People with at least 20 years of investing experience : Investing |
- People with at least 20 years of investing experience :
- Video explaining the huge growth of large cap growth stocks (AAPL, AMZN, MSFT, TSLA, FB, GOOGL)
- Interactive Brokers increases margin requirements in anticipation of election volatility
- Interesting Market Commentary from Schwab
- Buying Low Pe stocks is NOT Value Investing
- TSLA Battery Day - First Impressions! - Am I undervaluing TSLA? Is TSLA undervalued?
- Strategies
- Why do investors throw money at perpetually unprofitable companies?
- $AAPL - Raymond James raise estimates ahead of iPhone 12 launch on "favorable mix"
- Palantir will reach profitability in FY 2020
- If I rebalance on a fractional share, will I loose it?
- Carvana up +30%
- Is it smart buying airline stocks?
- Shell and Microsoft form alliance to help address carbon emissions
- UWM announced today they’re going public on the NASDAQ in December - #1 wholesale mortgage lender in the U.S.
- How does the fed buying decrease interest rate?
- Taxe difference between etf in luxembourg or ireland
- How bad would increasing interest rates affect our economy in the upcoming years
- As the second-wave of COVID-19 begins to shut down Europe (and with the US still a total shitshow), how many of you are going to wait on the sidelines?
- When does it make sense not going with the market?
- Can someone explain why this is a bad investing strategy for quick profit?
- Paul Mampilly's Secret Portfolio Guesses?
- Portfolio suggestions -
- Should K-1s keep me from investing in MLPs?
| People with at least 20 years of investing experience : Posted: 22 Sep 2020 10:05 PM PDT What did you do right? What did you do wrong? How much time did you spend on investing? Was it worth it? Should you have focused more on work or family instead? What did you learn? Did investing and wealth make you happy and rich? What advice would you give your younger self? [link] [comments]  |
| Video explaining the huge growth of large cap growth stocks (AAPL, AMZN, MSFT, TSLA, FB, GOOGL) Posted: 22 Sep 2020 08:23 AM PDT I've seen this question everywhere on this sub: "why did apple/tesla/[insert large growth company name here] growth so much so quick! They still haven't made a lot of profit! We are in a bubble!" Well, it is difficult to explain why to every person individually and this new video from Ben Felix explains the reason why expertly. The conclusion the video comes to is that you should just stick to low cost index funds (preferably globally diversified) rather than investing into large cap growth or trying to find the next Apple or Amazon. EDIT: The definition of a "growth" company (as literally explained in the video) is a company that is "expensive" relative to the market. Expensive how? Well, relative to some fundamental ratio like P/B or P/E. Considering all the companies I have listed in my title have relatively high P/E and P/B ratios, you can say they are expensive. This makes them by definition a growth company. This isn't that hard to understand. If I said they are tech companies, no one would argue because they literally are tech companies. Well, just as much as they are tech companies, they are growth companies. They might not all be as expensive as each other, but relative to the market, they are expensive. I am not commenting about how all these companies are as overbought as each other, or they are the same in every metric, I just listed some large-cap growth companies based on the definition of growth being expensive. [link] [comments]  |
| Interactive Brokers increases margin requirements in anticipation of election volatility Posted: 22 Sep 2020 07:45 PM PDT Dear Client, As you've likely observed, elevated option implied volatilities indicate that the markets will be confronting elevated volatility both before and after the November 2020 election. IBKR shares that sentiment and believe it's appropriate to start controlling leverage in a measured fashion in advance. Consequently, to protect IBKR and its customers, IBKR will increase margin requirements by as much as 35% above normal margin requirements leading up to the November U.S. election. To illustrate, consider a Reg. T margin account with stock XYZ having an Initial Margin requirement of 50% and a Maintenance Margin requirement of 25%. With the increase fully implemented, the new requirements would be 67.5% Initial and 33.75% Maintenance. Accounts subject to risk based margin will have their scanning ranges increased in a similar manner. This will be implemented gradually each day, increasing Initial margin requirements from normal levels starting September 28th to a rate that will be 35% higher by October 23rd. Maintenance margin requirements will increase in a similar manner between October 5th and October 30th. The new requirements will be implemented each day, after the market closes in New York, and will be effective the next trading day. IBKR may make additional changes to the margin on certain products, or all products, depending on volatility. This includes changes built into the standard margin model as well as any new house margin requirements that may be imposed. Interactive Brokers Client Services [link] [comments]  |
