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    Stocks - r/Stocks Daily Discussion & Options Trading Thursday - Oct 31, 2019

    October 31, 2019

    Stocks - r/Stocks Daily Discussion & Options Trading Thursday - Oct 31, 2019

    r/Stocks Daily Discussion & Options Trading Thursday - Oct 31, 2019

    Posted: 31 Oct 2019 01:06 AM PDT

    This is the daily discussion, so anything stocks related is fine, but the theme for today is on stock options, but if options aren't your thing then just ignore the theme and/or post your arguments against options here and not in the current post.

    Some helpful day to day links, including news:

    Required info to start understanding options:

    • Call option Investopedia video basically a call option allows you to buy 100 shares of a stock at a certain price (strike price), but without the obligation to buy
    • Put option Investopedia video a put option allows you to sell 100 shares of a stock at a certain price (strike price), but without the obligation to sell

    See the following word cloud and click through for the wiki:

    Call option - Put option - Exercising an option - Strike price - ITM - OTM - ATM - Long options - Short options - Combo - Debit - Credit or Premium - Covered call - Naked - Debit call spread - Credit call spread - Strangle - Iron condor - Vertical debit spreads - Iron Fly

    If you have a basic question, for example "what is delta," then google "investopedia delta" and click the investopedia article on it; do this for everything until you have a more in depth question or just want to share what you learned.

    See our past daily discussions here. Also links for: Technicals Tuesday, Options Trading Thursday, and Fundamentals Friday.

    submitted by /u/AutoModerator
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    By 2021: 50% of Apples Gross Margin will be from Services.

    Posted: 31 Oct 2019 05:39 AM PDT

    Right now services is 33% of Apples total gross margin. The gross margin on services is at an amazing 64.1%.

    At current grow rates services will make up 50% of total gross margin some time in 2021. Insane.

    Price Target: $300

    submitted by /u/ScotchBrandyBourbon
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    TSLA owes $570,669,500 due tomorrow to SCTY convertible debt holders

    Posted: 31 Oct 2019 01:04 PM PDT

    DIsney stocks in anticipation of disney plus' relase

    Posted: 31 Oct 2019 10:50 AM PDT

    looking to buy disney stocks because i heard disney plus will be a huge boost for disney. it is my first time buying stocks and i just made a qtrade account. wondering if anyone has any advice for me. should i sell after a week or wait for disney plus to go through its growing pains and wait a couple years to sell.

    submitted by /u/Turbn8ore
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    Does anyone have any insight into how people are able to calculate stock price levels/targets for stock price?

    Posted: 31 Oct 2019 10:21 AM PDT

    Before anyone says this can't be done, it can and there are people that are more than reasonably accurate at it. For instance, they can calculate levels on the SPY for the next day, where prices are going to hit and/or prices that are not likely to be broken. It is almost impossible to find any info on this but it has to be out there. It is more than support and resistance as well as option implied moves. People who can do this often will say, "I ran it through my model", or "I did the math on it". The most info I can get is that it is a combination of price, volume and time. Price and volume are one thing, but how to incorporate time baffles me. I doubt anyone will know, but I thought I would just throw it out there. If you don't know what I am referring to, check twitter and you can track these people down.

    Edit: As a side note, these people will often use foot print charts

    Edit 2: They often will say a price won't get over a certain level, because there are no buyers there. How can you find that data?

    submitted by /u/fireballxl_5
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    CREE Down 15.8% from close to this mornings drop

    Posted: 31 Oct 2019 07:41 AM PDT

    It's still looking low at the moment. I know Cree is involved with LED light fixtures and components.

    If the cannabis industry takes off I believe the LED lighting industry would also follow suit.

    I'm predicting that the more states that legalize medical and recreational cannabis, Cannabis stocks and associated industries would bring in more revenue.

    What Stocks do you think will get some rising action around the 2020 elections?

    submitted by /u/Lucious_Nicholas
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    Future Of Tesla

    Posted: 31 Oct 2019 09:52 AM PDT

    I'm seeing so many mixed opinions on the company financially, what are your thoughts on their value? Worth the investment? Do you see growth for the long-term?

    submitted by /u/DelaRosaX
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    TWTR: right time to buy?

