• Breaking News

    Saturday, December 22, 2018

    Stocks - We are currently in the second worst December month performance as per S&P500 returns, and we still have five more trading days to go. December 1931: -14.53% (Depression); December 2018: -12.45%; December 1930: -7.42% (stooq.com)

    Stocks - We are currently in the second worst December month performance as per S&P500 returns, and we still have five more trading days to go. December 1931: -14.53% (Depression); December 2018: -12.45%; December 1930: -7.42% (stooq.com)


    We are currently in the second worst December month performance as per S&P500 returns, and we still have five more trading days to go. December 1931: -14.53% (Depression); December 2018: -12.45%; December 1930: -7.42% (stooq.com)

    Posted: 22 Dec 2018 06:14 AM PST

    Any thoughts on how the last few trading days will be for 2018?

    submitted by /u/markyu007
    [link] [comments]

    Trump, unhappy about interest rates, said to want to remove Fed chairman

    Posted: 21 Dec 2018 10:25 PM PST

    From Bloomberg

    IMO this would destroy confidence in the dollar and is a story for investors to watch very closely.

    submitted by /u/zryn3
    [link] [comments]

    Get ready for the trading week beginning December 24th, 2018!

    Posted: 22 Dec 2018 09:49 AM PST

    Hey what's happening r/stocks! Happy Saturday to all of you. I hope everyone on this sub made out okay last week amid all of the insane market volatility of late, and are ready for the new trading week, albeit a holiday-shortened trading week ahead! :)

    Here is everything you need to know to get you ready for the trading week beginning December 24th, 2018.

    Stocks enter final full week of the year on the brink of a bear market - (Source)


    Stocks head into the final full trading week of the year on the brink of a bear market.


    The Dow Jones Industrial Average plummeted in the past week in its worst performance since before the bull market began, in the very thick of the financial crisis in the fall of 2008.


    While the market is seemingly oversold, strategists see little chance for any bounce in the week ahead, and the focus will remain on Washington's fight over a government shutdown. Strategists say it may be too soon for investors to look for bargains among the rubble in what has traditionally been one of the quietest weeks of the year.


    The Nasdaq Composite Index, dragged down by tech and biotech, was the first index to close in bear market territory, and is now 22 percent from its high. The Nasdaq lost 8.4 percent to 6,332 in the past week.


    The Dow fell 6.9 percent in the past week, to 22,445, and is now just 3 percentage points away from bear market territory, or a 20 percent decline. The S&P 500 was down 7 percent for the week and is just 16 points away from a key support level of 2,400. It is also just about 2 percentage points from a bear market.


    "Even if we do [get a Santa rally], it's not going to be meaningful. It's going to be super light volume, with a half trading day," said Michael Arone, chief investment strategist at State Street Global Advisors. "Normally, this has been one of the strongest months of the year, but so far things in 2018 that normally have happened haven't been happening."


    In a bad sign on Friday, volume was really heavy. More than 12 billion shares changed hands on U.S. exchanges on Friday, the biggest volume in at least two years.


    The stock market closes after a half day on Monday, Christmas Eve, and is closed Tuesday.


    Dismal December

    December's performance is nearly the worst on record for the month, with the Dow's decline of 12 percent the worst since 1931. December is typically a good time of year for stocks, and this December is on track to be the worst month of the year for the first time ever.


    "I would imagine trading activity is going to slow down quite a bit," said Mark Cabana, head of U.S. short rate strategy at Bank of America Merrill Lynch. "Overall, I think the focus is going to be on getting things tied up ahead of year's end. It's possible there could be some outsized moves given reduced liquidity. I think there's going to be a lot of focus on getting a fresh start next year."


    Technical analysts say the market continues to look weak, with many stocks in bear market territory already and trading well below their 200-day moving averages.


    The S&P 500 had been in a range from 2,600 to 2,800 for four months, but quickly fell out of it all the way to 2,400.


    "The measured move was reached faster and more furious than most people thought," said Scott Redler of T3Live.com. "It doesn't seem like anyone wants to step in the way of the headlines that are piling up. And why would they? The next level traders would like to see tested is 2,250 to 2,300."


    A negative chart formation that emerged last week, known as a head-and-shoulders formation, points to a level of 2,300 in the S&P 500.


