Stocks - r/Stocks Daily Discussion Wednesday - Feb 10, 2021 |
- r/Stocks Daily Discussion Wednesday - Feb 10, 2021
- This subreddit is becoming a pump and dump
- Gamestop short interest just updated, it is now 78.46%
- Reddit IS NOT becoming a "pump and dump" place
- Buying on stock hype is not the way
- Reuters: “Nasdaq, New York Stock Exchange sue SEC over planned overhaul of public data feeds”
- $KT - Deep, Deep Value
- Gamestop Institutional Broker Trades off the Exchange ("Upstairs")
- GME Short Squeeze What Comes Next Part 3
- Where does the money I lose go?
- Bumble IPO Tomorrow; Consideration
- A Boring Educational Post For The New Traders
- Is TLRY and APHA the free-est money of all time??? WHAT AM I MISSING
- How to use stock screeners better?
- Trying to learn horse to do DD
- Could Psychedelics (PSYK) be the next weed?
- The Pot Stocks
- BB stock and its potential
- The $TLRY Gamma Squeeze is HERE! Numbers plus $APHA discussion
- Can anyone recommend a person who I can follow, sort of like just someone to shadow whilst I'm still learning.
- Paypal now bigger than Mastercard (by marketcap)
- Thoughts on LLNW?
- It feels like there is a new great stock everyday. FOMO?
- 2021-02-10 - Vanguard Group Inc has filed an SC 13G form with SEC disclosing ownership of 57,814,310 shares of Tesla Motors, 6.1% of corp
| r/Stocks Daily Discussion Wednesday - Feb 10, 2021 Posted: 10 Feb 2021 12:00 AM PST These daily discussions run from Monday to Friday including during our themed posts. Some helpful links:
If you have a basic question, for example "what is EPS," then google "investopedia EPS" and click the investopedia article on it; do this for everything until you have a more in depth question or just want to share what you learned. Please discuss your portfolios in the Rate My Portfolio sticky.. See our past daily discussions here. Also links for: Technicals Tuesday, Options Trading Thursday, and Fundamentals Friday. [link] [comments]  | ||||||||||||||||||||||||
| This subreddit is becoming a pump and dump Posted: 10 Feb 2021 06:13 AM PST Hi, I'm here to share my DD on insert stock that I own calls for here So essentially List highly exaggerated positives with no negatives at all I'm now going to go onto my alt account and make a few similar posts whilst gilding them so everyone knows it's the truth. Once the bots upvote it further everyone will jump in pumping my stock up. I've cross posted it to wallstreetbets so it will get even more traction. Anyone else feel like this is how 9/10 DD posts are on this subreddit now? They are just pumping stocks over and over. Honestly, think we have just become wallstreetbets second subreddit because half our DDs come directly from there and we are getting less discussion on earnings etc and more on how BB/GME etc are going to become the next Microsoft by the end of the year. 💎💎💎🚀🚀🚀 Edit: Added rocket emojis and Diamonds so the bots know to upvote my post because any stock with rocket emojis will go up a huge amount simply because I added two emojis. Edit 2: STOCK GOING MOON. BUY THE DIP. The stock must go up simply because I typed that. Edit 3: Look at that GME post with hundreds of awards. Normal for a none pumping post right? Edit 4: DD stands for due diligence or currently it stands for "Buy the stock I'm pumping and be a bag holder later on" Edit 5: Did you know BB isn't just a phone company? It's also the next company we are trying to get you to buy into because we want to pump it's price up [link] [comments]  | ||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Gamestop short interest just updated, it is now 78.46% Posted: 09 Feb 2021 07:10 PM PST | ||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Reddit IS NOT becoming a "pump and dump" place Posted: 10 Feb 2021 08:53 AM PST Allow me to explain. All these MSM reports of "reddit has moved on to XYZ stock!!" is bullshit. They are either framed in a positive or negative tone, usually negative, to attempt drive a price in a certain direction. Negative implying "oh shit, a bunch of idiot newbie investors are going to pump up and dump a stock!" or positive in that "some of the clever internet sleuths have found the new buy!" Whatever it is, it's not to help you. It's to manipulate the market. MSM is not your friend, if you followed CNBC's investing advice exactly, you'd barley beat inflation with your gains. They literally exist to regulate sentiment in the population. And while you SHOULD watch these things, and read crap like WSJ sometimes to get a feel for what kind of BS they're trying to shill or what ideas they want you to absorb... you DON'T make money listening to these sources. Reddit has gold on it. Most of you people are idiots, but some are actually extremely educated and intelligent investors who decide to share their golden nuggets with us. [link] [comments]  | ||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Buying on stock hype is not the way Posted: 10 Feb 2021 10:49 AM PST I'm an