| Interesting Market Commentary from Schwab Posted: 22 Sep 2020 05:30 PM PDT Some points from the post:
[link] [comments]  |
| Buying Low Pe stocks is NOT Value Investing Posted: 23 Sep 2020 12:21 AM PDT There seems to be a common misconception out there that value investors only buy low PE stocks and ignore high growth stocks. Here is something that might surprise you : The PE by itself tells us nothing about value. Here is a sample: What if Stock A is growing its sales and profits at only 2% a year and Stock B grows by 10%? Even worse what if Stock A is in a commodity business with dismal margins and ROIC of 3% while Stock B has an amazing 30% ? All of the sudden Stock A doesn't look cheap at all. In fact people could argue that Stock B is a much better Value stock Even worse: All of the sudden we are looking at and enterprise value of 3 Billion. Can this company even pay it's interests? When you look at PE you might overlook all the other issues with the company. A low PE could be a good start for your research but by itself its meaningless. Another sample : What if they both had big one off events? Let's say Stock A sold parts of its business and booked the proceeds as profits. These proceeds won't be there next year and the company will likely have a much higher PE once they return to normal. In fact since they sold parts of their Company it is even possible that they will earn less money in the future. All of the sudden that PE 3 stock doesn't look so cheap anymore. Same with Stock B. What if it made decent profits year after year and in one year they decided to make a big acquisition that messed up their normal PE. A lot of people would say right off the back that a PE of 100 is expensive and overvalued. Is it? Next year the big expense won't be there anymore and the company will likely earn more than before. All of the sudden the PE of 100 turned into a great opportunity Value investing is a lot more than just running a scanner and looking for low Price Earnings Values. It can be a great start for your research but keep in mind that there are many more variables that should be considered. As investors we need to create a whole picture out of many small puzzle pieces. PE is just a small piece taken from : https://welovevalue.com/buying-low-pe-stocks-is-not-value-investing/ [link] [comments]  |
| TSLA Battery Day - First Impressions! - Am I undervaluing TSLA? Is TSLA undervalued? Posted: 22 Sep 2020 03:57 PM PDT First of all, here is the link to the YouTube Live stream : https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=l6T9xIeZTds Now, it sounds absolutely crazy when I say this, but the first thoughts that popped into my head when I was watching this live - as a non-engineer - if what Elon and his co-presenter are saying, they have a massive moat around them. That is, the engineering capabilities they demonstrated on stage were explained somewhat not terribly, but still made sense to me. With that said, what did you guys think? Also, some questions for the electrical engineers/others who have experience in this field - how viable and how possible does this innovation seem to you? Is this revolutionary as Elon is saying? For everyone else, does this make anyone else feel like they are undervaluing TSLA? I mean, it definitely put some doubt in me as to my current valuation. This morning, if you had asked me, I would've definitely said yes. After watching this, I am not so sure. I might even increase the value of the company. Now, I am an Elon fan but I also know his tendency to not follow through with deadlines, yet still succeeding massively due to his ability to build things from ground up (his first-principles . Is the comprehensive innovation he is bringing to the whole of the batteries - all the components make TSLA worth more than it is currently? If not, how come? Thanks guys! [link] [comments]  |
| Posted: 22 Sep 2020 08:19 PM PDT What are your all's strategies for picking stocks/mutual funds/ index funds, etc., I know there's no sure fire way to pick them, otherwise everyone on here would be rich, but I'm newer to investing (only been in it for an 1 1/2 years) and I'm only 16 so my expenses are minimal and I like to invest money from my job into the market [link] [comments]  |
| Why do investors throw money at perpetually unprofitable companies? Posted: 22 Sep 2020 12:54 PM PDT I just don't understand how companies like Lyft and Spotify can continue to attract billions of dollars in funds when it's clear their business models don't work. Neither company has ever actually made a profit (okay, Spotify did for a single quarter a few years back) but continue to attract insane amounts of money and clout. I understand if they were brand new startups hoping to break out, but these are massive, global corporations with millions of users. They've been around for years and still haven't been able to prove they can make a profit. Is it just the "it'll happen eventually" cliche hope of the tech world? I simply don't understand how investment firms can willingly lose money on such ridiculous business models then continue to think they're worth something. [link] [comments]  |