    Posted: 31 Oct 2019 08:52 AM PDT

    Is the stock undervalued right now because of the fall?

    submitted by /u/Daniel_Solo
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    Question from a novice

    Posted: 31 Oct 2019 01:52 PM PDT

    Not sure if this is the right sub, but.... I have an acorns account, basically a robo-advisor that deals with ETFs.

    If I look at each of my funds individually, they all show ytd returns of more than 13%. Some are as high as 25%. The only exception is a treasury bond ETF that has a ytd return of 1.35%, which constitutes about 19% of my portfolio.

    But when I look at the overall ytd earnings for my entire portfolio, it shows a return of about 6%. If almost all of my vanguard funds have earnings over 13%, why am I not seeing higher returns on my entire portfolio? Is the treasury bond fund bringing the average down?

    submitted by /u/BlkCdr
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    Comparing Beyond Meat & Tesla

    Posted: 31 Oct 2019 01:29 PM PDT

    Posted this in the investing sub, but there wasn't a whole lot of interest.

    Not pumping either stock, just looking to make comparisons which might give insight as to where Beyond could be in say 5 years. Most of the discussion I see here has only been about the share-price in the near future.

    https://finance.yahoo.com/news/how-beyond-meat-is-like-tesla-194635661.html

    I honestly like this comparison a lot, if only since it gives a good foundation for honest discussion about the company itself, rather than the short-term behavior of the stock.

    Similarities:

    • Stock has/had more hype than any other public company and is extremely volatile
    • Product appeals to those looking to reduce carbon footprint
    • Game plan is to make this product desirable for other reasons
    • Long term goal is to match/beat price point of market standard product.
    • Big name competitors pose competitive risk, have much larger RnD budgets (Much of which, however, is already allocated towards portions of their business which don't directly compete)
    • Early sales were sky high despite price point.

    ———————————————————

    The biggest difference: Sports cars, being a luxury item, and cars in general have a much smaller consumer population than people who eat burgers. This isn't relevant to sales, but you're going to have a much wider survey of people comparing the product to the non-eco friendly alternative.

    Compared Advantages:

    Tesla Advantages:

    • Tesla didn't have a comparable company like Impossible competing with it.
    • I think it's easier to make a sports car desirable than it is a synthetic meat compound.
    • One could maybe argue that Elon is a better project manager given his engineering background.

    Beyond Advantages:

    • Beyond's sales benefit from being able to sell product through well established brands who manage much of the consumer-side expense (marketing, vending labor, geographic penetration). Tesla specifically avoided this by not selling through dealerships.

      • Note: This can also make the product less "shiny" in the eyes of the consumer, which increases the risk that other brands will be able to grab the attention of consumers while also decreasing consumer perception should consumers fail to differentiate between the two products (one being better in quality).
    submitted by /u/feelitrealgood
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    KULR Technology CEO interviewed on Cheddar today

    Posted: 31 Oct 2019 01:23 PM PDT

    Space Tech Company Sending Storage Bags to Contain Battery Explosions to ISS:

    https://cheddar.com/media/space-tech-company-sending-storage-bags-to-prevent-battery-explosions-to-iss

    ​

    About KULR Technology Group, Inc.
    KULR Technology Group, Inc. (OTCQB: KULR) develops, manufactures and licenses next-generation carbon fiber thermal management technologies for batteries and electronic systems. Leveraging the company's roots in developing breakthrough cooling solutions for NASA deep space missions and backed by a strong intellectual property portfolio, KULR enables leading aerospace, electronics and electric vehicle manufacturers to make their products cooler, lighter and safer for the consumer. For more information, please visit www.kulrtechnology.com.

    Safe Harbor Statement
    This release does not constitute an offer to sell or a solicitation of offers to buy any securities of any entity. This release contains certain forward-looking statements based on our current expectations, forecasts and assumptions that involve risks and uncertainties. Forward-looking statements in this release are based on information available to us as of the date hereof. Our actual results may differ materially from those stated or implied in such forward-looking statements, due to risks and uncertainties associated with our business, which include the risk factors disclosed in our parent entity's Form 10-K filed on March 29, 2019. Forward-looking statements include statements regarding our expectations, beliefs, intentions or strategies regarding the future and can be identified by forward-looking words such as "anticipate," "believe," "could," "estimate," "expect," "intend," "may," "should," and "would" or similar words. We assume no obligation to update the information included in this press release, whether as a result of new information, future events or otherwise.

    submitted by /u/supernova2020
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    Why it is Time to Dump Knight-Swift (KNX) From Your Portfolio

    Posted: 31 Oct 2019 07:22 AM PDT

    Knight-Swift Transportation Holdings Inc. KNX has been lying low for quite sometime now, thanks to persistent softness in freight demand. Consequently, revenues at the trucking segment (major source of revenues) are being hampered. Amid this weak freight scenario, an increased supply of trucks is putting downward pressure on pricing. Stiff competition in the intermodal space is further weighing on the company's performance. Additionally, high capital expenditures are hurting its bottom line.

