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    Thursday, December 5, 2019

    Daily Advice Thread - All basic help or advice questions must be posted here. Investing

    Daily Advice Thread - All basic help or advice questions must be posted here. Investing


    Daily Advice Thread - All basic help or advice questions must be posted here.

    Posted: 05 Dec 2019 04:09 AM PST

    If your question is "I have $10,000, what do I do?" or other "advice for my personal situation" questions. If you are going to ask how to invest you should include relevant information, such as the following:

    • How old are you?
    • Are you employed/making income? How much?
    • What are your objectives with this money? (buy a house? Retirement savings?)
    • What is your risk tolerance? (Do you mind risking it at blackjack or do you need to know its 100% safe?)
    • What are you current holdings? (Do you already have exposure to specific funds and sectors?)
    • Any other assets? House paid off? Cars? Expensive significant other?
    • What is your time horizon? Do you need this money next month? Next 20yrs?
    • Any big debts?
    • Any other relevant financial information will be useful to give you a proper answer.

    Please consider consulting our FAQ first - https://www.reddit.com/r/investing/wiki/faq

    Be aware that these answers are just opinions of Redditors and should be used as a starting point for your research. You should strongly consider seeing a registered financial rep before making any financial decisions!

    submitted by /u/AutoModerator
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    PG&E nearing $13.5 billion deal with wildfire victims - shares surge

    Posted: 04 Dec 2019 11:12 AM PST

    Private payrolls up 67,000 in November, vs. 125,000 expected: ADP/Moody's

    Posted: 04 Dec 2019 05:19 AM PST

    The big miss could call into question the relatively rosy estimates for Friday's closely watched nonfarm payrolls report.

    https://www.cnbc.com/2019/12/04/private-payrolls-up-67000-in-november-vs-125000-expected-adpmoodys.html

    submitted by /u/leonx81
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    BA Payout Ratio Tool Differences on Different Sites

    Posted: 05 Dec 2019 03:40 AM PST

    Hey All,

    I've seen this on a few different stocks, but it sticks out on Boeing (BA). Why the differences on payout ratio on different investing sites?

    Fidelity - 124.73%

    Morningstar - 120.05%

    Seeking Alpha - 670.00%

    (How can Seeking Alpha be so different?)

    submitted by /u/Calivan
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    Profit Margin and Gross Margin

    Posted: 04 Dec 2019 08:49 PM PST

    What exactly is the difference between the two?

    They seem to be exactly the same thing... but all the sources I find uses different terms. So i feel like im missing something, such as the definition of one of the variables.

    Is there a difference between the 2?

    submitted by /u/iamnewnewnew
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    Elizabeth Warren Is Drafting U.S. Legislation to Reverse ‘Mega Mergers’

    Posted: 05 Dec 2019 03:35 AM PST

    https://www.bloomberg.com/news/articles/2019-12-04/warren-is-drafting-u-s-legislation-to-reverse-mega-mergers?srnd=premium

    U.S. Senator Elizabeth Warren is drafting a bill that would call on regulators to retroactively review about two decades of "mega mergers" and ban such deals going forward.

    Warren's staff recently circulated a proposal for sweeping anti-monopoly legislation, which would deliver on a presidential campaign promise to check the power of Big Tech and other industries. Although the Trump administration is currently exploring their own antitrust probes, the proposal is likely to face resistance from lawmakers.

    According to a draft of the bill reviewed by Bloomberg, the proposal would expand antitrust law beyond the so-called consumer welfare standard, an approach that has driven antitrust policy since the 1970s. Under the current framework, the federal government evaluates mergers primarily based on potential harm to consumers through higher prices or decreased quality. The new bill would direct the government to also consider the impact on entrepreneurs, innovation, privacy and workers.

    Warren's bill, tentatively titled the Anti-Monopoly and Competition Restoration Act, would also ban non-compete and no-poaching agreements for workers and protect the rights of gig economy workers, such as drivers for Uber Technologies Inc., to organize.

    A draft of Warren's bill was included in an email Monday from Spencer Waller, the director of the Institute for Consumer Antitrust Studies at Loyola University Chicago. Waller urged fellow academics to sign a petition supporting it. He said Warren was working on the bill with Representative David Cicilline, the most prominent voice on antitrust issues in the House. Waller declined to comment on the email.

    Representatives for Cicilline and Warren declined to comment. The existence of the bill and Warren's support of it were reported earlier this week by the technology publication the Information.

