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    Daily Advice Thread - All basic help or advice questions must be posted here. Investing

    January 28, 2021

    Daily Advice Thread - All basic help or advice questions must be posted here. Investing

    Daily Advice Thread - All basic help or advice questions must be posted here.

    Posted: 28 Jan 2021 02:00 AM PST

    If your question is "I have $10,000, what do I do?" or other "advice for my personal situation" questions, you should include relevant information, such as the following:

    • How old are you? What country do you live in?
    • Are you employed/making income? How much?
    • What are your objectives with this money? (Buy a house? Retirement savings?)
    • What is your time horizon? Do you need this money next month? Next 20yrs?
    • What is your risk tolerance? (Do you mind risking it at blackjack or do you need to know its 100% safe?)
    • What are you current holdings? (Do you already have exposure to specific funds and sectors? Any other assets?)
    • Any big debts (include interest rate) or expenses?
    • And any other relevant financial information will be useful to give you a proper answer.

    Please consider consulting our FAQ first - https://www.reddit.com/r/investing/wiki/faq And our side bar also has useful resources.

    Be aware that these answers are just opinions of Redditors and should be used as a starting point for your research. You should strongly consider seeing a registered financial rep before making any financial decisions!

    submitted by /u/AutoModerator
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    WSB Went private, and due to an absolutely ridiculous onlsaught of low quality posts and WSB spam migration I am temporarily setting the spam filter to All - only posts approved by mods will show up.

    Posted: 27 Jan 2021 04:15 PM PST

    Like the title says, this shit is cray cray and we can't spend all afternoon moderating it. If you make a post and think it's a quality contribution to the subreddit send a message to modmail and we can approve it.

    The last two days have seen something like 200 post removals to start with, so with WSB going private and it being 7pm already, which is when we're typically light on mods, I'm just going to step in and stop this nonsense for the time being.

    Also, Reddit has been having server issues all day meaning automod is just fucking up all over the place and not doing it's job. This also means modmail is on the fritz, so if you don't get a response in a timely manner I apologize but there's not a lot we can do about it - I couldn't even message other mods to warn em I was doing this. Reddit is a shitshow rn and we can't spend our whole night fixing it unfortunately. If people weren't spamming the sub with garbage all day we wouldn't be here.

    Lastly, as a PSA to all of the people who think they've been on WSB for a while and are confused: you haven't been on WSB for a while if this is confusing. They regularly go private. It's not the SEC, it's not the FBI, it's not whomever else they say is investigating them. It's because the mods are tired of dealing with noobs that flood the sub after a media event so they just shut it down. Hopefully that don't hit ya like a brick in the ol cranium...

    This is why we can't have nice things.

    Apologies to all the real ones.

    E: Just FYI, if you're messaging modmail about getting a post approved, and your post is about GME, Short squeezes, your thoughts on shorts, or whatever else, then there's a 99.99% chance it's not getting approved unless you have a very in depth analysis or some new and important news item. Add your thoughts to one of the existing threads.

    e2: looks like they're back, I'm still going to keep the post block here for a bit, prior to WSB going down we had probably 40 threads that should have been comments in existing threads. To be completely honest we have been in need of some sort of overhaul in both moderation and rules for some time - the onslaught of frankly very low effort posts over the last few days has only served to expose just how much we rely on users to do the right thing with regard to posting, this isn't the thread for that, and I'm slammed at work, but it's gotta happen at some point.

    e3: y'all, 5 people DMd me and 6 others messaged our modmail asking for access to WSB. That is NOT how reddit works lol. I do think this is illustrative of how many people have flocked to this sub and this site without understanding any of it recently.

    e4: in the last 60 minutes there were 53 new submissions, of those only 4 were actual posts worth making. I'm gonna leave the sub locked for a bit till we get a better solution, there's just no way to moderate this onslaught

    submitted by /u/MasterCookSwag
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    Chamath Palihapitiya was just on CNBC trying to explain our current situation

    Posted: 27 Jan 2021 09:50 AM PST

    A pretty good segment with Chamath Palihapitiya who apparently took a $100k call position in GME "to learn".

    https://twitter.com/chamath/status/1354089928313823232

    ​

    The bottom line was that Chamath was pushing the point that Hedge funds have had the advantage until now, but with social media being where it is, a bunch of retail investors with a cellphone can take the other side of a trade and be effective at it.

    ​

    I felt that Scott Wapner was pushing for him to admit that GME is horribly mispriced, which it really is on massive scale, but Chamath did not give him that, instead pushing the narrative that the hedge funds being 200% short the float is what is really wrong and the time has come where retail traders are leveling the playing field.

    This is indeed a watershed moment in the markets, things are not going back to where they used to be.

