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    Home Unlabelled Dollar Tree shares tank 15% after discount retailer cuts forecast, blaming tariffs Investing

    Dollar Tree shares tank 15% after discount retailer cuts forecast, blaming tariffs Investing

    November 27, 2019

    Dollar Tree shares tank 15% after discount retailer cuts forecast, blaming tariffs Investing

    Dollar Tree shares tank 15% after discount retailer cuts forecast, blaming tariffs

    Posted: 26 Nov 2019 09:18 PM PST

    Dollar Tree just signaled for a disappointing holiday earnings quarter thanks to U.S.-China trade war tariffs, sending its shares cratering on Tuesday.

    The discount retailer said the tariffs slapped on Chinese imports will add $19 million, or 6 cents per share, to its costs of goods for the fourth quarter of 2019.

    The company now sees fourth quarter earnings per share in a range between $1.70 and $1.80. This is well below analysts expectations of $2.02 per share, according to Refinitiv.

    "The decrease from prior implied fourth quarter guidance represents the expected effects of...the continued uncertainty regarding trade and the related tariffs," the company said in a release.

    As a part of a prolonged trade war, the U.S. and China have engaged in a tit-for-tat tariff conflct for over a year. These tariffs have pressured retailers with large amounts of imported goods from China. It is yet unclear if both sides will reach a compromise before Dec. 15, when new U.S. tariffs on Chinese goods are set to kick in.

    ​

    CNBC, DLTR stock price

    submitted by /u/ChocolateTsar
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    DIS news. Research firm Apptopia estimates that Disney+ has had 15.5 million downloads in the past 2 weeks, close to a million a day.

    Posted: 26 Nov 2019 08:43 AM PST

    Their data does not include direct downloads from Disney+, but only takes into account Android and iOS downloads. They estimate just under a million downloads a day, and also estimate that many subscribers aren't just subbing for a free subscription, vis a vis Verizon unlimited. Per their research, new subscribers are opting to pay for the service independently, and notes the fact that services are bundled with Hulu and ESPN+

    I will be watching closely, I'm very curious how many people are downloading from Disney directly, and I'm also very interested to know how many are subscribing internationally.

    https://www.thestreet.com/lifestyle/disney-pulling-in-about-a-million-new-subscribers-a-day-report-15181877

    My Price target 170-180

    submitted by /u/Leroy--Brown
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    Record net short position in the vix

    Posted: 26 Nov 2019 05:04 AM PST

    As we continue higher it's hard not to point out the record short position that has formed in the vix.

    Wondering if everyone feels this is normal or cause for concern.

    Here is a chart of the net short interest:

    https://postimg.cc/TL8Hjrp0

    For reference here is a chart of ccc junk credit spreads vs the vix:

    https://postimg.cc/4YY7C018

    submitted by /u/RLWSNOOK
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    VMWare smashes earnings; raises guidance

    Posted: 26 Nov 2019 09:59 PM PST

    VMware Inc. (NYSE: VMW) reported an 86% surge in earnings for the third quarter of 2020 driven by higher revenue as well as unrealized gain on an investment in Pivotal Software. The results exceeded analysts' expectations.

    Net income soared by 86% to $621 million or $1.50 per share. The latest quarter included an unrealized gain of $249 million on an investment in Pivotal Software. Adjusted earnings decreased by 4% to $1.49 per share.

    Revenue grew by 12% to $2.46 billion. License revenue increased by 10% to $974 million. The results reflected broad-based strength across its product and solutions portfolio.

    Hybrid Cloud Subscription and SaaS revenue grew to over 13% of total revenue in Q3, and the company expects this category to continue to grow significantly next year, including the contributions of Carbon Black and Pivotal.

    For the third quarter, the company continued to see traction and customer momentum in support of VMware's vision to deliver a software architecture that enables any app, on any cloud, delivered to any device. The company remained on track to close the acquisition of Pivotal Software by the end of the fiscal year.

    For the quarter, software maintenance services revenue increased by 12.5% year-over-year to $1.28 billion. Professional services revenue grew by 13.5% to $202 million. Services accounted for 60% of the total revenue while license accounted for just 40%.

