How long have you been holding out for a market crash? Investing |
- How long have you been holding out for a market crash?
- Bitcoin up 15% in the last 2 hours
- Motley Fool takes down top spot comparing "Fool 100" to "S&P" performance that has been there for the past year
- Received this brainteaser in an interview today. No right or wrong answer but curious for everyone's thoughts.
- Investment Hypothesis: The market is fundamentally mis-pricing climate risk and reward.
- Free access to Morningstar (library) doesn't work anymore? Anybody can help?
- Where do you get the most accurate data on a stock?
- Singapore Airlines Ground 2, 787-10 for "Trent 1000 TEN" engine defects
- Yahoo Finance: The most successful people have parents who [talk about career and finance with kids]
- LYFT down sharply on first day post-IPO
- What has been the Best/Worst Investment you have ever made?
- Starting to invest but not satisfied with VTI
- China numbers
- German equivalent for U.S. Treasury Bill yield?
- With a possible recssion looming, how many of you are long on Gold?
- Historical average returns for top market indexes?
- Ways to Invest in Space
- Can you short munis?
- Advice on how I can get funded trading stocks?
- Investing in individual humans to share in their income?!
- Are those sites that allow you to buy pre-IPO shares legit?
- Best bond ETF for a downturn?
- Accumulation and distribution indicator
- Vending machines
| How long have you been holding out for a market crash? Posted: 01 Apr 2019 08:20 PM PDT Anyone going to cash now and deciding how long they'll stay liquid? Anyone been liquid since 2015-17 and regret it (or not)? How do you weigh risk/reward for sitting on CDs or cash now? Twist: what would you be doing if you knew you wanted a 1st house 2-4 years from now? [link] [comments]  |
| Bitcoin up 15% in the last 2 hours Posted: 01 Apr 2019 11:39 PM PDT |
| Posted: 01 Apr 2019 03:20 PM PDT I've nominally followed the Motley Fool on and off for the past 5 - 10 years. When I first discovered I remember they compared a couple of their services to the S&P and all were beating it handily - at the time I was quite naive and was impressed with their results. A couple years ago I came across them again and noticed they were comparing the Fool 100 to the S&P in the old spot. Again they were beating it considerably. Recently I've noticed the gap between Fool 100 and S&P has been shrinking and over the weekend they took down the comparison chart so it only shows the Fool 100 solo (top right on the website) I now realize they do what all companies do. Have a shit ton of funds - some will do awesome, some will average the market, and some will such - then you hype the shit out of the funds that do awesome while in fine print stating "past performance is no guarantee of future returns". I actually like some of their content and podcasts but it's a pretty shady thing to do and disappointed they are knowingly being deceptive. [link] [comments]  |
| Posted: 01 Apr 2019 07:45 PM PDT "I have a box that either has zero or $100 inside. Each outcome has a 50% probability. It costs $20 to open it and find out. I only have $10 so I need someone to invest another $10 with me. If there is nothing inside the box, we both get zero. In the event that there is $100 inside the box, how much of the $100 would you require as your return for you to want to invest with me?" Thoughts? If you could fill out your expected return in this poll that would be great (https://www.surveymonkey.com/r/HFQ7MYQ). I am trying to figure out what a "consensus" fair value price would be. Thanks! [link] [comments]  |
| Investment Hypothesis: The market is fundamentally mis-pricing climate risk and reward. Posted: 01 Apr 2019 03:06 PM PDT Hi All, This is a bold statement, but I believe the market is significantly mis-pricing the risks around climate change from several angles (see below). I think it's relatively uncontroversial to suggest that capitalism in general has trouble dealing with negative externalities. My investment hypothesis is that certain industries are in effect taking on increasing, uncompensated, and unacknowledged climate risk every year (e.g. insurance, oil supermajors, coastal real estate holding companies, etc.). At the same time, other industries (e.g. clean technology, water processing / desalination, etc.) have increased upside given the nature of these risks.
