ and Afterpay. Please don't fall for it seriously

    Posted: 02 Aug 2021 05:05 PM PDT

    All I can say is wow - paid $30b USD for a company doing $100m EBITDA and pretty saturated in terms of user base in Australia. 20% dilution, but mkt does not care and up 10%? So it's effectively a $175b mkt cap ($275 share price x 635 diluted shares) - yea that's right - go and check how sneaky the anti dilutive shares are ....

    Dorsey just bailed out 2 smart Aussies and paid them $2b USD each.

    With the stimulus cliff now real, be prepared for weak Q3 21 results - no stimulus, no money in bank account of low income CashApp users! Toughest yoy comps - only Arkk and unsuspecting retail investors will keep buying shares at these levels, but it ain't going to end well.

    Fwiw, stock is on 35x Q2 21 sales i.e. with peak stimulus - one just needs to look at the balance sheet to see how flawed the thesis of Square disrupting the banks is - even with 35m actives, they have only gather $4b in deposits? Pathetic ... but makes senses - their cohort is low income and hardly saves. I can't see anyone from a well respected bank like Chase of Bank of America Prefered Rewards switching their primary banking relationship to Cashapp.

    Stimulus-driven tailwinds are done, and the music will stop - no wonder he had to buy Afterpay to plug the massive revenue hole that's about to come.

    submitted by /u/nycbay
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    Here is a Market Recap for today Tuesday, August 3, 2021v

    Posted: 03 Aug 2021 01:36 PM PDT

    PsychoMarket Recap - Tuesday, August 3, 2021

    Stocks rose today, reversing from yesterday's losses and extending the current run of day-to-day volatility. Like I said yesterday, I expect a lot of choppiness moving forward as the market participants continue to balance record corporate earnings and expectations for economic expansion with concerns surrounding the coronavirus Delta variant and inflation. Looking ahead, market participants wait for the July Jobs Report, set to be released on Friday.

    Concerns surrounding the highly contagious coronavirus Delta variant continue to rise, with Florida now emerging as the US' new epicenter for the disease. Cases in Florida have jumped dramatically, going from 2432 on July 1 to 38,776 on July 30 and have so far had three consecutive days of record infections. Thankfully, however, despite the surge in cases, the death rate has so far remained stable and relatively low, a sign that the vaccines are very effective at preventing hospitalizations and serious death.

    In the US, despite roughly 50% of the population being vaccinated, in the past two weeks, infections across the country have roughly doubled, with new cases jumping from 13,200 on July 4 to 78,433 as of July 31, according to data compiled by John Hopkins University. However, it is important to note, despite the surge the 7-day average of deaths is 360, once again according to John Hopkins University. However, it is very important to understand that cases remain highly concentrated in areas with high vaccine hesitancy, among other factors. For example, last week 1 in 3 new COVID infections came from just two states: Texas and Florida, according to the White House. While one always has to understand the risks present in the market, in my humble opinion, I don't think the Delta variant will weigh too heavily on the US economy as a whole.

    According to data from the CDC, 97% of people who have died or been hospitalized with COVID-19 since the vaccine became widely available are unvaccinated. Dr Rochelle Walensky, Director of CDC said of the rising cases, "There is a clear message that is coming through. This is becoming a pandemic of the unvaccinated. Our biggest concern is we are going to continue to see preventable cases, hospitalizations, and sadly deaths among the unvaccinated." Sadly, despite the widespread availability of the vaccine in the US, hesitancy in certain places remains very high.

    So far, 59% of the companies in the S&P 500 (SPY) have reported Q2 earnings, with 88% of these beating analyst expectations, according to FactSet. This quarter is shaping up to be another record-breaking one, with corporate earnings growth rate expected to accelerate 85%, which would be the biggest jump since the Q4 2009.

    However, it is important to note that, despite beating earnings expectations, a number of these companies have pulled back, with tepid outlooks moving forward overshadowing strong results. Moving forward, given that most companies have so far exceeded pre-pandemic levels and the current quarter has an easy comparison to last year, expectations for growth are inevitably going to moderate. This said, I think the pullback in some stocks following earnings is an overreaction.