extremely novice trader, but something I've been thinking about that others might find valuable. Let's say you are someone like me who scrolls through hoping to find that amazing DD that is going to be the next big thing and rocket you right to the moon... You think you're staying on top of things by reading the posts end-to-end and finding opportunities that really make sense. You get really excited about opportunities with awesome DD but for one glaring issue....timing. The unfortunate reality is that this DD you found is only likely to get up-voted and become visible to you, after the stock has ALREADY popped. When the stock pops people get excited and they share it out...but it's always coming AFTER the pop. So, if your objective is to make a quick profit, you're setting yourself up for failure. Sure, you might get lucky, and you might still make a profit long-term, but your timing in the short-term will always be sub-optimal. Now...I'm not knocking good DD as a way to find opportunities, but you should update your thinking and maybe taking the following steps instead of buying willy-nilly:
[link] [comments]  | ||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Reuters: “Nasdaq, New York Stock Exchange sue SEC over planned overhaul of public data feeds” Posted: 10 Feb 2021 04:47 AM PST https://www.reuters.com/article/us-sec-lawsuit-nyse-nasdaq-idUSKBN2AA09P (Reuters) - Nasdaq Inc and the New York Stock Exchange have each sued the Securities and Exchange Commission, seeking to block a plan by the regulator to overhaul public data feeds that broadcast stock prices to investors, court filings show. Under the SEC plan, approved in December, supply and demand data for stocks would be added to public feeds, broadening access to the information which the exchanges currently sell to professional traders at a premium. "Nasdaq believes the SEC exceeded its authority by adopting an ill-considered remake of market structure," a Nasdaq spokeswoman said in an emailed statement. The plan "would make equity markets overly complex and increase hidden costs for investors", the statement said. The filings were made in the U.S. Court of Appeals for the District Of Columbia Circuit. The Wall Street Journal reported that Cboe Global Markets, which operates the Chicago Board Options Exchange, was also suing the SEC over the issue. Cboe did not immediately respond to a Reuters request for comment. The lawsuit is the latest legal action taken by the exchanges against the SEC in recent years, which include a successful challenge to a proposed experiment by the SEC to cap trading fees on 1,400 different stocks. The SEC is also dealing with other suits. In October, Citadel Securities sued the commission over its decision to approve a new mechanism for trading stocks at exchange operator IEX Group Inc. Reporting by Kanishka Singh in Bengaluru; Editing by Edwina Gibbs [link] [comments]  | ||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Posted: 10 Feb 2021 12:32 PM PST Apparently we're all saying this now, but I am not a financial advisor and you should do your own DD. With that being said, I present you with the following: I'm a fan of really really deep value. This will likely be a long post, but I think you'll find value in it if you can follow along (see what I did there?). I'll put the TLDR right here at the top: KT Corp ($KT) is so undervalued it's almost embarrassing. When I say undervalued, I don't mean by a little bit… I mean if this thing doubled it would still be a good value. At the time of my writing this, KT is trading at $10.62. A realistic price target, if the market were to properly value this company, is ~$30.00 I'll go in depth as to why as we continue through this story, but the long and short of it is the Tangible Book Value of KT Corporation is $19.66/share. What does that mean? It means if KT declared bankruptcy tomorrow, was forced to sell off all of its tangible assets and pay back its debt, the remaining money to be returned to shareholders would be $19.66/share. This does not take into consideration intangible assets – which have real value (in the $BILLIONS), but are harder to assess. Again, it's trading at $10.62 as of this writing (a price/tangible book value of only 0.54). Value investors typically look for stocks trading at <3.0 price/TBV. Deep value would be <1.0. KT is trading at 0.54, and a price/book ratio of 0.42! Shares are cheap, options are cheap. Do what you will – hell, sell it short if you want – but I like shares and calls. KT CORPORATE PROFILE KT Corporation (formerly Korea Telecom) is a South Korean integrated telecom conglomerate which was founded in 1885 – but realistically in 1981 in a more noticeable form – with business operations sprinkled throughout Asia, Africa, USA & Poland. KT is South Korea's first telecom company and dominates Korean market share in many of the spaces in which they compete:
As a conglomerate, KT has their hands in a number of diversified pots.
