| A discussion about “time in the market vs timing the market” Posted: 05 Dec 2020 10:26 AM PST We've all seen it parroted on every investing related thread in the history of Reddit- "time in the market beats timing the market". But I feel like this phrase gets misused quite a lot, and I would like to take this boring workday of a Saturday to just show the power of what "time in the market" actually has. - What "time in the market" means and what it doesn't mean
Time in the market means, basically, maintaining ownership of assets that either 1, typically appreciate in value over time (stocks, real estate, commodities, etc) or 2, that produce a steady, ideally increasing, stream of income (dividend paying stocks, a business, rental properties, debt, etc). By "time in the market" it means that ownership of these assets over long periods of time, as in years and decades, is the key to wealth accumulation. If you look at most wealthy person alive today and in history, they gained their wealth through assets. They accumulate assets and own them. "Time in the market" does NOT mean buying clearly overvalued hype stocks because "I'm in for the long term". I'm not gonna say any because I don't want the comments to just be arguing about whether or not tesla is overvalued, but I hope you get the idea. However this doesn't mean to just let your cash sit on the sidelines "waiting for a crash". Typically there is no reason to have all your net worth tied up in cash, as it is the only asset class guaranteed to lose value over time. Rather, you should be in the middle: continuing to own assets you already own and being on the lookout for more, fairly valued ones. I promise you that you can find value out there if you look for it. Even then you don't necessarily always have to be buying. Sometimes doing nothing is the best choice. - You're probably wasting your time (and money)
If you're anticipating a crash, good luck. There have been 8 major crashes since the 1920's: an average of one every 12 years. There have been flash crashes and small recession but these shouldn't concern you at all. On the large scale, the market has trended up for most of its existence. What makes this time different, exactly? Bulls have a tendency to believe that this time is different, but bears can have the same mindset, especially considering that the US has been in a bull market for most of its history. So what makes this time different? Sure, we will enter a bear market eventually but the US market has never failed retest its highs. If you're selling because you anticipate a "correction", you're just wasting your time and money. Corrections are a blip on the radar over time. They are normal, healthy and should be seen as a good thing, just the market breathing, per se; nobody actually thinks "stocks only go up and never go down". Once you gain real money, in the high six figures and up, taxes will really start to eat into you. Selling positions with the intent to buy back in after a correction is probably an unprofitable endeavor. Why pay a good chunk of your earnings in taxes just to buy back 10% cheaper, especially when the 10% drop may or may not happen when you expect it to? This ties in to the last paragraph of point one, sometimes it's best to do nothing and just continue to hold, letting your money work for you. - Generational wealth
This is my main point. The Rothschilds, for example, have been building an empire for almost 300 years. That is 300 years of compounding interest. One thing they have done is accumulate assets, not sell them. The wealthy families of the Netherlands have been passing down assets for almost 400 years. Even on a less grandiose scale, just look to this subreddit. You'll notice a lot of the users with higher portfolio balances probably received a nice inheritance somewhere along the way. This isn't a bad thing and shouldn't be shamed. After all, isn't that everyone's goal, to pass their wealth into their children? Unfortunately, with inheritances, a huge majority of inherited wealth is lost by the third generation. When the younger generation doesn't know how to properly manage wealth, they end up wasting it all instead of further building it up. - Compound interest
Some call it the eighth wonder of the world, and rightfully so. There is no reason to interrupt compound interest unnecessarily. I would hope that most people here are investing with the goal of attaining compound interest, and selling your compounding assets is a solid way to halt it. - Dividends
Whether or not you chase dividends, I think we can all agree that we get some form of dividends or income from our investments. Dividends really show their power after several years of ownership. Buffett, for example, gets a 40% annual return from dividends on his initial Coca Cola investment. Fourty percent! And he doesn't even DRIP them. Why on earth would people get rid of their assets that have potential to give those kind of returns after some years of ownership is beyond me. If you do a dividend return calculator going back multiple decades, you'll find that most dividend paying securities will have similar returns once you have mature ownership of them. - On "timing the market"
This is probably a controversial one but I definitely don't believe in just buying whatever tickers you want because "time in the market beats timing the market". Like I said above, time in > timing because of generational wealth, compound interest and ownership. It doesn't mean buying the hottest Reddit ticker because you're in for the long term. Taking well assessed risks with positive and realistic upside is ideal. Spending time to make sure the investment you're about to make is a good investment is smart. If spending a week or two assessing your decision is a way to "miss out on sick gains bro, it'll go up another 50% before you buy", it's probably a FOMO stock and you shouldn't be in in the first place. If patience is key, that means patience with buying is just as important as patience with holding. At the end of the day I'm a believer in ownership. Looking through most of wealthy individuals of today and in history, they all had one thing in common: they maintained possession of assets. They don't sell their portfolios because they're scared of a crash, they don't have their net worth in a savings account. They assume a little bit of managed risk and let their money work for them. I made this post because I have to work on a Saturday and have nothing going on, I hope you at least enjoyed it or disagree with it so we can have some discussion going. submitted by /u/7thAccountDontDelete [link] [comments] |
| For those new to the world of stocks: A few lessons from a gal from her first year of trading Posted: 05 Dec 2020 01:14 PM PST Hi all. I have been trading for 9 months- and wanted to share my experience for all those trying to navigate this different world. This is for people like me-- no experience in finance, interested in learning and growing knowledge, and starting out with no knowledge. My background- Registered nurse in a hospital. I have no affiliations or interests in this post that are to sway anyone. I am posting this because I started out by investing time and lots of mistakes, and if I can help another newbie navigate in this community. Initial Investment in march: $3000 Current balance: $6200 Platform: Webull. I chose it by recommendation of a coworker, and I personally like it but I have nothing to compare it to as its the only one I have used. I do like the afterhours trading ability. Just a few of many things I have learned..... - Be skeptical of many if not most posters on forums. I went in naive, small town gal who believes in good-- that "wow all these people must be right with their recommendations!" I now take it lightly, note the ticker and do my due diligence. I make sure to look at post history of anyone involved in stock discussions. I ignore anyone tagging multiple tickers, in fact block so they don't clog feeds.
