• Breaking News

    Wednesday, March 31, 2021

    Stocks - r/Stocks Daily Thread on Meme Stocks Wednesday - Mar 31, 2021

    Stocks - r/Stocks Daily Thread on Meme Stocks Wednesday - Mar 31, 2021


    r/Stocks Daily Thread on Meme Stocks Wednesday - Mar 31, 2021

    Posted:

    The familiar "Rate My Portfolio" sticky can be found here.


    Welcome traders who just can't help them selves discuss the same exact stock that's been discussed 100s of times a day. I get it, you want to talk about what's popular, what's hot, and that 1.. single.. stock you like.. well here you go! Some helpful links just for you:

    An important message from our mod u/TCGYT regarding meme stocks.

    Lastly if you need professional help:
    * Problem Gambling: Call/Text: 1-800-522-4700 or chat online now.
    * Crisis Hotline (24/7): 1-800-273-TALK (8255) (Veterans, press 1) or Text "HOME" to 741-741

    submitted by /u/AutoModerator
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    r/Stocks Daily Discussion Wednesday - Mar 31, 2021

    Posted:

    These daily discussions run from Monday to Friday including during our themed posts.

    Some helpful links:

    If you have a basic question, for example "what is EPS," then google "investopedia EPS" and click the investopedia article on it; do this for everything until you have a more in depth question or just want to share what you learned.

    Please discuss your portfolios in the Rate My Portfolio sticky..

    See our past daily discussions here. Also links for: Technicals Tuesday, Options Trading Thursday, and Fundamentals Friday.

    submitted by /u/AutoModerator
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    Microsoft wins U.S. Army contract for augmented-reality headsets, worth up to $21.9 billion over 10 years

    Posted:

    Microsoft wins U.S. Army contract for augmented-reality headsets, worth up to $21.9 billion over 10 years

    News broke maybe 30 mins ago. MSFT shot up 1% on that news, up more than 2% on the day.

    Some highlights from the CNBC article:

    "Microsoft will deliver to the U.S. Army over 120,000 devices based on its HoloLens augmented-reality headset."

    "The standard-issue HoloLens, which costs $3,500, enables people to see holograms overlaid over their actual environments and interact using hand and voice gestures."

    "A group of employees called on Microsoft to cancel the HoloLens contract. "We did not sign up to develop weapons, and we demand a say in how our work is used," the employees wrote in an open letter regarding the HoloLens contract."

    Thoughts on this news? What do you guys think about some employees opposing the decision? All I know is Microsoft is a monster of a company. Just another reason to continue holding I guess.

    submitted by /u/runitbackturb0
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    PSA: Blackberry / $BB is up 100% for the year, 30% YTD, Nokia ($NOK) is up 30% for the year. What the heck are people complaining about?

    Posted:

    Why are people always complaining how Blackberry is misunderstood? Why do they think their "misunderstood" technology isn't valued in? There's a chip shortage and $BB needs chips to make money. As far as I know, they don't actually manufacturer the chips. And other companies will get priority in chips before Blackberry.

    Even with the recent dips, it's already up 100% for the year. That's pretty good for a stock that always misses out on revenue. And since they need chips to be successful during a chip shortage, I think this stock stays flat or even dips further for the year. But to finish 50-100% for the year is still a nice year. And I think their software is already valued in.

    Even $NOK isn't too bad unless you bought at the year high.

    I just don't understand what people expect. Not every ticker can be "you know what stock".

    Disclosure: I'm a moron who has a $12/share cost basis, and just think I only have myself to blame. Shouldn't go chasing.

    submitted by /u/Take_Notice_Walk
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    Quick Reminder: Having a portfolio consisting of different tech stocks does not mean you have a ‘Diversified Portfolio’

    Posted:

    To whom it may concern: (I'm aware most of you know how to properly diversify).

    I see some investors on here being invested in multiple tech equities, APPL, TSLA, AMZN, SONO etc. and talking about how well diversified their portfolio is.

    Just a quick reminder than having a diversified portfolio means that you have equities with 'negative correlation', and/or no correlation in addition to being diversified into different asset classes (equities, fixed-income, cash)(ex. stocks, bonds, mutual funds, ETF's).

    Or into different market caps, levels of risk, growth/value, sector/industries as well as domestic and foreign investments.

    Any political, economical, or social catalysts that can affect the tech industry will most likely affect all your investors at the same time, in the same way, therefore just a quick reminder that having a portfolio consisting of only techs does not reduce the overall risk in your portfolio, and if anything, increases it, as such, you are not 'Diversified'.

    This doesn't just apply to techs, it applies to any portfolio that only has positively correlated assets within the same sector/industries.

    Edit: This post is about the concept of having a diversified portfolio, not rate of return or investment objectives, capital limitations etc. Pls keep comments and topics relative to diversification.

    submitted by /u/Mynameistowelie
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    BB BlackBerry earnings/call were actually bullish ✅

    Posted:

    I see many paper-handed individuals dumping their shares for cheap because OMG BB has missed its revenue expectations for Q4. (for reference $8.50 -8.7% 31st March 2021)

    Can we please dig a little bit deeper? Thank you.

    During the quarter BlackBerry entered into an exclusive negotiation with a North American entity for the potential sale of part of the patent portfolio relating primarily to *mobile devices, messaging and wireless networking.** The Company has limited its patent monetization activities due to the ongoing negotiations. If the Company had not been in negotiations during the quarter, we believe that Licensing revenue would have been higher.*

    Boom pure and simple explanation for why the revenue missed. It's not on weaker demand. It's only because they are about to sell their side business and consequently they had to significantly cut that stream of revenue. Which also means that negotiations are advanced.

    What will happen then they sell? they will receive a big fat cheque (don't quote me on this but I imagine north of $500m if not a billion+ ; pure speculation) + according to the CEO they will collect royalties for 7 years. And they get to focus on their core businesses: cybersecurity, EV software, internet of things.