    I am really concerned that the SEC is going to take some unfair action like they did back in 2001 when they decided you need $25k minimum to daytrade.

    submitted by /u/StockJock-e
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    Bloomberg Opinion: GameStop Is Rage Against the Financial Machine

    Posted: 27 Jan 2021 11:29 AM PST

    I know, everyone is tired of hearing about Gamestop, but this was something I came across that I thought was actually quite well written and pretty spot on with most of the anger driven rhetoric I've seen on Reddit.

    I've copy/pasted because I know most of y'all don't have Bloomberg subscriptions.

    Traders putting on the short squeeze aren't motivated by greed. They're engaged in an anger-driven uprising against the establishment.

    Anger Is an Energy

    The saga of GameStop Corp. continues. By the end of another frenetic day of trading Tuesday, the stock had just topped its high from Monday. Between those peaks, it staged a fall of more than 50% on Monday afternoon. Colleagues have followed these extraordinary developments as they happened. I will try for now simply to process the single most important question: Is this just a weird technical situation, of the kind that comes along every few years, that can otherwise be safely ignored? Or does it tell us something important about market conditions as a whole?

    GameStop's share price surged back to set a new high Purely qualitatively, based on what I have witnessed, I think it does matter. The signal it sends is disquieting, if not surprising. It also introduces us to a new variant on an ancient market phenomenon.

    The cliche is that market capitalism works on the balance between greed and fear. The standard defense is as follows: If the greed to make money by beating the competition is matched by a fear of failure through making too many mistakes or cutting corners, then capitalism works. Nothing else yet discovered gives people such an incentive to work and create growth. Speculative bubbles happen when greed becomes excessive, or when fear diminishes too much. Easy money and easier trading with derivatives oil these emotions and allow them to run riot. The financial crisis of 2008 happened in large part because years of policy had convinced investors that there would be a bailout if they failed; they lost their fear, and greed took over.

    This feeds into the debate over whether we have a speculative bubble at present. Markets are pervaded by gloom and worry, so there is no lack of fear — even if confidence that interest rates will never rise is growing excessive. Meanwhile, there is little in the way of greed. Cryptocurrency has generated excitement, as has Tesla Inc., but in the main the frenzy over a historic opportunity to get rich, of the kind that was everywhere in 1999, is lacking. This is a different, worried world. The last two decades have stripped it of its positivity. The mood is nothing like the great bubbles of the past.

    Instead of greed, this latest bout of speculation, and especially the extraordinary excitement at GameStop, has a different emotional driver: anger. The people investing today are driven by righteous anger, about generational injustice, about what they see as the corruption and unfairness of the way banks were bailed out in 2008 without having to pay legal penalties later, and about lacerating poverty and inequality. This makes it unlike any of the speculative rallies and crashes that have preceded it.

    On Monday, I argued that it was misplaced to take pleasure at the pain for the short-sellers who had attacked GameStop stock, and then been subjected to a "short squeeze" for the ages by traders coordinating on Reddit. I received a bumper crop of feedback. Here are some representative samples (leaving out many with unprintable expletives):

    "You kind of miss the point of what is going on with GameStop. How much did Melvin pay you to write this garbage? shill. Literally trying to protect an industry trying to fleece jobs from low income workers. Sleep well chump."

    "Watching entitled institutional shorts whine on TV and OP EDs that millennials equipped with margin accounts & zero fees are collaborating on Reddit to target them is my new favorite sport. Looks perfectly healthy from where I'm sitting, which is on bull side :) plus 1 for the little guys."

    "Normal isn't putting the retail trader down for being independent while organized hedge funds force you to take their way or suffer in fear. Normal is the American dream and being able to make your own way. This isn't a casino. This is a riot."

    One respondent warned that the people squeezing the shorts aren't "a herd of impressionable youngsters with Robinhood accounts. No. They are an experienced & ruthless army of insomniacs followed by a silent legion of rapidly learning new traders. This is a new paradigm that won't go away."

    Another told me I was a "dumb boomer" amid a screed of unprintable epithets. (Point of information: I'm just too young to be a boomer. I'm in Generation X, but it's the intergenerational antagonism that's noteworthy.) Another said that the short squeeze was just a way for millennials to recoup the money they had been forced to pay to bankers during the TARP rescue 12 years ago, and to put coronavirus relief checks to work:

    "In other words, poor people have too much money and are now controlling the narrative. Damn those $1200 stimulus checks and $600 unemployment supplements. Too much liquidity, let's get these folks back to living paycheck to paycheck."

    "I know. Democratisation of the market is so damned inconvenient for those of us with money."

    "nobody cares about your hedge fund cronies!"

    "Bloomberg defending the suits. Not surprised. They're just mad the rubes are in on the joke now. Might this force the Fed's hand? Too many regular people in on the game."

