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    Friday, January 8, 2021

    Stocks - r/Stocks Daily Discussion & Fundamentals Friday Jan 08, 2021

    Stocks - r/Stocks Daily Discussion & Fundamentals Friday Jan 08, 2021


    r/Stocks Daily Discussion & Fundamentals Friday Jan 08, 2021

    Posted: 08 Jan 2021 12:00 AM PST

    This is the daily discussion, so anything stocks related is fine, but the theme for today is on fundamentals, but if fundamentals aren't your thing then just ignore the theme and/or post your arguments against fundamentals here and not in the current post.

    Some helpful day to day links, including news:


    Most fundamentals are updated every 3 months due to the fact that corporations release earnings reports every quarter, so traders are always speculating at what those earnings will say, and investors may change the size of their holdings based on those reports. Expect a lot of volatility around earnings, but it usually doesn't matter if you're holding long term, but keep in mind the importance of earnings reports because a trend of declining earnings or a decline in some other fundamental will drive the stock down over the long term as well.

    See the following word cloud and click through for the wiki:

    Market Cap - Shares Outstanding - Volume - Dividend - EPS - P/E Ratio - EPS Q/Q - PEG - Sales Q/Q - Return on Assets (ROA) - Return on Equity (ROE) - BETA - SMA - quarterly earnings

    If you have a basic question, for example "what is EBITDA," then google "investopedia EBITDA" and click the Investopedia article on it; do this for everything until you have a more in depth question or just want to share what you learned.

    Useful links:

    See our past daily discussions here. Also links for: Technicals Tuesday, Options Trading Thursday, and Fundamentals Friday.

    submitted by /u/AutoModerator
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    Tesla passes Facebook to become fifth most valuable U.S. company

    Posted: 08 Jan 2021 07:14 AM PST

    https://www.cnbc.com/2021/01/07/tesla-passes-facebook-to-become-fifth-most-valuable-us-company.html

    Tesla has surpassed Facebook by market cap.

    The jump makes it the fifth biggest company in the large-cap benchmark when counting the share classes of Alphabet together.

    It now just trails Apple, Microsoft, Amazon and Alphabet.

    Thanks for the awards.

    submitted by /u/coolcomfort123
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    2 yrs ago, Cathie said TSLA at $4k/share. That day was today.

    Posted: 08 Jan 2021 10:18 AM PST

    Tim: "Over a five year period, the stock has done nothing"

    Cathie: "The longer the base, the bigger the break out"

    https://mobile.twitter.com/DriveTeslaca/status/1347224129938706432

    submitted by /u/ElectrikDonuts
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    U.S. lost 140,000 jobs in December, vs increase of 50,000 jobs expected

    Posted: 08 Jan 2021 05:34 AM PST

    Nonfarm payrolls were expected to rise by 50,000 in December as job creation slowed into the end of 2020, according to economists surveyed by Dow Jones.

    The consensus expectation was for the unemployment rate to edge higher to 6.8%.

    https://www.cnbc.com/2021/01/08/jobs-report-december-2020.html

    submitted by /u/Clean_Feces
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    NIO Day 2021

    Posted: 08 Jan 2021 08:45 AM PST

    Guys NIO has gone up a lot this week as you can see. But I am surprised to hear how many people are talking about NIO day for tomorrow. With important news are on their battery technology as a service, their new sedan, and surrounding area sensing technology. What do you think will happen to the stock Monday? Because it seems like there is so much hype and that people are already buying it expecting the stock to go up on Monday.

    submitted by /u/No_Abbreviations5490
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    Non-tech (incl. AMZN, TSLA, SQ) and non-genomics stocks considerations for 2021

    Posted: 08 Jan 2021 09:05 AM PST

    What non-tech, this incl. AMZN, TSLA, SQ, and non-genomics stocks are you looking to buy in 2021?

    I'm considering adding MCD and/or WM to my rather tech-heavy portfolio. Also considering AirBnB but this may still be 'tech' too some extent, so heavily doubting this one.

    submitted by /u/PeleMaradona
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    Are you sitting on any cash as this market continues to rocket?

    Posted: 08 Jan 2021 06:17 AM PST

    As this market continues to hit all time highs, which I know is normal market behavior I can't help but see all these 3-10% gain days and think I need to build a cash position for an inevitable drop. I know you aren't supposed to time the market but this just feels necessary. Are you holding onto any dry powder waiting to deploy it? If so What percentage of your portfolio is cash or set aside as cash?

    submitted by /u/kombuchalvr
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    Sell TSLA for NIO?