    Cloud computing continues to be a rapidly growing market for VMware. And the company has been betting huge with several big acquisitions for driving product and market growth.

    submitted by /u/LiveNeedleworker8
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    Programming + investing

    Posted: 26 Nov 2019 05:24 PM PST

    I've recently gotten an ad for this Udemy course that teaches python along with some investing concepts/formulas. It seemed to be more geared to those in the finance field, at least that's how they marketed it. So this got me wondering in what ways would programming be beneficial for personal investing?

    Here's the link to the course. It goes more in depth in what it teaches

    submitted by /u/Thundr3
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    What's your process to find a stock to invest in?

    Posted: 26 Nov 2019 02:34 PM PST

    I'm searching through stocks to invest in, i've been looking at USA restaurant stocks with Yahoo stock screener, looking for small cap/middle cap stocks with a low P/E ratio, then i look into their income statement/balance sheet/cash flow, read what they're about, look them up on internet, but still i don't know what to do with all these informations and how do i know if a company is good or not to invest in.

    submitted by /u/CIARRAPUNGI
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    Whats Nio?

    Posted: 27 Nov 2019 03:55 AM PST

    Quarterly earnings report is coming up on Christmas eve. They seem to have a more positive outlook than in the past. Reckon its a good short term investment to buy now and sell post earnings, or is Nio's short-term outlook bleak? So far Ive been reading good news, albeit tentatively optimistic rather than anything.

    submitted by /u/rexmichael3
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    On Vanguard Money Market portfolio page, what the heck does "Yankee/Foreign" mean. Represents majority of their portfolio. I assume "Foreign" is non US govt or corp notes, but "Yankee?" They list US govt and cos. separately so can't mean that. See attached.

    Posted: 27 Nov 2019 03:53 AM PST

    Protective puts on unvested shares

    Posted: 26 Nov 2019 09:02 PM PST

    It always irks me how employers offer unvested stock as incentives to employees.

    Sure, it is a benefit, but also, I feel like the last company I should ever invest in is my employer.

    Don't get me wrong. I like my employer and the work they are doing. I am optimistic on their growth.

    However, given the fact that my pay check comes from them, I find it apocalyptic risk management to have any other financial ties to them...

    Am I wrong?

    Anyhow, I want to know your thoughts on using a protective put to cover unvested stock provided by an employer.

    Is it legal? Is it moral? Is it wise?

    submitted by /u/satakeyama
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    Future of AMD

    Posted: 26 Nov 2019 10:37 PM PST

    I've read and heard lots of different things and was just wondering where you guys think AMD (Advanced Micro Devices) is headed. Future meaning 6 months - 1 year and further. I'm new, so anything you can tell me is super helpful. Thanks!

    submitted by /u/tromboneian27
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    Best Buy Profit Tops Expectations

    Posted: 26 Nov 2019 08:54 AM PST

    https://www.benzinga.com/news/earnings/19/11/14885789/mid-morning-market-update-markets-edge-higher-best-buy-profit-tops-expectations

    Need to agree with most of these. Very nice article if you are considering investing in something with potential.

    submitted by /u/tradetrend
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    Brokerage feature question

    Posted: 26 Nov 2019 05:52 PM PST

    I have account with TD Ameritrade and I found it disappointing that it doesn't give your portfolio performance report.

    Does Fidelity, Schwab or Ally gives that info? and are you satisfied with that?

    submitted by /u/kingclubs
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    puts on SPY?

    Posted: 26 Nov 2019 06:49 PM PST

    no idea what to buy for tomorrow. currently got WMT, MSFT, AMZN, BKE, and DIS.

    should i sell BKE? should I buy SPY?

    am extremely lost help y'all choose because this is for a stock simulator for a stock club in my school where I compete against friends.

    submitted by /u/Reuslan
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    Alibaba arbitrage pricing

    Posted: 26 Nov 2019 01:41 PM PST

    How do share prices work when a company is listed in two different exchanges? For example, Alibaba trades in the NYSE for about $195 USD and in the Hong Kong Stock Exchange for HK$188 (or about $24 USD). Are the shares in one exchange a different class from the other? If not, why pay $195 when you can pay $24?

    submitted by /u/mastermascovich
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    Sorrento Therapeutics up 86% after positive signals from those in the know

    Posted: 26 Nov 2019 10:25 PM PST

    Maybe I am reading too much into it but;

    - the company approached a number of potential biotech companies to discuss commercial partnership opportunities

    - it seems that 2 of the companies approached were so impressed that they have submitted bids between $3-$5 which were 88% to 213% above Friday's close

    - Sorrento have immediately declined the offers saying "the offer significantly undervalued Sorrento and was not in the best interest of the Company's stockholders."

