Stock Market - The Official r/StockMarket Portfolio Challenge for 2021! |
- The Official r/StockMarket Portfolio Challenge for 2021!
- 10 Best Stocks To Buy and Hold For 5 Years According To ARK’s Cathie Wood
- WSE:CDR CD Projekt Red Analysis. Is it undervalued after the 37% drop due to Cyberpunk problems on consoles?
- Incredible luck, where to go from here...
- Stock management with younger sibling
- Would major pharmaceutical companies join in the cannabis market if it's federally legal?
- GNOG - Golden Nugget, what are your thoughts both short term and long term?
- What is the mathematics behind bonus shares issue?
- Psychedelics On The Rise
- Tesla reports nearly 500,000 vehicle deliveries for 2020, hitting target
- $TSLA deliveries and MIC Y
- 19 year olds future
- What are your thoughts on some of these companies?
- Everyone says the 2020 market behaved better / differently. Can folks who have been trading for a while specify how so?
- Re investing capital gains
- Most Anticipated Earnings Releases for the week beginning January 4th, 2021
- DC / Market Rumble on the 6th?
- 10 Investment/Trading Ideas by UBS Analysts - Part 2!
- 10 Investment/Trading Ideas by UBS Analysts - Part 1
- Which computer do you use?
| The Official r/StockMarket Portfolio Challenge for 2021! Posted: 02 Jan 2021 06:20 AM PST | ||
| 10 Best Stocks To Buy and Hold For 5 Years According To ARK’s Cathie Wood Posted: 02 Jan 2021 12:24 PM PST 10 Best Stocks To Buy and Hold For 5 Years According To ARK's Cathie Wood .. I am not a big fan of sharing "analyst's" predictions. Yet, consider the love of ARK funds and many considering Cathy one of the top wealth managers of our generation, I think it's worth a quick read. https://finance.yahoo.com/news/10-best-stocks-buy-hold-194232017.html The context and content is quite good, I definitely recommend you read the whole article, but tl;dr is below.
Honestly this is not a surprising list, considering many holdings are in ARKK. Yet, I'm sort of surprised to see Roku on the list. Their OS isn't great and most smart TV makers will opt in for their own app stores and OS versions over Roku. Although it's probably a good stock for the next five years, just wouldn't put at #2 I guess. [link] [comments]  | ||
| Posted: 02 Jan 2021 04:15 AM PST Background CD PROJEKT S.A. (WSE: CDR) is a Polish video game developer, publisher and distributor based in Warsaw. CD Projekt Red, best known for The Witcher series and the recent release of Cyberpunk 2077. The CD PROJEKT Group currently conducts operating activities in two key segments: CD PROJEKT RED and GOG.com (originally as Good Old Games). Hierarchy CD PROJEKT Capital Group is headed by CD PROJEKT S.A. A holding company which has five subsidiaries. The subsidiaries are: - GOG sp. z o.o (Similar to Steam, it is a distributor of games). - CD PROJEKT Inc (Where all the game development happens) - CD PROJEKT Co. Ltd (Only for selling games in China) - Spokko sp. z o.o. (The mobile arm of CD projekt red) - CD PROJEKT RED STORE sp. z o.o. (A new store of merchandise launched by the company) GOG - Who have just released a 2.0 version called GOG Galaxy which subsequently entered its beta testing phase. The goal of the application is to enable players to integrate all their game shelves into a single library, to communicate with friends and to track their progress regardless of their preferred gaming platforms. Its functionality will span PC and console platforms, extending beyond the GOG.com user base. It's main selling points are that is uses the cloud, is DRM free and has a ton of old games such as Diablo, Destroy all humans etc on it's platform that Steam doesn't. Steam is the single biggest distributor of digital games for PC, it's been dominating the market for years and has way more games than GOG does due to this. Especially as a lot of publishers do not want to host their games DRM free which GOG requires. It's very difficult to predict the future of GOG because Steam is a private company so we don't have access to it's numbers. However the big benefit of GOG is that CD Projekt Red can sell and promote it's games directly through their own platform. The benefit being a much bigger margin on each game sold as 100% of the profit goes to CD Projekt red if a game is sold on GOG, whereas on Steam they take a 20% cut for the first $50m revenue of Cyberpunk. One third of all digital PC preorders for Cyberpunk 2077 sales were on GOG which is an incredible achievement by CD Projekt Red considering Steams dominance. This is probably the reason why CD Projekt Red has such a huge operating margin from 30% to 50% in recent years. They are involved in the entire process of making and selling their games. GWENT: The Witcher