    Knight-Swift's recently released (on Oct 23) third-quarter earnings report bears evidence to this dismal picture. The company's third-quarter earnings (excluding 4 cents from non-recurring items) of 48 cents were in line with the Zacks Consensus Estimate. However, the bottom line decreased 26.2% year over year. Total revenues of $1,200.5 million lagged the Zacks Consensus Estimate of $1,225.7 million and also declined 10.8% year over year.

    This weak show is well reflected in the company's price performance in the past seven days. Over this period, Knight-Swift has gained 2.8%, underperforming its industry's 3.1% rise.

    Earnings Report in Detail

    Third-quarter results were affected primarily by low revenues at the trucking and intermodal segment. Notably, increased competition in the intermodal space induced 10.3% and 6.8% reduction in volumes and revenue per load, respectively.

    Effective tax rate in the third quarter was unchanged year over year at 24.6%. For the full year, the same (before discrete items) is still expected in the 25-26% range.

    From the first quarter of 2019 onward, the company started reporting under three segments, namely Trucking, Logistics and Intermodal following the realignment of its segments.

    Segmental Results

    Revenues in the Trucking segment totaled (excluding fuel surcharge and intersegment transactions) $876.38 million, down 6.4% year over year. Results were hampered by 6.4% decrease in average revenue per tractor (miles per tractor declined 4.1%). Adjusted segmental operating income fell 22.1% to $109.76 million. Adjusted operating ratio (operating expenses as a percentage of revenues) also deteriorated to 87.5% in the third quarter from 84.9% a year ago. Notably, lower value of this key metric bodes well for the company.

    Revenues in the Logistics segment (before intersegment transactions) amounted to $83.63 million, declining 24.9% year over year due to 25% fall in brokerage revenues. While adjusted operating ratio deteriorated 470 basis points (bps) to 95.6%, segmental operating income plunged 63.6%.

    Revenues in the Intermodal segment (excluding intersegment transactions) totaled $108.76 million, down 16.4% year over year as a result of 10.3% fall in load counts. Segmental adjusted operating ratio of 102.4% deteriorated 980 bps while operating loss came in at $2,652 million against operating income of $9,688 million reported a year ago.

    Operating Results

    Total operating expenses decreased 8.7% year over year to $1.1 billion. Adjusted operating ratio (defined as operating expenses as a percentage of revenues) deteriorated to 89.6% from 87.1% reported in the year ago quarter. Knight-Swift's adjusted operating income declined 27.4% year over year to $113.71 million due to weaker segmental revenues.

    Liquidity

    The company exited the third quarter with cash and cash equivalents of $94 million compared with $82.49 million at the end of 2018. Long-term debt (less current portion) amounted to $364.77 million compared with $364.59 million in December 2018. During the first nine months of 2019, Knight-Swift repurchased shares worth $86.9 million and returned $31.2 million to shareholders through dividend payments.

    Outlook

    The company expects seasonal improvement in demand during the ongoing quarter albeit lower than previously anticipated. In 2020, it hopes to see a better freight environment.

    Negative Estimate Revisions

    The pessimism surrounding the stock is evident from the Zacks Consensus Estimate for 2019 earnings being revised 5% downward in the past 60 days.