    "Buyers are just sitting back and instead of playing an oversold bounce, they're just waiting," he said. "Anybody's that tried to position for a Santa rally has been absolutely run over. The calendar issues have been all off."


    Government shutdown

    Hanging over the market in the week ahead are the government shutdown fight, which pits the president against Democrats in Congress, over his plan for a border wall. There was a glimmer of hope late on Friday that a deal could be hatched, with Sen. Bob Corker saying a path forward was being discussed.


    While traders said there was not much concern about the partial shutdown, a bigger worry was the fighting that could become the norm once Democrats have control of the House in January.


    "It does seem like it's weighing on sentiment. It's more a signal about just how difficult things will ultimately be. It enhances expectations for gridlock in the future," said Cabana.


    The Fed this past week was viewed as a major catalyst for the sell-off, after it released a forecast for more rate hikes at the same time it sees a slower growing economy.


    That sparked concerns that the Fed was heading for a policy mistake, and comments from Fed Chairman Jerome Powell that the Fed's balance sheet rolldown was on "autopilot" really spooked traders.


    But on Friday, New York Fed President John Williams kicked off a brief stock market rally when he told CNBC the Fed is willing to reconsider its policy depending on the economy and conditions. His comment was not unlike Powell's, but traders said he sounded more flexible and sensitive to market conditions.


    Strategists point to a few big concerns for the markets heading into next year — the most worrisome being trade and the Fed.


    Wilmington Trust chief economist Luke Tilley said his base case is there will be a trade agreement with China that avoids the next round of tariffs.


    "The tariffs so far don't have much impact on the economy," he said. "If we moved into 2019 and all tariffs were implemented, that would very quickly outweigh all stimulus we have coming into 2019. That would be a weight on GDP growth and bring our numbers down for next year."


    Cabana said growth for the beginning of the year looks good, and if sentiment could stabilize that might help markets. Treasury yields fell in the past week, with the 10-year yield at 2.78 percent Friday.


    "We think rates could be higher. We think 3 percent is reasonable ... but quite honestly risks appear quite heavily to the downside," he said. "The bigger ones are international and geopolitical in nature — what happens to trade, China's economy, Brexit, European populism and gridlock in the U.S."


    Cabana said the low end of the range for the 10-year yield could be 2.5 percent.


    This past week saw the following moves in the S&P:

    (CLICK HERE FOR THE FULL S&P HEAT MAP FOR THE PAST WEEK!)

    Major Indices for this past week:

    (CLICK HERE FOR THE MAJOR INDICES FOR THE PAST WEEK!)

    Major Futures Markets as of Friday's close:

    (CLICK HERE FOR THE MAJOR FUTURES INDICES AS OF FRIDAY!)

    Economic Calendar for the Week Ahead:

    (CLICK HERE FOR THE FULL ECONOMIC CALENDAR FOR THE WEEK AHEAD!)

    Sector Performance WTD, MTD, YTD:

    (CLICK HERE FOR FRIDAY'S PERFORMANCE!)
    (CLICK HERE FOR THE WEEK-TO-DATE PERFORMANCE!)
    (CLICK HERE FOR THE MONTH-TO-DATE PERFORMANCE!)
    (CLICK HERE FOR THE 3-MONTH PERFORMANCE!)
    (CLICK HERE FOR THE YEAR-TO-DATE PERFORMANCE!)
    (CLICK HERE FOR THE 52-WEEK PERFORMANCE!)

    Percentage Changes for the Major Indices, WTD, MTD, QTD, YTD as of Friday's close:

    (CLICK HERE FOR THE CHART!)

    S&P Sectors for the Past Week:

    (CLICK HERE FOR THE CHART!)

    Major Indices Pullback/Correction Levels as of Friday's close:

    (CLICK HERE FOR THE CHART!)

    Major Indices Rally Levels as of Friday's close:

    (CLICK HERE FOR THE CHART!)

    Most Anticipated Earnings Releases for next month:

    (CLICK HERE FOR THE CHART!)

    Here are the upcoming IPO's for this week:

    ([CLICK HERE FOR THE CHART!]())

    NONE.

    Friday's Stock Analyst Upgrades & Downgrades:

    (CLICK HERE FOR CHART!)