    Is this good strategy-wise? Absolutely. Focus on your top projects with higher gross margins. Let go of the past and embrace the future.

    any analyst reaction? Yes indeed Canaccord upgraded the stock to Hold from Sell this morning.

    Canaccord sees 'building blocks coming together'

    Seeing the business "turning the corner towards stronger trends". The firm notes BB's weaker than expected Q4 results driven by licensing headwinds due to sales negotiations for part of its mobile patent portfolio.

    Canaccord says BlackBerry management has "created a cogent long-term strategy," but the firm is on the sidelines waiting for more evidence of product roadmap execution and emerging cross-selling opportunities.

    The firm says a deal to sell the licensing business would "unlock value and provide a capital infusion to drive accelerated software and services growth."

    So even boomers traditionally late to the technology party are starting to see the whole BlackBerry's strategy aligning. But these guys stay on the sideline because they don't like early tendies. They lack the vision to say it's an actual Buy especially at these levels. They will probably wait that a bigger broker moves first. And they will.

    a quick look at the numbers BlackBerry has a $5bn market cap with $1bn+ yearly revenue and $800m in cash. I imagine investors can put 2 and 2 together. What do you think will happen to their balance sheet when they cash in the incoming sale of their portfolio. Way more cash to execute their plans and potential M&A if needed and no need for new shares issuance as confirmed by the CEO (no dilution in sight ; enough money in the bank). We could be in the coming weeks in a situation where BB has in cash the equivalent of 25%+ of their market cap...

    how about their core strategy? QNX now has design wins with 23 of the world's top 25 electric vehicle OEMs and remains on course to return to a normal revenue run rate by mid-fiscal 2022. BlackBerry IVY also made encouraging progress, with positive engagement from a number of leading automakers and the launch of our BlackBerry IVY Innovation Fund.

    In just one quarter they added 4 more EV OEMs with QNX (from 19 to 23 now).

    They are well positioned to be involved in autonomous driving: BlackBerry expands its partnership with Baidu to power next generation autonomous driving technology. and BlackBerry QNX Black Channel Communications to be used in Motional's driverless platform. These are weeks-old news but it's funny how it seems to go under the radar when it comes to price the company. Correct me if I'm wrong but Baidu could be the first and/or major player in autonomous driving in Asia.

    QNX is still in SpaceX rockets. And I start to hear rumors that Tesla could consider using it too (very speculative but at least you've heard it).

    And for the people who have ended up here randomly BlackBerry IVY is a joint venture with Amazon AWS for intelligent vehicle data platform. When the IVY deal was released BB shot past $9. AWS boss/founder at the time is now Amazon CEO.

    So yea the revenue has missed by a few millions for an one-off reason. Have the fundamentals changed? Actually yes they have improved as they are well on track to pursue their strategic goals.

    The question you should ask yourself is whether you are pricing BlackBerry based on their FY2020 or on what they are about to become? (hint: strong presence in EV software worldwide + autonomous driving + efficient cybersecurity product)

    Before you ask me in the comments: shares are safe, calls good luck timing them although I probably bought more June calls together with some shares (don't do this at home ; go cash gang ; save your money). Disclosure: long shares and June 20C.

    Definitely not a recommendation to buy, hold, sell any security. Besides I have no knowledge in IoT, programming, software etc. I can only read.

    TLDR why are you selling BB? if that's because the revenue has slightly missed because they are selling a big chunk of their unneeded business for big money then you should ask yourself why you are in this ship in the first place. Even boomers analysts upgraded the stock this morning: they are starting to see BlackBerry business model happening.

    Bonus: when will the sale happen? 🔮 crystal ball said before the next ER so in a few weeks (totally random and speculative).

    submitted by /u/Rivaaal
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    $PSFE (Paysafe) the most undervalued fintech play on the market. Popular analyst Steve Grasso has been calling for it to triple.

    Posted:

    Using the lower end of Paysafe's forecasted EBITDA ($500M), $1.5B revenue, an EV adjusted for $1.8B debt, and applying the post-merger pro forma 720M outstanding shares, here are Paysafe's potential share prices based solely on sector peer EV/EBITDA ratios:

    ⁃ PayPal : $269B EV/ $4.47B EBITDA

     = 60.2x >>> Paysafe $28.2B EV / SP: $39.28 

    ⁃ Repay : $2.2B EV/ $30M EBITDA

     = 73.3x >>> Paysafe $34.8B EV / SP: $48.43 

    ⁃ Shift 4 : $7.7B EV/ $90M EBITDA

     = 85x >>> Paysafe $41B EV / SP: $56.91 

    ⁃ Nuvei : $15B EV/ $171M EBITDA

     = 87.7x >>> Paysafe $42B EV / SP: $58.40 

    ⁃ Adyen : $56B EV/ $273M EBITDA

     = 205x >>> Paysafe $101B EV / SP: $139 

    ⁃ Square : $107B EV/ $357M EBITDA

     = 299.7x >>> Paysafe $148B EV / SP: $205.64 

    Bill.com : $13.2B EV/ -$15.6M EBITDA

     = 308x >>> Paysafe $152B EV / SP: $211.39 

    ⁃ Affirm: $21.6B EV/ -$68M EBITDA

     = 317x >>> Paysafe $156.7B EV /SP: $217.64 

    EV/Revenue ratio , non-public company's with estimated revenue per recent funding rounds:

    ⁃ Stripe : $95B EV/ $1.8B est. rev

     = 52.8x >>> Paysafe $77.3B EV / SP: $107.44 

    ⁃ Chime : $30B EV/ $600M est. rev

     = 50x >>> Paysafe $73.2B EV /SP: $101.67 

    ⁃ Checkout : $15B EV/ $100M est. rev

     = 150x >>> Paysafe $223.2B EV / SP: $310 

    Note: Most of these companies have negative earnings and smaller margins than Paysafe.

