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    Sunday, March 1, 2020

    Stocks - Rate My Portfolio - r/Stocks Quarterly Thread March 2020

    Stocks - Rate My Portfolio - r/Stocks Quarterly Thread March 2020


    Rate My Portfolio - r/Stocks Quarterly Thread March 2020

    Posted: 01 Mar 2020 04:08 AM PST

    Please use this thread to discuss your portfolio, learn of other stock tickers, and help out users by giving constructive criticism.

    Why quarterly? Public companies report earnings quarterly; many investors take this as an opportunity to rebalance their portfolios. We highly recommend you do some reading: A list of relevant posts & book recommendations.

    You can find stocks on your own by using a scanner like your broker's or Finviz. To help further, here's a list of relevant websites.

    If you don't have a broker yet, see our list of brokers or search old posts. If you haven't started investing or trading yet, then setup your paper trading.

    Be aware of Business Cycle Investing which Fidelity issues updates to the state of global business cycles every 1 to 3 months (note: Fidelity changes their links often, so search for it since their take on it is enlightening). Investopedia's take on the Business Cycle and their video.

    If you need help with a falling stock price, check out Investopedia's The Art of Selling A Losing Position and their list of biases.

    Here's a list of all the previous portfolio stickies.

    submitted by /u/AutoModerator
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    Delta suspends US flights to Milan, Italy; will resume May 1st

    Posted: 01 Mar 2020 12:58 PM PST

    As the title says. These kinds of bans will definitely make the recovery longer than expected.

    Delta suspends US flights.

    submitted by /u/gypsyphotos
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    Let's get a few things straight about masks and this virus (and the manufacturers)

    Posted: 01 Mar 2020 12:21 AM PST

    $APT, Alpha Pro Tech

    N95 respirator masks DO HELP

    https://www.cdc.gov/coronavirus/2019-ncov/hcp/respirator-use-faq.html

    "What is an N95 filtering facepiece respirator (FFR)?

    An N95 FFR is a type of respirator which removes particles from the air that are breathed through it. These respirators filter out at least 95% of very small (0.3 micron) particles. N95 FFRs are capable of filtering out all types of particles, including bacteria and viruses.

    What makes N95 respirators different from facemasks (sometimes called a surgical mask)?

    Infographic: Understanding the difference between surgical masks and N95 respiratorspdf icon

    N95 respirators reduce the wearer's exposure to airborne particles, from small particle aerosols to large droplets. N95 respirators are tight-fitting respirators that filter out at least 95% of particles in the air, including large and small particles."

    Here's what's happening.

    1. Hospital staff need these respirator masks A LOT MORE than the average person does. It means the government should have already placed the orders before the virus reaches their country. The problem right now is extreme demand, not that people are buying ineffective protective equipment.

    2. This virus usually enters via mouth, nose and eyes via droplets from people's mouth and nose while breathing, talking, sneezing, coughing. To realise the maximum effectiveness that the N95 respirators can achieve, you have to wear goggles also. Even glasses will help a bit, unless of course a virus containing droplet reaches your eyes from the side.

    3. Surgical masks effectiveness is indeed much lower, since they can only stop large droplets but not smaller ones and they leave gaps from the side.

    4. For the above reasons, the US gov came to an agreement with manufactures to dramatically increase supply of those respirators and possibly other masks. The demand will only get higher, health services alone will need millions upon millions according to the gov's statements about stocking up yesterday.

    5. APT makes their masks profit precisely from N95 respirators which also happen to be higher margin products for them (and I mean even without the price spikes). The announcements they made already about increased orders, concern the N95 respirator masks specifically.

    *** as correctly pointed out by u/WaxuTutu, technically it is the N95 respirators (not masks) that work as described in the post. The APT N95 is in fact an N95 respirator (basically it means that this is a mask that fits air tight and has a specific filter, but that is the actual description of the product). The text above was edited accordingly.

    http://www.alphaprotech.com/userfiles/doccenter/news/2020/Mask_Orders_Coronavirus.pdf

    http://www.alphaprotech.com/userfiles/doccenter/news/2020/2020-02-27_Coronavirus_Update.pdf

    Here is the relevant infographic from CDC

    https://www.cdc.gov/niosh/npptl/pdfs/UnderstandDifferenceInfographic-508.pdf

    This is to get things straight, you go short APT this week, you are in for a ride.

    submitted by /u/v101Tdr
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    So oil is crashing in the Middle East?