    Average S&P 500 Stock Decline Exceeds 25%

    The S&P 500 may not have reached bear market territory as an index yet, but of the 500 individual stocks in the index, more than 60% are down at least 20% from their 52-week highs. Overall, the average decline from a 52-week high is a staggering 25.7%! The chart below shows the distance each of the individual components is trading from their 52-week highs grouped by 10 percentage point ranges. As of Thursday afternoon, just 72 stocks in the S&P 500 are even trading within 10% of their 52-week highs. Meanwhile, 82 stocks in the index are down 40% or more with 24 of those 82 stocks down by more than half! Have their been uglier periods for the stock market? You bet. But not in a long time.

    So which stocks are down the most? There are actually a number of well-known names with stocks like General Electric (GE), Western Digital (WDC), Nvidia (NVDA), Halliburton (HAL), Wynn Resorts (WYNN), Micron (MU), and Applied Materials (AMAT) all having been more than cut in half.

    (CLICK HERE FOR THE CHART!)

    Is It Time For Santa?

    So far it's been rough for stocks in December, a month that has historically been bullish. How bad has it been? After 10 trading days, we're off to the worst start to December since 1980! In fact, the S&P 500 Index is flirting with "worst month of 2018" status, currently held by October (-6.9%). Since 1957, when the S&P 500 started in its current form of roughly 500 stocks, December has never been the worst month of the year.

    Is there still time for a Santa Claus rally? "December has been a month to forget for equities so far, but there is a silver lining. Turns out, the majority of December's gains tend to happen the second half of the month—so we still have time to believe in Santa," explained LPL Senior Market Strategist Ryan Detrick.

    As our LPL Chart of the Day shows, December is historically a strong month that has tended to see the majority of its gains late in the month.

    (CLICK HERE FOR THE CHART!)

    Day Before Christmas: Tech and Small-Caps Best

    For decades we have been tracking the market's performance around holidays in the annual Stock Trader's Almanac. In the 52nd edition for 2019, data for DJIA, S&P 500, NASDAQ and Russell 2000 can be found on page 88. Of the eight holidays tracked, Christmas has been one of the most consistently bullish with respectable average gains occurring on the day before. Small-caps, measured by the Russell 2000 have been up 74.2% of the time on the day before Christmas with an average gain of 0.37% since 1987. NASDAQ is second best, up 67.7% of the time with an average gain of 0.42%. DJIA and S&P 500 have been softer with gains 61.3% and 58.1% of the time respectively. Volatility also tends to be subdued ahead of Christmas as well as the worst decline recorded by any of the four indexes was 0.69% by NASDAQ in 1997. NASDAQ also had the best day before performance, up a staggering 7.56% in 2000. The market did not get exactly what it was looking for from the Fed, but perhaps a pause in trading, to celebrate Christmas, will have some positive impact.

    (CLICK HERE FOR THE CHART!)

    STOCK MARKET VIDEO: Stock Market Analysis Video for December 21st, 2018

    ([CLICK HERE FOR THE YOUTUBE VIDEO!]())

    (VIDEO NOT YET UP!)

    STOCK MARKET VIDEO: ShadowTrader Video Weekly 12.23.18

    ([CLICK HERE FOR THE YOUTUBE VIDEO!]())

    (VIDEO NET YET UP!)


    Here are the most notable companies reporting earnings in this upcoming trading month ahead-


    • $NFLX
    • $BAC
    • $BA
    • $BBBY
    • $KBH
    • $SGH
    • $STZ
    • $MA
    • $JPM
    • $C
    • $GS
    • $JNJ
    • $UNH
    • $WFC
    • $AA
    • $LRCX
    • $CJPRY
    • $SLB
    • $ABT
    • $LEN
    • $UNF
    • $AKS
    • $BMY
    • $LW
    • $VLO
    • RPM
    • $AXP
    • $SMPL
    • $SNX
    • $MSM
    • $WYI
    • $CMC
    • $HELE
    • $FAST
    • $PHM
    • $CSX
    • $INFO
    • $CALM
    • $LNN
    (CLICK HERE FOR NEXT MONTH'S MOST NOTABLE EARNINGS RELEASES!)