Corporate Location Map: https://i.imgur.com/syXIRxy.jpeg KT has ~30% institutional ownership, with BlackRock being a large buyer in Q4 2020. KT has also filed paperwork for a massive share repurchase program. For what it's worth in this day and age, the short % of shares outstanding is a measly 0.09%. No one is going short on this thing at its current price. You'd literally have to be insane to short it – it'd be like picking up pennies in front of a steamroller. FINANCIAL METRICS & PEER COMPARISONS KT's balance sheet is rock solid. While it may not have the booming high growth of clean tech or cannabis, it is still growing and maybe more importantly, doing so profitably. I touched on the tangible book value in the TLDR above, but this cannot be understated. If you were to liquidate the company entirely, shareholders would receive $20-30 per share after the debt had been repaid. I have highlighted some comparison ratios in the images below to show the truly disgusting undervaluation of KT. Compared to US-based telecom services index peers: https://i.imgur.com/iOmE5mI.jpeg Using a comp multiple for valuation based on these index comps gives the following implied value per share for KT ranging from $26.33 - $109.88 (unrealistic top end): https://i.imgur.com/0hYg7Zy.jpeg Compared to industry peers/comps: https://i.imgur.com/lT8uPvh.jpeg The following comparison is really the tale of the tape. When we look at tangible book value, we see that all of the peers are trading above the tangible book value. This is obvious, given the share price should exceed the liquidation value. But we see the opposite being true for KT. Again, it is trading at HALF of its tangible book value. You could theoretically buy up all of the existing shares, liquidate the company, and double your money. This is what I mean by real deep fucking value. https://i.imgur.com/vGaVp9b.jpeg Not that we put much weight in them around here, but all of the analysts are bullish on KT as well, with median upside of 33%. https://i.imgur.com/Buhxpqq.jpeg They just published their updated earnings presentation and have positive forecasts for growth as well: https://corp.kt.com/eng/attach/record/2020/KT%20ER%20PT%204Q20%20ENG_FIN.pdf I am long shares and 07/16/21 $15 calls. [link] [comments]  | ||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Gamestop Institutional Broker Trades off the Exchange ("Upstairs") Posted: 09 Feb 2021 04:20 PM PST Gamestop is a heavily cross traded security according to Bloomberg Terminal. Indication of interest trades are executed off the exchange and don't appear even on Level II data, and they are executed in block trades to lessen the impact on the security's price. These upstairs markets are where dark pools form and are flooded with institutional block trades. Below is unbiased, statistical data exported to Excel. Here is "upstairs" traded volume plotted along with total volume of the day. Here is % of "upstairs" trades cross traded, with y-axis starting at 99%. According to Bloomberg Terminal's Security Finder, GME is listed as a cross traded security. Edit: As requested, this data is derived from IOI & Advert Overview. Thanks for the shiny awards [link] [comments]  | ||||||||||||||||||||||||
| GME Short Squeeze What Comes Next Part 3 Posted: 09 Feb 2021 07:13 PM PST GME Short Squeeze What Comes Next Part 3 Hello all, Before I begin I would like to address something I have been encountering on my posts in the comments section. I keep receiving some hate concerning my opinions and I want to be crystal clear that they are just that; opinions. I also want everyone to know that is is meant to be a dialog. I am not trying to pump this stock because truthfully, this goes far beyond us retail investors at this point. What I want is a dialog between all sides to examine this truly fascinating phenomenon that is occurring. I would also like to clarify something, I am not a bagholder. I do currently hold bags because I own 336 shares at a $194.34 cost basis, however, that total amount is house money that was used from my profits on the first go around. I also understand some people are tired of hearing about this because it's the same regurgitated form of someone else's post as it keeps circulating in an attempt to retain hype and drive future buying; this is not what this post is about. As investors and individuals involved in the world of finance, this situation should absolutely intrigue us whether or not we are involved. I am here to present my logic on the situation but encourage healthy discussion and debate. This brings me to my first claim. This is not over. Now, I am not claiming that a squeeze will still occur, I am simply claiming it is not over, for better or for worse. Several things need to take place for this to be completely over, at which point I will either post my gains or my losses from the adventure. When I say "it" I am referring to this entire phenomenon, not one short squeeze. I do not think these events, "it", is over. This is largely due to retail and institutional purchasing not really changing all that much since we found the bottom and established support at a staggering $60. This support was lost today and found new support at $50. There was very interesting ATH action and I'm not sure what to make of it. Millions of bag holders (not just WSB) are still holding and in fact, averaging down, thereby purchasing more. These same bag holders are absolutely refusing to sell for such massive losses and in turn are becoming long term investors on the stock if another squeeze isn't to occur. People are picking up speculative positions in the off-chance of another squeeze. Others are determining this as a fair value for the company, not fundamentally, but based on the future prospects of Ryan Cohen and team. Finally, it is nowhere near leaving the global stage with important upcoming dates that we will discuss later. To examine why it isn't over let's look at both sides of the argument:
I think we can all agree, bear or bull, that something happened. A 2250% increase certainly isn't nothing. The question is...what? I see several possibilities and would like to discuss them in the comments.