    Given this bleak backdrop, the company's Zacks Rank #5 (Strong Sell) is well justified and hence we believe investors should discard this stock from their portfolios at the moment.

    https://finance.yahoo.com/news/why-time-dump-knight-swift-135201843.html

    submitted by /u/thinkB4WeSpeak
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    Pinterest stock plunges 18% on revenue miss and disappointing forecast

    Posted: 31 Oct 2019 01:18 PM PDT

    https://www.cnbc.com/2019/10/31/pinterest-pins-stock-falls-after-third-quarter-sales-miss.html

    Earnings per share: 23 cents

    Revenue: $279.9 million, vs $280.6 million forecast by Refinitiv

    Monthly active users: 322 million, vs. 322.8 million forecast by FactSet

    Average revenue per user: 90 cents, vs 91 cents forecast by FactSet

    submitted by /u/coolcomfort123
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    Dividend Growth Portfolio

    Posted: 31 Oct 2019 09:32 AM PDT

    Hey! I am trying to build a dividend growth portfolio. Using Dividend.com, SimplySafeDividends, Dividend Aristocrats and MacroTrends I selected some companies to invest in. What do you think about the chosen companies? Am I missing something? I looked for healthy Dividend Yields, Payout Ratio, Growth Rate, Debt-to-Equity Ratio and Dividend Safety Score.

    ** The List:**

    Pfizer Inc. (PFE);

    Archer Daniels Midland Co. (ADM);

    Chevron Corporation (CVX);

    Franklin Resources, Inc. (BEN);

    Nucor Corporation (NUE);

    Maybe List:

    Wells Fargo

    Cummins

    3M

    A.O. Smith

    Consolidated E.

    submitted by /u/IamKeldec
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    Why on earth does this show sell signal? Imgur link

    Posted: 31 Oct 2019 12:52 PM PDT

    https://imgur.com/gallery/OzKxGMw

    Why on earth does this have a sell signal? Isn't that a morning star pattern indicating stock will probably go up, just like it did?

    submitted by /u/BrandNewTrader
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    Making Stock app

    Posted: 31 Oct 2019 12:51 PM PDT

    I am thinking to make an app that can possibly replace this subreddit. So stock/investing community app. The ultimate goal of app is to help investors make wiser decisions.

    However I found Stocktwit is doing similar thing. I want to differentiate and want to hear how you guys think and what you need. Any idea and suggestions will be really preciated. What features will be needed?

    I thought about giving users virtual money and let them trade based on the market and make their portfolio and share. But not sure it will be a good way to differentiate

    submitted by /u/steadyaction
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    How reliable is this information?

    Posted: 31 Oct 2019 06:47 AM PDT

    This article claims that this highspeed rail in China is more profitable than Apple. Here is the headline:

    "China's Beijing-Shanghai high-speed rail operator is more profitable than Apple, plans stock market listing"

    How reliable is this claim. Can it be verified?

    https://www.scmp.com/economy/china-economy/article/3034780/beijing-shanghai-high-speed-rail-operator-plans-stock-market

    submitted by /u/hcbaron
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    Which category of stocks have the most potential for insane gains?

    Posted: 31 Oct 2019 11:48 AM PDT

    Aside from tech. Healthcare maybe? I'm talking 10-15 year horizons. I've seen a fair few healthcare stocks with 3000-5000% gains.

    submitted by /u/Stutterer2101
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    Most Anticipated Earnings Releases for the week beginning November 4th, 2019

    Posted: 31 Oct 2019 11:48 AM PDT

    IMPORTANT NOTICE!

    Hi r/stocks! I am just putting out next week's most anticipated earnings calendar a day earlier than usual due to not being able to get around to do this tomorrow or this weekend. I really don't like to post these up any earlier than Friday's because sometimes the calendars can look a bit wonky where you might see some companies on the calendar that are actually not scheduled to report, or are reporting on another day, etc etc. but unfortunately I don't really have much of an option here...it's either putting this up now or no earnings thread at all for next week. Anyway, please do me this favor everyone and review carefully the companies that are scheduled to report on their respective days for next week. Admittedly, I did not get a chance to confirm all the companies that are on this week's calendar are actually reporting, but if you see something that doesn't look right, as far as a company that is listed up on this calendar on a particular day that isn't expected to report, please just post a little notice in this thread so that everyone is made aware of it! I'd greatly appreciate that. It's very possible that there are some company logos on this calendar that are misplaced here. FWIW, I do not create these calendars. These are coming straight from EW (Earnings Whispers). Thank you!

    Here are the most notable earnings releases for the trading week beginning November 4th, 2019.

    Below are some of the notable companies coming out with earnings releases this upcoming trading week ahead which includes the date/time of release & consensus estimates courtesy of Earnings Whispers:

    Monday 11.4.19 Before Market Open:

    (CLICK HERE FOR MONDAY'S PRE-MARKET EARNINGS TIME & ESTIMATES!)