    In Washington, there is some support across the political spectrum for increased antitrust scrutiny of large technology companies. Warren positioned herself as a leader on the issue this year while campaigning on a plan to break up Big Tech. She has repeatedly called for unwinding Facebook Inc.'s acquisitions of WhatsApp and Instagram, along with Google's purchase of YouTube and advertising platform DoubleClick.

    It's not clear when a bill would be introduced or whether it would move forward in its current form. Cicilline has said he would not introduce antitrust legislation until he concludes an antitrust investigation for the House Judiciary Committee in early 2020.

    Amy Klobuchar, a Senator from Minnesota who's also vying for the Democratic nomination, has pushed legislation covering similar ground. Klobuchar plans to introduce additional antitrust legislation soon, according to a person familiar with the matter who wasn't authorized to discuss the plans and asked not to be identified.

    Any proposal would face significant hurdles to becoming law, and Warren's version could be particularly problematic because it promotes the idea that antitrust enforcement is equivalent to being against big business, said Barak Orbach, a law professor at the University of Arizona who received a draft of the bill. "The way I read it is that Elizabeth Warren is trying to make a political statement in the course of her campaign," Orbach said. "It's likely to have negative effects on antitrust enforcement, so I just don't see the upside other than for the campaign."

    The bill proposes a ban on mergers where one company has annual revenue of more $40 billion, or where both companies have sales exceeding $15 billion, except under certain exceptions, such as when a company is in immediate danger of insolvency. That would seemingly put a freeze on many acquisitions for Apple Inc., Alphabet Inc., Facebook, Microsoft Corp. and dozens of other companies. The bill would also place new limitations on smaller mergers.

    Chris Sagers, a law professor at Cleveland State University, said the proposal would serve as an effective check on corporate power. "I don't think you'll have new antitrust policy until Congress says the courts have incorrectly interpreted the statutes," he said. "Someone has to do what Elizabeth Warren is doing."

    submitted by /u/ryeander
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    Finance Textbook Distrubtors

    Posted: 04 Dec 2019 06:47 PM PST

    What are the best financial textbooks to read?

    submitted by /u/Commando44
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    December 15th

    Posted: 04 Dec 2019 10:06 PM PST

    Any steals on stocks or ETF's people are foreshadowing and preparing to buy in the event that the trade deal with China doesn't go through? Also what do you see getting hit the hardest?

    submitted by /u/ProudResident
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    Assuming there really is a passive investment bubble, where would you put your money? Brk-like companies?

    Posted: 04 Dec 2019 11:28 AM PST

    I've been reading about the alleged index/etf bubble (FT piece here, quotes from M Burry here).

    There are a few reddit threads about whether this is something we ought to worry about. That's not what I'm asking here.

    Assuming that it is a bubble, how would you allocate your money in a etf-like "boring" investment? I have some money in brk-b, is that the way to go? If so, are there other brk-like companies out there that are diversified and have a proven track-record of getting through tough times? Or would you simply buy stock in a bunch of companies?

    My investment strategy thus far has been all-in on etfs. And perhaps it's a good idea to put a couple of eggs in other baskets, in case the naysayers are right about passive investing.

    Edit: I should add that I would like to avoid paying stupid fees in actively managed funds.

    submitted by /u/doubleplusgoodx999
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    I made a new subreddit called r/smallstreetbets and it’s basically a place for people with small portfolios who dabble in options trading

    Posted: 04 Dec 2019 09:20 PM PST

    Like to dabble in options trading? Want to share your beginner gains with reddit? r/smallstreetbets it the place to do it! I made it literally like an hour ago and I'm trying to build a little group because I think it'd be pretty cool to have a bunch of beginners learn together and share their meager gains/losses. So if you're interested, check us out.

    I modeled the whole sub after wallstreetbets so if you don't like their culture you're probably not going to like SSB

    submitted by /u/lost_packet_
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    401k picks - mine, yours?

    Posted: 04 Dec 2019 04:14 PM PST

    Over the past 2 years I've found a new hobby, my new favorite hobby to be honest, of following economic data and the global economy, the markets, and trading. More recently, I've just started working full time (less than a year now), so while I have learned a lot in the trading / market / economy arenas I haven't dabbled too much into the INVESTING (long term, compounding yield, etc).

    With that said, I gotta get good at this 401k game. So what are your best Buy and hold forever names that pay a dividend with decent growth potential? What other investments do you make to get consistent, solid yields? I don't know anything about bonds (have yet to study up on em) other than its buying debt and the phrase "trillions in negative yielding debt". What markets do you see becoming massive in the next 10-20 years and now would be a good time to buy in?