    I'm not suggesting it's worth this much, but for reference, averaging the above multiples would put BFT/Paysafe's share price at $135.98

    More realistically, taking the average from the lowest four puts the share price at $50.75.

    Paysafe is the number 1 digital wallet in Igaming, Draftkings uses them, and most recently they just partnered with Coinbase. As all SPACs do now, it sold off big today with the ticker change so there has never been a better time to buy than now!

    Note : I'm long PSFE with 3,350 shares @15.47

    Credit all the numbers to u/greensymbiote

    submitted by /u/ticklemypicklesir
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    Why is NASDAQ trade volume at 4% of daily avg. while Dow had a 10000% daily avg. volume today?

    Posted:

    EDIT: Yahoo Finance seems to have their historical data calculated wrong, leaving the post up in case others are wondering why. And yes, I meant to say Dow Jones Industrial, not Dow. Data for Nasdaq is also wrong, seeing as they had a trade volume at 11:14 am alone, for 1.59 billion.

    Dow and NASDAQ

    This seems like a historic anomaly, yet I can't find any articles or information as to why or how this would happen.

    I've heard some speculation that this might have to do with SLI(supplemental liquidity ratio) that did not get extended, but I don't understand the correlation. Some big players that want to deleverage and reduce their risk?

    Someone else suggested it was related to quarterly reports, yet this trade volume anomaly has never occurred at any other end of quarter, or at all(as far as I could see), in the last 5 years at least.

    Am I missing something? Does anyone have an explanation?

    submitted by /u/Strensh
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    UBS upgrades AAPL to 'Buy,' raises price target on iPhone stability & auto opportunity

    Posted:

    Investment bank UBS has upgraded AAPL to a "Buy" and raised its price target to $142, based on a stable iPhone backdrop and the possibility of Apple entering the car market.

    In a note to investors seen by AppleInsider, lead analyst David Vogt says that a "more stable long-term iPhone demand backdrop with better [average selling prices]" and Apple's "likely entry into the auto market" are driving the UBS revision on AAPL shares.

    The analyst says that, based on analysis, aggregate iPhone demand in 2021 and 2022 should be relatively stable. He doesn't believe there's a "supercycle" materializing, but he did raise his 2021 iPhone shipment forecast to 220 million, up from 215 million. Looking ahead to 2022, Vogt also raised his 2022 iPhone shipment estimate to 215 million, up 10 million. He attributes the bump to the "stickiness of the iPhone ecosystem."

    https://appleinsider.com/articles/21/03/31/ubs-upgrades-aapl-to-buy-raises-price-target-on-iphone-stability-auto-opportunity

    submitted by /u/chrisdh79
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    Green day all around and still managed to have a massive red day

    Posted:

    -Overtrading
    -Huge volatility spikes stopping me out to later move in a profitable direction
    -Sold winners too early before they could be home runs (hindsight 20/20)
    -Held onto some losers too long (overconfident)
    -Tried to walk away, but sat back down and lost more

    Every amateur mistake. Don't be this guy^.

    /rant

    submitted by /u/bigly_yuge
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    U.S. Market Recap - Wednesday, March 31, 2021

    Posted:

    Dow (0.26%), S&P 500 +0.36%, Nasdaq +1.54%, Russell 2000 +1.13%Wednesday, March 31, 2021