- Keep a notebook. I write down terms when involved with a discussion that I don't understand to help me further my knowledge. For example, A stock I am investing that I feel will be doing very well very soon-- a discussion had multiple mentions of warrants. So I added to my definition list and went on to understand the companys warrents, what they were and why it is a factor in decisions. I write down definitions, terms I want to research in the future, lists of tickers I want to research, patterns I start to see in certain stocks-- its my little bible.
- Beware of some (maybe most) of the big pumpers. I learned this watching a notable twitter pumper that people treat like a god. You will and can make money of their suggestions-- but can also get severly burned. They buy in a stock they know just needs volume to make it go. It can be something that is junk. So they buy a ton of shares really cheap-- then pump it so a massive volume influxes it-- however by the time they post the pump its already gone up a little--- the pumper has made his money and exited and you are stuck when the stock drops rapidly due to exits. I say this with admitting you can be smart and make a couple bucks-- but it also comes with risk.... and ethically its a little gross. I saw this notable pumper brag yesterday about a stock he made 800k off of-- and his kingdom of followers are why. So I post this with caution as yes they can get you in the right direction-- but they use you to do it, and it comes at a cost to many people. I have found a few posters who I follow that post facts and always see posts by people as just a start- and its my duty to follow up.
- Read SEC filings. The website is easy to search, and this will keep you up to date on the companys stock filings. I am still learning and understanding the significance of each document.
- Find reputable due diligence. I am still developing this skill but so far I read SEC filings, I read releases from the company, history of the company. Websites I navigate are otcmarkets, investor hub, and business news sites.
- FOMO is huge in the market. I made so many mistakes my first month jumping into a stock by letting people pumping make me believe if I didn't buy it right that minute I would be left behind. This is absolutely wrong. I notate a stock I am interested in, and I watch its patterns. I look at the spread of buy ins too, to make sure I am not buying in at the top. I promise you, if you read social media and are scared of missing out- buying too quickly will lead you to buy too high. Stocks don't rocket as fast as they lead you to believe.
- Every stock is not about "to rocket" or go to the moon that day.
- Read the actual contracts. If you see a stock you are interested in- and theres lots of talk of its "going to rocket" due to a contract. Read and understand the contract. Contracts don't always mean immediate rise in stock. Sometimes the contract is contigent on certain things occuring. If I am interested in a stock with a known contract, and its not something immediate-- I write it in my stock bible to follow, that way I can follow the path the company is taking- and then put my money into it when its solid. I have found by waiting, the stock price is relatively the same if not lower, and I then use my money to invest in other things until that point occurs.
- Learn a little piece at a time. I see the stock market as an easy way to get overwhelmed and I acknowledge how little I know. So I learn a little bit at a time.
- Understand that no one truly can predict exactly when, or how much because the market has a lot of unpredictable factors... and honestly-- People with the most indepth knowledge of best choices are not going to tell you. I do not ask questions in forums regarding expectations-- I know its my job as an investor to do the legwork, and not for someone to hand me their hard work. It's my hard work.
These are just a few of the lessons I have learned and thought I would share- I have many more of course. And I know I will have many more lessons and look forward to enjoying the ride. Cheers! submitted by /u/jamiegirl21 [link] [comments] |
| Hydrofarm Holdings Group, Inc. IPO set for 12/7/20 Posted: 05 Dec 2020 09:33 AM PST |
| Wall Street Week Ahead for the trading week beginning December 7th, 2020 Posted: 05 Dec 2020 11:11 AM PST Good Saturday afternoon to all of you here on r/stocks. I hope everyone on this sub made out pretty nicely in the market this past week, and is ready for the new trading week ahead. Here is everything you need to know to get you ready for the trading week beginning December 7th, 2020. Any progress on stimulus could give the market a boost in the week ahead - (Source)
Stimulus to help the economy and vaccines to stop the virus are expected to the be the main focus in markets in the week ahead.