    I am not an expert on the company. I can see it has a number of commercial and late stage non-opioid pain therapies as well as four immuno-oncology (treatments that use the body's immune system to fight cancer) programs in development. Management as usual believe that these have a great outlook for growth. To be fair the non-opioid market is expected to grow from $4 billion to $9 billion over the next 10 years and I have to say it looks like an exciting opportunity for Sorrento with numerous therapies and a market cap of just $419 million (after the recent increase).

    However it is the apparent enthusiasm by two unrelated outsiders to make an unsolicited bid having seen (I assume) Sorrento's plans for development that is key for me.

    The stock is currently valued at $2.97. That compares to the 2 rejected bids of $3 and $5, two analyst target prices of $21 and $28 and represents a valuation that is approximately 10% of the fast growing non-opioid therapy target market.

    It is often difficult to judge individuals motivations but when two operators in the sector get inside information and put in a bid at prices above the current price it sends a strong signal that the company is undervalued.

    This is not a recommendation to buy or sell. Stocks are risky and not suitable for everybody. The stock mentioned is HIGH RISK AND SPECULATIVE. Please do your own research.

    https://www.nasdaq.com/articles/sorrento-srne-stock-has-over-700-upside-potential-says-analyst-2019-11-25

    submitted by /u/InterestingNews1
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    EDIT (editas medicine) or PTN (palatin technologies): Which one would you invest in and why?

    Posted: 26 Nov 2019 09:15 PM PST

    I think both of these have great potential for growth. Curious as to what your thoughts are especially since EDIT is pretty popular.

    submitted by /u/likesundayslikerain
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    Are there any Investors here who knew of Jeffrey Epstein before like 2015?

    Posted: 26 Nov 2019 08:42 PM PST

    I was looking for videos of him and can't find much of anything which seems unusual for a socialite billionaire investor. Did he have a reputation? Did anyone know anything about him or his investment strategies?

    submitted by /u/niceshitonly
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    Any science/biotech stocks you would recommend for long term growth?

    Posted: 26 Nov 2019 07:35 PM PST

    Hi, I am currently a high school student, and I really enjoy science. I usually save up my money during the holidays and such, so I am deciding to invest a portion of my saved up money (none that I can afford to lose of course). I am really interested in science and health, but I'm not sure what to invest in exactly.

    I was just wondering if any of you have any recommendations or something you're looking at in science because I'd love if I was also helping the wonderful field of science through investing.

    But if you have any other stocks that you like or recommend as of right now or in the very close future, anything would help! Currently, I am also looking at AMD, but it's pretty high right now so I'm not exactly sure if that's a good idea to invest in as of right now.

    I'm just not sure where to start looking because I am pretty new to this and I thought it would be a good idea to ask some pros and people who know more about investing. Any advice or recommendations would help!! Thank you!

    submitted by /u/likesundayslikerain
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    UBS Assets Viewpoints

