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    Wednesday, February 27, 2019

    Stocks - r/Stocks Daily Discussion Wednesday - Feb 27, 2019

    Stocks - r/Stocks Daily Discussion Wednesday - Feb 27, 2019


    r/Stocks Daily Discussion Wednesday - Feb 27, 2019

    Posted: 27 Feb 2019 04:07 AM PST

    These daily discussions run from Monday to Friday.

    Some helpful links:

    If you have a basic question, for example "what is EPS," then google "investopedia EPS" and click the investopedia article on it; do this for everything until you have a more in depth question or just want to share what you learned.

    Please discuss your portfolios in the Rate My Portfolio sticky..

    See our past daily discussions here. Also links for: Technicals Tuesday, Options Trading Thursday, and Fundamentals Friday.

    submitted by /u/AutoModerator
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    Lyft and Uber Are Easy to Understand and Hard to Value (Bloomberg)

    Posted: 27 Feb 2019 05:38 AM PST

    In one sense, Lyft and Uber are like eBay, Priceline, GrubHub, Craigslist and other "marketplace" businesses that match willing buyers with willing sellers. A marketplace is one of the established business models for technology companies, and investors are relatively comfortable assessing how much to pay for their shares.

    More: https://www.bloomberg.com/opinion/articles/2019-02-26/lyft-and-uber-are-easy-to-understand-and-hard-to-value

    submitted by /u/markyu007
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    Today's Pre-Market News [Wednesday, Feb. 27th, 2019]

    Posted: 27 Feb 2019 05:54 AM PST

    Good morning traders and investors of the r/stocks sub! Welcome to Wednesday! Here are your pre-market news this AM-


    Today's Top Headlines for Wednesday, February 27th, 2019

    • Futures were lower this morning as President Donald Trump meets with North Korean leader Kim Jong Un for the first in-person discussion of their summit. Stocks had a back and forth session Tuesday before ending slightly lower, giving the Dow, S&P 500 and Nasdaq their first declines in three days. (CNBC)
    • Saudi energy minister responds to Trump's tweet that said OPEC should 'relax' (CNBC)
    • Cramer: Buy names like Caterpillar and Home Depot because this bull market is about to go higher (CNBC)
    • As they did yesterday, investors will have a chance to react to testimony from Fed Chairman Jerome Powell, whose second day of testimony on Capitol Hill will come before the House Financial Services Committee. The major averages remain on track for a third monthly gain in four months. (CNBC)
    • Weight Watchers (WTW) shares were 34 percent lower after the company missed earnings and revenue forecasts. It also issued a weaker-than-expected 2019 revenue guidance. Oprah Winfrey's stake fell by almost $48 million, at least on paper, after the company released results. (CNBC)
    • Several pieces of housing-related data will be out today, beginning with the Mortgage Bankers Association's weekly reading on mortgage applications at 7 a.m. ET. At 10 a.m. ET, the National Association of Realtors will issue its pending home sales report for January. December factory orders are out at 10 a.m. ET. (CNBC)
    • Weekly mortgage applications jump 5.3% as lower rates seem here to stay (CNBC)
    • Best Buy (BBY), Campbell Soup (CPB) and Lowe's (LOW) are among the companies with quarterly numbers this morning, while HP Inc. (HPQ), Booking Holdings (BKNG), Hostess Brands (TWNK), L Brands (LB), Perrigo (PRG) and Wingstop (WING) are among the reports after today's closing bell. (CNBC)
    • Best Buy shares soar 11% on earnings beat (CNBC)
    • Lowe's shares dip as sales fall short of Wall Street expectations (CNBC)
    • President Donald Trump and North Korean leader Kim Jong Un met today face-to-face for the first time since their historic summit last year. The leaders are sharing what the White House called "a social dinner." (CNBC)
    • Trump tries to convince Kim that the summit is North Korea's chance for an economic boom (CNBC)
    • Trump's former personal lawyer Michael Cohen's public testimony before the House oversight committee today is expected to include a series of remarkable allegations about the president as well as the presidential campaign. (CNBC)
    • Read Michael Cohen's opening statement (CNBC)
    • The House voted to block Trump's national emergency declaration, passing the resolution in a 245-182 vote. The measure would terminate the action Trump took to secure billions to build his proposed wall along the southern border. (CNBC)
    • A Senate panel grilled top executives from seven of the largest pharmaceutical companies at a hearing on prescription drug prices.The executives have a number of ideas to reduce drug prices for patients, except lowering list prices. (CNBC)
    • Pakistan shot down two Indian jets today, a spokesman for the Pakistan armed forces said, a day after Indian warplanes struck inside Pakistan for the first time since a war in 1971. (Reuters)
    • Former federal prosecutor Lori Lightfoot and Cook County Board President Toni Preckwinkle are headed to an April 2 runoff to decide who will become the nation's third-largest city's next mayor, topping a crowded field of 14 candidates. (USA Today)
    • At least three people were killed after two Long Island Rail Road trains late last night struck a vehicle that had swerved onto the tracks. The rush-hour collision occurred about 30 miles east of Manhattan, setting off fires. (NY Times)
    • Wynn Resorts (WYNN) was fined $20 million in connection with a probe by Nevada regulators into sexual misconduct allegations against former CEO Steve Wynn. It was the largest fine ever assessed by the state's gambling regulators. (WSJ)
    • IBM (IBM) appointed Admiral Michelle J. Howard, the first African American woman to command a U.S. Navy ship, to its board, the company announced. A former U.S. Navy officer, Howard was the first woman to become a four-star admiral. (CNBC)