    Posted: 01 Mar 2020 10:55 AM PST

    Just read a report that Oil is falling in the Middle East... any thoughts?

    submitted by /u/Rmcreator
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    Two Reasons the Market will Rebound Sooner Than You Think

    Posted: 01 Mar 2020 07:53 AM PST

    Longtime lurker, first-time poster to this sub. I'm fully cognizant that this post may not age particularly well next week, or in the weeks hence, (especially in light of recent news) but whatever; I have no shame putting myself out there. This is why God gave us anonymous Reddit handles.

    One: It's an election year. Trump absolutely won't let this market fail. By hook or crook, he will 100% do everything within his power (and not in his power) to prop up the market. (Including working Powell like a sock puppet.)

    Two: Investors will eventually realize/recollect what I still remember from two weeks ago: It's a classic chase for yield. As expensive as they'd gotten, as recently as two weeks ago, US equities still remained a bastion of growth compared to virtually everywhere else in the world. And that was before COVID-19. If the rest of the world was already teetering on the precipice of blazing-dumpster-firedom before the Coronavirus outbreak, now the full-on zombie apocalypse has actually arrived, where do you think all of those pension funds/hedge funds/etc are going to get their returns for 2020? (They need to be able to somehow justify charging those fat fees!) Italy? The UK? Germany? China? America has now literally become the only game in town. The market is forward-looking; after the initial panic settles, where will that chase for yield go?

    Game on. I'm all in. Last week hedge funds suddenly woke up and remembered why they existed. But eventually, when the inevitable rebound happens, I expect Big Algo to launch it into the stratosphere. It shall be thunderous unlike any man has ever witnessed before. I obviously have no idea where the exact bottom is, but I've learned that precisely timing it is a fool's errand. (If you're able to do it, then good on you. I am happy for you; I am simply not as skilled as you are.) The only way (for me at least) is to ride it out. Assuming you're not facing a margin call, etc, my humble suggestion is to just take a vacation and not even look at what's going on. Check back in a week or month or two.

    (Disclaimer: I'm personally currently long AMD and MU– I believe in the Big Data Story! PS. AMD's Investor Day is March 5! Am expecting great things!)

    PPS. All that said, I'm fully aware there are tons of people thinking the worst is yet to come. This clip from WSB is one of the funniest things I've seen in a long time.

    PPPS. I thought this juxtaposition was interesting.

    submitted by /u/eowobble
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    Can people please stop pretending that they know what the market is going to do? Just continue to DCA.

    Posted: 29 Feb 2020 09:30 PM PST

    This sub is going to absolute shit and people are panicking. Just relax. If you are investing long term, just continue to dollar cost average. Yes, the number value on your account is less right now than it was a week ago, but that doesn't matter. It will go back up in the long run. Breathe.

    I mean seriously people. Unless you think the world is literally going to end, your best option here is the same as it always was: D C A.

    submitted by /u/AHighFifth
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    Where’s the crazies place or time that you made a buy/sell.

    Posted: 01 Mar 2020 09:11 AM PST

    Being we have mobile access to our portfolios. What location or circumstance you in when you bought or sold.

    Trying to keep things light around here before Monday comes.

    submitted by /u/gypsyphotos
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    Overheated or Undervalued- $MMM $APT

    Posted: 01 Mar 2020 08:32 AM PST

    With many officials are coming out and stating that wearing masks do not help prevent getting the coronavirus, companies like $MMM and $APT have been trading up.

    At the same time the US government has a contract for masks through 3M ($MMM) which pose that they do help.

    Where do $MMM and $APT go from here?

    https://www.forbes.com/sites/brucelee/2020/02/29/despite-covid-19-coronavirus-here-is-why-you-should-stop-buying-face-masks/#753ca9982ab8

    submitted by /u/StockMaven
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    Why the limitation of +/-20% on Limit Orders on DEGIRO?

    Posted: 01 Mar 2020 11:52 AM PST

    When trying to place a limit sell order on some stock I own, DEGIRO doesn't let me put a sell price higher than +20% the current price.

    The same when trying to place a limit buy order, I'm unable to place an order at a price lower than -20% the last price.

    This is really a big limitation for a long term investor that wants to place his exit/entry strategies in advance and have peace of mind, or even for a short term trader exposed on high volatility stocks that need to let orders above 20%. This limitation completely ruins all other competitive advantages that DEGIRO have against other brokers (good UI and low fees), I don't understand 😕

    Two Questions:
    - Why this limitation on limit orders?
    - When is DEGIRO planning to drop this limitation?

    PS: I sent this legit question to DEGIRO support and never got a reply, today I tried to post this question on r/DEGIRO but the moderator deleted... if anyone here is connected to DEGIRO would be nice to have some feedback.

