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    Wednesday, October 28, 2020

    Stocks - r/Stocks Daily Discussion Wednesday - Oct 28, 2020

    Stocks - r/Stocks Daily Discussion Wednesday - Oct 28, 2020


    r/Stocks Daily Discussion Wednesday - Oct 28, 2020

    Posted: 28 Oct 2020 01:06 AM PDT

    These daily discussions run from Monday to Friday including during our themed posts.

    Some helpful links:

    If you have a basic question, for example "what is EPS," then google "investopedia EPS" and click the investopedia article on it; do this for everything until you have a more in depth question or just want to share what you learned.

    Please discuss your portfolios in the Rate My Portfolio sticky..

    See our past daily discussions here. Also links for: Technicals Tuesday, Options Trading Thursday, and Fundamentals Friday.

    submitted by /u/AutoModerator
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    This sub is a hilarious read on red days

    Posted: 28 Oct 2020 08:07 AM PDT

    A lot of funny doomsday threads and panic sellers. Red days are part of the process--especially after one of the fastest bull-runs in history.

    If we tank again, we tank again and then you can buy twice as much Apple as you otherwise would've been able to.

    Red days are the days that make you wealthy.

    submitted by /u/Goodwill_Impairment
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    European stocks drop and Dow futures slide 400 points as rising COVID-19 cases set to trigger more restrictions

    Posted: 28 Oct 2020 04:55 AM PDT

    European stocks fell for a third-straight session on Wednesday, with U.S. equity futures also sliding as investors juggled another busy earnings day and braced for more restrictions to come from rising coronavirus cases on the continent.

    https://www.marketwatch.com/story/european-stocks-drop-and-dow-futures-slide-400-points-as-rising-covid-19-cases-set-to-trigger-more-restrictions-11603873589

    submitted by /u/Christian-Citton
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    Apple is quietly building a search rival to Google ahead of the DOJ's landmark antitrust case, according to a report

    Posted: 28 Oct 2020 07:44 AM PDT

    https://www.businessinsider.com/apple-now-shows-its-own-search-results-threatening-google-ios14-2020-10

    Users who downloaded iOS 14, the latest iPhone operating system, noticed that Apple now shows its own results when users search on their home screen. Clicking on links takes users directly to the website in question, rather than through another search engine.

    This isn't Apple's first move into the world of search engines. In April 2018, the company hired John Giannandrea, who was formerly Google's head of search and one of its most powerful people, to work on its AI services.

    Google has described losing the Apple deal as a "code red" scenario, the DOJ lawsuit, filed October 20, claimed. The deal brings in around half of Google's US site traffic, the DOJ said – and as much as 20% of Apple's profit.

    submitted by /u/coolcomfort123
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    Don’t Panic!

    Posted: 28 Oct 2020 07:53 AM PDT

    Okay yes DJI is down 5.5 percent this week. Just remember even if you are in the red it's a leg term hold. It all going to be okay maybe a month after the elections. Don't panic but use it to better yourself and buy stocks you have been eyeing.

    submitted by /u/bossat124
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    What is going on with V?

    Posted: 28 Oct 2020 05:31 AM PDT

    Visa is dropping steadily since October 9. What is everyone's take on this?

    Visa is normally a stable stock. I cannot seem to find any rationale for this. Perhaps with businesses failing so does credit card usage. But I use my Visa cards more now than ever before (Visa credit and Visa debit). Its about the only things I pay with.

    Edit: MA as well. I was only looking at V earlier as this is one I hold.

    submitted by /u/machlac
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    Here is a Market Recap for today Wednesday, October 28, 2020. Please enjoy!

    Posted: 28 Oct 2020 01:16 PM PDT

    PsychoMarket Recap - Wednesday, October 28, 2020

    Losses in the stock market accelerated today as market participants nervously eyed rising coronavirus case counts in the US and Europe, the presidential election a mere 6 days away, and developments out of Washington regarding stimulus.

    The Nasdaq (QQQ) slid 3.90$ down, the S&P 500 (SPY) fell 3.41%, and the Dow Jones (DIA) fell 3.35%.