    Highlights

    • General Motors (GM) said it will be closing three of its North American assembly plants next week due to the global shortage in semiconductors.
    • Shares of Tencent (TCEHY) fell 10% after a state-media called video games "spiritual opium". This prompted Tencent to say it will limit gaming time for minors and may even ban those under 12 from its platform. Looks like the regulatory crackdown in China continues…
    • After a disappointing IPO, shares of Robinhood (HOOD) gapped up more than 25% today. Stock is now roughly 27% above it's IPO price of $38
    • French pharma giant Sanofi bought Translate Bio, a biotech company focused on using mRNA to develop other vaccines and therapeutics. Paul Hudson, Sanofi CEO, said of the acquisition, "Translate Bio adds an mRNA technology platform and strong capabilities to our research, further advancing our ability to explore the promise of this technology to develop both best-in-class vaccines and therapeutics."
    • Yesterday, semiconductor company Micron Technology announced it was starting a $0.10 dividend, a great sign that company operations are strong.
    • **Please note that current stock price was written during the session and may not reflect closing prices*\*
    • Arista Networks (ANET) with a host of target raises. Consensus price target $420 at Buy. Stock currently around $380
    • Amphenol (APH) target raised by Cowen from $75 to $80 at Outperform. Stock currently around $74
    • Digital Realty Trust (DLR) target raised by Deutsche Bank from $167 to $175 at Buy. Stock currently around $155
    • Global Payments (GPN) Target raised by Morgan Stanley from $216 to $219 at Outperform. Stock currently around $170
    • Linde (LIN) target raised by Wells Fargo from $340 to $360 at Overweight. Stock currently around $303
    • MercadoLibre (MELI) target raised by Credit Suisse from $1824 to $2050 at Outperform. Stock currently around $1575
    • ON Semiconductors (ON) with a host of target raises. Consensus price target $60 at Buy. Stock currently around $45
    • Restaurant Brands International (QSR) with two target raises. Stock currently around $66
      • Credit Suisse from $74 to $76 at Outperform
      • Royal Bank of Canada from $73 to $80 at Outperform
    • SolarEdge Technologies (SEDG) with two target raises. Stock currently around $300
      • Piper Sandler from $342 to $351 at Overweight
      • Goldman Sachs from $322 to $368 at Buy
    • Square (SQ) with a host of target raises. Consensus price target $320 at Buy. Stock currently around $270
    • Take-Two Interactive (TTWO) target raised by Wedbush from $212 to $222 at Outperform. Stock currently around $160
    • ZoomInfo Technologies (ZI) with a host of target raises. Consensus price target $75 at Buy. Stock currently around $56

    "If the plan doesn't work, change the plan but never the goal." - Unknown

    submitted by /u/psychotrader00
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    ATVI Activision Blizzard up on earnings beat, mixed guidance

    Posted: 03 Aug 2021 01:38 PM PDT

    ATVI is up about 4% after hours. Revenue was $1.92 billion versus $1.89 billion expected and EPS was $0.91 versus $0.75 expected. Q3 guidance is mixed with revenue beating analyst estimations at $1.85 billion vs $1.79 billion but EPS expected to only be $0.65 vs the expected $0.75.

    On recent news their company president has stepped down and Jen Oneal and Mike Ybarra are replacing him as co-leaders.

    submitted by /u/Encouragedissent
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    Is there anyway to transfer funds from one stock to another without paying gains taxes ?

    Posted: 03 Aug 2021 09:28 AM PDT

    Currently I am sitting on a substantial capital gain from CPSL (161k shares at .0002) average and after their merger is done I want to directly move my funds from them to another stock is there anyway to do that without paying gains taxes? Just thought I would ask if not it's truly not a big deal. For record I've been holding them over a year so they are considered long term.

    submitted by /u/Crowsale000
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    Risky stocks for potential big gains down the road.

    Posted: 03 Aug 2021 01:37 PM PDT

    I know this gets posted semi-frequently, but markets move fast and so this opinion is always changing. What are some stocks that you put a fraction of your investing money in that you know is risky, but are betting for long term potential? I'll list some of mine.

    Rover (ROVR): Just went public via a SP@C and is the dominator in the pet sitting market. Very strong upside emerging post-Covid with people going on vacations/returning to office. Lots of COVID adoptions for pets has expanded the Rover market tremendously.

    Proterra (PTRA): IPO'd this year. Manufacturer of electric buses with customers ranging from colleges and universities to National Parks to cities in the US for local transportation. Also breaking into the school bus and commercial vehicle markets.

    Corsair Gaming (CRSR): a company from my opinion (and the opinion of many analysts) is INCREDIBLY underrated. With gaming/streaming expecting to grow rapidly over the next few years, this company provides a lot of the equipment necessary for it.