Efforts to move along a fiscal package in Congress picked up momentum in the past week with Congressional leaders sounding conciliatory, and a bi-partisan group of senators pushing their own $900 billion proposal.
"It probably boils down to how much [Senate Majority Leader] Mitch McConnell is willing to deal, and I don't know what the answer is to that," said Mike Schumacher, head of rate strategy at Wells Fargo. "If it's going to happen, next week is the week. The government runs out of money on Friday. Congress has to come up with a funding scheme."
Strategists have said the two events could be tied, but Congress could also push through a spending resolution without including stimulus. Some programs will expire at the end of the month, if Congress does not provide funding, including unemployment benefits for millions of Americans.
The on again, off again stimulus talks have led to skepticism in the market, and sets it up for a move higher if there is anything officially announced. "I wouldn't think it's fully baked in. I would say the stimulus is a positive catalyst, unless it's less than $900 billion," said Art Hogan, chief market strategist at National Securities.
While stocks surged in the past week, bond yields also moved higher. Yields move opposite price, and bond yields have been rising on stimulus expectations. More spending means more debt, and that sends rates higher.
The 10-year was at 0.97% Friday, and appeared ready to move back to the 1% level for the first time since March.
"Is it the case here, stimulus is already factored in, and will people take their money and run?" said Schumacher.
The S&P 500 gained 1.7% in the past week, ending Friday at 3,699, a record high. The Dow also ended up 1% at a record 30,218, and Nasdaq gained 2.1% to a record 12,464.
Getting jabbed Vaccine news has been a catalyst for the market's surge since early November, when Pfizer first revealed the high efficacy of its vaccine. Since then Moderna and Astra-Zeneca both revealed results of their own vaccines.
A Food and Drug Administration advisory committee meets Thursday on emergency use authorization for the Pfizer and BioNTech vaccine.
"They're starting to roll it out in the U.K, and that's something that's going to be watched here to see how it unfolds," said Quincy Krosby, chief market strategist Prudential Financial. "That's the next issue for the market. The deliveries, the distributions. Are people being jabbed? These are all questions the market is concerned about about because they're looking forward to it unrolling smoothly in the U.S."
About 3 million people will be vaccinated in the initial rollout. Moderna's vaccine is expected to be approved the following week, and by year-end both vaccines are expected to reach 20 million people in the U.S.
"The vaccine news has started to see a bit of diminishing return in terms of its wow factor," said Hogan. "There's going to be some volatility around the logistics."
Krosby said the virus remains in the forefront for the market because of the continuing spread and its economic impact as activities are shut down. California Thursday announced new restrictions with stay at home advisories in some regions.
"The big question is how long does the Covid surge last?" Krosby said.
The virus shutdowns appear to be behind a slowdown in the labor market, and economists say it could slow activity into the first quarter. November job growth of 245,000 was about 200,000 less than expected. That makes Thursday's weekly jobless claims more important for markets.
There is also CPI and PPI inflation data Thursday and Friday.
"There is this push pull in the market regarding inflationary pressures," said Krosby. "It's not expected, which is why if it does print higher, it could ignite the conversation regarding inflation."
This past week saw the following moves in the S&P: Major Indices for this past week: Major Futures Markets as of Friday's close: Economic Calendar for the Week Ahead: Percentage Changes for the Major Indices, WTD, MTD, QTD, YTD as of Friday's close: S&P Sectors for the Past Week: Major Indices Pullback/Correction Levels as of Friday's close: Major Indices Rally Levels as of Friday's close: Most Anticipated Earnings Releases for this week: (T.B.A. THIS WEEKEND.) Here are the upcoming IPO's for this week: Friday's Stock Analyst Upgrades & Downgrades:
Stocks and Bonds Both in Rally Mode When it comes to equity market performance in a given month, it doesn't get much better than November. While the S&P 500's total return of 10.95% in the month was only the second-best monthly performance of the year, it was still enough to rank as the third-best month for the S&P 500 in the last thirty years and just the ninth month since 1980 that it was up 10%+. The chart below shows the S&P 500's annualized total return over the last one, two, five, ten, and twenty years and compares the current returns to the historical average. For the last year, the S&P 500's total return has been 17.5% which is nearly six full percentage points higher than the historical average. For the last two years, the annualized return has been nearly as strong at 16.8%, and it is actually even stronger relative to the historical average of 10.5%. Moving further out the time horizon, the S&P 500's annualized returns drift lower, and while the five and ten-year annualized returns are greater than average, the S&P 500's annualized gain of 7.3% in the last 20 years is more than 3.5 percentage points below the historical average of 10.9%. The last couple of years haven't just been strong for equities. Over the last year, long-term US Treasuries, as measured by the Merrill Lynch 10+ Year US Treasury Index, have rallied 15.7%, which is more than six full percentage points greater than the historical average of 9.5%. Over the last two years, returns have been even stronger with an annualized gain of nearly 20%, or more than double the historical average of 9.1%! While the last two years have been strong for US Treasuries, the last five, ten, and twenty years have all seen returns of between one and two percentage points below their historical average. Lately, when you see rallies in the equity market, it tends to be accompanied by a decline in treasuries as yields rise. In November, though, that wasn't the case. Even with the S&P 500 up 10.95%, long-term US Treasuries rallied just over 1%. So how uncommon is it for stocks to rally like they did in November while bonds also rally. Actually, it is not very uncommon at all. The table below shows the nine months since 1980 where the S&P 500's total return in a given month was 10% or more, and of those months, long-term treasuies also rallied in every month but one (October 2011).