    STOCK FUTURES CURRENTLY:

    (CLICK HERE FOR STOCK FUTURES CHARTS!)

    YESTERDAY'S MARKET MAP:

    (CLICK HERE FOR YESTERDAY'S MARKET MAP!)

    TODAY'S MARKET MAP:

    (CLICK HERE FOR TODAY'S MARKET MAP!)

    YESTERDAY'S S&P SECTORS:

    (CLICK HERE FOR YESTERDAY'S S&P SECTORS CHART!)

    TODAY'S S&P SECTORS:

    (CLICK HERE FOR TODAY'S S&P SECTORS CHART!)

    TODAY'S ECONOMIC CALENDAR:

    (CLICK HERE FOR TODAY'S ECONOMIC CALENDAR!)

    THIS WEEK'S ECONOMIC CALENDAR:

    (CLICK HERE FOR THIS WEEK'S ECONOMIC CALENDAR!)

    THIS WEEK'S UPCOMING IPO'S:

    (CLICK HERE FOR THIS WEEK'S UPCOMING IPO'S!)

    THIS WEEK'S EARNINGS CALENDAR:

    ($SQ $HD $CHK $ETSY $JD $M $MDR $PCG $FIT $AMRN $LOW $JCP $WTW $KOS $PANW $BKNG $ABB $BBY $SPLK $VEEV $AZO $TEX $TRXC$SHAK $NTNX $ECA $JT $WDAY $CRI $DNR $TNDM $AWI $DORM $GWPH $HTZ $TREE $PLAN $NSA $ICPT $FLXN $BNS $CROX $RRC)

    (CLICK HERE FOR THIS WEEK'S EARNINGS CALENDAR!)

    THIS MORNING'S PRE-MARKET EARNINGS CALENDAR:

    ($CHK $AMRN $LOW $BBY $TJX $DNR $WATT $CPB $AMT $ODP $HZNP $IONS $ADAP $AES $DF $DY $PVAC $PGTI $SBGI $SMLR $PEG $EYE$CCLP $ANIP $SHOO $DOC $TAST $NOVT $LIVN $GNL $CIO $CLH $FTDR $WAAS $RESI $RDC $GTE $HPT $MGPI $EE)

    (CLICK HERE FOR THIS MORNING'S EARNINGS CALENDAR!)