First, the data: Based on morningstar the short interest is showing 78.46%. Now, I think the website is having some issues storing cookies because it will show the outdated 226% unless you open it up in incognito. Market watch is showing 41.95% This spread is interesting for sure, my thoughts are some of these calculations are including "synthetic longs" introduced by S3. It is extremely possible to manipulate these numbers via illegal methods and even legal methods using options. Please see this SEC document to explain how this would work. I am not trying to convince anyone to fit my narrative, but these things occur far more commonly than one would expect. The reasoning is because the fines for committing the crime are far less costly than letting the event take place. Please see FINRA's website for the long, and frequent list of fines being dealt out due to manipulation. A common culprit? Lying about short volume. Let's use the absolute worst case scenario being reported of 41.95%, which mind you is still extremely high for one stock: The shorts in fact covered and this was a short squeeze What's interesting here is even if the shorts 100% covered all of their positions, they very well could have shorted on the way back down. Why wouldn't you? It would be insane to not open a short position when this hit nearly $500 especially if you lost half of your companies money; what better way to get it back? For the remainder of this thesis, I will be assuming that some of the short positions that exist are newly opened positions at a higher price unless someone has a counter-claim as to why that wouldn't be possible/probable. That would mean 226% was covered on the way up and another 41.95% was reopened on the way back down. Based on the volume and price changes throughout the past two weeks this simply doesn't pass the math check. The shorts partially covered and this was a partial short squeeze. Again, using 41.95% this is highly likely and the most reasonable case. Some, probably the worst positions, were covered on the way up. I think this is precisely what happened, we had some partial shorts covering but for the most part it was gamma squeezes, hype, and FOMO whereby the price started climbing so rapidly it became smarter for the shorts to just wait out the bubble than to actually cover all of their positions. Again, we fall into a "what-if" scenario regarding shorting on the way back down. The shorts didn't cover anything and this was a globally hyped price increase in conjunction with several gamma squeezes. This scenario does not pass the math check using the 41.95% figure. If the data is being manipulated then this becomes very interesting because if some of the worst positions are still open then that means all of these HF's losses that were reported were strictly interest and they are simply waiting this out for as long as it takes making back their losses on their newly opened short positions in t $300-$400 range. Sadly, this puts us in the guessing range yet again. We can do the math and see it's possible this scenario exists, however, we would be comparing it against losses reported by the entities that were being squeezed. There are way to many what-if's for me to me consider this a possibility, but I can't write it off completely. Some combination of the above 3. Truthfully, this isn't worth examining just yet. There would be far to many "what-if's" to address, this is something that could be address at the later dates that we will get to shortly. Now, I've heard it a lot regarding the 02/09 data. "It's two weeks old". Well, that is always the case. The FINRA short data is always two weeks old and suggesting that we can't pull any information from it at all is asinine. Where it gets quite murky, is the data includes 01/27 information. This was a day unlike any other in this saga. I will take this moment to address the following upcoming catalysts and when I truly think this will be done; one way or the other. Today's data 02/09, was very important because if it showed an extremely low percentage then we know shorts have exited and did not re-enter and this is completely done. Given the data does not reflect that, we now must turn to several events that could act as catalysts for either a further squeeze or a complete shutdown. 02/19 - In my last post, I discussed the Failure To Deliver (FTD) conundrum. I do need some help figuring out the exact expiration date. From here "The close-out requirement states that a participant of a clearing agency needs to take immediate action to close 4 out a fail to deliver position in a threshold security that has persisted for 13 consecutive settlement days by purchasing securities of like kind and quantity." The exact date is slightly irrelevant because I highly doubt all of these FTD's are going to deliver on the same exact day. This site, while it isn't an official channel seems to be doing a good job of tracking data. If you want to learn more about FTD's and the implications there please visit that site or review my last post which has links to follow for further reading. 02/18 - Keith Gill aka u/DeepFuckingValue will testify before congress and RH CEO Vladimir will be attending. This can go several ways which can lead to an SEC trading halt on GameStop or with evidence that proves foul play occurred. Who knows? It will certainly be interesting and I don't even to speculate on the market reaction to this even because it could go a ton of different ways; it will be an important date nonetheless 02/24 - The next FINRA short interest information will be made readily available to the public. This will be far more interesting and helpful information because it won't include the insane volatility of January, but it will also highlight the newest short positions. This data will help further drive where I think this is all going to end. It's possible that shorts opened new positions at $50 thinking it was going back to $12. Let's not speculate too much here either, it's just another dataset that will bring light to the direction this is headed. 