| $AAPL - Raymond James raise estimates ahead of iPhone 12 launch on "favorable mix" Posted: 22 Sep 2020 06:15 AM PDT Raymond James: We reiterate our Outperform rating on Apple and raise our price target to $120. Raising our estimates following our production checks ahead of next quarter's iPhone 12 launch. While our total production estimates are in-line with current consensus, we expect upside driven by mix. Current production plans suggest the most favorable mix we've ever seen for an iPhone launch, and the introduction of a fourth iPhone model at a price between iPhone 12 and iPhone 12 Pro will also help to boost blended ASPs. While the stock has already had a strong run since our upgrade last summer, we don't yet think all the benefits of what we expect to be a 2-year 5G upgrade cycle are yet reflected in consensus estimates. iPhone 12 mix and pricing. We conducted channel checks across the iPhone supply chain last week, and confirmed that Apple will launch four new models in the iPhone 12 lineup this year: an entry-level iPhone 12, iPhone 12 Max, Pro, and Max Pro. We provide a breakdown of specs for each model on the following page. While our sources don't have visibility into pricing at this point, we would expect the base model to start at $699 - the same as last year's iPhone 11, but with a smaller screen. We expect the Pro and Max Pro to remain premium tier phones, priced at $999 and $1099 to start. For the iPhone Max, we expect Apple to likely price it at a modest premium to the base model, in the range of $799. Our production checks are consistent with consensus expectations, but mix appears favorable. According to our checks, build plans support production of ~75 million units for the launch, including 64 million new models. While we believe this is consistent with industry expectations, the mix assumptions driven by the initial build plans suggest a meaningful rise in blended ASPs. There's no guarantee that current build plans will reflect what consumers will actually buy, but the build plans provide insight into Apple's expectations. The table on the following page illustrates our production and sell-through estimates for the December quarter. We're assuming that Apple will build more aggressively on higher priced SKUs to make sure they are available for holiday purchases, and we expect that lower priced SKUs will likely sell out before Christmas. Adjusting estimates. While our September quarter estimates remain unchanged (and well below consensus), we are raising our FY21 EPS estimate to $3.93 to reflect our current assumptions for iPhone 12 mix. Notably, if we assume December quarter sell-through matches production estimates, our revenue and EPS estimates would move higher by ~$5.3 billion and $0.09, respectively. For FY22, our split-adjusted estimate moves to $4.53, assuming Apple keeps the fourtier pricing scheme for the upcoming iPhone 13 and 14 cycles. Our new $120 price target (from $110) is based on a ~26x multiple on our split-adjusted FY22 EPS estimate and 19x an annualized estimate of peak seasonal EPS of over $6/share. While this is above the 3- and 5-year average in the ~15x range, on an EV/FCF basis, our price target assumes an 18x multiple, well below the historical range in the low-20s. [link] [comments]  |
| Palantir will reach profitability in FY 2020 Posted: 22 Sep 2020 04:32 PM PDT The company has just released guidance ahead of its September 30, 2020 direct listing. Highlights: -Palantir expects Q3 revenue of $278-280M (+46-47% Y/Y) with operating income of $60-62M. -For the year, Palantir expects $1.05-1.06B in revenue (+41-43%) and operating income of $116-126M. For 2021, Palantir sees revenue growth above 30%. Caveat: net income on an adjusted basis. Still good, imo. Who else is all in on this IPO? [link] [comments]  |
| If I rebalance on a fractional share, will I loose it? Posted: 23 Sep 2020 04:14 AM PDT So I own a fraction or Tesla share that has made me over 300, I'm looking at my M1 portfolio and feel like it's volatility needs to be rebalanced but I'm afraid I will loose the whole thing and know very little of what will happen if I do other than the standard definition of "rebalance". [link] [comments]  |
| Posted: 22 Sep 2020 01:50 PM PDT Title says it. Carvana share up by 30% since yesterday - in anticipation of carmax earnings on thursday morning. A lot missed the pump because mods deleted the DD post in r/wsb . Obviously it's overvalued, but what do you guys think? Will it stay up if carmax reports another huge quartal loss or will it get dumped nonetheless on thursday/friday? I'm thinking about shorting it. /discuss [link] [comments]  |