    Posted: 08 Jan 2021 09:44 AM PST

    I feel like TSLA is a bubble ready to pop very soon. I've tripled my money in TSLA but I feel like it's time to sell 1/4 of it and put it into NIO as NIO day is coming up. I invested $1.2k in tesla and made $3.6k. I invested $800 into NIO so far and thinking of selling $1.2k of TSLA to put into NIO. What do y'all think?

    submitted by /u/ZJums
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    Biden/blue infrastructure stocks?

    Posted: 08 Jan 2021 05:41 AM PST

    Infrastructure only: Everyone is hyping green energy, weed, and infrastructure after the GA win. I have the first 2 covered but what infrastructure stocks are going to explode 2021 and beyond?? Most look boring with modest returns possible

    https://www.google.com/amp/s/www.politico.com/amp/news/2020/12/16/buttigieg-bidens-infrastructure-salesman-in-chief-446290

    submitted by /u/Cheap-Tax
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    PLUG stock skyrocketed in the past few months, is it still worth it to buy?

    Posted: 08 Jan 2021 08:01 AM PST

    PLUG is now at $50 and because of the increase, I can see it's potential for the long haul. I'm thinking of investing into it. I held two stocks back in September for $6 then I sold it which I now regret. Is it still worth it to invest in PLUG now?

    submitted by /u/Lilathepuella
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    I created a market trade calculator and wanted to share it with you for free.

    Posted: 08 Jan 2021 10:28 AM PST

    Hey there r/stocks 👋

    I made this google sheet to help calculate what a position's profit or loss might look like.

    https://docs.google.com/spreadsheets/d/1G1oRcxg9e2D1XXyFz1iqXq5x5L9znF99azbyNurkqec/edit?usp=sharing

    Enjoy!

    submitted by /u/quick_pwn
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    Amazon Stock Split?

    Posted: 08 Jan 2021 09:07 AM PST

    Saw an interesting tweet from Scott Redler about $AMZN needing a stock split to keep up with $TSLA. This seems like it could definitely be feasible in 2021. Especially since it has been 22 years since their last split, and they've only ever done three. Think this is feasible? Predictions on a stock split and it's ratio?

    submitted by /u/Slappy1953
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    Why is the TSLA $500 Put increasing in price while TSLA stock is rising?

    Posted: 08 Jan 2021 11:09 AM PST

    I'm a options newbie but I have never seen something like this.

    Just compare todays TSLA chart with the Jan 15 500p. It doesn't make sense.

    Is the demand so high because people are very confident the stock will crash next week? If stock goes up any put price OTM should decrease I thought...

    EDIT: Got it... Because of veeery high implied volatility...

    submitted by /u/iamn0
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    Stock Market News for Today | TSLA vs FB | LMND SPIKES | APPLE CAR & other stock market news [01-08]

    Posted: 08 Jan 2021 05:35 AM PST

    Stocks finish at all-time highs as Tesla passes Facebook in market value. Lemonade rises by more than 20% again while reports continue to come in on the Apple Car. Let's talk about this and other stock market news

    ~Very Long Post~

    Hello everyone and Good Morning! So, let's start with the recap of yesterday as we saw a big rally in the stock market after the Biden confirmation and Trump called for a smooth transition with the tech heavy Nasdaq Composite recovering the previous day losses and closing at over 13K. We also saw the broad stock market SP500 gaining almost 1.5% and finishing over 3800 while the Dow Jones also posted a gain of over 200 points to close at just over 31k with all 3 of the big indexes finishing at new records. This broad rally pushed the VIX down, as the volatility index finished the day lower by more than 10% as 9 of the 11 SECTORS finished in the Green with Technology leading the way up 2.7%, while Utilities was the biggest laggard dropping by 1.3%.

    Growth companies largely outperformed yesterday with both small and large cap growth companies posting big gains across the board, while value plays lagged behind, as 2/3 of the companies were advancing YESTERDAY with over 300 new highs on average volume.

    So, let' take a look at the HEAT MAP from yesterday, as big tech companies flourished with the likes of Apple, Google, Microsoft, Facebook, Nvidia, Tesla and many more posting gains at least 2%, while most of the losses were concentrated in the Chinese stocks that are being delisted and the more value heavy utilities sector.

