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    Monday, February 4, 2019

    I keep one of my stinkers in my portfolio to remind myself of how terrible I am at picking stocks. Investing

    I keep one of my stinkers in my portfolio to remind myself of how terrible I am at picking stocks. Investing


    I keep one of my stinkers in my portfolio to remind myself of how terrible I am at picking stocks.

    Posted: 03 Feb 2019 01:09 PM PST

    usually when i see it i think oh i should sell it and put that money to work in VOO or SPHD. but keeping it around reminds me that I don't know what the hell i'm doing. and if you don't know what the hell you're doing you should just stick to index funds.

    submitted by /u/gabbagool
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    Did China corrupt the process of index creation for passive investors?

    Posted: 03 Feb 2019 03:03 PM PST

    Interesting article was posted in the WSJ today here

    The key take away:

    MSCI's discussions with several Chinese asset managers were abruptly curtailed in 2015 and 2016 after the firm didn't add Chinese-listed stocks to the emerging-markets index following its midyear reviews, according to people close to or directly involved in the discussions. The Chinese firms communicated that they had been instructed by authorities to cut off negotiations with MSCI, the people said.

    China's two national stock exchanges also threatened to withdraw MSCI's access to market pricing data, which the company provided to its customers all over the world, the people added. It was akin to "business blackmail," said a person familiar with MSCI's negotiations with Chinese regulatory authorities.

    What I find more surprising here is China effectively forced their way onto an index. While one take away from this article is of course, China strong armed an index to add itself onto it for billions in foreign revenue. The other issue I see it casts doubt on the integrity of indexes. You assume these indexes are constructed in good faith based on established criteria and other factors, but it appears this is not the case.

    submitted by /u/John_Crichton
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    Best way to organize potential investments

    Posted: 03 Feb 2019 09:24 PM PST

    I've been wanting to invest for ages, and have about $1000 sitting in a trading account that I haven't touched, I'll be adding more as I get into it. I have a tentative strategy of 40% longer term investments and 60% for more active trading, and shorter term investments.

    The problem I'm having is that there are SO MANY options, I have not idea how to start organizing options, and then narrowing them down to find the the best choices. Are there apps or strategies (or techniques) that help organize or compare and contrast stocks so that I can narrow down choices that will fit into a portfolio?

    I understand some asset allocation, and risk management in terms of diversification but that knowledge seems to complicate things more when I'm trying to find and organize my options. Do you have any suggestions that could help a newbie organize himself and narrow things down? I want to get this started ASAP!

    submitted by /u/theotherhalfof2
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    Daily advice thread. All questions about your personal situation should be asked here

    Posted: 04 Feb 2019 04:04 AM PST

    If your question is "I have $10,000, what do I do?" or anything similar. There is no single answer to this question, but we will also need A LOT MORE information if we are to give some sort of answer

    • How old are you?
    • Are you employed/making income? How much?
    • What are your objectives with this money? (buy a house? Retirement savings?)
    • What is your risk tolerance? (Do you mind risking it at blackjack or do you need to know its 100% safe?)
    • What are you current holdings? (Do you already have exposure to specific funds and sectors?)
    • Any other assets? House paid off? Cars? Expensive girlfriend? (not really an asset)
    • What is your time horizon? Do you need this money next month? Next 20yrs?
    • Any big debts?
    • Any other relevant financial information will be useful to give you a proper answer.

    Be aware that these answers are just opinions of Redditors and should be used as a starting point for your research. You should strongly consider seeing a registered financial rep before making any financial decisions!

    submitted by /u/AutoModerator
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    Help me brainstorm how 5G internet will affect the stock market

    Posted: 03 Feb 2019 10:41 PM PST

    Which companies will benefit the most from fast internet? The only thing I can think of is streaming services, such as Netflix, because there won't be any buffering.

    submitted by /u/TonyStarkIT
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    The trouble in Europe has only begun

    Posted: 03 Feb 2019 02:11 PM PST

    MacroVoices probably my favorite podcast has an amazing interview with grant Williams.