    My 401k: Healthcare 25% - it was so beaten up earlier this year I couldn't not buy in at the lows (owned for a little while now)

    MJ 10% - pot etf, bought it at $16.22 because I believe in the weed industry long term and technicals showed possible capitulation on its move down to $16ish so I figured why not dabble, pays ~1% dividend right now (recent buy in)

    GDX 25% - I think the dollar will lose value and I believe gold fundamentally beats fiat currencies ever since the dollar left the gold standard, historical charts would agree. Plus GDX had a massive falling wedge that was rejecting resistance and holding support like clockwork, bought in at $26.60, pays ~1% dividend. (Recent buy in)

    International 40% - I think there will be a capital shift away from the United States markets and back into Europe, decent dividends hoping it will grow. (Been in for not too long but not crazy recent)

    Sectors I want to invest in long term but have no positions, any name recommendations with good growth potential for price and dividends?

    • 5G
    • AI / Robotics
    • Renewable Energy
    • Autonomous Vehicles (Drones / self driving cars)
    • Weed
    • Space? We gonna be mining asteroids in 10 years? Any other cool, young, high potential sector recommendations appreciated!
    submitted by /u/EEBucks
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    401K and personal investment

    Posted: 05 Dec 2019 04:27 AM PST

    Quick easy question, atleast I think. I invest in VOO in an M1 finance account post tax and I have been checking out my 401K amd realize my target date fund just costs a ton. I've looked into VFIAX for my 401K, but wouldn't that essentially be the same as my post tax investment? is this a bad idea?

    submitted by /u/username892740
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    Shares of a Painting Available to Public after Whitney Exhibition

    Posted: 05 Dec 2019 04:26 AM PST

    Artist allows the public to purchase shares of a painting after an exhibition? Is this profitable?

    https://initialpublicoffering.today/

    submitted by /u/pacific_space
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    Aspen Tech (AZPN)

    Posted: 04 Dec 2019 03:48 PM PST

    aspen is a software company which helps capital intensive businesses optimize performance (save money, more efficient operations) to simplify it.

    done some research on it, massive profit margins at about 45%, roe 63%, current ratio .98, share buybacks have cumulatively been 1.3 billion which is impressive considering an 8.2 billion market cap.

    the business model itself is great, 2200 blue chip companies in 5-7 year contracts, i doubt once businesses integrate the software into their platform they'll switch to save a few bucks. also the only optimization software provider that has engineering, manu & supply, and asset performance management on one platform.

    organic growth is good, at around 7% past 5 years with 10-12% FY2020 projections.

    i don't see many reasons not to, someone shoot me down.

    submitted by /u/whossayn
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    Halliburton Train Wreck

    Posted: 04 Dec 2019 08:56 AM PST

    I haven't seen any national news on this yet but a Halliburton frac semi was hit by a train in Platteville, Colorado this morning. It derailed 15 train cars. To top it off, Halliburton self insures all their operations and equipment so they will be paying for all of this out of pocket. Their stock may fall because of it.

    submitted by /u/Wrong-Work
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    Can you put limit orders at ridiculous prices hoping they get filled

    Posted: 04 Dec 2019 09:53 AM PST

    Hello, I recently got an email by my brokerage saying (MNA went up by 20%). On october 23rd, $MNA opened at $39, about 20% higher than the night before. If the priced opened so much higher, that means the order got filled, right? Someone bought $MNA at $39 even though it's worth $22, and I was wondering if it would be worth it to put ridiculous limit orders in case someone stupid buys it.

    submitted by /u/etienner
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    What sort of records of past stock market performance are available?

    Posted: 04 Dec 2019 10:00 PM PST

    Like, day to day records of what each stock opened and closed at, as recorded over the past few decades.

    Want to play around with an AI by feeding it the most detailed stock market data I can.

    Yes, I know there are massive research projects that will put me to shame. I just want to do a small project with it.

    submitted by /u/minetruly
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    Are Bloomberg Terminals or Eikon Terminals worth the high price?

    Posted: 04 Dec 2019 10:49 AM PST

    I realize this a subjective question.

    Obviously these products have many customers paying tens of thousands of dollars a year to lease these terminals. But many of these customers are also businesses who regularly pay thousands of dollars for business class and first class plane tickets so maybe they don't analyze costs or value as closely as an individuals.