| Is it smart buying airline stocks? Posted: 23 Sep 2020 02:20 AM PDT Is it smart buying airline stocks? Most companies recovered after COVID crash, but airlines for an obvious reason haven't. Is it safe to assume that in a few months after the vaccine will be available the stocks will go back where they were in February? What do y'all think? Also don't answer with the 'let me get my crystal ball' shit, it's obvious nobody knows, but I'm asking what do you think [link] [comments]  |
| Shell and Microsoft form alliance to help address carbon emissions Posted: 23 Sep 2020 04:36 AM PDT Oil major Royal Dutch Shell and tech giant Microsoft have chosen to extend and expand upon their cooperation to adress the issue that so many people are currently talking about, carbon emissions and climate change. Below you can read the most important highlights of this alliance and what it means for both companies. Highlights of the expanded alliance include (as mentioned in the article):
Personally I am very bullish on Shell over the long term. They are currently trading at around half their fair value and have been punished way more than some of their counterparts. They are also diversified well into green energy alternatives and look to invest more into renewable energy sources at the cost of their oil and natural gas business. With natural gas however now also gaining a bit of traction and oil demand poised to come back as economies open back up, they are well positioned to take advantage of a variety of trends. Lastly Shell, although it has been cut this year for the first time since WW2, pays a healthy dividend which makes waiting for this stock to give you a healthy return all the more easy. This deal with Microsoft might do more for Shell than it will for Microsoft, but it favors both parties and it is alliances like these that can push a company to the next level. I believe Shell is a great investment to make and hold for the coming decade, especially at the current price point. [link] [comments]  |
| Posted: 23 Sep 2020 04:28 AM PDT I just learned this morning that United Wholesale Mortgage (UWM) will be going public as of December. It is likely to compete with their largest competitor- Quicken Loans. Some details on it is only 90% of shares are to be owned by the president and CEO. I'm a bit new to this, what does that mean for the available shares? Also what are your thoughts on this company going public? Based on their ideas and enormous expansion I believe it's a great one to buy into, especially in the beginning/early on. [link] [comments]  |
| How does the fed buying decrease interest rate? Posted: 23 Sep 2020 03:42 AM PDT I hear 1. It buys treasury notes that member banks hold, reducing discount rate, less reserve requirement. Well, I understand the last 2 parts but when it comes to member banks selling treasuries, I don't quite understand how it wotks, is it legally required for banks to have treasury securities? if so, what happens if the fed starts tapering. 2. When the fed buys bonds, it increases the price of bonds thus lower yield. Yes it is true that the price of bonds and yield is inverse relationship, but how does buying bonds through open matket operation exactly lowers the bonds that are to be issued?. In short term, how does buying bonds that are already in the market affects future yields of bonds? [link] [comments]  |
| Taxe difference between etf in luxembourg or ireland Posted: 23 Sep 2020 03:21 AM PDT Can't decide between an allworld index from Luxemburg or Ireland Hi, i'm looking to put 15k into an Etf all world either based in Luxemburg or in Ireland. Vanguard FTSE all world Acc ( ireland) Lyxor Msci ACWI acc ( Luxemburg ) I am based in Luxemburg, will there be a big difference in taxes depending on the option i will take? [link] [comments]  |
| How bad would increasing interest rates affect our economy in the upcoming years Posted: 22 Sep 2020 12:03 PM PDT Im a young investor, 25. I only have studied/looked back as far as the 1990's. It seems always cyclic that some correction, if not recession, tracks along the increase of interest rates. Lets assume some of the pundits are right about a near upcoming correction/recession in 2020, and we see a correction in the next 365 days. The fed has "promised" not to increase interest rates until 2023. Could this 2023 hike cause a recession? [link] [comments]  |
| Posted: 23 Sep 2020 02:41 AM PDT Read title. Europe is slowly shutting down again and it looks like it's going to be a tricky few months going forward. I know nobody can predict what is going to happen to the market, I'm just curious as to everyone's individual strategies. I will personally just probably keep most of my money on the sidelines until the end of the year and reconsider then. [link] [comments]  |