    Amazon.com, Inc. -

    Amazon.com, Inc. (AMZN) is expected to report earnings at approximately 4:00 PM ET on Thursday, January 24, 2019. The consensus earnings estimate is $5.48 per share on revenue of $73.87 billion. Investor sentiment going into the company's earnings release has 71% expecting an earnings beat. Consensus estimates are for year-over-year earnings growth of 153.70% with revenue increasing by 22.19%. Short interest has increased by 9.7% since the company's last earnings release while the stock has drifted lower by 16.5% from its open following the earnings release to be 18.8% below its 200 day moving average of $1,695.41. Overall earnings estimates have been revised lower since the company's last earnings release. The stock has averaged a 5.3% move on earnings in recent quarters.

    (CLICK HERE FOR THE CHART!)


    Apple, Inc. $150.73

    Apple, Inc. (AAPL) is expected to report earnings at approximately 4:30 PM ET on Thursday, January 31, 2019. The consensus earnings estimate is $4.66 per share on revenue of $91.94 billion. Investor sentiment going into the company's earnings release has 68% expecting an earnings beat The company's guidance was for earnings of $4.40 to $4.77 per share. Consensus estimates are for year-over-year earnings growth of 19.79% with revenue increasing by 4.13%. Short interest has increased by 11.9% since the company's last earnings release while the stock has drifted lower by 28.1% from its open following the earnings release to be 22.2% below its 200 day moving average of $193.66. Overall earnings estimates have been revised lower since the company's last earnings release. The stock has averaged a 4.8% move on earnings in recent quarters.

    (CLICK HERE FOR THE CHART!)


    Facebook Inc. $124.95

    Facebook Inc. (FB) is expected to report earnings at approximately 4:05 PM ET on Tuesday, January 29, 2019. The consensus earnings estimate is $2.17 per share on revenue of $16.42 billion. Investor sentiment going into the company's earnings release has 75% expecting an earnings beat. Consensus estimates are for earnings to decline year-over-year by 1.36% with revenue increasing by 26.58%. Short interest has increased by 7.7% since the company's last earnings release while the stock has drifted lower by 19.4% from its open following the earnings release to be 26.2% below its 200 day moving average of $169.23. Overall earnings estimates have been revised lower since the company's last earnings release. The stock has averaged a 6.7% move on earnings in recent quarters.

    (CLICK HERE FOR THE CHART!)


    Netflix, Inc. $246.39

    Netflix, Inc. (NFLX) is confirmed to report earnings at approximately 4:00 PM ET on Thursday, January 17, 2019. The consensus earnings estimate is $0.25 per share on revenue of $4.21 billion. Investor sentiment going into the company's earnings release has 78% expecting an earnings beat The company's guidance was for earnings of approximately $0.23 per share. Consensus estimates are for earnings to decline year-over-year by 39.02% with revenue increasing by 28.13%. Short interest has increased by 4.1% since the company's last earnings release while the stock has drifted lower by 34.9% from its open following the earnings release to be 26.1% below its 200 day moving average of $333.24. Overall earnings estimates have been revised lower since the company's last earnings release. The stock has averaged a 7.5% move on earnings in recent quarters.

    (CLICK HERE FOR THE CHART!)


    Advanced Micro Devices, Inc. $16.93

    Advanced Micro Devices, Inc. (AMD) is expected to report earnings at approximately 4:30 PM ET on Wednesday, January 23, 2019. The consensus earnings estimate is $0.09 per share on revenue of $1.45 billion and the Earnings Whisper ® number is $0.08 per share. Investor sentiment going into the company's earnings release has 57% expecting an earnings beat. Consensus estimates are for earnings to decline year-over-year by 0.00% with revenue decreasing by 2.03%. Short interest has decreased by 2.8% since the company's last earnings release while the stock has drifted lower by 5.5% from its open following the earnings release to be 9.1% below its 200 day moving average of $18.62. Overall earnings estimates have been revised lower since the company's last earnings release. The stock has averaged a 11.4% move on earnings in recent quarters.

    (CLICK HERE FOR THE CHART!)


    Tesla, Inc. $319.77

    Tesla, Inc. (TSLA) is expected to report earnings at approximately 4:30 PM ET on Wednesday, January 23, 2019. The consensus earnings estimate is $2.12 per share on revenue of $6.36 billion and the Earnings Whisper ® number is $2.41 per share. Investor sentiment going into the company's earnings release has 62% expecting an earnings beat The company's guidance was for earnings of at least $0.01 per share. Consensus estimates are for year-over-year earnings growth of 166.46% with revenue increasing by 93.42%. Short interest has decreased by 19.7% since the company's last earnings release while the stock has drifted higher by 0.8% from its open following the earnings release to be 2.7% above its 200 day moving average of $311.28. Overall earnings estimates have been revised higher since the company's last earnings release. The stock has averaged a 8.8% move on earnings in recent quarters.