    THIS AFTERNOON'S POST-MARKET EARNINGS CALENDAR:

    ($SQ $FIT $BKNG $BILI $TDOC $BOX $AYX $LB $SRPT $HPQ $AMED $WING $CRC $APA $MNST $CVNA $WTI $UHS $PRGO $LHCG $RUBI $CHDN $WIFI $SOI $HGV $GPOR $PRAH $BGNE $NLNK $PRTK $ESTC $ANSS $RGNX $FTSI $ITRI $FTAI $LADR $ATSG $COLL $TWNK)

    (CLICK HERE FOR THIS AFTERNOON'S EARNINGS CALENDAR!)

    EARNINGS RELEASES BEFORE THE OPEN TODAY:

    (CLICK HERE FOR THIS MORNING'S EARNINGS RELEASES LINK #1!)
    (CLICK HERE FOR THIS MORNING'S EARNINGS RELEASES LINK #2!)

    EARNINGS RELEASES AFTER THE CLOSE TODAY:

    (CLICK HERE FOR THIS AFTERNOON'S EARNINGS RELEASES LINK #1!)
    (CLICK HERE FOR THIS AFTERNOON'S EARNINGS RELEASES LINK #2!)

    YESTERDAY'S ANALYST UPGRADES/DOWNGRADES:

    (CLICK HERE FOR YESTERDAY'S UPGRADES/DOWNGRADES LINK #1!)
    (CLICK HERE FOR YESTERDAY'S UPGRADES/DOWNGRADES LINK #2!)

    YESTERDAY'S INSIDER TRADING FILINGS:

    (CLICK HERE FOR YESTERDAY'S INSIDER TRADING FILINGS!)

    TODAY'S DIVIDEND CALENDAR:

    (CLICK HERE FOR TODAY'S DIVIDEND CALENDAR LINK #1!)
    (CLICK HERE FOR TODAY'S DIVIDEND CALENDAR LINK #2!)
    (CLICK HERE FOR TODAY'S DIVIDEND CALENDAR LINK #3!)
    (CLICK HERE FOR TODAY'S DIVIDEND CALENDAR LINK #4!)
    (CLICK HERE FOR TODAY'S DIVIDEND CALENDAR LINK #5!)
    (CLICK HERE FOR TODAY'S DIVIDEND CALENDAR LINK #6!)
    (CLICK HERE FOR TODAY'S DIVIDEND CALENDAR LINK #7!)

    THIS MORNING'S MOST ACTIVE TRENDING TICKERS:

    • AMRN 0.45%
    • WTW 34.46%
    • PANW 11.29%
    • MYL 10.19%
    • BBY 10.57%
    • TNDM 19.33%
    • LOW 3.25%
    • TSLA 1.65%
    • RDC 0.00%
    • ACAD 0.26%

    THIS MORNING'S STOCK NEWS MOVERS:

    (source: cnbc.com)

    Lowe's – The home improvement retailer beat estimates by a penny a share, with quarterly profit of 80 cents per share. Revenue was slightly below forecasts, and a 1.7 percent comparable-store sales increase was below the Refinitiv forecast of a 2.1 percent rise.

    STOCK SYMBOL: LOW

    (CLICK HERE FOR LIVE STOCK QUOTE!)

    Best Buy – The electronics retailer reported adjusted quarterly profit of $2.72 per share, 15 cents a share above estimates. Revenue also beat forecasts. Comparable-store sales were up 3 percent, better than the 2 percent Refinitiv estimate. Best Buy also gave an upbeat full-year earnings forecast, and announced a dividend increase to 50 cent per share from 45 cents.

    STOCK SYMBOL: BBY

    (CLICK HERE FOR LIVE STOCK QUOTE!)

    Campbell Soup – Campbell beat estimates by 7 cents a share, with adjusted quarterly profit of 77 cents per share. Revenue topped forecasts, as well. Campbell reported flat organic sales, however, and saw profit margins fall.

    STOCK SYMBOL: CPB

    (CLICK HERE FOR LIVE STOCK QUOTE!)