    This is all fascinating. In the space of 12 years, the role of the short-seller has turned on its head. Back in 2008, it was the shorts who upset the status quo, revealed what was rotten in the state of Wall Street, and brought down the big shots. They were even the heroes of a big movie. It was the Wall Streeters who attacked them.

    Alienation has deepened since then. Short-selling hedge funds are now seen as part of a corrupt establishment, as is the media. The motives of anyone defending the shorts, or anyone wearing a suit, must be suspect. And there is a deep generational divide; those unable to own their own home and forced to rely on defined contribution pensions have a stunningly unfair deal compared to those a generation older, living in mortgage-free homes with guaranteed pensions. That percolates into anger, and a determination to right the scales by making money at the expense of corrupt short-sellers.

    We lack precedents for an angry bubble, so predictions are even harder than usual. But there are enough similarities with past incidents to raise serious cause for concern.

    First, the little guys have had their success so far with the aid of margin accounts, and by using derivatives. We know what happens when these things are used to excess; even the Dutch tulipmania relied on margin debt and derivatives. Little guys (and everyone else) deserve safer tools with which to build wealth.

    Second, "democratization of finance" isn't new, and in itself is nothing that anyone can object to. The problem is that investment and financial planning are difficult, and require time. Regulate these things, and you no longer have true democratization. Leave people free to take chances, and you get disasters like the bursting of the dot-com bubble in 2000. That also followed plenty of hype about the success of the "little guy," and the first great explosion of online discount trading succeeded in sucking an army of new retail investors into the bubble's final climax. Unregulated "democratization" led to the little guy bearing the brunt of the losses.

    "Democratizing" finance also leaves newly enfranchised financial citizens prey to spivs and frauds. I started my career covering the disastrous repercussions of one of Margaret Thatcher's last reforms in the U.K. — giving people the right to leave their defined-benefit pensions, offered by employers, and take on defined-contribution "personal pensions." Unscrupulous salesmen persuaded miners, firefighters and police officers to abandon copper-bottomed index-linked pensions for plans that came burdened with excessive charges. It was a repellent spectacle, and the bill for compensation was in the billions.

    These points doubtless make me appear to be a complacent shill for the financial industry, talking down to the rubes. For the record, I'm still angry about the way workers were ripped off in Britain more than three decades ago, and about the way the little guy ended up bearing the brunt for the financial implosions of 2000 and 2008. But it looks horribly to me as though the same thing is going to happen again — and I don't think the answer to today's many ills is to empower poor people to bankrupt themselves with margin accounts and derivatives.

    Anger, even more than greed, has the capacity to make us throw caution to the winds. Many of us have a lot to be angry about. If this carries on, and spreads beyond targets like a video-game retailer, I don't want to see the consequences when history's first angry bubble bursts.

    https://www.bloomberg.com/opinion/articles/2021-01-27/gamestop-short-squeeze-is-rage-against-the-financial-machine

    Anyway, I'm sure everyone's tired of hearing about Gamestop, but hopefully this is a decent departure from the memes, hype, and completely unfounded bullshit that's been surrounding that conversation so far.

    submitted by /u/MasterCookSwag
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    Where is Jim Cramer?

    Posted: 27 Jan 2021 07:06 AM PST

    Pretty straight forward question. Mad Money didn't air last night, haven't seen him on CNBC this morning, and his typically active Twitter has gone radio silent? Could this be related to his mainly sympathetic view of GME bulls?

    Mods, please let me know if this doesn't meet the guidelines and recommend the right subreddit.

    submitted by /u/emosg
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    William Galvin, the Secretary of the Commonwealth of Massachusetts -- suggests there is something “systemically wrong” with the GME squeeze

    Posted: 27 Jan 2021 10:15 AM PST

    Forgive me if I am wrong, but isn't this America and isn't this a free market?? Isn't this what Wall Street does on a regular basis? They can short stocks with 140% float and retail can't exploit the opportunity?

    Get out of here...

    Link to article

    submitted by /u/L3g3ndary-08
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    Apple reports blowout quarter, booking more than $100 billion for the first time

    Posted: 27 Jan 2021 01:34 PM PST

    Absolutely massive earnings; that's why I always keep Apple shares on hand.

    Looks like they're extracting a ton of monetization from both hardware and services.

    https://www.cnbc.com/2021/01/27/apple-aapl-earnings-q1-2021.html?__source=androidappshare

    submitted by /u/CorneredSponge
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    BlockBuster Video is up 2,000% over the past two days. This has become a total clown market

    Posted: 27 Jan 2021 10:24 AM PST

    BB Liquidating Inc. formerly known as BlockBuster Video. They have been bankrupt for a entire decade.

    ticker: BLIAQ (do not buy)

    ​

    The last time the company has done or said anything was in this 8-k in Januaray 2012 https://www.otcmarkets.com/filing/html?id=8330907&guid=6sQKUq3bRv5hz3h

    ​

    How do you think this all ends? I kinda paranoid that the only way to stop the maddness is for the federal reserve to raise rates a little bit. What do you think?

    submitted by /u/ChattyChris
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    VIX ends Wednesday +61.64%. Correction incoming?