    This was on social risk; ie political extremeism. From the description: Erik asks Grant if we in a cyclical bear market and where he feels treasury bond yields are headed next. They discuss tensions between China and Taiwan, the rise of global populism and the future of France and Europe. Grant shares his update on how things are developing on Australian Real Estate and the risks of a recession. They end with touching on gold and the U.S. dollar.

    https://www.macrovoices.com/macro-voices-research/podcast-transcripts/2499-2019-01-31-transcript-of-the-podcast-interview-between-erik-townsend-and-grant-williams/file

    Above is the pdf

    https://player.fm/series/macro-voices-2480879/grant-williams-the-trouble-in-europe-has-only-just-begun

    Audio

    Excerpt

    Erik: The other big one is bond yields.

    We had so many smart people, whether it was Jeff Gundlach – our mutual friend Julian Brigden had told us, look, if you see a break of that 100-month moving average on the 30-year Treasury bond, that's a trend that's been in play since the mid-1980s. It's a major signal. Sure enough, we got that signal.

    A lot of people were saying it's the break above 3.12% or so on the 10-year. We got that signal. And so many people said, once you see that break, there's no turning back. You're never going to see Treasury yields this low again for 30 or 40 years. And, of course, it took 30 or 40 days before we hit, seeing a reversal of that. And, as we're speaking – what now is a week ago for our listeners – we're back in between that 2.60% and 2.80% range again, sort of chomping around here.

    Where do you think we're headed? Are Lacy Hunt and Raoul Pal about to be proven right that maybe we really are headed below that 1.34%, which, so far, has been the low yield on the 10-year? Or is this just a temporary pullback before Gundlach and Brigden and others are proven right?

    Grant: This is the really interesting thing to me. This, to me, is where – when people say where is all the damage that's been done by the last 10 years of monetary policy? And this, to me, is exactly where you're going to figure out what's happened. The short answer is I think they're both right. And I think, in a normally functioning market, I think Jeff and Julian and the guys that are calling for inflationary pressures and higher yields are absolutely correct.

    submitted by /u/LoseMoneyAllWeek
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    Investing for young Australian

    Posted: 03 Feb 2019 11:08 PM PST

    Hi all,

    I am 22, have just graduated uni, and will be starting my full time job next week paying approximately $960 a week after tax (~$63,000pa gross). I have approximately $35,000 saved and am interested in investing the majority of this money into the share market.

    On top of this, I would be looking to continue to build on my portfolio on a 3 month basis (for example) with a portion of my progressive saved income. I am not looking to save for a home loan for at least the next few years.

    At this stage I am looking at investing in ETF's such as Vanguard ones (VAS, VTS, VEU). I'm thinking that indexed portfolios with low overheads is the way to go, especially because I have an extremely long-term horizon with this investment and will be gradually adding to it.

    Is this a viable strategy for a younger person starting their career in Australia? I am fairly new to this but have studied a Business & Commerce degree, so have a fairly good theoretical base.

    Any tips/opinions/advice would be incredibly appreciated! Thank you so much in advance :)

    submitted by /u/Silenced_Kar
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    For those with a retirement and taxable account what holdings do you have in each?

    Posted: 03 Feb 2019 09:36 PM PST

    I have a long term portfolio comprised of some stocks and index funds. I want to open a Roth and am thinking about holding 2 index funds (VOO & VTI) and a reit. Should I liquidate my index funds in my taxable account and only keep stocks? And does it make sense to have dividend yielding funds in a taxable account?

    submitted by /u/lmfin
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    Government bonds and being paid back principal + interest

    Posted: 04 Feb 2019 02:16 AM PST

    I am seriously considering investing in government securities. However, the only thing that has me not pulling the trigger is the chances I am not paid back right away. I know the odds of this are very slim since government bonds are AAA rated by Moody's, S&P, and almost every other rating agency out there. So, will I not be repaid the principal if it is a large amount that I spend on a bond, i.e. in the ballpark of $100,000?

    submitted by /u/gocougs123rosebowl
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    Buying fractional shares through Vanguard.