    (CLICK HERE FOR THE CHART!)


    Microsoft Corp. $98.23

    Microsoft Corp. (MSFT) is expected to report earnings at approximately 4:10 PM ET on Wednesday, January 23, 2019. The consensus earnings estimate is $1.09 per share on revenue of $32.21 billion. Investor sentiment going into the company's earnings release has 84% expecting an earnings beat. Consensus estimates are for year-over-year earnings growth of 13.54% with revenue increasing by 11.38%. Short interest has increased by 7.6% since the company's last earnings release while the stock has drifted lower by 7.8% from its open following the earnings release to be 4.7% below its 200 day moving average of $103.08. Overall earnings estimates have been revised higher since the company's last earnings release. The stock has averaged a 2.9% move on earnings in recent quarters.

    (CLICK HERE FOR THE CHART!)


    Cleveland-Cliffs Inc $7.68

    Cleveland-Cliffs Inc (CLF) is expected to report earnings at approximately 8:00 AM ET on Friday, January 18, 2019. The consensus earnings estimate is $0.60 per share on revenue of $781.53 million. Investor sentiment going into the company's earnings release has 91% expecting an earnings beat. Consensus estimates are for year-over-year earnings growth of 130.77% with revenue increasing by 30.06%. Short interest has increased by 14.5% since the company's last earnings release while the stock has drifted lower by 34.2% from its open following the earnings release to be 16.8% below its 200 day moving average of $9.23. Overall earnings estimates have been revised lower since the company's last earnings release. The stock has averaged a 7.0% move on earnings in recent quarters.

    (CLICK HERE FOR THE CHART!)


    General Electric Co. $7.15

    General Electric Co. (GE) is expected to report earnings at approximately 6:30 AM ET on Tuesday, January 29, 2019. The consensus earnings estimate is $0.18 per share on revenue of $32.02 billion. Investor sentiment going into the company's earnings release has 41% expecting an earnings beat. Consensus estimates are for earnings to decline year-over-year by 33.33% with revenue increasing by 1.97%. Short interest has increased by 8.8% since the company's last earnings release while the stock has drifted lower by 32.3% from its open following the earnings release to be 42.4% below its 200 day moving average of $12.42. Overall earnings estimates have been revised lower since the company's last earnings release. The stock has averaged a 4.0% move on earnings in recent quarters.

    (CLICK HERE FOR THE CHART!)


    Bank of America Corp. $23.37

    Bank of America Corp. (BAC) is confirmed to report earnings at approximately 6:55 AM ET on Wednesday, January 16, 2019. The consensus earnings estimate is $0.64 per share on revenue of $22.43 billion. Investor sentiment going into the company's earnings release has 84% expecting an earnings beat. Consensus estimates are for year-over-year earnings growth of 36.17% with revenue decreasing by 6.70%. Short interest has increased by 9.5% since the company's last earnings release while the stock has drifted lower by 18.0% from its open following the earnings release to be 20.7% below its 200 day moving average of $29.46. Overall earnings estimates have been revised lower since the company's last earnings release. The stock has averaged a 1.5% move on earnings in recent quarters.

    (CLICK HERE FOR THE CHART!)


    DISCUSS!

    What are you all watching for in this upcoming holiday-shortened trading week ahead?


    Have a fantastic weekend and trading week ahead r/stocks! :)

    submitted by /u/bigbear0083
    [link] [comments]

    What's become to cheap to not buy?

    Posted: 22 Dec 2018 09:24 AM PST

    Like GE or another stock that will sure to rebound in the next 5 years? So cheap that it's dumb not to throw some cash at it and look away.

    submitted by /u/Chairsdontcares
    [link] [comments]

    Tech stock to invest in

    Posted: 22 Dec 2018 10:12 AM PST

    I have never invested in tech stocks mostly because of the cost/reward. With tech stocks dropping I want to look at having tech stocks in my portfolio. Any recommendations?

    submitted by /u/nevernudefoundation
    [link] [comments]

    Any bullish tickers I can hold for the next couple of weeks/months?