03/25 - GameStop ER. This is big too for several reasons. First, this will include the console sales cycle which historically has done well for GameStop. A typical buy the hype, sell the news event. It will be interesting to see how the market reacts leading up to this ER, maybe people won't even touch GME leading up to then due to the recent volatility, but if they do, and if there is still a lot of short interest, this too could force shorts to begin covering. Another critical part of this ER is Ryan Cohen. This will be the first time this new board addresses the public with their plans for the future and for the first time since this entire adventure began, the "dying brick and mortar" narrative will finally begin to change in the public eye. That is still the common misconception regarding GameStop, that it is a dying brick and mortar retailer where nothing has changed. This hasn't been the case for around 6 months now, but this will be the first time it is publicly address. The headlines surrounding GameStop's future plans will be very interesting to read and the markets reaction will be far more interesting. I have been asked a lot what my PT is and when I expect the squeeze to happen, but let me be clear. Very seldom do squeezes "just happen". In fact, short squeezes are far more common than one would think, they just typically happen over months, if not years and the shorts cover on dips so you don't even notice it's happening. In order to force a squeeze, you need to hold a decent amount of shorts underwater. Soon one will crack and start closing their position, this leads to a series of shorts closing their positions skyrocketing the price until more and more shorts need to cover. This is rare. I hope this narrative of purchasing heavily shorted companies comes to a close soon because a lot of people are going to lose a lot of money simply buying up companies because they are heavily bet against. Catalysts and massive changes need to occur like overhauling your entire business as is the case with GameStop. Normally, shorts will close their positions one at a time, covering on dips and you don't even notice it's happening. In times where you see a price rise of seemingly no news could very well be shorts closing their positions because their research led them to realize this company is on the road to recovery. I digress. Given the most recent data and the multiple upcoming catalysts I am still very bullish on a GME short squeeze. My post from quite some time ago illustrated the importance of catalysts regarding a short squeeze, this is still very much the case. The first run was interrupted and the second run won't happen with magic, it requires a catalyst. Another post was titled For those who do not understand the inevitable GME short squeeze, was at the time "inevitable" because math. That is no longer the case. It is no longer inevitable but it is still possible. I want to be clear: This is not nearly as close to a sure thing as it once was and it depends on a lot of different factors. One of the largest is the people. Granted, a lot of what's happening now is in the hands of institutions but millions of retailers holding their positions to the grave certainly helps the institutional buyers have more faith in their play to continue a squeeze. SO WHAT DO I THINK I think shorts certainly covered some of their positions, but not all. I also firmly believe a significant amount of short positions were opened on the way back down by both HF's and individuals. Some certainly positioned high, but based on sentiment, it appears a lot of people think GME is fairly valued around $20 (which I disagree with but let's use that for the time being). That would mean shorts would have no problem opening positions at 100,70,60, even $50. 42% is still very high which means a squeeze is inevitable so long as the company continues in a positive path. However, squeezes typically aren't as abrupt as people think. They are actually quite common, in fact another position I'm heavily invested in is SPCE and they have been going through a squeeze for several weeks and will continue to squeeze so long as news continues to be positive. How would we get an abrupt short squeeze? A massive bull run. The new shorts that entered at lower levels wouldn't be too hard to catch, however, they are probably low volume, so when they buy to close, it won't be large enough volumes for massive peaks, but a bull run very well could lead to these lower tiered shorts closing, triggering a gamma squeeze. If gamma squeezes are made week over week then shorts at the higher end would have two options:
In the first case, them closing early would be a nice short squeeze to probably several hundred dollars, but it wouldn't break $1000. To break $1000 we would need a big bull run to catch the shorts, trigger gamma squeezes, and keep momentum until they are caught and underwater. This is highly unlikely unless there is another global sentiment. NOTE: ALL OF THESE ASSUMPTIONS I AM MAKING ARE BASED ON THE 42% REPORTING. IF IT IS IN FACT 78% THEN THE POSSIBILITY IS TREMENDOUSLY INCREASED FOR THESE THINGS TO HAPPEN. SO WHEN DOES IT ALL END My though is if by the end of March these catalysts were not enough to reignite the hype and squeeze, then it will essentially be over except in the case of a few circumstances:
It is quite possible, that these catalysts and moments aren't enough to force a squeeze anymore especially if the shorts have repositioned really well. I will retain the mindset that this fateful January 2021 was not a short squeeze. However, that does not mean it will ever actually happen. SO WHAT IS YOUR PLAY HOOMAN? Well, I am long on GME which is why I didn't mind hopping back in even at outrageous prices. I will continue averaging down and don't plan on selling for quite some time, probably several years. The reason for this is I believe in Cohen and his team to turn this into something unexpected and I imagine an eventual ROI. Once this is all said and done and I think either the shorts truly have covered or they simply got away with it (Beginning of April), I will be posting my DD for GME as a long play regardless of the squeeze mechanics. Thank you all for joining me on this wild journey. I hope we can discuss some of these points in the comments like adults and truly try to grasp this wild situation we are all in. There are extremes on both sides from "get over it, the squeeze happened" to a cult like mentality on the other extreme. I hope through discussion we can find the moderate approach and further understand the market mechanics at play. Thanks for your time WARNING: Until the squeeze business is over for good, this is a very volatile and risky play. Joining now for the hope of a potential round 2 squeeze should only be done in a speculative manner with money you are willing to lose. This is more akin to a gamble than it is investing. I think the current market price is fair given the future prospects of the company but do your own DD, I will not be