    Office Depot — The office products retailer earned an adjusted 9 cents per share for its latest quarter, 1 cent a share above estimates. Both revenue and comparable-store sales were below analysts' forecasts, however.

    STOCK SYMBOL: ODP

    (CLICK HERE FOR LIVE STOCK QUOTE!)

    Dean Foods — The nation's largest milk producer reported a quarterly loss of 50 cents per share, nearly twice the 26 cents a share loss that analysts were anticipating. Revenue exceeded forecasts, but Dean said it experienced a significant increase in input costs. Dean also said it is exploring strategic alternatives including possible asset sales, and announced the suspension of its quarterly dividend.

    STOCK SYMBOL: DF

    (CLICK HERE FOR LIVE STOCK QUOTE!)

    Weight Watchers – Weight Watchers missed estimates by 14 cents, with adjusted quarterly profit of 46 cents per share. The weight loss company's revenue also missed forecasts and the company issued weaker-than-expected 2019 revenue guidance. Weight Watchers said it was disappointed with its 2019 start.

    STOCK SYMBOL: WTW

    (CLICK HERE FOR LIVE STOCK QUOTE!)

    Papa John's – Papa John's fell 2 cents a share short of estimates, with adjusted quarterly profit of 15 cents per share. The pizza chain's revenue was also short of analysts' forecasts. North American comparable-store sales fell 8.1 percent during the quarter, and 7.3 percent for the full year The company's 2019 comparable-store sales forecast is stronger than analysts had been expecting.

    STOCK SYMBOL: PZZA

    (CLICK HERE FOR LIVE STOCK QUOTE!)

    Mylan – Mylan reported adjusted quarterly profit of $1.30 per share, falling 6 cents a share shy of consensus forecasts. The generic drugmaker's revenue was in line with Street projections. Mylan also issued weaker-than-expected 2019 earnings guidance as it spends more on research, development, and marketing.

    STOCK SYMBOL: MYL

    (CLICK HERE FOR LIVE STOCK QUOTE!)

    Deutsche Bank - U.S. private-equity firm Cerberus would be open to a merger between Deutsche Bank and Commerzbank, according to a Reuters report. Cerberus is a major shareholder in both German banks.

    STOCK SYMBOL: DB

    (CLICK HERE FOR LIVE STOCK QUOTE!)

    Facebook – Facebook will launch a "clear history" feature later this year, allowing users to erase data related to their interactions with various apps and websites.

    STOCK SYMBOL: FB

    (CLICK HERE FOR LIVE STOCK QUOTE!)

    Home Depot – Home Depot was downgraded to "market perform" from "outperform" at Telsey, which said it came away from the home improvement retailer's earnings call with concerns that the guidance of a 5 percent comparable sales increase could prove to be too optimistic.

    STOCK SYMBOL: HD

    (CLICK HERE FOR LIVE STOCK QUOTE!)

    Rio Tinto – Rio Tinto reported better-than-expected profit for its latest quarter, as well as its highest earnings since 2014. The mining company also announced a regular and special dividend, as well as giving an upbeat outlook for its iron ore business.

    STOCK SYMBOL: RIO

    (CLICK HERE FOR LIVE STOCK QUOTE!)

    Liberty Global – Liberty is in advanced discussions to sell its Swiss internet and digital TV unit to Zurich-based Sunrise Communications for $6.3 billion, according to a Reuters report.

    STOCK SYMBOL: LBTYA

    (CLICK HERE FOR LIVE STOCK QUOTE!)

    Wynn Resorts – Wynn was fined $20 million in connection with a probe by Nevada regulators into sexual misconduct allegations against former CEO Steve Wynn. It was the largest fine ever assessed by the state's gambling regulators.

    STOCK SYMBOL: WYNN

    (CLICK HERE FOR LIVE STOCK QUOTE!)

    AT&T — The Justice Department said it would not appeal Tuesday's court ruling rejecting its challenge to the approval of AT&T's acquisition of Time Warner.