    Coinbase (COIN): Crypto wallet with more uses than just buying and selling cryptocurrencies. I'm a big believer in Ethereum so I like the support for DEFI and Dapps.

    Array Technologies (ARRY): Develops the ground mounts necessary for solar panels to move with the sun to achieve max exposure and thus better efficiency. Offices across the Americas and Europe.

    submitted by /u/WelfareWillyWonka
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    Under Armour shares surge as earnings top estimates, retailer hikes outlook

    Posted: 03 Aug 2021 04:27 AM PDT

    https://www.cnbc.com/2021/08/03/under-armour-uaa-q2-2021-earnings.html

    Earnings per share: 24 cents adjusted vs. 6 cents expected

    Revenue: $1.35 billion vs. $1.21 billion expected

    The athletic apparel maker also hiked its outlook for the full year, anticipating that its momentum will build. It now expects fiscal 2021 revenue to rise at a low-20s percentage, compared with a previous forecast of a high-teen percentage increase.

    UAA is another good recovery play stock. As people start going out to exercise more, uaa will definitely going to benefit. Hiking the outlook is the best evidence as the management is confident that the company will outperform going forward.

    submitted by /u/coolcomfort123
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    Decided to DCA $AMD but the recent spike makes me want to halt the plan

    Posted: 03 Aug 2021 11:20 AM PDT

    Hello! I'm a new invester who only made his first investment account last winter.

    I've been eyeing on AMD since I first made my account but didn't really buy any until recently. Once it hit $100, I thought to myself AMD still has room to grow but there must be some correction soon after. Hence I decided to DCA 1 share per week with initial investment of 3 stocks at $104 (I know it's not a lot but I tell myself the percentage of the gain is what matters as I'll keep putting more and more money into the account).
    As anyone who's been following AMD knows, instead of correction it's now at $113, making me sitting at about 9.5% profit.

    In a case like this, should I halt my DCA plan as I still believe there's going to be an inevitable correction? Or do I stick with the plan? In more general term, in mid DCA if your judgement of the state of a specific stock is that it is overpriced and hence there will be a correction, do you take the profit and try to re-enter later on? What's the strategy here?

    Thanks in advance!

    submitted by /u/whdgns4433
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    Preparation for trading day -August 03, 2021

    Posted: 03 Aug 2021 05:05 AM PDT

    Preparation for trading day -August 03, 2021

    Note that this only includes stocks with larger market cap and stocks considered popular.

    Notable Price Upgrades and Downgrades

    Square (SQ):

    • Raymond James Upgrades To Market Perform From Underperform ()
    • Rosenblatt Maintains Buy Rating (Price Target Changes From $330 To $335)
    • Truist Securities Maintains Buy Rating (Price Target Changes From $325 To $365)
    • BTIG Maintains Buy Rating (Price Target Changes From $295 To $320)
    • Cowen & Co. Upgrades To Outperform From Market Perform (Price Target Changes From $266 To $343)

    ON Semiconductor (ON):

    • Credit Suisse Maintains Underperform Rating (Price Target Changes From $17 To $45)
    • Mizuho Maintains Buy Rating (Price Target Changes From $44 To $49)
    • Rosenblatt Maintains Buy Rating (Price Target Changes From $44 To $60)
    • Needham Maintains Strong Buy Rating (Price Target Changes From $55 To $60)
    • Morgan Stanley Upgrades To Equal-Weight From Underweight ()
    • Keybanc Maintains Overweight Rating (Price Target Changes From $47 To $55)

    Restaurant Brands Intl (QSR):

    • Credit Suisse Maintains Outperform Rating (Price Target Changes From $74 To $76)
    • RBC Capital Maintains Outperform Rating (Price Target Changes From $73 To $80)

    Take-Two Interactive (TTWO):

    • Credit Suisse Maintains Neutral Rating (Price Target Changes From $211 To $210)

    ZoomInfo Technologies (ZI):

    • Wells Fargo Maintains Overweight Rating (Price Target Changes From $64 To $76)
    • Mizuho Maintains Buy Rating (Price Target Changes From $63 To $70)

    SolarEdge Technologies (SEDG):

    • Piper Sandler Maintains Overweight Rating (Price Target Changes From $342 To $351)

    Planet Fitness (PLNT):

    • Stifel Upgrades To Buy From Hold (Price Target Changes From $82 To $85)

    Workday (WDAY):

