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    Financial Independence Daily FI discussion thread - September 22, 2020

    Financial Independence Daily FI discussion thread - September 22, 2020


    Daily FI discussion thread - September 22, 2020

    Posted: 22 Sep 2020 01:07 AM PDT

    Please use this thread to have discussions which you don't feel warrant a new post to the sub. While the Rules for posting questions on the basics of personal finance/investing topics are relaxed a little bit here, the rules against memes/spam/self-promotion/excessive rudeness/politics still apply!

    Have a look at the FAQ for this subreddit before posting to see if your question is frequently asked.

    Since this post does tend to get busy, consider sorting the comments by "new" (instead of "best" or "top") to see the newest posts.

    submitted by /u/AutoModerator
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    Lesson learned: do not share your net worth or any other specific financial information or goals with family or friends.

    Posted: 22 Sep 2020 12:25 AM PDT

    Do not tell your friends and family specific details like your salary, net worth, savings rate, etc, even if they ask. Its fine to talk personal finance and encourage people to also pursue FIRE. Share strategy and general goals, but don't go into your specifics. I wish I would have received this advice early in the FI journey. Money has suddenly become a contentious issue with a family member after that person asked me for a substantial loan. I never would have anticipated this person making such a request or being upset by my refusal. I greatly regret ever sharing my financial situation.

    submitted by /u/tradewithmiller
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    Has the Affordable Care Act affected your ability or plans for FIRE and would your FIRE plans change if it was repealed?

    Posted: 22 Sep 2020 12:07 PM PDT

    The NY Times just posted an article that explicitly stated that a repeal of the ACA will affect retiring early "... protections for pre-existing conditions are particularly important during an economic downturn or to those who want to start their own businesses or retire early. ". It seems like healthcare portability is also essential to FIRE for those under 65. What about your plans? https://www.nytimes.com/article/supreme-court-obamacare-case.html?referringSource=articleShare.

    submitted by /u/buddhajer
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    Where to start?

    Posted: 22 Sep 2020 03:56 PM PDT

    How do you guys start financial independence? What kind of investment is the best for current situation?

    Thanks

    submitted by /u/titanae2020
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    Should we be embracing alternative withdrawal methods?

    Posted: 22 Sep 2020 01:47 PM PDT

    TLDR: Alternative withdrawal method leads to considerably increased real terms withdrawals, with identical failure rates to the traditional method, at the expense of final portfolio values.

    As I'm sure everyone in here is familiar with by now, the traditional withdrawal method is to take x% from a portfolio in year one of retirement, and then adjust the £ amount for inflation every year after that.

    In this post, I would like to contrast this method with a method where the retiree periodically resets their withdrawal rate % to the new portfolio value, with the inflation adjusted £ amount from their starting portfolio acting as a minimum/floor for withdrawals.

    As demonstrated by the data below, over an extended timeframe, the latter withdrawal method allowed comparable real terms withdrawals in worst case scenarios, and massively increased withdrawals in median and best case scenarios. This was achieved while maintaining identical failure rates across the board.

    The downside of this method of course is that the retiree would, on average, end the period with a significantly increased portfolio value in either scenario, but it would be considerably lower in virtually all cases using the latter withdrawal method. This is, in a majority of scenarios, likely to be a more than worthwhile trade off for the retiree in question.

    Assuming 100% equities, and a £1m starting portfolio, for the sake of simplicity, the failure rates for these two methods, over a 60 year timeframe, for 3%, 3.25%, 3.5%, 3.75%, 4%, 4.25% and 4.5% withdrawal rates, are as follows.

    Traditional: 0%, 0%, 1.18%, 2.35%, 5.88%, 15.29% and 18.82%

    Resetting: 0%, 0%, 1.18%, 2.35%, 5.88%, 15.29% and 18.82%

    The highest, lowest and median withdrawals, and final portfolio value, for each method, at 3%, 3.5% and 4% (as the impact remains pretty much the same), are as follows.

    Traditional, 3% withdrawal:

    Lowest- £1.83m

    Highest- £1.83m

    Median- £1.83m

    Final value:

    Lowest- £3.7m

    Highest- £54.8m

    Median- £23.1m

    Traditional, 3.5% withdrawal:

    Lowest- £2.14m

    Highest- £2.14m

    Median- £2.14m

    Final value:

    Lowest- Failed

    Highest- £50.0m

    Median- £18.6m

    Traditional, 4% withdrawal:

    Lowest- £2.44m

    Highest- £2.44m

    Median- £2.44m

    Final value-

    Lowest- Failed

    Highest- £45.2m

    Median- £14.8m

    Resetting, 3% withdrawal:

    Lowest- £2.4m

    Highest- £13.0m

    Median- £5.8m

    Final value-

    Lowest- £2.4m

    Highest- £15.1m

    Median- £7.2m

    Resetting, 3.5% withdrawal:

    Lowest- £2.1m

    Highest- £12.3m

    Median- £5.2m

    Final Value:

    Lowest- Failed

    Highest- £10.9m

    Median- £5.0m

    Resetting, 4% withdrawal:

    Lowest- £2.4m

    Highest- £11.5m

    Median- £4.6m

    Final value:

    Lowest- Failed

    Highest- £7.8m

    Median- £3.6m

    Calculator

    submitted by /u/JN324
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    PSA - You probably don't have Golden Handcuffs

    Posted: 22 Sep 2020 07:10 AM PDT

    A trend I've been seeing over the last couple of weeks is a bunch of folks on here talking about their "Golden Handcuffs". The thing is, I bet maybe 1% of commenters here actually have them. If you care about semantics, read on. If not, tl;dr stop saying you have golden handcuffs unless you're the CEO at Fortune 500 Widget Co. you have a significant portion of your compensation tied to a specific length in time of employment

    From Wikipedia:

    "Golden handcuffs" refers to financial allurements and benefits that have the objective to encourage highly compensated employees to remain within a company or organization instead of moving from company to company (or organization to organization), these are opposite of a golden parachute. Golden handcuffs come in different forms, such as employee stock options, which endow only when the employee has been with the company or organization for a certain number of years, and contractual agreements, consisting of bonuses or other forms of benefits which must be repaid to the company if the employee leaves before the date agreed on. Golden handcuffs are frequently used for jobs that require rare and specialized skills or in a "tight labor market", where jobs are more common than workers. In any case, although they are very expensive, they are usually less expensive than the cost to replace a particular employee. Golden handcuffs often receive scrutiny from shareholders and directors.

    From /u/ColorsMayInTimeFade:

    Golden handcuffs aren't just being well compensated but having a disproportionately large incentive to stay until milestone is reached.

    These are examples of Golden Handcuffs:

    • Stock options that do not vest until year 5 (and not start-up RSUs where they pay you minimum wage with stock units)

    • A guaranteed bonus of $250,000 on year 7

    • A SERP (Supplemental Executive Retirement Plan)

    • A vacation home owned by the company that is yours alone to use

    • Basically anything of significant monetary value that you have to pay back, give back, or leave on the table if you leave before a certain date

    Golden handcuffs are almost exclusively used on C-Level employees. Sometimes one level down at President or Vice President (not at a bank, they hand out VP like candy). Very rarely anything below that. Just because you are a highly compensated employee does not mean you have golden handcuffs. If you leave tomorrow, you don't forfeit a metric shit ton of future money (aside from salaried compensation).

    Sources: Investopedia, Wikipedia, and a general understanding of what very large publicly traded companies do when they hire new CEO/CFO/COOs.

    submitted by /u/TooEarlyNeedCoffee
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