    Posted: 22 Dec 2018 01:40 PM PST

    We are now entering a bear market but I want to go long on a couple of companies, and expect gains in the next couple of weeks/months. Almost everything I find is trending down though. Does anyone know of any bullish tickers?

    submitted by /u/Fahrenheit666
    [link] [comments]

    Things I worry about: if QE never happened, how high would the Dow have climbed?

    Posted: 22 Dec 2018 07:20 AM PST

    And should I be looking at a retracement to somewhere between that and our high this year?

    It seems to me, we got free money for a decade so everything we know about this global economy is based on quantitative easing. Now that they're taking that away, how do we know that the GDP numbers are based on reality? What happens if we realize that 3.2% growth isn't realistic in a world where money isn't cheap anymore? These things have me concerned so I'm wondering, where can I find out roughly where the Dow would be today if QE never happened?

    submitted by /u/neve1064
    [link] [comments]

    Looking for a mentor, this my story

    Posted: 22 Dec 2018 09:13 AM PST

    Autobiography

    Hi,

    My name is Leyton and I am 19 years old, I've been buying stocks since my father introduced me to the stock market at age 16, I truly fell in love with the stock market since the day I started and since I didn't have any money to invest my father gave me a small loan of a 1 000$ and when I turned 18, I got access to a fund my grandparents had been saving for me with a value of 13 000$. I reinvested all money with their permission because they are also old-time investors and supported my decision.

    Currently I have 16 000$ invested and my highest peak value was about 25 000$ but since we have a current bear market it's slowly going down.

    During my time investing I've also been forced to sell but most of the things I've bought I like to see as other investments. I've bought a car worth 1 000$, drivers license, forklift license, paid of the loan from my father etc.

    I've recently graduated from high school and got a job at an industry. My monthly salary is around 2 500 $ and I invest 80% of my salary which is 2 000$ a month. The reason why I can invest this much and survive at the same time is because I live at home, I don't drink any alcohol, don't spend any money on unnecessary things I don't need.

    I am planning on living at home for three years and just invest all my money, work hard and learn more about the stock market, my goal is to make 100 000$ during these years. I am extremely motivated, and I've been planning for this goal/challenge before I even graduated.

    Explanation of why i want a mentor

    During all this time investing in stocks and following the stock market I've never had anyone to share my thoughts with or ask anyone questions. I've always had to google my way which of course works but I want more than just that, I want someone's opinion, someone who has done it, someone with experience to teach me.

    I live in a city with about 30 000 residents and there ain't no investment clubs, there is barely anyone my age that likes stocks where I live..

    There's a quote that says, "Surround yourself with the dreamers and the doers" and to be honest when I look at the people I hang out with we are so different, they don't care about personal finance, they live paycheck to paycheck and I've tried getting them on another path, but they just don't care.

    Tell me your thoughts and ideas, can you recognize yourself in this and what shall I do?

    submitted by /u/BeMyLoverLaBouche
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    Buy and hold AAPL and MFST?

    Posted: 22 Dec 2018 06:44 AM PST

    I'm 21 and just bought some Apple and Microsoft shares. Is it a good idea to hold these for a while? I didn't spend much but I'm seeing a lot of conflicting advice in this sub. Some are telling people to sell while others are excited about the dips. Thoughts?

    submitted by /u/hermansnaess
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    [Canada] Been casually investing for a few years and am ready to commit to paying for Real Time updates. What are my options?

    Posted: 22 Dec 2018 09:30 AM PST

    I currently use virtual brokers and am happy with it's service. Hoping to hear which real time service my fellow Canadians enjoy, whether I go with the one virtual brokers offers or utilize a 3rd party service.

    I'm still a self professed noob so let me know if you require any additional information

    submitted by /u/itzpiiz
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    Can you short the Market as a whole?

    Posted: 22 Dec 2018 08:00 AM PST

    This might sound like a dumb question, but my initial thinking would be no. But is there any way at all to make money when the market does bad?

    submitted by /u/NikhilMath
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    In reference to my previous Apple post. I claimed it would go to 250-500B market cap.

    Posted: 22 Dec 2018 07:35 AM PST

    Hello,

    I simply wanted to go over the reasons I believe apple will tank furthur, and some reasons why it may not.

    • Apple has reached market saturation. This is fairly evident because they have stopped announcing phone sales and are changing their business model.