    Posted: 03 Feb 2019 10:16 PM PST

    Does Vanguard allow you to buy fractional shares of stocks and ETFs? I want to set up a schedule where my automatic investments will go into the purchase of a stock or ETF. If my cash transfer is under the price of that stock or ETF, does Vanguard allow me to use that cash towards a portion of that stock or ETF?

    submitted by /u/ramsxlakersdude
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    No idea how to invest or where to start for my traditional IRA funds

    Posted: 03 Feb 2019 09:56 PM PST

    I opened an IRA and put in $3000 in 2017. It just sat there and did nothing til now. Looking to invest but honestly I'm clueless about investing and everything about ETFs, stocks, mutual funds, bonds all sounds confusing. Any good material to read for dummies, or recommended tools for me to help decide what to invest in? I would like a "lazy portfolio" i guess where I can just leave alone for 40+ years. Most likely will add more money each year.

    submitted by /u/sleeperbcell
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    Why pick different proportions of large/mid/small cap?

    Posted: 03 Feb 2019 11:47 AM PST

    I just switched companies and set up my new 401k. I don't know much a lot about investing but I know enough to like the ideas of the Boglehead approach. I have a Roth IRA and a taxable account at Betterment.

    I understand why you'd want to adjust your ratio of stocks to bonds based on age and risk tolerance, but why would you want to adjust your ratio of capitalization sizes?

    The only approach that makes sense to me is to approximate the total market, which I did with the info on this page

    https://www.bogleheads.org/wiki/Approximating_total_stock_market

    Of all the choices to make as an investor: bond vs. stock, domestic vs. international, value vs. growth, etc. why am I being given the choice of large/mid/small cap? Especially since my fiduciary doesn't trust me to make other decisions like picking sectors or individual securities.

    submitted by /u/knoam
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    Any way for an American to buy stock on the NEX Exchange (London small caps)?

    Posted: 03 Feb 2019 09:38 PM PST

    I'm approved for international trading in my Fidelity account, but it doesn't look like they have access to NEX Exchange securities.

    submitted by /u/thehuge1
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    Apple's stock could soar this year if it introduces media bundling, video streaming: Morgan Stanley

    Posted: 03 Feb 2019 12:46 PM PST

    https://www.cnbc.com/2019/02/03/morgan-stanley-on-the-innovations-that-will-send-apple-soaring.html

    Morgan Stanley says Apple's new services launching in 2019 would be a big catalyst for its stock.

    Apple plans to debut its video streaming service this spring and the bank predicts a media bundle and an expansion of its payments and advertising business are also on the horizon.

    The bank set its 12-month price target for Apple at $211, which would represent a 27 percent gain.

    So finally there is a good suggestion for apple next revenue stream other than iPhone!!!

    submitted by /u/coolcomfort123
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    What is a stock that you bought hoping to go long on, but freaked out and panic sold only to watch it soar and continue to soar to this day?

    Posted: 03 Feb 2019 02:29 PM PST

    DAX 30 INDEX Short Signals!

    Posted: 04 Feb 2019 04:21 AM PST

    We are currently on very serious and important resistance that will determine the direction of the DAX for the coming days, According to Ichimoku indicator we are still in a downward trend, despite recent increases!
    And we are also on the resistance of the Fibonacci retracement (23.6) Which means continue to move in the original direction.
    For all the reasons are written above we recommend entering a sell position
    Sell DAX
    Entry Price: 11186
    Take Profit: 10508
    Stop Loss: 11540

    XoSignal - Signals Provider
    App: https://go.onelink.me/xieX/55a67078

    submitted by /u/XoSignal5
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    It's moronic Monday, your chance to ask any of those lingering questions without fear of harassment.

    Posted: 04 Feb 2019 04:04 AM PST

    We encourage all our visitors to ask those investing related questions they were always too afraid to ask.

    The members of /r/investing are here to answer and educate!

    NOTE If your question is "I have $10,000, what do I do?" or anything similar. There is no single answer to this question, but we will also need A LOT MORE information if we are to give some sort of answer

    • How old are you?
    • Are you employed/making income? How much?
    • What are your objectives with this money? (buy a house? Retirement savings?)
    • What is your risk tolerance? (Do you mind risking it at blackjack or do you need to know its 100% safe?)
    • What are you current holdings? (Do you already have exposure to specific funds and sectors?)
    • Any other assets? House paid off? Cars? Expensive girlfriend? (not really an asset)
    • What is your time horizon? Do you need this money next month? Next 20yrs?
    • Any big debts?
    • Any other relevant financial information will be useful to give you a proper answer.