    Thanks

    submitted by /u/vipmoney
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    What are some good free websites/resources that I can use for getting information on how industries work internally? (I.e. buyer/supplier power, regulations, anything that isn't obvious when you look at the industry without having direct experience in it)

    Posted: 01 Mar 2020 11:52 AM PST

    Tired of reading McKinsey articles that are full of business buzzwords and don't actually tell you anything insightful. I am particularly interested in the Hospitality industry. Any help is much appreciated!

    submitted by /u/CPanimal
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    TVIX question

    Posted: 01 Mar 2020 05:25 AM PST

    Just trying to understand what is considered 'volatile' when it comes to TVIX. With indices like NSDQ bouncing from -3%(ish) to 1% before close is that considered very volatile, and in effect profitable with TVIX?

    If you were to predict a sideways kinda day tomorrow would TVIX then be a good buy?

    submitted by /u/YoJimGeez
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    $ALLY trading at 2/3 book value?

    Posted: 29 Feb 2020 10:54 PM PST

    Am I missing something or is this literally free money. Their market cap is $9B while their stockholder's equity is over $14B. They are also trading at 5 P/E. Seems significantly undervalued.

    submitted by /u/aliman21
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    It'll be red tomorrow but...

    Posted: 01 Mar 2020 01:04 AM PST

    Do you guys think it will be double red meaning we'll have Friday's pre market red plus the daily heavy hitter 1000 points red or just one dose of red? I just want the big bois who made me depressed at Friday close to pay for their sins is all.

    submitted by /u/Bespetna
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    NVDA: Right time to buy? Fair price?

    Posted: 01 Mar 2020 11:05 AM PST

    Just wanted to get your guys' thoughts on NVIDIA. I'm sure it's in a lot of people's portfolio or least watch-list. Do you think the coronavirus can drive the market and NVDA lower? Is this a stock that will always retain a high P/E? I don't believe chips and semiconductors rely on China as much as other stocks. Let me know your guys' thoughts!

    submitted by /u/BRO-jsimpson
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    Can You Make Money With Daytrading (Personal Story)

    Posted: 01 Mar 2020 11:01 AM PST

    A lof of new traders wondering how realistic is to make money with day trading.. to answer this probably the best will be if I tell you my short story.

    I hated 9-5 job from the beginning and I was not educated, didn't finish college, because I thought that I am "too cool for school" – because of that I had to work different low paying jobs and nothing is worse than working 9-5 and it pays a little.

    So I started to look for ways how to start making extra money. We need to go way back in history. We are talking about 2003

    I was watching TV one day and saw how Chris Moneymaker won WSOP for a win of $2,5 million. His story was really inspiring – he didn't pay $10,000 to get in the tournament, he won the main event entry from $40 poker satellite.

    I thought to myself what are the odds that player wins from $40 $10,000 seat and then from $10,000 makes $2,5 million.

    I knew that there should be some strategy and not simple luck factor.

    So I researched online how to start playing poker – my first choice was Party Poker – I started playing for free chips and the first day I made from 10,000 play chips into 1,000000 chips

    Wow I though if I could do that with real money that would be cool. So I deposited $500 and didn't read any books – was just using common sense and I came up with the strategy – what is now called – Tight Aggressive.

    The first month I made about 500$ next month $2000 then it grew and grew and eventually I became professional online poker player.

    Everything was so cool – i could just play 2-3 hours per day anywhere in the world – so I was living abroad and playing online poker.

    But nothing lasts forever and it was bound to happen. On April 15, 2011 Black Friday came. FBI basically shut down all online poker sites and almost all my money were frozen.

    It became illegal to play poker from the US. It was devastating so I had to find how can I afford my current lifestyle. And I started dabbling into the stocks. ( A bit before when Black Friday came)

    I thought that since I could crack the system of poker I will be able to crack the system of wall street.

    Oh boy, I was wrong – for 3 straight years I was loosing day trading stocks. I would reach bunch of books, try to come up with the "common sense strategies" but nothing was working.

    When you think about it – we are paying spread and commission to the broker – so that means that even if we predict direction of the stock at 55-57% of the time if our risk to reward is 1-1 – we will not be making money.

    So after 3-4 years of struggling I decided that something needs to change. I decided to find successful trader online and just ask for help.

    After doing some searching I asked traders to coach me. A lot of them refused saying that they do not have time and offered me to join their trading chat rooms so I could copy their trades.

    I did what they told me to do – but for some reason I wasn't be able to make money with chat rooms. To this day I was in 12 trading chat rooms and only 3 of them were good, where there is a lot of extra value provided to learn the trading strategies.

