Stocks - A government shutdown typically doesn’t hurt the stock market, history shows (CNBC) |
- A government shutdown typically doesn’t hurt the stock market, history shows (CNBC)
- Friendly reminder: declining market not the same as recession
- Mega- and large-cap stocks down more than 8% last week--a lot of them, in all sectors
- Middle man in stocks
- Belt & Road Initiative and my bigger picture thoughts.
- What stocks or options are you guys looking to add to your portfolio for the new year?
- Treasury Secretary Steven Mnuchin (mih-NOO'-shin) says President Donald Trump has denied ever suggesting firing Federal Reserve Chairman Jerome Powell
- Is the Shiller PE ratio broken?
- XBI
- Is this the start of a bear of market?
- Should We Believe in Selling After Death Cross(es) Appear?
- Which timeframe for levered beta do we use for unlevered beta comps calculation?
- Can’t buy VXX on margin?
- Alibaba’s global ecommerce market share
- Rego has found two new stocks
| A government shutdown typically doesn’t hurt the stock market, history shows (CNBC) Posted: 23 Dec 2018 05:24 AM PST There's a table in the CNBC link that may be useful for historical reference. [link] [comments]  |
| Friendly reminder: declining market not the same as recession Posted: 23 Dec 2018 09:49 AM PST I felt the need to post this since I keep seeing a lot of comments equating this market decline to a recession. A recession is defined as two or more consecutive quarters of negative GDP growth. Check out this site and play around with the chart to get a feel of how GDP growth has been changing: https://tradingeconomics.com/united-states/gdp-growth (I suggest you change the chart parameters to 10 years and select "columns" instead of "line") A market decline could be a predictor of a future recession so I'm not arguing against that. Let's just be careful about our rhetoric around the term "recession" and not confuse economic terminology please. There are a lot of people new to stocks and investing here, we don't want to send the wrong message. That is all, thanks, good luck to everyone! [link] [comments]  |
| Mega- and large-cap stocks down more than 8% last week--a lot of them, in all sectors Posted: 22 Dec 2018 09:11 PM PST AMZN: -13.47% FB: -13.27% AAPL: -8.91% XOM: -9.89% V: -8.02% UNH: -10.07% CVX: -8.45% C: -8.69% PM: -19.75% CRM: -10.31% ACN: -11.79% UTX: -10.62% NVDA: -11.53% AXP: -13.6% LMT: -10.83% USB: -8.49% ANTM: -8.57% CEO: -9.32% CVS: -11.38% WBA: -14.58% SNE: -8.89% BIIB: -10.79% SYK: -9.5% TSLA: -12.56% SPG: -9.73% ISRG: -9.3% SLB: -8.7% BSX: -8.3% GD: -10.94% AGN: -11.3% CI: -11.7% BK: -8.28% RTN: -10.79% SU: 9.67% CELG: -10.67% FDX: -14.18% ILMN: -14.58% NOC: -10.46% LVS: -11.33% COF: -8.05% AON: -8.18% MU: -11.35% CCL: -15.04% EC: -11.98% TGT: -8.99% STZ: -10.53% EW: -9.94% NOW: -10.98% CNQ: -9.25% EQIX: -9.46% ERIC: -8.8% MNST: -8.46% ADSK: -8.52% LUV: -8.27% EBAY: -8.06% MCO: -8.89% SIRI: -9.4% MPLX: -10.15% CNC: -11.78% ADM: -8.54% HAL: -10.86% GLW: -8.43% OKE: -10.45% SQ: -15.5% PXD: -8.79% APC: -15.7% ALXN: -13.52% NXPI: -9.32% TWTR: -23.86% XLNX: -8.23% A: -8.75% ZBH: -8.82% CXO: -13.19% SPOT: -14.99% RCL: -13.61% DFS: -8.77% MSI: -11.78% MKC: -8.86% HPE: -11.32% NTRS: -8.08% IX: -9.74% BXP: -9.76% AMD: -14.92% CBS: -9.76 % DB: -10.57% CERN: -11.98% SNDE: -25.63% CTL: -12.35% WY: -11.44% [link] [comments]  |
| Posted: 23 Dec 2018 09:09 AM PST Hi. During the ''yellow digital coin'' boom in december last year (if I type the name my post will get removed) I got interested in more than it's technology. I started learning how to invest in digital coins. Latter I started applying that knowledge in stocks and have been doing good so far. But there's this thing that bugs me. In the digital coins market, I can buy the same coin from different places and then I get to keep it. It's my responsability and only my responsability to make sure it is safe. In stock it's not possible to do that by it's nature. But I only get to buy and keep stocks through a 3rd party exchange. If they go bankrupt I lose my money, if they do bad business I lose my money. And it's somewhat likely something like that happens if I want to keep a stock for a long period of time(say 20+ years). So I wish I could buy stock directly from NYSE or NASDAQ but from what I've seen so far that's no possible and I don't know why. Does anyone have an explanation? I'm not from the USA. [link] [comments]  |