    Yesterday we also received the investor sentiment SURVEY, which saw a worrying move in the stock market, as bullish investors surpassed 50% of the total investors and is near the 1-year high from November. Most of this move to the bullish side came from neutral investors, which are way below the historical average, which probably decided to get back in the market, rushing in the clean energy sector, the industrials and many others after the Democrats swept the Georgia election. I remind you that I usually use this survey as a contrarian indicator, when sentiment moves to this much greed in the market, I usually don't like to add to my positions, as I await to buy stocks on red days.

    We also received some economic data yesterday, as we saw December's homes for SALE fall to an all-time low, below 700K as the housing market keeps on booming, with homes selling faster by about 2 weeks compared to last year while the national inventory dropped by almost 40% since last year, as the median listing price was $340K, up over 13% since 2019.

    Today is a quieter economic day, with the biggest number coming in the early morning as we wait to see the non-farm payrolls.

    In some other stock market news, we saw Nikola joining the broad rally in the EV STOCKS yesterday which pushed almost every single stock higher, while we also saw a report from JP Morgan on some possible good developments on their trucks. I don't believe in this company, it's bad history, bad management and reputation will hurt it in the long even if they manage to develop a decent product, which is still to be seen, as they haven't really brought anything innovative to the market.

    One other stock that rose yesterday was Lemonade, as the stock spiked more than 27% yesterday, after the company was pitched by the Motley Fool yet again. I really like this company, and I think it has major disruption potential in the insurance world, so I agree with this report. The stock did suffer a slight pullback about a week ago after a report from The Friendly Bear but I don't believe it will have a long-lasting effect, as I believe this stock has great growth potential.

    Apple also seems to be confirming the previous reports and is in talks with Hyundai about a development of a self-driving EV, as we heard something about this from Hyundai before some confusion made them kind of back out of the previous statement. This report is pretty much as anticipated, as Apple would probably be looking to either collaborate on manufacturing with a traditional car manufacturer or actually just acquiring pretty much any one of them.

    We also saw Snowflake regain some momentum yesterday, rising by more than 13% despite the expiration period of another 38M shares. The latest IPOs and small-cap stocks have recently been able to raise a lot of capital as investors seem to be grabbing any share available at almost any price regarding valuations. This is a very dangerous thing yet again. This kind of stuff was happening in the last dot com bubble, though… I don't really expect anything like that to happen with the overall stock market, but I think we might see some stocks have a big crash when valuations start to come back in the mind of investors.

    Meanwhile we saw 2 big milestones for Tesla & Elon Musk yesterday as the company passed Facebook as market value goes as Tesla is seeing huge trading volumes as yesterday, it traded more shares than the next 3 big movers Apple, Alibaba and Amazon, while Elon Musk became the richest man in the world, on the back of a 16% increase in Tesla stock already in 2021.

    And two last pieces of good news are that the it's expected the FED will likely hold rates near zero until 2024 while Pfizer's vaccine seems to be working as expected on multiple mutations, especially the latest highly transmissible one.

    So, let's hope for a good day as the European markets and the US FUTURES are up to start off the day, with the Nasdaq Leading the way up over half a percent.

    Thank you everyone for reading! Hope you enjoyed the content! Be sure to leave a comment down below with your opinion on the stock market!

    Have a great day and see you next time!

    submitted by /u/0toHeroInvesting
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    Top 50 Companies by Market Cap and the Percentage Owned of Each by Institutional Investors

    Posted: 08 Jan 2021 12:07 PM PST

    Not sure if this is helpful at all or if anyone cares, but since has been all the rage for the past ~14 months and has recently been included in the S&P 500, I checked to see what % of it was held by institutional investors, and how that compares with the other 49 of the largest companies by market cap in the world.

    Some findings:

    39.77% of Tesla is held by institutional investors. This places it #43 out of 50, and #42 out of 44 out of American companies. The only American company on the top 50 with a lower percentage of itself owned by institutional investors is Wal-Mart.

    The overall average is 61.57%. For the United States, it's slightly higher at 67.36%, and for international companies, of which there are only 7, the average is much lower at 19.16%.

    The lowest is Toyota, with only 1.11% owned by institutional investors. The highest is Visa, with 92.76%.

    Sources:

    Dogs of the Dow for the highest market caps. https://www.dogsofthedow.com/largest-companies-by-market-cap.htm

    For the %s owned by institutional investors, I checked their tickers on my TD Ameritrade account.

    Google Drive link below

    https://docs.google.com/spreadsheets/d/1esjvIsQUW4Csa_hWzDIZsX7jTrI5HpGR/edit#gid=2043270138

    submitted by /u/mavenshavens
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    Which stocks still haven’t rebounded from COVID?