    If anyone on here uses or is familiar with these terminals, do you think Bloomberg Terminals or Eikon Terminals worth the high price?

    submitted by /u/reddleatherryelloww
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    Can I have 2 Roth IRAs and transfer money between them?

    Posted: 04 Dec 2019 08:15 PM PST

    I know I can have 2 Roth IRAs (not 401k Roth). But would I be able to sell stocks in one Roth IRA and transfer that money to another Roth IRA without any tax implications? Not necessarily planning on having 2 Roth IRAs but I'm curious.

    submitted by /u/rkp07
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    Slack tops its disappointing forecast with stronger sales growth

    Posted: 04 Dec 2019 05:15 PM PST

    https://www.marketwatch.com/story/slack-stock-sinks-despite-earnings-beat-stronger-sales-growth-2019-12-04?mod=home-page

    Slack WORK, +1.89% reported third-quarter losses of $89.2 million, or 16 cents a share, on sales of $168.7 million, up from $105.7 million a year ago. After adjusting for stock-based compensation and other expenses, the communications-software company reported losses of 2 cents a share, an improvement from a loss of 30 cents a share a year ago. Analysts on average were expecting adjusted losses of 8 cents a share on sales of $156.1 million, according to FactSet.

    Executives said that Slack signed more big-money deals, with 101 customers added in the quarter with more than $100,000 in annual recurring revenue, boosting the total of such clients to 821.

    "We also exceeded 50 paid customers with greater than $1 million in annual recurring revenue for the first time, an indication that large enterprises are increasingly standardizing on Slack as their primary collaboration platform," Chief Financial Officer Allen Shim said.

    For the fourth quarter, Slack projected adjusted losses of 6 to 7 cents a share on revenue of $172 million to $174 million. Analysts on average were predicting fourth-quarter adjusted losses of 6 cents a share on sales of $173 million. Slack increased its full-year revenue forecast to a range of $621 million to $623 million, after previously stating $603 million to $610 million, and now believes full-year adjusted losses will be 31 cents to 32 cents a share, previously 40 cents to 42 cents a share.

    submitted by /u/accountinreddit
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    Visualizing US Oil & Gas Production (Through August 2019)

    Posted: 04 Dec 2019 10:45 AM PST

    Dividend Payout Ratio Data

    Posted: 04 Dec 2019 06:49 PM PST

    Does anyone know a free website that will show the historical data for a payout ratio of a dividend stock?

    submitted by /u/tb567091
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    Reits like NLY and AGNC

    Posted: 04 Dec 2019 04:50 AM PST

    NLY and AGNC, I've been enthused with them for years, particularly AGNC.

    Here's what made me 2nd guess start dumping money into it, because I need passive income, just to take some financial strain off, I work damn hard, super hard, and don't make a lot in exchange for my effort at working, it feels like I got a boot on my neck constantly, and it'd be nice if I had some passive income helping me out with my bills.

    I checked into AGNC, EPS is -$2.00, NLY was like -$4.00.

    Ok so these companies are losing money in essence right? For the first time in several years since AGNC went to a monthly dividend structure, it actually cut its divided from .18 a month to .16 a month.

    There are a few bears out there that say the housing market is in a bubble, the market is slowing down right now and a few who say we could be due for a recession after 10 years of growth.

    So I wish I could talk to someone knows investing who can tell me what the condition of the economic sector these stocks are, is negative eps a good warning to stop me from plugging money into them? The other idea I have, OLN, which sells Winchester rifles and ammunition, I occasionally trade it from time to time, I think the gun crowd might be keen to buying weaponry and ammunition heavioy again in about 1 or 2 years time, that's my personal belief, and OLN is at a low I haven't seen in at minimum 5 years. But that's not a REIT, so its a different topic. And it pays a healthy nearly 5% dividend too at current stock prices.

    submitted by /u/SuperJew113
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    "ISO clinical trails and phase sites that keep track of them.

    Posted: 04 Dec 2019 06:12 PM PST

    As an accounting undergrad, I have some good thesis on things like ex div dates on stock price and clinical trial funding and phases.

    My question is where can one find useful information that isn't all in medical terms that only my gf (nurse undergrad) can kind of translate.

    I ask this question not for being lazy but for the better good of hopefully, the better half of ya.

    I believe in improving the overall knowledge can shed better insight on options and trading. Just because the nature of most research companies involve wash and repeating those trials.

    submitted by /u/officejack
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