    • Barclays Upgrades To Overweight From Equal-Weight (Price Target Changes From $268 To $282)

    Airbnb (ABNB):

    • Keybanc Upgrades To Overweight From Sector Weight (Price Target $180)

    Today's Economic Calendar

    • 10:00 am Factory orders for June
    • 10:00 am Core capital goods orders (final) for June
    • TBA Motor vehicle sales for July

    IPO market (This week)

    • 8i Acquisition 2 (LAXXU) price range: $10.00
    • Cadre Holdings (CDRE) price range: $16.00 - $19.00
    • Context Therapeutics (CNTX) price range: $12.00 - $14.00
    • European Wax Center (EWCZ) price range: $15.00 - $18.00
    • Healthcare Royalty (HCRX) price range: $15.00 - $17.00
    • Orange County Bancorp (OBT) price range: $32.00 - $35.00
    • ROX Financial LP (ROXA) price range: $10.00
    • The Better Being Co. (BBCO) price range: $15.00 - $17.00
    • WCG Clinical (WCGC) price range: $15.00 - $17.00
    • Weber (WEBR) price range: $15.00 - $17.00

    That's all folks, have fun and stay green

    Disclaimer: I am not a financial advisor, and nothing in this post shall be seen as a financial advise. Always make to sure to vet the accuracy of statements and do your own research before using it in any way

    submitted by /u/greenfish00
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    Here is a Market Recap for today Monday, August 2, 2021

    Posted: 02 Aug 2021 02:11 PM PDT

    PsychoMarket Recap - Monday, August 2, 2021

    Stocks continued volatility from last week, with the three major indexes opening the day in the green before turning lower towards the end in the first trading session in August. As has been the case for at least a few weeks now, it seems the market will continue to perform a careful balancing act between record corporate profits and expectations for economic expansion and concerns surrounding the highly contagious coronavirus Delta variant and inflation.

    So far, 59% of the companies in the S&P 500 (SPY) have reported Q2 earnings, with 88% of these beating analyst expectations, according to FactSet. This quarter is shaping up to be another record-breaking one, with corporate earnings growth rate expected to accelerate 85%, which would be the biggest jump since the Q4 20009.

    However, it is important to note that, despite beating earnings expectations, a number of these companies have pulled back, with tepid outlooks moving forward overshadowing strong results. Moving forward, given that most companies have so far exceeded pre-pandemic levels and the current quarter has an easy comparison to last year, expectations for growth are inevitably going to moderate. This said, I think the pullback in some stocks following earnings is an overreaction.

    In the last few weeks, concerns over the coronavirus Delta variant are increasing, which inevitably, has injected volatility in the markets. Last week, the CDC reversed their indoor mask policy. The agency now recommends that even fully vaccinated individuals begin once again wearing masks indoors in areas with high coronavirus transmission and in K-12 schools. Dr. Rochelle Walensky, Director of the CDC said, "In areas with substantial and high transmission, CDC recommends fully vaccinated people wear masks in public, indoor settings to help prevent the spread of the delta variant, and protect others. This includes schools".

    As I have said before and will explain further below, while the surge in cases is unfortunate, it is important to note that the surge is largely concentrated in areas with high vaccine hesitancy. Moreover, while cases are surging, thankfully, hospitalizations and death rates are much lower when compared to previous surges, a sign that the vaccine is doing its job. While it doesn't prevent one from becoming infected, it greatly reduces the possibility for complications.

    In the US, despite roughly 50% of the population being vaccinated, in the past two weeks, infections across the country have roughly doubled, with new cases jumping from 13,200 on July 4 to 78,433 as of July 31, according to data compiled by John Hopkins University. However, it is important to note, despite the surge the 7-day average of deaths is 360, once again according to John Hopkins University.

    According to data from the CDC, 97% of people who have died or been hospitalized with COVID-19 since the vaccine became widely available are unvaccinated. Dr Rochelle Walensky, Director of CDC said of the rising cases, "There is a clear message that is coming through. This is becoming a pandemic of the unvaccinated. Our biggest concern is we are going to continue to see preventable cases, hospitalizations, and sadly deaths among the unvaccinated." Sadly, despite the widespread availability of the vaccine in the US, hesitancy in certain places remains very high.