Manufacturer Recovery Continues This morning, the Institute for Supply Management (ISM) released a less positive outlook for the US manufacturing sector. The headline number for ISM's Manufacturing index fell from 59.3 last month down to 57.5. A drop was expected, but the actual results were worse than the drop to 58.0 that had been forecasted. That reading indicates that the manufacturing sector continued to grow in November but at a slower rate than October. Similar to the various Federal Reserve bank surveys from around the country, breadth in the November report was more negative than in recent months. Of the ten indices excluding the headline number, only three were higher in November: Backlog Orders, Supplier Deliveries, and Export Orders. Additionally, two indices—Customer Inventories and Employment—showed contractionary readings. One theme of the report was that orders remain very healthy. New Orders fell from 67.9 to 65.1, but that is a sixth consecutive month of expansionary readings. Although the index was lower this month, meaning new order growth decelerated, it remains in the top decile of historical readings. As new orders have continued to grow, so too have backlogs. The index for Backlog Orders has continued to press higher, rising to 56.9 from 55.7. That is in the 88th percentile of all months and is now at the highest level since August of 2018. Demand continues to improve with new orders coming in at a historically strong pace, even though it is slower than last month, and order backlogs have once again risen as a result. As new order growth decelerated, so too did production. The index fell from 63.0 in October to 60.8 last month. That is still consistent with growth (readings above 50) in production but at the slowest rate since June. One factor that potentially had an impact on the slowdown in production is issues with suppliers. The index for Supplier Deliveries rose for the fourth month in a row in November and reached the highest level since May. Higher readings in the Supplier Deliveries index indicates longer lead times and vice versa. In other words, products from suppliers have been taking longer to reach manufacturers, in turn, impacting productivity. Although suppliers appear to have some constraints and production has slowed slightly, business inventories rose for the second month in a row even as more and more firms report that customer inventories are too low. The index for Customer Inventories now sits in the bottom 2% of historical readings after dropping another 0.4 points in November. At 36.3, the index is at the lowest level since June of 2010. That low reading can be considered positive for future production.
Big Gains In November Steal From Santa What a month November was! Here are some of the highlights: - Best month for Dow since January 1987 (11.9%) and best November since 1928
- Best month ever for the STOXX 600 (16.7%)
- Best month ever for the Russell 2000 (18.3%)
- Best month for the S&P 500 (10.8%) and Nasdaq (11.8%) since April 2020
- Best month for Dow Transports since October 2011 (12.1%)
- Best month from PHLX Semiconductor Index since March 2003 (18.4%)
- Best month for Industrials (16.0%) and Financials (16.8%) since April 2009
- Second best month ever for energy (28.0%)
A way better than expected earnings season, a likely split Congress, and major breakthroughs on the vaccine front all helped stocks soar last month," explained LPL Financial Chief Market Strategist Ryan Detrick. "Add ongoing support from the Federal Reserve as the cherry on top and we are looking at a truly historic month on many levels." Here's all the Dow monthly returns since 1900. Last month was the best return since January 1987. Now before you go out and sell because you see 1987, remember the S&P 500 added another 20% the seven months after the huge gains in early 1987. It was the best November for the S&P 500 since November 1928. Small caps soared on the likelihood of taxes staying lower due to a divided Congress and vaccine progress, with the Russell 2000 adding more than 18% for the best month ever, topping the previous record from February 2000. What happens after a big month? Well, history says a 10% monthly gain is quite bullish. In fact, we had a 10% plus rally back in April 2020 and shared this same chart at that time. Sure enough, returns have been strong this time around as well. "The bottom line is the huge gains in November could actually be the start of something much stronger," according to Ryan Detrick. "Also, this was the second month of 2020 with a 10% gain. The only other year to do that? 1982, which kicked off a historic bull market." Turning to December, this month is widely known to be quite bullish, as Santa comes to town, people feel good, and stocks tend to do well. As shown in the LPL Chart of the Day, since 1950, December has been the second best month of the year, with only November better. December had been the best month of the year until the historic 9.2% drop in 2018. As a result, December hasn't been quite as strong over the past 10 and 20 years. Breaking it down even more, a big rally in November can potentially steal some of December's thunder. As after a 5% or 10% rally in November, the returns in December are more muted. The flipside to this though is if the S&P 500 is up more than 10% for the year (like 2020), then stocks have benefited from some performance chasing and have tended to do better. What does it all mean? After the historic move in November we wouldn't be surprised to see below average returns in December. We do believe this is a new bull market and lasting economic cycle of growth, but overall sentiment is getting quite stretched and this increases the potential for some near-term weakness. Please read COVID-19 May Threaten The Economic Recovey for more of our near-term thoughts.
