Stock Market - Mortgage crisis 2020 |
- Mortgage crisis 2020
- Significant Insider Trading Activity (Last 7 Days)
- Stock watch list April 8, 2020
- Should You Buy Stocks Now or Wait? Here's Buffett's Advice.
- As a guy who 'started' his first investments with cryptocurrencies and indexes I always thought crypto was an easily manipulated market and the stock market was far from that.
- “FUN” Cedar Fair below fair price?
- Alphabet in the age of COVID-19: Google braved one recession, and now it’s more diversified
- S&P 500 joins Dow in exiting bear market as Bernie Sanders suspends presidential campaign
- We are a team of graduate students conducting research on savings behavior and trust in financial services. Please help us by filling out this 1 minute survey!
- I Think This Is A Great Time To Make A Large Investment In The Market
- Health situation gets better, economy most likely to get worse
- What are some examples of blue chip stocks going under?
- Question about TQQQ UPRO
- ' Top Stocks to buy for long-term : Which ones and at what price ? ' : Amature investor in need of some review. Posted my tentative plan (for stocks and price) as of April 8th :)
- Why does Amazon give so many fcf information???
- Significant Activist Hedge Fund Activity (Last 7 Days)
- Anyone got inverse leverage stocks? SQQQ
- Do you think delta airlines is a wise grab right now before things go back to normal?
- Instead of a "V" recovery, would a sharp "checkmark" make more sense?
- Scale 1-10, how comfortable are you holding over easter
- Why aren’t the markets falling like everyone said they would?
- Coronavirus putting world on track for new Great Depression, says WTO
- Is corruption and unethical gov intervention in the stock market good for the long term?
Posted: 08 Apr 2020 08:21 AM PDT Banks are pulling a fast one on customers. All these people getting 3 to 6 months relief on loans are in for a shock when the forbearance period is over. Had a family member check with 5/3- after six months you make a Balloon payment for past payments or you are forced to refinance. That opens up a massive amount of variables that may be unaffordable to the borrower. I predict a very large amount of foreclosures in the next year. [link] [comments] |
Significant Insider Trading Activity (Last 7 Days) Posted: 08 Apr 2020 09:11 AM PDT This is a list of the top 20 companies that experienced the largest change in insider shares in the last seven (7) days. The SEC defines an insider as any officer, director or 10% shareholder. It is not illegal for these people to buy or sell their own shares. In fact, since most of them get paid in stock options, it is expected. However, it is illegal for them to trade on inside information that has not been made public. So for example if there are drug trial results that are bad and not public, insiders cannot dump shares. That said, many people have observed that insiders - in general - seem to have a good track record at timing their purchases. All trades that are marked as part of a 10b5 plan are excluded from this report. Largest Insider Buying (Last 7 Days)Largest Insider Selling (Last 7 Days)Count column is number of transactions. Source: Fintel.io/insiders [link] [comments] |
Stock watch list April 8, 2020 Posted: 08 Apr 2020 05:55 AM PDT Good Morning, here's my watch list Gap Ups: APT, EFC, MYO, NLY, NVAX, PINS, TLRY Gap Downs: BABA, BIDU, GSX, IQ, TAL, W Looks like the market is setting up for an inside day, Very few gappers and almost no stocks with catalyst which doesn't give us good odds. I am not a fan of the watch list today. I mentioned yesterday that the 272 pivot should act as resistance and it did, we saw a sell off at that level. Now the SPY is sitting in between the 272 pivot and the weekly 200 sma. Ideally we would like to see some basing action for a few days before a break higher over the 272 pivot, will we get that, will the market drop more or continue? This is the question that is on everyone's minds. Alcoa kicks of earnings season in less than 2 weeks and things should start moving again as earnings should bring new catalyst into the market. Until then, patience is your friend, odds are not in our favor today so be careful and only take good trades with defined risk/reward in mind before entering into any positions. Good luck trading. Feel free to check out my trading community r/kant_sleep13 which I created last week [link] [comments] |