    Posted: 27 Jan 2021 01:38 PM PST

    Volatility shooting through the roof and the broader market indices dipping significantly, over 2.5%.

    Wonder if this blatant gambling, manipulation and frothiness could be the impetus of a larger correction. Could a small chain reaction from this quickly expand? A fairly hawkish SEC chief has been appointed and the market has been disconnected from the economy for some time. "Bad" news on the horizon includes likely corporate tax increases, tighter regulation, etc.

    submitted by /u/bemurda
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    SEC Joint Statement Regarding Ongoing Market Volatility

    Posted: 27 Jan 2021 01:46 PM PST

    We are aware of and actively monitoring the on-going market volatility in the options and equities markets and, consistent with our mission to protect investors and maintain fair, orderly, and efficient markets, we are working with our fellow regulators to assess the situation and review the activities of regulated entities, financial intermediaries, and other market participants.

    Via streetinsider.com

    submitted by /u/polloponzi
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    Tesla misses on Q4 earnings. $0.80 vs $1.03 expected, Rev $10.74b vs $10.4b expected

    Posted: 27 Jan 2021 05:06 PM PST

    Tesla reported earnings after the bell and it's a miss on earnings, but another profitable quarter for Elon Musk's electric vehicle and solar business.

    Shares were down about 3% after hours.

    Here are the results, versus what analysts were expecting according to estimates compiled by Refinitiv:

    Earnings: 80 cents adj. vs $1.03 per share expected

    Revenue: $10.74 billion vs $10.4 billion expected

    The company also gave some production guidance going forward, writing "Over a multi-year horizon, we expect to achieve 50% average annual growth in vehicle deliveries." Tesla expects faster delivery growth than that for 2021, with two new factories expected to come online this year and updated versions of its Model S and X vehicles about to begin production.

    Gross margins reached 19.2% for Tesla in the fourth quarter of 2020, the lowest since the last quarter of 2019. Capital expenditures hit $1.15 billion for the period ending December 31, 2020.

    The company also reported positive free cash flow for 2020 of $2.79 billion, more than double its 2019 figure of $1.08 billion.

    Tesla previously said it had delivered 499,550 vehicles in 2020, falling barely shy of its guidance for half a million vehicle deliveries in 2020. (Deliveries are the closest approximation of sales numbers disclosed by Tesla.) It produced 509,737 vehicles during the year.

    Both deliveries and production numbers set a new record for the maturing electric car company, seen as a triumph in a year when auto sales and factory operations were dampened by a global pandemic.

    Automotive revenue grew to $9.31 billion in Q4, while revenue from energy generation and storage reached $752 million, and services and other revenue grew to $678 million. "Other" revenue includes sales of Tesla merchandise including the company's own tequila, apparel and more essential vehicle accessories like car charging adapters.

    Tesla spent $522 million on research and development and nearly a billion on SG&A, sales, general and administrative costs in the last quarter of 2020.

    Looking ahead, Tesla said it would begin producing its newest model -- the crossover SUV known as the Model Y -- at new plants in Austin, Texas, and Brandenburg, Germany, in 2021. Tesla intends to incorporate its own new "tabless" battery cells, which it unveiled at an annual shareholder meeting and battery presentation in September last year in those vehicles.

    Today's report is Tesla's first since its addition to the S&P 500.

    Vehicle sales in China largely enabled Tesla to hit record deliveries in 2020. So did the introduction of a new crossover SUV, the Model Y, which Tesla began to produce in serious volumes in the first quarter last year out of its Fremont, California car plant.

    In the fourth quarter, after multiple price cuts, and a shift from selling more expensive Model S and X vehicles, to selling lower priced Model 3 and Y vehicles, including in China, Tesla's average sales price dipped by about 11%.

    Since Tesla's third quarter earnings call in October 2020, the price of the company's stock has more than doubled, giving it a market capitalization of more than $835 billion and making it the fifth-most valuable company in the U.S.

    Source: https://www.cnbc.com/2021/01/27/tesla-tsla-earnings-q4-2020.html

    submitted by /u/kriptonicx
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    Market Deleveraging due to Short Squeeze

    Posted: 27 Jan 2021 10:51 PM PST

    New user here but I have really grown to appreciate the community here. I was reading about the dip today in the indexes. Apparently hedge funds across the world are selling many long positions to cover their short exposure (regardless of exposure to GME). This deleveraging has cause a broad decline as these funds/markets deleverage their holdings.

