Stocks - 96% of US users opt out of app tracking in iOS 14.5 - Some of the first data on user behavior exceeds advertisers' worst fears. |
- 96% of US users opt out of app tracking in iOS 14.5 - Some of the first data on user behavior exceeds advertisers' worst fears.
- Do you buy Baba?
- Any other apps besides Robinhood that aren't shady?
- LMND - an over valued insurance stock pretending to be a tech stock?
- VWDRY split price but no additional shares.
- Affirm Stock
- Stock certificates
- what stocks are you holding long term?
- What causes institutional ownership to increase?
- ET - Energy Transfer ~ 12$ mid price target and trading below 10. With the 1.5b Texas windfall is now the time to jump in deeper?
- Help me understand Cathie Wood's math on her projected returns
- Understanding cost basis reset
- Any suggetions on a rare earth ETF similar to REMX?
- Rebalancing? Long-term strategy
- How to buy stocks like Curaleaf?
- Options Question, I've never exercised an option before, only expire or sold.
- For those who keep asking for VALUE options in this market, I have the perfect one for you
- What's the sentiment on Facebook ($FB)
- Tired of hearing the word “undervalued”
- My top holdings and why I hold them
- QQQ Research + Questions
| Posted: 07 May 2021 07:12 PM PDT "It seems that in the United States, at least, app developers and advertisers who rely on targeted mobile advertising for revenue are seeing their worst fears realized: Analytics data published this week suggests that US users choose to opt out of tracking 96 percent of the time in the wake of iOS 14.5. When Apple released iOS 14.5 late last month, it began enforcing a policy called App Tracking Transparency. iPhone, iPad, and Apple TV apps are now required to request users' permission to use techniques like IDFA (ID for Advertisers) to track those users' activity across multiple apps for data collection and ad targeting purposes. The change met fierce resistance from companies like Facebook, whose market advantages and revenue streams are built on leveraging users' data to target the most effective ads at those users. Facebook went so far as to take out full-page newspaper ads claiming that the change would not just hurt Facebook but would destroy small businesses around the world. Shortly after, Apple CEO Tim Cook attended a data privacy conference and delivered a speech that harshly criticized Facebook's business model. Nonetheless, Facebook and others have complied with Apple's new rule to avoid being rejected from the iPhone's App Store, though some apps present a screen explaining why users should opt in before the Apple-mandated prompt to opt in or out appears." [link] [comments]  |
| Posted: 08 May 2021 09:19 AM PDT Company really looks undervalued, i know sentiment in Usa is not good now, but it can change in future? I bought 4 shares of Baba and looking to buy 5 more. As i AM mostly in oil stocks and want to buy something in another sector but everything is more or less overvalued. Whats yours thought? If you dont like baba which stocks you see to be great in future? [link] [comments]  |
| Any other apps besides Robinhood that aren't shady? Posted: 08 May 2021 12:01 PM PDT After the stunt Robinhood pulled a while ago, I will never consider using their service. I have a TD Ameritrade account, but for some reason I'm not able to invest $1-5 in a stock on both the app and website. I don't think fractional shares or whatever it's called is allowed. Instead, I'm using Cash App for my investments. But I heard Cash App isn't good for long-term investing. What are some app alternatives? [link] [comments]  |
| LMND - an over valued insurance stock pretending to be a tech stock? Posted: 08 May 2021 04:09 AM PDT I got caught up in LMND during the January hype and I now I'm a bag holder. It's made me look at LMND in more detail and really dissect their financials. Below is a short DD on LMND looking at their 10K annual report in preparation for their Q1 report coming out on Monday. https://d18rn0p25nwr6d.cloudfront.net/CIK-0001691421/7d400e55-689a-4fc1-9a55-28ce9601dc6e.pdf To begin, LMND is an insurance provider that is looking to disrupt the insurance marketplace using AI to handle claims and drive high customer support. LMND is currently trading at MktCap of 5B with a P/S multiple of 52. Compared to other incumbents in the pure insurance industry: ALL: P/S - 0.89, MC - 40B PGR: P/S - 1.39, MC - 62B TRV: P/S - 1.26, MC - 40B So obviously LMND is trading at a multiple that treats it more like a tech company than an insurance company. But lots of companies want to be valued at a multiple of a tech company vs insurance company, so lets dig deeper. LMND made 94BM in revenue in 2020 with a YoY growth of 40%. In their earnings call in March, they stated that they expect greater growth slowdown in 2021...so there's definitely reason to be cautious here given that their mkt cap multiplier is totally based on growth projections. Here's the troubling part of LMND. Even though their revenue is growing aggressively, their net losses are stacking up too. In 2019 they had net loss of 108M on 67M of revenue, and in 2020 they had net loss of 120M in 94M of revenue. So though their net losses aren't growing at the same