    Moreover, last week, the Fed released its July Monetary Policy Report largely reiterated what members of the Fed have been saying for months, but did include some new language hinting that the economic recovery is getting closer to the Fed's stated goals. The report also acknowledged potential risks and stated the Fed was ready to act if "appropriate risks arise". The statement read, "In assessing the appropriate stance of monetary policy, the Committee will continue to monitor the implications of incoming information for the economic outlook. The Committee would be prepared to adjust the stance of monetary policy as appropriate if risks emerge that could impede the attainment of the Committee's goals. The Committee's assessments will take into account a wide range of information, including readings on public health, labor market conditions, inflation pressures and inflation expectations, and financial and international developments."

    Highlights

    • In a big industry move, Square (SQ) acquired Australian fin-tech company Afterpay, which allows customers to pay in installments, for $29 billion in an all-stock transaction. Square released a statement that read, "Square plans to integrate Afterpay into its existing Seller and Cash App business units, enable even the smallest of merchants to offer BNPL [buy now, pay later] at checkout, give Afterpay consumers the ability to manage their installment payments directly in Cash App, and give Cash App customers the ability to discover merchants and BNPL offers directly within the app."
    • Along with the Afterpay announcement, SQ unexpectedly announced Q2 earnings, which showed gross profit growing 91% thanks to strong Cash App and Seller ecosystem growth. The company reported revenue of $4.68 billion, 87% growth year-on-year but below the the $5.03 billion expected. Earnings per share skyrocketed to $0.66 compared to $0.30 expected.
    • Google announced it was moving away from Qualcomm (QCOM) and would begin manufacturing its own in-house processors for new Pixel phones launching later this year. This follows a similar move to what Apple (AAPL) did to Intel (INTC).
    • Ford Motors (F) Chief Financial Officer John Lawler said the company hopes to reinstate a dividend by the end of the year. He said, "We've had a really tough period of time here the last couple of years with Covid last year and now the chip shortage. We plan to bring the dividend back as soon as we can...depending on how the second half goes with [computer] chips, it could be as early as the end of this year." Ford suspended its dividend last year.
    • Electric vehicle sales in China more than tripled in July compared to a year ago.
      • Nio delivered 7,931 vehicles in July, 124% increase YoY
      • Xpeng (XPEV) delivered 8,040 vehicles, 228% increase YoY
      • Li (LI) delivered 8,589 vehicles, 251% increase YoY
    • **Please note that current stock price was written during the session and may not reflect closing prices*\*
    • Abbvie (ABBV) with two target raises. Stock currently around $115
      • Mizuho from $128 to $131 at Buy.
      • SVB Leerink from $144 to $145 at Outperform
    • Avantor (AVTR) with a host of target raises. Consensus price target $45 at Buy. Stock currently around $37
    • Chevron (CVX) target raised by Raymond James from $120 to $125 at Outperform. Stock currently around $102
    • Electronic Arts (EA) target raised by Credit Suisse from $165 to $174 at Buy. Stock currently around $144
    • Fifth Third Bancorp (FITB) target raised by Morgan Stanley from $48 to $49 at Overweight. Stock currently around $36
    • Linde (LIN) with two target raises. Stock currently around $300
      • Deutsche Bank from $345 to $350 at Buy.
      • JP Morgan from $350 to $356 at Overweight
    • Lyft target raised by Credit Suisse from $76 to $79 at Outperform. Stock currently around $56
    • MasterCard (MA) with two target raises. Stock currently around $375.
      • Barclays from $452 to $455 at Overweight.
      • Mizuho from $435 to $450 at Buy.
    • Regeneron Pharmaceuticals (REGN) target raised by HC Wainwright from $729 to $741 at Buy. Stock currently around $577
    • T-Mobile (TMUS) target raised by Deutsche Bank from $188 to $195 at Buy. Stock currently around $145
    • Take-Two Interactive (TTWO) target raised by Credit Suisse from $205 to $211 at Overweight. Stock currently around $167

    "An investment in knowledge pays the best interest." - Benjamin Franklin

    submitted by /u/psychotrader00
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    How to calculate when I'll get a margin call?

    Posted: 03 Aug 2021 09:01 AM PDT

    Ok, pretty sure I'll catch some abuse for this question but I'm still confused after researching.

    I had ~$44000 in cash, I used margin to buy $66700 worth of AMZN, 20 shares total ($3335 per share).

    So as I understand I used 50% of my available margin.

    Brokerage requires 50% maintenance for "concentrated positions".

    So since I used $22700 of margin, AMZN would have to drop to 26.79% of original price before I'd get a margin call.