    • They are changing their business model to a service/repair model to attempt to recoup profit margins. However, I believe they are going to fail at this. Why? Well apple has been getting a lot of bad publicity lately due to their high cost, them attempting to snuff DYI repair shops, and the actual lack of transparency or knowledge of their own products on what needs to be repaired at their stores. This all in conjunction that DYI repair shops are starting to gain traction and are successfully lobbying for more rights to fix your own device.

    • They're currently lacking innovation . Tim Cook at least currently seems to not be expanding or producing unique products. A new iteration of the iphone every 1-2 years won't keep the attraction on them. Also the cost of a phone (cost of all products) is pushing many people to hold phones longer or look for cheaper options. The average consumer used to rotate a phone every 18 months now it is closer to 30. Now, this is not just apples problem, but they are generally the more expensive option.

    • All the previous reasons are based on facts this one is merely my opinion. I believe their core base is starting to shrink. I know many people who are staying apple not because they want to but because they are heavily invested in all the other products and it would be costly for them to switch. However, because apple keeps upcharging on hardware/repair/software (silly things like dongles, or obscene 1000$ repair for a simple sauder) many people are starting to consider a switch to other cheaper products.

    • Another cost point: They are pricing out the younger base aka the future growth. In the past you were able to have a phone subsidized by the telecom company's. Now that model is gone and the main allure of apples original products are fading. Remeber the claim that apple didnt get viruses? Well that is no longer the case.

    TLDR: BAD apple is not innovating, they are losing the base, they are pricing themselves out, they are attempting to switch business models, and market is heavily saturated.

    Now some good things

    Obviously apple is not going anywhere anytime soon.

    • They have an obscenely high warchest of cash and are able to weather any storm for years to come. Their current earnings are still respectable to say the least.

    • They have yet to tap into some large asian foreign markets to the same extent as the US. If they can break these bariers it will be huge and they will grow. However, the foreign governments, their companies, and apples high price tag will be hard hurdles to get around.

    • Their products are still amazing, but they are not the gold standard anymore.

    • Even though they are not innovating now their are plenty of avenues for them to expand into. They just have to take the leap. However, going back to the cost. Remeber apple TV? It was a fairly decent product, but I feel it was priced out especially when you would go into a BESTBUY store and see the price tag of their unit next to the price of a entry ROKU device or AMAZON fire stick.

    TLDR: GOOD They have cash, they have respectable p/e ect, they have opportunities to innovate, and global untapped markets waiting.

    I am waiting to buy apple. I am simply waiting to see if they can deliver for fututre growth. They have dropped close to 400B market cap and I do not see it slowing down in the near future.

    submitted by /u/exgerex
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    The Good News....and the Bad News

    Posted: 21 Dec 2018 06:01 PM PST

    GOOD NEWS

    A head and shoulder pattern is sure to form in the SNP 500. This means stocks will rebound over the next weeks, giving you a chance to exit your positions if your under water.

    BAD NEWS

    The market will fall much harder over the coming year. Don't be greedy.

    submitted by /u/Web_Mastered
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    What percent of your portfolio is cash?

    Posted: 21 Dec 2018 09:09 PM PST

    This year I always had about 25-35% cash in reserve just waiting for a crash and a bear market. What should i do in the current situation? I have been eyeing $AMZN and google and they are down about 30% .

    submitted by /u/Penben99
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    Rego the AI has two new stocks in his sights.

    Posted: 21 Dec 2018 11:23 PM PST

    Rego from Wall Street Nursery has informed us that AGIO and SREV are stocks to keep an eye out for.

    A little curious I started doing some research on these two companies.

    ServiceSource International, Inc. (SREV) : Is a company that has been loosing value year after year. Will it make a small bounce back in the next two months?

    and

    Agios Pharmaceuticals, Inc. (AGIO) : Again a company whose value seems to be in the decline. What does Rego know that I don't?