    • Synopsis
      • US equities were mostly higher in Wednesday trading, though finished off best levels, with S&P now little changed on the week. Small caps higher again after resuming recent bounce yesterday. Growth outperformed value with tech and consumer discretionary the leaders. FAANGs all higher and semis reversed some of the week's declines. Financials, energy, consumer staples among sectors lower. Treasuries little changed to a touch weaker. Dollar stronger vs yen but little changed vs euro. Gold finished up 1.8%. WTI crude settled down 2.3%.
      • White House infrastructure stimulus plan released ahead of Biden speech. White House has proposed over $2T of spending over eight-year period focused on traditional road, bridge, airport, water-delivery and utility projects, as well as electrification, high-speed broadband, worker training, supply chain and R&D investments, and home-based care. Partial funding will come from 15 years of higher taxes, including increase in corporate tax rate to 28% from 21%, an increase in the global minimum tax from ~13% to 21%, and other measures. Democrats expected to have to use reconciliation to pass. Demands for SALT relief emerging as a potential stumbling block.
      • Pretty quiet elsewhere ahead of nonfarm payrolls on Friday where market seems to be looking for a print above the ~650K consensus. However, ADP private payrolls growth of 517K only a bit better than 500K consensus. March Chicago PMI highest since Jul-18. February pending home sales missed on tight inventory. China manufacturing and services PMIs surprised to the upside, hitting three- and four-month highs, respectively. Eurozone headline and core inflation came in softer. Some discussion about worsening coronavirus trends in the US with new infections up 20% in past two weeks, though vaccine optimism remains fairly elevated with good news from Pfizer/BioNTech this morning regarding efficacy in adolescents. Multiple reports noted Biden to let Trump's H1-B visa ban expire.
      • WBA beat and raised with Street positive on execution given COVID headwinds. LULU beat with Street positive on digital sales strength and momentum into Q1 but some disappointment 2021 EPS guidance light on Mirror dilution. CHWY a standout after it beat and guided above with takeaways positive on rebound in new customer adds and opportunities in healthcare. KR reconfirmed FY21 comps guidance but bar high. CLF guided 2021 EBITDA above the Street with takeaways noting the company's leverage to stronger domestic steel prices. PVH results mixed with revenue below but EBIT ahead while FY guide below on softer NA outlook but not really a surprise. BB revenue missed.
    • Digest
      • Tech, consumer discretionary best performers as growth extends week's outperformance:
        • Growth continued to outperform value factor today. Tech the best performer with semis, AAPL (upgrade), internet names stronger. Consumer discretionary saw solid gains TSLA and AMZN. Communication services in line with interactive media, entertainment better groups but media weaker. Healthcare weighed down by hospitals and managed care. Industrials lower on weakness across airlines, trucking, machinery. Consumer staples an underperformer with grocers (KR update), tobacco weaker. Materials down as broader chemicals group traded lower. Financials trailed as banks, insurance gave back some of yesterday's gains. Energy the worst performer, following WTI crude lower as integrated oil extended week's losses.
      • March ADP employment beats ahead of Friday's payrolls report:
        • March ADP employment report showed a gain of 517K, ahead of estimates for 500K and the highest since September. February was also revised up 59K to 176K. Service-sector jobs were up 437K, led by leisure and hospitality, up 169K. Good-producing jobs were up 80K on a 49K manufacturing and 32K construction gain. Report comes ahead of Friday's March nonfarm payrolls report, with expectations for a gain of 614K, up from February's 329K print. Would be highest since October's 680K increase. Private payrolls expected to increase by 525K and government up 89K. Unemployment rate expected to fall 0.2 pp to 6.0%, while average hourly earnings expected to hold at +0.2% (and down to 4.5% y/y from February's +5.3%). Some sell-side previews noted upside risk to payrolls could be driven by strong reopening momentum, with some real-time data showing fastest activity growth since last summer.
      • Details of infrastructure stimulus in focus ahead of Biden speech:
        • White House release proposal that includes ~$2T of spending over eight-year period focused on traditional road, bridge, airport, water-delivery and utility projects, as well as electrification, high-speed broadband, worker training, supply chain and R&D investments, and home-based care (Washington Post, NY Times, Politico, Bloomberg) In terms of some of the bigger tranches, reports said ~$621B will go to traditional infrastructure, ~$400B to home care for elderly and disabled, $300B to housing infrastructure, $300B to revive US manufacturing, and $174B to vehicle electrification. Partial funding will come from 15 years of higher taxes, including increase in corporate tax rate to 28% from 21% and increase in global minimum tax. Democrats expected to have to use reconciliation in Senate to pass while one stumbling block emerging in House is demand from Blue-state Democrats to scrap $10K SALT deduction limit (Bloomberg, The Hill, Politico).
      • Still no clarity on what exactly is coming in Phase 2 of Biden plan:
        • While programs announced today in Biden's "American Jobs Plan" to focus on physical infrastructure, White House also preparing another round of proposals which could bring the total pricetag for this effort near $4T. Administration officials speaking about this next phase only in broadest strokes, though likely to include family-centered elements such as improved health coverage, expanded child tax benefit, and paid family/medical leave. Structure and timing of this follow-on effort remain unclear, though idea of pairing physical infrastructure with other traditional Democratic priorities plays into notion Biden hopes to engineer a broad overhaul of the economy in the mold of FDR's New Deal or LBJ's Great Society. No rollout date for phase 2 has been announced but commentators see a speech coming sometime before the White House's climate summit on 22-23 April.
    • Afternoon headlines:
      • Economic policy/Stimulus:
        • Infrastructure plan could benefit lower middle-income workers, minorities the most (Reuters)
      • Coronavirus:
        • Pfizer plans amend EUA to include older children after tests found no infections among vaccinated 12 to 15 year olds (NY Times)
        • France, Italy set to extend curbs to contain Covid variants (Bloomberg)
        • Biden administration struggling over how to portray a burst of new coronavirus cases (Politico)
      • Corporate:
        • Microsoft wins $22B US army Contract to build custom AR headsets (CNBC)
        • Delta to sell middle seats starting 1-May for first time in more than a year (NY Times)
      • Market:
        • OPEC+ panel makes no production recommendation ahead of 1-Apr cartel meeting (Bloomberg)
        • SEC opens preliminary probe into Archegos trades (Bloomberg)