    I'm not sure how long this secular trend will happen but thought I would post about it to get opinions. Does the dip continue? Is there more money somewhere that will come "buy the dip"? Or are we dealing with a prolonged period of depressed stock prices (no new all-time-highs on the horizon).

    The article below summarizes this. Are you buying this dip? Or waiting to see where the bottom is? Any clue as to how much leverage needs to come out before the market stabilizes?

    Hedge Funds Slashing Equity Exposure at Fastest Pace Since 2014
    https://www.bloomberg.com/news/articles/2021-01-27/hedge-fund-favorites-are-telltale-leaders-in-broad-stock-selloff

    submitted by /u/LOLeverage
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    Bombardier in 2020

    Posted: 27 Jan 2021 11:44 PM PST

    My thinking is 1)New CEO Martel (former head of Hydro Quebec) said in Dec. that the co. will be worth 7B USD after the Alstom train sale. He's fired all the deadwood in the company and is attempting a turnaround. 2)They'll still have 4.5 B debt afterwards, the result of the A220 debacle. 3)They still have about 130 B planes on back order. 4)private planes only went down 10% during the pandemic. 5)Bombardier planes lines are all refreshed and they have the best private planes on the market. 6)Bill Gates/Blackrock just put in a bid for the world's largest private plane servicer 7)Buffet sold all airlines, but still held onto Net Jets. 8)only 10% of the rich who can afford private planes, use them. 9)Costco just put out a $17500 plan where anyone can ride private planes. 10)private planes usage is thought to be growing between 5-10% yearly. 11)And my craziest idea is that hydrogen replenished electric batteries will make private planes the first aircraft that can carry humans to be totally green. electric planes will definitely start out on planes that can do short jumps and would be perfect in a world moving more towards remote working. 12)Elon Musk said tech for electric jets 3-4 years out. And I believe he's always held zero emission jets as one of his long-term goals. 13) Bombardier jets are best in class and after their Alstom deal to offload their electric train division, will be the only solely private jets play out there. all their jet lines are refreshed. they have a history of attempting crazy, innovative things. And they'd be a prime target for acquisition or strategic alliances in the future. This is the idea I've been playing with in my head. The stock is in penny stock territory, but a turnaround seems like very good bet and it seems pretty undervalued when even looking at their current financial situation. And the future story looks inviting. Any opinions? Elon Musk should just buy the company and push private jets to become zero emissions ASAP.

    submitted by /u/Nocturnidae
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    GE’s Comeback

    Posted: 27 Jan 2021 03:57 PM PST

    I've been holding GE since before the pandemic. The stock was on a good pace and had climbed back to 13.5 before Covid.

    I'm a buy low sell high kind of investor.

    Trading in the 30s just a few years ago and hit bottom at $5.5

    They've turned around the ship and are a great economic re opening play. Sitting at just above $11. GE has more room to grow.

    And the options are still cheap!

    submitted by /u/TheRedScare488
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    HOW TO GIVE SMART; or, how to not get swindled by "charities"

    Posted: 27 Jan 2021 03:36 PM PST

    r/investing mods, I come to share my experience donating. If the post is insufficient or too off topic, good on ya, do your job and I won't complain.

    I see a LOT of people donating portions of their earnings to charity and first off let me say, GOOD FOR YOU. You're doing something a lot of people in this world don't bother to, and seeing all of the posts of people paying off homes, cars, student loans, and so on melt my heart.

    Before the GMREEEEEEEEs that have infiltrated every financial sub on the planet start shrieking about me insinuating you should cash out, you make your own decisions on your own risk tolerance. You do what's best for you.

    Now, when you do cash out of any position, give smart. I've been in the nonprofit world for a while and can tell you there's a lot of "charities" out there that do fuck all with the money you give them or just let it sit in their account for the duration of the disaster that people were donating to alleviate (looking at you, Red Cross).

    It makes me physically ill to think of your giving going to waste. I'm not going to tell you to give to the arts, or to medicine, or to space exploration. Just be sure to investigate where you're giving and don't trust the "Top 10 charities for X" posts you see all over the interwebs. I have provided for your sleuthing pleasure a few websites to vet your giving. They will allow you to search by name, type, etc. Give them a look and see.

    https://www.charitywatch.org - Will tell you how the charity compensates their executives, their cost-to-raise ratio, and the program to overhead ratio.

    https://www.givewell.org - Another organization that researches top charities to provide transparent data.

    https://www.charitynavigator.org/ - Probably the most in-depth of the bunch on the ones that they review. They go into detail on the impact, results, accountability, and culture of whatever organization you look up.