rate as their revenue, they're definitely not closing the gap at a great rate. The biggest contribution to their net losses is G&A and technology development. G&A can't be helped as I assume they went on a hiring blitz in 2020. But their investment in "technology development" increased 98% from 9.8B to 19.4B. While G&A is straight forward as employee compensation, Technology Development is listed as follows: Technology development - Technology development consists of employee compensation, including stock-based compensation and benefits, and expenses related to vendors engaged in product management, design, development and testing of the Company's websites and products. Technology development also includes allocated occupancy costs and related overhead based on headcount. Pretty abstract stuff... Okay, so lets make some projections. The simplest projections is that we're seeing a big shift in the tech market place as a bear market has taken hold the past 3 months. May doesn't look any better, but many of these high flying "tech stocks" are now seeing a reduction in multiple. Even if LMND could grow their revenue by 200% this year, if the market starts valuing them like an insurance company and not a tech company (a la RKT), we'll see LMND's price tank into the mid 20's and maybe even lower. The second projection is if we look at growth of revenue. In their Q4, Lemonade said they are seeing slowdown in a key growth metric: https://news.futunn.com/en/post/8971338?level=1&data_ticket=1620471675650956 The stock tanked to $113 from $132, and has been on a slide since then, influenced by general tech stock malaise. Even at its current price of $79 it seems over valued in some regards. Here are the key metrics to look for. LMND is projecting revenue in Q1 to be 22M. That would set it on base to make about $100M in CY2021. Which isn't spectacular growth to justify its valuation, as it slows the growth rate down to 10% YoY. Overall, LMND stock looks really dicey at the moment. Given this information, I'm probably going to unload half my bags before earnings and see what the news is. If the news is good, then I'll hold the other half and hope to reduce my losses. Otherwise, I plan to immediately unload the remaining half if the growth numbers look bad since this will ensure another 3 month slide in price. If growth numbers are bad, expect LMND to fall below their IPO price. LMND did an offering at $165/share in January. I feel real bad for anyone who has their cost average that high, because looking at their financial statements and projections, LMND doesn't look like they'll get back up there in 2021. Last note, I think LMND is aiming for an AI holy grail to do their real disruption. They're hoping that if they can handle all claims using AI (of which, currently AI Jim, their claims AI, handles 95% of all claims), they may be able to drive down their costs of doing business so aggressively that their margins become industry leading. Company's like ALL, TRV and PGR have demonstrated that they are too large and bureaucratic to offer solutions like this. So right now, this is the only saving grace of LMND imho. https://www.nasdaq.com/articles/whats-in-the-offing-for-lemonade-lmnd-in-q1-earnings-2021-05-07 [link] [comments]  |
| VWDRY split price but no additional shares. Posted: 08 May 2021 07:09 AM PDT As of yesterday my account shows VWDRY (Vestas) as the new 1/5 price following the stock split but I have no additional shares and now all my gains are massive losses. Will this get updated soon, anyone else having this issue? I'm using e trade. [link] [comments]  |
| Posted: 08 May 2021 09:06 AM PDT What has been going on with $AFRM lately!? It's down close to 60% since it's ATH. To my understanding, they are having a hard time with profits, plus lending to people that have a hard time making their payments. It seems like a good entry price at this point. With fin-tech blowing up, they seem to be at the top of the BNPL system. Partnered with some of the biggest online retail e-commerce stores like Shopify. Any thoughts on this? [link] [comments]  |
| Posted: 08 May 2021 08:32 AM PDT A guy who is like a second dad to me lost his wife recently. While going through her paperwork, he came across some old stock certificates from Arden Farms dated 1957. I know it was a big dairy company in the 50s and 60s. I did a quick Google search for him and couldn't find anything, so I thought I'd ask here to see if anyone knew if they had any value or if there were free resources for us to look into it. Googling Arden Farms came up with several links that I don't think apply to these certificates at all. This was based in California, but I don't know much more than that. Any help will be greatly appreciated. He's in his mid 80s and overwhelmed with everything right now, so I'm just trying to help where I can. I *think* it may have become The Arden Group, trading under ARDNA on NASDAQ, but I could be completely wrong about that. If so, I would need to figure out how many shares the original certificates are now worth for him. I don't have them in front of me, but I believe the certificates added up to approx 40 shares back in 1957. [link] [comments]  |