    As long as AMZN is above $860 per share, I'm good?

    submitted by /u/morlock718
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    What is "holding period" w.r.t cost basis method?

    Posted: 03 Aug 2021 02:07 PM PDT

    Vanguard specifies various Cost Basis methods. One of them is Average cost (AvgCost), defined as follows:

    Easy to use. This method averages the purchase price of your shares and bases the holding period on the earliest date the shares were acquired.

    Is this holding period the one that the IRS takes into account when determining whether you pay short or long-term capital gains taxes?

    If so, it would be easy to avoid the higher short-term capital gains tax rate - you'd only need a single 1yr old share - the rest can be any age.

    ---

    https://investor.vanguard.com/taxes/cost-basis/methods

    submitted by /u/joseville1001
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    When did it become easy in the USA to buy stocks in quantities less than 100 shares?

    Posted: 03 Aug 2021 01:34 PM PDT

    I assume electronic trading had something to do with it. In the 70s and 80s, you were supposed to buy stock in lots of 100 and odd lots were more expensive, thus helping the mutual fund industry. Would you say trading in odd lots became prevalent in the dot com era?

    submitted by /u/dalej42
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    Chinese AAA-rated SOE made up $13.3B in cash holdings, was fined $464K, and 6 execs a combined $355K.

    Posted: 02 Aug 2021 10:05 PM PDT

    https://translate.google.com/translate?sl=auto&tl=en&u=https://www.caixin.com/2021-08-02/101750049.html

    Yongcheng Coal and Electricity Holding Group Co., Ltd. (hereinafter referred to as Yongmei Holdings ) recently announced at the Shanghai Clearing House that the company received the China Securities Regulatory Commission (hereinafter referred to as the China Securities Regulatory Commission) on July 27 ) "Administrative Penalty Decision", involving information disclosure violations such as inflated currency funds totaling 86.1 billion yuan.

    Therefore, the China Securities Regulatory Commission issued a warning to Yongcheng Coal and Electricity and imposed a fine of 3 million yuan; and imposed a total of 2.3 million yuan on the related six senior executives.

    submitted by /u/WEWCEW
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    Talking Pinterest.

    Posted: 03 Aug 2021 06:16 AM PDT

    What's up guys.

    I've been keeping an eye on PINS for about 6 months now. I haven't bitten. I'll be trading options on it but I wanna know what you guys think of of their mid-term outlook. It just fell about 25% in the past week after an earnings reaction. I won't be touching it for a week or two but I have my eye on it closely.

    submitted by /u/www123x
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    Imara Inc. $IMRA insider buying

    Posted: 03 Aug 2021 07:51 AM PDT

    Any ideas on Imara inc? Just found this article regarding insider trading:

    ... IMARA, a clinical stage biopharmaceutical firm, engaged in research on Hemoglobinopathies. Specifically, the company has a drug candidate in the pipeline as a treatment for sickle cell disease and beta thalassemia. These are two blood disorders – both sets of related diseases – that cause anemic symptoms; sickle cell disease is a genetic disorder that causes misshapen red blood cells and can lead to serious quality-of-life issues and shortened life span, while beta thalassemia is a hemoglobin disorder, also inherited, that reduces the blood's ability to carry oxygen. Neither set of diseases currently has a fully effective treatment.

    The chief drug candidate in IMARA's pipeline, IMR-687, is a selective and potent small molecule that inhibits PDE9. PDE9, in turn, plays a part in lowering levels of cGMP in blood-disorder patients, with associated inflammation, reduced blood flow, and other symptoms. Blocking PDE9 has been associated with reactivation of fetal hemoglobin – with consequent reduction of symptoms.

    In June, IMARA reported final data from a Phase 2a clinical trial of IMR-687 in sickle cell disease which showed a significantly lower annualized rate of vaso-occlusive (blood flow blocking) crises (VOCs) in patients. New patients started on the drug also showed a longer time to the first VOC. IMR-687 was also well-tolerated by patients, both as a monotherapy and in combination with hydroxyurea.

    In insider trades, the key transaction from an investor perspective was made at the end of July by Board member Mark Chin. Chin bought 1.333 million shares for nearly $8 million. Chin's stake in the company now totals over $13.5 million.

    Leerink analyst Joseph Schwartz is bullish on IMRA, and takes the long-term view when assessing the company's prospects.

    "Although IMRA shares have been under pressure this year, we believe encouraging Ph.2a VOC data should give the stock some lift today ahead of Ph.2b interim data expected in 2H21... Ahead of interim Ph.2b ARDENT and FORTE data in 2H21, we reiterate our OP rating on IMRA," Schwartz wrote.