    STOCK SYMBOL: T

    (CLICK HERE FOR LIVE STOCK QUOTE!)

    Blackstone Group – The private-equity firm and drugmaker Novartis have formed a joint venture to develop drugs that treat blood clots.

    STOCK SYMBOL: BX

    (CLICK HERE FOR LIVE STOCK QUOTE!)

    Gap – Gap announced a new $1 billion stock buyback program. The apparel retailer also announced it would maintain its annual dividend at the current 97 cents per share for fiscal 2019.

    STOCK SYMBOL: GPS

    (CLICK HERE FOR LIVE STOCK QUOTE!)

    GW Pharmaceuticals – GW reported better-thanexpected earnings for its latest quarter, although the drugmaker's revenue was short of Street forecasts. GW Pharma said it is seeing strong demand for its new Epidiolex epilepsy drug.

    STOCK SYMBOL: GWPH

    (CLICK HERE FOR LIVE STOCK QUOTE!)

    Palo Alto Networks – Palo Alto beat estimates on both the top and bottom lines, with the cybersecurity company seeing a 33 percent jump in its products business and a 29 percent increase in services revenue. It also gave an upbeat revenue forecast.

    STOCK SYMBOL: PANW

    (CLICK HERE FOR LIVE STOCK QUOTE!)

    DISCUSS!

    What is on everyone's radar for today's trading day ahead here at r/stocks?


    I hope you all have an excellent trading day ahead today on this Wednesday, February 27th, 2019! :)

    submitted by /u/bigbear0083
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    Is it better to have a portfolio of multiple dividend ETF funds or just one?

    Posted: 26 Feb 2019 09:28 PM PST

    I found 5 low fee high dividend paying ETFs (JDIV, VYM, DJD, SPYD, HDV) that I'm interested in. Would it be better for me in the long term for me to buy all 5 ETFs or just narrow in on one or two that fit my investing agenda?

    submitted by /u/meiggs
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    Thoughts on how to play Square (SQ) earnings?

    Posted: 27 Feb 2019 08:54 AM PST

    Thinking of purchasing a 45 day strangle option as I can see this stock moving 15% in either direction. Thoughts?

    submitted by /u/that1celebrity
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    What is the deal with $CVS and the class action filed against them?

    Posted: 27 Feb 2019 10:13 AM PST

    How bad does everyone think this will affect their performance going forward? I bought in around $65 after their earnings and with this lawsuit on top, am worried that I opened my position too soon.

    I plan to review some fundamentals and cross-reference with others expertise, but how much more damage could be done?

    submitted by /u/plmatt91
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    Intro to stocks

    Posted: 27 Feb 2019 10:04 AM PST

    What educational platforms are available online to those who would like an introduction to the stock market and how to play ???

    submitted by /u/ownseagls
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    Since everyone always asks: 7 stocks that were great in the 2008 recession

    Posted: 27 Feb 2019 07:50 AM PST

    https://money.usnews.com/investing/slideshows/7-stocks-that-soar-in-a-recession

    I feel like we see "what should I buy before / during a recession" at least once a week, so here's a quick article highlighting some of the highest performing stocks of 2008. Take from it what you will.

    submitted by /u/AlwaysTheNoob
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    SQ

    Posted: 27 Feb 2019 07:07 AM PST

    SQ reports earnings today after the market closes, would it be very stupid to finally take a position after months of not doing so?

    submitted by /u/imperba
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    Earnings Positions

    Posted: 27 Feb 2019 07:23 AM PST

    What stocks posting earnings today are you being on/against and why?

    submitted by /u/SeaOtter88
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    US futures set to reopen following earlier halt on the CME

    Posted: 26 Feb 2019 08:33 PM PST

    The futures contracts for financial instruments such as U.S. stock markets, Treasurys and commodities were halted on Tuesday evening stateside following a technical fault at CME Group.

    U.S. stock futures last traded around 7:40 p.m. ET Tuesday.