    In the United States, there were 73,240 coronavirus cases reported yesterday, according to Johns Hopkins University. Alarmingly, the average number of daily new cases in the US rose 21% compared to the previous week. According to an article from CNN Health, the surge is hitting all parts of the country, with 40 states reporting at least a 10% increase in daily average cases, compared to last week. Dr. Ashish Jha, dean of Brown University School of Public Health, said, "Cases are rising quickly. If we go back about six, seven weeks ago to Labor Day, we [the United States] were at about 35,000 cases a day." U.S. hospitalizations related to COVID-19 have risen by at least 10% over the past week across 32 U.S. states and Washington, D.C., according to data compiled by Bloomberg. One good thing is the FDA approval of remdesivir, a therapeutic developed by Gildead (GILD) that was used to treat the president.

    In Europe, the average number of daily cases rose by 33% compared to last week, accounting for the greatest proportion of new cases in the world, according to data compiled from worldometer.info. France is the hardest hit country in Europe. On Tuesday, it reported more than 33,400 new cases and 523 coronavirus deaths in 24 hours, as well as a net increase of 74 admissions to intensive care, bringing the total to 2,918, over half the country's overall capacity of 5,800. French President Emmanuel Macron announced nationwide restrictions for the next four weeks. Germany joined France, imposing its own four-week nationwide lockwide, which includes curfew and restrictions on businesses like gyms, bars, restaurants, hairdressers etc.

    Yesterday, President Trump publicly acknowledged that an agreement on additional stimulus would not happen until after the election. While he signaled that his administration was still willing to negotiate, with the election a mere 6 days away, the chances of stimulus passing before then are practically zero.

    Highlights

    • The Volatility Index (VIX), which can be seen as a measure of investor sentiment, shot up 12% today at the time of writing, indicating increased risk aversion among market participants.
    • The U.S. Senate Committee on Commerce, Science and Transportation began holding a hearing with Twitter (TWTR) CEO Jack Dorsey, Facebook (FB) CEO Mark Zuckerberg and Alphabet (GOOG, GOOGL) CEO Sundar Pichai to discuss Section 230 of the Communications Decency Act, which has helped protect online platforms from liability over user-created content.
    • Microsoft (MSFT) slid 5% today even after reporting better-than-expected Q3 earnings but dropped forecast for revenue from Windows operating system
    • General Electric (GE) outperformed the market today, climbing around 4.5% today, after reporting better-than-expected earnings that surprised Wall Street
    • Microsoft (MSFT) had target raised by:
      • JPMorgan (JPM) from $245 to $249 at OVERWEIGHT
      • Piper Sandler from $218 to $245 at OVERWEIGHT
    • Sherwin-Williams (SHW) price target increase by $JPM from $700 to $740 at OVERWEIGHT
    • Xilinx (XLNX) had price target raise by JP Morgan (JPM) from $96 to $138
    • Lululemon (LULU) price target increase by Deutsche Bank $DB from $298 to $396 at BUY.
    • Harley Davidson (HOG) reiterated by Morgan Stanley (MS) with price target $38 at EQUAL WEIGHT. Stock was on a tear yesterday.
    • First Solar (FSLR) target raised
      • Raymond James increase from $80 to $90 at OUTPERFORM
      • Barclays increase from $45 to $86 at EQUAL WEIGHT
    • Exact Sciences (EXAS) had price target raise by Benchmark from $110 to $145 at BUY, and from SVB Leerink from $115 to $160 at OUTPERFORM
    • Enphase (ENPH) upgraded by Barclays from $90 to $127 and OUTPERFORM. Stock has been a monster lately and rocketed up after earnings yesterday.
    • Raymond James raised the Fiserv (FISV) price target to $120 and OUTPERFORM. Stock rallied after beating earnings yesterday.
    • Crocs (CROX) had a series of price target increased
      • UBS Group from $48 to $57 NEUTRAL
      • Loop Capital from $50 to $60 BUY
      • B. Riley from $54 to $66 BUY
    • Advanced Micro Devices (AMD) had its price target raised by Loop Capital to $95 from $85 and rated BUY.

    "Live as if you were to die tomorrow. Learn as if you were to live forever" -Mahatma Gandhi

    submitted by /u/psychotrader00
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    Why are stocks dropping? Did Wall Street not expect COVID cases to rise anymore? Was this not expected?

    Posted: 28 Oct 2020 07:42 AM PDT

    I don't understand why stocks are being sold off now, as if this is something new and unexpected.

