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    Tuesday, June 29, 2021

    Stock Market - What to do when a governing body fails to enforce rules and protect investors?

    Stock Market - What to do when a governing body fails to enforce rules and protect investors?


    What to do when a governing body fails to enforce rules and protect investors?

    Posted: 29 Jun 2021 10:50 AM PDT

    I'm sure a lot of others have noticed recently an almost apathetic approach to rule enforcement on part of the SEC. Sure, they may still be dishing out small fines and slaps on the wrist but this doesn't address the overall failure we are seeing in market manipulation from big players. My question is what can be done about this? As retail investors in numbers, I feel like we have more power than we realize to stand up and hold them accountable for playing favorites in the market. Just like any other appointed governing body, they have checks and balances as well as answer to a higher power, in this case the US Senate I believe. So what's stopping us from petitioning and writing letters of concern to our local and state senators? The outcome being that it would put pressure on the SEC to actually get off their asses and DO something or they risk a huge audit into their organization and practices.

    Maybe I've missed something completely obvious or I don't have enough wrinkles on my brain to comprehend a bigger issue here but hoping someone more intelligent than me can shed some light on the subject.

    TLDR; In light of SEC apathy on current market manipulation, how can retail investors put pressure on our government to ensure the SEC does their job to enforce fair market conditions?

    submitted by /u/Dr__Steve_Brule
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    Adam Aron is trying to convince people to approve more shares. If he can't get AMC profitable with $1.25billion, then maybe AMC needs a new CEO!

    Posted: 29 Jun 2021 02:13 PM PDT

    You can’t stop me

    Posted: 29 Jun 2021 11:13 AM PDT

    $FAMI for Tesla

    Posted: 29 Jun 2021 07:50 PM PDT

    Are we going to be the generation that stands up and says, "this is not what our forefathers fought and died for. This is not what the United States was supposed to stand for. This is not what so many hard-working, amazing, honest, good people sacrifice so many things for. United We Stand

    Posted: 29 Jun 2021 05:37 PM PDT

    Ohgodohno

    Posted: 29 Jun 2021 08:56 PM PDT

    Analysts are like...

    Posted: 29 Jun 2021 08:06 AM PDT

    Sooo I just realized you can take your existing traditional, Roth, SEP, or SIMPLE IRA, as well as 401(k), or 403(b), and put it into alternative assets like cryptocurrencies... What color Lambo should I buy in 20 years?

    Posted: 29 Jun 2021 02:26 PM PDT

    LMPX - LMP Automotive - Earnings Beat - Increase Revenue Guidance - Undervalued Long Term Play

    Posted: 29 Jun 2021 03:33 PM PDT

    Business:

    LMP Motors $LMPX 's business model as "Buy, Rent or Subscribe, Sell and Repeat." This means that we "Buy" pre-owned automobiles primarily through auctions or directly from other automobile dealers, and new automobiles from manufacturers and manufacturer distributors at fleet rates. LMPX Rents or Subscribe" by either renting automobiles to our customers or allowing them to enter into our subscription plan for automobiles in which customers have use of an automobile for a minimum of thirty (30) days. LMPX then sells its inventory, including automobiles previously included in our rental and subscription programs, to customers, and then we hope to "Repeat" the whole process.

    IPO and Price History:

    LMPX IPO'd in December 2019 at 5$ per share and has steadily increased throughout the past 18 months, reaching a peak of $45 earlier this year. It has since retraced in price and is currently trading at $15.8. This retracement is largely due to investors believing revenue guidance for 2021 was overstated based on December 2020 Q4 revenues of 4M.

    Earnings Surprise - June 29, 2021

    LMPX reported earnings today for quarter one and gave us a internal outlook for quarter two

    Quarter two ends in 1 day (internal outlook is accurate)

    Quarter 1:

    • Revenue increased $27.7M to $33.0M
    • Overall Gross Profit increased by $5.5M to $6.0M
    • Gross Profit Margin increased by 8.9% to 18.2%
    • Adjusted EBITDA 1 increased by $3.1M to $1.9M or $0.19 per share
    • Adjusted Net Income was $1.3M or $0.13 per share
    • Cash increased by $1.3M to $19.4M
    • Adjusted Shareholder Equity increased by $18.3M to $47.5M

    Quarter 2: (internal outlook, numbers for 3 months ending Q2)

    • Revenue - $147.6M (up from 128m estimated in May, Revenue is accelerating)
    • Overall Gross Profit - $26.7M
    • Gross Profit Margin - 18.1%
    • Cash - $25.1M
    • Adjusted EBITDA - $10.3M or $1.03 per share

    Revenue Forecast: (12 months ending June 2022)

    Revenue - 910 Million

    EBITDA - $53 million or $5.18 per share

    LMPX will be completing its acquisition of two jeep/chrysler/ram dealerships in the third quarter of 2021. Amounting to 19 dealerships and 17 locations.