    • Notable Gainers:
      • +16.7% CLF (Cleveland-Cliffs): Guided Q1 EBITDA ~27% above the Street based on current contractual business and forecast for hot-rolled coil to average $975/ton for remainder of the year; Q2 and FY21 guidance ahead as well.
      • +13.3% AYI (Acuity Brands): FQ2 earnings beat with gross margins also ahead; noted ongoing Covid impact with Direct Network sales holding up best; analysts see last quarter as a trough for activity and sales amidst improving commercial real estate trends including larger contractor backlogs.
      • +6.9% HOG (Harley-Davidson): Upgraded to outperform from neutral at RW Baird; positive on strategic direction of Hardwire plan; expects retail to turn positive in 2021 with lean dealer inventory fueling a healthy replenishment cycle (with checks showing signs of shortages).
      • +6.7% SQ (Square): Upgraded to outperform from market perform at Keefe, Bruyette & Woods; said platform positioned to be a winner within underserved market with Seller less than 3% penetrated and Cash App less than 2%; also cited additional customer acquisition avenues with TIDAL, Credit Karma's tax business.
      • +5.4% CHWY (Chewy, Inc.): Q4 EBITDA and revenue margins beat; margins boosted by hardgoods, proprietary brands, and healthcare; FY21 revenue guidance above the Street; said QTD customer acquisition and spending trends remain strong.
      • +5.4% AMAT (Applied Materials): Initiated outperform at Bernstein; cited positive long term industry outlook, expects rapid growth in wafer fab equipment, sees additional upside optionality for the firm along with LRCX.
      • +4.6% BNTX (BioNTech): Announced with PFE positive topline results for Covid vaccine study in adolescents 12 to 15 years old; no cases of Covid were observed in the vaccinated group, similar to prior 16-25 year old study, vaccine was well tolerated; plan to request emergency use authorization as soon as possible.
      • +3.6% WBA (Walgreens Boots Alliance): FQ2 earnings and revenue beat with FY guidance raised; analysts noted good execution, particularly in US, despite larger than expected Covid headwind; lower tax rate and interest expenses also benefited earnings; International wholesale business sale likely to be completed this year.
      • +1.9% AAPL (Apple): Upgraded to buy from neutral at UBS; cited more stable long-term iPhone demand environment and optionality surrounding likely entry to the auto market.
    • Notable Decliners:
      • -19.7% RMO (Romeo Power): Preliminary Q4 EPS and revenue missed; FY21 revenue guide ~78% below the Street; noted near-term production and revenues to be constrained by supply shortage in battery cells; said working with preferred partners to secure allocations.
      • -11% OLO (Olo, Inc.): FT reported DoorDash (DASH) accused company of overcharging it for more than three years; paper said DoorDash was Olo's largest delivery partner last year, accounting for 19.3% of revenue.
      • -9.7% BB (BlackBerry): Q4 results below expectations with Software and Services a drag; Licensing and other revenues also missed; company has entered into negotiations to sell majority of its patent portfolio; if no sale, company guided license revenue well below consensus in its most conservative scenario; upgraded at Canaccord Genuity.
      • -5.5% KR (Kroger): To provide update at today's Investor Day; reconfirmed FY 21 EPS guidance, which brackets Street consensus; also reconfirms comps, OI, capex, FCF guidance; analysts noted high bar into Investor Day, noting optimism around comps, holding market share gains accumulated in FY20.
      • -3.3% LULU (lululemon athletica): Q4 EPS and revenue beat; comps beat, but store comp decline worse than expected; OM light on higher SG&A than expected; guided FY22 EPS below Street, but revenue ahead; analysts said expense outlook given MIRROR, digital channel costs likely to weigh on earnings growth.
    • S&P 500 Sector Performance
      • Outperformers: Tech +1.50%, Consumer Disc. +0.83%, Utilities +0.65%, Communication Svcs. +0.40%
      • Underperformers: Energy (0.93%), Financials (0.90%), REITs (0.50%), Materials (0.49%), Consumer Spls. (0.48%), Industrials (0.33%), Healthcare +0.14%
    • Data
    • DXY: 93.23, (0.07)
    • €-$ +0.0004 or +0.03% to 1.1726
    • £-$ +0.0045 or +0.33% to 1.3783
    • $-¥ +0.37 or +0.34% to 110.74
    • €-¥ +0.52 or +0.40% to 129.84
    • 2-year yield +1 bps to 0.16%
    • 10-year yield +1 bps to 1.74%
    • 30-year yield +1 bps to 2.41%
    • WTI Crude (May 21): ($1.24) or (2.05%) to $59.31
    • Gold (Jun 21): +$22.10 or +1.31% to $1708.1
    • Index Performance
      • Month-to-date: Dow +6.62%, S&P +4.24%, Nasdaq +0.41% Russell +0.88%
      • Quarter-to-date: Dow +7.76%, S&P +5.77%, Nasdaq +2.78% Russell +12.44%
      • Year-to-date: Dow +7.76%, S&P +5.77%, Nasdaq +2.78% Russell +12.44%
    submitted by /u/spacej3di
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    Goldman warns of investor ‘guerrilla warfare’

    Posted:

    The Supreme Court will hear arguments today from Goldman Sachs and from pension funds over a claim that the Wall Street giant misled investors about its work selling complex debt investments in the prelude to the 2008 financial crisis. In its latest brief, Goldman makes an interesting argument: Investors shouldn't rely on statements such as "honesty is at the heart of our business" or "our clients' interests always come first" that appear in S.E.C. filings and annual reports.

    NY Times Deal Book newsletter

    https://www.nytimes.com/2021/03/29/business/dealbook/credit-suisse-nomura-archegos.html#:~:text=Goldman%20warns%20of%20investor%20'guerrilla%20warfare'&text=filings%20and%20annual%20reports.,over%20claims%20of%20investment%20fraud.&text=Goldman%20has%20argued%20in%20its,providing%20%E2%80%9Cserious%20legal%20arguments.%E2%80%9D

    submitted by /u/Guy_PCS
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    $MP Materials - A rare, rare earth company bringing sustainable production back to the US

    Posted:

    Thought I'd take a chance to provide some information on a stock that I have liked for a while, MP Materials. Right now it is sitting at a low point for a while and I think the time is ripe for the pickens. Why do I think this right now?

    Well MP sits at a mining site in the middle of the desert out near the Cali-Nevada border. They sit just south of Las Vegas right next to a highway for easy transport of the extracted and purified materials as they both mine and refine the ore.

    Well let's start with what they do: rare earth materials mining. Not the sexiest job on the planet, but it is necessary for all things tech. Rare earths are a key component of clean energy, IT, defense, industrial applications, and neat little magnets. Right now, the vast majority of rare earths are produced by China at 80%, leaving a huge vulnerability in a high sought after market. The market isn't going away but China could pull it's supply.

    The US-China relations are at a pretty fragile point. NASA has even called Taiwan a country which is a hugely sensitive issue. The current administration seeks to counter Chinese competition and upend their dominance and has been reviewing the reliance on China for rare earths.

    The price of rare earths is rising, and it caused a jump in the stock price earlier in the month - the soaring need for electric vehicles should continue to push it further. Though the stock price jumped, it did plummet on news that they were issuing some additional shares, about 10%, to fund new green energy initiatives.. With a larger focus on environmentally friendly projects, it makes $MP a prime target for eco-conscious investors.

    In my opinion, the price dive spooked a large amount of investors sending it way below it's fair value. 10% dilution rocked it to a 30% price dive that it is coming back from strongly now. Even with the dilution included, the price should pop back up another 20% or so as the market in growth stock picks back up. $MP doubled the analyst estimates for EPS in Q4 last year and don't look to be slowing down. Looking ahead, the forward looking EPS estimates put it at close to $2 for a 15 p/e ratio with $0.48 EPS in the 4th quarter of 2021. MP materials hasn't been around long, taking over the site from failed Molycorp, but appear to be hitting it at a good time. Now not only are they expected to be profitable quickly, but also have the new $584m in cash to ramp up and clean up their operation to ensure a sustainable and competitive supplier of rare earths.