    CME Group later said all markets on CME Globex will open at 9:45 p.m. CT Tuesday (10:45 p.m. ET).

    https://www.cnbc.com/2019/02/27/us-futures-trading-halted-due-to-cme-technical-problems.html

    submitted by /u/OGPeakyblinders
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    Poll: Predict the first $2T US company

    Posted: 27 Feb 2019 03:00 PM PST

    A. MSFT -- $860B

    B. AAPL -- $825

    C. AMZN -- $805

    D. GOOGL -- $780B

    E. The Field (BRK.A, FB, or any other S&P 500 company)

    submitted by /u/iPuntKids_
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    what is the best way to share charts/visualizations with this sub

    Posted: 27 Feb 2019 02:32 PM PST

    I'd like to share some visualizations with this sub (for example see this link for a heatmap of the technology sector Sales estimate revisions) but I am not sure what is the best way since you cant post images. Suggestions are appreciated. I have a bunch of charts on breadth, analyst estimates and sentiment I make via R & Python.

    I make this stuff for myself but happy to share. I have access to a Bloomy so its easy to get the data that sometimes is difficult otherwise

    submitted by /u/abeecrombie
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    Portfolio advice welcome

    Posted: 27 Feb 2019 10:30 AM PST

    Currently I own large stakes in V and Msft, a decent size position in Shw and Mo, and starters in AAPL and Stz. Thinking about adding Nke and Noc eventually.

    I don't think I can manage more than 8 positions at once. My goal is to create a portfolio, for the long term and use it to generate income by dividends and different options strategies.

    I want exposure to the MJ sector long term so I have Mo and Stz. Should I keep both?

    I like tech and the only large Mega caps that have dividends are msft and aapl, should I keep both?

    Thinking about dumping aapl and Stz for nke and noc. Noc is going to grow like crazy in the 2020s with the new bomber contract and share repurchases. AAPL has a solid share repurchases plan going forward so their float is gonna fall big time, good for shareholders but they don't have the growth and frankly leadership msft does.

    Thanks in advance

    submitted by /u/jakethesnake5000
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    [Academic Survey] Stock Market Investor Demographic Research

    Posted: 27 Feb 2019 01:47 PM PST

    Survey

    This should only take a few minutes, and your feedback is greatly appreciated.

    Thank you(;

    submitted by /u/hahahannahaha
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    Take a look at ASFI dividend

    Posted: 27 Feb 2019 12:24 PM PST

    Why's it such a big dividend? Anyone know?

    submitted by /u/iaintevenknowdoe
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    Anyone else buying Mylan MYL today? Buy The Dip!

    Posted: 27 Feb 2019 11:25 AM PST

    I took a small position in MYL today at $26.16.

    I'm only looking for 5-10% pop and I'm out.

    On finviz Bernstein today adjusted their price target to $33.

    RSI under 30. I might buy more if it keeps dropping I'll have to watch it.

    submitted by /u/Taft2034
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    USD/JPY treads water around 110.60 amid early-day silence

    Posted: 27 Feb 2019 10:05 AM PST

    • USD/JPY moves around 110.60 during early Wednesday.
    • The pair refrained from extending previous weakness due to lack of major catalysts and comments from the BoJ's Kuroda.
    • 111.30-40 is likely strong upside resistance for the pair with 110.30 seemingly nearby support.

    The USD/JPY pair trades near 110.60 during the Asian sessions on Wednesday.

    https://wnewscnw.blogspot.com/2019/02/fx-usdjpy-treads-water-around-11060.html

    submitted by /u/Johans_wilgat
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    WTW down ~35%

    Posted: 27 Feb 2019 06:44 AM PST

    Big if true. Anyone watching? Anyone heavily weighted? I'm gobbling as much as I can at least for part of intraday

    submitted by /u/LotsoWatts
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    Technical indicator question

    Posted: 26 Feb 2019 11:44 PM PST

    Is there an indicator that gives a ratio of the rate of change of volume to the rate of change of the share price? Thank you.

    submitted by /u/yrrrrrrrr
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    Ladybaybee recommended picks for 2019-02-27

    Posted: 27 Feb 2019 08:36 AM PST

    Link to imgur

    HOW I USE THIS: 1) All the stocks identified in the table are qualified as "BUY" opportunities.