    LMPX is on track to purchase 80-100 more dealerships by end of 2024 at which point they expect their network to have potential revenues in the 5.1 Billion to 6.4 Billion revenue range and EBITDA of 229m or 288m.

    Valuation to Peers: Price to Sales or EBITDA per Market Cap

    CVNA:

    Market Cap of 44.7B

    Sales of 5.5B

    P/S: 8.12

    EBITDA/MC : N/A (operating at a loss)

    Revenue growth YoY: 41%

    VRM:

    Market Cap of 5.9B

    Sales of 1.3B

    P/S: 4.53

    EBITDA/MC : N/A (operating at a loss)

    Revenue growth YoY: 14%

    LMPX:

    Market Cap of 177M

    Sales of : 33M for Q1 (910M 12 months Q2 2022)

    P/S: 0.19 (based on 2022 revenue Guidance)

    EBITDA: 177M/53M= 3.34

    Average for auto industry = 9.81

    Revenue growth YoY: 2757% (2020 to 2021 growth)

    LMPX Fair Value based on 2021 Sales:

    Market Cap: 4.01B

    Share price: $400.6

    P/S: 4.5

    EBITDA Valuation: $51.89 per Share

    LMPX is extremely undervalued compared to its peers, it has the fastest growing revenues. Only company with increasing margins, and improving EBIDTA and net income. This does not factor their protentional pipeline growth which aims to exceed 5B in revenues by 2024.

    Used Auto Market Growth:

    The used car market is booming, making it a perfect time for resellers. The shortage of new cars as a result of the global chip prices has demand for used cars surging.

    Used car prices have jumped 21 percent since April 2020 and 10% of that came directly during April 2021.

    This factor alone should drastically increase guidance for 2021 above the 910 forecast. April price jumps and demand surge will be reflected in next quarters earnings. As car prices continue to increase LMPX will start to make more profit on each vehicle while Gross profit % stays the same.

    Key Acquisitions and Business Moves:

    LMPX has been making key acquisitions over the last few months which will help play into the bottom line.

    LMPX Acquisitions:

    Hometown Subaru - May 2021

    2 Dodge/Chrysler Dealerships - April 2021

    Bachman Bernard Chevy Buick Dealership - April 2021

    New Ecommerce Website - March 2021

    LTO Holdings Acquisition - February 2021

    Atlantic Auto Group Acquisition - February 2021

    Landed 660M syndicate credit line for use of Acquisitions - January 2021

    LMPX started off the year with a bang and secured 660m of credit to use towards acquisition's. Which has been put to use over the first 5 months, purchasing multiple auto groups and dealerships. Securing backlogs of inventory and entering into new markets throughout the U.S. These acquisitions will be even more profitable with the recent 10% surge in used car prices in April 2021.

    Float:

    LMPX currently has 10.01m shares outstanding of which 4m are owned directly by management/insiders. Making the tradeable float roughly 6m. The lower the float means the quicker the price moves. Institutional holdings is low but I expect it to drastically increase after tomorrow.

    Summary:

    LMPX absolutely crushed quarter 1 with revenues of 33M tomorrow representing a 725% increase from prior quarter. Guidance for quarter 2 (confirmed as quarter 2 ends tomorrow) increased by 347% to 147M. This will bring back investors who dumped their shares after the CEO was called out for "overstating guidance". New investors will be drawn in from the quarter over quarter growth reported on the call. The recent boom in used auto prices and demand will further excel LMPX as a market leader. If LMPX continues to exceed revenues estimates and obtain 910M+ revenue for 12 months ending Q2 2022 its fair value compared to its peers should be at $400+ a share using price to sales metrics.