    Also, there's a boat load of foundations out there that would love to take your money and watch it grow. Many of them already have securities and other assets. You can sometimes donate assets directly and the wealth keeps growing. You can also bequeath another account to an organization. This means you don't touch it but name your charity as a beneficiary. Let it grow, then when you die, Tendie Claus will drop it in their chimney. For more information:

    https://www.investopedia.com/ask/answers/07/donatestock.asp

    Other points to consider: Cost-to-raise is not always a good measure, so do your DD on charities. For charities that have most or all of their capital and assets donated, the cost-to-raise should be exorbitantly low. Don't confuse PACs with charities. Here's an example: PACs donate to pro-X legislation and legislators. Charities donate their services, products, and education falling under the X rubric to people in need.

    If you're more interested in activism and advocacy, you can find some great resources here:

    https://www.opensecrets.org/527s/types.php - Watchdog for PACShttps://www.fec.gov/data/committees/?committee_type=O - List of Super-PACs

    https://www.fec.gov/data/committees/ - List of hybrid PACs

    My apologies to the Europoors. Can't help you because I'm a lowly American't.

    Bless all you magnificent bastards who have already done God's work in sharing the wealth you've accumulated on your own volition.

    Tl;dr: Use these resources to research companies before you consider donating.

    Posting here because if the mods at WSB want to let people throw their hard-earned money at garbage, then you boys deserve it better anyways.

    Edit: phrasing (boom)

    submitted by /u/Farores_Favored
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    CRSR - one of the best under-the-radar tech stocks with room to run. New IPO, gaming industry has been EXPLODING, and Q4 Earnings containing (likely record) holiday season sales are about to drop in 1-2 weeks.

    Posted: 27 Jan 2021 10:02 AM PST

    In the midst of a speculative buying frenzy, theres one stock I've had my eye on that seems to have real fundamentals to back up the price punch. IMO Corsair is probably one of the most overlooked tech stocks on the market right now.

    It's up over 165% since IPO last year, risen 20% today, but I think theres still a LONG way to go.

    - CRSR is a relatively new IPO, but a time-tested tech company in the explosive gaming industry, which has been among the best performing sectors throughout 2020. Thus far its been overlooked for bigger players like LOGITECH.

    - Their Q4 earnings reports are about to release on 2/9. They'll contain holiday season sales. Every related company in that space has been posting record Q4 sales.

    - IN 2019 they crossed $1bln revenue for the first time. If current revenue trends continue, its going to be approaching $2bln revenue for 2020. By several metrics they're growing FASTER than LOGI, at less than half the price.

    - Their market cap is currently $4.17 Billion .... Compare that to LOGI at $18 Billion. Despite TTM revenues approaching 50% of LOGI, the market cap is more than 4x lower. If you think LOGI is fairly priced (or under valued), then CRSR has a lot of room to go up.

    - They have recently been making some big acquisitions throughout 2019 and 2020, notably in the rapidly expanding streaming space where they're building market dominance (Snapping up Elgato was a big one).

    - Less diluted than LOGI (Looking at RPS, only 38% lower)

    - It blew past EPS estimates in Q2 and Q3. After Q3 earnings report share price doubled in 2 weeks. I think Q4 EPS estimates are very low. I see it absolutely crushing them.

    - Net Profit Margins have been increasing every quarter in 2020. All other fundamentals are on a positive trajectory.... net debt going down, gross margins going up.

    Based on the rest of the market, if Q4 revenue are in line with expectations I think share price could easily hit $100 or more by Q2.

    Thoughts?

    submitted by /u/downwithnarcy
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    Finding Value Stocks

    Posted: 27 Jan 2021 04:00 PM PST

    So I had posted to the "daily advice thread", but fear my comment may have been lost. Besides all this hype around GME, AMC, etc, I'm trying to REALLY get into investing/trading and not just always riding the hype train. How do people find value stocks to swing trade, invest in, etc?

    Any advice would be appreciated. Thanks

    submitted by /u/YungPharoo
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    From someone watching from the sidelines - what happens on the date of execution if the short sellers can't cover but the call buyers don't have the money to convert their options to buy the stock?

    Posted: 27 Jan 2021 10:21 AM PST

    I'm sure there are lots of holders of calls in GME that were way out of the money 2 days ago that are now in the money - but they don't have the cash to convert those calls into shares.

    What happens in this situation? Are those calls automatically converted, sold and cashed out? Do they expire worthless which would be a gift to the short seller on the other side?

    submitted by /u/rusty__shakleford
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    Bloomberg: Oil Supermajors to Show Worst Is Over With Commodities Rally

    Posted: 27 Jan 2021 08:27 PM PST

    https://uk.finance.yahoo.com/news/oil-supermajors-show-worst-over-050002413.html

    Interesting quote: "The combined market value of Exxon, Chevron Corp., Royal Dutch Shell Plc, Total SE and BP is now less than that of Tesla Inc."

    Earnings week starts Friday for the supermajors with the bulk of large oil companies reporting earnings 28th Jan -> 4th Feb.