    With the 1st wave it was understandable as there was a lot of uncertainty and unknows but now that we've lived through it, I felt like everyone knew what was coming and repeating this winter.

    I also understand that there will again be lots of newly unemployed people, less spending, less cash flow and so on... but this should've been "priced in" before now?

    submitted by /u/imperius99
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    Dow futures sink 500 points as Wall Street grapples with rising Covid cases

    Posted: 28 Oct 2020 04:48 AM PDT

    https://www.cnbc.com/2020/10/27/stock-market-futures-open-to-close-news.html

    Any input on how long this trend will last? Seems like this weeks been rough in the market (unless you got puts like me :P)

    submitted by /u/Clean_Feces
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    What are you buying for medium term holds during the sell off? Do you have any tips to share? Here's what I bought today, would love some feedback and advice on what others are buying.

    Posted: 28 Oct 2020 01:06 PM PDT

    Just curious to see what others are buying this week on this sell off. Or if you're holding longer to buy? I'm jumping in bit by bit. I bought this today and will wait a few days to decide to buy more or hold.

    AT&T (T) 100 shares @ 26.50. They're basically at their one year low. I know Directv isn't doing so hot but they've got upside on their cellular service side and with HBO and their streaming. I think it's a decent bet that will see a bump. Pre-coronavirus they were maintaining a $37 average.

    Wells Fargo (WFC) 50 @ 21.30. I thought about just selling a secured put on this and then waiting to see if I get assigned, but the premiums are not really worth the wait and typing up capital that long. I hope to sell these relatively soon for a small profit. I don't plan on holding long.

    Carnival Cruise Lines (CCL) 50 @ 12.42. Thinking I should have waited a few more days on this one, but went ahead and jumped in. I have bought CCL quite a few times on dips this year and held for a few days to a few weeks and sold and made some money. The current price is lower than all my previous buy ins. They're saddled with debt and won't get any bailouts but if we get a vaccine I think travel stocks are going to bounce quickly and this is a hard hit one.

    MasterCard (MA) 4 @ $294. I only picked up 4. This was kind of an impulse buy, but I'll hold for a few days to see how long the selloff continues.

    What are you doing right now? What did I do that was stupid? I'm open for critique.

    submitted by /u/OkieTaco
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    Morning Market Synopsis - Wednesday, Oct. 28, 2020

    Posted: 28 Oct 2020 07:34 AM PDT

    US equities lower: Dow (2.81%), S&P 500 (2.89%), Nasdaq (3.11%), Russell 2000 (2.63%)

    • US equities under broad-based pressure with all sectors lower in Wednesday morning trading. S&P down for a third straight session. Energy, tech, comm services, materials among the big decliners. FAANGs mostly underperforming. Defensives holding up best and industrials, healthcare also among the outperformers. Treasuries mostly stronger with some curve flattening. 10-year yields down for a fourth straight session. Dollar seeing good gains vs euro and sterling but little changed vs the yen. Gold down 1.9%. WTI crude down 5.8%.
    • Worsening coronavirus trends remain the big overhang on risk sentiment with the focus on rising case counts, hospitalizations and most importantly from an economic perspective, consumer behavioral changes and fresh mitigation measures. Vaccine optimism, which has long offset other coronavirus-related concerns, has also been dented a bit from a timing perspective. Near-term fiscal stimulus expectations continue to fade with no sign of progress between Democrats and White House in recent days. Election risk another overhang with some recent tightening in the polls (and lingering polling skepticism). Earnings beat rates elevated but slipping and stock price reactions suggest a lot of good news already priced in and focus may be elsewhere (coronavirus, election).
    • Big earnings day and now 40% of S&P 500 has reported. According to FactSet, 81% have surpassed consensus EPS estimates, better than the 73% one- and five-year averages. However, this is down from the 84% seen at the end of last week. In aggregate, companies are reporting earnings 15.6% above expectations, better than the 8.0% and 5.6% respective one- and five-year year average positive surprise rates, but down from 17.2% last week and the 23% beat rate in Q3.
    • Several higher-profile names reported today. Takeaways somewhat complicated by outsized macro focus today. MSFT-US beat and analysts continued to highlight cloud momentum but there some transactional headwinds and revenue guide was a bit light. MA-US missed on both top and bottom line though coronavirus concerns/European exposure may be bigger issue for the stock. UPS-US beat but domestic volume growth moderated and expectations elevated given e-commerce narrative. GE-US a standout with focus on better industrial FCF and Q4 guide for that metric. ADP-US beat and raised on pickup in business activity.