    Get in tomorrow before institutions start acquiring shares, there is currently 510k shares sold short who will be covering over the next few days. LMPX should run back to its ATH's over the next few months as the used car market continues to inflate thanks to the semiconductor shortage.

    submitted by /u/lFUCK
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    $POWW blew away analyst earnings est. by about 500%

    Posted: 29 Jun 2021 04:46 PM PDT

    AMMO, Inc. Reports Financial Results for its Fiscal Fourth Quarter and Full Fiscal Year

    – Annual Adjusted EBITDA of $8.1 million and Adjusted EPS of $0.07 per share –

    SCOTTSDALE, Ariz., June 29, 2021 — AMMO, Inc. (Nasdaq: POWW, POWWP) ("AMMO" or the "Company"), a premier American ammunition and munition components manufacturer and technology leader, is pleased to announce it has reported financial results for its fiscal fourth quarter and year ending March 31, 2021.

    Financial Summary for Fiscal Fourth Quarter 2021 vs. Fiscal Fourth Quarter 2020

    • Sales for the quarter were $24.2 million – an increase of 409**%**
    • Gross Profit Margins increased to approximately 23% – an increase of 179%
    • Operating expenses as a percentage of sales decreased 58**%**
    • Adjusted EBITDA increased to $4.8 million — an increase of 296%
    • Adjusted EPS increased to $0.04 – an increase of 167%

    Financial Summary for Fiscal 2021 vs. Fiscal 2020

    • Sales for the year increased to $62.5 million – an increase of 300%
    • Gross Profit Margins increased to approximately 18% — an increase of 173%
    • Operating expenses as a percentage of sales decreased 61**%**
    • Annual adjusted EBITDA increased to $8.1 million – an increase of 213%
    • Adjusted EPS Increased to $0.07 — an increase of 150%

    AMMO is positioned for exceptional growth in Fiscal 2022 after establishing a new standard for the Company. Demand fundamentals in the US domestic ammunition market are exceedingly strong and we are seeing no indication of slowing. The Company broke ground on its new state-of-the-art plant, scheduled to be fully operational in approximately one year. And we have established the Company as a cutting-edge design firm, announcing a contract for the design and manufacture of technologically advanced ballistic match ammunition for the US Department of Defense. Our fiscal fourth quarter delivered the best quarterly performance in Company history, with even better quarters reasonably expected to follow throughout Fiscal 2022.

    Additionally, the Company experienced sales growth of 46**%** quarter-over-quarter, a $7.6 million increase.

    The Company's margins have also increased to approximately 23% for our fourth fiscal quarter, an increase of 179% or $7.1 million year-over-year. When depreciation and amortization are added back to the cost of goods sold, our gross profit margin increases to 27% for the quarter.

    Our operating expenses as a percentage of sales was 25**%, representing a 58%** decrease from the prior year quarter. For the year, our operating expense as a percentage of sales was 27%, a 61% decrease from the prior year.

    Net Loss for the quarter was approximately $463,000, which includes approximately $3.4 million of non-cash expenses. Net Loss for the year was approximately $7.8 million, which also included $10.1 million in non-cash expenses.

    Adjusted EBITDA has grown to $4.8 million for the quarter – 296% increase from the prior year. For the year, our Adjusted EBITDA was $8.1 million – 213% increase from the prior year.

    The continuing improvement in adjusted EBITDA and margin shows the impact of the scaling we are beginning to see in our operational costs. We expect our first half fiscal 2022 EBITDA to be better than the second half of fiscal 2021 as a standalone.

    AMMO's adjusted earnings per share (EPS) increased to $0.04 for our fiscal fourth quarter, representing a 167% year-over-year increase. Our adjusted EPS increased to $0.07 for the year, representing a 150% increase from the prior year. Adjusted EPS is a metric the Company values as we believe it is a better representation of the Company's true operating performance.

    The revenue guidance for the 1st quarter of our 2022 Fiscal Year is $41M and will include two months of operations from our newly acquired Gunbroker.com assets. As previously announced, we expect to achieve profitability in this quarter.

    https://tenor.com/view/explosion-gif-20062805?utm_source=share-button&utm_medium=Social&utm_content=reddit

    submitted by /u/Fight-the-shorts
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    HYPED STOCKS FROM SOCIAL

    Posted: 29 Jun 2021 02:58 AM PDT

    Free Downloadable Model on JD.com for us :)

    Posted: 29 Jun 2021 08:44 PM PDT

    Hello friends,

    I was very happy that I was able to join this group and I immediately shared my model that I built on BABA for free.