    Eventually I found a successful trader who took me under his wing and showed me great trading strategies. In 3 months I became consistently profitable trader and now 90% of the trading days I make profit for a long time.

    So what is the lesson here? If you are trying to learn everything by yourself it will not going to work or you will spend 10x more time than working with the mentor.

    If you really think that you have what it takes to be great day trader let me know. What I am looking for in the students is someone who can study a lot, discipline, mind focused on strategy, system, techniques and optimization.

    Hate to kill your buzz, but if you want fast & easy money in day trading it will not happen. Day trading is like a performance sport – only the best survive. You need to be better trader than average and for that you need an edge.

    Edge in trading setups that you trade, edge in real time scanning, edge in risk management, edge in broker which gives you the best fills, 10 ms later broker and you could get 0.04-0.05 slippage – that is 50$ out of pocket if you trade 1000 shares.

    To summarize – don't be cheap on your education, learn from better traders as fast as possible – that will pay out long term dividends.

    Cheers

    submitted by /u/DaytradingStars
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    Place orders before the market opens?

    Posted: 01 Mar 2020 01:12 PM PST

    In these special circumstances: would it be wiser to place orders now or wait until the market has opened again?

    submitted by /u/damondan
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    Night shift

    Posted: 01 Mar 2020 10:53 AM PST

    For those who work a night shift how do you guys do trade stock? I work from 7pm to 530 am and I'm dead by the time I come home. So how do you guys balance it ?

    submitted by /u/FolayMingYoung
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    iBio to the moon

    Posted: 29 Feb 2020 05:19 PM PST

    This is gonna be so hot. They were just added to WHO's list of 31 company's that are Candidates for a corona virus vaccine. 10 of the companies on this list appear to be uninvestable. Open at at lest 3.3 iBio to the moon

    Edit ; https://www.who.int/blueprint/priority-diseases/key-action/novel-coronavirus-landscape-ncov.pdf?ua=1

    submitted by /u/memer0
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    Fed rate cut vs covid

    Posted: 01 Mar 2020 03:17 AM PST

    Bulls are looking for a rate cute. Even if we get one why would that prop the markets up? The covid isn't going anywhere this week regardless. I don't see why a bandaid on a severed finger is going to do anything. Any insight?

    submitted by /u/WolfOfWeedstocks
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    Is this deduction correct in the current situation?

    Posted: 01 Mar 2020 06:13 AM PST

    Hey guys,

    with the recent correction, I'm looking for branches that are hit by it but should have no impact in terms of actual revenue or sales. Therefore I'm looking for the energy branch because the amount of energy consumed pretty much remained the same. So I looked at which stocks dropped the most and don't depend on oil.

    I found DTE Energy. They were hit pretty significantly and their numbers look alright to me. What is your opinion on my deduction? And do you agree with me that this is a good stock to invest in or is there something about this company I've missed?

    submitted by /u/Vas1r
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    Thoughts on $NOVN?

    Posted: 01 Mar 2020 07:15 AM PST

    Super new to trading so bear with me.

    Biopharmaceutical company where they I guess opened up 5M worth of more stock, so they could get funding

    Was -36% on Friday, but went up 18% after hours

    submitted by /u/big-dick-energy
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    Should I buy Microsoft and sony?

    Posted: 01 Mar 2020 10:59 AM PST

    I saw that Microsoft and sony are projected to do well in the future. And I'm looking to buy a long term stock. What should I do?

    submitted by /u/SeargentSarg
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    FED Inaction

    Posted: 01 Mar 2020 01:44 PM PST

    I was positioned for an emergency FED rate cut ...., doesn't look good

    submitted by /u/Sensei1205227
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    Investment split for a 30yr old

    Posted: 01 Mar 2020 09:29 AM PST

    I am trying to decide the best way to split a lump some of money I have. I am 30 years old and have a medium - high appetite to risk. How I am thinking of splitting my portfolio is something like this:

    60% - Individual common stocks - Such as MSFT, AMZN, V, MA, BABA (And I would like to balance this with some none tech stocks also like utilities, industrial , Health care etc although I haven't defined these yet, feel free to recommend any if you have any!

    30% - ETFs - A good mix of ETFs including high dividend ones, S&P tracking ones, QQQ, clean energy, FTSE 100 & 250 tracking ones and medium cap ones.

    5% - Bonds - Likely government bonds although again I need to look into this and also open to suggestions.

    5% - Cash.

    Thoughts?

    submitted by /u/wincysss1
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    1 comment:

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