Should You Buy Stocks Now or Wait? Here's Buffett's Advice. Posted: 08 Apr 2020 06:32 PM PDT https://www.fool.com/investing/2020/04/08/should-you-buy-stocks-now-or-wait-heres-buffetts-a.aspx Here's Buffett's advice for a stock market crash. 1. Don't try to time the bottomWhile Buffett may be nicknamed the Oracle of Omaha, he's always been quick to admit that timing the market is a fool's errand, even for himself. "I make no attempt to forecast the market -- my efforts are devoted to finding undervalued securities," the Berkshire Hathaway (NYSE:BRK.A) (NYSE:BRK.B) chairman and CEO has said. Buffett has taken this stance even further, implying in Berkshire's 1992 shareholder letter that near-term market forecasts can be "poison" for investors. Instead of focusing his energy on timing the market, Buffett devotes his efforts to finding great businesses at good prices. "If we think a business is attractive, it would be very foolish for us to not take action on that because we thought something about what the market was going to do," Buffet said during the company's 1994 shareholder meeting."If you're right about the businesses, you'll end up doing fine." It's Buffett's skill at finding undervalued high-quality businesses that has earned him the nickname Oracle of Omaha -- not his ability to time the market. Further, his decision to avoid timing the market has likely aided his stock-picking prowess. 2. Don't waste a good buying opportunityOne of the biggest problems with investors making market timing a key part of their investment strategy is that it can result in missing out on opportunities to buy stocks at lower prices while they are busy trying to predict a bottom of a market sell-off. Since predicting the bottom of a downturn is so difficult (if not impossible) the best way for investors to take advantage of these opportunities is to simply be a net buyer of stocks over time, particularly when stocks of quality companies go down in price. 3. Get in the game and stay in itProbably the biggest takeaway from Buffett's discussions on market crashes and market timing is simply this: Be a net buyer of stocks and stay invested for the long haul. [link] [comments] |
Posted: 08 Apr 2020 08:10 AM PDT However since the last few weeks it really astounded me how the market has behaved. Of course nobody knows what a market will do but considering the world sitting at a standstill, companies or whole sectors might go bankrupt, the virus won't go away in a few months and everything is so uncertain and long term things can get bad, I really don't understand how the market(s) rose more than 20% after the first "panic" dip and don't seem to come down again. And yes of course I thought I'd be smart buying puts, and trying to day trade. I'm still young and trying to make sense out of this market but I feel it just doesn't make sense haha. And yes I've lost some money but during this I also DCA'ed. What is your perspective on this? I'm really interested to hear how other people have traded or behaved during this period. [link] [comments] |
“FUN” Cedar Fair below fair price? Posted: 08 Apr 2020 07:27 PM PDT I'm thinking about making a buy into FUN tomorrow seems like other hotels and consumer products have moved back up. I'm seeing that it's below fair price quite significantly but there is a bit of a debt problem. My total portfolio value is $5,100(as of today) I'm 19 with the same amount in savings too; should I buy and how much? [link] [comments] |
Alphabet in the age of COVID-19: Google braved one recession, and now it’s more diversified Posted: 08 Apr 2020 02:48 PM PDT Alphabet in the age of COVID-19: Google braved one recession, and now it's more diversifiedWhile online-ad rivals like Facebook and Twitter were still startups with no revenue to speak of in the last recession, former Google CEO says search giant learned some lessons This article is part of a series tracking the effects of the COVID-19 pandemic on major businesses and will be updated. It was originally published on April 8. Alphabet Inc.'s Google lords over the online-advertising market, which is both a blessing and a curse in the age of coronavirus. The core business of Alphabet GOOGL, +2.06% GOOG, +2.00% commands roughly 30% of the $110 billion digital-advertising markets worldwide and is expected to maintain that lead in 2021 and beyond, according to eMarketer. YouTube is a big reason why, as it is expected to haul in $9.33 billion in 2020 and $11.4 billion in 2021, according to eMarketer. In February, Alphabet disclosed it brought in $15.1 billion in ads through YouTube in 2019, and $8.9 billion via Google Cloud. If there is one company that will initially be hit hardest by ad cutbacks, it's Google. Up to 40% of its revenue comes from categories hard hit by COVID-19: in-person retail, restaurants, travel, automotive and small businesses. But it is also likely to be the first to rebound because of its market leadership. Business in the age of COVID-19: Read profiles of how other large companies will be affected by the coronavirus Google has been here before when it wasn't named Alphabet. During the recession sparked by the subprime-loan crisis a decade ago, sales remained at single-digit growth for five quarters in a row. Google's revenue estimates declined at least 15% in 2009 and 2010, with a marginally greater earnings hit, according to an analysis by MKM Partners. Then again, Google had the field all to itself more than a decade ago, before Facebook Inc. FB, +3.22%, Snap Inc. SNAP, +9.25%, and Twitter Inc. TWTR, +8.78% emerged