Card Game is the first multiplayer game developed by the CD PROJEKT Group. It has been a hugely successful and highly rated game (which is impressive considering it's their first mobile multiplayer game). The reason why this game is important for the future is because multiplayer is the key to the cash machine which is microtransactions which the card game has. Cyberpunk was released recently and had been in development for many years. It's sold very well but less than analysts expectations and there has been serious problems on console versions which led to sony removing cyberpunk 2077 from it's PS store for the time being. This caused the companies stock to plummet 37% recently. I'll get into the numbers at the bottom for my reverse DCF that I did. Cyberpunk Online multiplayer will definitely come at some point within the next couple of years. The reason being is that after GTA Onlines unbelievable success and constant revenue generation for Take Two then it makes sense to try and replicate this with Cyberpunk. This multiplayer will feature microtransactions and in my opinion is the way Cd Projekt red can really make the big $$ in the future. Microtransactions for cosmetic items like in game skins or packs (like fifa) are easy to implement and have huge operating margins as they take 0 CAPEX and virtually no time to implement due to being some simple code and designs. Here's a quote taken from their 2019 Annual Report for Key Sources Of Revenue:
Risks There are some huge risks with cd projekt red, here are the main ones: - Neither IP, The Wither or Cyberpunk 2077 is owned by CD Projekt since the two series are based on a series of novels and a tabletop RPG respectively. So they would need permission from these license holders (the creators I think) to be able to do other spin offs for them. While it is likely the permission will be given due to the huge successes it's not a certainty. - CD Projekt Red relies on a couple of block busters to make 80% of their revenue and earnings. The Witcher 3 and Cyberpunk 2077 are the only revenue generates the company has (apart from GOG). If CD Projekt red messes up either of these huge IP's in the future (or like they just have with the console versions of Cyberpunk) then you can expect a huge and sudden stock price drop and potential damage to the company. - Because of the few but huge releases, CD Projekt Red has very volatile earnings and revenue making it very hard to predict, similar to Take Two Interactive. You can see in the following picture how sales drop a lot after release. Co-Founders and Board History CD PROJEKT has a very long tenure of the management board, all at least 10 years and 3/5 of them 20+ years. Insiders have a significant stake in CD Projekt red's stock, including the joint CEO's. This is great news for shareholders as the insiders have a big incentive to make the company work as they have big stakes in the company. Company shareholding structure is made up of the following people: - Marcin Iwinski (Joint CEO & Co-Founder) is 13% - Michal Kicinski (Ex Joint CEO & Co-Founder) is 11% - Piotr Nielubowicz (VP, CFO) is 6% - Adam Kicinski (President & Joint CEO) is 3% Incentives for management:
These are poor goals in my opinion. Net earnings can be enhanced by poor acquisitions and stock price is meaningless and should be ignored in incentives as it can produce short term motivations. Management hit the majority of their goals for year 2019.Their goals going forward:
These goals seem too high in my opinion. Especially after their cyberpunk flop on consoles but it's still possible. Competitors CD PROJEKT is well known for its biggest sales on The Witcher and Cyberpunk 2077 hype. However, there's a lot of gaming industries that compete with one another. Thus comparing its competitors such as Take-Two Interactive, Electronic Arts (EA), Activision Blizzard has more diversified games and games produced more frequently compared to CD PROJEKT RED. CD Projekt Red's risk in terms of competitors is releasing a big game that clashes with another big game such as GTA 6. However all gaming companies have a good tailwind right now due to COVID restrictions and microtransactions are lifting all gaming companies margins. A rising tide lifts all boats. Industry
You can see from the above as to why CD projekt red is branching out to smartphones and China. Reverse DCF r/StockMarket does not allow images so you will need to view my user to see the reverse DCF /u/krisolch if you want to see it. Conclusion It's been extremely difficult to project CD Projekt Red and even after doing research I am still very unsure on a bunch of variables. In my opinion the markets assumptions of CD Projekt Red's growth and margins as shown above in the reverse DCF is perfectly acceptable to me. Therefore I would not buy their shares unless they dipped to around 210 zloty~ as I don't think they are undervalued yet. given the risks. Please comment if you see anything wrong with my valuation. This was a very difficult one for me. Thanks [link] [comments]  | ||