    For those who like buying short-dated calls and a bit of excitement, there may be some fun to be had. The oil & gas price are relatively high at present vs the past year and seem to be staying there.

    https://tinyurl.com/y2tsura6

    https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/CL=F/

    submitted by /u/bananacakesjoy
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    Fed (Powell) affirmed commitment to low interest rates and massive bond purchases

    Posted: 27 Jan 2021 02:36 PM PST

    Source

    On bond purchases:

    Powell, in his press briefing, said talk of tapering is "premature" and the Fed would have to see improvement towards its goals before it would consider cutting back on purchases

    On Fed's affect on markets:

    "There are many things that go into, as you know, setting asset prices. If you look at what's really been driving asset prices in the last couple of months, it isn't monetary policy," Powell said. "It's been expectations about vaccines, and it's also fiscal policy." "The connection between interest rates and asset values is probably something that's not as tight as people think because a lot of different factors are driving asset prices at any given time," the Fed chair added.

    This seems like good news to me. This means the Fed won't pull back their printer simply because the market is over performing.

    Powell's commitment seems like it will last a long time, for he said:

    We are a long way from a full recovery.

    What does everyone think? It seems this is what investors were looking for -- further commitment to low interest rates and massive bond purchases. Shouldn't the market be up today?

    submitted by /u/r2002
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    FB earnings beat

    Posted: 27 Jan 2021 02:02 PM PST

    What a time we live in. One of the largest companies in the world posts earnings and not a single thread can be found but we do have plenty of meme ticker discussion :)

    Here are the numbers. Great earnings and a 25 billion buyback approved. Sure there some regulatory pressure but this is a tremendous company and solid investment imo.

    Earnings: $3.88 per share vs $3.22 per share forecast by Refinitiv Revenue: $28.07 billion vs $26.44 billion forecast by Refinitiv Daily active users (DAUs): 1.84 billion vs 1.83 billion forecast by FactSet Monthly active users (MAUs): 2.8 billion vs 2.76 billion forecast by FactSet Average revenue per user (ARPU): $10.14 vs $9.49 forecast by FactSet

    submitted by /u/hoogetraps
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    My thoughts on some good future stocks - give me your opinions

    Posted: 27 Jan 2021 10:26 AM PST

    With all the madness surrounding GME, BB, AMC, NOK, EXPR, KOSS and other potential short squeezes (disclosure: I'm in on AMC and BB), I thought it might be nice to take a step back and look at stocks that would be good to hold for longer than a week. I'm relatively new to investing, but browsing forums, reading charts, and doing (somewhat amateur) DD, I think I have a list of some good investments that can be held for a year or longer. I'm not posting a full DD for each company, just some points I find interesting, mostly the values and projections for each. For disclosure's sake, I am NOT currently invested in any of these companies except for MRNA and RVP.

    FLGT:

    If hearing "sales growth of 880%" doesn't perk up your ears I don't know what will, the last 12 months have been booming for Fulgent Genetics. They have exceeded analysts projected earnings estimates by 501% and 277% the last two quarters. This fella is undervalued with those numbers, even with the stock price up 60% in January alone. Currently going for about $83 but valued around $140. If you buy now you would be buying at the top, but it's still projected to go higher.

    MRNA:

    This is one of the two stocks on this list that I am currently invested in (approx 9% of my portfolio). While not *quite* as impressive as FLGT's 880% sales growth, Moderna's 826% sales growth over the last year is still fantastic. One of the most undervalued stocks on this list with the current price only about 53% of it's current value, Moderna has a lot of potential. MRNA is up 55% already in 2021. Moderna reported only $60 million in sales in 2019, but are projected to have between 1.5 to 15 billion in 2021. That's a huge window, but even if they hit the lowest projection it will be fantastic for the company. Again, you would be buying high if you went in now, but it looks like right now is the lowest it will be for the foreseeable future.

    NVAX:

    This company fascinates me the most on this list. The current price is less than half of the current value. Phenomenal upside potential, with unreal sales growth in the last 12 months at 999%. Novavax stock has rocketed 1302% in the last year. Reported 2019 sales of 18.7 million with 2021 sales projections ranging from 1.2 to 4.7 billion. While 999% sales growth was impressive, the projected annual sales growth is an astounding 2,815%. I almost wonder if this one is too good to be true, which is why I haven't invested yet, but I am beyond tempted.

    HZO:

    Up 34% this month. Reported earnings the last two quarters exceeded analyst projections by 120% and 177%. Undervalued with excellent sales growth. The current quarter looks like it might be mediocre for MarineMax, but the year-long forecasts look great. Undervalued by about 33%, the potential upside for MarineMax is solid.

    DQ:

    Daqo New Energy's stock has been exploding, up 910% in the past year. It's slightly undervalued, currently selling for around $100 but valued closer to $118. They have had sales growth of 51% over the last year with projected rates going much, much higher. One to keep an eye on.