    Be aware that these answers are just opinions of Redditors and should be used as a starting point for your research. You should strongly consider seeing a registered financial rep before making any financial decisions!

    submitted by /u/AutoModerator
    [link] [comments]

    Google Finance vs. Yahoo and Robinhood

    Posted: 04 Feb 2019 03:44 AM PST

    I was recently looking at numbers for PCG and I wanted to see if Google Finance showed more statistical info than Robinhood did. I noticed that the two showed vastly different numbers for some of the stock's stats.

    Google shows no Div yield for PCG and it has the P/E ratio at 3.74. Compare this to Yahoo finance and it lists N/A for Div yield and a P/E ratio of 49.73. Finally, Robinhood shows a Div yield of 3.458 and a P/E ratio of 50.172.

    What gives? Why are the stats not the same for each website? Furthermore, why so drastically different?

    submitted by /u/ChrisBabyYea
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    Is it a good idea to trade stocks with $300?

    Posted: 03 Feb 2019 01:04 PM PST

    I've been wanting to get into stocks for awhile and now that I'm 18, I want to start now. I recently got a part time job and right now I have about $300 and I make about $300-$350 every two weeks. I was wondering if it would be a good idea to start with about $300. If it is, what kind of stocks should I invest in and through what platform? Also, where would be the best place to learn about stocks?

    submitted by /u/sshadowwxx
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    Realized and unrealized capital gains/losses.

    Posted: 04 Feb 2019 02:19 AM PST

    Would someone mind explain to me what it means when people use the the following terms?

    • unrealized capital gains.

    • unrealized capital losses.

    • realized capital gains.

    • realized capital lost.

    Thanks.

    submitted by /u/b10m1m1cry
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    Question about AMZN earnings call topics "units" and "head count"

    Posted: 04 Feb 2019 12:37 AM PST

    In looking at the transcript of the earnings call last week, the first analyst up was a guy named Justin Post, and he asked the following question:

    I guess I'll ask about units, 14% in the quarter, just, how do you feel about the overall unit growth here, given that the growth was higher last year in the 20s and do you think there are some investments you can make in other areas to kind of reaccelerate that going forward?

    Anyone know what he means by "units"?

    I can't seem to find anything in the earnings release that has a 14% change (and thus might be "units"), and although I do have the 10Q and can go through that line-by-line, it's pretty formidable and I'm hoping someone here can provide some insight before I try doing that.

    Later in the call, Brian Olsavsky (the CFO) said:

    Headcount only grew 14% year-over-year

    So I'm guessing headcount and units are the same thing.

    submitted by /u/vmsmith
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    What is everyone’s favourite “non-tech” stocks at the moment?

    Posted: 03 Feb 2019 01:26 PM PST

    After buying the dip the last few months, I am a bit tech-heavy, and still have some cash leftover. Tech stocks have been getting a lot of attention lately, but what is everyone's favourite companies in other sectors.

    submitted by /u/BearStearnsToTheMoon
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    Wealth & Happiness Metrics over time

    Posted: 03 Feb 2019 09:39 PM PST

    I have learned this general idea that people were happier in the 1950s because wealth was more spread out, but the rivalrous nature of our economy has lead to a greater concentration of wealth with a decreasing level of happiness for the masses. Could part of the problem be because there is less wealth in the economy today per capita? Or is the problem strictly related to the rich/poor gap widening?

    Any recommended resources on this topic? I would like to see stats, graphs, and theories.

    submitted by /u/razorsaw
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    Looking to invest in ETFs, what should I read?

    Posted: 03 Feb 2019 10:25 AM PST

    I am looking to start investing in ETFs but I would like to get more knowledgeable about it. I have a degree in accounting but I am by no means a finance expert. What should I read/watch to get familiar with investing in ETFs?

    submitted by /u/jdp111
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