    Monday 11.4.19 After Market Close:

    (CLICK HERE FOR MONDAY'S AFTER-MARKET EARNINGS TIME & ESTIMATES LINK #1!)
    (CLICK HERE FOR MONDAY'S AFTER-MARKET EARNINGS TIME & ESTIMATES LINK #2!)

    Tuesday 11.5.19 Before Market Open:

    (CLICK HERE FOR TUESDAY'S PRE-MARKET EARNINGS TIME & ESTIMATES LINK #1!)
    (CLICK HERE FOR TUESDAY'S PRE-MARKET EARNINGS TIME & ESTIMATES LINK #2!)

    Tuesday 11.5.19 After Market Close:

    (CLICK HERE FOR TUESDAY'S AFTER-MARKET EARNINGS TIME & ESTIMATES LINK #1!)
    (CLICK HERE FOR TUESDAY'S AFTER-MARKET EARNINGS TIME & ESTIMATES LINK #2!)
    (CLICK HERE FOR TUESDAY'S AFTER-MARKET EARNINGS TIME & ESTIMATES LINK #3!)

    Wednesday 11.6.19 Before Market Open:

    (CLICK HERE FOR WEDNESDAY'S PRE-MARKET EARNINGS TIME & ESTIMATES LINK #1!)
    (CLICK HERE FOR WEDNESDAY'S PRE-MARKET EARNINGS TIME & ESTIMATES LINK #2!)

    Wednesday 11.6.19 After Market Close:

    (CLICK HERE FOR WEDNESDAY'S AFTER-MARKET EARNINGS TIME & ESTIMATES LINK #1!)
    (CLICK HERE FOR WEDNESDAY'S AFTER-MARKET EARNINGS TIME & ESTIMATES LINK #2!)
    (CLICK HERE FOR WEDNESDAY'S AFTER-MARKET EARNINGS TIME & ESTIMATES LINK #3!)

    Thursday 11.7.19 Before Market Open:

    (CLICK HERE FOR THURSDAY'S PRE-MARKET EARNINGS TIME & ESTIMATES LINK #1!)
    (CLICK HERE FOR THURSDAY'S PRE-MARKET EARNINGS TIME & ESTIMATES LINK #2!)
    (CLICK HERE FOR THURSDAY'S PRE-MARKET EARNINGS TIME & ESTIMATES LINK #3!)

    Thursday 11.7.19 After Market Close:

    (CLICK HERE FOR THURSDAY'S AFTER-MARKET EARNINGS TIME & ESTIMATES LINK #1!)
    (CLICK HERE FOR THURSDAY'S AFTER-MARKET EARNINGS TIME & ESTIMATES LINK #2!)
    (CLICK HERE FOR THURSDAY'S AFTER-MARKET EARNINGS TIME & ESTIMATES LINK #3!)

    Friday 11.8.19 Before Market Open:

    (CLICK HERE FOR FRIDAY'S PRE-MARKET EARNINGS TIME & ESTIMATES!)

    Friday 11.8.19 After Market Close:

    ([CLICK HERE FOR FRIDAY'S AFTER-MARKET EARNINGS TIME & ESTIMATES!]())

    NONE.

    Have a great weekend ahead r/stocks.

    submitted by /u/bigbear0083
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    Why the hell are prices on Ameritrade and Charles Schwab delayed even when you are signed in?

    Posted: 31 Oct 2019 11:26 AM PDT

    I'm signed in with an account that has no money yet but still

    submitted by /u/BrandNewTrader
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    Thoughts on Starbucks post earnings? no earnings thread was created

    Posted: 31 Oct 2019 11:00 AM PDT

    Looks like they're doing well in China, didn't really experience a slowdown

    submitted by /u/MotleyMoney
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    $M a good buy?

    Posted: 31 Oct 2019 10:53 AM PDT

    Noob question, I have some shared of $M and I see that it pays pretty good dividends (~$0.3 a share). At $14-$15 price range I think it's a pretty good buy. Am I being stupid?

    submitted by /u/archit_g
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    What's going on with AMD?

    Posted: 31 Oct 2019 09:28 AM PDT

    Just jumped 3% after lukewarm reactions to its ER a few days back - any idea what's going on?

    submitted by /u/keebwarrior92
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    EBAY

    Posted: 31 Oct 2019 09:21 AM PDT

    The stock is low right now and has been falling for a long time. Is anybody buying?

    submitted by /u/Daniel_Solo
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