| what stocks are you holding long term? Posted: 07 May 2021 06:43 PM PDT what stock are you holding for at least a year from now? For me, I'm holding etsy, conoco phillips, Opendoor, and poshmark. I've held etsy for a year now and it's done phenomenal. Conoco phillips (just bought today) all analysts rate it a strong buy. I believe opendoor tech will be the future. The only reason im holding poshmark for a year is because I bought at $60 and im losing kinda bad :( otherwise, I would have sold it after gaining some some. I do believe it has a strong future but I was just wanting to swing trade it but that didn't work out lol [link] [comments]  |
| What causes institutional ownership to increase? Posted: 08 May 2021 01:14 PM PDT I was researching some stocks and for this company, it's EPS is negative, but it has around 50% institutional ownership. Why would institutions own losing companies? I am not questioning the judgement, but more like trying to understand how this institutional ownership is calculated. If more and more ETFs have this name, does it mean the institutional ownership increases? [link] [comments]  |
| Posted: 08 May 2021 10:41 AM PDT So I got into ET back in early December, seeing this as a recovery play at 6.61 average cost. The recent revenue beat/earnings beat with the additional 1.5b from the Texas freeze may offer a breakout trend. Been trying to decide if I should liquidate some of my other holdings and average up. Any insights are welcome. Here is a link to some great DD. https://www.reddit.com/r/wallstreetbets/comments/n75uz5/dont_mess_with_texas_energy_transfer_dd_et/?utm_medium=android_app&utm_source=share [link] [comments]  |
| Help me understand Cathie Wood's math on her projected returns Posted: 07 May 2021 04:52 PM PDT Recent interview of Cathie Wood on CNBC (search YouTube for "I love this setup, rotation is good news" to find video) got my head scratching around the math she just did in her statements. Back in February she said she expects 15% YoY compounded returns in next 5 years when ARK funds (say ARKK) was around 140 (down from 160 high) which now slid to 110 this week in May. She said in that CNBC interview "Nothing has changed but the price" and now expects 25-30% YoY compounded returns in next 5 years. So by simple math 140*(1.155) = 281 back then Now she's promising : between 110*(1.255) = 335 and 110*(1.35) = 408 That's almost 20-50% higher but if nothing has changed then how does the number grow so much more in end result ? I don't follow the math or logic here. Also, let's say give here benefit of doubt and say back in February she meant ARK price numbers that were in Jan 21 for YoY growth of 15% but then price was even lower between 120-140. So I don't know if she's bluffing (I'm gonna guess saving her skin and fund outflows) and taking us for a ride or is she really onto something that we don't know ? If nothing has changed but the price then how does your model give these numbers ? Am I to assume these companies are growing faster than ever that their prices will skyrocket even faster ? Is there any proof ? [link] [comments]  |
| Understanding cost basis reset Posted: 08 May 2021 11:51 AM PDT If I were to sell an asset for a profit, then immediately rebuy the same asset in the same amount to reset my cost basis, if the asset were to fall in value in the same tax year am I allowed to sell again and offset my original gain with the loss? Example: Buy 1 Acme at $10 on Jan 1… Sell 1 Acme at $100 on Feb 1… — short term capital gain of $90 — Buy 1 Acme on Feb 1 (after previous sale) for $100… Sell 1 Acme on March 1 for $50… — short term capital loss of $50 — Would my total tax burden be $40, or is it calculated some other way? I understand the Wash Rule when it comes to selling at a loss and rebuying, but how about selling at a profit, rebuying then selling at a loss? [link] [comments]  |
| Any suggetions on a rare earth ETF similar to REMX? Posted: 08 May 2021 04:52 AM PDT I own REMX since some.years ago. Its expense ratio is higher than what I think is ideal for a.long-term accumulation (5%-10% of total portfolio). Does anyone here have a suggestion about a similar ETF with lower ER? [link] [comments]  |
| Rebalancing? Long-term strategy Posted: 08 May 2021 04:41 AM PDT Hi all, I hope I will get some critical feedback on my question on rebalancing: I don´t wanna write an essay here so I will try to make this quick: 1) I am a super long-term investor 2) I have around 95% of my money in stocks/crypto 3) I automatically put a lot of money in stocks every month and will continue to do so. Most of the money goes into Tesla, Nasdaq100 and additionally into the individual big tech firms, Apple, Amazon, Google, Facebook & Co and some broader, more global ETFs Right now I have quite a lot of money (also from one-time investments) in Nasdaq100 and individual stocks like Apple, Amazon & Co. I pretty much see them as my cash equivalent, but I also see them getting bigger and bigger. That´s why I invest into them on a monthly basis. However, since right now in the current market, high growth potential stocks are getting hammered I see a lot of potential in investing into them, since I see a lot more potential, since fundamentally I think almost nothing has changed but only becuase of markoeconomical