Below are some of the notable companies coming out with earnings releases this upcoming trading week ahead which includes the date/time of release & consensus estimates courtesy of Earnings Whispers:
Monday 12.7.20 Before Market Open: Monday 12.7.20 After Market Close:
Tuesday 12.8.20 Before Market Open: Tuesday 12.8.20 After Market Close:
Wednesday 12.9.20 Before Market Open: Wednesday 12.9.20 After Market Close:
Thursday 12.10.20 Before Market Open: Thursday 12.10.20 After Market Close:
Friday 12.11.20 Before Market Open:
Friday 12.11.20 After Market Close: ([CLICK HERE FOR FRIDAY'S AFTER-MARKET EARNINGS TIME & ESTIMATES!]()) (NONE.)
JinkoSolar Holding Co., Ltd. $61.40 JinkoSolar Holding Co., Ltd. (JKS) is confirmed to report earnings at approximately 6:05 AM ET on Monday, December 7, 2020. The consensus earnings estimate is $0.85 per share on revenue of $1.29 billion. Investor sentiment going into the company's earnings release has 64% expecting an earnings beat. Consensus estimates are for year-over-year earnings growth of 30.77% with revenue increasing by 23.24%. Short interest has decreased by 25.0% since the company's last earnings release while the stock has drifted higher by 116.0% from its open following the earnings release to be 104.3% above its 200 day moving average of $30.05. Overall earnings estimates have been revised lower since the company's last earnings release. On Friday, November 27, 2020 there was some notable buying of 5,113 contracts of the $80.00 put expiring on Friday, December 18, 2020. Option traders are pricing in a 12.8% move on earnings and the stock has averaged a 8.9% move in recent quarters.
Adobe Inc. $486.00 Adobe Inc. (ADBE) is confirmed to report earnings at approximately 4:05 PM ET on Wednesday, December 9, 2020. The consensus earnings estimate is $2.65 per share on revenue of $3.36 billion and the Earnings Whisper ® number is $2.75 per share. Investor sentiment going into the company's earnings release has 82% expecting an earnings beat The company's guidance was for earnings of approximately $2.64 per share. Consensus estimates are for year-over-year earnings growth of 14.72% with revenue increasing by 12.30%. Short interest has increased by 20.3% since the company's last earnings release while the stock has drifted lower by 3.9% from its open following the earnings release to be 16.4% above its 200 day moving average of $417.50. Overall earnings estimates have been revised higher since the company's last earnings release. On Wednesday, November 18, 2020 there was some notable buying of 4,083 contracts of the $460.00 call and 4,014 contracts of the $460.00 put expiring on Friday, December 18, 2020. Option traders are pricing in a 5.7% move on earnings and the stock has averaged a 6.3% move in recent quarters.
Chewy, Inc. $74.94 Chewy, Inc. (CHWY) is confirmed to report earnings at approximately 4:15 PM ET on Tuesday, December 8, 2020. The consensus estimate is for a loss of $0.15 per share on revenue of $1.72 billion and the Earnings Whisper ® number is ($0.08) per share. Investor sentiment going into the company's earnings release has 76% expecting an earnings beat. Consensus estimates are for year-over-year earnings growth of 25.00% with revenue increasing by 39.86%. Short interest has decreased by 12.1% since the company's last earnings release while the stock has drifted higher by 27.4% from its open following the earnings release to be 50.0% above its 200 day moving average of $49.96. Overall earnings estimates have been revised lower since the company's last earnings release. On Thursday, November 19, 2020 there was some notable buying of 5,826 contracts of the $55.00 put expiring on Friday, December 18, 2020. Option traders are pricing in a 10.9% move on earnings and the stock has averaged a 6.1% move in recent quarters.
GameStop Corp. $16.90 GameStop Corp. (GME) is confirmed to report earnings at approximately 4:05 PM ET on Tuesday, December 8, 2020. The consensus estimate is for a loss of $0.81 per share on revenue of $1.11 billion and the Earnings Whisper ® number is ($0.45) per share. Investor sentiment going into the company's earnings release has 51% expecting an earnings beat. Consensus estimates are for earnings to decline year-over-year by 65.31% with revenue decreasing by 22.84%. Short interest has increased by 21.1% since the company's last earnings release while the stock has drifted higher by 154.1% from its open following the earnings release to be 151.2% above its 200 day moving average of $6.73. Overall earnings estimates have been revised lower since the company's last earnings release. On Monday, November 30, 2020 there was some notable buying of 26,100 contracts of the $20.00 put expiring on Friday, January 15, 2021. Option traders are pricing in a 26.3% move on earnings and the stock has averaged a 13.7% move in recent quarters.