To hedge this risk I am investing 20% of my portfolio in renewable MLPs, clean technology ETFs, and private infrastructure companies. Although historically these asset classes have lagged broader market benchmarks, I believe we will start to see political pressure to invest dramatically in these areas, e.g. the Green New Deal. More importantly I think governments will attempt to finance large scale climate adaption projects via public-private partnerships due to budget constraints. Note: my timeline for investments is 10-20 years. I do not foresee significant climate impacts in the next several years, although there are a number of climate non-linearities that we simply don't know / cannot model (e.g. melting permafrost releasing significant amounts of methane into the atmosphere leading to a dire feedback cycle). Thoughts? [link] [comments]  |
| Free access to Morningstar (library) doesn't work anymore? Anybody can help? Posted: 02 Apr 2019 02:35 AM PDT Hi, I used to be able to access library.morningstar.com via a local library but now I get an "access denied" message. Does anybody know how you can still acess the above or full morningtar for free? I live in Europe so maybe it just blocks my IP or something. I don't get it. It used to work well for a long time. [link] [comments]  |
| Where do you get the most accurate data on a stock? Posted: 01 Apr 2019 08:07 PM PDT Like the real p/e, peg, eps etc. Different sources say different numbers for the same stock. [link] [comments]  |
| Singapore Airlines Ground 2, 787-10 for "Trent 1000 TEN" engine defects Posted: 02 Apr 2019 12:24 AM PDT |
| Yahoo Finance: The most successful people have parents who [talk about career and finance with kids] Posted: 01 Apr 2019 08:49 PM PDT https://finance.yahoo.com/video/most-successful-people-parents-180547864.html An ad exists at the beginning of this video. The ad ends at 0:57. I was watching the market, and saw this video at first seems so irrelevant to what's going on about Monday's market (bull, Lyft, quarterly expectation, etc). But as I watched it, the journalists at Yahoo Finance are actually making an excellent, excellent point. As a prideful man, sometimes I think I know better, but I have to admit that this is some good advice to live by. Enjoy. [link] [comments]  |
| LYFT down sharply on first day post-IPO Posted: 01 Apr 2019 08:02 AM PDT LYFT down 10% on first day after IPO (as of 8 am PST/11 am EST). Anyone buying at this price? What do you think is a fair price for LYFT? [link] [comments]  |
| What has been the Best/Worst Investment you have ever made? Posted: 01 Apr 2019 12:44 PM PDT |
| Starting to invest but not satisfied with VTI Posted: 02 Apr 2019 03:58 AM PDT Am 25m, single, no debt, non American. So I've started investing with around 16k and all bought VTI. I plan to save up US$10k per year and contribute to this portfolio annually. But after researching for the past few weeks I was thinking about rearranging it. I'm currently looking to invest in (VGT, SPYG, BRK.B) weighted as (60%, 20%, 20%). I've looked into their past performance, sharpe ratio with this composition, fees and ran a dozen portfolio optimizer/simulations on portfolio visualizer. What does the community think? [link] [comments]  |
| Posted: 01 Apr 2019 03:46 PM PDT Today, the market went up because China manufacturing numbers were better than expected. Last week, the market went up because China was reporting economic contraction and the market anticipated Beijing monetary easing and lowering of loan requirements. And yet, people say not to trust the Chinese government numbers at all. So Who is buying/selling in the US market based on this news? [link] [comments]  |
| German equivalent for U.S. Treasury Bill yield? Posted: 02 Apr 2019 01:28 AM PDT I was wondering what rate would you use as a German, or more broadly, European equivalent for: - the 3-month Treasury Bill yield and the 10-year Treasury bond yield? - Baa-rated corporate bond yield and AAA-rated corporate bond yield? Are there any appropriate substitutes for these in the European markets or is it just best to use the U.S. ones when studying German economy? Grateful for any insights! [link] [comments]  |
| With a possible recssion looming, how many of you are long on Gold? Posted: 02 Apr 2019 12:28 AM PDT |
| Historical average returns for top market indexes? Posted: 01 Apr 2019 08:33 PM PDT I can't find historical average returns (over say a 40 year period) for indexes such as: S&P 500, Wilshire 5000, Nasdaq, and Russell 2000. Do you guys know where I can this information or what has performed the best over the last 40 years? [link] [comments]  |