    Notable Gainers:

    • +15.7% FSLR-US (First Solar): Q3 earnings and revenue beat strongly, reinstated Q4 guidance with midpoint a bit ahead of consensus; analysts noted increased visibility, stronger system sales, clearing prior backlog in Asia projects, cost reduction plan on target though Malaysian production a risk due to Covid travel restrictions.
    • +15.5% CLGX-US (CoreLogic): CNBC's David Faber said company engaging potential buyers and receiving bids at more than $80/sh (vs Tuesday's $68.25 close); said has already signed an NDA with one party; CSGP-US mentioned as a potential buyer.
    • +8.7% GE-US (General Electric): Q3 revenue, EPS and operating profit beat; Street takeaways focused on unexpectedly positive industrial FCF, better industrial FCF guidance for Q4, industrial EBIT upside, lack of major surprises on impairment testing, stronger healthcare, still soft aviation.
    • +7.3% ADP-US (ADP): Big FQ1 earnings beat with revenue better; highlighted tailwinds from improving economies and increased business activity; raised FY guidance; noted strong start to new business bookings.
    • +1.5% GRMN-US (Garmin): Q3 earnings, revenue, and margins beat; sales above consensus in every segment; notable strength in Fitness amid higher demand for fitness/cycling products; FY guidance better than the Street.

    Notable Decliners:

    • -17.3% ELY-US (Callaway Golf): Confirmed merger with Topgolf previously reported by WSJ; company will ~$2B of shares and take on Topgolf's $555M of debt; deal expected to be dilutive until 2025; analysts upbeat on Topgolf as an asset but also noted how it changes the Callaway stock narrative; company also issued a positive Q3 preannouncement with the deal news.
    • -11% DXCM-US (Dexcom): Q3 earnings beat while revenue was same as pre-reported 26-Oct, guidance raised to levels in line with Street; analysts noted solid results in Pharmacy and Medicare and record patient additions; however G7 will launch as 10 day sensor instead of 14 day, increased competition and pricing challenges despite ~70% share price outperformance ytd.
    • -9% BBBY-US (Bed Bath & Beyond): Three-year financial roadmap sees stable comps in 2021; planning for $1 - $1.5B in capital investments including store revamps; launching $225M accelerated buyback; comes after stock has rallied ~130% in past three months.
    • -6.2% UPS-US (UPS): Q3 earnings and revenue beat with guidance withheld; noted improvement in small and medium sized businesses and continued strength outbound from Asia; analysts discussed high expectations, moderation of domestic volume growth, higher cost per piece, though recent price increases may benefit results going forward.
    • -6.1% AKAM-US (Akamai): Q3 earnings, revenue, operating margins were a bit ahead; analysts noted in line Q4 guidance relies to an extent on one off factors; Security segment which is important to valuation argument has decelerated somewhat; some concern over peak-traffic; however results mostly solid benefitting from currently elevated traffic levels in OTT video and gaming.
    • -6.1% CHRW-US (C.H. Robinson): Q3 revenue, EPS beat, though low quality on better taxes; operating income missed; reduced FY20 capex guidance; analysts flagged weaker North America truckload volume growth, weaker net revenue margins from contract commitments and elevated spot rates.
    • -5.8% MA-US (MasterCard): Q3 revenue and EPS light; takeaways somewhat mixed with focus on continued weakness in cross-border, headwind from other revenues and processing fees, lower rebates and operating expenses, stable to better October volume trends, and risks from second coronavirus wave (particularly with its exposure to Europe).
    • -4.4% CME-US (CME Group): Q3 EPS missed; revenue in line, though clearing and transaction fees weaker; analysts cautious on impact of low rate and weak energy sector backdrop, flagged weaker Q4 volume trends as EPS headwind.
    • -3% MSFT-US (Microsoft): Fiscal Q1 revenue and EPS beat with all segments ahead; Street takeaways largely positive with focus on cloud momentum/leverage to digital transformation push; Azure growth beat consensus and what several analysts noted was a higher whisper number; however, some focus on transactional headwinds and slightly below consensus Dec Q guidance.