    Some of you mentioned that you would be very interested in taking a look at a model that I build on JD.com.

    Well as a gift to everyone who has been so amazing to me here, I worked late over the past few nights and have completed the model for JD.com, which is ABSOLUTELY FREE for you to download.

    Here is the link: https://docs.google.com/spreadsheets/d/1qqShS95JoEN0Rold1lu6rkvuqSpWeaf1C8KH6oZIfl8/edit#gid=225019306

    I am now scripting the video series on this which will be released soon, here is my plan for the series which I will release on my YouTube channel:

    Observation: JD.com is a very complicated and nuanced company which I don't think a lot of people truly understand.

    The way that I'm going to break it down is with a 5 part series:

    • In episode 1: I'm going to give you a high level summary of everything and give you a valuation.
    • Episode #2: Will be a detailed walk-through of JD Retail and Marketing services. This is their bread and butter businesses and what most people know JD.com for.
      • There are some problems here with this segment which I will highlight.
    • Episode #3: Detailed Walk Through of JD Logistics and New Businesses. There is lots of complexity here, so it is very important to understand if you're an owner of JD.com.
    • Episode #4: Analysis of their Major Investments including Dada and VipShop.
    • Episode #5: Full walk-through of a FREE fully downloadable valuation model.

    Thank you once again everyone and I can't wait to produce and launch those videos!

    submitted by /u/Working_Elevator3200
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    Lost a bit. Live another day to succeed.

    Posted: 29 Jun 2021 07:12 PM PDT

    WISH Bearish Perspective - Rising Wedge Broken - Update After Tuesday

    Posted: 29 Jun 2021 04:53 PM PDT

    WISH Bearish Perspective - Rising Wedge Broken - Update After Tuesday

    First of all I am not expert and this is not a recommendation to buy or sell just to look at the chart and watch what happens. You can draw up the analysis yourself on Trading View so you can monitor the stock

    Update on my running series of WISH analysis, now has broken out of the wedge in the downwards direction as expected, broke a bit lower than i thought it would, if it cant gain support on some of the levels then could expect a bigger drop to lower support level

    MACD still in downtrend

    MFI still has a way to go befor over sold

    Stotch RSI is looking for a cross for a bump up, this might be the bump up that could hold on the first resistance level, but will have to wait and see next open how it goes

    let me know what you think of my analysis

    https://preview.redd.it/gz8fc6mtla871.png?width=1819&format=png&auto=webp&s=d10cd9a317aac5af759336d7306a6078a0634a29

    submitted by /u/whatthat69
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    What can this mean for $CERE? It blew 136% today but people are saying it can be bearish for it. I bought some puts for these for 7/16

    Posted: 29 Jun 2021 04:44 PM PDT

    Daily Futures Levels - June 2021

    Posted: 29 Jun 2021 05:45 PM PDT

    Get ready for that post-brunch $SOFI launch…

    Posted: 29 Jun 2021 09:30 AM PDT

    NIO Will Surpass Tesla as China's Top EV Maker, Navellier Says

    Posted: 29 Jun 2021 05:01 AM PDT

    https://www.thestreet.com/investing/nio-to-surpass-tesla-in-china-electric-vehicles-navellier-says

    JUN 28, 2021 1:09 PM EDT

    DAN WEIL

    NIO (NIO) - Get Report shares rose Monday after Louis Navellier, chief investment officer of money manager Navellier, said the Chinese electric-car maker will surpass Tesla (TSLA) - Get Report in China.

    "Another electric vehicle company will eventually displace Tesla as the biggest manufacturer of EVs in China," he wrote in a commentary.

    "I'm talking about NIO. The reality is that this company is on the verge of dominating the EV market in China and Hong Kong."