    Posted: 26 Nov 2019 09:28 AM PST

    Source: UBS

    Global Equities

    • We see a China-led stabilization of ex-US growth and the pause in US monetary policy tightening as key to prolonging the business cycle, just as they were in early 2016. In particular we view the probability of a recession in the coming year as low given the strength of labor markets and consumption across the developed world. We believe that the global economic growth is stabilizing around its trend rate.
    • After inconsistent Fed rhetoric prompted fears of a US monetary policy mistake in late 2018, a clearer and unequivocally more accommodative Fed narrative has emerged. In our view, the Fed is now likely to let the US economy 'run hot' in order to rebase inflation expectations. With scant evidence of significant momentum in US core inflation, the Fed has considerable breathing room.
    • The ability of China to cushion its slowdown continues to be key to the global economy and markets. The Chinese authorities have a broad range of policy tools at their disposal and have shown willingness to use the full breadth in achieving a difficult balancing act between de-risking a highly leveraged and capital inefficient Chinese economy and softening the slowdown prompted by those deleveraging initiatives.
    • In our view, risk assets discounted material concerns about factors including the potential impact of a protracted US/China trade war at the start of the year. The speed and scale of the rally in the face of disappointing macro data globally and downgrades to forward corporate earnings expectations suggest strongly that expectations for good news on US/China trade talks have now been largely priced in. We remain constructive on global equities, but the speed and scale of the rally in 2019 has tempered to a degree the conviction of that positive view. The likelihood of further material upside for risk assets in the short term is, in our view, now dependent on the ability of ex-US demand growth to accelerate from current weak levels to support earnings. In particular, the effectiveness of the broad array of measures progressed by the Chinese authorities to cushion their growth slowdown remains critical.
    • We retain a negative view overall on developed world duration over the medium term. With global growth showing signs of stabilization, we think it is too soon for the market to be pricing material easing from the Fed, although the risks around this view have increased with apparent Fed determination to boost inflation and inflation expectations. Across the Atlantic, we are unconvinced that the ECB will be unable to tighten this cycle. In our view, yield curves are likely to steepen as global growth rebounds along with inflation expectations. While wage growth has yet to materially impact core inflation measures, developed world labor markets continue to tighten. We see nominal yields moving gradually higher as output gaps close, wage growth accelerates and the global economy stabilizes. However, upside to nominal yields is likely limited by structural factors including fast ageing populations in the developed world and technology-driven price pressures.

    US Equities

    • During the first few months of the year, US equities benefited from a resilient domestic economy and a lower exposure to global growth factors compared to other major indices. While we do expect US stocks to remain supported by easy to beat consensus earnings expectations and solid US consumer demand, the recent pickup in Chinese exports and manufacturing activity should support ex-US stocks to a larger degree as they exhibit higher cyclicality and trade reliance. US equities trade at a premium relative to other markets leaving less room for further rerating.

    Global (Ex-US) Equities

    • In Europe, growth has decelerated considerably, due to external and domestic factors. Externally, China's slowdown and trade uncertainty negatively affected European exports. Domestically, political upheaval in Italy and France along with disruptive auto emissions regulations weighed on the economy. However, we expect those headwinds to fade over the coming months. European stocks remain supported by solid domestic demand dynamics, attractive valuations and by a likely stabilization of global economic conditions towards the second half of 2019.
    • We remain constructive on Japanese equities despite the recent headwinds from weak Chinese imports. Diminished political uncertainties and ongoing structural reforms are supportive of higher price multiples while a solid underlying domestic economy suggests the outlook for profits is stronger than markets are discounting.

    Emerging Markets (EM) Equities including China

    • Emerging market equities have this year underperformed developed market equities driven by a continued deterioration in earnings but the surge in Chinese social financing bodes well for EM growth over coming months.
    • We remain broadly positive on China in the expectation of further measures to cushion the domestic growth slowdown. Any broadening of the current trade stand-off with the US is likely to hamper Chinese growth, but a gradual economic slowdown is already priced in and the Chinese authorities have already shown themselves willing to provide monetary, fiscal and regulatory support to help smooth the ongoing economic transition. Chinese equities still trade at a PE discount to other markets and further market liberalization could prompt a rerating as international capital starts to flow into Chinese assets following the inclusion of onshore Chinese equities in MSCI's widely followed EM equity indices.

    Currency

    • As signs of stimulus from China begin to take hold, we expect ex-US growth to stabilize. Over time, we anticipate capital will flow from the US into earlier-cycle economies and that the USD will weaken, especially as the USD remains somewhat expensive on a real trade-weighted basis. Elsewhere, we continue to see strong valuation support for the JPY and see short AUD as an effective hedge against ongoing China weakness in an economy where domestic household leverage is likely to constrain growth.

    US Bonds

    • After the recent downward repricing of US rate expectations, 10yr nominal US Treasury yields appear reasonably value given our outlook. Nonetheless, US nominal yields look attractive relative to most other developed government bond markets on an unhedged basis. In the absence of a material pickup in inflation or term premium, yields are likely to remain range bound. Our overall assessment is neutral.