    09:28:54 AM CDT on 28 Oct '20

    submitted by /u/spacej3di
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    First Wave dip vs Second Wave dip

    Posted: 28 Oct 2020 10:00 AM PDT

    I'm sure there is a lot of hindsight regret in not buying during the dip in March.

    My question is now that the Second wave is approaching (if not already here) in conjunction with the stimulus delay, are you going in heavy this time around?

    I'm still a bit hesitant as I think it's important to recognize recovery trend from first wave does not guarantee recovery trend after second wave.

    For example if DIS fell back down under 100, we'd all probably would love to jump on it seeing how it was on the road to recovery even during the pandemic. However the question would be how much longer can it continue to burn cash without the parks being open. Also one factor of its recovery was a huge surge in Disney plus subscriptions. If the stock falls back below 100, that would all be priced in.

    For longterm holders this is might be much ado about nothing. However if you're looking more short term what are your thoughts?

    submitted by /u/WanderlustFella
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    Is NIO gonna be affected by a US crash?

    Posted: 28 Oct 2020 08:22 AM PDT

    After all the hype, I'm considering buying some NIO in this dip. It didn't seem to be affected by the crash of March, I don't see why it would be if the US market crashed now, since it only sells to the Chinese market (who have CV under control). Does this seem like sound logic?

    submitted by /u/Cabbarge
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    Why is CD Projekt's ($OTGLY) trading volume so low?

    Posted: 28 Oct 2020 06:04 AM PDT

    CD Projekt's ($OTGLY) volume is generally in the 10s of trades a day. I realize it's a Polish company, but with the crazy anticipation of CP2077, I would have expected this to be much higher.

    Is this volume in line with similar types of companies?

    submitted by /u/qwerty5151
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    Gilead Earnings today after market close, The price target seems to have been set at $61.00 for Gilead Sciences.

    Posted: 28 Oct 2020 12:18 PM PDT

    Gilead earnings after hours today The stock price is at $59

    https://kuberspeaks.com/tickerdetail-GILD

    https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/GILD?p=GILD&.tsrc=fin-srch

    With a current rating of Neutral, UBS initiated coverage on Gilead Sciences Inc (NASDAQ: GILD). The price target seems to have been set at $61.00 for Gilead Sciences. Gilead Sciences earned No EPS Value in the third quarter, compared to $1.75 in the year-ago quarter. The current stock performance of Gilead Sciences shows a 52-week-high of 85.97 and a 52-week-low of 59.395. Moreover, at the end of the last trading period, the closing price was at $60.01. The estimated EPS is $1.95 which much higher than the last 3 quarters and with the acquisition of Immunomedics, the future earnings and guidance should be much higher.

    Why the stock is not moving?

    submitted by /u/stockmarketstar
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    Apple reportedly bought a video AI startup for $50 million as it tries to improve Siri and other apps

    Posted: 27 Oct 2020 08:11 PM PDT

    https://www.businessinsider.com/apple-buys-vilynx-video-artificial-intelligence-startup-50-million-2020-10

    Apple added to its rapidly growing artificial intelligence portfolio earlier this year by acquiring Spain-based AI video startup Vilynx for approximately $50 million, Bloomberg reported Tuesday.

    Vilynx, headquartered in Barcelona, built software that leverages computer vision to analyze a video's visual, text, and audio content with the goal of "understanding" what's in the video, which helps it categorize and tag metadata, generate automated video previews, and recommend related content, according to an earlier version of its website.

    Apple has made significant inroads in the AI space over the past few months, acquiring UK-based Spectral Edge last December, Seattle-based Xnor.ai for $200 million in January, and Voysis and Inductiv in April and May to help it improve Siri. Apple has a habit of quietly purchasing smaller companies. In 2018, CEO Tim Cook said in interview that the company had bought 20 companies over a six-month span, while only six were public knowledge.

    submitted by /u/coolcomfort123
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    Huge Difference in Revenue between Yahoo Finance and MarketWatch

    Posted: 28 Oct 2020 11:51 AM PDT

    I am trying to do some DD on a stock (NYSE: HASI). When looking at their financials, YF and MW have the same revenue value for 2019 ($141.5M). But when I look at previous years they differ massively. For example in 2018, YF has a revenue of 83.1M, but MW has 139.4M. Any idea why this might be? Am I missing something?

    submitted by /u/marcosa89
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    U.S. stock market 'fear gauge' VIX jumps to highest level since June

    Posted: 28 Oct 2020 11:47 AM PDT

    NEW YORK (Reuters) - The Cboe Volatility Index , known as Wall Street's "fear gauge," surged on Wednesday to its highest level in more than four months.