    The analyst added, "We currently estimate gross peak sales of ~$2.8B (2035E), and ~$290M (2035E) for IMR-687 in SCD and β-thalassemia, respectively. We account for clinical and regulatory risks in our probability of success (PoS) estimates, which range from 60%/40% in SCD (US/EU) to 40%/20% in βthalassemia (US/EU)."

    To this end, Schwartz gives IMRA shares a $42 price target – indicating true confidence, and an impressive 661% upside potential from the current share price. (To watch Schwartz's track record, click here)

    Overall, IMRA has received two recent Buy recommendations from the analysts, for a Moderate Buy consensus rating. (See IMRA stock analysis on TipRanks)

    Source: https://finance.yahoo.com/news/3-stocks-flashing-signs-strong-220741302.html

    submitted by /u/No_Affect7014
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    Tilray (TLRY) DD

    Posted: 03 Aug 2021 12:31 PM PDT

    I. Introduction

    This is not investment advice. I own Tilray shares myself with an average entry price of $14.97.

    I would like to outline some bull & bear scenarios regarding the company below, along with a general assessment and reasons why Tilray is a good stock with further growth potential.

    II. Numbers (mostly) do not lie

    First of all, I always look at the numbers when it comes to stocks, because I like to buy a solid stock for my money, apart from a few exceptions. The problem with a value approach is that stocks never trade "cheap" without a reason. The negatives are priced in, so in 99.9% of cases there is no such thing as a "cheap" company. Everything is fairly valued. Therefore, the figures can only give information about the value, if you do not look at them isolated. However, it is mandatory to know them.

    Regarding Tilray, it is known that the quarterly numbers far exceeded expectations. Earnings per share were $0.18, well above the forecast.

    But here's the first point: Tilray's EPS was -$0.09 for August 2020, -$0.37 for November 2020, and -$0.97 in February 2021. It was only after the merger with Aphria that Tilray was able to report in the black. So the question to be answered is whether Aphria helped to switch to profit. Here, in any case, a clear `no' applies with regard to EPS. Aphria had an EPS of -$1.14 in the last figures before the merger. The quarters before that were better with -$0.42 and -$0.02, but also not positive.

    So based on EPS alone, it cannot be said that the positive result is due to the merger with Aphria.

    Other Key Figures (Based on Tilray's Interim Unaudited Financial Statement for the Year ended May 31, 2021): Tilray currently has positive free cash flow at $3.3 million. Adjusted EBITDA would be $40.7 million for the year based on quarterly numbers, still positive since 2020. Revenue would be $513 million. This is all nice, but only suggests a relatively favorable price-to-sales ratio of about 12. The recently announced quarterly numbers alone only say that the black numbers (at least) are not coming solely from the merger with Aphria. This is the first time the company has presented such numbers, so little can be inferred from them going forward, except for hope and some positive indicators.

    III. Opportunities

    1. Tilray's position in the market

    Tilray has become the largest cannabis producer in the world after its merger with Aphria. However, this does not mean that Tilray produces and distributes cannabis in raw form, rather Tilray has several product ranges that now serve almost the entire market. Not only medical cannabis, but also others such as craft beer or products not directly associated with the typical scope of cannabis.

    The market in which Tilray is currently the best positioned player is tiny compared to the market of alcohol or other raw materials for which cannabis would also be suitable (be it medical applications or textiles and food). Cannabis is explicitly permitted for consumption in two countries. For medical use, however, it is already approved in 47 countries.

    2. Regulations as the main criteria for development

    The market that can open up here is worth tens if not hundreds of billions of dollars. Should regulations loosen, Tilray, as the largest producer, is well positioned to serve this market. With its market cap of $6.2 billion, Tilray is valued at just enough to be quickly caught up by revenues if not profits in the coming years, assuming regulations continue in the current direction.

    But that is also the most important keyword: regulations. If country approvals change or do not continue to develop as they have in the past, Tilray's hands are tied. There is no way to bypass them and move into other markets.

    3. Other risks

    • Competition with the black market

    Tilray is a legal company and accordingly must comply with applicable law. However, it is in direct competition with one of the largest black markets in the world, at least for one of its products. For this competitor, no laws and regulations apply, which means that Tilray has a higher price tag on its products.