as online ad rivals. "Back then, I was told at the time the recovery is quicker than you think it is when you get there, and the strongest companies recover quicker than the weaker ones," former Google Chief Executive Eric Schmidt said in a Zoom ZM, +3.56% conference with business executives, investors and media on April 7. Analysts seem to agree, painting a picture of short-term pain but a quick recovery for Google. "We are modelling a [year-over-year] decline in Google revenues in Q2 followed by continued acceleration in revenues [in the second half]," MKM Partners analyst Rohit Kulkarni said in an April 3 note. "However, we do not expect Google to return to double-digit revenue growth until Q1 '21." "To put this delicately, use the opportunity of the crisis to reconfigure and ensure the decisions you make now make you stronger when this lifts — a year or maybe less," Schmidt said. In 2008, for example, Google repriced stock options to employees to stabilize its workforce and retain talent. "It was the right decision at the time," Schmidt said. Since the last recession, Google has also acted to diversify its business beyond search ads, with YouTube and Cloud accounting for more than 40% of incremental growth, MKM Partners reported. Alphabet reports fiscal first-quarter results on April 22. How the numbers are changing Revenue: Average analyst expectations for the first quarter were $43.17 billion at the end of 2019, but have declined to $42.08 billion as of April 6. Estimates for Google websites, which account for most of Alphabet's revenue, have declined from $30.32 billion to $29.73 billion in that time period, according to FactSet. For the full year, analysts expect revenue of $181.9 billion. Earnings: Average analyst expectations from FactSet were $12.31 per share at the end of 2019. As of April 6, they were $11.24 per share. For the full year, analysts expect earnings of $48.90 a share. Stock movement: During the first three months of 2020, Class A shares declined 13%. Google crested at $1,519.44 on Feb. 18 and closed at $1,183.19 on April 6. What the company is saying Not much. Notoriously tight-lipped Alphabet executives haven't said anything of note — either in SEC filings, news releases or blog posts — about the economic impact of coronavirus. What they have shared is mostly about a surge in traffic coursing over its network, prompting it to boost the capacity to handle demands on its network and data centers. April 3: "Our priority now is how to meet the surge in demand," John Jester, vice president of customer experience at Google Cloud, told MarketWatch in a phone interview. In a blog post, Google said traffic on its premium video conferencing property Meet has grown 60% day-over-day and is topping 2 billion minutes a day — 25 times the traffic of a typical day. Feb. 4: Until the last two quarters, Google was conspicuously silent about breaking out revenue figures by product division. During its fiscal fourth quarter, it said YouTube was at $15 billion in annual ad revenue, and Cloud is on a $10 billion revenue run rate. • Online advertising is half of the global advertising, and Google has roughly 40% market share of online advertising. The math points toward an inevitable short-term disadvantage to Google, but a speedy recovery because of its clout, according to MKM Partners. "We expect Google advertising revenues to decelerate from 'high teens' (18% to 20%) during 2019 to 4% in 1Q:20, -1% in 2Q:20, and approx. +4% in 4Q20. We are raising our Google Cloud revenue assumptions as we expect a continued acceleration in the cloud, driven by sales force expansion and healthier end markets." — MKM Partners analyst Rohit Kulkarni, maintained his buy rating while trimming Alphabet's price target to $1,400 from $1,600 on April 3. • "We expect Google to have a greater near-term disadvantage but also have a faster recovery as pandemic effects reduce... We believe Alphabet will be more resilient vs. Facebook in weathering the advertising decline due to its lower exposure to the [small business] advertiser base. As a result of these top-line changes, our 2020 GAAP EPS estimate is now $40.56 (vs. prior estimate of $53.47) and our 2021 GAAP EPS is now $54.30 (vs. a prior estimate of $66." — Citi analyst Jason Bazinet, maintained a buy rating while trimming Alphabet's price target to $1,400 from $1,700 on April 1 [link] [comments] |
S&P 500 joins Dow in exiting bear market as Bernie Sanders suspends presidential campaign Posted: 08 Apr 2020 06:30 PM PDT https://www.foxbusiness.com/markets/us-stocks-april-8-2020 U.S. equity markets surged Wednesday with the S&P 500 exiting its bear market as Sen. Bernie Sanders suspended his presidential campaign. Stocks also saw support from a surge in oil prices. The Dow Jones Industrial Average gained over 779 points, or 3.4 percent, while the S&P 500 and Nasdaq Composite rose by 3.4 percent and 2.6 percent, respectively. Another supporting factor for equities was oil. West Texas Intermediate crude oil rose 6.18 percent to $25.09 a barrel ahead of Thursday's key meeting between OPEC and its allies. S&P energy stocks gained nearly 7 percent helping lift the broader index. [link] [comments] |