    Posted: 08 Jan 2021 05:50 AM PST

    Now that the vaccine is rolling out and we can start going out, the travel stocks should start to rebound. But a lot of them seem to have high prices now. HGV is over $30. LUV is over $45. Have I missed out, or are there any left?

    submitted by /u/garshields
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    Stocks have been rising like there’s no toworrow all over the world, while major sectors of the economy is producing little output. Are we entering an era of massive stagflation in the coming years?

    Posted: 08 Jan 2021 08:21 AM PST

    I have very little understanding of macroeconomics and such, but this thought has been bouncing around my head as I've seen the stock markets all over the world rising while we're still in a world wide pandemic. How do I best counter possible stagflation with my investments?

    submitted by /u/BroWay
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    CRSP

    Posted: 08 Jan 2021 08:19 AM PST

    I keep putting off buying into this company I tell my self oh I'll wait for a 10 percent dip. We had a dip the other day but it didn't seem like it was enough of one for me and look at the last 2 days up like 20 percent how much longer can this rally on??

    submitted by /u/WesDs145
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    Looking for long term growth stocks

    Posted: 08 Jan 2021 04:25 AM PST

    I am looking for some long term growth stocks. I have invested into plug and have done well. I was thinking about nio, plug , sunpower or workhorse. Are these good options or are there better stocks to invest in?

    Thanks, I appreciate it !

    submitted by /u/Warriormodeon
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    Books

    Posted: 08 Jan 2021 02:06 PM PST

    I know we don't really comment much on this thread unless is directly about a stock. However I pose a different question - books. All of us are eager to improve and better ourselves through economy knowledge, portfolio diversification, international relations etc. I think a good collection of books can support both new and seasoned investors.

    What book are you currently reading to better yourself?

    I'm reading one up on Wall Street.

    submitted by /u/BlueGulfCamel
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    Open Discussion: BioTech or Pharma plays with room to grow

    Posted: 08 Jan 2021 02:00 PM PST

    Title says it all. Want to open a discussion into Pharma, Med related, and BioTech (whatever that may be for you).

    Looking for diversity in my portfolio for the next $$$$ play I make.

    Current positions : ARKG and SRNE

    submitted by /u/relavant__username
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    Amazon stock

    Posted: 08 Jan 2021 01:58 PM PST

    I wonder what has happened to AMZN. They have great numbers, increasing margins and develope new income resources, like ads. Why is AMZN stock flat for half a year? And yeah, COVID will end in about half a year, it will still be a great company, not like pure COVID-winners like Zoom. Do you think there is happening this big sector rotation with industries like banks gaining on cost of tech? Just curious if someone has a thought about why AMZN is stuck since august...

    submitted by /u/GordonGekkoVienna
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    Silly question.. Are stocks actually hedges against inflation themselves?

    Posted: 08 Jan 2021 01:33 PM PST

    This might be obvious for many but it just came to mind.

    Companies' intrinsic values don't reduce (though less revenue might change that ofc) and money itself becoming less valuable would drive stocks' prices upward.

    Ofc there's the likely scenario that many would just exit their positions to scramble for money. But what could the +-% change possibly be (and how inflations played out historically)?

    submitted by /u/MIS-concept
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    What do you think will happen Monday for NIO?

    Posted: 08 Jan 2021 01:21 PM PST

    What do you think will happen Monday for NIO?

    In your speculation do you think it will it dip hard or keep going up?

    People have been saying in the past NIO days it went 50% up after.

    Also when do you think it'll dip? Will it dip under 56?

    submitted by /u/k_v_n
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    MGM Casinos are a good bet ��

    Posted: 08 Jan 2021 09:08 AM PST

    Seriously don't take my word for it look into this yourself if you don't believe. MGM made some recent acquisitions over the summer and it went largely unnoticed due to focus on other areas of the market like airlines, EV, etc. This has led MGM to have a current stock price of 31$ a share and a fair value topping 100$. If this isn't enough, MGM is positioned to gain from the rising sports betting market arguably more than any other company listed. My recommendation is buy leaps to take full advantage of the positive correction that should come between now and 2022. Personally I bought Jan 2022 50$ strike options last week. So far I'm only up 25%, I plan to sell around 1000% gains. If it fully corrects to it's fair value I'd make much more than that.

    submitted by /u/Moist_Answer_2525
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