| Posted: 01 Apr 2019 10:40 AM PDT Depending on what firm you want to listen to, the space industry could grow from a current $350 billion to $1.1 trillion to $2.7 trillion in the next 30 years. What stocks or ETF's would be well suited to take advantage of this growth? Obviously many of the exciting launchers are still private, ie SpaceX or Blue Origins. However, Boeing should be well positioned because of their stake in ULA and the government's reliance on them for the SLS. What satellite manufacturing companies are on the public market, or other companies that would be likely to receive government contracts for lunar landers and other future missions? Sources: https://www.fool.com/investing/2018/02/16/the-11-trillion-space-industry-prediction-you-cant.aspx [link] [comments]  |
| Posted: 01 Apr 2019 11:56 PM PDT College student here with a pretty random thought. Obviously by the nature of a short anyone can borrow an asset (regardless of what it is) and then sell it. But given the fact that they go to fund hospitals, roads, etc. are investors legally allowed to go short on muni bonds? And if so, what makes a good opportunity? Illinois? [link] [comments]  |
| Advice on how I can get funded trading stocks? Posted: 01 Apr 2019 11:13 PM PDT I studied engineering at university and had a lot free time between lectures and work (not getting hangovers like I do now was great help also). I took into forex and experienced a rollercoaster of excitement/pain. I would risk $200 and watch it turn into 2000/3000 in the one day, just to sit and let run back to $0 the very next. I would wait weeks for the perfect trade across all the major pairs, just to let this happen again. I discontinued with forex as I realised I had a problem of not being able to collect. Over the past 5/6 years I have been studying stocks on and of in my spare time. 1 month ago, I invested my saving and I've actually started to see good gains (not crazy, but good). 8 out of the 9 trades are on the winning side. This month I have placed another 10 trades and am pretty sure that the majority of these will be on the winning side also by the end. I should add I have only been trading on the monthly time-frame leveraged ofcourse. My question is, if I am correct that the majority of these trades will be winning by the end of this month, does this qualify me for funding? If so, how would I go about it and is there a trading account analyse software for CFDs like "Myfxbook" does for forex. Cheers for taking the time to read folks, Hope it wasn't too boring [link] [comments]  |
| Investing in individual humans to share in their income?! Posted: 01 Apr 2019 12:10 PM PDT Hey all! So a while back I had the idea of buying stock in people - you pay x amount up front and in return they give you x amount of their income for x years. I brought it up to a few economists for fun but nobody ever got back to me. Today I heard a podcast by Planet Money that this is actually a thing now! Purdue University and several other schools are using it as an alternative to student loans. So now that the legal framework exists, it's time for new business opportunities! Of course students are the best targets for this, and a marketplace that allows investors to invest money into students (either individually or in a bundle of multiple students like a mutual fund) would be awesome. I would invest in that myself if somebody made it. Limiting it just to students though isn't necessary - anybody should be welcome to apply and non-students van input their past income so you can get a sense of how much they will earn. But what about people who take the money and never look for work? Purdue's contract actually addresses this and the contract pauses until work is sought after. I feel this can be improved further by having the time period only include time that the person is employed. Shares in people can even be traded on an exchange, for example if they get a better paying job than expected, shares would increase in value because there would be a higher willingness to pay for those shares. Curious to hear anybody's thoughts, I would love for somebody to create this. [link] [comments]  |
| Are those sites that allow you to buy pre-IPO shares legit? Posted: 01 Apr 2019 10:07 PM PDT Or is it a scam? Anyone here legitimately bought pre IPO shares of a company and is it working out? [link] [comments]  |
| Posted: 01 Apr 2019 02:25 PM PDT I want to keep about 10% of my portfolio in bonds that I can sell during a bear market to buy stocks. What are the best ETFs to hold bonds for a downturn for both my taxable and non-taxable accounts? [link] [comments]  |
| Accumulation and distribution indicator Posted: 01 Apr 2019 09:57 PM PDT Hi, noob here. I am trying to understand the Accumulation / distribution indicator. What is it telling me in this pic? I picked it up from a website that was explaining of this one means that whales are ''accumulating'' (reading to pump the price) https://i.ibb.co/d6R32Lz/trading.png Beside the divergences, how can The Accumulation distribution indicator tell to us if Market makers about to pump the price? [link] [comments]  |
| Posted: 01 Apr 2019 09:51 PM PDT |
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