    Check out https://wsnursery.ca/regos-suggestions/ for a list of his predictions.

    submitted by /u/Tolure
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    Investing in a company on the Frankfurt Stock Exchange

    Posted: 21 Dec 2018 10:52 PM PST

    Looking to invest in a company that is on the Frankfurt Stock Exchange from Canada. Anyone know if this can be done? Company is GSF:NO

    submitted by /u/alexisonsmith
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    Some Long term Put Ideas

    Posted: 21 Dec 2018 07:25 PM PST

    I just found these with parameters of one billion market cap or more and no profits, barely profitable, or No P/E. If anyone has any DD on any of these or has been following them, it would be much appreciated to add your thoughts. These companies do not have the capital to buy back stocks ect. Feel free to add suggestions. These are just suggesstions, Id recomended doing some hw before making a decision. Personally I am just setting long expiration puts, so I can just play the trend without the pressure of Theta. (Also excluding a lot of biotech, but if somone has a good one I could add it).

    NIO

    DROPBOX- 8 Billion market cap. Competition from Microsoft, Google, BOX ect.

    DOCUSIGN- 6 billion market cap. Might not have much Moat.

    TELADOC- Recent insider trading, COO and CFO resigned.

    SURVEYMONKEY- 1.5 billion market cap. 20 years and No profit,. Imagine it would have been bought out by now if it was going to happen.

    SQUARE could be one but I'm afraid to short it long term.

    SUNRUN just got a lawsuit going I believe. Earning trending down.

    UPWORK- 2.2 billion market cap

    SONOS- Could be bought out

    Blue apron( damn missed that)

    Groupon

    IQ - this looks good

    GLUU

    Amarin- EU Regulators say Omega 3 in ineffective...Its $311 without insurance. Vascepa is the drug name.

    EVERBRIDGE

    LENDING CLUB- they got in trouble recently I believe

    CHEGG

    ETSY

    ROKU

    MINDBODY

    TANDEM- this one is crazy. Up 1,200% this year. Barely dropped.

    YETI

    Zillow

    REDFIN

    EVENTBRITE

    SPOTIFY


    Ones that have a High PE

    XEROX- 4.6 Billion Market cap, P/E 268....For a paper company. Got bad press last week when Moody's downgraded them to junk status amid a questionable future of copying/print.

    submitted by /u/HunterRountree
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    Some Long Put Ideas

    Posted: 21 Dec 2018 07:24 PM PST

    I just found these with parameters of one billion market cap or more and no profits, barely profitable, or No P/E. If anyone has any DD on any of these or has been following them, it would be much appreciated to add your thoughts. These companies do not have the capital to buy back stocks ect. Feel free to add suggestions. These are just suggestions, Id recommended doing some hw before making a decision. Personally I am just setting long expiration puts, so I can just play the trend without the pressure of Theta.

    NIO

    DROPBOX- 8 Billion market cap. Competition from Microsoft, Google, BOX ect.

    DOCUSIGN- 6 billion market cap. Might not have much Moat.

    TELADOC- Recent insider trading, COO and CFO resigned.

    SURVEYMONKEY- 20 years and No profit. Imagine it would have been bought out by now if it was going to happen.

    SQUARE could be one but I'm afraid to short it long term.

    SUNRUN just got a lawsuit going I believe. Earning trending down.

    UPWORK- 2.2 billion market cap

    SONOS- Could be bought out

    Blue apron( damn missed that)

    Groupon

    IQ - this looks good

    GLUU

    Amarin

    EVERBRIDGE

    LENDING CLUB- they got in trouble recently I believe

    CHEGG

    ETSY

    ROKU

    MINDBODY

    TANDEM- this one is crazy. Up 1,200% this year. Barely dropped.

    YETI

    submitted by /u/HunterRountree
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    How do we call this formula?

    Posted: 22 Dec 2018 01:06 AM PST

    What I'm looking for is something similar to compound interest,

    I'd like that formula that calculate the initial investment and how much profit I can make with fixed margin.

    Let's 100 is initial sum, each day there's 2% profit

    Next day 102 + 2% an so on

    I need something like ( initial value at x % for y days ) and then be able to calculate the profit

    Thanks,

    submitted by /u/slk14k
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    New online AI stock analyzer

    Posted: 21 Dec 2018 04:05 PM PST

    Wall Street Nursery is a new website dedicated to developing and training AIs.

    Currently there is one AI named Rego who tries to predict what the maximum value of a stock in the next two months.

    This evening he's come up with 4 stocks to keep an eye on: PTGX, IAC, PTIE and ASCMA.

    Click here to get more information on the predictions.

    Just wondering what people thought of these predictions? Do you think they even have a chance?

    submitted by /u/Tolure
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