releasing any until this squeeze is put to rest. TL;DR: I am still bullish on this scenario even at 42%, if it really is 78% then I am extremely bullish. There are a plethora of upcoming catalysts that could reignite the squeeze but even if none are powerful enough, with Cohen's new direction we could expect good news for quite some time forcing shorts to exit on a more spread out timeline. Disclaimer: I am not a financial advisor. I do not wish to sway your opinion in either direction. I simply seek to examine this interesting and volatile situation via crowd sourcing. What you do with your money is entirely up to you. [link] [comments]  | ||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Where does the money I lose go? Posted: 10 Feb 2021 01:35 AM PST If I invest $10 into a stock, and then the stock crashes to $5 and decide to cut my losses and cash out. Who keeps the other $5? Who made that money off of me? Is the answer: The Big Bankers? Hedge Funds? The Shorters? I'd also appreciate an explanation on how one makes money like that. I am new to this, and just woke up in the middle of the night with this question and cannot sleep. I appreciate the information. [link] [comments]  | ||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Bumble IPO Tomorrow; Consideration Posted: 10 Feb 2021 09:13 AM PST Bumble IPO tomorrow. Heads up competitor with Match to take the space. Also carving out a unique niche in the world of social media with a woman-initiated contact focus and run by a team top to bottom which is almost exclusively woman. That's unusual. Is it good unusual? Is it bad unusual? I don't know -- but it's unusual, and unusual stuff should make you look. https://sec.report/Document/0001193125-21-009745/ From Q3 2020 - 42M monthly active users Their primary rival is this Match has a market cap of 44.15B as of this morning. Bumble is run by Whitney Wolfe Herd. ...Amazing name, right? She also worked in Tinder leadership until ~2014. She named it, even! She left because of sexual harassment, and to follow her passion to build the social media empire she wanted to live in. She's got a chip on her shoulder and knows the competition from the inside intricately. I love that dynamic a lot. Here's a broader look at the team You should also know... Bumble is not set to just carve out their niche of DATING and squat on that. They want to go deeper into lifestyle and professional networking oriented around woman initiated contacts. I see encroaching on LinkedIn (probably unsuccessfully) but maybe getting a foot hold unexpectedly in something like venture capital relations which could desperately use that kind of disruption. Is that last part on their radar? I don't know, I just made it up, but it 100% would be in my crosshairs if I were these people. The niche value here of woman first media is a big deal wherever you put it. That space is SPARSE and the want is real. Spitball casual target... let's say 40B market cap in a 3 year horizon. Standing a hair under present day Match value in 3 years. +400% gains on that very very rough theory. What are yall thoughts on the fundamentals here and the potential impact to the space? [link] [comments]  | ||||||||||||||||||||||||
| A Boring Educational Post For The New Traders Posted: 10 Feb 2021 02:48 PM PST In my last education post, many of you told me that you had no idea where to get started with trading so I thought I would make another boring educational post for the millions of new traders who recently joined our community. This will show you the best tutorials and tools you need to get started trading stocks and options. Even though I am a decent full-time trader I am not a grammar expert so if you have any questions please comment them below and I will try and get back to them. Before we start please understand you should treat trading as a job because if you do it right it will be your only source of income in a year or two if you put in the effort and master your emotions. List of apps, videos, and tools worth using
I assume most of you already have a broker you prefer but in case you do not, I have listed a few good ones above. What I like to tell new traders is to drop a small amount of money into your account. Something like $20-$50 that you are willing to lose. Play around on the app and buy a few stocks (NOOOOO OPTIONSSSS) and get a feel for your app or platform. After you have some fun making your first few trades head over to YouTube and watch the videos I listed above. Treat these videos as a class and bring a notebook to write down any notes you think are important or any questions you may have. After each video go over your notes and ask questions in one of the many trading communities here on Reddit. Then go back to your app or platform and test out what you have learned while again taking notes of things you notice. After you do this proceed to the next video. After you have watched the Technical Analysis video practice using your own technical analysis by visiting the trading view website. If you have think or swim by TD Ameritrade, E-Trade, or another broker who has a platform for desktops you can do it straight from there which can be a huge bonus. After you have watched the first two videos then you can bring your total account up to $100. You will continue to practice trading using the skills you have learned so far. You may make some profit or you may end up losing a few bucks. Its Important to understand how your emotions are guiding your trading decisions. Every time before you hit the buy button you should ask yourself "Should I really buy this?" If you can't answer that question then under no circumstances should you be making that trade. If you want to get started in options you can watch the third video but understand that while options can have amazing returns they also come with great risk. The video is 3 hours long so grab a snack and find a quiet spot where you can't be bothered. That option video blew my mind and is one of the main reasons I am able to trade full time. That video covers everything so I do not need to go more in-depth here on options trading. Now we come to something that is soooooo important but usually takes traders far too long to understand. The order type video will save you so much money because it will help you understand why market orders are usually not the right way to go especially when you are trading large amounts of capital During this whole time you should have been practicing how to trade and you might have wondered what the order types meant when