| Belt & Road Initiative and my bigger picture thoughts. Posted: 23 Dec 2018 12:22 PM PST Don't confuse me with the facts. Just let me vent. I've paid hundred of thousands in taxes. I deserve at least the right to vent.🤪 The Belt & Road Initiative is now in the Chinese constitution. It will serve 70% of the worlds population with Chinese goods through 90 countries as partners. WTO who? China took advantage of the financial crisis in Europe and created an opportunity for themselves. By gaining access to countries starving for money with the creation of the Belt and Road Initiative. They got great deals at bargain prices along with political influence to be used in the future for anything they want. These countries now owe China and they will collect through strong arming. It's already apparent when several European Union members cast objections to voices concerned with China's actions in the South China Seas, for example. In the US of A, Capitalistic markets were screwed by greed which became manifest as a housing loan crisis. Thank you, to the system that allowed everyone who shouldn't have but did get a mortgage they couldn't afford. To combat a worse outcome, the federal reserve floated the banks with Quantitative Easing. This isn't free market behavior. To me this is like the Chinese devaluing their currency to benefit their objectives. The largest transfer of wealth occurred when homes in the US eventually were taken away from the middle class through mortgage loan default and sold to huge funds for the purpose of renting them out. The result is, ten years later, we have harder standards to meet for average Americans to buy homes and fewer owning homes. There goes the idea of wealth creation and retirement security because we all know social security isn't going to be around forever. The only advantage the little guy got was being punished for paying his mortgage on time by buying what he could afford in the form of his home values crashing. Or he got to stay in a home for three years, rent free, because the banks couldn't process all the broken loans any quicker. I hope those three years gave the little guy a chance to save some money for a new mortgage down payment because the 20% down is a big nut. By the looks of things, according to statistics, many didn't save. Homeownership is down and developers are building rental units as quickly as they can. What does that tell you? We bailed out the banks and flooded the market with free money which elevated share prices across the board. And now we see finally more people are working and finally have a chance to catch up, make more money with wage increases and what happens? We raise the interest rates, market is going down, future business spending on development will be slowed, middle class is waning and millennials are in for an education with student loan debt which many say is the next big financial crisis when they realize the machine their in doesn't give a sh!t about them. Here's what makes me laugh out loud, we've got talking heads who are clueless as to why the market is dropping. How about we ask ourselves a few questions like what level would the market likely be at today if QE never happened and is our GDP forecast based on history from a QE infused economy? If the answer to the second question is yes, we're fu€ked. It seems to me we are at war. The Chinese are a communist/socialist/ lets-pretend-we're-capitalists led country. We've got people here worried about air quality but we've sold our soul to the Chinese business man who doesn't give a sh!t about air quality at the moment. We float our markets when we're scared and we're fascinated with goods created by child labor we can't see or don't want to because they're cheap. Whose country is based on a free market, ours? What does it matter when the Chinese own more American Dollars when we do? The world is upside down and I only see the Chinese getting ahead. Their quality of living standards has gone up while ours, not so much. What's the solution? You're not going to like this. We either join the party and accept that China eventually will be THE world financial power or you don't. The