    If you look at their earnings presentation-3.18.2021.pdf), the story keeps getting better though. They had 100% YoY revenue growth and are still reducing the cost of production. Modest for Q4 YoY, but 25% for the entire year.

    I am long MP, with a few hundred shares and a 4/16 $45c. I like the potential of such a young company that is already pulling a profit in a growing market with a sustainable business model. Somehow this is a growth stock that has a profitable business model, seems like a safe bet to me - though this isn't financial advise, this is just my own opinion.

    submitted by /u/boneywankenobi
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    Options trading for a moron like me

    Posted:

    I applied for options trading and margin. I asked for full Level 3 access, like the big dogs. About a week later they sent me an email asking me to call them. I assume to laugh at me and call me an idiot because on the application I had to put that I have never traded options and am a moron. So I called them today. The guys asked what my strategy was and my knowledge base. He asked me if I knew what a "call" and "put" were. Honestly I gotta say he was more polite and understanding than I would have been with someone as stupid as I am. I said I read books and watched videos. Actually other people read books and told me about it and I watched YouTube videos. I asked him what level access do I need to short stocks and I said it with a straight face. He said I'd need a margin account, so I asked what level could I trade options without margin and he gave me level 1 access. Tbh, I'm surprised he let me have that. He said for the higher level 3 access I originally asked for I would need margin and a minimum of 100k in my account.

    submitted by /u/TrueNeutrino
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    PsychoMarket Recap - Wednesday, March 31, 2021

    Posted:

    Stocks closed the day mixed, with the Nasdaq (QQQ) and S&P 500 (SPY) advancing while the Dow Jones (DIA) pulled back. The SPY briefly reached record intraday levels. Market participants continue to monitor rising Treasury yields and digested President Biden's newly proposed $2 trillion infrastructure bill, which could include changes to existing tax policy. Today marks the final session of Q1 of 2021.

    Ahead of President Biden's address later today, the White House revealed a new, massive infrastructure proposal. The proposal includes roughly $2 trillion to help rehabilitate and build out the country's infrastructure, address the crisis around climate change and curb economic inequality. To pay for the proposal, Biden will propose raising the corporate tax rate to 28% from 21% for 15 years and implementing other policies to disincentivize offshoring. View a complete breakdown of the bill here.

    Today marks the final session of an extremely volatile quarter. Year-to-date, cyclical, energy, financial, industrial and reopening stocks have strongly outperformed tech and high-growth stocks that led the market higher last year. As the pace of vaccinations increases (roughly 3 million doses distributed per day in the US), it seems market participants have been rotating to stocks poised to benefit from the gradual reopening of the economy.

    Despite signs of economic improvement, market participants are concerned that the Federal Reserve's accommodative monetary policy, combined with massive fiscal spending, may cause an unwanted rise in inflation, reinforced by the recent climb in the benchmark 10-year Treasury yield (1.735% at the time of writing). Looking ahead, the March jobs report is set to be released Friday. The report is estimated to show the economy created a whopping 630,00 jobs in March — the most since October 2019 before the coronavirus pandemic.

    Highlights

    • A U.S. judge on Wednesday dismissed litigation accusing 10 large banks of conspiring to suppress competition in the multi-trillion dollar market for U.S. Treasury securities. The decision by U.S. District Judge Paul Gardephe in Manhattan came in long-running litigation.
    • Apple (AAPL) said Wednesday that it will build a battery-based renewable energy storage facility in Central California near a solar energy installation. Apple on Wednesday also said that 110 of its suppliers are also moving to use clean energy for the work they do for Apple, with about 8 gigawatts of clean energy production planned as a result.
    • Shares of food delivery group Deliveroo tumbled 30% in the first hours of their first day of trading in London, in the largest-ever technology initial public offering on the London Stock Exchange
    • Geely Holdings, who bought Volvo from Ford in 2010, says it is considering a IPO for Volvo at a valuation of roughly $20 billion, according to a report by Bloomberg.
    • Alphabet's (GOOG, GOOGL) has reached licensing deals with over 600 news outlets around the world and is seeing a "huge increase" in users requesting more content from specific publications as part of a new program
    • Snapchat (SNAP) is making a broader push into hardware devices with its plans to launch an augmented-reality version of its Spectacles smart glasses and a drone
    • **Please note that current stock price was written during the session and may not reflect closing price*\*
    • Chewy (CHWY) with two target raises. Stock currently around $85
      • Wedbush from $90 to $100 at Outperform
      • Jefferies Financial Group from $100 to $105 at Buy
    • UBER target raised by Morgan Stanley from $70 to $75 at Overweight. Stock currently around $55
    • NuVasive (NUVA) target raised by Citigroup from $68 to $80 at Buy. Stock currently around $66
    • Aptiv (APTV) target raised by Royal Bank of Canada from $168 to $174 at Outperform. Stock currently around $139
    • Nike (NKE) target raised by HSBC from $158 to $162 at Buy. Stock currently around $133
    • Alliance Data Systems (ADS) target raised by Argus from $95 to $130 at Buy. Stock currently around $113

    "The future belongs to those who believe in the beauty of their dreams." -Eleanor Roosevelt

    submitted by /u/psychotrader00
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    How to not check your account every second of your day?

    Posted:

    I'm a long-term investor. All of the stocks I owned, I plan to hold for 6 years plus. However, as the title suggests, I have the urge to check my account all the time. Any tips to stop this constant checking?

    submitted by /u/levi97zzz
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    What is the biggest issue that investors deal with when deciding which stocks to invest in?

    Posted:

    I am interested in hearing this from investors and traders. Is it the lack of information on a stock? Uncertainty about a company? Or is it some other factors that you as an investor (or trader) have to deal with when you are buying shares of a company?