| When does it make sense not going with the market? Posted: 23 Sep 2020 01:57 AM PDT You have done your DD for the company. You concluded(believed) the stock price should be higher. You go long. You wait and no clear trend appears -- price stays 5%+- from where you got in. Is your conclusion wrong? Does the market knows something you dont? Is it just market trends? or is someone trying to push you out from the position? I saw this happening before AIMT buyout and I believe AMPE is behaving somewhat simliarly(even tough its on a rising trend). Ive been investing in biotech(mostly therapeutics) stocks for several years now and have been doing quite well. [link] [comments]  |
| Can someone explain why this is a bad investing strategy for quick profit? Posted: 23 Sep 2020 01:50 AM PDT I'm 29 and new to stocks/investing. I have 45k spare cash I'm looking to invest right now. I have a very rudimentary understanding of the stock market and am wondering why this would be a bad idea for a quick profit. What if I put all 45k into apple. It's currently around $110/share. I wait a couple weeks(or months in the worst case scenario) and cash out once it reaches $120/share leaving me with ~4k profit. I then take the profit made and do the same once apple or google takes a dive. The strategy is to cash out once the stock reaches $10 more than I paid. Just trying to figure out why this would be a risky thing to do. Apple, google, amazon, walmart, and every major companies stock I looked at increased consistently over the past 5 years so I find it unlikely any of these companies will lose value over the next few years. Worst case scenario I have my this money that I've set aside tied up for a few months. I am wondering why this wouldn't be a smart investment. [link] [comments]  |
| Paul Mampilly's Secret Portfolio Guesses? Posted: 22 Sep 2020 09:57 PM PDT I sat thru an hour plus long video expecting to get some new ticker symbols for Paul's secret portfolio. He said in his email that he would provide "an opportunity to get the names for the ticker symbols". I should've read that closer as that means he was not going to provide them without a catch. This is a subscription that Paul charges $5k for. While I am a subscriber to his "Profits Unlimited", and have been satisfied with the results so far, I couldn't afford the subscription if I wanted to. I took notes on the video and tried to get as much detail as I could (which is tough because he doesn't allow you to rewind or navigate the video in the interface he shows it on). I did research and think I found a couple, but I was hoping you guys confirm and potentially help identify any of these stocks that he personally invests in. I tried to type up what I saw from some of these stocks… Graphene stocks...
Blockchain Stocks...
Global energy storage market…
Biotech..
SPAC (Special-Purpose Acquisition Company)
Please let me know if you are able to find anything out and if you have opinions on any of the stocks, feel free to share em! Tldr: I got clues on 10 stocks from an expensive subscription service I can't afford. Any help identifying the stocks 1-10 above is much appreciated! [link] [comments]  |
| Posted: 22 Sep 2020 03:52 PM PDT Hello, I started trading only in late May, and I've recently came up with a portfolio I'm fairly happy with. I'm not sure if it's diversified enough, and I'm not sure I know how to further diversify it. Here's what my "ideal" long term (3-5 years) portfolio would look like:
RUN have grown way too quickly since their merger with VSLR and their financials aren't anything to brag about, so I'd feel safer investing more in CSiQ and ENPH.
I want to include NVDA so bad here, but I don't want to dilute my capital for big tech further.
I'm not sure which other stock to buy for this bit. I was thinking of DOYU, U (Unity) or SNOW, but the last two seem way too volatile since they are stock market "newborns". Any suggestions are greatly appreciated.
NET is to FSLY what silver is to gold. It just needs to cactch up with his older brother's growth.
I'm not sure what else to invest that last 10% in. I was thinking of including an airline/cruise stock but it might take them ages to recover. Any help would be greatly appreciated! [link] [comments]  |
| Should K-1s keep me from investing in MLPs? Posted: 22 Sep 2020 09:34 PM PDT Hey /r/investing, I have been researching a portfolio for myself, and encountered some MLPs I'd like to invest in, in fact, I ended up investing in one already before it split its shares (BIP) so you no longer have to deal with K-1s (BIPC), and even though some people scared me away from doing this, I am still wondering if I should stay away from investing in MLPs altogether, if it's that much of a hassle come tax time, or if I should invest in MLPs for a good stream of dividends. I'm a regular retail investor if this helps. So should K-1 keep me from investing in MLPs, should I really just sell BIP, and buy BIPC and never deal with K-1s again, or is it not something to be afraid of? I hear splitting opinions on this. Some people say they just insert the K-1 information on the turbo tax/H&R forms, others say its absolute hell and it's what they regret doing the most. What's your personal take on this? Thank you! [link] [comments]  |
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