reasons, they are getting slaughtered. Since I don´t have any cash, my idea was to rebalance a little bit. E.g. Sell Amazon/Apple and buy Teladoc I don´t want to argue about Teladoc here, it´s just an example. In my opinion, Teladoc has a very bright future, it has really good fundamentals, high growth curve and will (again in my opinion) exponentially grow in the next years/decades. Since e.g. Teladoc is down by 50% from ATH, what do you think about that? I know, that evaluations in generall with these high growth companies were pretty high (also because of all the FED money pumped into the markets), but a decrease by 50% in that short of a time just seems crazy to me, especially because I think its only happening because of the overall market and not because of fundamentals of that individual company. [link] [comments]  |
| How to buy stocks like Curaleaf? Posted: 08 May 2021 08:36 AM PDT I'm having difficulty being able to find platforms for certain stocks that are obviously going to take off. Curaleaf is one I think I should throw my money at but what platforms can I purchase it on? Do you have to go to a brokerage firm to get those types of stocks? [link] [comments]  |
| Options Question, I've never exercised an option before, only expire or sold. Posted: 08 May 2021 06:55 AM PDT So. Let's say I buy a call option. And on expire date I'm in the money. What happens when you actually exercise? Specifically, ok, 1 option = 100 shares. What happens with the 100 shares? Do I have to buy them? Can I sell them? Etc. [link] [comments]  |
| For those who keep asking for VALUE options in this market, I have the perfect one for you Posted: 08 May 2021 10:26 AM PDT Positives: You know this company, massive name recognition Revenues from $59B to $77B in past 5 years Profit DOUBLED from $10B to $20B in past 5 years Shares outstanding decreasing! Current assets cover current liabilities They have taken on more debt in past year which, with low rates, may be spur the next phase of their growth Their industry is not going away and in very high demand Free Cash flow has gone from $12B to $21B Negatives: Once a dominant player, they've slipped recently and lost their lead to competition. Seen as an older player, less advanced and ground breaking Management shake up of recent So where does that lead the stock? UNDERVALUED! P/E is 13 P/FCF is 11 WILD CARD: The new CEO has a history with the company, but left for other leadership positions in the past few years. Now he is back to LEAD and has a PLAN to bring the company back. Ok, why should I believe him? You won't get this from other Deep Dives... The CEO grew up Amish and is very religious. He started a organization to convert 1 Million people in silicon valley to the way of Jesus. He has a calling in life! He can not be seen as a loser! His credibility is on the line! If he brings this company back to the top, it will also bring his passion for Jesus to the front as well! This company is none other than... INTEL Peace out [link] [comments]  |
| What's the sentiment on Facebook ($FB) Posted: 08 May 2021 05:50 AM PDT I'm curious to see what the overal sentiment on Facebook is as a stock among younger investors here on reddit. Personally I despise Facebook and everything they stand for/do. I would never put my money in it eventhough the company will most likely remain to see significant growth for the foreseeable future. Plenty of big tech companies have questionable ethics to put it lightly but for most of them I can see their value to the world and society. Facebook however adds nothing, everything it touches seems to turn to shit. Are you invested? Do you care about the practices of the company or do prioritize growth? I'm trying to form an idea of how this stock will perform over the next 20 years when the old garde of investors starts to disappear and be replaced by the new. Edit: it doesn't matter to me if you have your money in FB and I judge no one for their decision. We are (mostly) regular people trying to make money, if you see an opportunity you should take it. We will have little to no effect on a company be it positive or negative. So if you want to ride the wave, ride the wave. [link] [comments]  |
| Tired of hearing the word “undervalued” Posted: 07 May 2021 11:27 PM PDT I have been hearing this word too often these days. I am so confused what this really means. Will anyone here with better understandings give me few examples of undervalued stocks? I don't think most meme stocks ppl mention are undervalued rather they are way overvalued. Please help me understand [link] [comments]  |