    NIO American depositary receipts recently traded at $49.23, up 9.2%. They have climbed 27% in the past month amid investor enthusiasm for EVs.

    submitted by /u/SavannahSmiles_
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    $SGBX Primed For Huge Run? [Just Received 180 million project] Let me know what y'all think, it has a float around 5 million with a short of 9.7%

    Posted: 29 Jun 2021 10:34 AM PDT

    $SGBX Primed For Huge Run? [Just Received 180 million project] Let me know what y'all think, it has a float around 5 million with a short of 9.7%

    They have just received a project bring in 180 million, check out here

    https://preview.redd.it/mfx3jvwbq8871.png?width=694&format=png&auto=webp&s=ae7dc72ed8f726b794b5e99c3c0e2ad40aa1d7d9

    The current market cap is 45 million, if this project is reflected in the market cap it would be 25+ a share. In addition, we have 9.7% of the stock shorted with only around 5 million on the float if you are not taking into account insiders and institutions.

    Look at the volume, absolutely nothing for the previous run and we are consolidating over all major SMAs.

    https://preview.redd.it/4w5kunmcq8871.png?width=1334&format=png&auto=webp&s=6dd5fffc9375340dbf805ea620ca51c19f9aeecd

    I would appreciate some insight from other people, as out of all the runs I have taken apart of early being $SOS $SOLO $ENG $XELA making good money on all, this stands out as the best set up I have seen by far!

    submitted by /u/BullishWhaleTips
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    How to DD/Analyse Stocks

    Posted: 29 Jun 2021 02:28 AM PDT

    Im sick of seeing all these Fool articles. Here's a DD guide so hopefully new investors won't get fooled into pump-and-dumps. There's obviously a lot of ways to do your due diligence on a stock, I think the most important thing is having a process and not relying on trash articles. I hope yall enjoy and get soemthing from it. Cheers

    Stock DD Checklist

    Are you sick of getting Fooled into terrible stocks? Stock DD or Due Diligence is arguably the most important step in investing. We all know the golden rule: You shouldn't invest in something you don't understand.

    Stock DD: Due Diligence is defined as an investigation of a potential investment (such as a stock) or product to confirm all facts.

    Pump-And-Dump Stonks:

    A pump and dump is a scheme that attempts to boost the price of a stock or security through fake recommendations.Small Cap companies are often targeted as their share price is easier to manipulate.

    A proper DD strategy is a good way to avoid a P&D and terrible stocks and really its just common sense. This is even recommended by SEC.

    Step One: Identify the Stock

    The first step to a stock DD is obviously finding a stock to DD. This could be a recommendation from a mate, or maybe you got Fooled into a trash stock*.* The important thing to note here is the intent of the source that is mentioning the stock. Do they have a vested interest? What is their motive behind mentioning the stock?

    For these reasons, it may be a good idea to identify your own stock. Have a think about companies that you interact with and see if they are publicly traded. Or browse through the listings. Although these strategies are likely not ideal you can be sure there's no ulterior motive.

    Step Two: Understand the Company

    This is an extension on the phrase don't invest in something you don't understand. The same goes for individual stocks, it's probably not a good idea to invest in a company if you don't even know what they do.

    1. Search the Businesses 'About Us' Section

    Pretty much all listed companies will have a webpage with an 'about us' section browsing this and their website can be a good starting point to understanding their business, and a good start to a stock DD.

    1. Use Simply wall Street and Read the Company Profile

    SWS is a decent for listed stocks, it features a 'Company Overview' section for every stock which gives a quick synopsis about the business and what they do.

    How Much Do I Need To know?

    Peter Lynch "Never invest in an idea you can't illustrate with a crayon." As a starting point you should be able to answer at least these four questions;

    1. What sector is the company in?
    2. What does the company do?
    3. How does the company make money?
    4. How long has the company been around?

    Step Three: What is their Market Capitalization?

    A company's market cap or market Capitalization is how much the stock market determines a company is worth. it is calculated by the total market value of all outstanding shares. Companies are often categories in terms of market cap as: Large, mid and small cap.

    Each category can be a good investment strategy it's just important to note that each group has different companies at varying levels of maturity. You shouldn't buy a micro-cap and be surprised if it gets delisted instead of paying dividends. Likewise, you probably shouldn't buy a Large Cap Bluechip and hope their share price goes to the moon overnight.

    Step Four: Screening Software for Stock Analysis

    There are a lot of websites and tools available to screen the selected stocks, Here's what i use:

    Trading View great

    Yahoo Finance ehhh

    Simply Wall St decent

    What are we looking for?

    After picking one (or more) of these tools that works well for you, perform a basic fundamental analysis on the stock. Looking for any red flags:

    Earnings Per Share (EPS): Postivie? Growing over time?