you went to buy a few shares of stock. Again take notes and practice implementing what you have learned into your evolving trading style. The next two videos are a great pair because the first one educates you on the emotional side of trading while the second video helps you learn to trade with a plan. If you do not have your emotions under control I can tell you know that you will abandon that plan as soon as you see your account start to lose money. You have to get rid of that sinking stomach feeling when the stocks not moving in the direction you want. This definitely takes time but if you can mitigate these types of feelings you should have a solid understanding of how to start trading. If you have time which most of you won't I recommend watching all of the tutorials again because you will take different things away from them compared to when you were just starting out. Doing all of this may take a couple of weeks or a few months if you have a busy work and family life but I encourage to make the effort so you can live the good life. Always remember why you started trading in the first place. If you are just looking for fun or a quick buck you will probably end up losing way more than you ever imagined. Hope you enjoyed this boring post everyone. [link] [comments]  | ||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Is TLRY and APHA the free-est money of all time??? WHAT AM I MISSING Posted: 10 Feb 2021 04:28 AM PST Ok what the FUCK. Sorry for the language but I've never seen something that seems so "too good to be true". What am I missing here??? After the merger, every APHA share turns into almost .84 shares of TLRY. TLRY is currently at 51 while APHA sits at 30???? It should be over 40 with these merger details. I've never seen a stock trade at such a discount. If I'm not missing something, shorting TLRY and buying APHA is free money assuming the merger goes through. Someone please shed some light on how I could be wrong. Disclaimer: this is not financial advice. Follow up post here: https://www.reddit.com/r/stocks/comments/lh371c/addressing_questions_on_the_tlry_apha_pairs_trade/?utm_source=share&utm_medium=ios_app&utm_name=iossmf [link] [comments]  | ||||||||||||||||||||||||
| How to use stock screeners better? Posted: 10 Feb 2021 09:10 AM PST Hey guys, I was hoping to learn about how to use stock screeners more efficiently for both some shorter term trading as well as finding undervalued stocks that might be good long term plays (or at least a good jumping off point to then research the companies i find.) So, my first question is, do any of you guys have good recommendations or presets to use for something like finviz? I've linked a screen capture of the options it gives you. Second, if it is even possible, can someone tell me what fields i would want to use if I am looking for stocks that are in a longer upward trend but are down in the short term? Would I just use something like the 200sma and maybe the 20sma for that? Are there more efficient ways to do something like that? Thanks! [link] [comments]  | ||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Trying to learn horse to do DD Posted: 10 Feb 2021 11:49 AM PST Gah...typo! How did autocorrect choose horse for how ? How to do DD. Sigh... Ok... I've found a company I like. I'm keen on alternate fuels/renewable energy. I go to their website and it looks spiffy. I see the financial analysis and they appear to be running a deficit right now, but I figure that's normal in an exploratory market that is still doing tons of R&D. So I buy a couple of shares and figure I'll hold on to them and buy a few more every month of the price is right. If anyone can take a look and inform me whether I'm missing something on the fundamentals, I'd appreciate it. The ticker is OPTT. [link] [comments]  | ||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Could Psychedelics (PSYK) be the next weed? Posted: 10 Feb 2021 09:40 AM PST Marijuana made so much money for those who got in very early. It was originally presented as a medical product, but when regions started to legalize it, it blew up. Now there's a new ETF dealing in psychedelics (PSYK) that deals in a handful of companies focused on research for the application of psychedelics to treat mental health and other medical issues. As mental health becomes an increasingly important part of medical research, and as countries around the world continue to lower regulation around the use of various 'narcotics' could this stock have the potential of blowing up? I am thinking of investing, I just wanted to see what others think? [link] [comments]  | ||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Posted: 10 Feb 2021 06:15 AM PST I see a lot of posts and comments about some of these cannabis stocks and folks jumping in. Not going to lie, looking at some of the gains is really impressive and makes you wonder if there's more room to run. But then, when I look at the volume, including extended hours, the volume of shares being moved is massive. That makes me wonder if it's actually a bad time to jump in, the thought being that people are going to want to recognize their big gains and there be a huge sell off and the stock prices crash and come back down to earth. Anyone else have this same thought about these cannabis stocks right now? [link] [comments]  | ||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Posted: 10 Feb 2021 05:30 AM PST Hello, i would like to ask you guys why are everybody on reddit is so obsessed with BB stock, I have read a lot of DD about it and it looks really promising given the information that is provided by analysts here on reddit, but why does every other investor or analyst outside of reddit is so skeptical about BB and suggests to sell it ASAP, even etoro broker says that by the aggregated analyst opinion stock will hit 8 $ per share in the next 12 months. Please tell your story, who are buying it now or holding a lot of shares. Do you still believe it will recover and do you think its worth to buy it now? Looking forward for your opinions! [link] [comments]  | ||||||||||||||||||||||||
