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    Friday, May 31, 2019

    Daily Advice Thread - All basic help or advice questions must be posted here. Investing

    Daily Advice Thread - All basic help or advice questions must be posted here. Investing


    Daily Advice Thread - All basic help or advice questions must be posted here.

    Posted: 30 May 2019 05:14 AM PDT

    If your question is "I have $10,000, what do I do?" or other "advice for my personal situation" questions. If you are going to ask how to invest you should include relevant information, such as the following:

    • How old are you?
    • Are you employed/making income? How much?
    • What are your objectives with this money? (buy a house? Retirement savings?)
    • What is your risk tolerance? (Do you mind risking it at blackjack or do you need to know its 100% safe?)
    • What are you current holdings? (Do you already have exposure to specific funds and sectors?)
    • Any other assets? House paid off? Cars? Expensive significant other?
    • What is your time horizon? Do you need this money next month? Next 20yrs?
    • Any big debts?
    • Any other relevant financial information will be useful to give you a proper answer.

    Please consider consulting our FAQ first - https://www.reddit.com/r/investing/wiki/faq

    Be aware that these answers are just opinions of Redditors and should be used as a starting point for your research. You should strongly consider seeing a registered financial rep before making any financial decisions!

    submitted by /u/AutoModerator
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    Uber posts net loss of $1 billion, in line with company projections, in first earnings report since IPO

    Posted: 30 May 2019 01:07 PM PDT

    Net loss: $1.01 billion, vs. $1.01 billion estimated, according to Refinitv

    Revenue: $3.10 billion, vs. $3.04 billion estimated, according to Refinitiv

    https://www.cnbc.com/2019/05/30/uber-earnings-q1-2019.html

    submitted by /u/pipsdontsqueak
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    Trump says US will impose 5% tariff on all Mexican imports from June 10

    Posted: 30 May 2019 04:40 PM PDT

    The Bond market is now pricing in a greater chance for THREE rate cuts (by the end of 2019) than they are the chance of us keeping our current rate of 225-250. Do you believe that the bond market is mistaken, or the Fed is mistaken?

    Posted: 30 May 2019 08:22 PM PDT

    For the 11 Dec 2019 Fed meeting, the market is now pricing in a ~16% chance (at time of writing) for THREE rate cuts (down to 150-175). This was not the case just yesterday. In comparison, the chance of us having the same rate that we have now is ~12%.

    This is such a huge difference. Even more insane? An around equal chance for FOUR rate cuts by the January Fed meeting. I can't even right now. By the way, the 3m/10y spread is inverted by almost 20 basis points. Literally can't even.

    This is insane, right? I think the market is way too on edge and that the Fed is more right here with their most recent words on the matter of rates. But saying the bond market is wrong "this time around" have always ended up being famous last words.

    submitted by /u/lulzcakes
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    Boomers and birth rates...

    Posted: 30 May 2019 06:32 AM PDT

    Disclaimer: This is probably a stupid question, I'm not exactly what you'd call an investing mastermind.

    Anyways first off, when the boomers all start retiring en masse, will this not have a negative effect on the market? I figure this because they're obviously going to all cash out sooner or later, therefore, won't this massive sell off be a negative force for the market?

    As for birthrates, they're down sharply. My generation doesn't seem to be down with the whole kid thing. Won't this lack of buyers in the market also be a detriment?

    Thanks. Bonus points if you manage not to insult me :)

    submitted by /u/itsmeim23
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    Buffet's 90/10 Plan

    Posted: 31 May 2019 01:19 AM PDT

    What do you guys think about Warren Buffet's 90% Equity Index/10% Gov/Cash plan for his wife and heirs?

    submitted by /u/TheArtofBenis
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    Is there even a point in analysing stocks?

    Posted: 30 May 2019 03:04 PM PDT

    My view is that there is no point analysing stocks on your own, especially stocks that are so popular like Apple, Visa, Mastercard, etc. These stocks are so analysed by full time Analysts. So what makes people think they can make a better forecast on such stocks?

    Anyone disagree?

    submitted by /u/sgfinancialmartinet
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    Fidelity allowing customers to short $UBER interest-free (while supplies last)

    Posted: 30 May 2019 08:34 AM PDT

    After trading on Tuesday (May 28th), Bloomberg reported that Uber bears had already snapped up 70% of available shares to short. With a float 5.5x that of $LYFT and exceedingly low interest rates (<1% for $UBER compared to ~30% for $LYFT), this is not all that surprising.