way I see it is their long term goals outweigh anything any president can do because their game is long term. We come across as directionally challenged. Once the world is dependent on them for just about EVERYTHING, what do we have left? We will be making goods for them eventually, at rock bottom prices because their populous with be vibrant and not willing to work cheaply. Life is like a pendulum; maybe our best days ARE behind us for the next 200 years. I can't see what China's long term goal is other than this and if my financial retirement security is to be safeguarded, maybe emerging markets is the way to go. It seems to me everything we esteem is being thrown in our faces because of our own unbridled nature. The Chinese have figured out our weaknesses and built a plan around them. Our weaknesses are manifested through our actions as an economical aggregate force. We need to fight this problem with the very problem it is- economics. But it may be too late because our population makes us less powerful in the game of economics compared to other countries popping out babies quicker than we are. If we don't do everything in-house, how can we combat the sunami wave coming at us that's filled with refuse in the names of communism, blind eye to reality, abhorrent labor laws, inequality, pollution up the Wazoo, a "gimme mine, don't care about you" hustler mentality, and plain anthropocentric paradigms including the many ego types running the world. We have to seclude ourselves if we are to combat the inevitable China King paradigm. Being a part of the world isn't helping us. I know this idea will have lots of flak but I really see it that way. We either give in and make the best of it or turn a drastic corner. I don't blame trump for hurting the Chinese economy right now with tariffs. We have to do it now while we still have influence to do so. Once this Belt and Road Initiative is complete, we won't have the economical influence we have currently. Timing is crucial. No one president has had the courage to be suicidal and tell the American Public what it doesn't want to hear. Only a communist government leader has that luxury. Because the Americans, we Americans, don't want to be confused with the facts, the truth is the tariffs will come back on us in the form of pricier products we consume. It's a brilliant plan. Trump looks like he's standing up to the Chinese, making them pay for our debt which they own, in turn that messes with their economy and in essence raises taxes for us at the same time but without us knowing it because it wasn't paraded in front of us through Congress . It's almost like a flat tax I guess since it's based on consumption of electronics, etc. In the end, we've been borrowing from the communists to give us freedom to not balance the books as a country even though millions of U.S. households HAVE to do that every month. We are a joke to the Chinese and I'm afraid they are going to win the war with this Belt and Road Initiative because the European Union is no better off than we are. They don't have the luxury of borrowing without giving more than just interest in euros. I'm no writer, as you can obviously tell. But I do think about these things and they bother me. I've worked long and hard in a unusual business that forces me to be the best in order to survive while battling ageism every day . I have nothing to fall back on except my savings. I try to grow them using instruments like real estate and stocks/options. So far both instruments are ailing. I guess this turned out to be a rambling rant and I apologize for that. 2019 isn't looking to be good for US equities. I guess I'll keep those rental units a few years longer I was going to sell in January. I'm only making 7.9% annually before aggregating tax benefits through accelerated depreciation, etc. but it sure beats the 40% down my portofolio is currently. [link] [comments]  |