Costco Wholesale Corp. $373.43 Costco Wholesale Corp. (COST) is confirmed to report earnings at approximately 4:15 PM ET on Thursday, December 10, 2020. The consensus earnings estimate is $2.04 per share on revenue of $42.43 billion and the Earnings Whisper ® number is $2.25 per share. Investor sentiment going into the company's earnings release has 76% expecting an earnings beat. Consensus estimates are for year-over-year earnings growth of 17.92% with revenue increasing by 14.55%. Short interest has increased by 7.4% since the company's last earnings release while the stock has drifted higher by 9.6% from its open following the earnings release to be 13.8% above its 200 day moving average of $328.23. Overall earnings estimates have been revised higher since the company's last earnings release. On Monday, November 23, 2020 there was some notable buying of 3,281 contracts of the $410.00 call expiring on Friday, December 18, 2020. Option traders are pricing in a 3.4% move on earnings and the stock has averaged a 1.1% move in recent quarters.
lululemon athletica inc. $377.06 lululemon athletica inc. (LULU) is confirmed to report earnings at approximately 4:05 PM ET on Thursday, December 10, 2020. The consensus earnings estimate is $0.85 per share on revenue of $1.01 billion and the Earnings Whisper ® number is $0.95 per share. Investor sentiment going into the company's earnings release has 74% expecting an earnings beat. Consensus estimates are for earnings to decline year-over-year by 11.46% with revenue increasing by 10.25%. Short interest has decreased by 38.4% since the company's last earnings release while the stock has drifted higher by 12.6% from its open following the earnings release to be 29.4% above its 200 day moving average of $291.42. Overall earnings estimates have been revised lower since the company's last earnings release. On Wednesday, November 25, 2020 there was some notable buying of 1,225 contracts of the $350.00 call expiring on Friday, December 18, 2020. Option traders are pricing in a 8.4% move on earnings and the stock has averaged a 5.1% move in recent quarters.
Coupa Software $318.15 Coupa Software (COUP) is confirmed to report earnings at approximately 4:10 PM ET on Monday, December 7, 2020. The consensus earnings estimate is $0.03 per share on revenue of $123.79 million and the Earnings Whisper ® number is $0.09 per share. Investor sentiment going into the company's earnings release has 57% expecting an earnings beat The company's guidance was for earnings of $0.02 to $0.03 per share on revenue of $123.00 million to $124.00 million. Consensus estimates are for earnings to decline year-over-year by 80.00% with revenue increasing by 21.62%. Short interest has increased by 1.6% since the company's last earnings release while the stock has drifted higher by 17.7% from its open following the earnings release to be 30.8% above its 200 day moving average of $243.24. Overall earnings estimates have been revised lower since the company's last earnings release. On Wednesday, November 25, 2020 there was some notable buying of 3,642 contracts of the $350.00 call expiring on Friday, March 19, 2021. Option traders are pricing in a 10.4% move on earnings and the stock has averaged a 8.6% move in recent quarters.
AutoZone, Inc. - AutoZone, Inc. (AZO) is confirmed to report earnings at approximately 6:55 AM ET on Tuesday, December 8, 2020. The consensus earnings estimate is $17.72 per share on revenue of $3.15 billion and the Earnings Whisper ® number is $18.05 per share. Investor sentiment going into the company's earnings release has 53% expecting an earnings beat. Consensus estimates are for year-over-year earnings growth of 23.92% with revenue increasing by 12.78%. Short interest has increased by 26.6% since the company's last earnings release while the stock has drifted lower by 5.0% from its open following the earnings release to be 5.9% above its 200 day moving average of $1,098.24. Overall earnings estimates have been revised higher since the company's last earnings release. Option traders are pricing in a 5.5% move on earnings and the stock has averaged a 3.5% move in recent quarters.
Broadcom Limited $411.68 Broadcom Limited (AVGO) is confirmed to report earnings at approximately 4:15 PM ET on Thursday, December 10, 2020. The consensus earnings estimate is $6.24 per share on revenue of $6.42 billion and the Earnings Whisper ® number is $6.54 per share. Investor sentiment going into the company's earnings release has 76% expecting an earnings beat. Consensus estimates are for year-over-year earnings growth of 14.50% with revenue increasing by 11.15%. Short interest has decreased by 3.0% since the company's last earnings release while the stock has drifted higher by 14.0% from its open following the earnings release to be 31.6% above its 200 day moving average of $312.94. Overall earnings estimates have been revised higher since the company's last earnings release. On Monday, November 30, 2020 there was some notable buying of 2,344 contracts of the $440.00 call expiring on Friday, December 18, 2020. Option traders are pricing in a 5.8% move on earnings and the stock has averaged a 4.3% move in recent quarters.
RH $468.00 RH (RH) is confirmed to report earnings at approximately 4:05 PM ET on Wednesday, December 9, 2020. The consensus earnings estimate is $5.35 per share on revenue of $839.59 million and the Earnings Whisper ® number is $5.68 per share. Investor sentiment going into the company's earnings release has 69% expecting an earnings beat. Consensus estimates are for year-over-year earnings growth of 91.76% with revenue increasing by 23.92%. Short interest has decreased by 16.2% since the company's last earnings release while the stock has drifted higher by 17.6% from its open following the earnings release to be 75.7% above its 200 day moving average of $266.43. Overall earnings estimates have been revised higher since the company's last earnings release. On Tuesday, November 24, 2020 there was some notable buying of 794 contracts of the $380.00 call expiring on Friday, December 18, 2020. Option traders are pricing in a 14.1% move on earnings and the stock has averaged a 11.7% move in recent quarters.