    Fidelity currently has about 3mm shares available to short interest-free (the 0.63% interst rate taken care of via client rebate).

    $UBER Ticket

    $LYFT Ticket

    submitted by /u/RandallStephens
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    Getting closer to retirement and my IRA is all S&P 500. Do you see any issue with selling those funds and just putting them in a vanguard target fund?

    Posted: 30 May 2019 03:23 PM PDT

    Do you see anything wrong with my plan?

    submitted by /u/drunkbackpacker
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    Amazon interested in buying Boost from T-Mobile / Sprint.

    Posted: 30 May 2019 04:45 PM PDT

    https://ca.reuters.com/article/topNews/idCAKCN1T02OV-OCATP

    Would this be a big leap for Amazon, getting into the cellular-service industry? Or will it just be a little side project for them? (If they were to make a deal).

    Also - what do we think they would be willing to pay?

    submitted by /u/Tomato__Potato
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    DCF for stocks with multiple listing on different currencies?

    Posted: 30 May 2019 11:43 PM PDT

    I will use an example so what I am asking hopefully makes sense.

    Take AAPL, primarily listed on NASDAQ and also on Xetra (Euros). I am interested to purchase AAPL on Xetra since I am in Europe. For DCF, I usually use the 10-Y Bond Rate to calculate Perpetual Growth and Cost of Equity, I am a bit more traditional in my DCF approach but that's the one I feel more confortable with. In my case I see 2 ways to approach DCF but i am not sure which way is the best.

    1. Use the 10-Year DE Govt Bond Rate instead of 10-Year US Govt Bond Rate as Perpetual Growth Rate. That brings me to fair value of $204 which i then convert to euros, so ~ 184.29 Euros.

    2. Use the 10-Year US Govt Bond Rate, that brings me to a fair value of $182 which I then convert to euros, so ~ 164 Euros.

    The difference is of course due to the fact that the German 10Y Bond rate is 0.2% while the US is at 2.7%. So what's common practice and how do you folks approach discounting foreign stocks?

    Thanks

    submitted by /u/fecupevuf
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    How to choose between WM, RSG and WCN?

    Posted: 30 May 2019 11:42 PM PDT

    Hi, I'm new to this and I was wondering what is the best way to choose which to invest. Should I read SEC filings? Which would you pick and why?

    submitted by /u/I_lost_my_penguin
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    Created excel models for my finance class!

    Posted: 30 May 2019 12:18 PM PDT

    Rising senior finance and computer science student with lots of free time during my internship, so I decided to put it to use by making excel models for all the chapters in my finance class.

    Topics covered include annuities, bond math, cash flows, net present value, payback period, profitability index, capital structure and weights, cost of capital, and investment analysis!

    Let me know what you think!

    submitted by /u/seventhandgreen
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    How do I sell pre IPO shares?

    Posted: 30 May 2019 06:11 PM PDT

    I would like to sell 10% of shares I have from working at a tech company a few years ago. I've heard of early employees at tech companies who have sold shares in the secondary market to get some liquidity, although I don't know any of them personally. I left the industry awhile back and I come from a humble background, I don't know any lawyers or financial advisors or venture capitalists to get advice on how this works.

    Let's say I find a buyer and the company approves the sale. How do these sales typically get executed? Do I need to get a lawyer to negotiate terms and draw up a contract? Does the buyer then wire me cash? What percentage does the lawyer take? How do I make sure I don't get taken advantage of? How do I even find a lawyer for this? I'm a bit embarrassed how basic these questions are. Any help in the right direction would be much appreciated. Thanks so much.

    submitted by /u/PracticalSwan
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    Real time tracking of Donald Trump's impact around the world

    Posted: 31 May 2019 12:36 AM PDT

    Hey guys, Trends.getdata.io tracks the real time impact of Donald Trump's activities around the world via news headlines from around the world. It has proven to be very helpful for my swing trading purposes. Hope you find it as useful as I did.

    submitted by /u/garyjob
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    Anyone use 'the little book that beats the market' magic formula?

    Posted: 30 May 2019 12:59 PM PDT

    Has anyone had any luck investing as per 'The little book that beats the markets.'?

    I find it hard to believe that using his website, which picks the stocks for you, and buying those stocks each year then selling them at the end of the year and then buying new stocks the next year, works.