    Price to Earnings Ratio (PE):

    PE 0/NA: The company has no earnings

    • PE 1-14: The company is undervalues/has low investor sentiment regarding growth
    • PE 15-20: Average
    • PE 20+: The company is overvalued/has high investor sentiment regarding growth

    Book Value: The book value is the net assets of a business divided by the number of shares on issue.

    Debt: A company should have more assets than liabilities to avoid bankruptcy. We like companies with low-to-no debt. If a company has debt, ensure it is well covered by assets and earnings

    Return on Equity (ROE):

    Higher ROE = The better the company are at making money from equity and vice versa.

    We like companies with consistently higher ROE over 10. A low ROE means low growth potential.

    Past Performance: We all know 'past performance is not indicative of future returns' but it can pay to have a quick look at the stock chart

    Step Five: Financials

    find the companies latest Yearly or Half-Yearly report. Analyse its Income Statement, Balance Sheet and Cash flow statement.

    Step Six: Cap Raise! Dilution Probabilities

    As a new investor there can be nothing more frustrating than seeing your share getting hit with Cap Raise after Cap Raise and seeing your shares diluted to nothing. One easy sign that a company is constantly raising capital is through looking at it's share price and number of shares on issue.

    We can also use the financials we read before to try and predict if the company is adequately capitalised.

    A capital raise is not necessarily a red flag, but be wary

    Step Seven: Buy Sell Ratios and Volume

    See if there are a healthy number of buyers and sellers and decent trading volumes. The best way to do this is using your trading platforms

    Step Eight: Prospects

    When examining a company for your stock DD we should consider its macro and microeconomic factors. Notably regulation and future industry outlook and disruption.

    Step Nine: Competition

    compare the stock to it's direct competitors to see how they compare. To do this we are going to go back to step four and compare the company's fundamentals against its competitors. If the competitors are better then why not consider investing in them instead?

    Do they have an economic moat?

    Step Ten: Insider Ownership and Management

    Insider Ownership: We generally like companies with large insider ownership. This is big for small cap companies. Skin in the game helps ensure the management's motives are in line with ours. So we use Simple wall Stwhich shows Insider Ownership and Trading very clearly. We like small cap stocks with ~30% insider ownership and history of owners buying on market. For large cap companies' insider ownership will be lower, 3-5% would be decent in this case.

    Are management buying or selling large amounts of shares? Sudden large selling by management for no apparent reason may hint that management believes the company is overvalued or peaked at that point in time.

    Management Experience: Consider educational and professional backgrounds. One of the most important factors is their experience in the industry. Their reputation is also key. What goals has the management set out for the company? Have the leaders had successful projects in the past, or did they fail?

    Bonus Step: Speccies are Sentiment and Hype

    After going through every step and doing a thorough DD, it's important to mention that the market is unpredictable. Even with the most advanced analyses, speccies are just sentiment and hype. By every stretch of fundamental analysis, they are terrible companies, that doesn't mean you can't make money off them. Just be ready for the pump-and-dump!

    Full analysis if interested

    Cheers for reading. Hopefully, this saves at least someone from getting Motely Fooled into terrible stocks

    submitted by /u/NuInvestor
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    Trading course scams

    Posted: 29 Jun 2021 09:19 PM PDT

    Ok so I've been wanting to dedicate 100% of my time to learning how to trade. Looked into many courses and most of them really expensive. For some reason these courses are looked down upon by most people. I had someone on Instagram tell me "retail traders selling crap strategies, and that institutional style price action is the way to go" He said" you won't find the real thing on a YouTube video.. if it makes a ton of money that nobody will make a video for it"

    Can someone explain what is institutional style price action?

    Also any information on how to become a good trader. If videos aren't the way Are books better?

    submitted by /u/vckickzit
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    EMA(33) crosses over MA(130) on RBLX!!! A potential Buy

    Posted: 29 Jun 2021 08:32 PM PDT

    Rig us. Transocean Shares Rise 9.9%; Trading Volume Triples Transocean Ltd. rose 9.9 percent, more than five times the Russell 3000 Index Offshore Drilling and Other Services Subsector. Trading volume was triple the average for this time of day.

    Posted: 29 Jun 2021 07:52 AM PDT

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