| The $TLRY Gamma Squeeze is HERE! Numbers plus $APHA discussion Posted: 09 Feb 2021 09:19 PM PST TLDR: The gamma squeeze we previously saw in $GME is starting to happen in $TLRY. The price of TLRY has skyrocketed so high that all the call options the Market Makers wrote are forcing them to buy and hold shares to hedge against uncapped losses. Between the Market Makers and the Shorts, there are less and less shares available. My guess is that the price of TLRY will continue to skyrocket until next week, at a minimum. CONGRATS fellow TLRY/APHA holders! I strongly believe we are witnessing a huge gamma squeeze underway. Today, the price of TLRY rose above the highest strike prices on the options chain ($42), which means all the available call options are in-the-money. Market Makers released new strike prices from $45 to $65. FYI: some brokers do not show the new strike prices ($45/50/55/60/65) right away because they are scumbags. How can we tell this is a gamma squeeze? Take a look at the TODAY's call options volume for Feb 12 expiration (this Friday):
That is nearly 100,000 call options. If you add up the call volume from $30 to $42 strikes, you get over 150,000 call options traded today! Open interest was much lower than volume, which tells me these are new call positions being opened. 150,000 call options x 100 shares per call option = 15 MILLION TLRY shares that Market Makers have to buy on the open market and hold until all the contracts are resolved next week. This is only for today's volume, WE STILL HAVE 2 MORE TRADING DAYS TO GO! To add fuel to the fire, TLRY has a significant amount of short interest and low shares float (shares that are available for trading, not locked up with institutions or insiders):
Let's get this straight, what we are seeing today is not 100% a short squeeze. This is mostly a gamma squeeze. However, the gamma squeeze and high short interest has an amplifying effect on each other. Market makers and shorts both have to bid against each other to buy shares on the open market, causing the price to skyrocket even higher! For APHA holders, we should see new strike prices released tomorrow, because APHA is trading at $27 afterhours which is above the highest $25 strike. Theoretically, we could see a gamma squeeze on APHA, but I think the chance of that happening is very very low. Why? APHA has a LOT more shares float (shares available to trade) and much lower short interest:
That is a ton of shares available for the Market Makers to tap into, and far less shorts to fight against. You would need something like 500k or more call option volume to apply enough pressure on MM to cause a gamma squeeze. I think a true APHA gamma squeeze is very unlikely. The good news for my APHA holders is that you will probably see APHA trade up with TLRY due to the pending merger, but at a steep discount (40% or more). Lots of posts/comments are raving about the huge arbitrage opportunity, but that is not realistic until a merger date is set and we get close to that date. Plus, you will need to hold your shares until the merger, which nobody really knows how long that could take. Lastly, This is a gamma squeeze play in the short term. Realize that once the gamma squeeze is over, the trade is over and you need to get out! I will add that I love the TLRY+APHA merger, and love the fundamentals of the company. I believe they are a long term winner with multiple tailwinds in the US and Europe. I might do another FA post with DD, but right now my priority is this gamma squeeze. Best of luck to you all! Disclaimer: I own TLRY call options. EDIT: some users are asking for sources to these numbers: I used ThinkorSwim (TD Ameritrade) to see the options chain info. They allowed buying/selling of the new $45 to $65 strikes in TLRY. Here is a screenshot of the Weekly Feb 12 expiration mentioned above: Link TLRY Shares Float (95M) and Short Interest (34M) (Yahoo Finance) I subscribe to other data sources of short interest, which all report between 32 and 34M short interest as of today. APHA Shares Float (312M) and SI (21M) (Yahoo Finance) My other data sources show Short Interest in APHA dropped recently to ~16M. Yahoo Finance SI data is old, from Jan 15. [link] [comments]  | ||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Posted: 10 Feb 2021 04:47 AM PST I'm all new to stocks trading and I've been studying to fully understand how to thrive in this new found path. I've studied the basics and I am now studying on how to read candlestick charts. It would be nice to see people analyzing charts and see what they think are good investments. [link] [comments]  | ||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Paypal now bigger than Mastercard (by marketcap) Posted: 10 Feb 2021 12:53 PM PST Currently 333B vs 332.2B It's interesting to see MA, bygone growth darling, become a dud over the past year. What's crazy is (I believe) credit cards still make more per Paypal transaction on paypal payments than paypal does (2.9% vs $.30?). I guess people don't mind those fees for those instant venmo transactions and it's racking up [link] [comments]  | ||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Posted: 10 Feb 2021 10:50 AM PST Hello all, Curious to gauge the thoughts from the community on LLNW. I see some clear positive catalysts for the smaller CDN, namely:
I'm curious if anyone in the CDN/IT space has any thoughts/opinions on limelight? Particularly if anyone has some negative feedback or more clear opinion/foresight of negative catalysts? Feels like this may be a good opportunity to go long. [link] [comments]  | ||||||||||||||||||||||||
| It feels like there is a new great stock everyday. FOMO? Posted: 09 Feb 2021 10:37 PM PST I've been lurking stocks for a year but only opened an account about two months ago. I'm in this really weird mindset where I feel like a new "EV or Disruptive Innovation" stock is brought up everyday that will be the next TSLA. I've always had FOMO. As of now my buying power is almost always out because I'm always investing in more stocks. This is a bad cycle because then I see another stock and another stock I missed out on etc. Do I need to just take a step back for a bit with a better mindset? I enjoy stocks but I hate this mindset. [link] [comments]  | ||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Posted: 10 Feb 2021 10:44 AM PST 2021-02-10 - Vanguard Group Inc has filed an SC 13G form with the Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC) disclosing ownership of 57,814,310 shares of Tesla Motors, Inc. (US:TSLA). This represents 6.1 percent ownership of the company. Disclosure: Long 13 shares [link] [comments]  |
![[link]](https://i.imgur.com/e0Chqfr.png){kind=link}
| You are subscribed to email updates from Stocks - Investing and trading for all. To stop receiving these emails, you may unsubscribe now. | Email delivery powered by Google |
| Google, 1600 Amphitheatre Parkway, Mountain View, CA 94043, United States | |
No comments:
Post a Comment