    Has anyone have insight into this?

    https://www.amazon.ca/Little-Book-Still-Beats-Market/dp/0470624159

    https://www.magicformulainvesting.com/

    submitted by /u/cannainform2
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    'Bond king’ Gundlach believes bond yields may have bottomed for now

    Posted: 30 May 2019 06:19 AM PDT

    https://www.cnbc.com/2019/05/30/bond-king-gundlach-believes-bond-yields-may-have-bottomed-for-now.html

    Gundlach wrote on Twitter that the recent swing in Treasury prices may have as much to do with crowd mentality as anything else.

    "Long maturity US Treasury price action today was consistent with a blowoff momentum top," the founder of DoubleLine Capital wrote.

    The 10-year Treasury note yield was down about 25 basis points in May.

    submitted by /u/coolcomfort123
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    Moving abroad — Fidelity wants to close account

    Posted: 30 May 2019 10:24 AM PDT

    I'm a US resident alien and have been with Fidelity for about 3 years now. I'm gonna move to Canada next month and, to my surprise, Fidelity told me that they would restrict my account and not allow me to buy stocks/bonds/options/mutual funds as soon as I change my address. Previously, I was told this rule would only apply to mutual funds, but apparently they've changed their policy.

    Long story short, I don't want to give up my account. I have portfolio margin, free trades, custom commissions, and other perks I don't want to lose. Since there are several services that provide US street addresses to their customers, I was wondering if it is legal to trick Fidelity into thinking I still live in the US. To be clear: I would of course follow all tax regulations and file my US taxes as a non-resident alien living in Canada.

    submitted by /u/kaleero2
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    Why is Gazprom so cheap?

    Posted: 30 May 2019 08:43 AM PDT

    Just doing a cursory glance at the numbers gazprom seems really cheap. Its dividend yield is more than double its P/E ratio. I know there are some sanction threats over the nordstream 2 pipeline, but gazprom had over 1.4 trillion dollars in revenue last year. It's not like they need that pipeline to get gas to Europe or keep up the dividend. What do you think?

    submitted by /u/pr0eliator
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    Margin Interest

    Posted: 30 May 2019 06:26 PM PDT

    I would greatly appreciate if someone can help me on a question I have on borrowing on margin. If you borrow on margin on what day is margin interest due. Is it paid monthly? daily? on sell?

    I have been searching forever and can't seem to get a clear and concise answer so I figured someone here can help me.

    submitted by /u/ScipioAfricanusMAJ
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    P/E Buyout — Hold or Sell?

    Posted: 30 May 2019 08:12 PM PDT

    A company I own (Aramark : ARMK)has had some news regarding a possible private equity buyout. The stock had a decent pop today but is still a ways off my price target of $38. Does anyone have any experience with stocks that have been bought out buy private equity firms? Do they usually do a cash buyout at a discount or premium to the firms market price or is it hard to tell. Deciding if I should hold on or sell. Thanks

    submitted by /u/slickparrot
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    To Err Is Human (Behavioral Biases in Investing)

    Posted: 30 May 2019 05:50 AM PDT

    Insightful article about behavioral biases in investing

    https://www.morningstar.com/articles/931235/to-err-is-human.html

    submitted by /u/gmishuris
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    Looking for CEOS like Tom Chappell

    Posted: 30 May 2019 06:37 PM PDT

    Hey guys,

    I want to invest in mission-based (preferably faith-based) organizations, like Tom's of Maine. Do you know of any strong companies with CEOs who are Christian (i.e. not just bible-banging-Hobby-Lobby-Christian, but strongly committed to taking care of employees/consumers/the earth)?

    Thanks!

    submitted by /u/vermillionit
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    $ELTK Due Diligence, Why You Should Stay Away!

    Posted: 30 May 2019 02:10 PM PDT

    - It is almost trading 800% higher than its net tangible book value, which is $1.14!!!

    -They only reported a 200k quarterly profit! Not that big of a deal!

    -So why did it go up so much?? Take a look at their most recent 13-D. 69% of the float is controlled by 2 people!

    - If you do the math, there are only 2.4 million shares available in the secondary markets, and if you look at the chart, it looks like somebody already purchased a large block of that.

    Conclusion, bullish in the very short term, like the next few days, but long term I'd be very wary! Honestly it's hard to gauge something with a share count so low, but it can't keep going up forever, and as of now, if you price the shares at $8.00, ELTK's market cap is $43 200 000, which would give it an implied forward P/E ratio of 43! Also, the 70% shareholder is up almost 800%!!!! Be careful!

    https://interactiveswingtrading.com/2019/05/29/3499/

    submitted by /u/Stocks45
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