| Incredible luck, where to go from here... Posted: 02 Jan 2021 02:50 PM PST I am lucky enough to work for a bank, in investment, although I work in the tech industry. I've worked for the biggest players in the tech space (you probably know the biggest one). I was incredibly lucky to listen, in february, to our top analyst talk about the market possibly crashing due to the pandemic. I took a €60K loan and dumped it into what I know (tech). I now have around €200K (after repaying the loan). I would like to know where to invest this. I don't have big expenses, I repaid my mortgage in my home country in full and working for a bank in Europe I can get a low interest mortgage. Would you keep it in the stock market (MSCI Euro hedged ETFs - IWLE) or would you buy real estate? Thank you. [link] [comments]  | ||
| Stock management with younger sibling Posted: 02 Jan 2021 02:46 PM PST Hello. I think many of you may be confused or disageeing with my post so I apologize prior. Recently I have been thinking about this idea. I (24) would like to open a trading account - lets say eToro. My knowledge is limited for now and I want to learn. I would only start with minimum deposit and progress as I educate myself. My sibling (16), on the other hand, is really interested in stock trading (both long and short term). They are really smart and much more knowledgable in crypto and stocks than I am. They have already had much success in demos. However, they are underage, therefore cannot invest. My thought was. What if I provided them with an account on one of the trading sites in my name with the minimum deposit and let them "play" and learn with it on their own. I am 100% aware I may lose the primary investment. I would not allow any leverage and I am sure they would 100% respect it. However, there is always a chance that the purchased stocks will skyrocket - what share would be appropriate to take being the "investor" in my case? I do not want to get into any possible fights over this with my sibling, so this needs to be clarified prior. Or, option n2. - i would only open 1 account and we would be making decisions together. How would you split any possible earnings in this case? What are your honest opinions? [link] [comments]  | ||
| Would major pharmaceutical companies join in the cannabis market if it's federally legal? Posted: 02 Jan 2021 01:01 PM PST It's looking more and more likely that cannabis will become legal at a federal level within the next 4 years. I've read that the pharmaceutical companies would be threaten by this, why? If anything this could be their savior from those that lose money making the covid vaccine, if any loss. My question is, why wouldn't they just join the market by acquiring or starting growing operations? If marijuana threatens the sales of your medications, wouldn't you want to sell the other option too? Any thoughts would be great, keep in mind I'm an idiot. [link] [comments]  | ||
| GNOG - Golden Nugget, what are your thoughts both short term and long term? Posted: 02 Jan 2021 08:46 AM PST Backstory here is I had a friend that told me to buy into LCA when the stock was near $13. I was not the biggest believer in SPACs so I opted not to buy in. However now that they have finished the merger, I am thinking about taking a long term position into GNOG. My thoughts are online gaming is going to only grow, and should things return to normal or even if there is a delay in terms of return to normal, online gambling is going to spike because A) people will have more income/savings post COVID, B) If Covid persist people will want entertainment, C) States will start allowing online gambling because of tax revenue. I also am thinking about this position because I was tracking PENN (Penn National Gaming). I saw institutional money pick the stock up left and right to the point it had ETFs where it was in the top 10 holdings in some portfolio. I wanted to get some other thoughts and insights from the group here. I always find really great analysis on companies as well as various perspectives that I did not think of. Thanks in Advance & Happy New Year to all. [link] [comments]  | ||
| What is the mathematics behind bonus shares issue? Posted: 02 Jan 2021 07:06 PM PST I find bonus shares very confusing. It is counted under dividends but doesn't look like a dividend to me. Couldn't find resource on the internet either. Any help is appreciated.