Posted: 08 Apr 2020 02:09 PM PDT If you've ever conducted research, you know how helpful it is when the community chips in. We are a team of graduate students conducting research on savings behavior and trust in financial services. The survey is five questions and should take less than a minute to complete: https://forms.gle/kMAb2xwBnGZNpdYM8 Thank you! [link] [comments] |
I Think This Is A Great Time To Make A Large Investment In The Market Posted: 08 Apr 2020 12:14 PM PDT The Market looks like it has factored in the coronavirus and the stimulus from our government. I like these levels to add on to existing positions and buying some new great stocks. Any Suggestions [link] [comments] |
Health situation gets better, economy most likely to get worse Posted: 08 Apr 2020 02:08 PM PDT Do you think after the first company results for march market will drop? While the world should get healthier - the underlying economical issues, or better said, economical problems in the queue will emerge. I'm not sure the market has proced that in, but frankly- not sure what the market is doing since quite some time. [link] [comments] |
What are some examples of blue chip stocks going under? Posted: 08 Apr 2020 07:27 PM PDT Has any stock with the security of a company such as Apple or Amazon ever completely collapsed, and never recovered? I doubt something to the magnitude of Amazon has ever imploded, but what would be the closest thing? [link] [comments] |
Posted: 08 Apr 2020 03:34 PM PDT Sorry for my ignorance, assuming I purchase $2000 worth of TQQQ or ZIV or UPRO and just leave it there for few years, can i lose my money, if so how? What happens when it reaches bottom value? If market is going to be better in future, where is the risk? [link] [comments] |
Posted: 07 Apr 2020 10:50 PM PDT As the title says, I want the advice on what would you buy with $40K in following months if you were a long-term investor (buy and hold for 5-10 years) looking for some 'mid' risk stocks (i.e. safe balancesheet) and at right price? My tentative plan is to wait for 'red' days in next couple of months and aggressively invest if/when a stock enters into high 'buy' alert ( IMHO ) otherwise hold onto my rest of the cash.
I already have equity in below tickers: Any other stocks you like better and should be in people's watchlist ? Any reason to avoid any of stocks mentioned above? Any constructive advice , information or discussion is welcome!! [link] [comments] |
Why does Amazon give so many fcf information??? Posted: 08 Apr 2020 06:47 PM PDT Why does Amazon give so much fcf definitions like after leases and other fcf like that. Isn't there only 1 fcf. It's confusing to me.........it's like they are reinventing fcf.....anyone please explain or elaborate.... Operating cash flow increased 25% to $38.5 billion for the trailing twelve months, compared with $30.7 billion for the trailing twelve months ended December 31, 2018. Free cash flow increased to $25.8 billion for the trailing twelve months, compared with $19.4 billion for the trailing twelve months ended December 31, 2018. Free cash flow less principal repayments of finance leases and financing obligations increased to $16.2 billion for the trailing twelve months, compared with $11.6 billion for the trailing twelve months ended December 31, 2018. Free cash flow less equipment finance leases and principal repayments of all other finance leases and financing obligations increased to $12.5 billion for the trailing twelve months, compared with $8.4 billion for the trailing twelve months ended December 31, 2018. [link] [comments] |
Significant Activist Hedge Fund Activity (Last 7 Days) Posted: 08 Apr 2020 09:11 AM PDT These are the latest Schedule 13D forms filed by activist investors in the last 7 days. Activist investors are investors that make an investment with the intention of influencing management in some way. There is evidence that following activist investors into investments can generate excess returns. Schedule 13G forms, in contrast, are filed by significant investors with no intention of influencing management (such as Index funds). There is always a lot of interest in insider trades, but what a lot of people probably don't realize is that hedge fund activity is probably more predictive of future returns than insider activity. The reason is that hedge funds (a) have large research budgets, and (b) have a choice where to put their money. In contract, insiders have no choice where to put their money, but only when to time their transactions. New FilingsThis table lists new 13D filings in the last week. A new filing does not necessarily indicate a new position, as investors frequently accumulate in advance before reaching the filing threshold. Amended FilingsThis table lists amended filings in the last week, and is useful for monitoring changes in existing investments or when a fund closes a position. I have eliminated all filings with less than a 5% change in ownership. Source: Fintel.io/activists [link] [comments] |