| My top holdings and why I hold them Posted: 07 May 2021 10:00 PM PDT So I left this as a comment but thought it would make a worthwhile post. The below 11 holdings (of 43) constitute 52% of my portfolio. They are my current main plays, and I do detailed DD at 4% or if I see myself increasing my holding to 4%, and are long term hold. Feedback / questions / comments welcome. Happy to go into more detail, but for now have just done a very brief rationale for my positions: £ Hollywood Bowl: 8.35%. Love this company, branding, numbers (pre-Covid), great management, solid track record and steady growth (also pre-Covid). $ Microsoft: 6.00%. It's just a great company doing well. Diverse, growing, and hungry. It's a growth and divi growth play. $ BMY: 5.36%. Obviously disappointing results, but the treatments they have I believe will recover, plus solid looking pipeline at fairly advanced stages. $ AT&T: 4.67%. I'm bullish and like what I see, from wireless to HBO. I work in backend telco systems and I delved into the Jan QTR end figures for their wireless division and loved what I saw, so increased my holding materially before the latest very impressive results. $ EPD: 4.56%. Defensive and divi, feels undervalued, I like that it has a significant pipeline network built, port and storage infrastructure, significant LNG exposure, and had pretty robust results consider 2020 (commodity prices, Texan weather and Covid dampening demand. £ Games Workshop: 4.52%. Crazy margins, great CEO / management, expansion possibilities, lore on point. It's up 23x over 5 years with divi reinvested, 18x without, it's a beast that'll be in the FTSE100 end of 2023, likely sooner. £ Sage Group: 4.23%. Bit un-noticed but does HR / payroll / finance and is geographically well diversified and under loved. Legacy tech but I like it, divi and buybacks. I generally feel CRM systems (Salesforce most notable) get all the attention because obviously they're meant to drive sales, but other internal systems matter and are in desperate need of modernisation. (If you want a sexier but higher risk play if you accept this logic, consider Workday). £ Fevertree Drinks: 3.8%. Convinced this company will be a monster, and maybe the next Monster. Originally a tonic specialist for Gin, it's targeting both international and other mixers for expansion. Market hugely over-reacted to decent results considering Covid, and I opened a sizeable position. $ CACI International: 3.77%. Also a bit unnoticed, it's a software meets military intelligence and Gov IT company. No divi, and they are quite clear they have no intention of it (literally a Buffett approach, we can use the money better than you.. :)), but winning contracts and very deeply ingrained with US Gov / military. $ HBAN: 3.76%. Regional US bank digesting an acquisition. I like the direction. Recent numbers were so-so and dipped to $14.50, which is was a chance for me to add 80% to my previous holding. $ HUN: 3.2%. Funny story here, I found this by accident when HBAN dipped to $14.50 as was looking for data to understand that drop and put in "Hunt" for Huntington Bancshares (HBAN) and accidently went to Huntsman Corporation (HUN). Lucky for me I guess, as I was curious and liked what I saw. I was frantically buying under $28, and although the shares shot up following good results and a 15% divi increase, I still like it. I see nobody talking about them, but they have made significant changes to their business over the last couple of years, so although revenue is falling, earnings are looking great. It's become a leaner business with a war chest for suitable acquisitions, seems undervalued and has a respectable and now fast growing divi. [link] [comments]  |
| Posted: 08 May 2021 02:07 AM PDT I am very new to investing. I would like to try ETFs and am looking at the pros/cons of different ones starting with QQQ. Any advice or answers to questions is very much appreciated. What is QQQ? Invesco QQQ is an exchange-traded fund that tracks the Nasdaq-100 Index. The Index includes the 100 largest non-financial companies listed on the Nasdaq based on market cap. QQQ is the most direct way to "invest" into the Nasdaq-100 index as it tracks it and is passively managed. It is heavily based on technology. This seems like it can be a con as it is "less diverse" or a pro if you are bullish in tech. Top 10 Allocation: (https://www.invesco.com/qqq-etf/en/about.html) AAPL: 10.95% MSFT: 9.50% AMZN: 8.32% TSLA: 4.24% FB: 3.78% GOOG: 3.62% GOOGL: 3.31% NVDA: 2.69% PYPL: 2.31% INTC: 2.11% 48.11% of total stocks are in the information technology sector. https://www.invesco.com/qqq-etf/en/home.html It consistently outperforms it's common comparison being the S&P 500 Index. A 10,000 dollar investment in QQQ on March 31st 2011 would become 61,493 dollars today, compared to 36,756 dollars from the S&P 500 index. QQQ is considered a riskier ETF than the S&P because of how technology based it is, meaning more of a capital gains ETF where S&P involves more mature companies. Many people worry about a crash similar to the dot come crash where it took several years for QQQ to recover. If a crash like this happened, is that not a market wide thing? I don't see why QQQ would be affected any worse than other stocks that crash. Personally, I am looking to put extra monthly income in ETFs such as, ARKK, ARKG, VTI, and VXUS along with QQQ and see what that gets me in the next 3-5 years. I just don't know at what % to balance each to have a well diversified portfolio. I would like to have QQQ be the largest percentage among these, is there a reason why that is a bad idea? Are there risks involved with QQQ that I have not found? Is now a bad time to get into ETFs and QQQ specifically? Any other information anyone wants to share relating to QQQ or ETFs in general is welcome. [link] [comments]  |
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