    Thank you and I'd appreciate the answers!

    submitted by /u/jazilzaim
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    Volkswagen's US' subsidiary is keeping its name and will not rename itself "Voltswagen," a company spokesman has said, confirming that an ea

    Posted:

    https://www.rte.ie/news/newslens/2021/0331/1207150-volkswagen-corrects-early-april-fools-joke/

    Volkswagen's US' subsidiary is keeping its name and will not rename itself "Voltswagen," a company spokesman has said, confirming that an earlier announcement was an April Fool's joke that may have gone further than intended.

    The German automaker's US subsidiary, which is launching a media blitz for a new all-electric sport utility vehicle, recrafted its social media pages and said the new moniker represents its "future-forward investment in e-mobility," according to a press release that was widely covered.

    Company officials kept up the pretense for hours, with a US spokesman confirming the name change in response to an email question about whether it was an April Fool's joke.

    submitted by /u/Fine_Priest
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    What is the actual evidence behind many of the principles used and discussed in stock trading and investment in general?

    Posted:

    My background is in medical science, and I have learned (sometimes the hard way), that evidence is king. Even in the face of 'gut feeling' and an affirmation 'making sense', the conclusions drawn are often wrong. It is not until large, well-designed trials are performed that we really know if something is true.

    That brings me to the title of my post. I have become very intrigued about investing in recent months-years, and I have read countless opinions about, and explanations of, different forms of analysis, methods of investing, etc. However, what I consistently find missing is citations to the actual evidence behind these ideas and principles. And so here I am, appealing to the kind folks of /r/stocks.

    What is the actual evidence behind things like Fundamental and Technical analysis? Have large datasets been collected, studied, and published, showing statistically significant associations between stock-related variables and their "outcomes"? If not, how are we certain that anything we say is actually true?

    submitted by /u/MedicallyMike
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    Wash Sale - I had no idea

    Posted:

    New retail investor here, about 2 months now. I've done a fair amount of reading to familiarize myself with the basics of buying/selling stocks but never once came across thus.

    I had about $1,000 in one stock that dropped about 36% over the past week or two, so I decided to cut bait on half of my holdings (highest cost basis shares). What I didn't realize or understand was this thing called a Wash Sale, which increased my cost basis on my remaining shares by about 15% above my previous average cost.

    At this point I don't know what to do. And before I realized the Wash Sale thing I was actually inclined to buy back more of that same stock at the lower price. I suppose I can't do that for at least 30 days now? Do I now hold them for a year?

    Thanks in advance for your help.

    submitted by /u/rna32
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    BA - Thoughts on Boeing?

    Posted:

    What are your thoughts on Boeing? It seems to be slightly rising but I'm not sure how the reopening plays are going to keep rising. Boeing has risen a little but isn't near ATHs like other reopening plays. However Boeing seems like Chipotle after the ecoli scandal due to the two planes that crashes prior to COVID-19. Took awhile to rebound but it ultimately did. Southwest and Alaskan also just put some orders in so I assume others might follow suit.

    The chart almost looks like a teacup forming.

    Thoughts?

    submitted by /u/hockeyfun1
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    Blink Charging ($BLNK) is Scheme to Siphon Money to the Pockets of Insiders

    Posted:

    Blink Charging Co, headed by CEO Michael D. Farkas, claims to own, operate, and provide electric vehicle (EV) charging equipment and networks throughout the United States. It currently offers both residential and commercial EV charging equipment and utilizes a real-time cloud-based system to track the current usage and operation of its EV charging stations. Currently, Blink claims to have over 15,000 of these EV charging stations in operation throughout the U.S. And closing today with a share price of $36.98, Blink seems to give investors and analysts alike hope that it has great prospects to become a large firm in the EV charging space. However, as I'll discuss in further detail, everything about this company - its operations, financials, and leadership - are rotten to the core.

    Data for this post was sourced from the Culper Research Report on Blink Charging Co, published in August of 2020. I have no reason to believe that significant changes have occurred since.

    I am not an analyst or financial professional nor do I have any positions (or plan to open any) in Blink Charging Co.

    1. 15,000 charging stations sounds impressive compared to Tesla's 5000; 2,192 does not.

    According to Culper Research's inquiries, "Our on-the-ground visits to 242 stations at 88 locations across the U.S. revealed a plethora of neglected, abused, non-functional, or otherwise missing chargers. Our analysis of the Company's own data suggests that the average charger is utilized for just 6 to 38 minutes per day (0.39% to 2.65% utilization), while annual charging revenue of a mere $6.37 per member suggests that the average Blink member doesn't even obtain one single full charge from the Blink network over the course of an entire year."

    In terms of charging stations, "As of June 30, 2020, the Company had 15,151 charging stations deployed, of which, 5,385 were Level 2 commercial charging units, 102 were DC Fast Charging EV chargers and 1,193 were residential charging units. Additionally, as of June 30, 2020, the Company had 305 Level 2 commercial charging units on other networks and there were also 8,166 non-networked, residential Blink EV charging stations."

    Why's that important? Well, "Unless Blink expects that all residential charger owners are set to open their garages for complete strangers to steal their electricity, the Company's claim that "EV drivers can easily charge at any of its 15,000 charging [stations]" is an egregious overstatement which we suspect has been designed to mislead investors."

    And of the 5385 charging stations remaining, fewer are listed by the company's own app, "Our sampling suggests that of the 3,275 chargers listed on the Company's map, only 67% of these, or 2,192, exist, are functional, and are publicly accessible."

    1. Blink's earnings compared to compensation expenses shed light on its true purpose.

    Culper also found that, "Since 2014, compensation expense of $44 million is more than double the Company's $18 million in cumulative revenues, which have remained flat despite the Company's incessant promotion of supposedly groundbreaking partnerships, international expansions, and new technology under development."

    But for a mid-cap company valued at $1.5 billion, only 88 employees are on LinkedIn.