    In morning trade, the VIX was last at 40.35, its most elevated since June 15, as the benchmark S&P 500 .SPX stock index fell nearly 3% amid worries about the sharp rise in COVID-19 cases in the United States and Europe. [.N]

    Along with the pandemic, concerns about stalled efforts in Washington toward further fiscal stimulus measures and the outcome of Tuesday's U.S. presidential election have helped to boost the VIX. The index has surged more than 12 points this week and is on track for its biggest weekly points gain since mid-March, during the sell-off that confirmed the end of the previous bull market.

    VIX futures, which have long reflected expectations for higher volatility around the election, also rose. Earlier in the session, December futures VXZ0 touched their highest level since they began trading in March.

    Even so, the VIX itself is now trading at a significantly higher level than the futures, an indication that near-term concerns have dwarfed worries further out on the calendar.

    The coronavirus has become the top concern for market participants, Arnim Holzer, macro and correlation defense strategist at EAB Investment Group, wrote on Wednesday.

    "Lockdown potential is concerning investors and overwhelming even election issues," he said.

    Source

    submitted by /u/Brothanogood
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    Did the impossible: Bought lower than day low

    Posted: 28 Oct 2020 01:25 PM PDT

    So somehow did the impossible today: buying SOXX at $301.52 (2nd screenshot) while the day low is recorded at $301.56 (1st screenshot). This was done during regular market hours so not sure it didn't register. I've checked across Webull, Fidelity and RH. Anyone know why it wouldn't be recorded?

    https://imgur.com/a/Pzvp7wK

    submitted by /u/VirusZer0
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    My delta score is higher, but their profit today is higher??

    Posted: 28 Oct 2020 07:18 AM PDT

    So my $55 strike with sony has much higher delta score than the strikes at the money (about $80). I would expect the value of my contract to benefit more when stock price goes up. However, while mine is up 8% today, contracts that were just merely in the money yesterday (which have a much lower delta score) are up by 9.5%

    submitted by /u/LightK05
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    SPY Puts During Election Week

    Posted: 28 Oct 2020 09:55 AM PDT

    The Puts next week are going through the roof today, which obviously makes sense, but who believes this trend continues into next week with AMZN, FB, etc. about to report earnings? Microsoft's reaction doesn't make me feel confident in Calls. I've never explored Puts but am tempted.

    submitted by /u/arigoldjr
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    Trading Disney stocks

    Posted: 28 Oct 2020 09:48 AM PDT

    I'm extremely new to the world of investing, but when I was a kid a family member would buy me Disney stocks every year which I still own. I believe they are currently worth around 10.5k, but I imagine are not currently the best investment to maximize my returns down the road. Through advice from some coworkers, I've been looking into trading them for a stock with more growing potential, Tesla being the most popular suggestion. Is trading these stocks in truly my best option, and if so, would Tesla be the way to go? Thanks in advance!

    submitted by /u/TheWomanShow
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    The short squeeze of GME and how to play it

    Posted: 28 Oct 2020 05:43 AM PDT

    I have recently just gotten back into trading after deciding I need a down payment for a home. I used to trade a couple years ago but our dear leader made me bearish so I pulled out and called it quits for a while.

    I have to choices I am eyeballing. I have about $750 I can use for these mathematical gymnastics. But it boils down to 2 choice. Do I purchase stocks themselves or buy calls and go about it that way?

    1. 06/21 $20C I can buy for about 3.20 currently which seems reasonable given how the stock has been performing

    2. Buy $750 worth of stock and wait for the squeeze to happen and sell during the breakout.

    I understand this isn't a smart decision, I'm not here for one of those lol. I am also not looking to maximize returns to the greatest dollar, just enough to make a few bucks. How dumb am I right now?

    submitted by /u/Raidrel
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