DISCUSS! What are you all watching for in this upcoming trading week?
I hope you all have a wonderful weekend and a great trading week ahead r/stocks. submitted by /u/bigbear0083 [link] [comments] |
| What are your current undervalued stock picks? Why? Posted: 05 Dec 2020 11:38 AM PST I posted a similar post yesterday, but I wanted a more formal place to talk about other stocks (not only popular meme or reddit stocks). I saw a post like this a couple months ago, and the predictions were all pretty great, and I wanted a more recent post for the start of 2021 and beyond. So, what are your current picks for the future either for the end of 2021 or whatever your time frame is and why? It doesn't have to be something that had a recent IPO or anything. I just want to get more discussion on stocks that aren't always talked about on here or ones that will have even more growth than now. You can literally mention whatever ticker you want and why. Wish you the best of luck investing! submitted by /u/likesundayslikerain [link] [comments] |
| What’s stopping Google or Microsoft from competing with Palantir Posted: 05 Dec 2020 01:07 PM PST I heard a lot about PLTR and bought a modest amount around $14 or so. One thing that has been bugging me from holding on long term however is the possibility of competition from more established tech companies. I've always heard that Palantir doesn't have competition because they will work on projects deemed unethical by other companies ie when they took over Project Maven (a military contract) from Google because Google employees thought it was unethical, but that only applies to military contracts. The largest market for growth for Palantir is the commercial market but nothing is stopping from Google and others from competing there no? submitted by /u/Woop9001 [link] [comments] |
| Stop loss failures Posted: 05 Dec 2020 08:18 AM PST I'm curious about any negative experiences any of you may have had while relying on a stop loss, like if you had your limit set too high or the stock / index dropped too far overnight. Any advice to avoid being over-confident or lessons learned would be appreciated. Conversely, if you've been saved from disaster, I'd like to hear about that too. Thanks! submitted by /u/daiken77 [link] [comments] |
| With the new announcement that warner bros will be releasing new movies on HBO max, is there a play here? Posted: 05 Dec 2020 09:56 AM PST With covid almost making movie theaters obsolete do u think this will be a game changer for the movie industry and is there a way to cash in on it? I'm a complete novice when it comes to stocks/investing so forgive me if this question sounds idiotic. But I'm genuinely curious what u more experienced investors feel about it. submitted by /u/new_account54321 [link] [comments] |
| NIO went from $2.7 to $50 in 7 months Posted: 05 Dec 2020 02:07 PM PST As you can see on this graph: https://ibb.co/yFdzQCd Living in China, I knew that this would be a player in the EV scene. It's not really that popular, but with the trade war and all it had a surge in sales. I just wonder, did any of you make big gains with this, knowing beforehand how it would play out? And if so, let me know what, how, and when you found out. I feel it's a success Hollywood story in the making. If you invested your life savings in this basic penny stock back in the day you'd be set for life. Note: NIO is still not anywhere near a market leader here. Chinese people either but Tesla, Lexus, a big German brand or some cheap Chinese model for a car. They don't really trust the new EV car scene as much as you think. submitted by /u/vitilsky [link] [comments] |
| Stocks in Europe Posted: 05 Dec 2020 12:13 PM PST I'm fresh in the stock investing world and i'm learing, so my question is: I leave in Greece, i checked some stock Greek exchangers and i only saw Greek stocks. Can i invest in other stocks, for example APPL, TSLA somehow? (i think the answer i'm gonna get is not the one i want to hear) submitted by /u/Baios21 [link] [comments] |
| Set alert indicators for multiple stocks? Posted: 05 Dec 2020 11:12 AM PST Hello All, Can anyone advise if there is a trading platform that will allow me to set indicator alerts for multiple companies at once? I am using IG trading, and can only set indicator alerts for 1 stock at a time, its very tedious to do this for multiple companies. Is there another platform that will allow me to set the same indicator alert for say the entire FTSE100 at once? submitted by /u/chuttiya1 [link] [comments] |
| What is your GME play this week? Posted: 05 Dec 2020 02:33 PM PST Greetings team, as you are aware, 12/8 is the day when GME is expected to release quarterly results. 51% of analysts believe they will beat the earnings, significant volumes of puts for 20$ have been bought on November 31st expiring December 18th, Friday. I have a position at 16$ and deliberate whether to dump it before earnings and avoid possible losses or try to ride it out and see if this short squeeze indeed happens. Curious to hear what are you guys planning to do if you have shares within current share-price range? Thanks! submitted by /u/Shandowarden [link] [comments] |
| EV news EU Posted: 05 Dec 2020 02:17 PM PST |