    However, this point can easily be refuted by the fact that the price for the control and security that go hand in hand with it are out of proportion to the price premium. One would think so. But here the opinions are divided, what influence a legalization has on the black market. After some research, one could only read in not particularly named sources that the black market has become larger after legalization. But it is clear that it does not disappear. Bloomberg Canada, for example, states that the illegal market has shrunk significantly since legalization. Opinions differ, however, as to what role taxes play in this and under what circumstances people would still use the black market.

    • Competition on the legal market

    Cannabis is not subject to a patent. Other producers can serve the market just like Tilray, that can be especially Cannopy Growth, which is positioned not far behind Tilray in the market.

    However, if the bet on regulators works out, the market will be so enlarged that even if four big players were to serve the market, it would still far exceed the current market cap of all cannabis companies.

    • The Cannabis Market is New

    The cannabis market has only really started to pick up steam since 2016, and can develop quickly accordingly. This can be a risk factor for Tilray's business plan if it cannot be flexibly adjusted. But again, it should be noted that Tilray is theoretically best positioned as the largest player in the market and even if the cannabis market can evolve, the product is relatively consistent.

    The only problem is the price pressure in the new market. If the market grows, it is clear that prices will drop. That will have an impact on sales and profitability. In my opinion, this is the only negative argument that is really valid. Here we can only hope that similar profitability will result as with alcohol or other consumer goods stocks, and that ultimately Tilray will come out on top here due to sheer size. Tilray is thus more likely to dominate the market, as their capacity means that they in fact also have lower losses than smaller companies.

    4. Conclusion

    Should the cannabis market open up a larger portion or possibly its full potential after loosened regulations, Tilray will be right up front. While there are a few risk factors to consider. Ultimately, though, it comes down to two things. For the short-term investors: can Tilray continue to deliver such strong numbers over the next few quarters. For the long-term investors: How will it fare with regulations around cannabis? If these are loosened, Tilray is certainly the right address to participate in the then emerging market.

    TL;DR: Smokes pleasantly. Good stuff, good company and therefore good stock.

    submitted by /u/Justzodiac
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    Would SKLZ be at a possible buying point?

    Posted: 03 Aug 2021 10:56 AM PDT

    So just to be upfront, I'm new to stock trading and am still learning so I am trying to work on identifying good stocks.

    As of right now SKLZ is trading at around 13.40-13.50 with a market cap of 5.31B

    Last quarter their earnings per share and revenue beat expectations by a bit of a margin, and their newest quarterly reports will be released today at 5:30 PM.

    When I look at the evaluation of the analysts on my brokerage (I'm using E-Trade) they put the value at a low of 17 and an average price target of 24.50.

    I saw other posts about SKLZ of users who thought that the company was overvalued back when it was at 28 a share, but now that the stock has dropped, would this be a good entry point?

    Again, I'm still new and learning so please let me know what you think and any information you think I might have missed. Thank you!

    submitted by /u/Kubashna
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    Let's assume a 20% crash happens in the next couple months. How do you leverage gains assuming there's a 6 month recovery?

    Posted: 03 Aug 2021 02:53 AM PDT

    I'm happy with the return on my investments this year and I've cashed out. I'm sitting on cash waiting for the biggest dip in the last year. I have no idea if it will happen but I'm hoping.

    That being said, if I'm confident in a recovery something like covid's market recovery, how could I get the most out of my money?

    I'm a newer trader so my intuition tells me options might IV crush me if I wait for a major dip. How can I leverage my small savings account for the best? Or should I attempt to leverage at all? I'm wondering if it might be good to just own stock.

    submitted by /u/Begonewithye
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    Any recommendations on audiobooks or podcasts that are good for beginners?

    Posted: 03 Aug 2021 05:26 AM PDT

    I am fairly new to the stock market. I have been watching countless videos and reading articles but it seems hard to find a source that is more geared to beginners and helping to increase your initial knowledge of the market. I was just wondering if anyone has any recommendation of audiobooks or podcasts that are helpful for people who are starting to learn about investing. Thanks.

    submitted by /u/aKreature
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    Visa AMEX & Mastercard vs PayPal, square

    Posted: 03 Aug 2021 06:13 AM PDT

    I have been trying to do a lot of research on this, but are PayPal and square a big threat to $MA $V and $AXP? Or is it the other way around that the credit card companies s threaten PayPal and square long term business?

    Or can all of them exist harmoniously and Keep growing earnings like they have?

    submitted by /u/bearcat2202
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