    2) I focus in the column "Success Rate(3m)" which shows the precision of the agents in the last 3 calendar months. I personally feel most comfortable with Rates 0.8 or higher.

    3) Then, I see the number in "Tx(3m)" which represents the number of transactions that the agents predicted for this stock in the last 3 months. I prefer stocks that have had at least two transactions during this period.

    4) Finally, I look at Growth(3m), if the agents have had a considerable growth (>5% in 3 months) then I follow that trade.

    5) If a row in the table is colored green then it means that stock has been on the rise today so I purchase it immediately in order to ride the wave up. On the other hand, if the row is colored red, then I wait out until very close to market close to purchase the stock and let the price bottom out before climbing up again tomorrow.

    6) After I purchase the stocks, I ALWAYS set a stop loss order at -2.5% from my buying price valid for the day. I think this is good hygiene, no matter how confident I am of my system, I still want to make sure that my losses are capped. I update this stop loss order every day.

    BACKGROUND I am not a financier or economist. I am electrical engineer with equal passion in artificial intelligence and financial markets. For the past 2 years I have been working on a system that would make short term predictions of stocks. The system is rather complex, I use multiple layers which include: Convolutional Neural Networks, LSTMs and Genetic Algorithms. All bulked together produce an output like in this image. The way to interpret the image is a follows: Symbol and Date columns are self explanatory, Quorum refers to autonomous agents that decide whether to BUY/NOT BUY or SELL/HOLD a stock. Each symbol has 9 agents, and the Quorum column, counts the number of agents that recommend Buy, Selling or Holding the stock. The "Not Owned" column means: if you don't own this stock then you should … The "Owned" column means: if you own this stock you should HOLD or SELL. The column "Growth(1 Year)" refers to what what has been the growth of this system of Agents in the past calendar year. The column "Tx(1Yr)" shows the number of full transactions that these agents recommended in the last calendar year. "Factor" is just the division of Growth divided by Transactions to get the average growth per transaction. Finally "Success Rate" shows how successful these agents have been in their recommendations in the past calendar year, success 1 means 100% successful, 0.5 means 50% successful, and so on.

    Many people have been curious about the actual process that the system follows, so here it is: for every symbol (600 stocks are analyzed daily), we get the full stock data (open,close,high,low,volume) for the past 4 months. Each stock is associated with another set of "lookalike" stocks as well as major ETF's. This initial dataset is run through a convolutional layer that extracts an undisclosed number of features. These features are then passed onto a recurrent neural network (LSTM) where sequences and patterns are extracted. The LSTM then spits out probabilities for the likelihood that this stock will have a positive, negative and neutral tendency in the next N days. These probabilities are then fed to a genetic evolution system (GES). This system essentially checks the predictions for the past N days and compares them with reality, following that the systems knows which predictions are performing the best. Once the system knows which stocks are being simulated the best, then the system automatically finds which of these best performing stocks have the biggest potential for the next few days. The system does not output explanations, unfortunately us humans are not capable of understanding (or visualizing) a problem of this dimensionality, for example the LSTM part alone works with over 10 million dimensions, not features but dimensions.

    You can follow my picks on twitter @ladybaybee1

    submitted by /u/ladybaybee
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    iShares vs Vanguard ETFs on asset size?

    Posted: 26 Feb 2019 06:30 PM PST

    I've been looking at head to head ETFs for similar mixes like for the Russell 2000 like iShares IWN and Vanguard VTWV. In a lot of the cases like this one Vanguard has slightly lower fees and slightly better performance, but the assets under management are worlds apart with iShares being much bigger, $9.52B vs $250M.

    How much should assets under management weigh in when factoring which one to go with?

    submitted by /u/invalidTypecast
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