| App Stock For Recommendation Posted: 05 Dec 2020 02:14 PM PST Hi, I came here for a advice. I'm from Europe (Poland to be exact) and as my stock app I've been using Plus500. And recently they just add a expiry date to my position and when I bought this stock there wasn't a expiry date. Also this overnight funding is getting very expensive. So I would like to ask what other apps would you suggest for me that doesn't have those payments or has maybe lower? Thanks in advance! submitted by /u/maciek77x [link] [comments] |
| Using money for taxes in the stock market Posted: 05 Dec 2020 01:55 PM PST I'm a freelancer, so I pay my taxes in full every April. The year prior I put 30% away into a savings account and let it sit there. Is their anything inherently risky, (other than the obvious, the market 1929 style crashing) with investing the money that I have to pay every year in April, into the stock market. Not trying to GeT rIcH with WSB. But simply investing this money into a few sound companies that continuously have their stocks increase, such as Apple for example. Then when tax season comes around I take out what I owe the IRS, this way I still have my money making money for me rather than sitting in my savings account making me .03% interest. I guess I'm just looking for pros and cons, aside from the obvious of a market crash. submitted by /u/N8TheGreat91 [link] [comments] |
| Q: Short positions Posted: 05 Dec 2020 01:31 PM PST If i short a stock, i borrow the shares from someone who has bought them, pay a bit of interest, sell them, but lets say that said person i borrowed shares from decides to take them back due to a short term market catastrophe, will my position be refilled if there is short floats available on the market? Or do i get left completely empty handed? submitted by /u/MerchantMojo [link] [comments] |
| How can I find out the supply of a stock? Posted: 05 Dec 2020 01:16 PM PST What's up guys. I Just joined this group because I was wondering how I can know how many shares are available for purchase of a certain stock .If somebody could give me answer to this question it would be super appreciated thanks! submitted by /u/Bigzilla69 [link] [comments] |
| Thoughts of LVMH Posted: 05 Dec 2020 10:22 AM PST Thinking about picking up some LVMH stock for the long term seeing as they have great margins, low debt and so diversified that the risk of a recession will not affect them as much as competitors. They seem to always be diversifying as seen with their recent Tiffany acquisition and have an ever growing presence in the spirits sector while expanding their e commerce presence. Any thoughts on picking a few shares up for 10+ years? What are the biggest risks that can be solved. Thank you! submitted by /u/hdofhapavdk [link] [comments] |
| Figuring out how to split a portfolio I created for Electric cars, battery tech, and charging tech Posted: 05 Dec 2020 09:01 AM PST I have developed a portfolio of electric vehicle, electric charging, and battery technologies. My question is: How should I split it up? I would like to invest $20k in January unless folks here believe that tax wise I could benefit from buying now (Important thing to note: I made$15k this year and cashed out to pay for an unexpected emergency related to my house deciding that I needed a new roof, so I made a short term withdrawal). I appreciate the help! Portfolio is as follows: FUV AYRO BLNK DRIV LIT PLUG BYDDF KNDI Thank you in advance! submitted by /u/Blumpkinotheclown [link] [comments] |
| Entering Into ARKK Posted: 05 Dec 2020 02:23 PM PST I've been wanting to enter into a position into ARKK for a while now. But the price seems to be at an ATH. With Tesla getting added to the S&P and prices most likely getting pushed up, I'm wondering if it would be prudent to get in now or wait until after all the hype has died down. I know lump sum usually beats DCA if you have the money on hand. submitted by /u/Baykey123 [link] [comments] |
| RWE’s 300-MW ‘Grid Stability’ Gas Plant Will Debut GE LM2500XPRESS Technology Posted: 05 Dec 2020 11:51 AM PST The project will debut GE's LM2500XPRESS, a "plug-and-play" power plant model it launched in January 2020 that features pre-packaged LM2500 aeroderivative gas turbines. Delivered in a simplified set of 10 modules with only 25 electrical interconnects—80% fewer than a traditional plant—an LM2500XPRESS plant has a 34-MW simple cycle output and a simple cycle efficiency of up to 39%. In a combined cycle configuration, it delivers up to 47 MW with up to 54.4% of efficiency. submitted by /u/Ecstatic-Ad941 [link] [comments] |
| Portfolio allocation of SQ, ROKU, SE, MELI, V, MA Posted: 05 Dec 2020 10:04 AM PST If you had to chose out of these six tickers, how would you weigh them? Do you think they will each outperform the S&P500/Nasdaq-100 in the next 5 years? - SQ: Square
- ROKU: Roku
- SE: Sea Limited
- MELI: Mercado Libre
- V: Visa
- MA: Mastercard
I have other stocks in my portfolio, but was wondering how much to allocate to these six interesting companies or whether I should avoid any of them all together. I appreciate your opinions. submitted by /u/MrEcon [link] [comments] |
| What's a good entry price for DoorDash, if any? Posted: 05 Dec 2020 10:02 AM PST So I've heard that the DASH ipo was increased to the 90-95 range and its become abundantly clear that this stock will experience a pretty good crash after IPO for being overvalued. So whats a good price target for getting in? I do think delivery services have a good market that people need, so I actually would like to pick up some shares. The only question is what price? Thoughts? submitted by /u/Noobenheim97 [link] [comments] |
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