| What stocks or options are you guys looking to add to your portfolio for the new year? Posted: 23 Dec 2018 12:45 AM PST Hey sorry if this is not allowed here, I'm just generally curious and would like to start an open discussion about what stocks are on your radar for the new year? Anything you guys are watching? Second for my option traders out there, with the volitility picking up in the market are you buying puts to cover the stocks you own? Anyone just trade options? I did for a while but it gets really expensive and unless you are daytrading (which I got in trouble for since I didnt have $25,000 extra margin in my account) because of the time value erosion I don't really see how it's worth it unless you are using them to cover stocks you own. [link] [comments]  |
| Posted: 22 Dec 2018 05:18 PM PST https://www.nytimes.com/aponline/2018/12/22/us/politics/ap-us-trump-federal-reserve-.html I hope this is what Trump really thinks, because it would be great news for the market. [link] [comments]  |
| Is the Shiller PE ratio broken? Posted: 23 Dec 2018 04:10 AM PST As we just suffered great losses last Friday, the standard S&P500 PE ratio is at 19 times earnings (vs. 15.73x average) while Shiller PE is at 27.2 times earnings (vs. 16.59x average). We are still high above the average figures but Shiller indicates way higher. [link] [comments]  |
| Posted: 23 Dec 2018 09:22 AM PST I am basically completely concentrated in XBI with 10% cash. I bought XBI at 69.05. At the time, that was close to the lower Bollinger Band and the RSI was in the low 30's. Would love everyone's thoughts. This is NOT an individual stock but an ETF that correlates with biotech. [link] [comments]  |
| Is this the start of a bear of market? Posted: 22 Dec 2018 04:36 PM PST Nasdaq is already in a bear market - defined as a decline of 20% or more. The S&P 500 is down by 9.61% YTD excluding dividends. Are stocks heading towards a bear market or is this just a normal correction? High-flying tech stocks were long due for a correction. So that is not a surprise to any one. But sectors like consumer staples, banks, industrials, transportation, etc. crashing is worrying. Here is an excerpt on US market corrections and bear markets: " IS IT THE START OF A BEAR MARKET? Nobody can predict with any degree of certainty whether a correction will reverse or turn into a bear market. However, historically most corrections haven't become bear markets (that is, periods when the market falls by 20% or more). There have been 22 market corrections since November 1974, and only four of them became bear markets (which began in 1980, 1987, 2000 and 2007). Since 1974, only four market corrections have become bear markets" Source: https://topforeignstocks.com/2018/12/21/us-equity-market-corrections-and-bear-markets-since-1974/ [link] [comments]  |
| Should We Believe in Selling After Death Cross(es) Appear? Posted: 23 Dec 2018 04:40 AM PST A death cross pattern occurs when a security's short-term moving average drops below its long-term moving average (Investopedia). All FAANG stocks are now in Death Crosses, Apple being the last to get there on Friday. Apple was once a trillion dollar company and now valued at $715 billion. In Markets: Dow: 22,445.37 The Dow's 50-day moving average stands at 25,110.27, compared against its 200-day average at 25,075.38. S&P 500: 2,416.62 The S&P 500 with the 50-day moving average at 2,759.28.02, below the 200-day moving average of 2,762.02. Links [link] [comments]  |
| Which timeframe for levered beta do we use for unlevered beta comps calculation? Posted: 23 Dec 2018 04:36 AM PST I see different years of beta used. Ie. 1 year, 2 year, 3 year [link] [comments]  |
| Posted: 22 Dec 2018 08:31 PM PST Curious if anyone has had this same issue? Could it possibly be the broker I'm using, Fidelity? States VXX is too volatile and can only trade my cash amount. [link] [comments]  |
| Alibaba’s global ecommerce market share Posted: 22 Dec 2018 10:48 PM PST I calculated it as .71% in 2016 which seems very small and another site wrote 12%. However, I divided Alibaba's global E Commerce revenue in USD(13588) by global ecommerce revenue(1922000) and got my answer. What am I doing wrong? [link] [comments]  |
| Posted: 22 Dec 2018 04:22 PM PST Rego the AI has been scanning list of companies on the NASDAQ and tonight he has found 2 companies to keep an eye on. BOLD @ $19.07 and AMD @ $16.93 are do increase slightly in the next two months. Both are currently on a down trend so it'll be interesting to see if they starting heading up. You can find more details on this post. [link] [comments]  |
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