    But how does tanking the company help executives? Culper states, "Farkas has now dumped at least 1.8 million shares over the past 2 years while at least 7 executives and board members have left the Company. This mass exodus has culminated with COO James Christodoulou in March 2020. Christodoulou is now suing Farkas and the Company, citing numerous counts of securities fraud. Also in March 2020, the Company's primary lender and 9.9% shareholder – Justin Keener – was charged by the SEC, which cited toxic convertible lending practices... Thus, Blink has turned to the PPP program, taking a loan which it has already burned through and does not intend to repay."

    1. Michael Farkas has done this before.

    Below are three separate instances of Farkas' involvement in fraudulent schemes that parallel what's happening with Blink.

    "Skyway Communications (formerly SWYC) purported to be "developing a ground to air in-flight aircraft communication network that we anticipate will facilitate homeland security and in-flight entertainment." However, this was effectively a front. In 2006, an aircraft was seized by the Mexican government holding 5.6 tons of cocaine, reportedly $100 million worth. With Farkas as the company's largest investor, at one point holding majority ownership, the stock collapsed, and Skyway's principals were sued by the SEC for the pump-and-dump scheme. Farkas denied knowledge of the scheme, even as Skyway had just 2 employees and shared an office with Farkas's investment firm, which was a majority owner.

    At GenesisIntermedia, Inc. / Genesis Realty Group, (formerly GENI), Farkas worked with Jeffrey and Darren Glick, Adnan Khashoggi, and Ramy El-Batrawi. The group was sued by the SEC, alleging, in sum, "a scheme to manipulate the stock price of GENI, now-defunct public company, and misappropriated more than $130 million in the process." This was part of a broader scheme, which also involved Atlas Recreational / Holiday RV Superstores, where Farkas was a majority owner with 59% of the company. As part of this scheme, the SEC also brought charges against MJK Clearing, Inc., a.k.a. "Stockwalk", which lost more than $200 million and was forced into liquidation.

    With respect to Red Sea Management Limited, Farkas and his Atlas group of companies were sued for fraud relating to co-involvement in Skyway. Red Sea was also involved with several additional public issuers including SLS International, Inc. GeneThera, Inc., and Freedom Golf Corporation. To that end, the SEC also sued Red Sea, alleging that it conducted "fraudulent pump-and-dump schemes on behalf of its clients and laundered millions of dollars in illegal trading proceeds out of the United States to its clients overseas." Red Sea was also tied to online gambling, money laundering, short-term payday loans, and bootlegged/pirated TV shows."

    TL;DR and Summary

    Blink Charging Company's claim of operating over 15,000 charging units is misleading on two accounts: only 2,192 can be accessed by consumers and the average charger earns a revenue of just $6.37 annually.

    Blink's cumulative earnings are abysmal yet employee compensations remain sky-high, $18 million to $44 million since 2014 respectively. Meanwhile, CEO Michael Farkas continues to dump millions of shares and collect a salary of $548,000.

    Farkas also has a long history with massive criminal schemes and generally fraudulent behavior. If that's not enough, an 8.88% owner of Blink is also directly tied to the panama papers.

    In conclusion, Blink Charging is just another scam by CEO Michael Farkas. It has courted investors with a vision of the future and a façade of long-term viability. In reality, its slowly bleeding out and the only person benefitting is Farkas.

    UPDATE: Many people are wondering, "why not short or put Blink right now?" As some have pointed out, since the August 2020 Culper Research report and subsequent Mariner Research Group downgrade, Blink's share price has actually increased from roughly 10$ to its current price. Clearly, the investors don't care about the inherent risk of their investment. However, a lawsuit was filed in October and is currently underway (website for relevant updates: https://www.hbsslaw.com/cases/BLNK). Investor fraud lawsuits generally take 2-4 years to be resolved and it's possible that these repercussions won't be felt by Blink or fully realized by investors until that date. In the meantime, there are too many possibilities for Blink, whether that's a management adjustment or immediate bankruptcy, and it's just too risky to take that long of a position.

    submitted by /u/dmitriycyka
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    Can someone explain why AstraZeneca (AZN) hasn't tanked

    Posted:

    The side effect caused by the vaccine has proven to be true, 33 more cases found of blood clots in the brain due to 'heparin' like side effects and seems like it may be scratching the surface. Doubtful most countries will continue a roll-out with it. This all seems horrible and yet the stock price is barely dented.. what am I missing?

    submitted by /u/Drewsef916
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    Hydrogen vs EV

    Posted:

    So what's everyone's opinion on hydrogen technology vs ev? Do you think the tech is good? Will there be enough infrastructure for fueling? A demand for it in big trucks?

    I'm looking at Advent Technologies (ADN) and Hyllion (HYLN) trying to decide if they would be a good long term holds.

    I currently hold 350 ADN and 100 HYLN

    submitted by /u/witrevolution
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    Downward trending stocks you still believe in - Smarter to average down or wait?

    Posted:

    I will use ICLN as my prime example in my portfolio, which is about the only holding I have in the red. I believe this is a long play, especially since it will be getting re-balanced in the near future. That being said, my avg. cost/share is ~$32. Would it be smarter for me to try to average down now since it is around $23.50/share, or is it a better idea to wait and see what happens?

    submitted by /u/ClarkGriswold00
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    looking for some more advanced help regarding market orders and how they work...

    Posted:

    I am currently invest heavily into EEENF and the future progress of the stock completely rides on this weekends announcement of oil or no oil. If on Sunday they announce that there is oil then the stock goes up and all is well. IF they announce no oil and the well is to be plugged then the stock is going to crash... hard.

    So, my question is this. If I get the news that they are going to crash on Sunday. What do I do? I assume my best bet is to set a market order for open and hope for the best? Right? If so... how does that even work?

    Secondly... Do market orders work in a single file line sort of way? Lets say I place a Market order at 4:30PM on Sunday and somebody else places on at 9:30PM on Sunday night, will my Market order be executed first or is it random?

    Thank you so much for any help you guys can possible give me. I'm in a possibly life changing situation and I'd really like to be prepared. :)

    submitted by /u/GingerScooby
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