    MKSI:

    MKS Instruments is the first stock listed that offers a dividend. At $0.80 annually per share with a dividend growth of 10%, it's a nice cherry on top to what looks like a good investment. Up 13% this year, MKSI has a median projected growth of 17% for the next 12 months. Their earnings exceeded projections all of the last four quarters each between 8% and 36%. MKSI has been in a dip the last week, down about 10%. If you're thinking about buying, now would be a good time.

    RVP:

    The second stock I am invested in on this list (approx 16% of my portfolio), Retractable Technologies stock is up 50% in January. I see an earnings growth rate around 40% after they had 133% sales growth over the last 12 months. Like all these other picks, RVP is undervalued, presently going for $16 with a current value closer to $26.

    LRCX:

    Up 12% this month, Lam Research doesn't have numbers quite as sexy as the others on this list but it's worth looking at. Earnings exceeded forecasts by 9% and 17% the last two quarters. Undervalued by about $170, I see LRCX having plenty of room to grow, especially with their earnings projected to grow by 45%.

    WILD CARD: PLTR

    Palantir Tech isn't really a wild card, but it breaks from the rest of the list by being massively OVERvalued at $38, when the current value is much closer to $3. It's up 61% in January, but 12 months projections look grim, with even the best outlooks predicting a 20% decrease in stock price. The reason I put it on this list is because I do think it will grow years from now, mostly from what happened earlier this week. Lots of people, especially software developers, were amazed with Palantir's Gotham presentation, many of them saying it could be a major player in the future. I think the stock price will definitely decline, which is why I'm not buying in now, but it will be worth revisiting when it drops.

    Like I said, very amateur DD done for these guys, primarily looking at past and projected sales and stock price vs value, with some consideration given to price volatility, price decline resistance, dividends, and timing price trends. Let me know what you think.

    submitted by /u/Delta_KVTA
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    Bullish reasons to invest psychedelics Industry. did I miss any?

    Posted: 27 Jan 2021 11:58 AM PST

    1. MMEDF 2. LKYSF 3. CMPS RVVTF MYCOF -Growing public acceptance -Favorable political changes -Growing scientific evidence -Advancing clinical trials -Growing Institutional interest -Growing mental health crisis -Momentum of the "Psychedelic Renaissance" -Massive amounts of anecdotal evidence -Underground work by leaders in the field -Disruptive efforts may lead to collaborative efforts with big Pharma $$$ -millennials robinhood investors will eat this us like they did TESLA. -The Hype is growing and the stock price follows the hype not current ability to produce profits. -yatch week in croatia.
    submitted by /u/Massive-Instruction8
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    Schwab brokerage account locked for 29 days, banned from TD Ameritrade

    Posted: 27 Jan 2021 07:19 AM PST

    Schwab brokerage account locked for 29 days, banned from TD Ameritrade

    Forgive me if I am posting in the wrong sub

    I'll start with Charles Schwab.

    I had around $300 in my Schwab brokerage account. I wanted to use another brokerage besides Robinhood so I made transfers from my bank account to start out. Then on December 27th, I started a transfer of $3000 from my Bank of America account to my Charles Schwab brokerage account. The Schwab account was then suspended for suspicious activity on December 29th. I called Schwab on December 30th, and they told me that the fraud department is investigating, and it can take 3-5 business days, maybe longer because it was the holiday season. I said OK, called back a week later, and they said the same thing, called another week later, they said the same thing again. Called them about 5 or 6 times, and they always say that they need 3 to 4 or 3 to 5 business days to investigate. Well, it's now January 27 and my account is still locked for suspicious activity.

    When I try to ask them what they are investigating, they will never tell me. How can I get access to my money?

    Does it usually take this long?

    If i do nothing, how long would it take to complete the investigation? months, years?

    Is it legal for them to hold my money for this long?

    ​

    TD Ameritrade

    https://i.imgur.com/xjScClZ.jpg

    I got a letter in the mail that I have been banned from TD Ameritrade. I created an account with them on December 26th and this letter is from the 29th saying that their business relationship with me has been terminated, and they will not change this decision, and I am basically banned from using them in the future. It seemed that I was banned for an unknown reason; they won't tell me, so at this point, I have more questions than answers. The only guess I have is because Schwab bought TD Ameritrade, so they are trying to prevent me from using both? IDK

    submitted by /u/tojumikie
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    Paypal to beat expectations

    Posted: 27 Jan 2021 04:37 PM PST

    Paypal will be reporting their Q4 earnings next week, should be much higher than forecasted.

    This will be their first earnings report since launching crypto buying/selling on their platform. Fees aside, even with just their 2% spread, the volume has been huge since November/December.

    Their stock has already been performing very well with a steady incline, should see a nice bump next week.

    submitted by /u/Ol_hickry
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