    Global (Ex-US) Bonds

    • In aggregate, we see global sovereign bonds outside of the US as unattractive. The ECB has committed to low rates for some time, limiting attractiveness of core Euro area bonds. We find Italian BTPs attractive on diminishing political risks. Swiss bonds continue to look very overvalued and in our view they have an increasingly asymmetric risk profile. The Swiss economy is relatively strong and we see Swiss bonds as vulnerable to attempts to normalize monetary policy by a Swiss National Bank increasingly concerned by the strength of the housing market.
    • Elsewhere we are more positive on Australian duration on a relative basis. We see the Reserve Bank of Australia taking a cautious approach to policy given elevated household leverage and slow inflation.

    Investment Grade (IG) Corporate Debt

    • Although we do not believe that a sharp demand slowdown is imminent, we believe IG spreads troughed for the cycle in early 2018. Moreover, we are concerned about increased supply, reduced demand, and potentially large number of "fallen angels" when the economic growth takes slows down significantly and downgrades begin.

    US High Yield Bonds

    • Current default rates in high yield are very low by historical standards. Given the still relatively positive economic backdrop, we do not expect a material pick-up in US defaults in the near term. However, after the significant recent rally, spreads have now tightened to a point where we see the balance of risks skewed towards more widening.

    Emerging Markets Debt

    • Spreads on EM debt relative to US Treasuries widened substantially in 2018 in the face of higher geopolitical risks, a strengthening USD and higher USD funding rates. However, EM local currency bond yields have rallied both in absolute terms and relative to the US yields since September while EM hard currency bonds yields began a rally in late November. This reflects investor expectations for a less hawkish Fed, less aggressive US trade policy, and/or more China stimulus.
    submitted by /u/blurryk
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    Forming a Holdings Company

    Posted: 26 Nov 2019 08:32 AM PST

    Hello r/investing, I recently joined this subreddit after getting very interested in having investments as main source income. I quickly learned about a type of company called a Holdings company. A company who's main objective is to own stock in companies. This seems like a very interesting way to go (considering various factors but mainly avoiding a lot of taxes, not all, but a lot). I'm 17 and will start investing most if not all of my income when I turn 18 (Thinking of a S&P 500 index fund). But in a foreseeable future where I would research companies and invest in various businesses and stocks, would a Holdings company be a viable or neccesary option? Apologies if some of this makes no sense, I'm pretty new to the investing scene. Thanks alot!

    Edit: I'd like to quickly add how amazing this community is, I post a question and no more than 20 minutes later I've gotten every thought answered and corrected, thanks alot!

    submitted by /u/LordMegamad
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    Giving Calls on Crude Oil Free Alerts

    Posted: 26 Nov 2019 05:33 PM PST

    Going to give some calls on /CL / QM, Maybe toss in TVIX and a couple other ETFs. Interested just leave a message below on what you trade of oil and ETFs

    submitted by /u/tc199
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    How do you reconcile geopolitical / political risks with valuations for international stocks?

    Posted: 26 Nov 2019 05:29 PM PST

    The US stock market has been on a huge run lately, and valuations are now expensive.

    Europe, Pacific, and Developing stocks are relatively cheap versus the fundamentals in comparison.

    However, Europe has numerous geopolitical and political risks, as well as other factors inhibiting growth. Among them: Brexit, weak and potentially at-risk banks, poor demographics, fiscal limits imposed by the EU, trade imbalances exacerbated by the Euro, and less flexible labor markets.

    Similarly, developing markets carry many various inherent risks and China in particular is difficult for political reasons.

    So what is your tipping point for when you decide to go international? Or do we all just keep our money in America where returns will likely slow due to overvaluation but at least we know capital appreciation is a narcotic and power mechanism jealously and violently guarded by a ruthless power elite which has conducted a silent coup detat over every economic, social, and political institution in this nation? As long as our financial interests are roughly aligned with the cabal of Goldman Sachs bankers, Lockheed Martin colonial death merchants and other venomous ghouls that really pull the strings in this nation, aren't we more likely to eke out a modest return to placate us just for a little longer while our atomized and powerless existences are gradually monopolized and saddled with ever increasing debt before being ultimately annihilated in The Great Cleansing?

    submitted by /u/TheLearningInvestor
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    401k Year-to-Date Performance

    Posted: 26 Nov 2019 01:31 PM PST

    Just curious how everyone is doing. What is your personal YTD performance?

    submitted by /u/arlwd5
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