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| Posted: 02 Jan 2021 06:51 PM PST | ||
| Tesla reports nearly 500,000 vehicle deliveries for 2020, hitting target Posted: 02 Jan 2021 08:33 AM PST Tesla said Saturday that it delivered 180,570 electric vehicles in the fourth quarter, beating its previous record as well as Wall Street expectations. The electric automaker produced 170,757 vehicles total. For the year, Tesla delivered 499,550 vehicles in 2020, largely in line with its guidance of around 500,000 vehicles. At an annual shareholder meeting this year, CEO Elon Musk told shareholders he expected deliveries to hit an implied range between 477,750 and 514,500 cars for the year, despite the impacts of the coronavirus pandemic. [link] [comments]  | ||
| Posted: 02 Jan 2021 11:46 AM PST Does anyone think that $TSLA being spot on for deliveries and blowing MIC Y numbers out of the water will lead to a rise Monday? Or will we see a sell off because deliveries were 500 under? [link] [comments]  | ||
| Posted: 02 Jan 2021 04:03 PM PST hey guys and a happy new year. So imma talk a little bout my life so yall get the context. I was born in a pretty fortunate position. Since growing up i've been to private schools and i'n currently visiting one of the best economics schools (university) in europe. Since a little one my parents had big plans for me so i learned languages at a very young age and have been pushed alot. Me not really knowing what i wanted to do in life just did what everyone told me to do. So at 19 now i got into stocks because of corona. I know it was a pretty good year for stocks and i dont expect for 2021 to be any similar but i literally have been addicted. Its something i like doing. So I wanted to ask if there actually are carrer paths related to this. What degrees are needed and whats the best possible way to do it? I still go a lot to learn and no way i think i should be a top tier investor rn. But its something i actually enjoy doing so i'm thinking about mabye pursuing it. If anyone has any informations or could help in any shape or form. Lmk. Thanks guys [link] [comments]  | ||
| What are your thoughts on some of these companies? Posted: 02 Jan 2021 02:28 PM PST Looking to change up my portfolio entirely and was looking for some advice, future growth, thoughts, insight, DD, or whatever you think about some of these companies listed below. AMD UPWK (UpWork) NET (Cloudflare) GRVY (Gravity) PINS (Pinterest) OPEN (Opendoor technology) CRSR (Corsair Gaming) FEYE (FireEye) SE (Sea Limited) APPS (Digital Turbine) Z (Zillow) Looking to add a few of these to my portfolio but still can't figure out which has the most upside. [link] [comments]  | ||
| Posted: 02 Jan 2021 06:49 AM PST I only started trading back in September and had a pretty great experience through the rest of the year. Can someone who has been trading for a longer time fill me in on what the market was like before 2020 / what made 2020 so unique? I'd like to be prepared for what trading life might be like outside of this bubble. [link] [comments]  | ||
| Posted: 02 Jan 2021 12:43 PM PST Hi guys. Is it better to re-invest capital gains on a stock? Does the amount of shares you own increase or will it stay the same? If that's the case it would probably be better to not re-invest capital gains in the same stock, am I correct? Thanks [link] [comments]  | ||
| Most Anticipated Earnings Releases for the week beginning January 4th, 2021 Posted: 01 Jan 2021 09:02 PM PST
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| DC / Market Rumble on the 6th? Posted: 02 Jan 2021 01:52 AM PST Please no partisan BS. There will no doubt be a rumble in Congress over the Electors on Wednesday. While no one knows the probability of the election being overturned, I think we can all agree anything is possible. Hypothetically, what may happen to the market if the lid was blown off in Congress on Wednesday? [link] [comments]  | ||
| 10 Investment/Trading Ideas by UBS Analysts - Part 2! Posted: 02 Jan 2021 07:21 AM PST
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| 10 Investment/Trading Ideas by UBS Analysts - Part 1 Posted: 02 Jan 2021 07:20 AM PST
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| Posted: 02 Jan 2021 03:07 AM PST This month I intend to buy a computer, mostly for trading (forex, stocks, etc.). Do I need a real ultra-machine or is an average computer enough? Is a desktop computer the most viable option or can a laptop handle it? I really don't want my machine's performance to disrupt any detail of operations. My budget is a maximum of 800€ (I live in Portugal), any suggestions? [link] [comments]  |
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