Anyone got inverse leverage stocks? SQQQ Posted: 08 Apr 2020 05:44 PM PDT I have 135 SQQQ average cost 20.64. I was thinking the bottom of the DOW was 20k, but I'm starting to think 20-22 now. The media got incredibly positive Friday night and even up to now. I'm just afraid the market will soar to the 25,000s...with that said, I won't sell til I'm at a greater loss than I am now (almost $700 now), because I feel as if I will regret it. What are your guys' thoughts on the market? The future of SQQQ this and or next week? I stay highly updated at all times of day and night l, I just want some of your inputs. Thank you for your responses. Good luck trading, no matter what side you are on. [link] [comments] |
Do you think delta airlines is a wise grab right now before things go back to normal? Posted: 08 Apr 2020 05:36 AM PDT I see that it usually sits around 50ish a share and right now it's about 22 a share, do you think this company will bounce back? They're the biggest airline in the world I figure they will bounce back quickly when this is over [link] [comments] |
Instead of a "V" recovery, would a sharp "checkmark" make more sense? Posted: 08 Apr 2020 05:12 PM PDT With unemployment continuing to escalate for the next several weeks or months, and the inevitable permanent closure of small businesses would there be an exponential growth in medium/large company segments? I know it's too early to realistically guess when the market/economy will recover since we are still in the early stages of measuring the unemployment impact of the sharpest layoff spree in history. Eventually the economy will rebuild and when it does, wouldn't larger businesses tend to absorb revenue from permanently closed small businesses that weren't able to weather this economic storm? If so, the growth of publicly traded companies would eventually grow larger than prior to the correction/recession/depression since there is less competition in the market. Has anyone seen a model or developed a prediction about this? [link] [comments] |
Scale 1-10, how comfortable are you holding over easter Posted: 08 Apr 2020 01:23 PM PDT I feel like it's super risky holding over these 4 days and gonna be selling early tomorrow Quessing I ain alone and we gonna see some drop trough the day and maybe more in tuesday. Tomorrow could be a low risk high reward chance to buy some high X leveraged bear etf as it seems unlikely to see anykind of rise prior easter What do you think? [link] [comments] |
Why aren’t the markets falling like everyone said they would? Posted: 08 Apr 2020 10:33 AM PDT I sold all my stock before this crash started. I had about 2,000$ in stocks and 300$ in crypto. For personal reasons I sold my stocks to pay off debt. Now I'm trying to get back in the market but not sure how to do it. I've heard you need to dip your toes in a bit during this supposed crash so I bought a couple stocks but it's not much. Is the market really going to go down like they say or is it a bit overexaggerated? Because I hear that you can't bet on the bottom of this crash so you have to ease into it. But I also don't want to wait too long where it rebounds and I miss out on gains. [link] [comments] |
Coronavirus putting world on track for new Great Depression, says WTO Posted: 08 Apr 2020 04:21 PM PDT read this article and discuss: https://www.theguardian.com/world/2020/apr/08/coronavirus-putting-world-on-track-for-new-great-depression-says-who "International trade has dried up as a result of the Covid-19 pandemic and could be on course for a collapse as severe as that of the 1930s Great Depression, the World Trade Organization has said. The Geneva-based WTO, responsible for policing the global trading system, said even the most optimistic scenario for 2020 was that trade would shrink by 13%, a bigger drop than in the 2008-09 recession caused by the banking crisis. A hundred years on, will there be another Great Depression? Read more But it warned there was the risk of a much gloomier outcome under which trade would shrivel by 32%, on a par with the reduction seen between 1929 and 1932." [link] [comments] |
Is corruption and unethical gov intervention in the stock market good for the long term? Posted: 08 Apr 2020 06:54 AM PDT Crank up the money printer to high, stonks only go up. They go down? no worry gov is here to bailout. If stocks go down just print more money. Lie to the public and them them it will only be "two weeks" when you know it will be months. Keep telling the public everything is fine, just another two weeks and then everything back to normal. The lies and corruption boost stock prices in the short term. Can we discuss the long term effects thou? [link] [comments] |
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